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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates

08.07.2015     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Los Angeles (Kershaw) at Pittsburgh (Cole) +125 O/U 6
Recommendation: Pittsburgh

I understand that Clayton Kershaw is in the midst of another impressive scoreless innings streak on the heels of his 41 inning scoreless streak from last year.  That being said, the Dodgers are just 4-4 in Kershaw’s last eight starts.  His road ERA (3.03) is nearly twice as high as his ERA at pitcher friendly Dodger Stadium.  And Pirates sluggers Aramis Ramirez, Chris Stewart and Andrew McCutcheon all have good track records against Kershaw. 

The Pirates have won each of their last three series with the Dodgers.  They’ve played .667 baseball at home this year; enjoying a significant homefield edge.  That stands in sharp contrast with LA’s consistent road struggles – the Dodgers have lost more than 13 units for their supporters while sitting at three games under .500 on the highway.  LA’s ongoing road woes are the reason why Don Mattingly’s squad ranks among the bottom ten teams in baseball in terms of profitability.

The Pirates, on the other hand, once again rank among the top five Read more

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Pittsburgh Pirates Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals

08.06.2015     10:22 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Arizona (Hellickson) at Washington (Ross) -165 O/U 7
Recommendation: Over

These teams played a high scoring 11-4 contest last night and I expect to see enough runs to cash an over ticket this afternoon. Jeremy Hellickson was hammered in his last start against Houston allowing 7 runs in 3.1 innings which is just part of a very rough track record for him on the road as he enters this game with a 5.94 ERA in 10 road outings in 2015. Hellickson struggled against the Washington Nationals in his lone start against them earlier this season allowing 4 runs in 5.2 innings of work and he should be in a tough spot here once again. Joe Ross gets the start for the Nats and he has been solid to this point allowing 3 runs or less in each of his six MLB starts but one thing that does jump out is his daytime ERA which sits at 3.79 and is a run and a half higher than his ERA under the lights. Arizona’s lineup has been in a groove for the last week or so scoring at least 4 runs in seven of its last 9 games and the Nationals bullpen got extended work last night after a rough 5 inning start from Gio Gonzalez which could open the door for some late runs. Both teams Read more

Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks Washington Nationals Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers

08.05.2015     07:59 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Kansas City (Cueto) -160 at Detroit (Boyd) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under

Johnny Cueto just pulled off arguably the toughest two venues in MLB with an 8-inning, 0 ER effort at Coors Field followed by a 6-inning, 3 ER American League debut at Toronto. I think we'll see Cueto's dominance cool off some with the move to the AL but his profile is a good one against a right-handed heavy Tigers lineup. Keep in mind that against right-handers Miguel Cabrera (DL) and Yoenis Céspedes (traded to Mets) batted a combined .335 with 26 home runs. Rookie Matt Boyd will make his Tigers debut tonight as he squares off against Kansas City. Boyd, a lefty, came over in the David Price trade. He made two starts for Toronto in the Rogers Centre where he allowed five home runs in 6.2 innings which is a concern but his Minor League numbers (2.38 ERA, 9.38 K per 9) suggest he's got some upside. His fly ball tendencies and coming from the left side put him a better position to succeed tonight in Comerica against the Royals.  And behind the dish tonight will be Marty Foster who over his last 116 games dating back to 2012 has delivered a solid 57% unders. He's Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays

08.04.2015     10:17 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Minnesota (Hughes) at Toronto (Estrada) -160 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Toronto

Few pitchers are as hittable as Minnesota's Phil Hughes as he allowed 158 hits and 25 home runs in 135.2 innings. Adding to that is the fact that he's only fanned 80 batters. Hughes as we know is an extreme fly ball pitcher which suggests that his 4.11 ERA has nowhere to go but up moving forward. He walks into a tough spot tonight with having to navigate Toronto's lineup in the Rogers Centre. Note also that despite coming from the right side, Hughes' split are far worse against right-handed batters (.308 BA/.540 SLG) which we know the Jay have plenty of. Like Hughes, Marco Estrada is a big time fly baller but has somehow managed to keep the home runs in check (7.2% FB/HR rate).  Estrada continues to keep batters off balance with an array of offspeed pitches which has led to a very respectable 3.53 ERA. It's a number that I'm not sure he'll be able to sustain but I give him the edge over Hughes who as mentioned, is walking into arguably his toughest start of the season. Seeing a few shops with sub -160 price tags which is the way I'll go with the home side.

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Toronto Blue Jays Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Miami Marlins

08.03.2015     10:46 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
New York (Colon) at Miami (Koehler) +100 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Miami

New York’s three-game weekend sweep of Washington has vaulted them into a first place tie in the NL East and created a buzz of new confidence and expectations. Front office work prior to the trade deadline last Friday has upgraded personnel in key spots and proved to the team they’re committed to winning this year. Continuing the current high and consistently maintaining a playoff level of play is the next step for the Mets who travel to Miami to face a Marlins team which is 19 games below .500. It’s a bit easier for New York to perform when they roll out aces Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom and Noah Syndergaard for a three-game home stand but now they take to the road where they’re 17-32 on the season in a setting that won’t be nearly as emotionally charged as Citi Field was the past three days. There is also the fact that tonight’s starter Bartolo Colon has been lousy away from home all season and overall hasn’t been that good anywhere recently. Colon is 3-6 on the road in his nine starts with a 5.57 ERA and he’s 0-5 in his last five Read more

Tags: MLB New York Mets Miami Marlins Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Texas Rangers

08.01.2015     07:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
San Francisco (Heston) at Texas (Hamels) -125 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Texas

There have been three no-hitters thrown this season and two of the three pitchers responsible for the feats will square off tonight in Texas with Chris Heston taking on newly acquired Cole Hamels. Despite not having eye-popping stuff, Heston has essentially carried the Giants' staff this season as the team sports a 13-7 record when he toes the rubber. But tonight marks a massive step up in class with an AL lineup suited to hit soft-tossing righties in a hitter friendly park and ultra-warm temps. Just look at some of the instances where Heston was asked to throw outside the comforts of home in a difficult venue. In two outings at Coors Field he gave up 12 earned runs and in Cincinnati he lasted only two innings after giving up seven hits and five earned runs. Some will have some concern with Hamels following his 129-pitch no-hitter against the Cubs. Now all of a sudden he's getting thrust into the American League to pitch in one of the best hitter's parks in the league. Note however that he'll be throwing on a full week's rest and historically, the Read more

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Texas Rangers Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 7-31-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Drew Martin

07.31.2015     10:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Drew Martin. Teddy talked MLB while Drew and host Andrew Lange broke the Sun Belt.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB

Drew Martin - Sun Belt Preview Part I

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB College Football Sun Belt Teddy Covers Drew Martin Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

07.31.2015     10:40 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Detroit (Farmer) at Baltimore (Chen) -170 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

My clients and I cashed an easy winner over the total between these two teams last night and I have no reservations about looking toward another high scoring affair involving two solid lineups and two very suspect pitchers on a warm and humid night in Baltimore. Buck Farmer gets the nod for Detroit tonight and he is nothing more than a fringe arm with very little upside. Farmer has been hit hard in each of his two starts this season allowing 12 runs on 17 hits in just 10.1 innings of work against the LA Angels and Cleveland while allowing 3 home runs in those starts. The Orioles have scored 29 runs in their last 6 games in very good form at the plate and should score their share of runs tonight against Farmer and the woeful Tigers bullpen behind him which almost coughed up a huge 9-2 lead last night. On the flip side, Wei-Yin Chen has actually been more good than bad this season but he has shown signs of wearing down a bit in the hot summer months as his hits allowed have skyrocketed in each of his last three starts. He’s given up 8, 10 and 6 hits and he yielded a pair of home Read more

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Baltimore Orioles Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Oakland A's

07.30.2015     10:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cleveland (Carrasco) -130 at Oakland (Bassitt) O/U 7
Recommendation: Cleveland

The Indians come into this game with a very different mindset compared to the A’s.  The Tribe snapped their losing streak yesterday, exploding for 12 runs against the Royals, cruising to victory behind a gem from Corey Kluber.  Manager Terry Francona: “I think we needed it on a number of fronts. We needed that. That'll help us."  Shortstop Francisco Lindor: “It was very important for us to get our confidence back.”  And while Cleveland dealt away veteran bats Brandon Moss and David Murphy, their starting pitching staff remains intact; not a team embarked on a long term rebuilding plan.

The A’s, on the other hand, are in the midst of a fire sale.  They’ve traded away key arms like Scott Kazmir and Tyler Clippard, along with their prized offseason acquisition, Ben Zobrist.  The A’s suffered yet another late game meltdown last night, blowing a three run seventh inning lead while losing for the fifth time in their last six games.  On a rare night where the A’s offense was in good Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Oakland A's Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at New York Mets

07.28.2015     08:56 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
San Diego (Shields) at New York (Syndergaard) -135 O/U 7
Recommendation: Under

The San Diego Padres fly across the country to start a 10-game road trip tonight in New York. Padres’ starter James Shields will face off against Mets’ righty Noah Syndergaard in pitcher friendly Citi Field. Shields faced the Mets this year in early June and had success tossing 7 innings with 6 hits and only 2 runs. Shields also has a very impressive opponents’ .453 OPS when facing current Mets including a sample size of 117 at-bats. Syndergaard has struggled at times this year posting a 4-5 record but has thrived when tossing in Citi Field. He sports a 1.74 ERA at home compared to a 4.34 ERA on the road. Dig a little bit more and we see really strong home splits: .200/.242/.257 in 41.1 innings. And coming from the right side, Sydergaard has the chance to shine as the Padres own a sub-.300 OBP and .662 OPS vs. righties this season – some of the worst numbers in MLB. Even with the warm temps, a generous total of 7 (it opened 6.5) makes the under very playable.

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres New York Mets Drew Martin


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