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NFL Handicapper Free Play: Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears

10.28.2012     07:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina +7.5 at Chicago O/U 42
Recommendation: Carolina


Carolina is 1-5 this year, coming off the heels of a 6-10 campaign last season. But the Panthers certainly aren’t a case of total ineptitude – they’re in almost every game right through the final gun. Rather, the Panthers problem in the Ron Rivera/Cam Newton era has been the inability to win tight games. They’re 0-4 this year in games decided by a TD or less, much like last year when the Panthers went 1-5 in close games.

That record includes a tight, spread covering five point loss right here at Soldier Field against the Bears; a game in which the Panthers offense rolled up more than 500 yards of offense, outgaining the Bears by a full 225 yards! Match Carolina up against a +7.5 pointspread and we’re talking about a team that is 16-6 ATS in the first 22 games of the Newton/Rivera era. Quite simply, this pointspread is a notch or two too high.

The Bears are not a strong offensive team Read more


Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Chicago Bears Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: NFL betting trends and Week 7 recap

10.22.2012     08:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There are three strong prevailing trends this season in the NFL.

NFC Underdogs – any underdog in any game – have gone 34-7-2 ATS this season, even after suffering their first losing week of the season (2-3-1 ATS in Week 7).

Teams heading into the bye week are 1-13 ATS, discounting the games where one pre-bye team faced off against another (0-2 ATS in Week 7).

And teams coming out of the bye are on a 7-2 ATS streak heading into the Bears-Lions showdown on Monday Night (2-1 ATS so far in Week 7).

All three trends pass the “Does it make any sense?” test. The NFC underdogs trend has a relatively simple explanation. All the worst teams in the NFL are in the AFC this year. Carolina, St Louis and Tampa Bay – the three lowest rated NFC teams in my power ratings – all rank above the likes of Jacksonville, Kansas City, Buffalo, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Tennessee and Oakland. No surprise, then, that the NFC has dominated interconference play thus far. And without any weaklings to beat up on, we’ve seen NFC favorites struggle to build margins against their in-conference competitors.

The pre-bye trend of Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers

10.18.2012     12:20 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Under
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Dallas -2 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Dallas -2 O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Ratings: Carolina -3

Since their blowout win over the Giants on the opening night of the season, the Cowboys are 1-3 SU, their lone victory coming in non-covering fashion at home against Tampa Bay.  Dallas’ weaknesses during this slump have been on full display.  DeMarcus Ware has six sacks, but the rest of the team has combined for only four – opposing QBs have time to throw without a strong Cowboys pass rush.  And DC Rob Ryan’s insistence on using aggressive blitzing tactics in third-and-long situations has burned them repeatedly; unable to get off the field on third downs.  With top draft choice CB Morris Claiborne questionable with an ankle injury, that may be a continuing problem again this week.

Tony Romo Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: A look back at NFL Week 5 action

10.08.2012     07:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A full quarter of the NFL teams entered Week 5 at .500 and two more reached the .500 mark after notching victories on Sunday. I focused on five of those teams closely during this week’s NFL mayhem. Here are my notes from their respective performances.

Buffalo Bills - How bad is this defense? Well, they set an NFL record for futility – no team in league history had ever allowed 300 rushing yards and 300 passing yards in the same game. And that came just one week after they allowed 45 second half points on seven consecutive scoring drives against New England, making the Bills the first team since 1950 to allow 550+ yards in back-to-back weeks. Now that’s a struggling stop unit!

This pass D has awful fundamentals, giving up yardage in chunks. Every decent QB should have a field day throwing downfield -- there's no pass rush, and these cornerbacks are not shutdown guys. And there’s no question that this defense lacked effort throughout the second half here – they flat out quit.

We got the ‘bad’ Ryan Fitzpatrick today. Fitz continues to struggle with his deep throws, missing Stevie Johnson for a sure Read more


Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers Washington Redskins New York Giants Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling Preview: South Carolina Gamecocks at Kentucky Wildcats

09.28.2012     12:01 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
South Carolina at Kentucky
Andrew Lange's Recommendation:
Kentucky
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
South Carolina -20 O/U 47
CRIS Current: South Carolina -20.5 O/U 49.5
Rob Veno Power Rating: South Carolina -18

It is hard not to like what South Carolina has done thus far. They opened the season with a tough road win at Vanderbilt and then outscored their last three opponents 128-26. As a result, their stock in the betting markets has skyrocketed. Go back to last year and the Gamecocks were laying this identical price against Kentucky with the game obviously taking place in Columbia. SC ended up crushing 54-3 but Kentucky was simply awful with six turnovers and only 96 yards (and Morgan Newton at QB). Kentucky may be weak, but that type out outcome is unlikely to occur again on Saturday.

While they were able to rack up three big wins at home, let’s not forget that the Read more


Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks Kentucky Wildcats SEC Andrew Lange




NFL Gambling Preview: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

09.27.2012     07:38 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Atlanta
Erin Rynning's Recommendation:
Carolina
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Atlanta -7 O/U 50
CRIS Current: Atlanta -7 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Atlanta -7.5

Carolina (1-2) will have extra time to get ready for this matchup after losing in ugly fashion to the New York Giants, 36-7, last Thursday.  Keep in mind; the Panthers were open for a letdown after beating nemesis New Orleans just four days earlier.  Carolina’s defense has been especially troubling.  The unit was expected to show vast improvement after massive injuries in 2011.  This hasn’t been the case as they’ve struggled at times against all three opponents thus far.  The offense is facing similar questions, while teammates openly called out quarterback Cam Newton for his sulking ways after the Giants game.  It’s only Week 4, but this is a pivotal game for Carolina’s Read more


Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Atlanta Falcons Erin Rynning




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: A look at second-year NFL quarterbacks and their teams

09.17.2012     06:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I focused on the five rookie starting quarterbacks behind center on opening day. This Sunday, continuing the theme, I spent the afternoon watching the five quarterbacks drafted in the first 35 picks last year, all of whom are now starters. I tried to evaluate each QB within the context of his team – they can't be successful without the complimentary pieces of the equation surrounding them, both on offense and on defense. Here are my thoughts:

Cincinnati Bengals – Andy Dalton was the only rookie QB to lead his team to the playoffs last year, and he’s definitely right there with Cam Newton as the best of the 2011 draft class right now. He’s got great footwork in the pocket; nimble on his feet while sidestepping pressure. And when we consider how much pressure he was under – the Bengals injury riddled line was really struggling unable to consistently run or pass block – Dalton’s performance was even that much more impressive.

This team is loaded with WR talent; not just AJ Green, although Green is really developing into a Top 10 NFL receiver. Armon Binns made plays all over the field today; Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

09.13.2012     11:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Orleans at Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Lean towards Over
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -3 (+101) O/U 51
CRIS Current: New Orleans -3 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New Orleans -3.5

Not much went right for either of these two teams in their season opener. The Saints defense was picked apart by a rookie QB making his first NFL start; giving up 40 points and 464 yards (a whopping 6.5 yards per snap), unable to stop the run or the pass in Steve Spagnuolo’s first game as the coordinator. Meanwhile, Drew Brees completed less than half of his pass attempts while throwing a pair of interceptions, after throwing only four INTs in his final eight regular season games last year. The Saints gave up on the run rather quickly in a game they trailed from the get-go, with Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram combining for only 32 yards on ten rushing attempts.

Carolina, too, was gashed by Read more


Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling Preview: Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs

09.07.2012     08:34 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn at Mississippi State
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Under
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Mississippi State -2.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Mississippi State -3 (-105) O/U 47
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Mississippi State -4

Auburn comes in off a tough 26-19 loss to Clemson while Mississippi State had a much easier time against Jackson State, winning 56-9. We should find out much more about Mississippi State this week against a quality opponent, but they should hold up well against the Tigers. Auburn struggled to stop the run against Clemson, allowing 320 yards on 52 attempts, and also gave up 208 yards passing. The only positive with Auburn’s stop unit was in the red zone as they held Clemson to four field goals. They did however allow Clemson to convert on 8-of-17 third downs and pick up 28 first downs. On offense, Auburn ran the ball fairly well with 180 yards, but the passing Read more


Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC Brent Crow




NFL Preseason ATS Notes: Carolina starters to play first half, Rivera wants better effort

08.17.2012     05:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Carolina -3 O/U 37

Carolina head coach Ron Rivera says Cam Newton and the starters will play the entire first half during tonight's game against Miami. Earlier this week, Rivera also came out and requested a better effort from his players after a poor showing in Week 1's 26-13 loss to Houston.


"I expected some guys to step up and make some plays and some guys didn't," Rivera said. "That is disappointing. When you have an opportunity to play this football game, you have to play it with a sense of urgency and we didn't do that, especially in the second half.

"To me that was very disappointing and I will work to get that corrected because it falls on me. I do not accept that as football and I Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Miami Dolphins



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