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Super Bowl XLIX Gambling: Patriots likes to go off as less than field goal favorites

01.28.2015     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Oddsmakers aren't projecting enough money to push the New England Patriots to a 3-point favorite for Super Bowl XLIX. We've seen as high as -1.5 but nearly all of Las Vegas is currently offering -1 while pick 'em remains the most common offshore price.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Super Bowl XLIX

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors ready for Super Bowl XLIX

01.26.2015     10:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s Super Bowl time again.  I use this line every year because it’s true – this IS the moral equivalent of Christmas Day for many sports bettors.  Yet, much like last year, many of the professional full time bettors that I know are rather disappointed with the proposition betting opportunities for Super Bowl XLIX – there’s simply not much low hanging fruit.  The biggest and best sportsbooks (market leaders both here in Vegas and offshore) have learned from previous mistakes.  Weak numbers do NOT abound in 2015.

Let me start with the game itself.  The Super Bowl itself has been an underdog bettor’s paradise in recent years.   The Seahawks were underdogs at kickoff last year in their blowout win over the Broncos. The Ravens won the Super Bowl in 2013, as the underdog, beating the favored 49ers.  The Giants won the year before as an underdog; knocking off the Patriots.  In 2010, the Saints won straight up as a dog over Peyton Manning and the Colts.  In 2009, the Cardinals covered the spread in a tight loss to the Steelers.  In 2008, the Gia nts beat the favored 18-0 Patriots Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX Teddy Covers Las Vegas

Super Bowl XLIX Gambling: Oddsmakers project game to go off as a pick 'em

01.19.2015     01:48 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
After an initial rush of New England Patriots support, oddsmakers aren't expecting much if any line movement on the side for Super Bowl XLIX. Most sportsbooks have settled in at a pick ‘em with a few offering Seattle -1.

“You’re not going to see this one bounce around like you did last year,” asserted Jimmy Vaccaro of the South Point sports book. “Last year the whole world was in love with Denver early and there was a crush at the (betting) window. But this game is going to stay right around Seattle a 1-point favorite or pick ‘em the whole entire way.”

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl XLIX

NFL Super Bowl XLIX Gambling: Offshore and Las Vegas pointspreads

01.19.2015     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick rundown of the opening and current pointspreads at key offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks for Super Bowl XLIX.

CRIS Opener: Seattle -3 O/U 49
CRIS Current: Seattle -1 O/U 48.5

Pinnacle Opener: Seattle -2-05 O/U 48.5
Pinnacle Current: Seattle pk-16 O/U 48

BetOnline Opener: Seattle -3-05 O/U 49
BetOnline Current: Seattle pk O/U 48un-16

Cantor Opener: Seattle -2.5 O/U 49
Cantor Current: Seattle pk O/U 48.5

LVH Opener: Seattle -2.5 O/U 48.5
LVH Current: Seattle pk O/U 48

Wynn Opener: Seattle -2.5 O/U 49.5
Wynn Current: Seattle -1 O/U 49.5

Stations Opener: Seattle -2 O/U 49.5
Stations Current: New England -1 O/U 49.5

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks

NFL Handicapping: Bettors gear up for Conference Championships

01.18.2015     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick last minute look at both NFL Conference Championship matchups for today. In the NFL, we've seen a more Seattle money with the line now up to -8 both offshore and in Las Vegas. The total has also been played down some to 45.5. New England remains -6.5 at most sportsbooks though bettors interested in Indianapolis shouldn't have any trouble finding +7. They are expecting balmy temps (45 degrees), some wind (10 mph), and thunderstorms/rain (85% chance) in Foxboro. A 75% chance of rain is forecasted for Seattle. No real shift in opinion from the betting public with the preference for both games to go over and the Packers (57%) and Patriots (67%).'s ELO Ratings favor both underdogs based on the current market prices with the Seahawks -7 and the Patriots -5.

Sportsmemo has service play selections on both games with Teddy Covers' 20* Packers vs. Seahawks Report and Rob Veno's 15* Colts vs. Patriots Report. Click here to purchase.

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots

NFL Gambling Consensus: Betting public likes the over in both conference championship games

01.16.2015     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for Sunday's NFL Conference Championship matchups courtesy of Bookmaker. After opening -7, Seattle is up to -7.5 even money at most offshore shops. There are still a handful of -7's available but with 20-25 cents worth of juice tacked on. New England was bet down from -7 to -6.5. Las Vegas bettors interested in the Indianapolis side should be able to find +7-120. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

67.6% - New England -6 (-115)
53.0% - Green Bay +7.5 (-120)

72.5% - Indianapolis-New England OVER 53.5
67.7% - Green Bay-Seattle OVER 46

80.2% - Green Bay +275
68.3% - Indianapolis +225

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots

NFL Betting News: After getting burnt, bettors jump on board with the Colts

01.13.2015     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A few days removed from assisting in a huge score for the sportsbooks, the Indianapolis Colts are now at the top of the betting markets' wishlist for Sunday’s AFC Championship vs. New England. The Colts opened +7 vs. Denver and went as high as +10 before closing +9.5. After dominating the Broncos, Indy has now taken some early money with the Patriots down from -7 to -6.5.

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots

NFL Handicapping: Conference Championship pointspreads and power ratings

01.12.2015     10:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick run through of the pointspreads and power ratings for this weekend's NFL Conference Championship matchups. Note that we applied -3 for home field advantage with Sagarin's lines. Places like Seattle are typically given more respect by oddsmakers and the betting markets.

Indianapolis at New England
CRIS Opener: New England -7
CRIS Current: New England -7 (+105)
Veno Power: New England -6
Sagarin: New England -3.5

Green Bay at Seattle
CRIS Opener: Seattle -7
CRIS Current: Seattle -7.5 (+105)
Veno Power: Seattle -5
Sagarin: Seattle -5.5

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship matchups are set

01.12.2015     07:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The NFL has never embraced the Final Four moniker, but that’s exactly what we’ve got left in this NFL season.  Four teams.  Three remaining meaningful games (sorry, I’m not counting the pro bowl as meaningful, even if you choose to wager on it).  One champion, yet to be crowned.

And there’s one strong commonality among the four teams still standing after two weekends of NFL Playoff action.   Each of the four teams still standing is there because of their quarterback.  As the league has adjusted their rules year by year, making it more difficult to defend the passing game, the very best QB’s have taken advantage of those rule changes, making them nearly impossible to defend.

Bettors probably remember the Patriots gameplan when they travelled to Indy in Week 11; one of four games this year where the Pats were installed as underdogs by the betting markets.  Bill Belichick installed a radically different gameplan than most Pats fans (and their betting supporters) were used to.  New England played for extended stretches with six offensive linemen in power rushing formations, finishing the game with Read more

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers Las Vegas

NFL Gambling Update: Betting market show love toward underdogs

01.09.2015     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly

Checking in on the current pointspreads for this weekend's NFL Divisional Playoff games. As of Friday morning, all four underdogs have seen play the betting markets based on CRIS's openers.

Baltimore opened +7 and after early money on New England the Patriots are now -7 even money.

Seattle opened -11.5 but has settled -10.5 offshore and -11 in Las Vegas.

Green Bay opened -6.5 and was -6 for much of the week before dropping to -5.5 yesterday. Still plenty of +6's for those interested in the Cowboys.

Denver opened -7.5 even money but is now -7 (-105) across the board.

NFL Handicapping: Divisional Round pointspreads and power ratings

01.05.2015     07:49 AM     Read more

Tags: NFL


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