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MLB Handicapping: Washington Nationals about to step up in class

04.29.2016     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We don't often talk about strength of schedule when it comes to MLB but here's an interesting take on the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves. The Nationals are off to a 14-7 start -- 14-4 prior to losing three straight to the Phillies. Check out who they've played: Atlanta (6 games), Philadephia (6 games), Miami (6 games), and Minnesota (3 games). The Nats' schedule is about to get significantly tougher with a 10-game road swing against St. Louis, Kansas City, and the Chicago Cubs. The Braves are on the complete opposite end of the spectrum. They've faced Washington (6 games), St. Louis (3 games), Miami (3 games), the Los Angeles Dodgers (3 games) and Boston (4 games). This doesn’t change the fact that the Nationals are legitimate contenders in the NL East and the Braves are the worst team in baseball. But both teams’ schedules have played a role in the somewhat extreme results.

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves

MLB Betting Podcast 4-28-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

04.28.2016     09:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked today's MLB slate.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers

04.28.2016     09:55 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Miami (Fernandez) at Los Angeles (Maeda) -125 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Under

We have two impressive starters on the mound here with Jose Fernandez for Miami and Kenta Maeda for Los Angeles. Fernandez hasn’t been at his absolute best in April but we know he has the stuff to be a dominant starter. This should be a good matchup for him considering the Dodgers haven't faced him in two years and in three career starts, he held LA to six earned runs as the Marlins won all three games. Kenta Maeda has been dominant, allowing just one run in 25.1 innings of work through his first four starts. Not only are the stats impressive, but when you watch Maeda throw, he induces a lot of weak contact and swings and misses which speaks to the high level of his stuff. Miami has a very erratic lineup which can be productive in certain games and feeble in others and it’s worth noting they have been weaker against right-handed starters this season which should lead to another potential strong outing from Maeda. I saw plenty of feeble at-bats last night from these two teams despite facing a couple of hittable pitchers in Justin Nicolino and the aging, declining Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Los Angeles Dodgers Ian Cameron

MLB Betting: Chicago and Arrieta laying as high as -400 vs. Milwaukee

04.28.2016     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We thought we were in rarified territory earlier this week when Clayton Kershaw was laying -310 against Miami. Note that the Dodgers lost that game snapping a streak of 12 straight wins by favorite of -300 or more. Today, a few sportsbooks are dealing -400 on Jake Arrieta and the Cubs as they take on the Brewers. You have to go back to 2008 to find the last -400 fav -- ironically it was the Cubs and Rich Harden (?!) against Washington’s Jason Bergmann. Over the last two years, the Cubs are 29-8 +17.7 units with Arrieta on the hill. Of course we've come a long ways value-wise from Arrieta's -110 home price tag against Lance Lynn and the Cardinals to open last season.

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs

Sports Betting Podcast 4-27-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Erin Rynning

04.27.2016     01:25 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Erin Rynning. Drew and host Andrew Lange discussed tonight's MLB games while ER talked NBA Playoffs.

Today's segments
Drew Martin - MLB

Erin Rynning - NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Drew Martin Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels

04.27.2016     01:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Kansas City (Young) +120 at Los Angeles (Tropeano) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Kansas City

Here’s an excerpt that I’ve been cutting and pasting when betting on Chris Young games for the last two seasons.  It’s (obviously) still pertinent and valid:

“Young is a veteran hurler – he’s been in the majors since 2004 – and a bright guy, a Princeton graduate.  He’s also extraordinarily tall at 6-10 with a tendency to throw high strikes, resulting in awkward angles for many opposing batters as they try to take him deep.  This bright, experienced veteran now has a CAREER xFIP of more than a full run higher than his career ERA.  Two years ago, it was more than a run and a half higher. Last year it was close to a run and a half differential between xFIP and ERA.  Over one season, this would be an anomaly.  Over a decade, it’s a clear pattern.  Young’s fairly unique skill set allows him to leave high fastballs over the plate and still get fly ball outs.  The advanced metric numbers don’t see the method behind the stats, which leaves Young as a Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies

04.27.2016     09:33 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Niese) at Colorado (Gray) -105 O/U 10.5
Recommendation: Colorado

The Colorado Rockies host the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight for the third game of a four-game set. The Rockies have been slumping, losers of four in a row and six of their last seven. Their struggles showed badly last night where Pittsburgh All-Star center fielder Andrew McCutchen launched three home runs in the Pirates' 9-4 victory. Pittsburgh hit five home runs in all, three of them off Colorado starter Jorge De La Rosa who departed from the game after just three innings because of an injured left groin. To no surprise, Colorado owns the worst team ERA (5.87) in baseball. Tonight, they’ll send young righty Jon Gray to the mound to try to snap a seven-game losing streak to the Pirates.  The Rockies are hoping the hard-throwing, highly touted Gray can become a top-of-the-rotation arm. He’s yet to figure out Coors Field (8.42 ERA in 6 career starts) but the sample is too small to completely write him off. What we do know is Gray can miss bats with a strikeout per inning throughout his Minor League and brief MLB career. After allowing three runs in the first Read more

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Colorado Rockies Drew Martin

MLB Handicapping: Minnesota Twins call up top-rated pitching prospect

04.27.2016     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Rumor has it the Twins have a starting pitcher who can actually miss some bats. Following injuries to Ervin Santana and Kyle Gibson, Minnesota called up one of its highest rated prospects, Jose Berrios. Berrios, who is about to turn 22 years old, had a K-rate above 9 during stints at Double- and Triple-A last season. Here's a list of pitchers that received similar scouting grades to Berrios. He's slated to start tonight against Cleveland. The Twins went from +105 underdogs to -110 favorites.

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Cleveland Indians

MLB Betting Podcast 4-26-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers

04.26.2016     11:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Rob, Teddy, and host Andrew Lange talked today's MLB slate.

Today's segments
Full Show - MLB EGOTB

Rob Veno - National League

Teddy Covers - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Yankees at Texas Rangers

04.26.2016     09:45 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
New York (Severino) -115 at Texas (Griffin) O/U 9
Recommendation: New York

New York's Luis Severino came into this season with a lot of fanfare following 2015's 11 starts and 2.89 ERA. It's however been a struggle as Severino has been smacked around for 25 hits in 16.2 IP. Prior to his last start, he made some mechanical adjustments that seemed to work as he produced his first quality start of the season (6 IP, 2 ER) vs. Oakland. It was far from a stellar effort as the Yankees' defense saved a few runs but with his velocity up I see bettor efforts on the horizon. Texas' AJ Griffin has consistently outpitched his peripherals with a 3.58 career ERA and 4.36 FIP. A lot of that has to do with Griffin being an extreme fly ball pitcher but tossing in the friendly confines of Oakland. During his lone full season as a starter in 2013, Griffin allowed 21 home runs in 95.2 IP on the road. The Yankees have struggled with the bats this season but should be primed for some offense after facing five straight left-handed starters. Also note that Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller threw an inning apiece during last night's 3-1 win but combined for only 19 pitches and Read more

Tags: MLB New York Yankees Texas Rangers OTTO Sports


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