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NFL Gambling Preview: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

11.08.2013     02:08 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati at Baltimore
Sunday, 10 am PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -2.5 O/U 42
CRIS Current: Cincinnati O/U 44.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Baltimore pk
Brian Edwards’ Recommendation: Over

If Baltimore (3-5 straight up, 3-5 against the spread) has any hopes of getting back into the AFC North race, it desperately needs a win Sunday vs. Cincinnati. As of Friday, most books had the Bengals favored by -1.5 with a total of 44.

Cincinnati (6-3 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) has had a few extra days of preparation after losing a 22-20 decision at Miami last Thursday. The Bengals suffered the overtime defeat as 3-point road chalk.

Marvin Lewis’s team leads the AFC North with a 1.5-game advantage over second-place Cleveland. The Bengals had won four in a row before being knocked off by the Dolphins.

Even worse than the loss at Miami was the season-ending ACL tear sustained by Read more


Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Brian Edwards




NFL Handicapping: Ravens tried to open up offense vs. Steelers

10.22.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Desperate to get their run game going, the Baltimore Ravens tried to spread things out during last week's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Joe Flacco worked out of the shotgun and ran the no-huddle for a majority of the game. The change didn't do much as the Ravens finished with 287 totals yards and 82 yards on the ground (3.2 ypc). They were fairly efficient in between the 20-yard lines but settled for four field goals. Baltimore is on a bye and plays host to Cincinnati the following Sunday.


“We wanted to do a little of that and see if we could keep them on the field and run them around a little bit,” Flacco said.

“We wanted to see if we could run the ball still with some good looks rather than just sticking it up in there,” Flacco said. “We wanted to see if we could get ourselves some advantageous looks to run against. I thought we moved the ball pretty well.”






Tags: NFL Balimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals




NFL Handicapping: Second half betting trends for Week 7

10.18.2013     01:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This week’s blog is a bit different than the previous weekly writings. I decided to go more specific this week and focused in on five Sunday NFL games that have some strong early season first half and second half betting trends. Let’s see if these continue to be money makers this weekend:  

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS and 0-5 O/U in second half play this year. The Buccaneers have only had one 2H total score more than 13 points. Tampa has scored one field goal in their last three second halves combined. They lost the 2H 6-0 three weeks ago at New England, 13-0 two weeks ago at home vs. Arizona and 17-3 last week at home against Philadelphia. 

Atlanta is 1-4 ATS and 4-1 O/U in the 2H this season. All four pointspread losses are either as pick ‘em or an underdog, their lone cover was as a favorite. In the Falcons last four games, the 2H totals have resulted in 27 or more points.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore has been a tremendous second half team rattling off five consecutive straight up and ATS wins. Until last week’s 17-13 2H win and cover against Green Read more


Tags: NFL Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

10.15.2013     01:23 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
CRIS Current: Pittsburgh -2.5 O/U 40.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore -0.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Use Baltimore +8.5 at part of a 2-team, 6-point teaser

These AFC North rivals must be disappointed with the way they’ve started their seasons. The Ravens came into 2013 fresh off a Super Bowl victory having signed Joe Flacco to a monster deal while shuffling up plenty of faces both on offense and defense. For the Steelers there was guarded optimism that with a little luck in the health department their 8-8 season from 2012 could be improved upon to get back into the playoffs in 2013. So far it hasn’t all gone to plan for either side.

The Steelers used their bye week to good effect putting together a game plan and executing at a high level. The defense held the Jets to just six points and forced a Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Otto Sports




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 6

10.10.2013     11:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

An updated look at our estimated Power Ratings for the NFL based on how the market is pricing teams this week as of late Wednesday afternoon. Looks like things are starting to settle into more logical places. We’ve been scratching our heads about a few things the last couple of Wednesdays. The questions we were asking turned out largely to be very good questions. The market seems to be learning from its week-to-week incoherence. Just took longer than usual this time around.

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

91: Denver

85: Seattle, Green Bay

84: New Orleans (at home), San Francisco

83: New Orleans (on the road)

82: New England, Indianapolis

81: Cincinnati, Dallas, Detroit

80: Chicago, Houston, Kansas City

79: Baltimore, Miami, Atlanta

78: San Diego, Philadelphia, Washington, Carolina

77:

76: Minnesota, St. Louis, NY Giants, Arizona, Pittsburgh

75: Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens

10.09.2013     12:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay at Baltimore
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Green Bay -3.5 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -3 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore pk
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

We got two underrated defenses facing off against two offenses that are struggling in the red zone AND committed to running the football . Put those three factors together with the consistently high totals in the modern NFL era and the case for the Under is perfectly clear.

Let me start with the defenses. Green Bay got Morgan Burnett back in the lineup at safety last week after missing the first three games of the season and he definitely had an impact, saving a potential big play TD with a beautiful pass breakup. The Packers front seven really controlled the field against Detroit, and there’s no reason to think they won’t be able to do it again here even without Clay Matthews relentless pass rushing Read more


Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Baltimore seeks better run game vs. Miami

10.03.2013     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Miami -3 O/U 43.5

Throughout the week the talk in Baltimore has been trying to rediscover the run game. Running backs Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce were all for it after only 64.0 ypg on the ground through the first four weeks of the season. But like the Steelers and Giants who also rank near the bottom of the league in most rushing statistics, most of the problems stem from poor offensive line play.


"We've got to run the ball better," Rice said. "You saw the difference in the first half with [Buffalo]. They're running the ball for four, five yards at time and putting themselves in manageable third downs, and we're not doing that.

"That's tough on everybody. That's tough on our passing game, on Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Miami Dolphins




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 4

09.30.2013     07:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC Tidbits from Week 4.

Cincinnati Bengals – This offense should be very tough to get off the field on third downs. Andy Dalton has great chemistry with AJ Green, and the constant double teams that Green demands are supposed to open things up for Jermaine Gresham and Tyler Eifert down the seams along with Mohammed Sanu on the other side. All four guys are tall receivers, easy for Dalton to chuck the ball up to and let them make a play on it. But nobody was making plays here, a real lackluster effort in a divisional game. And Green was essentially shut down by Joe Haden, which, in turn, didn’t allow for the weapons around him to get opportunities in space.

Cinci has cluster injuries in the secondary without Leon Hall and Reggie Nelson; an attack of bad hamstrings. But defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer coached up his replacements – this loss cannot be blamed on the stop unit. James Harrison was a Read more


Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.25.2013     06:15 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down The Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
Like I did last week, I will take a look at the groups of winless and undefeated ATS teams after Week 3 of the season. Dallas, Miami, Seattle and the New York Jets are 3-0 ATS. Houston, St. Louis, Jacksonville, New York Giants, Pittsburgh, and Washington are 0-3 ATS.

Dallas had a dominant showing on both sides of the football against St. Louis. Miami was heavily outgained by Atlanta but put together a last minute game winning touchdown drive to get the win. Seattle crushed lowly Jacksonville. The NY Jets won the battle of rookie quarterbacks against Buffalo. I think the team most likely to fall out of the undefeated ATS ranks in Week 4 is Miami who will be taking a step up in class on the road against a New Orleans Saints team that has played solid defense for the first time in ages to go along with their potent offense.

The New York Giants and Pittsburgh Steelers are two teams that have been very good for nearly a decade yet they here they sit, 0-3 ATS. And I’m not sure either one has it in them to turn things around and get back on track. Both teams’ struggles show how Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




NFL Handicpaping: Week 2 Betting and Statistical Recap

09.16.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run the numbers…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness)

San Diego 33 (+7.5), Philadelphia 30

S-Diego: 539 yards, 6.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 67% third downs

Philadel: 511 yards, 8.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 45% third downs

(Whoever had the ball last was going to win, because both offenses were getting enough YPP at will to move the ball into scoring position. First glaring sign of Philly’s defensive weaknesses this Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 28, 2014 04:04 AM.