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September

30

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason impacts Season Over/Under Win Totals

08.31.2015     08:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
At this late stage of the preseason, it’s very clear which NFL teams are attracting sharp money prior to the start of the regular season.  In addition, it’s very clear which teams the wiseguys are betting against, early and often.  How do we measure and quantify this support (or the lack thereof)?  Simple – a thorough analysis of the Season Win Totals marketplace.

The markets don’t lie when it comes to measuring wiseguy support, because the results are easy to quantify.  For the purposes of this article, I’m going to focus on the Season Win Total numbers from the Westgate Superbook, where the Supercontest Weekend just brought together bettors from across the Las Vegas Valley as well as across the country.

Rather than use opening numbers from the Superbook, I think the more accurate way to measure the effect of the preseason is to look at post-draft numbers from early June.  When we compare those early June numbers with the bettable numbers that are on display on the last day of August (following the first three weeks of preseason action), we get a fairly accurate picture of market support.

The Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys

08.29.2015     08:10 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota +1 at Dallas O/U 41.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


The Minnesota Vikings have been very dominant in the preseason under second-year head coach Mike Zimmer with near flawless marks of 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. In watching this team it is very clear that Zimmer's attention to detail has rubbed off on his players all the way down to the third and fourth strings. It's a big reason why they've been so successful in these "meaningless" games. Tonight will mark their first true road game this preseason against the injury bitten Dallas Cowboys who return home after back-to-back road games. Defensive back Orlando Scandrick (ACL) is the latest casualty in a long list of key injuries. At this point, the squad can ill-afford another loss. You could see there was little to no interest in competing hard for 60 minutes the first two weeks as Dallas was outscored a combined 40-13. Reports indicate that more focus and effort will be placed on tonight's "dress rehearsal" but I just don't trust this squad will perform for an entire game. We've seen nothing but Minnesota money but still some value at the small underdog price.

Read more



Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Dallas Cowboys




Meet the world's best card counter

08.27.2015     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cool article on a gentleman billed as the world's best card counter.


“If I’m gonna play, the first thing I do is grow my beard,” he says. “Then I dye it. Then I add earrings. Then a hat.” Once he put his arm in a sling and pretended to be one-armed. “Halloween is the greatest,” he says, estimating that he’s made $300,000 on the holiday where identities are fully obscured.

“The casinos are very hip to that. You have to camouflage a big play in various ways,” says Blaine. “Most card counters play consistent, predictable, they’re like robots. I try to use instincts when I sense I’m being watched. I hit them big, get out of there, and they just think I got lucky.”











College Football Betting Update: Kansas married to up-tempo attack

08.27.2015     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Update on Kansas' rebuilding project. Yesterday the Jayhawks named Montell Cozart the team's starting quarterback. Cozart completed only 50% of his passes with a 5-to-7 TD-to-INT ratio last season. And it sounds as if head coach David Beaty is fully committed to running his up-tempo offense from the get-go. Beaty says they won't try to shorten the game despite being at a significant disadvantage both talent and depth wise.


“We won’t shorten the game,” Beaty says. “That’s not how we play the game. We’re going to continue to stay who we are because that’s how we practice every day.”







College Football Betting: Kansas Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII




College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin o-line is in shambles

08.27.2015     06:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Early season injuries for power conference teams aren't always a factor when you're laying three touchdowns against a Sun Belt school. But what happens when you face one of the top teams in the country? Wisconsin's offensive line is currently in disarray with as many as four players on the team's injury list. They are talking about having to start three freshmen. The Badgers are +10 underdogs to Alabama for Week 1's game in Arlington.


“I can’t remember (having so many guys hurt in camp), but it’s the camp at hand,” said Badgers offensive coordinator and line coach Joe Rudolph, according to Madison.com. “That’s all right, just keep going. It’s neat seeing guys jump into different spots and make it work. No one’s alarmed when their name gets called, that’s for sure.”






Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Alabama Crimson Tide SEC




Sports Betting Podcast 8-25-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Alex B. Smith and Rob Veno

08.25.2015     09:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Alex B. Smith and Rob Veno. Our newest handicapper, Alex, previewed the Big Ten East division while Rob talked MLB.

Today's segments
Alex B. Smith - Big Ten East Preview

Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football MLB Big Ten Alex B. Smith Rob Veno Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Recap

08.24.2015     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In the NFL Preseason, when coaches almost never play for a late game tie to force overtime, there’s an enormous difference between laying -1 and -2.5.  Games decided by final margins or 1 or 2 points are relatively rare once September rolls around.  In August, they are commonplace.   Three games were decided by a single point this past weekend, in Week 2 of the preseason, with the Bills beating the Browns 11-10, the Chiefs beating the Seahawks 14-13 and the Panthers beating the Dolphins 31-30.

Both Kansas City-Seattle and Carolina-Miami produced a win, loss or push based on betting skills, not handicapping skills, with lines on both games moving up throughout the course of the week.   In addition, the Patriots pulled off the comeback of the weekend to beat New Orleans 26-24, a two point margin.  Meanwhile, there was only one game finishing with a final margin of three points; the Chargers 22-19 win at Arizona. 

It was a similar story in Week 1, with more games finishing with 1 or 2 point final margins than games that were decided by exactly three points.   With two more weeks of these meaningless Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Penn State looks to shore up offensive line

08.19.2015     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The fact that Penn State won seven games last season is somewhat of a miracle considering how poor the team's offensive line play was. Between their inability to protect the quarterback and run the football, the Nittany Lions had one of the worst power conference offenses in the country. As a result, shoring up the o-line has been a top priority during fall camp.

Penn State by the numbers (Overall)
101.92 ypg rushing - 120th nationally
2.94 yards per carry - 125th nationally
44 sacks allowed - 124th nationally

Penn State by the numbers (vs. Big Ten)
74.8 ypg rushing - 14th Big Ten
2.21 yards per carry - 14th Big Ten
35 sacks allowed - 14th Big Ten


“Obviously, it was a very frustrating season,” sophomore tackle Andrew Nelson. “You put in a bunch of time, and you want to perform at the highest level possible. And I don't think any of us are gonna use the excuse that we were a young and inexperienced offensive line. We wanted to perform at a

Read more



Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten




College Football Betting: Northern Illinois poised for another big season in the MAC

08.17.2015     08:28 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northern Illinois Huskies (2014 Record:11-3 SU, 6-7 ATS)
5Dimes Season O/U Win Total: 8.5u-165
Head Coach: Rod Carey

The Turn of the Century has brought a world of change to DeKalb as the Huskies of Northern Illinois have spent most of the last decade as a power in the Mid-American Conference. The Huskies pulled off another double-digit winning season in 2014, going 11-3 and winning the MAC title as they crushed Bowling Green 51-17 in a mega revenge spot after their disappointing 47-27 loss to the Falcons in Detroit back in 2013. Head coach Rod Carey returns for his third season in DeKalb and will have a mix of key starters returning, solid depth players, and several key recruits coming in to solidify the future.

Quarterback Drew Hare beat out two other quality arms to win the starting job last season, and Hare will return to helm an offense that averaged 31 points and 441 yards per game. With running back Cameron Stingly now running over tacklers as a member of the Pittsburgh Steelers, the leading returning rusher for NIU is Hare, who put up 900 yards on the ground. Juniors Joel Bouganon and Keith Read more



Tags: College Football Northern Illinois Huskies MAC Alex B. Smith




College Football Handicapping: Rutgers on its sixth OC in as many seasons

08.17.2015     06:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Ralph Friedgen stepping down, Rutgers will go with its sixth different offensive coordinator in as many seasons. Former wide receiver coach Ben McDaniels will run an offense that ranked seventh in the Big Ten in total offense last season (390 ypg). The Scarlet Knights must replace quarterback Gary Nove who quietly finished third in the Big Ten in QB Rating (145.3). McDaniels says the team will continue to utilize a "pro-style" attack with "multiple tempos."


"I think one of those pieces that is a part of that (pro-style offense) is playing in multiple tempos, so we absolutely intend on playing in multiple tempos," McDaniels said Sunday at Rutgers media day. "It benefits you. It challenges the defense to have to be ready for that. So not dissimilar to a lot of places, we'll have multiple tempos we'll try and play at."






Tags: College Football Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten



24

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September

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 30, 2016 01:18 AM.