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NFL Handicpaping: Week 2 Betting and Statistical Recap

09.16.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run the numbers…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness)

San Diego 33 (+7.5), Philadelphia 30

S-Diego: 539 yards, 6.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 67% third downs

Philadel: 511 yards, 8.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 45% third downs

(Whoever had the ball last was going to win, because both offenses were getting enough YPP at will to move the ball into scoring position. First glaring sign of Philly’s defensive weaknesses this Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.16.2013     06:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I'm well aware that Nebraska doesn't have the defensive players it had a few years back AND that the offense is playing at a faster clip hence more plays/opportunities for the opposition. However over the last two years we've seen the Cornhuskers fail repeatedly when asked to face competent offenses and what’s baffling to me is the lack of any sort of adjustment.

2012 Week 2 - UCLA racked up 653 yards on nearly 6.95 ypp.

2012 Week 6 - Ohio State popped for 63 on the Huskers at over 8 ypp.

2012 Big Ten Championship - Wisconsin hung 70 and nearly 11 ypp!

2012 Bowl Game - Georgia fell just shy of 600 yards at 8.3 ypp.

2013 Week 1 - Wyoming rolled into Lincoln and put up 602 yards (8.1 ypp) and nearly won outright as 31-point dogs.

These days playing defense against top-notch offenses isn't easy. But there are tons of teams with far less talent that are finding ways to get the occasional three-and-out.

One of my biggest bets of Week 3 was on Washington -4 second half vs. Illinois. The Huskies absolutely dominated the first half box score, kicked a FG right before half, and received the ball to start the second. It Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

09.15.2013     08:04 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Indianapolis
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Indianapolis pk O/U 43
CRIS Current: Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 43.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Indianapolis -2
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Indianapolis

The Dolphins were able to coast to a 23-10 win last week in Cleveland against the Browns.  However, they failed to overwhelm and were actually outgained by the Brown by 16 yards.  Their rushing attack was a grave concern with just 20 yards on 23 carries. Second year quarterback Ryan Tannehill is yet to prove he can play at a high level in the NFL.  It doesn’t help that he lacks weapons as well, and the tight end injury to Dustin Keller will prove difficult to overcome.  One could argue that free agent addition wide receiver Mike Wallace will be that true difference maker, but I feel strongly he’ll disappoint.  No question, the defense for the Dolphins will carry this team Read more


Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts Erin Rynning




NFL 20* Sunday -- Top Plays from the Sportsmemo Crew

09.15.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
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College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Oregon Ducks

09.13.2013     12:08 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Oregon
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -20 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Oregon -27.5 O/U 72
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -28
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Oregon

After hooking up its betting supporters for the ninth straight time as a road favorite in last week’s 59-10 win at Virginia, Oregon returns home Saturday to take on Tennessee for a 12:30 pm PT start on ABC.

As of early Friday, most books had the Ducks installed as 28-point favorites with the total as low as 71 and as high as 72.5. The line on Oregon opened -20 at CRIS and -24.5 Pinnacle but has steadily climbed throughout the week.

Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +1610 payout at CRIS (risk $100 to win $1,610). For first-half wagers, Oregon is favored by -16 or -17 with a total of 37.

These schools met at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville during Week 2 of the Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Brian Edwards




NFL Betting Recap: Ugly win and ATS loss for New England Patriots

09.13.2013     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was a perfect storm for sloppiness. Thursday night games have been sluggish in the NFL to begin with because it’s hard to prepare for an opponent in just a few days after going to war on a Sunday. The Jets were starting a rookie quarterback. The Patriots have a lot of new receivers. Naturally, at halftime, it also started to rain!

New England 13, NY Jets 10 (+10.5)

NYJ: 318 yards, 4.5 per-play, 4 turnovers, 33% third downs

N.E.: 232 yards, 3.6 per-play, 0 turnovers, 22% third downs

Wow…232 yards for a Tom Brady offense and only 22% on third down conversions. The team did manage to avoid turnovers, which was the difference-maker.

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: NY Jets 129, New England 54

Passing Stats: NY Jets 15-35-3-189, New England 19-39-0-178

Drive Points: NY Jets 3, New England 7

Stat Score: NY Jets 20, New England 13

Sloppiness: NY Jets 40, New England Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Jets Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Wisconsin Badgers should thrive under Andersen

09.13.2013     08:13 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buy the Wisconsin Badgers – The Badgers have a new face of the program as Gary Andersen moves to Wisconsin from Utah State.  Andersen obviously took over for Bret Bielema, who left the program for the SEC and Arkansas.  The move for the Badgers figures to be a step forward on Saturdays when the games are actually being played.  Bielema did a tremendous job on the recruiting trail and the development of players; however he was largely questioned as an in-game tactician.  This shouldn’t be the case for Andersen who overachieved with his teams at Utah State.  The Badgers will now feature tremendous talent and the X and O’s/game management of Andersen.  Offensively, the Badgers are loaded this season and perhaps flying under the radar.  As always, the run game will be the focus with the three-headed monster of James White, Melvin Gordon and super freshman Corey Clement.  The offensive line is deep and strong, while big play receiver Jared Abbrederis is a true difference maker.  Quarterback Joel Stave doesn’t garner much praise but don’t sleep in him as he runs the play action fake as well as Read more


Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Erin Rynning




NFL Gambling Preview: San Diego Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles

09.13.2013     08:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -7 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -7 (-120) O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Philadelphia -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Philadelphia

There’s no doubt that the Eagles offense is the flavor of the week this week. Head coach Chip Kelly’s innovative, extreme tempo system figures to be a lot for San Diego to handle, especially on a short work week. Couple those tasks with a cross country fight, an early 1:00 local time start, and their heart breaking season home opening loss to Houston and you instantly have a strong case for a fade. Defensive fatigue could also be a valid argument against the Chargers since Philadelphia is conditioned for their style and the entire nation saw Washington’s defense gassed in the first quarter last Monday night. A reenergized and rabid Eagles fan base will pack Lincoln Financial Field Read more


Tags: NFL San Diego Chargers Philadelphia Eagles Rob Veno




NFL Betting Stock Watch: Expect Dallas' mediocre ways to continue

09.13.2013     07:53 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the Dallas Cowboys – The Cowboys have been the poster boys for mediocrity in the NFL in each of the last two seasons with identical 8-8 records.  Obviously much more is expected but the franchise continues to underachieve.  Their underachieving ways are clearly noted in their ATS record of 12-20 over the prior two campaigns.  This season has much the same feel as the Cowboys are expected to fight for a playoff spot, however their leadership will fail to lead the way.  The management of the franchise continues to lack the cohesiveness and foresight to put things together on Sundays whether it’s the failings in the player personnel department or their in-game strategy.  The offense remains a question without an front five that can control the line of scrimmage over the course of the season.  The unit looked adequate Sunday night against the Giants, but a commanding lead eased the Giants' pass rush, which looked to be a notch down to begin with.  Other questions loom about 73-year-old defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin.  This was the strangest hire in the NFL off-season to begin with.  There’s Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma Sooners

09.13.2013     07:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tulsa at Oklahoma
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN 2
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -28 O/U 49
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -24.5 O/U 49.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -23
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oklahoma -14 1st half

Oklahoma's offense has looked pretty pedestrian thus far following the departures of quarterback Landry Jones and key wide receivers Kenny Stills and Justin Brown to the NFL. Trevor Knight was named the team's Week 1 starter but has been ruled out leaving Blake Bell in charge for Saturday's game against Tulsa. I'm not expecting the Sooners to march the ball up and down the field like we've seen in years past but I think this serves as good opponent and situation (bye week upcoming) for some offensive success. Tulsa currently has only two returning starters on its stop unit and we saw both Bowling Green (233 yards) and Colorado State (178) have success against the Golden Hurricane on the ground. Read more


Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane C-USA Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 24, 2014 10:21 AM.