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MLB Gambling Alert: Padres call up Cuban rookie Despaigne

06.23.2014     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With Andrew Cashner's arm acting up, the San Diego Padres have called up Cuban defector Odrisamer Despaigne for tonight's start at San Francisco. Despaigne, a 27-year-old right hander, has a 6.03 ERA in seven minor league starts. It looks as if he does have swing-and-miss stuff with 41 Ks in 31.1 IP. The Padres are +145 underdogs with a total of 7.

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants

MLB Handicapping Free Play: Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays

06.22.2014     07:33 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) +105 at Tampa Bay (Bedard) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Houston

The Houston Astros will send southpaw Dallas Keuchel and his 2.63 ERA to the hill this afternoon. There’s nothing fluky about Keuchel’s stellar ERA this season (2.95 xFIP). He also sports a 3.6:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and an MLB-best 63.7% groundball rate among qualified starters. The major reason for his massive step forward has been the development of a plus slider which has been his go-to strikeout pitch. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s Eric Bedard was roughed up in his last start against Baltimore – a common theme and one that can be expected to continue this afternoon.  Bedard obviously doesn’t have the stuff he once possessed with a fastball that barely tops out at 90 mph and a slider with minimal bite. He’s currently showing a 4.33 ERA but that number is really iffy moving forward. Note too that Bedard has been a fly ball pitcher for much of the season and yet Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Tampa Bay Rays Erin Rynning

MLB Gambling Alert: Massive line moves highlight Friday's card

06.20.2014     12:12 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
For a late June MLB card, there sure were a lot of significant line moves today based on Pinnacle's lines. This late in the season, most moves beyond 20 cents have to do with injuries or lineup scratches. Not the case today. Let's take a look at the games that have seen heavy action.

Atlanta (Minor) at Washington (Strasburg)
Pinnacle Opener: Washington -170
Pinnacle Current: Washington -148

New York (Matsuzaka) at Miami (Alvarez)
Pinnacle Opener: Miami -133
Pinnacle Current: Miami -153

Baltimore (Jimenez) at New York (Kuroda)
Pinnacle Opener: New York -123
Pinnacle Current: New York -148

Detroit (Porcello) at Cleveland (Kluber)
Pinnacle Opener: Cleveland -117
Pinnacle Current: Cleveland -153

Houston (Cosart) at Tampa Bay (Price)
Pinnacle Opener: Tampa Bay -175
Pinnacle Current: Tampa Bay -194

Chicago (Noesi) at Minnesota (Nolasco)
Pinnacle Opener: Minnesota -113
Pinnacle Current: Minnesota -148

Boston (Doubront) at Oakland (Mills)
Pinnacle Opener: Oakland -125
Pinnacle Current: Oakland -152

Texas (Saunders) at Los Angeles Read more

Tags: MLB

Sports Betting Podcast 6-20-2014 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers

06.20.2014     10:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Both cappers broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - National League

Teddy Covers - American League and Interleague

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapping: Baltimore Orioles go with six-man rotation

06.20.2014     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Baltimore (Jimenez) at NY Yankees (Kuroda) -140 O/U 8.5

Not easy to find positives when dealing with Baltimore’s Ubaldo Jimenez. However, with the Orioles now going with a six-man rotation, Jimenez has performed well when pitching off of extra rest.

“I hope [it helps],” Orioles manager Buck Showalter said. “Some people say, ‘Well then is it too far away from pitching?’ In his case, he’s responded well to it, so we hope it happens again. Any time they get a little extra time with Dave, I’m for it. He’s one of the best. It’s a hard delivery to coach through, but his track record’s been pretty true through the second half of the season. We’re going to try to trust that.”

Read more

Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies

06.20.2014     08:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Milwaukee (Estrada) +100 at Colorado (Bergman) O/U 10.5
Recommendation: Milwaukee

Colorado's Christian Bergman is 2-for-2 in the quality start department but there is plenty to be concerned with. For starters, he's a soft-tossing right hander who needs pinpoint control in order to succeed. In 554 minor league innings, Bergman fanned only 385 batters. Second, he's already showing signs of being a fly ball pitcher which is obviously a bad thing in Coors Field. In two starts, he's allowed 30 fly balls and 17 line drives. At home against Atlanta, he managed to keep everything in the park but the box score shows five "deep" fly outs. It’s all a matter of time before the home run ball becomes an issue and Bergman ultimately gets sent back down. Milwaukee’s Marco Estrada is the poster child for "extreme fly ball pitcher" with a ridiculous 18.7% HR/FB rate – a stat that has nowhere to go but down. But when Estrada does keep the ball in the yard, he's been Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Colorado Rockies Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks

06.19.2014     10:03 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Milwaukee (Gallardo) -115 at Arizona (Anderson) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

It has without a doubt been a struggle for Yovani Gallardo this season but even after a pair of good outings against Pittsburgh and Cincinnati, I'm not ready to declare that he's righted the ship. Gallardo has an overall ERA of 3.51 but a FIP of 4.28 which is almost a run higher. His performance against the Pirates in particular where he threw 7 scoreless innings needs to have an asterisk placed next to it because both teams that day were rushing at the plate because the game was threatened to be delayed due to rain. Gallardo allowed 4 runs or more in back-to-back road starts prior to that outing in Pittsburgh and he's allowed 34 hits and struck out just 22 in 35 innings pitched on the road. Arizona scored 7 runs on 13 hits in 12 innings in the two times they faced Gallardo last season and should be in for some offensive success today. On the flip side, Chase Anderson gets the call for the Diamondbacks and he's Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Cameron

MLB Betting News: Miami Marlins call up lefty Andrew Heaney

06.19.2014     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
NY Mets (Wheeler) at Miami (Heaney) -115 O/U 7

Miami has called up top rated pitching prospect Andrew Heaney. The 23-year-old left-hander threw collegiately at Oklahoma State and was the team's first round draft pick in 2012. In 199 innings in the minor leagues Heaney fanned 198 and walked only 47.


Tags: MLB Miami Marlins

MLB Handicapping: Effective Velocity the wave of the future

06.19.2014     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
If you read one thing today make sure it's Jason Turbow's The Essence of Velocity. Lots of great, ahead-of-the-curve stuff. It also helps better explain why the Diamondbacks are 13 games under .500 and Kirk Gibson's managerial career is on borrowed time.

"Every statistic showed what I already knew was true," said Husband. "Big league hitters are like machines when it comes to hitting those 90-mph pitches, but they have limited ability to adjust — a reality that becomes even more stark when tunnels hide the identity of a pitch. The best, top-notch guys might be able to handle an 8-mph spread, but pitchers can work a 40-mph difference between their speeds. If they do things right, hitters simply can't catch up. It's why EV works. Unless a hitter is sitting on an inside or elevated fastball that's picking up effective velocity, he simply cannot react quickly enough to hit that ball with maximum efficiency."

Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.18.2014     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cincinnati (Simon) at Pittsburgh (Volquez) -115 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over

At this stage of the campaign, the betting markets have more than enough data to concentrate on full-season numbers.  But the full season numbers for both Cincinnati and Pittsburgh offensively don’t tell the story of the appropriate current form of these two lineups today.  That leaves legitimate value betting the Over on ‘baseline’ totals for both squads; two teams that are consistently lined in the same 7 or 7.5 range where we find them today.

The Reds couldn’t hit their way out of a wet paper bag for the better part of the first two months of the season.  Their aggregate numbers show Cinci ranked #29 out of 30 MLB teams in runs scored this year – only the Padres have gotten less production from their lineup.  But with Joey Votto off the DL, the Reds bats have come to life, pounding out 36 runs in their last six games.   As a team, Cinci Read more

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates Teddy Covers


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