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MLB Handicapping: De La Rosa and Shields strong vs. righties, weak vs. lefties

06.19.2015     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Some interesting dynamics to consider for tonight's San Diego-Arizona game. Both lineups are predominantly right-handed and will be tasked with facing two right-handed starters that both show very strong splits. San Diego's James Shields has been filthy on righties this season (.207 BAA, 5.82 K/BB ratio) but very weak against lefties (.289 BAAA, 2.86 K/BB ratio). The same can be said for Arizona's Rubby De La Rosa (.213 BAA, 5.44 K/BB ratio vs. righties; .321 BAA, 2.33 K/BB ratio vs. lefties). Who has the advantage (the game is currently a pick 'em) may come down to which team can platoon the most left-handed bats. Bettors would be advised to check out the lineups once they are released later this afternoon.

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners

06.18.2015     10:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
San Francisco (Vogelsong) at Seattle (Montgomery) -140 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Seattle

The Giants lineup is ice cold once again.  They were shut out last night, the fifth time in their last six games that San Francisco has been held to two runs or less.  We saw similar offensive struggles for the Giants when lineup sparkplug Hunter Pence was on the DL in April.  His second trip to the DL has been equally disastrous for this slumping lineup.  And with Aoki slumping at the top of the batting order as well, we can expect continued struggles for the Giants offensively.

That’s bad news against an unfamiliar lefty, as Mike Montgomery takes the hill for Seattle today.  Each of Montgomery’s first three big league starts has been strong, allowing only four runs in 19 innings of work.  The former first round pick was dealt to Seattle this past offseason; a guy who ranked among the Top 20 prospects in baseball earlier in his minor league career.  Behind him, Seattle’s bullpen is rested and ready following another gem from King Felix last night.

And it’s not hard to make a case for Read more

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapping: Injuries be damned as Rays sit atop AL East

06.18.2015     09:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The American League East is a jumbled mess with four team all within two games of one another. But at the top of the heap is the Tampa Bay Rays (+6 units) who despite a litany of key injuries, continue to play great baseball. What should worry the rest of the division is a number of their injured players are expected to return at some point. The Rays sport the second-best ERA in the AL at 3.39 despite having what we would consider four above average starters currently on the shelf -- two of which haven't even thrown a pitch this season.

Alex Cobb - Tommy John, out for the season.

Matt Moore - Currently rehabbing after last year's Tommy John surgery. Owns a career ERA of 3.53 in 347 IP.

Desmond Jennings - Not much with the bat but a plus defender, Jennings (knee surgery) has played in only 18 games.

Drew Smyly - Made three starts (2.70 ERA) but shoulder problems put in on the DL. There's a chance he'll return after the All-Star break.

James Loney - Loney's been out since late May with a bum finger. Last season, he batted .290 with 69 RBI. This season, he's played in only 30 games.

Jake Odorizzi - Posted a 2.47 ERA in 12 Read more

Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays

Max Scherzer crushes teammates in various gambling pools

06.18.2015     09:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Proof that Washington's Max Scherzer is the coolest cat on the planet. He's the Nats' bookie!

“There’s just a lot jealousy from my teammates because I run these pools and I tend to win a lot of them,” Scherzer said. “So they get really jealous that I put them on and that I happen to win them as well.”

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox

06.17.2015     11:12 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Locke) at Chicago (Danks) +100 O/U 9
Recommendation: Chicago

Not sure there’s many (if any) situations where backing Pirates lefty Jeff Locke as a favorite on the road is a wise wager. In his five starts away from PNC this season, Locke owns a non-skewed 2.03 WHIP and 8.37 ERA. He’s been consistently bad posting a game WHIP of 1.42 or higher and game ERA of 5.69 or higher in four of his five outings. He hasn’t made it beyond 4 IP in three of his five road starts and he’s allowed 54 total bases in just 23.2 road innings this season. Obviously the White Sox have been light hitting all season (especially vs. lefties) and they’ve only scored one run in their last three games but facing Locke at the Cell could be a great elixir. The series shift to Chicago figures to help the White Sox a bit since they are 16-12 at home as opposed to 12-23 on the road. Chi Sox starter John Danks has been an overall mess himself this season but his home performances show three quality starts in five tries. The Pirates are not an offensive juggernaut either scoring just 30 runs in their last 10 games (11 in one) which makes them Read more

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Chicago White Sox Rob Veno

MLB Betting Podcast 6-17-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron

06.17.2015     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron. Ian and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Ian Cameron - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Ian Cameron Andrew Lange

MLB Betting Podcast 6-16-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

06.16.2015     12:00 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Teddy, ER, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's entire MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - Interleague EGOTB Part I

Erin Rynning - Interleague EGOTB Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox

06.16.2015     10:07 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Atlanta (Teheran) +150 at Boston (Miley) O/U 9
Recommendation: Atlanta

The Atlanta Braves look to sweep the Boston Red Sox this afternoon in the finale of a short two-game series in Fenway before the series flips to Atlanta for two more games. The Braves send Julio Tehran to the hill who has struggled at times this year, but has also showed flashes of dominance behind his four seam fastball/change-up combination. He will oppose Wade Miley for the Red Sox. Miley, who sports an ERA north of 5.00, did have a 21.2 inning stretch at the end of May where he yielded only three earned runs. If you have been following the Red Sox lately that solid stretch from Miley is ancient history. Boston has lost 7 straight games with a run differential of -17 during the losing streak. In Miley’s last start he lasted only four innings yielding 5 earned runs with a FIP (of 11.35. He and manager John Farrell had a confrontation in the dugout shortly after Miley was taken out of the game. Miley’s swinging strike % is currently at a career low 7.1% -- welcome to the American League -- which is not a good combination when facing a team that has been scorching Read more

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox Drew Martin

MLB Gambling Update: Red Sox getting heavy play in the betting markets

06.15.2015     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly

There's no possible way it can get worse for the Boston Red Sox, right? After getting swept by Baltimore, they accomplished the dubious feat again this past weekend at the hands of recently unstoppable Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox are an intriguing study because despite being eight games out of first place, there are no dominant teams in the American League East. Boston has a small window of opportunity with a four-game (two home, two road) set vs. Atlanta. But then it's back to the grind with a three-game series in Kansas City and then 10 straight vs. the AL East -- 7 of which on the road. We've noticed the betting markets have been fairly active in fading this squad but that's not case for tonight's game vs. the Braves. Rick Porcello opened -130 at Pinnacle and was bet up to -170. Not too often you see a 40 cent move towards a last place team in such poor form.


MLB Handicapping: Red Read more

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Atlanta Braves

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers

06.13.2015     05:50 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Minnesota (Pelfrey) +110 at Texas (Lewis) O/U 9
Recommendation: Minnesota

Last week we got Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey as a short home underdog and he rewarded us with yet another solid outing. Pelfrey tossed 8 innings of shutout ball with a season-high seven strikeouts in a 2-0 win over Milwaukee. While we're not getting as juicy a price, Pelfrey continues to be discounted in the betting markets because of his inability to miss bats (34 Ks in 67 IP). The key though is that he's been able to offset it with a stellar 55% groundball rate which will come in handy pitching in the heat of Texas. Given the current betting marketplace, it's the guys who aren't sexy (low K-rate, so-so FIP, but know how to pitch) that provide some of the best value. Also note that Texas' lineup is better suited to face righties but Pelfrey has a very strong reverse split (.196 BA vs. lefties, .291 vs. righties). Unlike Pelfrey, I don't see much upside with Colby Lewis, especially pitching at home moving forward. Lewis sports a 4.42 ERA and 4.50 FIP despite being an extreme flyballer with an extremely fortunate 6.3% HR/FB rate. Meaning his home run rate (7 in 73.1 IP) is about to Read more

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Texas Rangers OTTO Sports


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