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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors ready for Super Bowl XLIX

01.26.2015     10:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s Super Bowl time again.  I use this line every year because it’s true – this IS the moral equivalent of Christmas Day for many sports bettors.  Yet, much like last year, many of the professional full time bettors that I know are rather disappointed with the proposition betting opportunities for Super Bowl XLIX – there’s simply not much low hanging fruit.  The biggest and best sportsbooks (market leaders both here in Vegas and offshore) have learned from previous mistakes.  Weak numbers do NOT abound in 2015.

Let me start with the game itself.  The Super Bowl itself has been an underdog bettor’s paradise in recent years.   The Seahawks were underdogs at kickoff last year in their blowout win over the Broncos. The Ravens won the Super Bowl in 2013, as the underdog, beating the favored 49ers.  The Giants won the year before as an underdog; knocking off the Patriots.  In 2010, the Saints won straight up as a dog over Peyton Manning and the Colts.  In 2009, the Cardinals covered the spread in a tight loss to the Steelers.  In 2008, the Gia nts beat the favored 18-0 Patriots Read more



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling Alert: Potential wet weather for Saturday's Wild Card games

01.02.2015     12:14 PM     Printer Friendly
As always, you'll want to double check the weather report the day of the game.

Charlotte
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Pittsburgh
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Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens Arizona Cardinals Carolina Panthers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC Playoff Contenders

12.22.2014     10:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 16 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch from last year in the AFC Championship Game.

Last week in this space, I poked holes in the NFC contenders, explaining why every other live team in the playoff race had at least one fundamental flaw primed to doom their chances in January.  This week, I’m going to point the magnifying glass towards the seven fringe contenders in the AFC.  Can any of them knock off the Patriots in Foxboro or the Broncos in Denver when January rolls around?  Read on to find out. 

The Houston Texans remain one of five teams still fighting for the final two playoff spots in the AFC after knocking off the Ravens on Sunday.  But if the Texans do manage to sneak into the postseason with a Wild Card berth, I’m not expecting them to do any damage. 

Houston’s defense ranks among the league’s elite, as we clearly saw once again this past weekend.  But the Texans average Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Alert: Baltimore now favored at Cincinnati

10.23.2014     12:52 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You don't see this very often in the NFL: In Week 1, the Cincinnati Bengals closed +1 at Baltimore and won 23-16. Fast forward to Week 8 and the same matchup, but opposite venue, is currently offering the same price. That's right, the Ravens are now favored at a number of offshore sportsbooks. The Bengals, who have lost and failed to cover three straight, are three weeks removed from laying -2.5 at New England.




Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

10.22.2014     01:16 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -2.5 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Cincinnati pk O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -1.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Baltimore

My clients and I cashed a winning Big Ticket bet supporting the Bengals in Week 1 on the road at Baltimore.  Cinci dominated that game early, but settled for five first half field goals.  After halftime, the Ravens scored 17 unanswered to take the lead.  But a 77 yard bomb from Andy Dalton to AJ Green in the final minutes allowed the Bengals to escape with a victory on Baltimore’s home field; their first road win over the Ravens since 2009.

But the Bengals team that we saw on opening day is not the same Bengals team that Marvin Lewis is fielding right now.  AJ Green has a bad toe, unable to suit up in their last two ballgames.  TE Tyler Eifert is out as well.  That duo Read more



Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Baltimore in search of more offensive balance

10.10.2014     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore -3.5 at Tampa Bay O/U 43.5

Following last week's play calling that featured 42 pass plays to just 15 rushes, the Baltimore Ravens are looking for a more balanced attack against Tampa Bay.


“Last week was the least amount of plays we’ve run in a game and least amount of time we’ve been on the field, and it was self-inflicted,” Kubiak said. “We were poor on third down, and if you’re poor on third down in this league, you’re not going to get snaps and you’re not going to stay on the field. I’m disappointed with last week – everything we did wasn’t good enough. But we’d like to be a balanced football team, and that’s not going to change.”









Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Tampa Bay Buccaneers




NFL Gambling: Broncos and Ravens top SuperContest picks for Week 5

10.05.2014     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 5 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. DENVER -7 vs. Arizona
2. BALTIMORE +3.5 at Indianapolis
3. SAN DIEGO -6.5 vs. NY Jets
4. CINCINATTI -1 at New England
5. CHICAGO +2.5 at Carolina

 




Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Baltimore Ravens




NFL Handicapping: Betting markets react to suspension of Indianapolis' Landry

09.30.2014     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Indianapolis' defense took another hit this week with free safety LaRon Landry suspended for PEDs. Projected starter strong Delano Howell is also gone for the year as is linebacker Robert Mathis. Veteran special teamer Sergio Brown is expected to fill in for Landry. The Colts ranked 26th in the league at 6.0 yards per play allowed. Sunday's total vs. Baltimore has already been hit up from 46.5 to 48.5.




Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Baltimore Ravens




NFL Handicapping: Carolina run game, Newton's health an issue

09.23.2014     02:09 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Baltimore -3 O/U 40.5

Playing from behind for much of the game, the Carolina Panthers didn't have much of a chance to run the football in Sunday's loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. But offensive coordinator Mike Shula said that will be the team's focus moving forward. It won't be easy however considering quarterback Cam Newton's ribs are likely to keep him from being much of a threat on the ground. Newton has only 26 yards on the ground in two games. Last year his 36.5 ypg helped Carolina rank fourth in the NFL (126.6 ypg). This season, they rank 29th at 72.3 ypg.

 

"First of all, we can't expect to win many games running the ball 10 times, I want to say that," offensive coordinator Mike Shula said. "We are going to have to run the ball and have good balance – better than we had (on

Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Baltimore Ravens




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 3 Betting Recap

09.22.2014     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re three weeks into the new NFL season and I’ve already got some pointspread and totals streakers to write about.  Three teams are 3-0 ATS, four more have yet to cover a pointspread. Four teams are 3-0 to the Over; five more are 3-0 to the Under. Who are these teams and why are they trending early? Most importantly, can we expect them to continue to trend in the same direction moving forward? Read on to find out.

I’ll focus here on the pointspread streakers, saving the totals streakers for a thorough look next week. That being said, I will list the early season totals streakers here, so you don’t have to go through the trouble of looking them up. 3-0 to the Over: Browns, Jaguars, Colts and Eagles. 3-0 to the Under: Bengals, Cardinals, Bills, Vikings and Titans.

The NFL is a parity filled league, and pointspreads can adjust rather dramatically based on a single early season performance. A big Week 1 or Week 2 victory, therefore, makes it more difficult to cover the spread the following week. Only three teams have managed to avoid an ATS defeat through the first three weeks of the season. All three of those squads were less than Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 03, 2016 01:10 PM.