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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Preseason AFC Betting News and Notes

05.26.2014     08:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The LVH Superbook posted their NFL Season Win totals last weekend.  Cantor sportsbooks (CG Technology) have had season win totals posted for months.  Many other books both here in Vegas and offshore have posted season win totals, Week 1 pointspreads and Game of the Year pointspreads.  Most books that haven’t posted NFL numbers yet plan to do so in the near future.  The NFL offseason, at least for sports bettors, is essentially over.  Numbers are up, and they’re moving!

My first step in assessing the upcoming NFL season begins with a thorough look back at last year.  Every team’s power rating is set, in large part, based on where they finished the previous campaign.  Obviously, adjustments are made for injuries, luck, offseason improvements or declines, coaching changes and the like, but those base power rating numbers factor in what happened in 2013 very heavily.

In this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report, I’ll pass along a tidbit or two from each of the 16 AFC teams in regards to last year.  My focus is on things that are NOT likely to repeat the same way in 2014.  I’ll offer similar Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas AFC




College Basketball Handicapping: Same season revenge spots for Wednesday

02.05.2014     01:19 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For anybody that values same season revenge spots, I listed the teams on tonight's card that fit that profile. By no means do you want to blindly bet these squads. You still have to handicap the game, factoring in matchups, injuries, line value, etc. But it is worth noting this angle on a nightly basis now that we are into February and a lot of these games have more meaning.

Nebraska (at Michigan) – Wolverines won in Lincoln, 71-70.
Hofstra (at Northeastern)
Richmond (vs. St. Bonaventure) – Spiders lost Cedrick Lindsay (knee) for the year.
Buffalo (vs. Ball State)
Eastern Michigan (at Akron)
Wright State (vs. Youngstown) – Penguins won first meeting, 68-67.
Illinois Chicago (at UW-Green Bay)
Evansville (vs. Missouri State)
Indiana State (vs. Wichita State) – Shockers won first meeting by 20.
Purdue (vs. Minnesota)
Stanford (at California) – Golden Bears off a win over No. 1 Arizona.
Houston (vs. Louisville)
Texas A&M (vs. Mississippi State – Bulldogs won first meeting in overtime.
Utah State (vs. Nevada)
Air Force (vs. Fresno State)
Boise State (vs. San Read more



Tags: College Basketball Ian Cameron




A perfect match: Gambling and the Super Bowl

01.21.2014     07:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Publicly, the NFL is among one of the staunchest opponents of legalized gambling. Former commissioner Paul Tagliabue and current commissioner Roger Goodell were instrumental in getting the anti gaming ‘Illegal Internet Gambling Prohibition Act’ attached to the Port Security Bill. The NFL has taken this stance despite the fact that its enormous popularity is, in no small part, due to the prevalence of betting on games.

The hypocrisy of the NFL in regards to betting is almost laughable. The facts, as you will see, clearly show that the league was founded by gamblers for gamblers. From the NFL’s first television appearance in 1939 through the current TV deal that pumps more than three billion dollars per year into the league coffers, the NFL’s popularity rests upon the shoulders of those who wager on the outcome of the games.

Here in the 21st century, the NFL is the most popular and profitable sport in the. NFL owners are among the richest men in the world; franchises are bought and sold for more than half a billion dollars. However, the league’s humble origins were anything but the extravagant bonanza that is the NFL today. Read more



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVIII Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Green Bay's up-tempo offense ready to roll with Rodgers and Cobb healthy

01.02.2014     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco -3 at Green Bay O/U 46

Aaron Rodgers' return has garnered a lot of pub but with receiver Randall Cobb back as well, the Packers feel the offense is ready for bigger and better things. Cobb, who hadn't played since Week 6, caught two touchdown passes in Green Bay's win over Chicago. Rodgers noted that Cobb is a big key to the team's up-tempo attack. Against the Bears, the Packers ran 76 plays.


“Well, myself and Randall are back, that helps,’’ Rodgers said. “We had a couple good connections on Sunday. It’s doing the stuff we want to do. We want to be an up-tempo team, we want to get a lot of plays run, we want to try to wear the defense down a little bit.”

“Randall does so much for our offense. We can give him the ball, we can get it to him

Read more



Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers San Francisco 49ers




NFL Gambing News: Rodgers cleared to play, Green Bay favored at Chicago

12.27.2013     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay -3 at Chicago O/U 53

Green Bay announced yesterday that quarterback Aaron Rodgers will start Sunday's NFC North de facto championship game at Chicago. Rodgers hasn't played since breaking his collarbone Week 9 against the Bears. The Packers were 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in his absence. Below you can take a look at GB's pointspreads with and without Rodgers under center. The Packers were -10 at home vs. the Bears back in Week 9 and are currently -3 for Sunday.


"Every football player that plays in this game Sunday will have risk. I think we all understand that," McCarthy said. "So we've done our due diligence, we've gone through all the evaluations, and we feel it is time. Aaron is ready to play."



Pointspreads with Rodgers
Week 1: +5 at San Francisco
Week 2: -9 Read more



Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Playoff bound, but Super Bowl XLVIII bound?

12.23.2013     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last year, heading into Week 17, Atlanta was the team to beat in the NFC, having already clinched homefield advantage with their 13-2 (at the time) record.  Washington was the hottest team in the conference and Green Bay was considered very live for the title, with Aaron Rodgers just one year removed from his Super Bowl ring.  In the AFC, the playoff were expected to be an eventual battle between the Patriots and Broncos, with the other four teams (Baltimore, Cincinnati, Houston and Indy) largely considered to be fodder for the elites; non-factors.

What happened? A San Francisco-Baltimore Super Bowl, won by the Ravens; their third straight postseason win as an underdog.  Let’s not forget that Baltimore entered the playoffs in the midst of a late season 1-4 SU and ATS skid; a team that NOBODY expected to make noise in January and February.

In 2011, in the NFC, Green Bay was the unbeatable juggernaut with a 15-1 record as the defending champs, and the Saints weren’t far behind, just one year removed from a Drew Brees Super Bowl ring.  Meanwhile, the Giants were on the outside of the playoff picture, needing to beat Dallas just to get Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Super Bowl XLVIII Las Vegas




NFL Week 16 Betting Recap

12.23.2013     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Excellent betting recap of NFL Week 16 for our friend Stat Intelligence. Check out the links below...

Early Sunday Recap

Late Sunday Recap

Week 16 Pace Factors

Eagles destroy Bears




Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 16

12.20.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Are you missing NFL football on a Thursday night? Here are this week’s Drive Point averages to help you make it to the weekend. Games are presented market rotation order. If you’re new to the blog, these are per-game averages for points scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more (weeding out all defensive points, special teams points, and otherwise “cheap” points from drives of 59 yards or less as itemized in standard boxscores). The first sent of parenthesis shows the current strength of schedule rankings from Jeff Sagarin of USA Today and Football Outsiders (in that order). The second set of parenthesis shows turnover differential to this point in the season.

That composite helps you visualize strengths, weaknesses, and team styles for all 32 teams. Sometimes they help you find matchup advantages in a given game. Here we go…

Miami: 11.8 on offense, 12.3 on defense (14-6) (+2 turnovers)

Buffalo: 11.4 on offense, Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Pointspread Plays of the Year

12.16.2013     12:55 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last year, I wrote a Pointspread Plays of the Year NFL article at this stage of the season, at a time of year when Top 10 lists seem to formulate out of thin air.  It was so much fun to write, I decided to do it again this year, even though there was no clear Pointspread Play of the Year like we had last year with the Seahawks-Packers final play Hail Mary TD on Monday Night Football!

In my world, there’s nothing better than a right side winner – no drama, no sweating; an easy rocking chair cover. Of course, cashing nothing but right side winners is MUCH easier said than done.  In the real world, there are so many games that come down to a single key late play that determines the SU and/or ATS winner. I’ve gone back through my notes, looking at the some of the wackiest pointspread outcomes of the year – the really memorable ones. End of the year Top 10 lists are so passé, so I’ll call this my Top 8 Pointspread Plays of the Year.  Let’s start the countdown with Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 15

12.12.2013     11:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

What you see below are per-game averages on offense and defense for points scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. That's a stat I've been keeping myself by hand from itemized scoring drives in boxscores ever since the USA Today started publishing them many years ago. In the first parenthesis are strength of schedule rankings from Jeff Sagarin at USA Today and Football Outsiders (in that order, and, largely converging now). In the second parenthesis is turnover differential. Games are presented in market rotation order. I tried to line up the numbers as best as possible by abbreviating some of the team cities…

Thursday

San Diego: 14.6 on offense, 16.1 on defense (19-31) (-3 turnovers)

Denver : 23.3 on offense, 15.0 on defense (20-29) (-2 turnovers)

Football Outsiders has mentioned somewhere that San Diego supposedly has one of the five worst defenses in the history of their stat methodology. I mean…it’s pretty Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 04, 2015 04:55 PM.