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March

28

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College Football Handicapping: Markets push Illinois into historically bad spot

11.06.2015     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We need to talk about the Illinois-Purdue pointspread for a minute. To start, the game opened a pick 'em with the Illini taking most of the early money with the line trickling up to -2. The move was understandable as the Illini have the more attractive statistical profile (-0.76 ypp vs. Big Ten) compared to the Boilermakers (-1.57 ypp). But yesterday’s -2 turned quickly into -5 putting Illinos in some rarified air. They've been favored in 10 Big Ten games since 2011 only twice since 2013 and both of which were against Purdue. Their track record in that profile is nothing short of horrific. Check out the results...

2014
-10 vs. Purdue - SU Loss, ATS Loss

2013
-6.5 at Purdue - SU Win, ATS Loss

2012
-2 vs. Indiana - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-3 vs. Penn State - SU Loss, ATS Loss

2011
-9.5 vs. Northwestern - SU Win, ATS Loss
-14 at Indiana - SU Win, ATS Win
-3.5 vs. Ohio State - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-3 at Purdue - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-1 vs. Michigan - SU Loss, ATS Loss
-10 at Minnesota - SU Loss, ATS Loss

All Read more



Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers BigTen




College Football Betting Preview: Michigan State Spartans at Nebraska Cornhuskers

11.03.2015     10:51 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan State at Nebraska
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -4.5 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Michigan State -5 O/U 58
Recommendation: Michigan State

Quiet as a mouse and undefeated Michigan State heads to Lincoln off of a bye week. Following an 0-6 ATS start, the Spartans have covered two straight. After posting nearly a yard-and-a-half advantage over their opponents a year ago, Sparty is a very modest +0.31 this season which is certainly reflective in their pointspread failures.

Meanwhile, Nebraska's disastrous season continues after an embarrassing 55-45 loss to Purdue which dropped their record to 3-6 on the season and 1-4 in conference play. Junior backup quarterback Ryker Fife started over the injured Tommy Armstrong Jr. and went 29-of-48 for 407 yards and 4 TDs, but also had 4 interceptions. While five of their losses have come by a total of 13 points, the Huskers are a team that can't seem to get out of their own way. Case in point, Nebraska has actually outgained the opposition this season but penalties (104th nationally) and turnovers (-8 margin, 113th nationally) Read more



Tags: College Football Michigan State Spartans Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Alex B. Smith




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing bye-less College Football teams

11.02.2015     10:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seventeen college football teams enter November without having had a single bye week since the start of the season and without a bye this coming week.  Those teams are Arizona, Ball State, Boston College, Colorado, UConn, Eastern Michigan, Florida International, Hawaii, Louisiana Tech, Miami-Ohio, Ole Miss, Nebraska, Penn State, Texas Tech, Western Kentucky, Wisconsin and Wyoming.  Two more teams, North Texas and UMass, haven’t had byes since Week 1; teams that started their seasons a week late, but haven’t had a break since.  Is there anything unique or different about these non-bye squads?  Read on to find out.

Five of the 17 teams listed above don’t have any bye weeks at all.  Florida International, Miami-Ohio, Hawaii (with their 13 game schedule!), Arizona and Colorado will finish the season without a break.  Note that none of those five are going to play in a conference championship game, and only two (Arizona and FIU) have any realistic shot to make a bowl game.  Bye-less teams don’t tend to be very successful.  Most importantly for our purposes, they also don’t tend to cover many pointspreads Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Football Handicapping: Nebraska goes with former walk-on quarterback vs. Purdue

10.30.2015     06:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska Cornhusker quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. (turf toe) will miss Saturday's game at Purdue. That means former walk-on Ryker Fyfe will be under center. Fyfe, a junior, has attempted only 18 career passes. In six games against FBS competition, the Boilermakers have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 69% of their passes which ranks 124th nationally. Nebraska opened -11 but is currently -7.5 across the board. The total was bet down from 56 to 54.


"He is not held back," Riley said. "He has run all these plays. He was the sole guy this week to take the first-string reps. So the knowledge of everything about what we're doing, he's familiar with.

"I'm excited for him, and I think he'll do very well."






Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten




College Football Handicapping: Minnesota head coach Jerry Kill steps down

10.28.2015     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sad day for the Minnesota football program as head coach Jerry Kill announced his retirement due to health concerns. Associate head coach Tracy Claeys will take over as interim. Under Kill's watch, Minnesota went 32-26 against the spread. This weekend, the Golden Gophers play host to Michigan. The Wolverines, who are off of a bye week (and the wild loss to Michigan State), were bet up from -12.5 to -14. 




Tags: College Football Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Big Ten




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Breaking down the NFL's five unbeatens

10.26.2015     07:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re nearing the halfway point of the NFL season and five teams still remain undefeated; an unusually high number of perfect teams at this stage of the campaign.  There’s not much debate with the betting community about how to rank the five remaining unbeatens.  The New England Patriots are power rated at least a field goal higher than any other team in the league right now.  Behind the Pats come the Green Bay Packers, followed closely by the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Denver Broncos rank #4 on this list; with Peyton Manning’s ongoing struggles carrying more weight than the Broncos elite level defensive stats in the current betting markets.  Last on the list is the Carolina Panthers, still searching for market respect even after their win and cover against the Eagles on Sunday Night Football.

My goal of this week’s Wiseguy Report is to break down these five teams in terms of my probability of them producing a profit over the final ten weeks of the regular season.  Is it possible to make money with ANY of these teams moving forward, or have the betting markets eclipsed any semblance of future value?  Read on to find Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 10-21-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Alex B. Smith and Erin Rynning

10.21.2015     12:12 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Alex B. Smith and Erin Rynning. Alex broke down tonight's four NHL games while host Andrew Lange and ER provided analysis on the Big Ten.

Today's segments
Full Show

Alex B. Smith - NHL Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - Big Ten Report

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NHL College Football Big Ten Alex B. Smith Erin Rynning Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels

10.21.2015     10:00 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas A&M at Ole Miss
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Ole Miss -4 O/U 66
CRIS Current: Ole Miss -6 O/U 66
Recommendation: Texas A&M

Both of these SEC West teams are looking for big bounce back efforts after disappointing results last week. Texas A&M was dominated by Alabama, 41-23, as it allowed running Derrick Henry to carry the rock for 236 yards on 32 rushing attempts for a staggering 7.4 yards per carry. Ole Miss stumbled outside of the conference last week in a 37-24 loss to Memphis with quarterback Chad Kelly throwing two picks in the loss and the defense getting gouged for nearly 500 total yards of offense by the Tigers’ potent offense.

Texas A&M was able to move the football well enough at times against Alabama, particularly through the air (284 yards) but Kyle Allen threw three interceptions despite only two the previous five games. I think the Aggies offense has a solid chance to bounce back against an Ole Miss defense whose defensive numbers (4.48 yards per play allowed) look on par with last season (4.67 ypp) but a closer look shows this unit has taken Read more



Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies Ole Miss Rebels SEC Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

10.20.2015     08:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida State at Georgia Tech
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Florida State -5.5 O/U 56
CRIS Current: Florida State -5.5 O/U 57.5
Recommendation: Florida State

Not a good sign for Georgia Tech as the Yellow Jackets played arguably their most complete game of the season and still found a way to lose last week. Tech racked up 8.76 yards per play and held Pittsburgh to a respectable 5.92 ypp but two turnovers led to a brutal 31-28 late game loss. It marked the fifth straight loss and pointspread failure for the Yellow Jackets as they attempt to turn things around against Florida State on Saturday.

Head coach Paul Johnson cites a lack of confidence as his team's biggest issue. That and being forced to play a number of freshmen. He also tried to use strength of schedule and "being in every game" as a way to soften the heat he's facing. The slate has been challenging but with the exception of last week's game against Pitt, there was nothing fluky about the results as Tech was statistically outplayed against Notre Dame, Duke, North Carolina, and Clemson. Just look at how much Tech was Read more



Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Ohio State Buckeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

10.20.2015     07:29 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State at Rutgers
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -21 O/U NL
CRIS Current: No Line
Recommendation: Ohio State

Top-ranked Ohio State remains undefeated after last Saturday's 38-10 victory over Penn State. The quarterback issues are still looming for the Buckeyes as J.T. Barrett took over for Cardale Jones and gave the offense the spark it needed late to earn the spread covering victory. It's the first pointspread cover for the Buckeyes since their Week 1 triumph at Virginia Tech.

Rutgers rallied back from a 25-point deficit to beat Indiana 55-52. The QB-WR combo of Chris Laviano and Leonte Carroo has been solid, teaming up for 9 TDs, but the status of Carroo remains up in the air after he left last week's contest with an ankle injury. He's listed as questionable but when asked about his status, Carroo stated, "I'll definitely be playing next week.”

The Scarlet Knights might have some trouble in this game due to some key injuries. Along with the aforementioned Carroo, defensive back Blessuan Austin and safeties Davon Jacobs and Kiy Hester all are listed Read more



Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten Alex B. Smith



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 28, 2017 03:07 AM.