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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Playoff bound, but Super Bowl XLVIII bound?

12.23.2013     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last year, heading into Week 17, Atlanta was the team to beat in the NFC, having already clinched homefield advantage with their 13-2 (at the time) record.  Washington was the hottest team in the conference and Green Bay was considered very live for the title, with Aaron Rodgers just one year removed from his Super Bowl ring.  In the AFC, the playoff were expected to be an eventual battle between the Patriots and Broncos, with the other four teams (Baltimore, Cincinnati, Houston and Indy) largely considered to be fodder for the elites; non-factors.

What happened? A San Francisco-Baltimore Super Bowl, won by the Ravens; their third straight postseason win as an underdog.  Let’s not forget that Baltimore entered the playoffs in the midst of a late season 1-4 SU and ATS skid; a team that NOBODY expected to make noise in January and February.

In 2011, in the NFC, Green Bay was the unbeatable juggernaut with a 15-1 record as the defending champs, and the Saints weren’t far behind, just one year removed from a Drew Brees Super Bowl ring.  Meanwhile, the Giants were on the outside of the playoff picture, needing to beat Dallas just to get Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Super Bowl XLVIII Las Vegas




Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: USC Trojans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

12.19.2013     12:39 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
USC vs. Fresno State
Las Vegas Bowl
December 21, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
USC -4.5 O/U 62
CRIS Current: USC -6 O/U 63
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: USC -3.5 1st half

When the bowl pairings were announced a couple of Sundays ago, this matchup was one where the motivational angle of each team was questioned. Fresno State went from BCS buster three weeks ago to this late December, mid-afternoon appearance while the Trojans received this bid on the heels of the resignation of beloved interim head coach Ed Orgeron. To have the early handicapping concern that this game may be anti-climactic for both of these teams was legitimate but all signs currently point to Fresno State and USC having regrouped and now focused on this game.

For the Bulldogs, record setting senior quarterback Derek Carr quoted the team mantra heading into this contest Read more



Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12 Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West Rob Veno




South Point's College Football Bowl Parlay Contest

12.19.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Details on South Point’s $50K college football bowl parlay contest. It is $10 per card and the bonus is you don't have to worry about those pesky pointspreads – nothing but straight up action, baby! Also be sure to check out The Vegas Parlay -- a great blog that covers the Las Vegas sportsbook scene.




Tags: College Football Las Vegas




Heart of Dallas Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels vs. North Texas Mean Green

12.18.2013     07:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UNLV vs. North Texas
Heart of Dallas Bowl - Dallas, Texas
Wednesday, January 1, 9 am PT - ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
North Texas -6.5 O/U 54.5
CRIS Current: North Texas -6.5 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: North Texas -6.5

Two nice storylines in this matchup as North Texas and UNLV end their respective postseason droughts with berths in the Heart of Dallas Bowl. For North Texas the accomplishment is even sweeter by playing right down the road in the Cotton Bowl. UNLV meanwhile broke through with a 7-win campaign – a monumental accomplishment for a program that had won two games in six of its last eight seasons. While the Cotton Bowl won't be packed to the gills, motivation for both sides won't be an issue.

From a power rating perspective, Sagarin has North Texas a raw -7. It doesn't look as if oddsmakers are giving much of any home field advantage to the Mean Green. According to Sagarin, NT ranks 69th Read more



Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels Mountain West North Texas Mean Green C-USA Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Pointspread Plays of the Year

12.16.2013     12:55 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last year, I wrote a Pointspread Plays of the Year NFL article at this stage of the season, at a time of year when Top 10 lists seem to formulate out of thin air.  It was so much fun to write, I decided to do it again this year, even though there was no clear Pointspread Play of the Year like we had last year with the Seahawks-Packers final play Hail Mary TD on Monday Night Football!

In my world, there’s nothing better than a right side winner – no drama, no sweating; an easy rocking chair cover. Of course, cashing nothing but right side winners is MUCH easier said than done.  In the real world, there are so many games that come down to a single key late play that determines the SU and/or ATS winner. I’ve gone back through my notes, looking at the some of the wackiest pointspread outcomes of the year – the really memorable ones. End of the year Top 10 lists are so passé, so I’ll call this my Top 8 Pointspread Plays of the Year.  Let’s start the countdown with Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

12.13.2013     01:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston at Indianapolis
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Indianapolis -6.5 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Indianapolis -5 O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Indianapolis -8
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Indianapolis

The wiseguys here in Vegas absolutely despise the Colts; rare vitriol from professional bettors.  Why the abject hatred for Indy?  Simple – Indy’s stats are lousy, just like they were last year; yet the Colts are on a 16-8 ATS run in their last 24 ballgames.  In other words, the sharp $$ has been fading Indy for two years and consistently losing those bets; a mounting source of frustration.

Those same wiseguys have cashed betting against the Colts three times in their last five games; blowout losses against the Rams, Cardinals and Bengals.  And we’re seeing heavy money pour in on Houston, against Indy again this week; giving us a very favorable line to support Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Teddy Covers




Anti-online gambling group throws poop up against the wall

12.11.2013     02:11 PM     Printer Friendly
Sheldon Adelson sent one of his minions to Washington, D.C. to bitch about online gambling. Flipping through a rolodex of excuses, Las Vegas Sands VP of Government Affairs stumbled upon what he referred to as "...our Joe Camel moment." Later, Rep. Joe Barton of Texas called him on the ridiculous statement.


“This is our Joe Camel moment. … It could very well be the demise of our industry,” Las Vegas Sands Vice President of Government Affairs Andrew Abboud told the panel, calling on lawmakers to reinstate an understanding of the Wire Act that would bar financial transactions for gaming online. “We just think turning every device into a casino takes gambling too far.”

“In the Venetian at the sports book, you can wager from anywhere in Nevada,” Rep. Joe Barton, R-Texas, said, pointing out a Sands advertising campaign for mobile betting. “What you’re advertising here is the same thing that we’re talking about … except for the

Read more








College Football Handicapping: USC focuses on Las Vegas Bowl

12.11.2013     01:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some quotes following one of USC's recent practices. The focus was on getting over the departure of Ed Orgeron and trying to avoid another Sun Bowl disaster. The Trojans play Fresno State in the Las Vegas Bowl and week from Saturday.


"We can't underestimate no team," said defensive captain Hayes Pullard.  "We have to go in there and prepare like we are second place and play like we are first place."

"We have a goal," said interim head coach Clay Helton. "Any time you have faced the adversity that they have faced and you are going to get the opportunity to get your 10th win, that's pretty special.  That's what their ultimate goal is."

"I feel like the emotions have died," said DL George Uko.  "He was like a dad to us as a d-line and became a dad to the rest of them over the eight weeks, so it was a sad loss."






Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12 Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: How to bet college football bowl games

12.09.2013     08:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
During football season, I usually write about the NFL every week.  But it wasn’t easy to make broad generalizations about teams on a Sunday in which more than half the games were significantly affected by snowy or frigid weather.  And the college football bowl pairings were announced on Sunday Night.  So, I made the executive decision to take a one week break from the NFL this week to discuss my personal strategies for winning during bowl season.

Motivation is the key factor for any bowl game.  Overall talent and team speed don’t mean a thing when the players don’t give a hoot about being there.  That’s why underdogs tend to do fairly well against the spread in the earlier bowl games.  It’s not a reward for a favorite to end up in front of a sparse crowd in Boise or Detroit facing a team they’re not particularly excited about playing, especially if their second tier bowl bid came as a result of a relatively disappointing campaign.

Always check the local newspapers, blogs and yes, even twitter feeds for clues about any team’s level of preparation and Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

12.05.2013     01:19 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -2.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -2.5 O/U 54
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Philadelphia -1.5
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Under

With four games left in the playoff chase, every game is crucial. Two NFC contenders will square off Sunday afternoon when the Eagles and Lions collide in the City of Brotherly Love.

As of Thursday afternoon, most books had Philadelphia (7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) favored by -2.5 (offshore) or -3 (Las Vegas). The shops at 2.5 are attaching a -120 price, while those at three have the Eagles at -105 or even money. The total is 54, while the Lions are +125 on the money line (risk $100 to win $125).

Chip Kelly’s team is in a first-place tie with Dallas in the NFC East. Philadelphia has won four consecutive games and six of its last eight. The Eagles are coming off a 24-21 win Read more



Tags: NFL Detroit Lions Philadelphia Eagles Brian Edwards



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 27, 2015 12:05 AM.