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October

31

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NFL Betting: Recapping recent Week 1 line moves

09.02.2014     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at the some of the recent line moves in the NFL betting markets...

New Orleans at Atlanta: The Falcons opened -1.5 during the summer but by mid-August the Saints were -1.5/-2 favorites. Last week, New Orleans was popped again and is now -3 (ev/-105) across the board.

Minnesota at St. Louis: The Rams were -6/-6.5 for much of the summer. Now that Sam Bradford is out, the market has settled in at -4/-3.5.

Cincinnati at Baltimore: The Ravens never really threatened to go to -3, but all of the +2.5's were taken out as they are now -1 vs. the Bengals.

Buffalo at Chicago: Bears have bounced back and forth -6.5/-7. There is some opinion on this one with Chicago -7 (-110) at CRIS and -6.5 (-110) at Greek and Cantor.

Tennessee at Kansas City: A slow trickle of Titans' money pushed them from +6 to +3.5. Wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs -3 (w/ juice) come game day.

San Francisco at Dallas: Another one with varying opinion. San Fran opened -3.5 and was bet up to -6. But recent Cowboys' support has the 49ers settled in at Read more


Tags: NFL




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC East Reg Flags

09.02.2014     07:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Bettors react strongly to the NFL Preseason.  First string offenses that look good in August tend to attract betting market support.  The markets are much less reactive to defensive success or failure compared to offensive production.  And bettors tend to largely ignore coaching gameplans; unable to differentiate between coaches who were aggressively trying to set a tone for winning or whether their primary focus was on roster evaluation and personnel decisions.

The two primary areas where preseason results affect the betting markets are adjusting Week 1 numbers and moving the juice on season over/under win totals.  Some of these line moves are absolutely warranted; others are based on erroneous reactions to essentially meaningless football games.

I’m not willing to write off a team’s regular season chances based solely on preseason struggles.  But ignoring those struggles completely is the moral equivalent of sticking your head in the sand. A repeated inability to execute the game plan in August often carries over into September.

One NFL Division had more than their fair share of struggles in August, on at least one Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Football Betting Podcast 8-28-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Rob Veno

08.28.2014     10:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Rob Veno. Brent broke down NFL Preseason Week 4 and Rob talked Thursday and Friday college football.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - NFL Preseason Week 4

Rob Veno - College Football EGOTB (Thu-Fri)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL College Football Brent Crow Rob Veno




NFL Preseason Handicapping: San Diego and Arizona play first of a back-to-back

08.27.2014     02:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at San Diego -3 O/U 39

Bettors should be aware that Arizona and San Diego not only close out the preseason but turn right around and play each other in the regular season opener (at Arizona) on Monday, September 9.


“Well, it will be a first for me and I think for a lot of people,” said Head Coach Mike McCoy.  “I think you’re not going to show as many things.  You’re going to do certain things against them you may not be doing in the opener, but I also want to put the players in a position to succeed and give them a chance to make this football team.  We’re going to do what we do.”








Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals San Diego Chargers




College Football Betting Preview: Boise State Broncos vs. Ole Miss Rebels

08.26.2014     01:46 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boise State vs. Mississippi
Thursday, 5 pm PT, Atlanta - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Mississippi -10 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current: Mississippi -10.5 O/U 53.5
Rob's Recommendation: Over

Intriguing non-conference, neutral field matchup between teams with something to prove. Ole Miss has drawn a lot of preseason enthusiasm but not enough to make the masses believe they’ll finish in the top three of the SEC West. Head coach Hugh Freeze and staff have recruited tremendously and the Rebels are out to show everyone they can take a major step up in the standings. They have 15 returning starters and 60 returning lettermen from last year’s 8-5 team including senior quarterback Bo Wallace. The return of second team All-SEC tieght end Evan Pilgrim is huge for the team as he was quickly becoming a security blanket for Wallace prior to his season-ending injury late last season. Defensively, this team has playmakers at every level Read more


Tags: College Football Boise State Broncos Mountain West Ole Miss Rebels SEC




NFL Handicapping: Newton's injury not as bad as originally thought, probable for Week 1

08.26.2014     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following reports that his season could be over, Cam Newton's fractured ribs appear to be nothing more than a short-term issue. Newton will obviously not play in Saturday's preseason finale at Pittsburgh. But most sources (including Sports Options) have him as probable for Week 1's game at Tampa Bay. When news broke of the injury a few bettors were able to sneak in with wagers on Tampa Bay +1 (Carolina opened -2 back in May). Most sportsbooks have since taken the game off the board.


“I do” expect he’ll play, Rivera said. “But he has to get past the soreness. Then we will see how he starts to progress.”





Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Pittsburgh Steelers Tampa Bay Buccaneers




NFL Preseason Handicapping: NY Giants plan on playing offensive starters in preseason finale

08.25.2014     12:58 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at New York Giants -3 O/U 42

Following a slightly better showing in Week 3, New York's offensive starters are expected to play "15 to 18 snaps" in Thursday's preseason finale vs. New England. The Giants open the regular season at Detroit on Monday Night Football.


"(The starters are) going to play. They're going to play a little bit," Coughlin said. "It's a long way to the Monday night game."

"We expect to go out there and move the ball and see if we can do something," Manning said. "See if we can get into a good rhythm early in the game instead of having to wait until later."





Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots




NFL Handicapping: With Bradford out, Rams turn to Shaun Hill

08.25.2014     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Sam Bradford (ACL) out for the season the St. Louis Rams will turn to 34-year-old veteran Shaun Hill who was last seen as a back-up in Detroit. Hill's career QB Rating (85.9) is actually higher than Bradford's (79.3) but Hill last started a regular season game in 2010 and has since attempted only 16 passes.  Through three preseason games, Hill completed 8-of-17 passes for 143 yards and two touchdowns. Austin Davis and Garrett Gilbert are the Rams' remaining quarterbacks. It's obviously a tough division for quarterbacks with Seattle (first), San Francisco (fourth), and Arizona (eighth) all ranked among the league leaders in opposing QB Rating. St. Louis closes out the preseason at Miami. They open the regular season at home vs. Minnesota. Prior to Bradford's injury, the Rams were 6-point favorites.


“Shaun’s our guy,” Fisher told reporters. “We brought him here. He’s got experience. We’ve got all the confidence in the world in him.”

“Shaun has a great feeling for the offense right Read more



Tags: NFL St. Louis Rams




NFL Preseason Betting Consensus: Broncos and Ravens top choices for Saturday

08.23.2014     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's eight NFL Preseason games. Yesterday bettors went all in with the favorites and overs. Favorites finished 3-2 ATS based on the closing lines. Three of the five games went under the total. For Saturday there appears to be some decent opinion on a few underdogs with Dallas and St. Louis both taking over 70% of bets. Bettors remain sold that these penalty-filled games will find a way to go over the total Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
Houston at Denver -7 (76.9%)
Washington at Baltimore -2.5 (73.1%)
Dallas +3.5 (71.7%) at Miami
St. Louis +2 (70.8%) at Cleveland
Tennessee at Atlanta -3.5 (68.4%)
Tampa Bay at Buffalo (64.8%)
New Orleans +2 (54.0%) at Indianapolis
Minnesota +3 (51.3%) at Kansas City

TOTALS
New Orleans-Indianapolis OVER 47.5 (85.7%)
Houston-Denver OVER 46 (82.6%)
Washington-Baltimore OVER 44 (80.0%)
Tennessee-Atlanta OVER 44 (76.5%)
St. Louis-Cleveland UNDER 43 (67.7%)
Dallas-Miami OVER 46.5 (55.9%)
Tampa Bay-Buffalo OVER 41.5 Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Baltimore Ravens




NFL Preseason Betting Consensus: Bettors load up on the chalk for Friday night

08.22.2014     12:33 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's five NFL Preseason games. Looks like everyone and their mother...and uncles and cousins are loaded up on home teams and overs. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
Jacksonville at Detroit -3 (76.7%)
NY Giants at NY Jets -1 (73.6%)
Oakland at Green Bay -7 (73.0%)
Chicago at Seattle -7 (63.8%)
Carolina at New England -6.5 (57.6%)

TOTALS
Oakland-Green Bay OVER 44 (80.8%)
Jacksonville-Detroit OVER 44.5 (75.9%)
Chicago-Seattle OVER 45 (74.6%)
Carolina-New England OVER 45.5 (73.8%)
NY Giants-NY Jets OVER 44 (60.0%)



Tags: NFL



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 31, 2014 06:46 PM.