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NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 6

10.16.2013     08:17 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Houston Texans Stand Alone

There are no more undefeated ATS teams in the NFL after Week 6 and there is only one team that is still winless – the Houston Texans who were ambushed at home by the St. Louis Rams in a 38-13 loss. The New York Giants, Jacksonville and Pittsburgh all snapped their winless ATS starts but Houston now stands alone as the only team in the league to not cash a ticket for their betting supporters this season. There was reason to be concerned prior to Sunday’s game but now it’s safe to say the Texans are in full on crisis mode. Matt Schaub has lost his confidence and his problems are no longer physical, but mental. He has an awful 8-9 TD-INT ratio and now is prone to making mistakes and bad decisions with the football. The offense has sputtered in the red zone all season long with the Texans converting red zone opportunities into TDs just 47.3% of the time.
 
The Houston defense hasn’t been as stout as they’ve been in the past yielding 29.5 points per game but they are still ranked 1st in the league in total yards and passing yards allowed which tells you that a lack of ball security has Read more


Tags: NFL Houston Texans Denver Broncos Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

10.15.2013     01:23 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -0.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Use Baltimore +8.5 at part of a 2-team, 6-point teaser

These AFC North rivals must be disappointed with the way they’ve started their seasons. The Ravens came into 2013 fresh off a Super Bowl victory having signed Joe Flacco to a monster deal while shuffling up plenty of faces both on offense and defense. For the Steelers there was guarded optimism that with a little luck in the health department their 8-8 season from 2012 could be improved upon to get back into the playoffs in 2013. So far it hasn’t all gone to plan for either side.

The Steelers used their bye week to good effect putting together a game plan and executing at a high level. The defense held the Jets to just six points and forced a Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Otto Sports




College Football Handicapping: Community Power Ratings Week 8

10.15.2013     01:14 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Going forward, let’s just call these “community” Power Ratings. Feel free to post comments below or alert me on twitter (@jefffogle) if you think we have a misread on a team. The numbers already reflect a composite of market influences, stats, and college football discussions anyway. We’ll just call them “community” rankings for this sport.

Some of you who have known me awhile will recognize this from past years in sports betting forums. Though, back then I was trying to get a “power of the collective” thing going in the NFL. It generally ended up being my read of the markets with three of four nice posters stepping into say “thank you” afterward. Not really the COMMUNITY effort I was hoping for. But, a lot of people are shy, and just want to see some numbers anyway. I’m going to stick with “Estimated Market” ratings right now for the Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: UL-Lafayette travels to Western Kentucky

10.15.2013     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisiana-Lafayette at Western Kentucky -4 O/U 62.5

Funky early week matchup in the Sun Belt tonight with UL-Lafayette headed to Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers have covered three straight in the series, all as an underdog. WKU last played October 3, while ULL has played only one game since September 21. Historically, no real angle for home teams in these situations (31-29 SU, 28-31-1 ATS) but the UNDER has been a profitable bet at 16-25-1 O/U.




Tags: College Football UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Chargers win an ugly one over Colts

10.15.2013     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I first typed that as “Score,” but…

You had a pair of teams who are playing conservatively on offense this season…focusing on high percentage pass plays and runs unless they absolutely have to come out of their shell. San Diego was -8 in turnover differential coming in because Philip Rivers doesn’t come out of his shell well. That led to a grinder game where teams were content to run clock, settle for field goals, then hope the other team tripped while grinding.

Indianapolis lost because they dropped a few passes, and couldn’t convert on third downs…

San Diego 19 (+1), Indianapolis 9

Indianapolis: 267 yards, 5.6 per-play, 1 turnover, 20% third downs

San Diego: 374 yards, 5.2 per-play, 0 turnovers, 50% third downs

The Colts were better per play, but only ran 48 plays…compared to 72 for San Diego.

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: Indianapolis 74, Read more


Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts San Diego Chargers Stat Intelligence




NFL Week 6 Betting Recap

10.14.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Excellent betting recap of NFL Week 6 for our friend Stat Intelligence. Check out the links below...

Early Sunday NFL Linescores

Late Sunday NFL Linescores

NFL Week 6 Pace Factor

Cowboys cruise past Redskins



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 6

10.14.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 6.

Denver Broncos - This offense does NOT take downfield shots; arguably the best 'dink and dunk' attack I've ever seen. The passing game is just lots and lots of well executed short passes thrown by a remarkably accurate quarterback. Even on a day where the Broncos were clearly a little bit flat in a legitimate sandwich spot against the worst team in the league, the Broncos still had five offensive touchdowns compared to only three punts and zero field goal attempts.

But this secondary is officially a problem area, even with Champ Bailey active today. We all saw what Tony Romo did to them last week. Here, Chad Henne was converting on 3rd and 25’s and Justin Blackmon was catching 14 balls for 190 yards. Rahim Moore was dropping sure interceptions, they were getting gashed on the ground, and the pass rush wasn't there. To make matters worse, Denver has a cluster injury Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Jacksonville Jaguars New York Jets New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Houston Texans Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: St. Louis Rams at Houston Texans

10.13.2013     07:36 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis at Houston
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Houston -7 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Houston -7 (-120) O/U 42.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Houston -7
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Houston

The Texans, Gary Kubiak, and Matt Schaub will enter today’s contest under immense pressure after three straight losses. This matchup against the Rams will be a golden opportunity to bounce back.  It’s still a quality Texans team that will no doubt play with a chip on their shoulder.  In reality there’s no shame in losing to San Francisco and Baltimore on the road, and Seattle on their home turf for that matter.  The Texans have actually outgained all five of their opponents on the campaign.  In fact, they out-yarded their opponents by an average of 130 ypg.  This is still a dynamic offense that can beat teams on the ground and air.  Watch for their ground attack to hit on all Read more


Tags: NFL St. Louis Rams Houston Texans Erin Rynning




NFL Gambling Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

10.11.2013     07:54 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -1.5 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -2 O/U 45
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Tampa Bay -1.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Philadelphia -0.5 1st half

Tough to gauge how Tampa Bay is going to come out of the bye week after having so much conflict between head coach Greg Schiano and former quarterback Josh Freeman. They should come out with extreme intensity and their sights set on getting into the win column but if things go wrong at the outset of this contest they could get discouraged. The wretched play of the entire NFC East Division is the only reason Philadelphia remains in a somewhat confident place heading into this Sunday. Local media and fan base alike were all ready to jump ship on Chip Kelly’s initial season had the Eagles lost to the winless Giants last week, but the victory along with the solid play of backup Nick Foles have Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Tampa Bay Buccaneers Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Baylor Bears at Kansas State Wildcats

10.11.2013     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baylor at Kansas State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Baylor -10.5 O/U 72
CRIS Current: Baylor -17.5 O/U 73.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baylor -10
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Kansas State

Considering all the time that went into discussing this game in both the forum and podcast, I felt obligated to do this write-up. College football has changed so much over the last few years that profiles like this – WHO is laying WHAT at WHERE?? – no longer gain much attention. It’s the age of sophisticated offenses, sharp power ratings, and betting markets that would rather lay -30 with a dominant team than try to "hope for the best" with and outclassed foe despite the value. You can't accurately power rate what Baylor has done to this point simply because it is such rarified air. We've seen it with Oregon but the Ducks are a proven commodity whereas Baylor is not. The Read more


Tags: College Football Bayor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Big XII Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 24, 2014 04:01 PM.