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NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Divisional Round

01.09.2014     01:01 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Before getting to the drive point averages and estimated market Power Ratings, I wanted to point something that I haven’t seen mentioned anywhere yet in playoff coverage. Maybe it’s been mentioned…it’s not like I see everything out there. But, I don’t get the sense that much is being made of this reality yet in the NFC brackets.

*The four remaining NFC teams saw a lot of each other this year

*They played nothing but grinders against each other

It wasn't much of a secret during the year that Seattle, San Francisco, Carolina, and New Orleans were the top four teams in the NFC. There was debate about how the last three rated amongst each other. Some computer places fell too much in love with Philadelphia’s penchant for running up the stats against a soft schedule. And, Arizona may have crashed the party in some circles. But, the “big four” were pretty clear, and kept running into each other because the NFC South played the Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Marquette Golden Eagles at Xavier Musketeers

01.09.2014     10:45 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Marquette at Xavier -4 O/U 132
Recommendation: Xavier


The Xavier Musketeers have flown under the radar this season despite a 12-3 SU, 9-4 ATS start. And we know they have owned a very strong home court advantage at the Cintas Center at 11-0 SU, 7-2 ATS. Xavier notched a pair of home wins to open Big East play against St. John’s and Butler winning each of those games by 10 and 11 points respectively. The Musketeers have gotten terrific point guard play from Semaj Christon who is averaging 14.7 points per game and 20 assists without committing a single turnover in the team’s last three home games. They’ve also done a good job of preparing for conference play by facing a litany of quality foes in non-conference play: Tennessee (twice), Iowa, USC, Cincinnati and Alabama.

Marquette was put through the ringer themselves in a difficult non-conference schedule with games against Wisconsin, San Diego State, New Mexico and Arizona State. But the Golden Eagles didn’t exactly pass those tests with flying colors. They were 0-4 SU in those games all away from home and when you combine that with their ugly 67-49 road loss at Read more


Tags: College Basketball Marquette Golden Eagles Xavier Musketeers Ian Cameron




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys

01.08.2014     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas +12.5 at Oklahoma State
Recommendation: Texas


This isn’t a bet against Oklahoma State as much as it is a bet on Texas.  The Longhorns have made believers out of me, despite their youth, with no seniors and only one junior on Rick Barnes’ squad this year.  But we’ve seen Texas hang tough away from home, gutting out tough road wins at Temple and North Carolina; blowing out DePaul and hanging tough with BYU for the full 40 minutes at the Sprint Center in Kansas City. 

Texas is not a team to lay points with, as we saw in their home loss to Oklahoma on Saturday – they seem to play up or down to their level of competition.  But they covered wire-to-wire in both previous tries as an underdog away from home; a track record that comes into play again tonight.

Texas has extraordinary talent even though they’re young, with five guys averaging in double figures.  They’ve got a defensive mindset, holding foes to 39% shooting for the season.  And the Longhorns are massive in the low post with Cameron Ridley, Jonathan Holmes, Prince Ibeh and Connor Lammert all taking up Read more


Tags: College Basketball Texas Longhorns Oklahoma State Cowboys Teddy Covers




BCS Championship Betting Recap: Florida State wins but Auburn gets the cash

01.07.2014     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Great game! You probably watched. No need to rehash the play-by-play. Let’s see what the numbers say about the evening…

Florida State 34, Auburn (+11) 31

Florida State: 385 yards, 5.8 per-play, 1 turnovers, 17% third downs

Auburn : 462 yards, 5.8 per-play, 1 turnovers, 56% third downs

Other Numbers

Florida State: 148 rush, 20-35-0-237 passing, 17 drive points, 24 stat score, 20 sloppiness

Auburn: 232 rush, 14-27-1-230 passing, 17 drive points, 31 stat score, 18 sloppiness

Auburn got the best of it when it was offense vs. defense, which was a big surprise. In fact, they scored exactly what they were supposed to based on stat score (2 times rushing, plus passing, times 0.67, divided by 15). Florida State’s kickoff return TD saved the day for the Seminoles. Throw that in, and stat score becomes a 31-all tie in a game that ended 34-31.

Auburn jumped to a 21-3 lead against a seemingly Read more


Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC Florida State Seminoles ACC Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: South Carolina irked about underdog status vs. Wisconsin

01.01.2014     05:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin -2 vs. South Carolina O/U 51

Looks like South Carolina got word it's an underdog to a Big Ten squad.


"I was a little surprised," Badgers linebacker Chris Borland said this week. "We're confident that we're going to win. It's just this huge SEC bias out there that they're a great conference, which they are. But, yeah, I was surprised."

"I don't want to sound like a cocky type of guy, but I just kind of take it as a slap in the face," Sutton said this week. "We as a team collectively, we work hard and we bust our butts at practice every day and listen to what the coaches tell us to do. For us to be the highly ranked team coming into this game and be labeled as the underdog, we kind of take it as a slap in the face as a team Read more



Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks SEC Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




Outback Bowl Betting Preview: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. LSU Tigers

01.01.2014     05:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa vs LSU
Outback Bowl - Tampa, Fla.
Wednesday, 10 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
LSU -7 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current: LSU -7.5 O/U 49
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -10
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: LSU

Kirk Ferentz has always had a tough time recruiting top notch talent to play in Iowa City for the Hawkeyes, and it hasn’t gotten easier as the Hawkeyes have fallen into mediocrity (or worse) in recent seasons.  Iowa hasn’t won more than eight games in a season since 2009.

This year they lost all three of their step-up-in-class games this year by double digit margins; blasted by Ohio State, Michigan State and Wisconsin.  Their problem is plain and simple – talent, or the lack thereof; good enough to beat up on the dregs of the Big 10, but not good enough to compete with the elites.

And make no mistake about it – LSU is elite, even with frosh QB Anthony Jennings Read more


Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten LSU Tigers SEC Teddy Covers




Chick-fil-A Bowl Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas A&M Aggies

12.30.2013     12:31 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Duke vs. Texas A&M
Chick-fil-A Bowl - Atlanta, Ga.
Tuesday, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -11.5 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -12 O/U 75.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Texas A&M -14

The Chick-fil-A-Bowl really does have a David vs. Goliath kind of feel to it. This was a magical season for the Duke Blue Devils who exceeded expectations throughout as they won eight games in a row to close out the regular season en route to an ACC Atlantic Division title and ACC Championship Game appearance. Duke posted victories over three ACC bowl bound teams: Virginia Tech, Miami (FL) and North Carolina but saw its winning streak come to an end in the ACC title game with an unsurprising 45-7 loss to top ranked Florida State.

Duke will be in for a stiff challenge against Johnny Football and the Texas A&M Aggies but they have the offensive components to hang around. Junior quarterback Anthony Read more


Tags: College Football Duke Blue Devils ACC Texas A&M Aggies SEC Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: How to bet College Football Bowl Games Part II

12.30.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I wrote an article in this space prior to bowl season (link) detailing my personal strategies for turning a profit during these three weeks of high stakes affairs.  But as I do my research for the upcoming games, I continue to find a bevy of outdated information widely available on the internet; strategies that haven’t worked in years, yet they’ve become a part of the gambling lexicon. 

I did a national radio spot last week with a well-known host.  He brought up three strategies as the sharp Vegas method.  None of them work.  In fact, none of them have worked in years. I don’t think the host was an idiot – there’s just a bevy of bad information out there!

So my goal for this week’s column is to poke holes in the outdated information.  The betting markets are not a static entity; always morphing and evolving.  What worked five, ten or twenty years ago doesn’t necessarily work as 2013 shifts to 2014.  And when it Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




Pinstripe Bowl Betting Preview: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

12.27.2013     11:50 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rutgers vs. Notre Dame
Pinstripe Bowl - Bronx, NY
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -15.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -14 O/U 53.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -18.5

Instead of playing for a BCS Championship like last year, Notre Dame finds itself in the Bronx at Yankee Stadium facing a .500 team. Sportsbooks have the Irish (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) favored by -14 or -14.5 with a total of 53.5. Gamblers can back the Scarlet Knights on the money line for a +475 payout (risk $100 to win $475). For first-half wagers, Notre Dame is a 7.5-point chalk with a total of 27.

Brian Kelly’s team had several solid victories this season, including scalps of Southern Cal, Michigan State, Arizona State, and BYU. The Irish lost at Michigan, vs. Oklahoma, at Pitt, and at Stanford.

Senior quarterback Tommy Rees threw for 2,938 yards with a 27-13 touchdown-to-interception ratio. T.J. Read more


Tags: College Football Rutgers Scarlet Knights AAC Notre Dame Fighting Irish Brian Edwards




Texas Bowl Betting Preview: Syracuse Orange vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

12.27.2013     07:36 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Syracuse vs. Minnesota
Texas Bowl - Houston, Texas
Friday, 3 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Minnesota -4.5 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Minnesota -4.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Minnesota -7.5

Motivation is always a key in handicapping bowl games, and that force will be pretty equal in tonight’s Texas bowl matchup between Minnesota and Syracuse.  The Gophers dropped their final two games and are looking for their first nine win season since 2003.  In addition, the Gophers arrive in Houston failing to score an offensive touchdown in their last 10 quarters of play.  Meanwhile, the Orange was fortunate to even go bowling with a season finale victory over Boston College.  However, at 6-6, Syracuse will look to make it back-to-back winning seasons for the first time since 2001 when the program was just tailing off as a force in the college football world.

The Gophers have a long history Read more


Tags: College Football Syracuse Orange ACC Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten Erin Rynning



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