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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings 1-32

09.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The NFL regular season starts on Thursday.  Here’s how I have the 32 teams ranked heading into the campaign, with a quick blurb each squad.

1. New England Patriots - With Tom Brady set to open the season as the starting quarterback, the defending champs are the team to beat, worthy of my #1 ranking heading into the regular season.

2. Seattle Seahawks - Seattle enjoyed the best yards-per-rush differential between offense and defense last year, but they’ve got significant offensive line question marks as they head to St Louis for Week 1.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers passing game was second to none in the NFL last year, but the loss of Jordy Nelson leaves Aaron Rodgers without his top target for the entire season.

4. Indianapolis Colts - Most elite contenders face a tougher than average schedule because they’ve got to face other contending teams.  Indy, however, plays only four games against playoff teams from last year.

5. Denver Broncos - Peyton Manning is the oldest starting quarterback in the NFL by a wide margin, and he’s coming off a season where his arm strength noticeably declined down the Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: Texas Longhorns at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.04.2015     10:14 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Texas at Notre Dame
Saturday, 4:30 pm - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -8.5 O/U 54.5
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -9 O/U 49
Recommendation: Under

The theme of the entire offseason for Texas was the adoption of a new "up-tempo" system. This after the Longhorns averaged 337.3 ypg of total offense in 2014. It's a logical choice considering the current climate of college football and the Big XII in particular but not every move to up-tempo yields instant results like what we witnessed with TCU. Initial reports suggest that the Longhorns aren't really changing the playbook but rather attempting to play at a faster pace. Either way, expect some early season growing pains. And it's not just the offense you worry about. Typically when teams decide more plays and possessions is the route to go, the defense tends to suffer. And defense was the sole reason why Texas was halfway competitive last season.

It was a tale of two seasons for Notre Dame's defense last season. Aided by health, depth, and a favorable slate in terms of opponents' offensive potency, the Irish had the look of a top 10 unit. But Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Notre Dame Fighting Irish OTTO Sports

College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

09.04.2015     07:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Wisconsin vs. Alabama (at Dallas)
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -9.5 O/U 52.5
CRIS Current: Alabama -12 O/U 49
Recommendation: Under

Wisconsin has gone through a major transformation since the last time the Badgers took the field; an overtime win against Auburn in the Outback Bowl.  Head coach Gary Anderson left Madison for Corvallis, leaving the program in the hands of Paul Chryst, who went 19-20 in three years as the head coach at Pitt.  Chryst has brought in a new offensive coordinator, Joe Rudolph.

A new coach and a new offense is only one piece of the puzzle for the Badgers.  Yes, Wisconsin returns senior quarterback Joel Stave, but Stave is a game manager on a good day, a long way from being an elite level QB.  Last year, he completed only 110 passes, throwing more interceptions than touchdowns.  Wisconsin’s receiving corps isn’t littered with playmakers, and they’ve got a big void to fill at running back, with Melvin Gordon going in the first round of the NFL draft.

But the biggest problem for Wisconsin heading into this Read more

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Teddy Covers

NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets

09.03.2015     10:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Philadelphia -5 at NY Jets O/U 44.5
Recommendation: Philadelphia

It’s not hard to make a case for the Eagles in any preseason game.  After all, Philly is 3-0 SU and ATS in the preseason this year, scoring 36 or more points in every game.  Last year, they scored 28+ in every game as well, a consistent offensive juggernaut here in August.   They beat the Jets 37-7 in their preseason finale last year, hanging 568 yards of offense in the process.  And there’s ample reason to expect a similar result tonight.

Let’s start with the fact that the Jets are likely to be a no-show this evening.  First year head coach Todd Bowles isn’t expected to play starters, and his second and third teamers will be playing special teams as well as trying to keep up with Philly’s fast pace:  Bowles:  "It’s going to be tough because they have to play special teams as well as play their position.  So there’s going to be a lot of heavy breathing, but you have to focus in on your assignment and...I want to see if these guys can play."

The Jets have won each of their Read more

Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles New York Jets Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: Louisville Cardinals vs. Auburn Tigers

09.03.2015     08:07 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Louisville vs. Auburn (at Atlanta)
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Auburn -10.5 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Auburn -10.5 O/U 56
Recommendation: Under

The Louisville Cardinals and the Auburn Tigers will meet on Saturday in one of the marquee Week 1 matchups.  Both teams will not have to travel far in this neutral site ACC vs. SEC matchup, in fact Auburn playing as the double-digit favorite will only have to make the short 110 mile trip up I-85.  Louisville will attempt to pull off the upset led by its stingy defense that gave up 21.8 points per game and less than 3.3 yards per rush attempt in 2014. The Louisville critics point out that they are only returning four defensive starters, however all four are part of the front seven and three transfers including former Big XII Defensive POY Devonte Fields will make an immediate impact. Both teams have two of the most respected defensive coordinators in the country in Will Muschamp and Todd Grantham. With the addition of Fields and Carl Lawson for Auburn, the talent level rises exponentially on the defensive side of the ball as these are two Read more

Tags: College Football Louisville Cardinals ACC Auburn Tigers SEC Drew Martin

College Football Betting Podcast 9-2-2015: SEC East and Big Ten West Previews

09.02.2015     10:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning. Brent, ER, and host Andrew Lange previewed the SEC East and Big Ten West divisions.

Today's segments
Brent Crow - SEC East Preview

Erin Rynning - Big Ten West Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Big Ten SEC Brent Crow Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

College Football Betting Preview: BYU Cougars at Nebraska Cornhuskers

09.02.2015     07:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
BYU at Nebraska
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Nebraska -6 O/U 65
CRIS Current: Nebraska -7 O/U 63
Recommendation: BYU

A lot of mystery with this matchup as both BYU and Nebraska have suspended multiple players yet neither school, as of Wednesday, has revealed who exactly they are. Reports indicate the Cougars could be without one of their top pass rushers and starting center but again, nothing has been made official.

As for the game, the main storyline is Nebraska's coaching turnover. Despite only one winning regular season since 2010, former Oregon State coach Mike Riley was hired to replace Bo Pelini who won nine or 10 games in all seven seasons in Lincoln. Riley brought win him both OC Danny Langsford and DC Mark Banker. Riley's a good coach and didn't have the resources in Corvallis Pelini was afforded. However I have questions whether or not Riley can get Nebraska to the "next level." I tend to downgrade teams following such mass offseason changes, especially to start the season. Personnel and talent-wise, the Cornhuskers (15 returning starters) appear to be on Read more

Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Andrew Lange

College Football Betting Preview: Virginia Cavaliers at UCLA Bruins

09.02.2015     07:15 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Virginia at UCLA
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
UCLA -17 O/U 54
CRIS Current: UCLA -19.5 O/U 53
Recommendation: Over

Back end of this home-and-home series comes with very high expectations for one side and for the other, a head coach immediately on the hot seat. Last season’s game in Charlottesville saw UCLA close as a large -18.5 road favorites and struggled mightily to escape with a 28-20 win. In that game, Virginia trailed 21-10 at the half but was able to make some solid defensive adjustments and their experienced pass rushers swarmed Brett Hundley en-route to a five sack afternoon. The Cavaliers actually outgained UCLA in that contest 386-358 and held the Bruins to 4.9 yards per play which was their second lowest output of the 2014 campaign (only defensively stout Stanford held them to less). So the question is, can Virginia repeat that performance and cash another ticket? The pointspread for Saturday’s game is very similar but there are some significant fundamental differences this time around so let’s take a look.

First up is the Bruins’ shift at QB Read more

Tags: College Football Virginia Cavaliers ACC UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Rob Veno

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverins at Utah Utes

09.02.2015     07:04 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Michigan at Utah
Thursday, 5:30 pm PT - FS-1
CRIS Opener:
Utah -4.5 O/U 46.5
CRIS Current: Utah -5 O/U 46.5
Recommendation: Under

I stated on the Sportsmemo Podcast PAC-12 South preview that Utah would trend under the total this season and I’m ready to test that theory right out of the gate in their season opener as they host the Michigan Wolverines on Thursday night. First-year Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh is staying silent about who his starting quarterback will be; either last year’s starter Shane Morris or incoming Iowa transfer Jake Rudock. They of course will be dealing with a brand new coaching staff and specifically offense under new OC Tim Drevno. Shane Morris had subpar stats as the Michigan starter last season completing 49% of his passes without a single TD along with 5 INTs while 5th year senior Iowa transfer Jake Rudock displayed some solid play at Iowa but will have to adjust to a new team and offensive system.

Regardless of who gets the nod, they’ll be going up against a very stout Utah Utes defense. Despite losing a great DC in Kalani Sitake who took his Read more

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Utah Utes PAC-12 Ian Cameron

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan State Spartans at Western Michigan Broncos

09.01.2015     10:28 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Michigan State at Western Michigan
Friday, 4 pm PT - ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -18.5 O/U 60
CRIS Current: Michigan State -18 O/U 58.5
Recommendation: Western Michigan

On Friday Western Michigan hosts in-state "Big Brother" Michigan State in Kalamazoo. The Broncos are coming off an 8-5 SU campaign that saw head coach P.J. Fleck's kids cover 10 of 13 contests against the number while the Spartans are looking to improve on their 11-2 finish from 2014 by hopefully unseating Ohio State for the Big Ten title and secure a berth in this year's College Football Playoff.

Western Michigan brings back a ton of offensive talent with QB Zach Terrell (3,443 yards, 16 TDs) and RB Jarvion Franklin (1,551 yards, 24 TDs) leading the way. The Broncos also return their top three pass targets in Corey Davis, Kendrick Roberts and Daniel Braverman. This unit will be tested by Michigan State's strong defense, which returns six starters now after LB Ed Harris will miss the season with an ankle injury. We'll get to see how this defense plays without the leadership of former defensive coordinator Pat Read more

Tags: College Football Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Western Michigan Broncos MAC Alex B. Smith


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