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NHL Handicapping: San Jose Sharks headed in wrong direction

10.07.2014     01:25 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the San Jose Sharks
The San Jose Sharks have been a powerhouse in the Western Conference (at least during the regular season) for the better part of the last decade but much like we’ve seen with the New England Patriots, we’re starting to witness chinks in the armor. San Jose has a lot of “bet against” qualities heading into the campaign: aging core, questionable depth, average goaltending, and questionable team chemistry. Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau were stripped of their respective captaincy titles in the offseason and even though they can still play at a fairly strong level, this decision, even though they won’t admit it, has to sting them a bit. Those two veterans along with Joe Pavelski, Logan Couture, and Tomas Hertl provide plenty of punch in their top six forwards but there is a significant dropoff in my mind from their top six to bottom six forwards.

Depth is not only an issue for the Sharks up front but on defense as well. They have only Scott Hannan, Matt Irwin, and Swiss rookie Mirco Mueller on defence, and only slightly more options up front. Tommy Wingels took a big step forward, speedy Matt Read more


Tags: NHL San Jose Sharks Ian Cameron




NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Over 60% of bets placed on the UNDER

09.29.2014     02:15 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's  Monday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs courtesy of Bookmaker. KC has seen a steady amount of market support with the link down from +4 to +3/+2.5. The total has climbed from 45 to 47.

SIDE
56.8% - New England -3

TOTAL
60.4% - Under 47

MONEYLINE
51.6% - Kansas City +125



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Kansas City Chiefs




NFL Handicapping: New England's offense limited to small ball

09.16.2014     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite picking up an easy 30-7 road win over the Vikings, concerns remain about New England's offense moving forward. The Patriots rank 30th in the league at 4.3 yards per play and dead last at 5.1 yards per pass. One of the contributing factors appears to be Tom Brady's declining arm strength. As a result, everything thus far has been pretty much dink-and-dunk. Great article from the Boston Globe that expands on some of this ineptitude.


The Patriots basically conceded that they can’t pass the ball down the field, and took the ball out of Brady’s hands on several third-and-long opportunities. On third and 8 in the first quarter, he handed off to Vereen for 7 yards. On second and 18, they ran a draw to Vereen for 7 yards. The next play, on third and 11, Brady threw a bubble screen to Edelman that didn’t gain any yards. On third and 19 from the 21-yard line in the second half, they again ran an inside draw to Vereen.





Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 2 Betting Recap

09.15.2014     07:18 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
My September NFL betting mantra is relatively simple.  It can be stated in one sentence: “Bet on good teams, and bet against bad teams.”   This strategy tends to be at its best  very early in the season, before the betting markets catch up to how good or how bad teams actually are compared to last year. 

That strategy did not fare well this past weekend for two reasons – many of the good teams played poorly and a good handful of the bad teams stepped up.  Of the seven top teams in my power ratings, only two managed to cover the pointspread on Sunday (Cincinnati and New England).  Seattle, New Orleans and San Francisco all lost SU as favorites.  Denver won, by not my enough of a margin to cover the number.  And Green Bay pushed against the closing number but lost for anyone who bet the Packers throughout the course of the week.

On the other end of the spectrum, many of the bottom teams in my power ratings stepped up and played a good game.  The worst two teams in the league – Jacksonville and Oakland, according to my numbers – are both 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS.  Other weak teams like the Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Patriots and Chargers top picks for Week 2 SuperContest

09.14.2014     08:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 2 of the Hilton/LVH/Westgate SuperContest.

1. New England -3 at Minnesota
2. San Diego +6 vs. Seattle
3. Buffalo +1 vs. Miami
4. San Francisco -6.5 vs. Chicago
5. Detroit +3 at Carolina

Least picked Sunday side: St. Louis +5.5 at Tampa Bay

 



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Preview: Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers

09.10.2014     02:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle at San Diego
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -5 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Seattle -6 O/U 44
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Seattle -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Seattle

The recent history of defending Super Bowl Champions has not been a good one.  No team since the New England Patriots following their 2003 Super Bowl title has even won a single playoff game the following season. The last two defending champs – the Giants and Ravens – failed to make the playoffs the year after their title.

But Seattle is a different animal compared to recent Super Bowl champs.  Three things make the Seahawks different.  First, their coaching staff didn’t get raided this past offseason, as they return both coordinators.  The historical norm is that Super Bowl winning teams tend to lose some of their coaching talent in the offseason, but there’s full continuity for the Read more


Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: New England's offensive line faces another tough front seven

09.09.2014     01:37 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England -3 at Minnesota O/U 49

Last week against Miami, New England's offensive line was manhandled for much of the game. The Dolphins recorded four sacks on Tom Brady and a ton of hurries. This week's opponent, Minnesota, present a similar challenge. The Vikings notched five sacks and helped force two interceptions in their 34-6 domination of the Rams. New England offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels couldn’t pinpoint the exact root of the problem but pointed to the heat on humidity of Miami as a contributing factor.


“I don’t think there was one thing in particular,” McDaniels said. “I think you have to do a good job of being technically sound in terms of your protection to avoid pressure on the passer, obviously. Give credit to Miami; they deserve it. They did a good Read more



Tags: MLB New England Patriots Minnesota Vikings Miami Dolphins




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Under- and over-reacting to early season football results

09.08.2014     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I probably heard the same expression 20 times last week: ‘Don’t overreact to Week 1 results.’   It’s one of those handicapping mantras that we hear every year right around this time – the very beginning of football season. 

In basketball or baseball there’s no week off between the first two games and the early season betting markets don’t react intensely off a single poor performance.  But for football – both NFL and college – the prevailing conventional wisdom is that Week 1 results are a thing to take with a grain of salt.

The concept certainly makes sense.  Coaches – especially college football coaches – will tell you that they expect their biggest improvement between Week 1 and Week 2.  Without the benefit of preseason games or even scrimmages against opposing squads, teams often ‘work out the kinks’ and ‘get up to game speed’ in their initial contest.  The team you expected to see this year (at least for bettors who do some homework and have opinions coming into the campaign) might not be the team you saw in Week 1, but there’s Read more


Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC East Reg Flags

09.02.2014     07:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Bettors react strongly to the NFL Preseason.  First string offenses that look good in August tend to attract betting market support.  The markets are much less reactive to defensive success or failure compared to offensive production.  And bettors tend to largely ignore coaching gameplans; unable to differentiate between coaches who were aggressively trying to set a tone for winning or whether their primary focus was on roster evaluation and personnel decisions.

The two primary areas where preseason results affect the betting markets are adjusting Week 1 numbers and moving the juice on season over/under win totals.  Some of these line moves are absolutely warranted; others are based on erroneous reactions to essentially meaningless football games.

I’m not willing to write off a team’s regular season chances based solely on preseason struggles.  But ignoring those struggles completely is the moral equivalent of sticking your head in the sand. A repeated inability to execute the game plan in August often carries over into September.

One NFL Division had more than their fair share of struggles in August, on at least one Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Handicapping: NY Giants plan on playing offensive starters in preseason finale

08.25.2014     12:58 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at New York Giants -3 O/U 42

Following a slightly better showing in Week 3, New York's offensive starters are expected to play "15 to 18 snaps" in Thursday's preseason finale vs. New England. The Giants open the regular season at Detroit on Monday Night Football.


"(The starters are) going to play. They're going to play a little bit," Coughlin said. "It's a long way to the Monday night game."

"We expect to go out there and move the ball and see if we can do something," Manning said. "See if we can get into a good rhythm early in the game instead of having to wait until later."





Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jan 31, 2015 02:36 PM.