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January

27

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College Football Betting: Week 3 Injury Report

09.11.2013     11:59 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisiana Tech sophomore running back Kenneth Dixon enjoyed a banner freshman campaign, rushing for 1,194 yards and 27 touchdowns while averaging 6.0 yards per carry. Dixon sustained a knee injury in last week’s 27-14 win over Lamar and he’s questionable Thursday night vs. Tulane. Even if Dixon can’t go, I don’t know that bettors should downgrade Tech’s offense. Before Dixon became the starter last season, fellow freshman Tevin King started three games and rushed for 369 yards and five TDs. King, who averaged 8.0 ypc before suffering a season-ending injury, replaced Dixon when he went down last week. He responded by exploding for 182 yard rushing on 20 carries. As of early Wednesday, most books had the Bulldogs favored by -7.5 over the Green Wave.

TCU senior quarterback Casey Pachall is out until at least late October with a forearm injury. Therefore, sophomore signal caller Trevone Boykin will get the starting nod Thursday night at Texas Tech. Boykin started nine games as a redshirt freshman in 2012. He threw for 2,054 yards with a 15/10 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Boykin also rushed for 417 yards and three TDs. In relief of Pachall in Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings Week 3

09.11.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think we’re getting closer to capturing the market. Not quite there yet. There were fewer head scratchers this week when comparing the transitions from last week.

It may be a mess for awhile in the 45-65 range because of volatility. A 55 may play like a 48 against quality but a 57 against other mid-50 teams. College sports are always messy because of the sheer volume of teams, and the fact that kids are inconsistent from week to week.

If you’re new to the site, these aren’t my “personal” ratings for all the teams. I’m not following college football nearly closely enough to have any real sense of probably the bottom 80 yet. This is my guess at how the market has the teams rated. I create “couplets” each week that match the Vegas spread (allotting 3 points for home field advantage), then I try to figure out where that couplet goes within the big scale. Over a few weeks, it’s not hard to hone in on a fairly good Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Alabama currently -7.5 over Texas A&M

09.09.2013     12:26 PM     Printer Friendly
Alabama -7.5 at Texas A&M -O/U 63

We’ve seen some early line movement on the much anticipated matchup between Texas A&M and Alabama. CRIS opened the Crimson Tide at -7 and it got as high as -8.5 before settling in at -7.5 offshore. Note that Las Vegas' Coasts and Stations are currently dealing Alabama -9. Of course the Aggies won last year's meeting in Tuscaloosa, 29-24, as 13.5-point underdogs. The total in that game was 54.5 – significantly lower than this year's current market number of 63. We went back more than a decade and couldn't find an Alabama total lined north of 60.



Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Texas A&M Aggies SEC




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 1

09.09.2013     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 1.

Chicago Bears – Sure, the Bears didn't make the playoffs last year, but they won ten games and were one of the league's better teams. This defense can still make plenty of big plays, as evidenced by Charles Tillman's huge game and their complete domination against the run here. Jay Cutler did a great job finding open receivers on third and long. He connected on a pair of third and longs into very tight windows on Chicago's first touchdown drive. The revamped offensive line didn't do much for run blocking, but they gave Cutler all the time he needed all afternoon.

Cutler can still scramble out of pressure and his mobility created several opportunities that wouldn't have been there otherwise. But Cutler's propensity for making mistakes at crucial times was on display here, a horrible pass on first down as the Bears were driving in the fourth quarter. However, he made the most of his next Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings San Francisco 49ers Arizona Cardinals New Orleans Saints




Update: Billy Walters sticks up for Cantor, others not so much

09.06.2013     12:35 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Part II of bettingtalk.com's excellent interview with Billy Walters. Disgusted with the current state of the Las Vegas sportsbook scene, Walters did however throw praise towards Cantor Gaming as a place where sharp bettors could play. But according to the article, other pro bettors have had issues with Cantor, issues that seemingly coincided with Mike Colbert/Pinnacle shakedown.





Billy Walters says sports betting in Las Vegas is awful

09.06.2013     07:02 AM     View Original Blog


Good article from Read more



Tags: Las Vegas Billy Walters




Billy Walters says sports betting in Las Vegas is awful

09.06.2013     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article from bettingtalk.com as Billy Walters talks about the current state of sports betting in Las Vegas.


“Today in Las Vegas, I can bet about 20 percent of what I used to be able to bet,” Walters explained in a Wednesday phone interview. “College football totals are a good example. You can bet more money on them with one sportsbook outside of Nevada than you can at all of the sportsbooks in Nevada combined.






Tags: Billy Walters Las Vegas




NFL Betting Consensus: OVER the popular play for tonight's Ravens vs. Broncos matchup

09.05.2013     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Denver -7 O/U 48

Here are the current consensus numbers for tonight's NFL regular season opener between Baltimore and Denver courtesy of Bookmaker and Sports Options. Note that Bookmaker's percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Side
Bookmaker: Denver -7 (-120) 51.2%
Sports Options: Denver -7/-7.5 53%

Moneyline
Bookmaker: Baltimore +270 57.7%
Sports Options: Baltimore +270 56%

Total
Bookmaker: OVER 47.5 83.5%
Sports Options: OVER 48//48.5/49 75%

Line History: Back in late May, Bookmaker (CRIS's little brother) opened Denver -8.5 and it was bet up to -9 where it sat for virtually the entire summer. But over the last week or so, money has steadily come in on Baltimore in part because of injuries to Champ Bailey (foot, out) and Von Miller (suspension, out). Currently, most offshore shops are showing Denver -7 with -115/-120 Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Baltimore Ravens




South Point now offering sports betting app

09.04.2013     11:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday Las Vegas' South Point Casino officially unveiled its new sports betting app. The app is free and requires a minimum $100 deposit.


“Our guests have the possibility to place their sports bets from home, while at South Point at dinner or at the bar,” asserted Ryan Growney, general manager of South Point. “By adding this new mobile betting application to our sports books offerings, we can showcase a new method of placing bets to sports fans throughout Nevada.”





Tags: Las Vegas




College Football Gambling: Northwestern suffers multiple key injuries

09.03.2013     12:22 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Syracuse at Northwestern

Northwestern hammered by a rash of injuries following Week 1's win at Cal. The Wildcats lost starting cornerback Daniel Jones to a torn ACL. Running back Venric Mark, who led the team in rushing last season, is dealing with an ankle injury. And starting quarterback Kain Colter is doubtful with a shoulder injury. No line on the game offshore. Las Vegas' Wynn opened Northwestern -9.5 with the current number -10.5 according to Sports Options.



Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Using coach-speak in your handicap

09.02.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Part of the standard handicapping mantra includes ‘checking the local papers’ and ‘watching the coach’s press conference’ in an effort to get quality information that the betting markets aren’t paying attention too.  Computer algorithms designed to beat pointspreads can’t and don’t handicap coach-speak.  Few bettors actually take the time to do their homework.  So ‘cappers who make and take the time to check local sources and press conferences can find legitimate edges that are overlooked by most others – good information.

There’s no dictionary to help you translate coach-speak into betting decisions.  And in all the years I’ve been writing about sports betting, I’ve never once written a how-to article on how to approach coaches quotes.  It’s time.

This past week, while doing my research for the upcoming college football games, I ran into a press conference from Skip Holtz.  Skip was a very successful coach at East Carolina and UConn, then a very unsuccessful coach at South Florida.  In 2013, Holtz is taking over at Louisiana Tech, now that Sonny Read more


Tags: College Football NC State Wolfpack ACC Louisiana Tech Bulldogs C-USA Teddy Covers



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