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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 9

11.04.2013     08:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC thoughts and opinions from Week 9.

Dallas Cowboys – Dallas had faced four top notch QB's this year heading into the game: Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, Philip Rivers and Matthew Stafford. All four threw for more than 400 yards against Monte Kiffin's defense. Here, Christian Ponder had consistent success throwing downfield. This defense just can't stop the pass, especially with DeMarcus Ware out again, negating any semblance of a pass rush. And there were no shortage of defensive breakdowns either – missed tackles, missed assignments and blown coverages.

Not impressed with the offensive line play today one iota. The Vikings got pressure on Tony Romo all afternoon. They signed former pro bowl guard Brian Waters out of retirement a few weeks ago as a desperation move, but he couldn’t stay healthy; already on IR. Back-to-back sacks killed a red zone chance here, forcing Dan Bailey's legs to get points, not Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys St. Louis Rams Washington Redskins New Orleans Saints Minnesota Vikings Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos

10.24.2013     12:24 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Denver
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -12 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Denver -11.5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -12
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

As the Broncos continue to show the betting public that you can mechanically play over in every one of their games, oddsmakers don’t seem to be posting a price tag high enough to deter that. This week, the Washington-Denver total was opened too low according to the early money and it’s been pushed from 55 all the way to the key number of 58 and in some shops, beyond. It’s important to note that on all occasions this season, Denver has had an opponent with at least one attribute which helped greatly in producing final scores totaling 58 or higher in six of seven contests. This week is no different as Washington rolls into Sports Authority Field at Mile High with a sieve of a defense (389.0 ypg, 30.7 ppg) and an offense Read more


Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Denver Broncos Rob Veno




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 7

10.23.2013     08:28 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I decided to switch things up with my weekly NFL News and Notes article this week by focusing on the obscene amount of key injuries. Sunday had to be close to a record number of injuries for one day’s worth of football and many of them are significant so I’m going to mention several of them and the impact they could have…

Chicago Bears
The Bears are dealing with a pair of key injuries suffered last week. Quarterback Jay Cutler went down with a torn groin muscle which will put him out of action for 4-6 weeks and linebacker Lance Briggs will miss approximately the same amount of time with a small fracture in his left shoulder. Most people will automatically look at Cutler’s absence being more significant but the loss of Briggs is undoubtedly an impact injury. Chicago’s defense has been sliced and diced whenever they aren’t forcing turnovers. Teams have been moving the football up and down against the Bears and putting up points with regularity. Briggs was one of the few players that had a positive impact throughout the season. He had eight tackles, one tackle for loss, and two passes defended against Washington Read more


Tags: NFL. Chicago Bears St. Louis Rams Cincinnati Bengals Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: Second half betting trends for Week 7

10.18.2013     01:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This week’s blog is a bit different than the previous weekly writings. I decided to go more specific this week and focused in on five Sunday NFL games that have some strong early season first half and second half betting trends. Let’s see if these continue to be money makers this weekend:  

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS and 0-5 O/U in second half play this year. The Buccaneers have only had one 2H total score more than 13 points. Tampa has scored one field goal in their last three second halves combined. They lost the 2H 6-0 three weeks ago at New England, 13-0 two weeks ago at home vs. Arizona and 17-3 last week at home against Philadelphia. 

Atlanta is 1-4 ATS and 4-1 O/U in the 2H this season. All four pointspread losses are either as pick ‘em or an underdog, their lone cover was as a favorite. In the Falcons last four games, the 2H totals have resulted in 27 or more points.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore has been a tremendous second half team rattling off five consecutive straight up and ATS wins. Until last week’s 17-13 2H win and cover against Green Read more


Tags: NFL Rob Veno




Thursday Night Football Betting Recap: Eli Throws More Picks, Louisville Misses Kicks

10.11.2013     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Kind of a sloppy night in football. In the two early games everyone was watching…Giants/Bears and Rutgers/Louisville…everybody committed at least three turnovers but Chicago. And, they missed so many tackles and played such crappy defense that they didn’t exactly sparkle as a team in their victory. Let’s crunch the numbers…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness)

Chicago 27, NY Giants 21 (+9.5)

NYG: 355 yards, 6.7 per-play, 3 Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears New York Giants College Football Louisville Cardinals Rutgers Scarlet Knights AAC Stat Intelligence




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 5

10.09.2013     07:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down the Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
The list of winless and undefeated ATS teams continues to shrink after Week 5 of the season. Denver and Seattle were the two remaining undefeated teams but both came up short from an ATS perspective. However, there are still four teams looking for their first pointspread win of the season as we head into Week 6. Those teams are Houston, Jacksonville, and the New York Giants at 0-5 ATS along with Pittsburgh at 0-4 ATS.

The Giants, Jaguars, and Steelers have all failed to win a game straight up while the Texans are 2-3. New York will attempt to snap their SU and ATS winless streak in Chicago playing on a short week against a Bears team that has dropped their last two games. It doesn’t help the Giants have three major flaws right now. They can’t take care of the football, they can’t block up front, and their secondary has been ripped apart by each opponent they’ve faced.
Jacksonville finds itself involved this week in the largest pointspread in NFL history as they opened as 28-point underdogs against the Denver Broncos. The next largest spread was when the Pittsburgh Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 5

10.07.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC thoughts and opinions from Week 5.

Chicago Bears - Chicago entered the game with only six sacks on the season, a notable weakness on a defense that's heavily reliant on creating turnovers. They got a little bit of pressure on Drew Brees here, but not enough. The Bears played a lot of Cover-2 today and it gave the Saints fits for a while, forcing Brees into dink-and-dunk’ mode. But Sean Payton made play calling adjustments, and Chicago’s defense didn’t adjust back, leaving Jimmy Graham in store for a huge afternoon.

Marc Trestman was a pointspread monster during his tenure with the Montreal Alouettes in one role in particular: coming off a loss. In his first NFL try in that same role, that success did not translate.

For the second straight week, this rebuilt offensive line got eaten up for extended stretches. Jay Cutler was under constant pressure and Matt Forte had no room to run. Even Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saiints Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: First half over/under totals trends

10.02.2013     01:57 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Three weeks ago this blog was used to discuss the popularity of first half and halftime betting with the focus being placed on individual college team totals results. Here, I’m going to re-visit the first half/halftime theme but this will be an examination NFL team results. With one fourth of the season completed for 30 of the 32 teams, there are three that have been extreme moneymakers in first half over/under wagers posting perfect 4-0 records. While the perfection may not continue for an entire season, these teams may be indicating early on how their results are going to tilt for the majority of this season. Maybe a shift is in the works, but either way, here’s a look at what has occurred and what might be on the horizon.

Chicago Bears – The Bears have rewarded any and everybody who has played them to go over the total in the first half of each of their contests. The perfect 4-0 first half O/U record can be partially attributed to the success of their new offense implemented by first year head coach Mark Trestman. Chicago has scored at least 13 points in three of their first halves and averaged 17.75 per game. That’s a recipe Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings New York Giants Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions

09.29.2013     07:14 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago at Detroit
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Detroit -3 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Detroit -3 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Chicago -0.5
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

So far, so good for the 3-0 Chicago Bears and new head coach Marc Trestman.  It hasn’t exactly been pretty with come from behind wins against the Bengals and Vikings and outgained by the Steelers by over 200 yards last Sunday night.  However, with their perfect record the Bears are buying what Trestman is selling.  A big key has been the look of their quick hitting West Coast offense under the direction of quarterback Jay Cutler. While many Chicago coordinators have failed this year’s offense has given the offensive line an opportunity for success.  At their most efficient this offense will keep the clock and chains moving and chew up yards.  The Bears o-line has continued to shine, which is Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Erin Rynning




NFL Handicapping Trends: Non-Conference Totals

09.25.2013     01:17 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The natural order of game importance in the NFL is one of the first things any handicapper/bettor has to learn and subsequently apply. Divisional games are by far the most important to all teams followed by conference and then non-conference. That being known, the general theories are as follows: 1) division games will be hotly contested and potentially lower scoring because of team familiarity, 2) conference action will be intense but maybe not quite as intense as division rivalries and 3) non-conference tilts are the games where letdowns and lesser focus can enable abnormal scores to occur. Of course this knowledge is simply a starting point and nothing more than one of many ingredients to be considered in each individual game handicap. Because there are eight of them this week, I’m going to use this article to look at handicapping non-conference totals.

So far this season, there have been 13 non-conference games played and the record sits at 8-5 61.5% to the over. All 13 games have had final score differentials of at least 3.5 points from the closing total and 10 of the 13 (76.9%) have ended 11.5 points or more off of the closer. Those are 10 very easy wins Read more


Tags: NFL Rob Veno



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 18, 2014 01:03 AM.