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Dude wins $8,500 from NFL owner
01.23.2013 02:03 PM
Printer Friendly
Wouldn't it be nice if sportsbooks and locals were this gracious – and timely with their payouts? Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay tweeted that he'd pay $8,500 to the first person to
correctly predict the score
of last week's AFC Championship. One dude guessed Baltimore 27-14 and despite being a point off (Ravens won 28-13) he received a FedEx package with the full amount and a note from Irsay.
Tags:
NFL
Indianapolis Colts
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Super Bowl XLVII Betting: Baltimore Ravens now a +3.5 underdog offshore
01.23.2013 12:24 PM
Printer Friendly
Baltimore
+3.5 vs.
San Francisco
O/U 47.5
Quick update on the Super Bowl XLVII betting markets. Thus far a majority of the side action has come in on the Baltimore Ravens. We've seen the line tick down from +5 to its current number of +3.5. Action on the under has the total down from an opener of 49 (CRIS) to 47.5. Las Vegas has a few shops (Wynn, William Hill) dealing -4 while a majority of totals sit at 48.
Line history courtesy of The Greek.
Tags:
NFL
San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
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Super Bowl XLVII betting handle could break all-time record
01.22.2013 12:10 PM
Printer Friendly
Super Bowl XLVII between the San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens is expected to produce
near-record betting numbers
for Nevada sportsbooks. The highest handle ($94.5 million) came in Super Bowl XL; Pittsburgh defeated Seattle 21-10.
"It's an intriguing match up because the coaches are brothers," says Jay Kornegay, vice president of Las Vegas' Superbook, the world's largest race and sports betting book. "The Ravens, the hottest team, may not have a large fan base, but they certainly add an intriguing element. There's the fact Ray Lewis is retiring. It's one of the better teams versus the hottest team."
Tags:
NFL
San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
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Princess the Camel causes screen to go black after big bet on Baltimore Ravens
01.22.2013 07:09 AM
Printer Friendly
Princess the Camel has you covered for yet another
Super Bowl winner
. She's apparently LARGE on Baltimore.
"She loves graham crackers. In one palm we write down with one of these magic markers the 49ers, and on the other, the Ravens. We cover them with graham cracker so she can't see. Whichever she chooses to eat first is her pick," Bergmann said. "She picked the 49ers to win yesterday, and they did."
"Over seven years she's only lost once," zoo's General Manager John Bergmann told ABCNews.com. "Last year, she picked the giants to win and they won. I think she has a record of 6 and 1."
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Super Bowl XLVII Gambling: Odds to win MVP award
01.22.2013 06:55 AM
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Here's a list of all 47 Super Bowl MVP recipients. Quarterbacks have won five of the last six. Denver's Terrell Davis was the last running back to win back in 1998. Tampa safety Dexter Jackson was the last defensive honoree (2003).
According to The Greek, San Francisco's Colin Kaepernick in the betting favorite to win this year's award at +175 followed by Baltimore's Joe Flacco at +200. Ray Lewis, who was MVP of Super Bowl XXXV, is +850.
Super Bowl MVPs 1967-2012
Year
MVP
Team
Position
2012
Eli Manning
New York Giants
Quarterback
2011
Aaron Rodgers
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback
2010
Drew Brees
New Orleans Saints
Quarterback
2009
Santonio Holmes
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
2008
Eli Manning
New York Giants
Quarterback
2007
Peyton Manning
Indianapolis Colts
Quarterback
2006
Hines Ward
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
2005
Deion Branch
New England Patriots
Wide receiver
2004
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2003
Dexter Jackson
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Safety
2002
Tom Brady
New England Patriots
Quarterback
2001
Ray Lewis
Baltimore Ravens
Linebacker
2000
Kurt Warner
St. Louis Rams
Quarterback
1999
John Elway
Denver Broncos
Quarterback
1998
Terrell Davis
Denver Broncos
Running back
1997
Desmond Howard
Green Bay Packers
Kick/Punt Returner
1996
Larry Brown
Dallas Cowboys
Cornerback
1995
Steve Young
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1994
Emmitt Smith
Dallas Cowboys
Running back
1993
Troy Aikman
Dallas Cowboys
Quarterback
1992
Mark Rypien
Washington Redskins
Quarterback
1991
Ottis Anderson
New York Giants
Running back
1990
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1989
Jerry Rice
San Francisco 49ers
Wide receiver
1988
Doug Williams
Washington Redskins
Quarterback
1987
Phil Simms
New York Giants
Quarterback
1986
Richard Dent
Chicago Bears
Defensive end
1985
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1984
Marcus Allen
Los Angeles Raiders
Running back
1983
John Riggins
Washington Redskins
Running back
1982
Joe Montana
San Francisco 49ers
Quarterback
1981
Jim Plunkett
Oakland Raiders
Quarterback
1980
Terry Bradshaw
Pittsburgh Steelers
Quarterback
1979
Terry Bradshaw
Pittsburgh Steelers
Quarterback
1978
Harvey Martin
Dallas Cowboys
Defensive end
1978
Randy White
Dallas Cowboys
Defensive tackle
1977
Fred Biletnikoff
Oakland Raiders
Wide receiver
1976
Lynn Swann
Pittsburgh Steelers
Wide receiver
1975
Franco Harris
Pittsburgh Steelers
Running back
1974
Larry Csonka
Miami Dolphins
Running back
1973
Jake Scott
Miami Dolphins
Safety
1972
Roger Staubach
Dallas Cowboys
Quarterback
1971
Chuck Howley
Dallas Cowboys
Linebacker
1970
Len Dawson
Kansas City Chiefs
Quarterback
1969
Joe Namath
New York Jets
Quarterback
1968
Bart Starr
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback
1967
Bart Starr
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback
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Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
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NFL Handicapping: Drive Points and Power Ratings for Super Bowl XLVII
01.21.2013 01:41 PM
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Stat Intelligence
As promised, we’re back to look at the drive point numbers for the two remaining teams in the NFL brackets. If you’re new to the blog, drive points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. We’ve been using it through the regular season to try and get a read as best as possible on “true” offense and defense.
First, a reminder of the regular season averages for the Super Bowl bound San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens.
Regular Season Averages
San Francisco: 15.4 on offense, 11.6 on defense (#3 Sagarin schedule)
Baltimore: 15.7 on offense, 12.5 on defense (#18 Sagarin schedule)
The Niners get the nod in regular season numbers, with +3.8 vs. a killer schedule being better than +3.2 vs. what was roughly an average schedule. Is strength of schedule enough to bump them up to superiority by more than a field goal at a neutral site? Interesting that teams coached by brothers had such similar
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Super Bowl XLVII
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Super Bowl XLVII Gambling: Against the spread results based on seed
01.21.2013 12:24 PM
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Here is a list of Super Bowl pointspread results based on seed. Dating back to 1996, the lower seed has dominated from a spread perspective, going 12-2-2. Three seasons ago was unique in that two No. 1 seeds met for the first time in Super Bowl history. Baltimore is the AFC’s No. 4 seed while San Francisco is the NFC’s No. 2.
Super Bowl Betting Results Based on Seed 1996-2012
SB
Year
ATS Winner Seed
ATS Loser Seed
XLVI
2012
4 NY Giants
1 New England
XLV
2011
6 Green Bay
2 Pittsburgh
XLIV
2010
1 New Orleans
1 Indianapolis
XLIII
2009
4 Arizona
2 Pittsburgh
XLII
2008
5 NY Giants
1 New England
XLI
2007
3 Indianapolis
1 Chicago
XL
2006
6 Pittsburgh
1 Seattle
XXXIX
2005
1 Philadelphia
2 New England
XXXVIII
2004
3 Carolina
1 New England
XXXVII
2003
2 Tampa Bay
1 Oakland
XXXVI
2002
2 New England
1 St. Louis
XXXV
2001
3 Baltimore
1 NY Giants
XXXIV
2000
1 St. Louis (push)
4 Tennessee
XXXIII
1999
1 Denver
2 Atlanta
XXXII
1998
4 Denver
2 Green Bay
XXXI
1997
1 Green Bay (push)
2 New England
XXX
1996
2 Pittsburgh
1 Dallas
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San Francisco 49ers
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Super Bowl XLVII: San Francisco 49ers currently a 4-point betting favorite
01.21.2013 07:41 AM
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Baltimore
vs.
San Francisco
-4 O/U 48
The San Francisco 49ers opened as a 5-point favorite over the Baltimore Ravens for Super Bowl XLVII. Early money has come in on the underdog Ravens with the 49ers bet down to as low as -3.5 and now -4 across the board. The total opened 49 and is currently 48.8/48.
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Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
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NBA Handicapping: Schedule has Houston Rockets running on fumes
01.19.2013 07:12 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
You’re about to see what fatigue looks like statistically!
Last week we talked about the brutal schedule stretch that was coming up for the Houston Rockets. They had just defeated the Los Angeles Lakers. But, they were about to embark on a two-week odyssey that would see them play two different four-game-in-five-night stretches with the vast majority of action on the road.
We then suggested the team hit a wall in the fourth quarter in New Orleans the next night (when they were outscored 29-10 to blow a big lead). Then, we monitored developments through the week as the Rockets continued to lose. Tonight’s 105-95 loss at Indiana continued the story. And, I’ve come up with a way that may be the best illustration of what happens to the Rockets when they get tired (for other teams, it may show up in other categories).
First, a quick review of the gauntlet to this point…
Last Tuesday: Big Win over Lakers
Last Wednesday: Died in
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Houston Rockets
Stat Intelligence
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NFL Handicapping: Betting Market Acting Like Patriots Money ISN'T Coming
01.18.2013 07:42 AM
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Stat Intelligence
There was a startling development Thursday in the legal betting markets regarding Sunday’s AFC Championship game between the favored New England Patriots and underdog Baltimore Ravens.
New England had been favored by 9 points. That line had fallen to a pretty solid 8.5 by midday. Then, it was a solid 8 by night time as I was writing this. That may not strike many of you as a big deal. After all, 9 and 8 aren’t common numbers. But, if you know the markets, it was actually a VERY big deal, because it may be suggesting in dramatic fashion that oddsmakers and sharps no longer expect a flood of New England money over the weekend.
For a second…as we walk through this…start with the premise that New England money IS coming. Squares (the betting public) generally wait until the weekend to bet. Squares typically bet favorites. Squares have established in the past that they like betting on marquee teams like the New England Patriots. Squares have also established that they like
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New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens
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