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NCAAF Betting Notes: Kentucky offense finds production with new quarterback
10.31.2011 11:51 AM
Printer Friendly
Mississippi
-1 at
Kentucky
Kentucky quarterback Morgan Newton left last week's game against Mississippi State due to injury – a potential blessing in disguise for bettors moving forward. The Wildcats inserted true freshman Maxwell Smith and he finished a fairly impressive 26-of-33 for 174 yards and no interceptions. Smith saw a few snaps earlier in the year but this was his first extended look. Most of his yardage came from dink-and-dunks but a few sources said the offense
looked more in synch
compared to when Newton played. It is easy to give up on the starter and call for the back-up when things go awry (how's that working for Denver?) but in this case, Newton has been given ample opportunity and has yet to produce. Head coach Joker Phillips said both Smith and Newton
will
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Tags:
College Football
Kentucky Wildcats
Ole Miss Rebels
SEC
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Teddy Covers: Week 5 NFC Betting News and Notes Part I
10.10.2011 08:32 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Welcome to Teddy Covers’ unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 5 Part I. Part II will be posted tomorrow.
Arizona
It's five weeks into the season and we're not seeing many signs of progress here. Arizona couldn't run effectively in Week 1 against Carolina; they still can't run now. Kevin Kolb lacked any sort of chemistry with his receivers today, and never developed any comfort level in the pocket whatsoever. He’s thrown more interceptions than touchdowns so far this season. Sure, he’s better than Max Hall or Richard Bartel, but this was supposed to be a significant upgrade. How hard can it be to chuck it up in Larry Fitzgerald’s direction and let him catch it? Given the weakness of this defense – a defense that really struggled after facing some early adversity here – the quarterback play here had better improve by leaps and bounds or the
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Tags:
NFL
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
Teddy Covers
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Handicapper Fairway Jay's Week 4 NFL Betting Preview
10.02.2011 09:46 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Here are some Fairway Forecasts with game notes, stats, ATS logs and rushing guidelines to assist you for the late afternoon games in NFL Week 4 action.
Atlanta
(-4.5) at
Seattle
– The Falcons (1-2) are 16-2 ATS off a loss including their Week 2 win over the Eagles. Atlanta head coach Mike Smith is also 16-4 ATS following a divisional loss and 11-2 ATS recently off exactly one loss. Atlanta should get the ground game going against the Seahawks after rushing for just 30 yards last week at Tampa Bay. Recall that the Falcons ran for 138 yards and 5.6 ypc against a stronger and more talented Eagles defense. Atlanta won at this site 34-18 late last season laying a similar number and quarterback Matt Ryan should have success through the air against a sub-par Seattle secondary that has allowed 295, 297 and 234 passing yards in three games. Seattle’s offense has shown little with quarterback Tarvaris Jackson still incompetent in the pocket...and with the playbook. Wide
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NFL Handicapping: Fairway Jay Week 3 Betting Recap
09.28.2011 07:58 AM
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For over a decade, Fairway Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing pointspread winners.
Week 3 NFL favorites went 10-6 straight up and 5-11 against the spread. For the season, betting favorites are 20-26-2 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. There were eight division games in Week 3, and home underdogs went 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS. For the season, home underdogs are 6-7 SU and 8-4-1 ATS. The over-the-total trend finally cooled off with a 6-10 O/U mark. Overall, totals are now 28-18-2 O/U on the season.
Teams that had a meaningful rushing advantage over their opponent (30 or more yards) went 6-5 ATS for the week and my rushing guidelines have now gone 18-11 ATS. The Raiders busted loose on the ground again with 234 yards rushing (7.3 ypr), led by Darren McFadden’s 177 yards on 9.0 ypr. Impressive performance against a Jets defense that allowed the most yards rushing in a
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Teddy Covers: Week 3 NFC Betting News and Notes Part II
09.27.2011 07:52 AM
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Welcome to Teddy Covers’ unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. Today: NFC Tidbits from Week 3 Part II. For Part I,
click here
.
Carolina
Cam Newton is getting protection from his offensive line and he looks surprisingly comfortable in the pocket going through his progressions. He’s seeing the field well and not staring down his receivers. Tight ends Jeremy Shockey and Greg Olson are providing a solid complement over the middle to Steve Smith on the outside. Even in the midst of a quagmire, on a day where he never had any rhythm with Smith at all, Newton stayed calm and made good decisions. And he did all of this despite the fact that Carolina’s running game is non-existent right now. Neither DeAngelo Williams nor Jonathan Stewart came into the game
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Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans Saints
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NFL Week 2 Gambling Previews by Fairway Jay
09.18.2011 07:06 AM
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We enter Week 2 off a 3-1 Sunday and look to duplicate or even improve on our results with the experience and stats of Week 1 games to analyze and review. Many bettors and especially the public overreact to Week 1 results with the influence of a good or bad performance from just one week of action impacting their decisions. With so much excitement and anticipation for the season, you’re wise to temper your enthusiasm and understand both the good and bad breaks that can happen in the NFL. After all, we suffered the toughest total loss in Week 1 action when incredibly the 49ers and Seahawks went over the total after two horrible offensive performances. They combined for just 26 points and less than 370 yards through 54 minutes of action before the meltdown.
On to Week 2 and here are some thoughts and analysis, along with ATS situations that may help you to play on, against or perhaps pass on a game based on information you may not have known.
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NFL Handicapping: Fairway Jay Week 1 Betting Recap
09.14.2011 08:06 AM
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Submitted by
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize them for success. For over a decade, Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing pointspread winners.
Week 1 NFL favorites went 10-6 straight up (SU) and 7-8-1 against the spread (ATS). Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. Division favorites went 5-3 SU and ATS (I graded Jaguars as favorite). NFL home underdogs went 2-1 SU/ATS. Totals went 12-3-1 over/under.
Teams that had a meaningful rushing advantage over their opponent (30 or more yards) went 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS. Teams that rushed for at least 150 yards went 6-1 SU/ATS with the Eagles (237) and Raiders (190) running for top honors in their respective victories. I have a proprietary
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NCAA says Danny Sheridan's Cam Newton claims are bogus
08.30.2011 09:06 AM
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UPDATE
After meeting with USA Today "oddsmaker" Danny Sheridan, the NCAA determined that his claims regarding Cam Newton and Auburn football were
nothing more than gibberish
. Here is what they had to say...
Danny Sheridan continues to make vague, unsubstantiated claims without backing them up with proof. Contrary to his claims of having an inside source with details on the Auburn investigation, the NCAA has not provided information to Sheridan or anyone else. As a matter of due diligence, the NCAA spoke with Sheridan this week to determine if he had any facts pertaining to the investigation. Sheridan, however, did not provide any information to the enforcement staff and certainly did not provide a name. Instead, he unsuccessfully
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NFLX Betting Notes: Miami Dolphins starters slated for first half
08.19.2011 07:15 AM
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Carolina at Miami -6 O/U 34
Miami
is expected to play its starters for most of the
first half
tonight against
Carolina
. Reggie Bush and Brandon Marshall will make their 2011 debuts. Also expected are some more complex blitz packages against Carolina quarterback Cam Newton.
"Well, I told the team today is that [the starters] all need to be ready to play until I’m tired of them playing, so I don’t know what that is, I don’t have a number yet so we’ll see where we go, but I think we will see some guys in there deep into the second quarter and maybe into the half."
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Saturday NFL Preseason Betting News and Notes
08.13.2011 06:55 AM
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Betting news, notes and links for Saturday's NFL Preseason games.
Cleveland Browns
- First-year head coach Pat Shurmur said the starters will play a
full quarter
against the Packers. The Browns are switching to the West Coast offense as well as a 4-3 defense.
“It’s important that we learn a lot about our team, our whole team,” Shurmur said. “I think most teams approach it this way. Whether you’re a guy that’s lined up as a first-teamer, second-teamer or a guy fighting to make the team, every rep is valuable.
"We take these games very seriously and to start the year out against an opponent like the Super Bowl champs will be a good gauge. The twos will get in for a couple quarters. The rest of the guys will play in the fourth quarter.”
Green Bay Packers
-
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Indianapolis Colts
St. Louis Rams
New York Giants
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Buffalo Bills
Chicago Bears
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