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August

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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins

05.18.2017     01:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Chatwood) at Minnesota (Berrios) -127 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Minnesota

I don’t normally get involved with Game 2 of a doubleheader from a service standpoint, in large part because of the inability to gauge the effects of Game 1 on the two bullpens. But this game stands out as an exception to my basic ‘no doubleheaders’ rule for two reasons. First, we want to be on Jose Berrios RIGHT NOW, before the markets catch up. Second, both bullpens should be in decent shape after yesterday’s rainout.

Let’s start with Berrios who led the minor leagues in strikeouts in 2015. Last year, he dominated at Triple-A but struggled mightily in his transition to the majors; only notching an 8.2% swinging strike rate while nibbling around the corners instead of challenging hitters with his best stuff. The end result was downright ugly: 14 starts, an 8.02 ERA and a 1.87 WHIP, with the Twins going 3-11 in those games. Berrios stuff wasn’t the problem. His ability to harness his nasty stuff effectively was.

Well, that was last year. Berrios opened this season dominating Read more



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Minnesota Twins Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers

05.12.2017     10:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York (Harvey) at Milwaukee (Garza) -102 O/U 9
Recommendation: Milwaukee

It’s not hard to make a case for betting against Matt Harvey and the Mets right now. Let’s start with Harvey! You all know the headlines already -- Harvey getting drunk and going on a bender instead of showing up at the ballpark last week after his ex-girlfriend went on a date with the Patriots Julian Edelman, resulting in a team suspension and plenty of New York media hype.

But what hasn’t made as many headlines is the fact that Matt Harvey is not the same pitcher he was two years ago, not even close. Since throwing a gem against the light hitting Braves in his 2017 debut, the Mets are 1-4 in Harvey’s subsequent five trips to the hill. His 5.14 ERA is no aberration, considering his 5.76 FIP. Many of his advanced metric stats are down compared to his career numbers, like strikeouts and swinging strike percentage, while his walk rate has gone up significantly.

So, we’re talking about a guy still being priced like a former ace, coming off a 10-day layoff, enmeshed in an off-field personal crisis Behind him, the Read more



Tags: MLB New York Mets Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks

05.11.2017     10:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Cole) at Arizona (Greinke) -125 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

It’s not hard to make a case for betting the over at Chase Field, especially when the roof is open, like it will be tonight when the Dbacks take on the Pirates. Arizona has only cashed six Under bets in their first 19 home games. They’ve scored four runs or more in 14 of those 19 home games, ranked #4 in the NL in runs scored, with all seven of their every day regulars enjoying an on base percentage of .308 or higher.

Coming off a seven run outburst against the Tigers last night, the D-backs are primed to swing hot bats again tonight. Infielder Nick Ahmed: “It's good to kind of get the bats going again and get some guys early feeling good at the plate. We talk about linking our at-bats together and having team at-bats up and down the lineup and not having one guy try to do it all. When we are going good, it is everybody contributing up and down the lineup.”

The Pirates lineup is anything but hot, held to six runs in their just concluded three game set in LA against the Dodgers. But we’ve seen a legitimate lineup Read more



Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Arizona Diamondbacks Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

04.12.2017     12:07 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Garrett) at Pittsburgh (Nova) -165 O/U 8
Recommendation: Over

Cincinnati's Amir Garrett threw six shutout innings in his rookie debut last Friday. His effort however came in the comforts of home against the offensively anemic St. Louis Cardinals. Garrett noticeably lost velocity as the game wore on, failed to miss a single bat with his fastball, and allowed 10 fly balls and four line drives. The big 6-5 lefty has promise but his stuff appears to be no. 4 starter-esque at this point. Pittsburgh's offense is off to a slow start (3 runs the first two games of the series) but should plate a handful of runs against Garrett. Pittsburgh's Ivan Nova has really thrived in the National League since comes over from the New York Yankees last season. And he started the season strong: 6 IP, 1 ER vs. Atlanta. At this point in his career, Nova doesn't miss many bats and could have a bit more difficulty navigating what has been a very potent Cincinnati lineup. The Reds are averaging 4.9 runs per game and hit 13 home runs and that's with Joey Votto yet to hit his weight. With two below average bullpens, mild temps, and a slight win blowing Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates Andrew Lange




NHL Handicapper Stanley Cup Playoffs Free Betting Pick: St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild

04.11.2017     07:59 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild
Series Recommendation: St. Louis +130

The Minnesota Wild battle the St. Louis Blues in the opening round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs starting Wednesday. These two clubs hooked up back in 2014 with the Wild taking the series in six games under head coach Mike Yeo who is now the bench boss for the Blues.

St. Louis knew they would have to make some changes after losing in the Western Conference finals last May. They brought in Yeo to be the associate coach-in-waiting as longtime leader Ken Hitchcock was planning to call it a career after this season. When the Blues lost 7 of 11 games heading into the All-Star break and suffered a bad loss in their first contest back, management went ahead and fired Hitchcock and promoted Yeo on February 1. This move paid off quickly as St. Louis won 22 of its final 32 games to reach 99 points and clinch a sixth consecutive playoff berth. Yeo's mantra has always been defense and that was a weakness for the Blues prior to his promotion. Since Yeo took over, St. Louis has improved in all areas of backchecking and goaltending with a league-best 1.87 GAA, .936 save Read more



Tags: NHL St. Louis Blues Minnesota Wild Alex B. Smith




MLB Handicapping: Los Angeles Angels hope to keep Richards healthy

04.05.2017     09:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After opting for alternative treatments rather than Tommy John surgery, Los Angeles' Garrett Richards makes his return to the hill tonight in Oakland. Prior to his elbow injury, Richards flashed no. 1 starter stuff and stats (3.18 ERA 2014-15 combined). The Angels are taking an ultra-cautious approach in terms of extended rest in between starts and Richards even admitted that he plans on taking a restrained and more ecomonical approach. He's currently a -115 road favorite.


If I can throw at 85 percent, I’m able to repeat my mechanics better,” he said. “I’m able to keep everything moving downhill toward the catcher. Because I throw across my body, direction is a big thing for me. If I can eliminate a little bit of effort and keep everything moving in a straight line, it’s going to help me.”






Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels Oakland A's




NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators

03.31.2017     07:21 PM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota at Nashville -125 O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Nashville

Two Central Division foes face-off for a Saturday matinee as the Nashville Predators host the Minnesota Wild in a potential first round playoff preview. The Wild had a five-point lead in the Central Division back on February 28 before losing 12 of their last 16 games. It dropped them down to second place as they now trail Chicago by (7-8-9) points entering this contest. A facial injury to winger Zach Parise will sideline him for this game. Parise has scored 17 goals and 20 assists on the year and is one of the main leaders for this Minnesota club. Nashville is looking to get out of the Wild Card range and grab the third spot in the Central which would pit them in a match-up against the Wild. The Preds have won seven of their last 10 games and have earned at least a point in six of the last 10 meetings versus Minnesota. Nashville has played division opponents tough this year, with a 12-7 record as a favorite vs. Central foes. Forward Filip Forsberg leads the club with 30 goals; his third consecutive season with 25 or more goals with the Predators. This game is big for Read more



Tags: NHL Minnesota Wild Nashville Predators Alex B. Smith




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Season Over/Under Wins

03.30.2017     07:02 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona Diamondbacks Season Over/Under Wins 77.5 (5Dimes)
Recommendation: Over

Heading into last season, the Arizona Diamondbacks had to look of a team ready to contend in the National League West. Following 2015's somewhat promising 79-win campaign, they went for it by bringing in a host of big name free agents -- Zack Greinke, Tyler Clippard, Shelby Miller, and Jean Segura. Expectations were fairly high with their season over/under wins lined at 81.5. The end result though was a disaster. Greinke regressed in a big way. Clippard and Miller underachieved. AJ Pollock played in only 12 games. The defense was awful. And by July it was clear the season was a wash.

This year, expectations are a bit more moderate. For starters, the front office -- which was one of the worst in MLB -- was gutted. Getting rid of GM Dave Stewart was arguably the best offseason decision the organization made. The new regime has already placed an emphasis on analytics, something Stewart had no clue about. And while this isn't going to be a quick fix situation, there are enough pieces already in place for this team to be competitive.

Last Read more



Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks Andrew Lange




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors

03.29.2017     11:46 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Charlotte at Toronto -6 O/U 202
Recommendation: Toronto

My clients and I cashed an easy winner betting against the Hornets last night. There’s little reason to think that Charlotte will be significantly more competitive as they step up in class against a focused foe on the second night of back-to-backs tonight. Let me start with an excerpt from yesterday’s write-up, with the numbers edited slightly to reflect current realities:

“Charlotte was a playoff team last year, finishing with 48 wins and the #6 seed. The markets still remember and respect that team, in some ways overshadowing the 33-41 squad from this year in the betting world. The Hornets did their best to blow a 25 point second half lead against a Suns team playing on the second night of back-2-backs in their last game, on the heels of a defensive no-show against the Cavs in their previous contest. And the betting markets are offering us legitimate value with wiseguy steam showing for Charlotte in early betting action today.”

There’s been steam on Charlotte again today, pushing the line down to -5.5 as I write this Read more



Tags: NBA Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Handicapper Free Betting Pick: UCLA Bruins vs. Kentucky Wildcats

03.23.2017     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA -1 vs. Kentucky O/U 165.5
Recommendation: Under

When Kentucky and UCLA met in non-conference play back in December, the game was an instant classic; a 97-92 Bruins victory in a high octane shootout. Both teams played fast – a frenetic tempo from a pair of teams that were struggling mightily on defense at the time. And both teams shot the ball well, combining for 47% shooting from the floor, including 18 made three-pointers. No surprise, then, that the rematch is the single highest totaled game in the NCAA Tournament so far.
But there’s little reason to expect the high stakes rematch to be played in similar fashion. That was then. This is now.

John Calipari spent the back half of the season coaching up the Kentucky defense. It’s worked! The lengthy, athletic Wildcats are wreaking havoc on the defensive end of the court in recent weeks. Only one of their last nine opponents has scored more than 70 points against them, with Kentucky holding foes under 40% from the floor during that span. No surprise, then, that the Wildcats are 8-1 to the Under in those last nine ballgames, including a snail’s Read more



Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Kentucky Wildcats Teddy Covers



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