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NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns

03.14.2016     02:36 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Minnesota at Phoenix pk O/U 221.5
Recommendation: Over

Most recent games played by each of these young teams showcased the positive strides that they are making. For Minnesota it was an improbable 99-96 road win over Oklahoma City as +12 point underdogs which gives them a three spread covers in their last four games. In the Suns case, it was a 123-116 loss at Golden State in a game where Phoenix held a 4Q lead as +19 point underdogs. That was the second game since a 21 game injury absence for Suns starting PG Brandon Knight and he had 30 points including seven three pointers. Even though Knight admitted after the game that he’s not there yet, his return makes Phoenix noticeably different offensively. With Knight boosting the perimeter offense and HC Earl Watson’s commitment to feeding the ball inside to 7-1 PF Alex Len (10-of-18, 26 points vs GS), Phoenix is developing a balanced half court attack to go along with their up tempo style. The bench has been strengthened by Knight’s return as well. Meanwhile, Minnesota is much further along with their offensive development as the duo of rookie C Karl Anthony Towns and SF Andrew Wiggins Read more

Tags: NBA Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Rob Veno

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic

03.04.2016     11:29 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Phoenix at Orlando -13.5 O/U 215.5
Recommendation: Orlando

Sometimes a write-up is better in graphic form.  I’m going to open this write-up with a chart, detailing the Phoenix Suns on the road since their last road win – at Chicago on December 3rd.


That’s not just a bad track record.  That’s an off-the-charts bad track record for a hopeless, injury riddled team that is now 3-30 SU in their last 33 games.  It’s surely worth noting that MOST of the losses listed above came without the opponent even taking the Suns seriously, often resting starters against this sorry squad.

When the Suns meet adversity on the highway, they’ve done one thing consistently for the last three months – they crumble like a house of cards.  With an interim, lame duck head coach in Earl Watson, it’s hard to picture a legitimate character change for the Suns in hostile environments down the stretch.

Scott Skiles Magic have notched double digit wins in each of their last two home games.  They’ve got a West Coast road trip just ahead, Read more

Tags: NBA Phoenix Suns Orlando Magic Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part I

02.29.2016     09:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA national champion among my elite level teams.   Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Two years ago, Kevin Ollie’s Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

I write this article every year before the regular season is over, before the conference tournaments, before the tourney seedings are announced and before a single March Madness game has been played.  Obviously, there is room for a lot to change between now and the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils at Colorado Buffaloes

02.28.2016     08:11 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Arizona State at Colorado -7.5 O/U 144.5
Recommendation: Colorado

In the not so distant future, Bobby Hurley will have Arizona State as a contender in the PAC-12. But it's pretty apparent that he and his current squad have tuned one another out. For starters, with two weeks to go in the season, Andre Spight decided to leave the program. It marked yet another player issue as injuries, suspensions, and now a departure have marred what was once a promising season (10-3 start). As for the play on the court, check out ASU's last three games: Lose by 13 at home to fellow bottom feeder UCLA, get destroyed by rival Arizona, 99-61, and trail Utah by margins of 30-2 and 64-19 en route to a 81-46 loss. The only thing Arizona State has to look forward to is the slim chance of a run in the PAC-12 Tournament. But before they get there, they'll have to play the second of the dreaded "elevation" trip of Salt Lake City to Boulder. They do get an extra day off having not played since Thursday but based on their current form, it won't matter. And we can expect a prime effort from the home side as Colorado (20-9, 9-7) can ill-afford a "bad loss." A Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Colorado Buffaloes OTTO Sports

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks

02.26.2016     10:31 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Denver +5 at Dallas O/U 209
Recommendation: Denver

Very quietly, waaaay underneath the national radar, the Dallas Mavericks have been falling apart for the better part of the last two months.  To call the Mavs poor home favorites is something of an understatement.  The results don’t lie.  Dallas has played 13 home games since the calendar turned to 2016.  They have led at the end of regulation in a grand total of three of those games.

The teams Dallas has been able to beat comfortably at home are not exactly elite.  They’ve beaten the 76ers, Nets and Suns – three of the four worst teams in the NBA (along with the Lakers, of course).  Twice Dallas has escaped with OT wins over non-playoff teams (Sacramento and Minnesota); more ‘lucky’ than ‘good’ even when stepping down in class.

In fact, the Mavs haven’t really been beating any competitive teams on any floor of late.  They are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games, with the wins coming against Philly, Brooklyn, the LA Lakers and Memphis without Marc Gasol in the lineup – not exactly an elite quartet. Read more

Tags: NBA Denver Nuggets Dallas Mavericks Teddy Covers

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

02.25.2016     07:51 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Nashville at Chicago O/U 5
Recommendation: Chicago -1.5 +210

The Chicago Blackhawks will battle their division rivals the Nashville Predators tonight at the United Center. The Blackhawks should be refocused and ready to take out some anger after Sunday's embarrassing 6-1 loss to Minnesota in the Stadium Series game held outside at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Despite losing three of their last four games at the "Madhouse on Madison", Chicago sports a stellar 22-7-2 overall home record. They also hold a 6-3-1 record against Central Division opponents including a pair of wins against Nashville this season. The Predators come into this contest winners of four of their last six games and 3-0-1 in their last four road games. Nashville currently holds the top Wild Card spot in the Western Conference with 69 points with fellow division foe Colorado trailing by only three points. These two teams always play each other tough, and while the Hawks have turned in some lackluster efforts since the All-Star Break, this club knows that they’ll have to bring their A-game versus a division rival. Chicago has covered the puck-line in six of their Read more

Tags: NHL Nashville Perdators Chicago Blackhawks Alex B. Smith

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings

02.23.2016     09:28 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Calgary at Los Angeles -200 O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Over

My clients and I have cashed a multitude of over-the-total winners involving the Calgary Flames since the All-Star break and that is a trend worth riding tonight as they head west to face the Los Angeles Kings. Calgary is struggling defensively and goalie Jonas Hiller has not been able to hold up since taking over the starting role for injured Karri Ramo. Hiller has allowed 22 goals over his last five starts in net. Flames defenseman Kris Russell is not a household name but he might be one of the more unsung injuries in the league. Russell is a plus defensive player in his own zone, a shot blocking machine, and also a very strong penalty killer. Calgary has allowed 18 goals to Anaheim (twice), Minnesota and Vancouver in its last four games without Russell on the ice as the penalty kill was ripped apart. He is likely to once again be out of the lineup for tonight's game. The Flames also have the suspension to Dennis Wideman in effect and they've lost another blue liner as Ladislav Smid went down with an injury in the loss to Minnesota and he has been placed on IR. That is bad news for an already Read more

Tags: NHL Calgary Flames Los Angeles Kings Ian Cameron

88th Academy Awards Betting Odds

02.22.2016     09:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The 88th Academy Awards is slated for Sunday night which means a number of offshore sportsbooks are offering odds on the event. Per usual, there are a number of "locks" but a few categories are being competitively priced. Let's take a look at some of the categories and odds courtesy of 5Dimes.

Heavy Favorites
Best Adapted Screenplay - The Big Short -1050
Best Animated Film - Inside Out -10000
Best Director - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - The Revenant -825
Best Actor - Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant -6600
Best Actress - Brie Larson - Room -2000
Best Original Screenplay - Spotlight -1200

Best Picture - The Revenant -230, Spotlight +250, The Big Short +600
Best Supporting Actor - Sylvester Stallone - Creed -320, Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies +330
Best Supporting Actress - Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl -260, Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs +350

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference second half preview

02.22.2016     09:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week in this space, I wrote about what I’m expecting from the Western Conference in the eight week stretch between the end of the All-Star Break and the beginning of the playoffs.  This week, I’m going to focus on the East, before my attention turns to March Madness for the next few Wiseguy Reports.

There’s no question that the Eastern Conference is finally getting better after nearly two decades of playing second fiddle to the West.  Since Michael Jordan (and everybody else) left the Bulls following their sixth title in 1998, the Eastern Conference has only won five championships, something the Lakers and Spurs have each done five times by themselves during that span!  Detroit won in 2004, Miami won in 2006, 2012 and 2013 and Boston won in 2008.

And from all indications in the betting markets, the East isn’t very likely to win a title this year either.  Cleveland is the only team in the East priced at less than 15-1 to reach the Read more

Tags: NBA Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapping: Miami moves in fences at Marlins Stadium

02.17.2016     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Bettors should be aware that the Miami Marlins moved in and lowered the outfield fences at Marlins Park. Since opening in 2012, Marlin Park has ranked 26th, 30th, 26th, and last year 28th in terms of Park Factor home run rate.

"From a statistical standpoint, there is an advantage, given our players and how they play. Where we're moving it in we'll get a slight advantage hitting versus pitching," Samson said. "It'll be interesting to see what it means psychologically. That's the one thing we can't measure.

"There are some players who say, 'When it plays smaller I feel better about myself.'"

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins


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