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NFL Gambling: SuperContest contestants go all-in on New England Patriots

10.17.2015     07:59 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 6 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. NEW ENGLAND -7.5 at Indianapolis
2. ARIZONA -3 at Pittsburgh
3. MINNESOTA -4 vs. Kansas City
4. BUFFALO +3.5 vs. Cincinnati
5. DETROIT -3 vs. CHICAGO

Least picked Sunday side: Pittsburgh +3 vs. Arizona

 




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Handicapping: Luck upgraded to probable vs. New England

10.16.2015     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay stated that there is a "strong likelihood" that Andrew Luck plays Sunday night vs. New England. Backup Matt Hasselbeck started the last two games, both of which Indy won. Luck's probable status hasn't stopped the betting markets from piling on New England. The Patriots opened -7 and are now as high as -10.


“I really think that, unless something happens, I see him being a go Sunday,” Irsay said. “I’m not saying 100 percent for sure, but I think there’s a strong likelihood he’s a go. I was with him [Thursday], and he’s feeling a lot better.”






Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Preview: New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys

10.09.2015     09:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Dallas
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -7 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -8 O/U 49.5
Recommendation: New England

Dallas lost to New Orleans last Sunday Night due to two primary factors.  First, their passing game with Brandon Weeden behind center instead of Tony Romo and Dez Bryant sidelined has been borderline inept.  That’s not going to change with an extra week of practice, nor will their QB play improve dramatically if Weeden gets benched for the just acquired Matt Cassel, who has crashed and burned at every previous NFL stop since his one successful season in New England back in 2008.

Second, the Cowboys very thin defense has become an injury riddled mess; a factor that won’t change significantly even with Greg Hardy and Rolando McClain expected to make their season debuts this week following NFL mandated four game suspensions for both guys.  A Cowboys secondary that couldn’t stop Matt Ryan two weeks ago or Drew Brees last week is ill prepared to stop Tom Brady and the Patriots devastating short passing attack this Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Dallas Cowboys Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Miami seeks better run game vs. Buffalo

09.23.2015     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After producing 116 yards (3.4 ypc) combined the first two weeks, Miami is looking for ways to bolster its run game. Statistically, Week 3's opponent, Buffalo, has been stout against the run allowing 120 yards to New England and Indianapolis. Those numbers are perhaps a little skewed however considering the Patriots were more than satisfied to just throw the football (466 passing yards) and the Colts trailed by margin the entire game.


"We've got to get our run game going. When our run game is going, our offense can't be stopped," Pro Bowl center Mike Pouncey said. "Our play action [feeds] off of it. Our passing game works off it. When we don't run the ball, we don't give ourselves a chance."






Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills




NFL Handicapping: New England currently a consensus TD favorite over Pittsburgh

09.10.2015     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season kicks off tonight with New England playing host to Pittsburgh. Since the summer this line has bounced around due to the unknown status of Tom Brady. With Brady cleared to play, the Patriots reopened -6.5/-7. Recent New England money now has the game -7 across the board both offshore and in Las Vegas. The total ranges from 51.5 to the 52.5. The public of course likes the home chalk (67% according to Sports Options) with even more love towards the over (83%).




Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings 1-32

09.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season starts on Thursday.  Here’s how I have the 32 teams ranked heading into the campaign, with a quick blurb each squad.

1. New England Patriots - With Tom Brady set to open the season as the starting quarterback, the defending champs are the team to beat, worthy of my #1 ranking heading into the regular season.

2. Seattle Seahawks - Seattle enjoyed the best yards-per-rush differential between offense and defense last year, but they’ve got significant offensive line question marks as they head to St Louis for Week 1.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers passing game was second to none in the NFL last year, but the loss of Jordy Nelson leaves Aaron Rodgers without his top target for the entire season.

4. Indianapolis Colts - Most elite contenders face a tougher than average schedule because they’ve got to face other contending teams.  Indy, however, plays only four games against playoff teams from last year.

5. Denver Broncos - Peyton Manning is the oldest starting quarterback in the NFL by a wide margin, and he’s coming off a season where his arm strength noticeably declined down the Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Update: New England Patriots now favored to win AFC title

09.04.2015     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Update on New England's future odds courtesy of The Greek now that Tom Brady has been cleared to play.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 50: +550

Odds to Win AFC Championship: +285

Odds to Win AFC East: -285

Season Over/Under Wins: 10.5ov-145

NFL MVP: Tom Brady +2000





NFL Gambling Alert: Brady cleared to play; Pats -6.5/-7 vs. Steelers Week 1

09.03.2015     07:54 AM     View Original Blog


So this just happened. Tom Brady's suspension was officially lifted which means he'll suit up for Week 1's game Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Alert: Brady cleared to play; Pats -6.5/-7 vs. Steelers Week 1

09.03.2015     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So this just happened. Tom Brady's suspension was officially lifted which means he'll suit up for Week 1's game vs. Pittsburgh. It also means oddsmakers are scrambling to post an updated pointspread. CG Technology originally opened the game New England -6.5 back in April before Deflategate went public. Assuming Brady would be suspended, the Pats hovered around -2.5/-3. Now that Brady has been cleared to play CG reopened -6 and it was later bet up to -6.5. Pinnacle reopened -7 where it currently stands. Same deal for Heritage and BetOnline. Las Vegas' William Hill is -6.5.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers

08.28.2015     09:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England pk at Carolina O/U 44
Recommendation: New England


There’s a very different mentality between the Patriots and the Panthers as they head into their preseason Week 3 matchup tonight.  New England’s starters got crushed by the Saints last week, allowing three TDs and a FG before the offense produced a single point.  Bill Belichick was not amused.  His quote speaks volumes about why the Patriots are worthy of a wager this evening:

 “We weren’t very good on either side of the ball, or in the kicking game. Bad coaching, bad playing, put it all down. We weren’t very good……I think an important week for us in terms of starting to develop a little bit of a routine, especially for players that haven’t been in this program before for them to understand what the expectations are, what the routine is, where they should be at various points during the week leading up to the game.”

Patriots running back Jonas Gray, talking about the sense of urgency for a much better showing tonight: “It’s huge.  We want to go out there and we want to win Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Recap

08.24.2015     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In the NFL Preseason, when coaches almost never play for a late game tie to force overtime, there’s an enormous difference between laying -1 and -2.5.  Games decided by final margins or 1 or 2 points are relatively rare once September rolls around.  In August, they are commonplace.   Three games were decided by a single point this past weekend, in Week 2 of the preseason, with the Bills beating the Browns 11-10, the Chiefs beating the Seahawks 14-13 and the Panthers beating the Dolphins 31-30.

Both Kansas City-Seattle and Carolina-Miami produced a win, loss or push based on betting skills, not handicapping skills, with lines on both games moving up throughout the course of the week.   In addition, the Patriots pulled off the comeback of the weekend to beat New Orleans 26-24, a two point margin.  Meanwhile, there was only one game finishing with a final margin of three points; the Chargers 22-19 win at Arizona. 

It was a similar story in Week 1, with more games finishing with 1 or 2 point final margins than games that were decided by exactly three points.   With two more weeks of these meaningless Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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"New England Patriots'"

September

30


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 01, 2016 05:04 AM.