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NHL Eastern Conference Stanley Cup Playoff Betting Preview
04.30.2013 10:39 AM
ICC
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC
Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Preview
#1 Pittsburgh Penguins vs. #8 New York Islanders
Series Price: Pittsburgh -380/New York +320
The Pittsburgh Penguins enter the playoffs absolutely spoiled rotten with talent and top tier players. Pittsburgh already had Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, James Neal, and Pascal Dupuis but that wasn’t good enough for GM Ray Shero who envisions this season as Stanley Cup or bust. Shero pulled off two blockbuster trades before the deadline acquiring Jarome Iginla from the Calgary Flames and Brenden Morrow from the Dallas Stars who both add scoring, grit and leadership to an already stacked squad. Pittsburgh’s defense started the season struggling to keep pucks out of their net but they’ve tightened up their defensive zone play down the stretch and have a good collection of veteran and quality defenseman like Kris Letang, Paul Martin, Douglas Murray and Brooks Orpik. They are hoping to have captain Sidney Crosby back in time for the start of this series. He suffered a broken jaw on March 30th and has been practicing since late last week but has not yet been medically cleared
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Ian Cameron
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NHL Western Conference Stanley Cup Playoff Betting Preview
04.30.2013 07:50 AM
Sammy P Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Western Conference Playoff Betting Preview
#1 Chicago Blackhawks vs. #8 Minnesota Wild
Season Series: Chicago 2-0-1
Series Price: Chicago -360/Minnesota +300
Chicago Keys:
The Chicago Blackhawks have been one of the best teams in the league throughout the course of the season. Rarely have they been outmatched and they come into this series with Minnesota rested and healthy. The knock on Chicago coming into the season was goaltending, but Corey Crawford and Ray Emery have both been superb (winning the Jennings Trophy for fewest goals against). The Blackhawks are so stacked up front with scorers like Kane, Hossa, Sharp, and Toews, but they also have one of the best supporting casts in the league with forwards like Shaw and Bickell chipping in offense to go with their solid two-way play. Facing a struggling Minnesota team, Chicago just cannot beat itself. If they take care of the puck and stay out of the box, their depth and talent will prevail.
Minnesota Keys:
Minnesota faltered big time down the stretch and snuck into the playoffs
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Sammy P
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MLB Gambling Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland A's
04.29.2013 12:06 PM
ICC
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC
LA Angels
(Hanson) at
Oakland
(Straily) -130 O/U 8
Recommendation: Oakland
I’ve been actively fading Tommy Hanson in the month of April. He has struggled in nearly every start and even though his last outing against Detroit looked good on paper, don’t be fooled for a second! Hanson labored immensely allowing six hits in six innings along with just two strikeouts and four walks on 102 pitches. He didn’t allow a run because the Tigers offense was inept that night. They had runners on base in nearly every inning but failed to get that one big, clutch hit with RISP to knock Hanson out of the game early. For the season Hanson has a 4.24 ERA and a porous 1.53 WHIP with a mediocre 8-6 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He could be in trouble tonight against an Oakland lineup that pounded out nine runs on 12 hits in a confidence boosting come from behind 9-8 win against Baltimore on Sunday. It’s worth noting that Hanson is coming off the bereavement list after the recent death of
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NBA Western Conference Playoffs update
04.29.2013 08:14 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Two weeks ago, I broke down the Eastern Conference Playoff Race in this column, concluding (to no surprise) that the Miami Heat are truly deserving of their big chalk, heavy favorite status; clearly the team to beat.
Last week, I got distracted by the upcoming (at the time) NFL Draft; looking to make my point that draft results hold surprisingly little influence over the opening Week 1 pointspreads, and that every prediction you read or hear about ‘Draft Grades’ is likely to be flawed at best, dead wrong at worst.
That being said, one other factor about the NFL Draft was perfectly clear this past weekend. The better organizations in the NFL are in much better position to succeed than the weaker organizations. Which is which? Look no further than a recent recap of Super Bowl champs to identify ‘good’ organizations – squads with a short and long term plan, and the management team to implement that plan.
The Ravens, Giants, Packers, Steelers, Patriots, Colts, Seahawks and 49ers are at the top of my ‘quality organization’ list, and you can assume a priori that those eight organizations
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UFC 159 Betting Free Play: Michael Bisping vs. Alan Belcher
04.26.2013 10:13 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
UFC 159
Saturday, April 27, Newark, NJ
Michael Bisping -175 vs. Alan Belcher
Recommendation: Bisping
This fight is co-main event of the evening and has been on the minds of fight fans ever since they announced this card. At UFC 159, Saturday night on Pay Per View, these two 185 pound middleweight contenders, Michael Bisping (23-5) versus Alan Belcher (18-7), finally enter the octagon. It has become obvious they do not like each other and have bashed each other through the media, most notably on YouTube.
Belcher made the fight even more interesting when last month his friend Cincinnati Bengal's defensive end Wallace Gilberry offered to put up his Phantom Rolls Royce worth $300,000 if Bisping could knock out Belcher in the first round. Bisping did not bite. Belcher then made another offer to get a tattoo of the flag of England on his chest if he lost and said if Bisping lost he would have to get a tattoo of Johnny Cash, the same one which is on Belcher’s left arm. Bisping believes he will use these childish offers as additional motivation.
Belcher won four fights in a row including a stunning TKO over
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NHL Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild
04.23.2013 09:54 AM
Sammy P Sports
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Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Los Angeles -115 at Minnesota O/U 5
Recommendation: Los Angeles
Rarely do you get one of the hottest and best teams in the NHL playing at this short of a price, but that’s what we get tonight when the Kings travel to Minnesota to face a reeling Wild club. Minnesota has lost eight of its last 11 games and they have been unable to consistently find the back of the net during this time (1.7 goals per game). Scoring has always been a major problem for the Wild and facing a tough Kings defense tonight is not what the doctor ordered to break them out of their slump. This is a Kings team starting to get healthier at the right time with the addition of Matt Greene off of the IR. Don't let the "must win" talk for Minnesota tonight fool you as Los Angeles is just as focused to lock up home ice advantage for the playoffs. Los Angeles has been winning games of late (4-0-1) with timely scoring, stellar defense, and depth. They've scored at least one PP goal in eight straight games. Look for the Kings to continue this push into the playoffs and wear down the Wild tonight at the short
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NBA Handicapper Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers
04.22.2013 11:22 AM
ICC
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Memphis
+6 at
LA Clippers
O/U 180
Recommendation: Memphis
I expect a strong bounce back effort from the Memphis Grizzlies tonight in Game 2 of their Western Conference Quarterfinal series against the Los Angeles Clippers. Memphis was not happy as a team about their 112-91 Game 1 loss. Throughout the regular season the Grizzlies boasted one of the best defenses in the NBA but were torched for 112 points on 55.4% shooting.
Memphis was particularly disappointed with its performance on the glass; outrebounded 47-23. Marc Gasol voiced his displeasure about the Grizzlies effort on the boards in Game 1: “That’s not acceptable. Once we made a stop, they kept running in and getting offensive rebounds and second-chance points. We have to be better than that. The rebounds were the difference.” The 23 rebounds in Game 1 were the lowest the Grizzlies have ever had in a playoff game. Facing an 0-2 series hole, I expect a much better effort in the battle for loose balls
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Week 1 lines and the upcoming draft
04.22.2013 08:15 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
It’s time to give Jay Kornegay and his staff at the LVH Superbook credit once again for being the first to market here in Las Vegas with Week 1 NFL numbers. Don’t tell me Kornegay wasn’t ready! The NFL announced the 2013 schedule last Thursday evening, and the LVH had their sides and totals posted by noon on Friday. For an older, non-strip property that lacks a marque signature attraction, Kornegay’s aggressive bookmaking tactics have, quite frankly, allowed the LVH to remain relevant in a difficult era for many similar aging off-strip casinos.
When those Week 1 pointspreads were posted, bettors didn’t flock to the betting windows to lock up their money until September with a wager. In fact, the betting marketplace gave a collective yawn, with only a handful of big bets written over the weekend on sides or totals. Why the lack of initial movement? Two reasons!
First, Jay put up good numbers. There were no obvious “mistake” lines causing a flurry of betting activity. And secondly – probably most importantly – we haven’t seen competing books put up alternate
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Sportsmemo Handicapper Andrew Lange gives the scoop on betting baseball
04.17.2013 01:05 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Someone on Twitter sent me a direct message asking how I go about handicapping baseball so I figured I'd share some of my methods here in the blog.
For starters, I try to keep things as simple as possible. Yes, that's a broad statement but there are a ton of factors when it comes to breaking down a baseball game and in my opinion if you try to include them all you inevitably end up with legitimate arguments for both sides – something that can be extremely frustrating. So I’m basically looking to isolate two or three things that I feel with have the biggest impact on the game – one of which is starting pitching which we’ll get to here in a bit.
In terms of price, I tend to stick with short favorites, underdogs, and totals. Value is value whether the price is -105 or -180 but it takes a while for oddsmakers and the betting markets to figure out a lot of these pitchers and teams. In some instances, there is no real mystery – Clayton Kershaw is pretty damn good, and the Houston Astros are awful. But for the first month of so of the season there are a lot of unknowns and as a result a lot of games are mispriced. I see pitchers and teams
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NHL Handicapper Free Play: Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues
04.16.2013 10:26 AM
Sammy P Sports
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Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Vancouver at St. Louis -135 O/U 5
Recommendation: Under
This game is juiced to the Under and deservedly so. St. Louis has shown nothing of late to prove it can score goals on a consistent basis, but still they are able to keep the puck out of the net and that makes them a very lucrative Under team. The Blues have lost two straight games where they scored just one goal, and before that during their six win streak they scored just 14 goals. In their last 15 games they've gone Over a total of 5 just twice. Vancouver comes into town after a solid win in Nashville last night – a back-to-back situation tonight and third game in four nights. Vancouver has played in six back-to-back situations and only one of those went Over 5. I expect the Canucks to play a very disciplined road hockey game tonight and limit the Blues’ chances while being patient about their own chances. This has all the markings of a 2-1 type contest.
Sammy 15* NHL Power Play Total [11-3 79% PP Hot Streak] $20
Sammy hits the ice tonight with
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