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College Basketball Handicapping: Can Northeastern sustain its success?
02.13.2013 03:10 PM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
After limping into conference play having lost six of seven, Northeastern has put together one of the surprise seasons in the Colonial Conference. The Huskies just got finished winning three straight barn burners on the road to move to 12-1 – three games ahead of tonight's opponent Delaware. I tried to step in front of Northeastern in its last game at William & Mary – one of the better situational plays I've come across over the last few weeks. Things were going according to plan as W&M (+2.5) was up seven points with five minutes to go. But Northeastern rallied back, tied the game, took the lead, and won by four points, holding the home team to a single bucket the final five minutes of game. It was a frustrating loss and yet another "clutch" performance by Northeastern.
According to Ken Pomeroy, there are seven teams in the Colonial that are ranked anywhere from 133rd to 195th. Meaning, in theory, there isn't much difference between Drexel at 6-6 and Northeastern at 12-1. Case in point, in the two meetings this year, the Huskies won in overtime on the road and by seven at home over the Dragons. It was two of a litany of competitive games
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Tags:
College Basketball
Northeastern Huskies
Delaware Blue Hens
Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Handicapping: Miami's Jim Larranaga uses stats, covers numbers
02.13.2013 11:32 AM
Printer Friendly
Interesting article on
Miami head coach Jim Larranaga
and is fondness of Ken Pomeroy's statistics. Note that dating back to his last year at George Mason, Larranaga's teams are an amazing 53-26 against the spread.
"Honestly, I never think about it," Larranaga answered. "The only rankings that are important to me are the rankings of the KenPom.com stats in all of the categories that determine success or failure."
"The first thing I needed them to know is where they needed to improve, and those numbers showed them because they are totally objective numbers," Larranaga said. "You can't argue with them. They show you what you need to work on. And, as a coach, if you don't know what you need to work on, then you're just practicing ... stuff. Yes, I want to practice what we're good at. But what I really want to practice is what we have to improve on to be really good, and I want my players to understand why we're doing it."
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College Basketball
Miami Hurricanes
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Sports Betting Podcast 2-13-2013 with Handicappers Brent Crow, Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning
02.13.2013 10:27 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow, Teddy Covers, and Erin Rynning. Brent and Teddy broke the college hoops card while ER tackled the NBA.
Today's segments
Full Show
Brent Crow - College Basketball
Teddy Covers - College Basketball
Erin Rynning - NBA
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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College Basketball
NBA
Brent Crow
Teddy Covers
Erin Rynning
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College Basketball Gambling: Duke a double-digit favorite over North Carolina
02.13.2013 07:06 AM
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North Carolina
at
Duke
-10.5 O/U 152
Duke and North Carolina hook up for the first time this season in Durham. It's been a balanced series of late with the Blue Devils holding a slight edge both SU (6-5) and ATS (6-5). Home court hasn't meant much with the road side winning six of 10 outright (one game was on a neutral floor in the ACC Tournament). Seven of the last 11 meetings have gone UNDER the total.
Duke-North Carolina Betting History 2008-12
Year
Venue
Score
SU
ATS
Total
2012
Durham
UNC 88, DUKE 70
UNC
UNC -2
Over 155
2012
Chapel Hill
DUKE 84, UNC 84
Duke
Duke +6
Over 155
2011
Neutral
DUKE 75, UNC 58
Duke
Duke -4.5
Under 147
2011
Chapel Hill
UNC 81, DUKE 67
UNC
UNC -1.5
Under 150.5
2011
Durham
DUKE 79, UNC 73
Duke
UNC +10.5
Under 156.5
2010
Durham
DUKE 82, UNC 50
Duke
Duke -15
Under 145.5
2010
Chapel Hill
DUKE 64, UNC 54
Duke
Duke -5.5
Under 155.5
2009
Chapel Hill
UNC 79, DUKE 71
UNC
Duke +8.5
Under 165.5
2009
Durham
UNC 101, DUKE 87
UNC
UNC -2
Over 154.5
2008
Durham
UNC 76, DUKE 68
UNC
UNC +1.5
Under 169.5
2008
Chapel Hill
DUKE 89, UNC 78
Duke
Duke +4.5
Over 164
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Duke Blue Devils
North Carolina Tar Heels
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College Basketball Handicapping: Can Notre Dame get up for DePaul?
02.13.2013 06:00 AM
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Depaul
at
Notre Dame
-11.5
Bus trips, fatigue, hangovers, letdowns...they are all tricky aspects of a lot of handicaps this time of year. For every one that plays out as expected – Team A off a big win over rival but falls flat next time out as road chalk – there is another that doesn't – Team B off three road games in five nights, the last of which in two overtimes, rolls to an easy win and cover. For tonight, a lot of folks are going to question whether or not Notre Dame can
bounce back
from Saturday's five overtime circus win over Louisville. DePaul isn't a very good team (1-9 vs. Big East) but the Blue Demons have at times been competitive (three Big East losses by 1/OT). The Irish meanwhile don't have a big track record of winning by margin against conference foes. Way back on January
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish
DePaul Blue Demons
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College Basketball Gambling Free Play: Indiana State Sycamores at Missouri State Bears
02.12.2013 11:07 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Indiana State
-4.5 at
Missouri State
Recommendation: Indiana State
When these two teams met in Terre Haute last month, Indiana State’s defense positively stifled Missouri State’s limited offense after halftime, outscoring the Bears by a dozen in the second half of a comfortable eight point win. There’s no reason to expect anything significantly different tonight.
The Bears can’t find the bottom of the basket. They shot just 16-51 from the floor in a 29 point loss at Wichita State over the weekend after being held to 37 points at Northern Iowa in their previous game, another double digit defeat thanks to their 15-55 shooting effort.
Don’t expect home cookin’ to change Missouri State’s offensive acumen in any dramatic way – they’ve shot under 40% at home for the entire season. Leading scorer and assist man Anthony Downing hits less than 40% of
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Indiana State Sycamores
Missouri State Bears
Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 2-12-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P, Brent Crow, and Alf Musketa
02.12.2013 09:32 AM
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Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P, Brent Crow, and Alf Musketa. Sam talked NHL, Brent discussed college hoops and Alf broke down all six NBA games for tonight.
Today's segments
Full Show
Sammy P - NHL
Brent Crow - College Basketball
Alf Musketa - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory
Tags:
NHL
College Basketball
NBA
Sammy P
Brent Crow
Alf Musketa
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College Basketball Gambling: Long trips and a short turnaround for Valpo
02.12.2013 07:56 AM
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Valparaiso
at
Wright State
pk
Big matchup in the Horizon League tonight as Valparaiso (9-2) heads to Wright State (8-4). Valpo didn't get home from its trip to Cleveland State until
late Saturday night
and left via bus for Dayton on Monday morning.
“We got guys with some injuries that were on the bus for 10 hours two days ago and then almost four and a half hours today,” Drew said. “That’s almost 15 hours. I think travel catches up with you at some point. When that point is, you never know."
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College Basketball
Valparaiso Crusaders
Wright State Raiders
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College Basketball Betting Trends: Kentucky is 7-2 ATS as an underdog under Calipari
02.12.2013 07:19 AM
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Kentucky
at
Florida
-10 O/U 133.5
Kentucky finds itself a double-digit underdog for tonight's game at Florida – the most points the Wildcats have ever been catching while under John Calipari's watch. Calipari is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS as an underdog dating back to the 2009-10 season.
Kentucky as an underdog under John Calipari
Year
Opponent
Score
Kentucky SU
Kentucky ATS
2013
at Ole Miss
87-74
Win
Win +2.5
2013
at Louisville
77-80
Loss
Win +7
2013
at Notre Dame
50-64
Loss
Loss +1.5
2013
vs. Duke
68-75
Loss
Loss +4.5
2011
vs. Ohio State
62-60
Win
Win +5.5
2011
vs. Florida
70-54
Win
Win +1.5
2011
at Louisville
78-63
Win
Win +3
2011
vs. Washington
74-67
Win
Win +3.5
2010
vs. UConn
64-61
Win
Win +1
Results
6-3 SU
7-2 ATS
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Kentucky Wildcats
Florida Gators
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College Basketball Handicapping: Is it smart to foul up three?
02.12.2013 07:06 AM
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As a basketball bettor, rarely a week goes by where the issue of whether or not to foul up three comes into question. We've all been there – and certainly remember the times when the team that you wagered on did the opposite of what was needed to cover.
Ken Pomeroy
ran his numbers and ultimately felt that fouling up three was the WRONG decision.
The fact is, chances of losing are close to remote in either case, but execution errors, an inflated offensive rebounding percentage, poor three-point shooting, and the chance of an extra possession are enough to counteract what might otherwise be the advantage of forcing a team to shoot free throws. In cases where the opponent has multiple good three-point shooters and you have confidence in rebounding a missed free throw, fouling may be the better option. But it appears the default decision should be to not foul.
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College Basketball
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Page 23 of 137
"College Basketball'"
June
19
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