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Sports Betting Podcast 10-24-2012 with Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning
10.24.2012 10:14 AM
Printer Friendly
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning. Brent talked SEC football and Erin broke down the Big Ten.
Today's segments
Full Show
Brent Crow - SEC Conference
Erin Rynning - Big Ten Conference
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
College Football
Brent Crow
Erin Rynning
SEC
Big Ten
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College Football Gambling: Penn State has been a great first quarter bet
10.24.2012 07:35 AM
Printer Friendly
Ohio State
at
Penn State
pk O/U 50.5
Good article on
Penn State's fast starts
. The Nittany Lions have outscored their opponents 66-0 in the first quarter thanks in part to their up-tempo offense. On the flip side, Ohio State has been very sluggish out of the gates. Last week the Buckeyes trailed Purdue 13-7 and also fell behind to Nebraska (14-7) and UAB (6-0) before rallying back. OSU has been outscored 56-51 in the first quarter. Perhaps a trend to consider if you play at a sportsbook that offers first quarter lines.
“We’re just getting more and more comfortable with it each week. I couldn’t even tell you the amount of plays we have in there,” McGloin said. “Everybody knows the plays, everybody knows the formations and that’s just what we do throughout the week. It’s not just
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Tags:
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Ohio State Buckeyes
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Handicapper Alf Musketa's NFL and NCAAF Line Moves Report 10/23/2012
10.23.2012 08:24 AM
Alf Musketa
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alf Musketa
Clemson at Wake Forest
Clemson opened -14 now -12.5
Clemson made short work of Virginia Tech last week winning 38-17 and for some reason they were bet down from -9 to -7 – it seems that the sharp handicappers are wagering against the Tigers again here due to the home team advantages and I'll explain why. First, Thursday night home games are usually sold out; students do not miss this game on campus. I cannot recall when or if Wake Forest had a Thursday night contest, regardless, the work week after a Saturday game to prepare for a Thursday night game is basically two days, if you travel you might only get one good practice. Clemson is giving up 32 points per game so far in the ACC, while Wake Forest is not a high scoring team, they should put up some good numbers. I agree with the move.
Duke at Florida State
Florida State opened -25, now -27.5, -28
Not a huge move but a predictable one and going higher. Duke just became bowl eligible with a big win against arch rival North Carolina. The market players surely got a piece of this game. With Florida State, Clemson, Georgia Tech and Miami
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Alf Musketa
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NBA Regular Season Over/Under Win Recommendation - Philadelphia 76ers
10.19.2012 12:59 PM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
Philadelphia 76ers
Recommendation: Under
Pinnacle: 46.5un-120
5Dimes: 47.5un-125
CRIS: 46
Greek: 47
The 76ers were great to us during the 2010-11 season, which coincided with the hiring of head coach Doug Collins. We banked massive profits after their troubling 3-13 SU start – they finished 41-41 and were an ATS machine. Last year, in the lockout shortened season, it looked like Philadelphia was the same hard-trying team with solid chemistry as they jumped out to an 18-7 start. However, this was clearly a mirage as they finished the regular season on a 17-24 run, and the goodwill Collins created clearly had left the building. They did rally to beat the Chicago Bulls in the first round of the playoffs, but there’s no way that happens with a healthy Derrick Rose on the floor.
The truth of the matter is Collins largely lost this team back in February. He has a track record of coming in and getting young players to “buy in” before he eventually tears everyone around him down to the point of no return. In this era and with today’s player it can happen
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Philadelphia 76ers
Erin Rynning
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NFL Handicapping: Bye teams and improving defenses
10.19.2012 10:18 AM
Otto Sports
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Submitted by Otto Sports
History suggests that extremely poor defenses, those giving up at least 27 points per game, tend to have a big hump up effort the game following a bye week. With the mandated extra rest the latest collective bargaining agreement put in I was skeptical that the trend would hold true this season. After all, the teams would not actually be grinding away the whole two weeks any longer. But it seems after the first couple of weeks of applying this profile to 2012 teams that it’s still showing its typical output.
The data shows a very solid trend for teams allowing at least 27 points per game for the season; those teams have allowed just 21.2 ppg on average in their game directly after the bye week. That’s a full touchdown better than season to date averages, a significant improvement and something you’re likely to be able to take advantage of in the market whether betting team totals or game totals.
There were two instances where this profile was in play last week with Oakland and Detroit. Both teams delivered inspired defensive efforts in holding Atlanta and Philly respectively to 23 points apiece. Two teams fit the bill this week and both will have
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Marty Otto
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College Football Gambling Preview: Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines
10.19.2012 08:04 AM
ICC
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Submitted by ICC
Michigan State
at
Michigan
Ian Cameron's Recommendation:
Michigan State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - Big Ten
CRIS Opener:
Michigan -11.5 O/U 45
CRIS Current:
Michigan -9.5 O/U 43
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Michigan -10.5
Michigan State enters its annual rivalry game with Michigan having stumbled a bit of late. They needed to rally from an early deficit to beat defensively challenged Indiana, 31-27, and lost outright at home in OT to Iowa, 19-16, as 8.5-point chalk. Obviously, that loss didn’t sit well with Sparty and I’d expect them to bounce back with a strong, motivated effort against a rival they’ve dominated in recent years. Michigan State is 4-0 SU and ATS since 2008 against Michigan, winning by margins of 35-21, 26-20, 34-17 and 28-14. The question now becomes has MSU’s struggles in 2012 been so profound that they should be nearly double-digit underdogs in this
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Ian Cameron
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NFL Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers
10.18.2012 12:20 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Dallas
at
Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Under
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Dallas -2 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current:
Dallas -2 O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Ratings:
Carolina -3
Since their blowout win over the Giants on the opening night of the season, the Cowboys are 1-3 SU, their lone victory coming in non-covering fashion at home against Tampa Bay. Dallas’ weaknesses during this slump have been on full display. DeMarcus Ware has six sacks, but the rest of the team has combined for only four – opposing QBs have time to throw without a strong Cowboys pass rush. And DC Rob Ryan’s insistence on using aggressive blitzing tactics in third-and-long situations has burned them repeatedly; unable to get off the field on third downs. With top draft choice CB Morris Claiborne questionable with an ankle injury, that may be a continuing problem again this week.
Tony Romo
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Carolina Panthers
Teddy Covers
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College Football Handicapping: Michigan State hopes to hold down Robinson again
10.18.2012 08:05 AM
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Michigan State
at
Michigan
-10 O/U 43
Michigan State heads into Saturday rivalry game against Michigan as a double-digit underdog. The Spartans have won and covered four straight in the series and have done a
good job
at keeping UM quarterback Denard Robinson in check. Last year, MSU held Robinson to 9-of-24 for 123 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. On the ground, Robinson carried the ball 18 times for a modest 42 yards. In 2010, Robinson threw for 215 yards and ran for 86 yards but the Spartans forced three interceptions.
“You always like to see what people have done and see if it’s worked,” Hoke said. “If it’s worked, then you want to find some ways
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College Football Gambling: Penn State's McGloin tells bettors to play OVER
10.17.2012 02:02 PM
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Penn State
at
Iowa
3 O/U 42
Are you ready for Baylor-West Virginia Part II? According to
Penn State quarterback Matt McGloin
, it'll be taking place this Saturday in Iowa City.
"It will not be a low-scoring game," McGloin said Wednesday.
"We're confident in our offense and our ability to put up points, and Iowa has an experienced quarterback and should be able to put up some points. I don't think it will be low-scoring, because everybody is juiced up and ready to go."
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College Foobtall Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 7
10.17.2012 08:04 AM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
The SEC game of the year to date was no letdown, as LSU handed South Carolina its first loss of the year, 23-21. The game was not as close as the final score, with LSU dominating the line of scrimmage the entire game and outgaining the Gamecocks, 406-211. LSU basically gave South Carolina two touchdowns, one after a long interception return and their last one with two minutes left after LSU had taken a nine-point lead. LSU was also forced to attempt four field goals after long drives, making three. Both teams now have tough road games with LSU going to Texas A&M and South Carolina heading to the Swamp to face Florida.
Florida had a tough road win at Vanderbilt last week, getting the pointspread cover when quarterback Jeff Driskel broke a 70-yard touchdown run with 2:20 remaining. Vanderbilt put up 363 yards against the Florida defense, but could not stop the Gator running game, allowing 326 yards rushing on the night.
Texas A&M also had a road win, but its defensive effort was not up to SEC standards. The Aggies jumped out to a 34-7 lead in the second quarter, but allowed Louisiana Tech to come roaring back before holding on for a 59-57 win. A&M had
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Brent Crow
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