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College Football Betting: CRIS posts Week 1 lines, rest of market reacts

08.05.2013     11:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Over the weekend, CRIS posted its Week 1 college football lines. For most bettors, CRIS's numbers are considered "ground zero" for the betting markets. Sportsbooks like BetOnline and 5Dimes will often times post early numbers with lower limits to drum up business, but once CRIS posts its lines, everyone else rushes to copy them. Below you can check out some of the discrepancies between 5Dimes (a fairly respected sportsbook) and CRIS (a very respected sportsbook). That doesn't mean that the numbers 5Dimes had prior to CRIS’s were "bad" nor does it mean CRIS's numbers are "good" – more than a few got hammered pretty hard. In fact, there were a couple instances where CRIS's opener moved towards 5Dimes' original number – before of course they copied CRIS. We're just illustrating the point that when it comes to football numbers offshore, offscreen, and Las Vegas, CRIS drives the market.

CRIS Opener: Bowling Green -3 vs. Tulsa
5Dimes Opener: Tulsa -1 at Bowling Green

CRIS Opener: Texas Tech -7 at SMU
5Dimes Opener: Texas Tech -4 at SMU

CRIS Opener: Michigan -34.5 vs. Central Michigan
5Dimes Read more


Tags: College Football




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Strategies on Betting and Beating NFL Preseason

08.05.2013     07:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I write a How to Beat the NFL Preseason article just about every year.  But this is no cut-and-paste from previous editions, because my strategies for betting (and beating) preseason football have been altered over the years, in some ways quite dramatically. 

I updated this piece from start to finish last year and have updated it again for 2013, focusing on how the betting markets have changed here in the 21st century and the ways savvy bettors can take advantage of those changes.

The betting markets are not static entities – they’re changing and shifting, year by year.  Betting strategies that gain attention because they work become the status quo, and the bookmakers adjust appropriately.  

Part of the change is the pointspread itself.  What was once a +7 becomes a +5; instead of laying -2.5, the books adjust and force you to lay -4.5.  As a natural consequence, the overall winning percentage of relatively popular and successful strategies drops as time progressed.

At the same time, the game itself changes from season to season, decade to decade.  Coach’s gameplans change over time, as Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers on today's The Las Vegas Sportsline

08.02.2013     10:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers will be co-hosting this afternoon's The Las Vegas Sportsline show on ESPN Radio from 2-3 pm PT. Here's a link to the live stream. Enjoy.



Tags: Las Vegas Teddy Covers




Longtime Vegas oddsmaker passes away

07.30.2013     11:22 AM     Printer Friendly
Longtime Las Vegas oddsmaker Rick Herron recently passed away. You can read about him here.



Tags: Las Vegas




No-name handicapper gets reality TV show

07.30.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
So CNBC has decided to put out a reality TV show on a supposed Las Vegas handicapper. The only problem, no one we spoke to has heard of this dude. Industry observer Todd Fuhrman offers his opinions on what has little to no chance of accurately portraying the life of a real sports bettor/handicapper.



Tags: Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Report Will Be Released Today!

07.30.2013     06:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

Click here to purchase

copy_tc_nfl_o_u_2.jpg

Below is the written analysis Teddy provided to his clients with last year's O/U Win Report. He went 4-0-1 with his recommendations.


2012 NFL Season Win Total Report: Part 1

All lines in this report are current as of 10 AM Pacific on Tuesday, July 31st.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order.  I used seven offshore sports books (Pinnacle, Bookmaker, Greek, Bovada, Grande, ABC Islands and WSEX ) as fodder for my ‘best available current line’, but there’s no reason to think that you won’t be able to find a better number elsewhere – line shoppers are routinely rewarded in the Over-Under win total marketplace. 

Each and every one of these numbers is also available at the sportsbooks here in Las Vegas, but I used the offshore numbers in this report knowing that many clients don’t have access to the Vegas numbers.  It is VERY important to get the win totals posted on this report – a half game can make an enormous difference, Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Handicapping the best and worst NFL secondaries

07.29.2013     11:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The pecking order for NFL quarterbacks is well established.  Most of the best quarterbacks play for the best teams.  Peyton Manning in Denver, Eli Manning in New York, Tom Brady in New England, Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, Drew Brees in New Orleans and Joe Flacco in Baltimore all wear Super Bowl rings.  All seven guys play for teams that are perennial playoff teams, and all seven of those squads are lined at 8.5 wins or higher again this year.

The next grouping of quarterbacks isn’t as easy to establish.  I’d probably put the likes of Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Tony Romo, Philip Rivers and Colin Kaepernick in this grouping; and I wouldn’t argue with anyone who wanted to include Matthew Stafford, Jay Cutler, Cam Newton or Andrew Luck.  Just about every one of those quarterbacks also plays for a playoff contending team.

The very bottom of the pecking order is also very easy to establish.  On my list, I’d include Christian Ponder in Minnesota, Brandon Weeden in Cleveland, Mark Sanchez in New York, Jake Locker in Tennessee, Blaine Gabbert or Chad Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Zynga takes a pass on US online gambling

07.26.2013     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly
Social gaming giant Zynga has bowed out of the US online gambling race. The announcement caused Zynga's stock to plummet 15% yesterday.


"There's no doubt that Zynga would like to leverage their very real advantage in casino-type games into this emerging opportunity of real-money gambling. The synergies are clearly there," said IDC analyst Lewis Ward.

As for real-money gaming, McNealy thinks Zynga's pass is a good move. "It's a space that will likely become crowded, expensive, and with big incumbent players from Las Vegas getting involved in soon."











MLB Betting Recap: Los Angeles Dodgers continue to roll

07.24.2013     12:44 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It looked like this was going to be the night the Los Angeles Dodgers finally cooled off. They were trailing 8-3 after six inning in Toronto. Nobody would blame them for calling it a night before trying to come back and win the series Wednesday.

Instead, they rallied for a thrilling 10-9 win that was important for several reasons:

*It brought them to 22-5 their last 27 games

*It brought them to 5-0 since the All-Star Break

*Which means nothing but wins a full time through the rotation

*Oh, that’s 5-0 on the ROAD

*It kept them in first place in the NL West

Now…there are still come caveats about this long winning run. The Dodgers have managed to avoid all the good teams in baseball! They were beating up on their NL West brethren…and we’ve talked a few times about how that whole division has basically collapsed in recent weeks outside of the Dodgers. Their recent Interleague draws have been against the Read more


Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Tips on how to bet post-All-Star break MLB

07.22.2013     10:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I wrote a similar article to this one last year at this time.  At the risk of plagiarizing myself, I thought many of the points I made last year are still extremely pertinent when it comes to post All-Star break baseball in 2013. 

NFL training camps open up around the country this week.  The start of fall practice for college football isn’t far behind.  Wiseguy bettors are spending a good portion of their time focusing on football right now.  We’ve got a maturing NFL Season win total marketplace, both here in Vegas and offshore.  Odds to win the NFL Divisions are up.  Week 1 numbers are available at multiple sportsbooks.  College football season win totals are up as are odds to win the various conferences.

So what happens when the betting markets shift their focus towards football?  After all, we’re less than a week out from the All Star break, with more than two full months of regular season baseball still to play.  There isn’t a team in either league that has completed more than 100 games of their 162-game schedule as I write this.

Yet any sportsbook director in town will tell Read more


Tags: MLB NFL College Football Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 20, 2014 08:44 PM.