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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies

05.28.2014     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Colorado (Lyles) +100 at Philadelphia (Hernandez) O/U 8
Recommendation: Colorado

I’m always interested in supporting the better team with the better starting pitcher at an underdog price!  That’s most assuredly the case at Citizens Bank Ballpark this evening, when the Rockies and Phillies battle in Philadelphia.

Philadelphia really doesn’t have much of a home field edge these days; five games under .500 playing in Philly this year while ranked #26 out of 30 MLB teams in home profitability.  Following last night’s loss, the Phillies are now in the midst of a 2-5 skid; just 4-8 in their last dozen at home.  And the Phillies tend to keep losing off a single loss, just 3-8 in this role in eleven previous tries this season.

That stands in sharp contrast to the Rockies, who rank #7 in MLB profits for their supporters. Colorado hasn’t made many headlines this year, but this under-the-radar squad is just one game behind the Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Philadelphia Phillies Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapping: Lincecum's pitch count soars last three starts

05.28.2014     08:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Probably worth keeping an eye on Tim Lincecum's start against the Chicago Cubs tonight. Lincecum topped 100 pitches only once in his first seven starts (91.9 per game). His last three starts have featured pitch counts of 113, 114, and 112. He also walked 13 batters and allowed 28 base runners in those three outings (19.2 IP).

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs

MLB Handicapping: Angels' Weaver nearly unhittable of late

05.27.2014     01:42 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article on Jered Weaver's improvements following a tough start to the season. Over his last seven starts, Weaver has flashed a 1.70 ERA despite striking out only 33 batters in 47.2 inning. Note that his BABIP during the span was a miniscule .221 as well. Weaver though reportedly made some minor adjustments to his workouts between starts and picked up a mph or two on his fastball. No question the guy still knows how to pitch but we've started to see the prices of his games jump a bit. Last time out he was a -165 favorite and opened tonight's game at Seattle in the -140 range before being bet down to -125.

“He was still effective early in season, but now, there’s a little more velocity,” Manager Mike Scioscia said. “That’s certainly going to help a pitcher like Jered, who depends on hitters respecting a certain amount of velocity to bring his off-speed stuff into the game. I saw him get some fastballs by some hitters tonight. He’s opening up some zones with his fastball, and that is really good to

Read more

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels Seattle Mariners

MLB Gambling Alert: Darvish out, Texas gives emergency start to Scott Baker

05.27.2014     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It was just announced that Texas' Yu Darvish will have an MRI on his neck and miss tonight's start vs. Minnesota. The Rangers will reportedly go with Scott Baker who got hammered for six runs in six innings at Detroit on Friday. He threw 87 pitches.

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Minnesota Twins

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

05.27.2014     10:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
San Diego (Stults) at Arizona (Miley) -120 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

With the roof expected open at Chase Field and two starting pitchers that have struggled with the long ball, we can project more than a few balls will leave the yard in tonight's Padres-Diamondbacks matchup. San Diego's Eric Stults is about as fringe a starter as you will see, even for the National League. His K rate is currently a career-low 4.44 per 9 and the FB/HR rate an alarming 14.1%. It is a rare occurrence but Stults is averaging a strikeout every TWO innings and has allowed at least one home run in eight of 10 starts despite averaging about 5 innings per start. Wade Miley has also been pitch-to-contact with a 15.6% FB/HR rate. Most alarming about Miley is for the third straight year his walk rate is up – more proof he’s no longer able to fool the league. In 29 innings of work at Chase Field, Miley's ERA sits at 7.14 with nine long balls. With the roof open last night we saw three home runs, 12 Read more

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Arizona Diamondbacks Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 5-27-2014 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers

05.27.2014     10:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Both cappers broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - American League and Interleague

Teddy Covers - National League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Teddy Covers

MLB Betting News and Notes 5/27/2014

05.27.2014     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
According to Baseball-Reference's Pythagorean Win-Loss record, the Oakland A's have been the "unluckiest" team in the American League. Based on their runs scored vs. allowed the A's should be 36-15 rather than 31-20 – which is still the best record in the AL.

Exactly 50% of Pittsburgh's game have been decided by 1 run. The Pirates are 14-11 in those contests.

The Royals are 24-26 overall but only 4-12 in 1-run games.

Despite having a right-handed heavy lineup, the San Francisco Giants are a MLB-best 20-11 vs. right-handed starters.

The Los Angeles Angels are 19-6 vs. teams below .500 and 9-16 vs. teams above .500.

The Phillies are 13-31 vs. the American League the last three seasons including this year's 1-8 mark.

The Giants are the most profitable team in the National League at +12.5 units.

The Diamondbacks are the least profitable team in the National League at -10.4 units.

The Blue Jays are the most profitable team in the American League at +8.3 units.

The Red Sox are the least profitable team in the American League at -14.5 units.

Biggest OVER teams: Marlins 30-17-5 Read more

Tags: MLB Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

05.26.2014     07:34 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Miami (Eovaldi) at Washington (Roark) -135 O/U 7
Recommendation: Washington

Things aren’t going as smoothly right now for Marlins starter Nate Eovaldi whose last three outings haven’t been nearly as sharp as his first seven. Despite getting the win over Philadelphia five days ago, the 24 year old right hander struggled, allowing 10 hits and a walk in six innings. Over his last three starts, Eovaldi has thrown a total of just 15.1 innings and yielded 26 hits and a very unimpressive seven strikeouts and seven walks. His last three WHIP’s have been 1.83, 2.54 and 2.20 which are drastically different from his previous seven starts where his high was 1.50 the other six were 1.17 or less. Eovaldi is currently in a stretch where he’s leaving pitches in dangerous parts of the strike zone and Miami manager Mike Redmond has expressed some concern saying that, “He’s having a tough time right now, it seems like, finishing off hitters”. His counterpart Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Washington Nationals Rob Veno

MLB Handicapping Free Play: Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

05.24.2014     07:53 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Chicago Cubs (Wood) +104 at San Diego (Buckner) O/U 7
Recommendation: Chicago

Chicago’s Travis Wood has pitched a little better than his 4.61 ERA and was given no favors of late with games against division foes St. Louis and Milwaukee as well as a start in bandbox Cellular Field. His K/9 (8.40) is actually two full strikeouts ahead of last year and his FIP of 3.59 is more than a full run less than his ERA. Tonight the extreme fly baller can rest easy knowing he can challenge hitters in the zone and likely avoid the long ball. The Padres will call up veteran journeyman Billy Buckner who was last seen slinging poop for the Angels last season. In 155.2 MLB innings, Bucker's ERA is over 6.00 and his K-to-BB ratio a dismal 110-61. And even though he was pitching in the hitter friendly PCL that last two seasons, Buckner still flashes alarmingly high WHIPs of 1.60 and 1.39. Offensively, both teams are obviously poor. Statistically the Padres are the worst offense in the National Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs San Diego Padres Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 5-23-2014 with Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

05.23.2014     11:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Both cappers broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - American League

Erin Rynning - National League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning


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