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September

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four

05.20.2013     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  This year’s results stand out in that regard.  In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs.  San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds. 

In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin.  And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.

When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




William Hill Sportsbook opens up shop at Downtown Grand Casino

05.16.2013     06:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas' Downtown Grand Casino will feature a William Hill run sportsbook.


“We are pleased to partner with Fifth Street Gaming and be a part of the Downtown 3rd Project,” William Hill CEO Joe Asher said in a statement. “Downtown Las Vegas is undergoing an exciting transformation and Downtown Grand and other new businesses nearby will bring many new customers to the area.”











NBA Betting News: Memphis Grizzlies and Miami Heat go up 3-1

05.14.2013     10:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The night is running late so let’s jump right into the numbers…

Memphis 103, Oklahoma City 97 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: Oklahoma City 42%, Memphis 42%

3-Point Shooting: Oklahoma City 9/20, Memphis 6/17

Free Throws: Oklahoma City 20/22, Memphis 25/29

1’s and 2’s: Oklahoma City 70, Memphis 85

Rebounds: Oklahoma City 44, Memphis 41

Turnovers: Oklahoma City 15, Memphis 7

An inverse of Game One. This time, it was Oklahoma City as the road team blowing a big lead (up 17 at one point), so Memphis as the home team could “steal” a win. The Grizzlies had to go overtime to do it. In fact, Oklahoma City won G1 by a 93-91 score, while this one went OT at 94-94. Those two cancel out. The other two games in the series were 6-point Memphis wins (one at each site).

Average Regulation Result: Memphis by 2.5

Memphis is now +17 in turnover differential, which Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Miami Heat Chicago Bulls State Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Vegas Wiseguy Report: Attacking Cantor's Opening NFL Lines

05.13.2013     11:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve got to give Cantor Gaming a boatload of credit this week. While the vast majority of other sportsbooks around the globe collectively twiddled their thumbs following the NFL Draft, Cantor was the first major book to market with both season win totals and with pointspreads for every regular season game through Week 16. And Cantor released all of those numbers in their unique style – confident, aggressive, high limit bookmaking, exactly what the industry needs more of these days.

Of course, my job isn’t to praise Cantor. Like any bettor here in Las Vegas, my job is to beat Cantor! Over the course of the hot, summer months (the first 100 degree day of the year in Vegas comes this week, with many more to follow), I’ll spend a handful of articles discussing those 2013 NFL season win totals as the markets begin to mature. But this week, I’m going to write about Cantor’s ‘every game, every week’ pointspreads for an NFL season that won’t even kick off until September! There certainly aren’t many opportunities in the sportsbetting world to get down significant wagers on regular season games that won’t be played Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling: Home Court Advantage in the Playoffs

05.08.2013     12:27 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’ve heard a few people talking about the value of home court advantage in the playoffs over the past few days. I haven’t heard anybody talking about the actual numbers from this year! Figured I should rectify that.

Through the Tuesday night doubleheader that just ended in Oklahoma City, we have the following results through 51 postseason games. Note that I’m counting all overtime games as net zero at the end of regulation. So, technically, these are the numbers through the first 48 minutes of all 51 postseason games.

The “average” game has been a win of 3.63 points by the home team

The “median” result has been a win of 2 points by the home team

I had been estimating about 4 points for market value based on the prices we’ve been seeing thus far. That average of 3.63 isn’t far off from that. But, it’s VERY important that the median is only two. We’re seeing a lot of blowouts that are skewing the Read more


Tags: NBA Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Chicago Bulls outplay Miami Heat

05.07.2013     01:39 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
To call the Heat prohibitive favorites in their series against the Bulls is something of an understatement!  Miami was a 12.5- or 13-point favorite by tip-off against Chicago for Game 1, the single highest pointspread of the second round by a fairly wide margin.  For the series, the Heat opened as 1:50 favorites offshore and 1:30 favorites here in Vegas (laying $30 or $50 to win a single dollar).  Even after their Game 1 loss, the Heat are still 1:9 chalk to win the series; a true rarity when it comes to series prices for teams trailing 1-0 having already lost their home court advantage.

Games aren’t played on paper, and despite Miami’s enormous perceived advantage, they were clearly not the better team in the series opener on Monday Night.  Some of that was simply rust off following a week long layoff.  San Antonio – the other team that swept their first round series, then sat around waiting for the second round – was comparably flat.  But unlike Miami, San Antonio saved their best ball for crunch time of the fourth quarter, whereas the Heat looked gassed and shocked when Chicago scored the final ten points of the Read more


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Miami Heat Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Durant leads OKC past Memphis in Game 1

05.06.2013     11:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Coming into the playoffs, the odds that backup OKC point guard Derek Fisher would be a defensive difference maker were somewhere between slim and none.   Then Russell Westbrook suffered a season ending injury.  Reggie Jackson, the second year point guard out of Boston College who averaged just 14 minutes of playing time during the regular season, has been promoted to the starting spot.  Fisher, who didn’t even sign with the Thunder until after the All-Star break, got a steady dose of garbage time minutes down the stretch.  He closed out his 24 game regular season stint with OKC averaging just 4.1 points on 33% shooting and 0.7 assists per game.

Fisher’s playoff history is truly a special one, highlighted by his infamous Game 5 buzzer beating three-pointer at San Antonio in Game 5 of the 2004 Western Conference Finals.  That shot is just one of quite literally dozens of huge makes from Fisher from a career that dates all the way back to 1996.  And Fisher hit a pair of impact three pointers in Game 1 against Memphis as well.  But the biggest clutch contribution from a guy with five championship rings on his fingers came Read more


Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Indiana takes 1-0 lead over New York

05.06.2013     11:42 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While Game 1 went flying Over the total by 15 points, the truth of the matter is that New York is struggling mightily on the offensive end of the court these days.  They didn’t score more than 90 points in any of their games against the Celtics; the longest streak to start the playoffs since the shot clock came into play in the 1954-55 season.  As a result, since taking a 3-0 series lead against Boston, New York has lost three of their last four in straight up fashion despite being favored in all four games.

Health matters as much or more than any other factor at this time of the year, and the aging Knicks are struggling in that department as well.  Carmelo Anthony’s left shoulder is getting worse, not better after popping out of the socket during the Boston series.  Defensive mainstay Tyson Chandler isn’t anywhere near 100%.  Amare Stoudamire isn’t back in the lineup yet, although he could be before this series is through.  Steve Novak’s balky back is keeping him out of action as well.

New York earned the #2 seed in the East behind Miami because they were a solid defensive team, hit a boatload of three Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




Nevada's Black Book alive and kicking

05.06.2013     06:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The fact that there really is a Las Vegas "Black Book" is pretty cool. Even cooler, the Gaming Control Board is about to add a new member. Unfortunately it doesn't sound like the gentlemen is connected to the mob or tried to pull off an Ocean's 11-type heist. No, he's just a slot machine cheat. Over the last decade only six people have been placed on what it currently a 33-person list.



Tags: Las Vegas




NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Oklahoma City and Memphis square off in Western Conference semifinals

05.04.2013     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A fascinating Friday night quadruple-header of Game Sixes resulted in NO Game Sevens for Sunday, as the 3-2 leaders all sealed their respective deals. We talked about the games out East in our earlier post. We wrap up the evening with a look at the two Western Conference finals.

Oklahoma City 103, Houston 94

2-Point Percentage: Oklahoma City 48%, Houston 39%

3-Point Shooting: Oklahoma City 11/27, Houston 14/32

Free Throws: Oklahoma City 16/16, Houston 20/31

1’s and 2’s: Oklahoma City 70, Houston 52

Rebounds: Oklahoma City 41, Houston 43

Turnovers: Oklahoma City 10, Houston 15

A few quick notes…

*Jeremy Lin was always going to be overmatched in this series because he’s slower than people realize, and his shot comes and goes (mostly goes vs. quality opposition). His injury was a blessing because it put better athletes on the floor. He’s a great kid…and worth Read more


Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence



26

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2014 04:42 PM.