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November

20

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NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Patriots, Ravens Stunned to Learn Dress Rehearsals Were Thursday!

08.23.2013     08:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It would have been bad enough if crappy teams from last year were playing like this. But, the first team offenses for the two teams who played in the AFC Championship Game last year had absolute debacles playing what was supposed to be “real” football Thursday night.

*The New England Patriots committed FOUR turnovers in the first half, and went 1 of 7 on third downs on their way to a 16-3 halftime deficit in Detroit. The score would have been worse, but the Lions were having their own issues…going 2 of 9 on third downs and missing a field goal try.

*The defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens turned the ball over THREE times in the first half. Two of those were returned for touchdowns. Baltimore’s special teams also allowed a punt return TD to the Carolina Panthers. The halftime score was 24-7, with 21 of Carolina’s points coming on those non-offensive scores.
 
Not a great way for these AFC powers to set the tone for Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New England Patriots Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Recap: Browns and Eagles win and cover, Falcons and Chargers cash as dogs

08.16.2013     05:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run some numbers from Thursday's four-game slate. We’ll take the matchups in rotation order…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15)

Cleveland 24 (-1.5), Detroit 6

Total Yardage: Detroit 226, Cleveland 321

Passing Stats: Detroit 26-38-0-175, Cleveland 21-29-0-242

Turnovers: Detroit 0, Cleveland 0

Drive Points: Detroit 3, Cleveland 14

Stat Score: Detroit 12, Cleveland 18

Cleveland has a quarterback war, and a new coach who wants immediate results…which is often a great recipe for preseason success. Well, maybe not for the first half of the dress rehearsal game (next week at Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Betting Free Pick: Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles

08.15.2013     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Philadelphia -3 O/U 44
Recommendation: Over


I could do this write-up in a single sentence.  The Eagles ran 86 offensive plays last week in their preseason opener.  86 plays!  Their game against the Patriots saw the total get steamed up, and it still went over by two scores.  The markets have pushed this total higher, but not high enough.  Chip Kelly’s ‘one play every twelve seconds’ offense merits totals in the high 40’s, even in preseason.

Carolina is going to play at the Eagles pace tonight.  The Panthers have practiced playing an uptempo style on both sides of the football all week.  Philadelphia’s defense couldn’t stop anybody last week – horrible tackling, a limited pass rush, poor play from their rebuilt secondary, along with concerns about both depth and conditioning.  A fast paced offense combined with a suspect defense is a strong recipe for Overs!

Both teams have Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Handicapping the best and worst NFL secondaries

07.29.2013     11:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The pecking order for NFL quarterbacks is well established.  Most of the best quarterbacks play for the best teams.  Peyton Manning in Denver, Eli Manning in New York, Tom Brady in New England, Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, Drew Brees in New Orleans and Joe Flacco in Baltimore all wear Super Bowl rings.  All seven guys play for teams that are perennial playoff teams, and all seven of those squads are lined at 8.5 wins or higher again this year.

The next grouping of quarterbacks isn’t as easy to establish.  I’d probably put the likes of Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Tony Romo, Philip Rivers and Colin Kaepernick in this grouping; and I wouldn’t argue with anyone who wanted to include Matthew Stafford, Jay Cutler, Cam Newton or Andrew Luck.  Just about every one of those quarterbacks also plays for a playoff contending team.

The very bottom of the pecking order is also very easy to establish.  On my list, I’d include Christian Ponder in Minnesota, Brandon Weeden in Cleveland, Mark Sanchez in New York, Jake Locker in Tennessee, Blaine Gabbert or Chad Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Dual-threat quarterbacks vs. Atlanta Falcons

01.14.2013     01:37 PM     Printer Friendly
A quick look at how dual-threat quarterbacks fared against the Atlanta Falcons this season. San Francisco's Colin Kaepernick, the opitome of a dual-threat, threw for 262 yards and rushed for 181 yards in last week's playoff win over Green Bay. Note that Washington's Robert Griffin III was forced to leave the game early with a concussion.

Cam Newton (Game 1): 15-of-24, 215 yards, 2 TD, 0 INTs, 9 rushes, 86 yards, 1 TD

Cam Newton (Game 2): 23-of-35, 287 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 9 rushes, 116 yards

Michael Vick: 21-of-35, 191 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs, 7 rushes, 42 yards

Robert Griffin: 10-of-15, 91 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, 1 rush, 7 yards

Russell Wilson: 24-of-36, 385 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 7 rushes, 60 yards

Combined: 93-of-145, 64% completions, 7 TDs, 1 INT, 36 rushes, 311 yards, 8.6 ypc




Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Championship News and Quotes

01.14.2013     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re down to the Final Four in the NFL Playoffs, with two compelling championship game matchups set for next Sunday.  I’ve spent all year writing about these teams using my own words.  This week, I thought it would make an interesting read to focus on the numerous quotes offered by various players and coaches.  Who’s saying what heading into the biggest games of the season?  In Part I, we take a look at the NFC Championship with San Francisco a 3.5-point favorite at Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons – The Falcons finally got the monkey off their backs with their first playoff victory in the Mike Smith/Matt Ryan era.  And Atlanta has one advantage that the Packers didn’t have facing a mobile QB in Colin Kaepernick on Sunday – they’ve already faced Cam Newton (twice), Robert Griffin and Russell Wilson.  However, former 49ers head coach and current Falcons defensive coordinator Mike Nolan saw his defense get picked apart in three of those four games (allowing 28+ points), and the one that they didn’t (against the Redskins) was a game where RGIII left early due to a Read more


Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: AFC Contenders and Pretenders

11.12.2012     11:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders. Last week, I focused on the NFC; this week, I’ll turn to the AFC. Unfortunately, the Colts and Steelers didn’t play on Sunday, and the Texans’ Sunday Night game was played in weather conditions that affected the game (and the game plan) significantly. Who among the rest can challenge for AFC supremacy? Read on to find out.

Denver Broncos - Another slow start for a West Coast team traveling East; certainly not unusual. Slow starts have been a consistent problem for Denver all year. We saw them fall behind by three scores when they faced Atlanta, Houston and San Diego – three of the tougher foes they've faced. But slow starts are about the only fault I can find with this team right now.

We already know how good Denver’s offense can be, and they score touchdowns : 22 TDs in 32 red zone possessions. The Broncos have an elite quarterback, a strong running game and playmaking WR's - they can trade points with anybody. This team's postseason future rests on the strength (or weakness) of their stop unit; a unit that has stepped up at times and Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots San Diego Chargers Baltimore Ravens Denver Broncos Miami Dolphins Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapper Free Play: Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears

10.28.2012     07:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina +7.5 at Chicago O/U 42
Recommendation: Carolina


Carolina is 1-5 this year, coming off the heels of a 6-10 campaign last season. But the Panthers certainly aren’t a case of total ineptitude – they’re in almost every game right through the final gun. Rather, the Panthers problem in the Ron Rivera/Cam Newton era has been the inability to win tight games. They’re 0-4 this year in games decided by a TD or less, much like last year when the Panthers went 1-5 in close games.

That record includes a tight, spread covering five point loss right here at Soldier Field against the Bears; a game in which the Panthers offense rolled up more than 500 yards of offense, outgaining the Bears by a full 225 yards! Match Carolina up against a +7.5 pointspread and we’re talking about a team that is 16-6 ATS in the first 22 games of the Newton/Rivera era. Quite simply, this pointspread is a notch or two too high.

The Bears are not a strong offensive team Read more


Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Chicago Bears Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: NFL betting trends and Week 7 recap

10.22.2012     08:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There are three strong prevailing trends this season in the NFL.

NFC Underdogs – any underdog in any game – have gone 34-7-2 ATS this season, even after suffering their first losing week of the season (2-3-1 ATS in Week 7).

Teams heading into the bye week are 1-13 ATS, discounting the games where one pre-bye team faced off against another (0-2 ATS in Week 7).

And teams coming out of the bye are on a 7-2 ATS streak heading into the Bears-Lions showdown on Monday Night (2-1 ATS so far in Week 7).

All three trends pass the “Does it make any sense?” test. The NFC underdogs trend has a relatively simple explanation. All the worst teams in the NFL are in the AFC this year. Carolina, St Louis and Tampa Bay – the three lowest rated NFC teams in my power ratings – all rank above the likes of Jacksonville, Kansas City, Buffalo, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Tennessee and Oakland. No surprise, then, that the NFC has dominated interconference play thus far. And without any weaklings to beat up on, we’ve seen NFC favorites struggle to build margins against their in-conference competitors.

The pre-bye trend of Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers

10.18.2012     12:20 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Under
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Dallas -2 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Dallas -2 O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Ratings: Carolina -3

Since their blowout win over the Giants on the opening night of the season, the Cowboys are 1-3 SU, their lone victory coming in non-covering fashion at home against Tampa Bay.  Dallas’ weaknesses during this slump have been on full display.  DeMarcus Ware has six sacks, but the rest of the team has combined for only four – opposing QBs have time to throw without a strong Cowboys pass rush.  And DC Rob Ryan’s insistence on using aggressive blitzing tactics in third-and-long situations has burned them repeatedly; unable to get off the field on third downs.  With top draft choice CB Morris Claiborne questionable with an ankle injury, that may be a continuing problem again this week.

Tony Romo Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers



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November

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