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NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 1

09.04.2013     07:03 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Picking up with our continuing efforts to estimate the composite de facto “Power Ratings” represented by the NFL betting lines (oddsmakers openers after being improved by sharp action)…

For newcomers, these aren’t my personal Power Ratings. This is my guess at how “the market” has the teams rated based on:

*This week’s current pointspreads

*What we know about future “game of the year” lines that received sharp action in the market

*How the teams were rated at the end of last year

*Common sense tweaks based on offseason and Preseason developments

A zillion places have their own Power Ratings (and, based on reading twitter today, it might be two zillion). Many market followers consider “the market” to be “the sum of all Power Ratings.” This is an effort to get that “sum of all Power Ratings” represented on paper.

To do that, I start by making Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Washington's Griffin ready to go for Week 1

09.03.2013     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Washington -3.5 O/U 51.5

Not surprising but Washington announced that Robert Griffin III will start Monday's Week 1 game against Philadelphia. The Redskins went 4-0 SU/ATS during the preseason despite Griffin's absence.


"If we didn't feel Robert was full-go and ready to play and do all the things you ask a guy to do, he would not be playing in this game," Shanahan said. "If that's sprinting out, if it's running the option, if it's drop back, he can do all those things because he proved it to us in practice."






Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Philadelphia Eagles




NFL Betting Update: Sources say Oakland's Pryor will start Week 1

09.03.2013     07:39 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Oakland at Indianapolis -9.5 O/U 47

It's official (somewhat): the Oakland Raiders will start Terrelle Pryor for Week 1's game at Indianapolis. During the preseason, Oakland's offense was significantly better (by their standards) with Pryor under center.





NFL Handicapping: Raiders may start Pryor over Flynn

08.29.2013     07:24 AM     View Original Read more


Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Indianapolis Colts




College Football Betting Recap: Clemson, LSU Score Showcase Victories

09.01.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back with numbers and notes from the two marquee prime time games in Saturday night college football. Let’s see what happened in Georgia/Clemson and LSU/TCU…

Clemson 38 (+1.5), Georgia 35

Total Yardage: Georgia 544, Clemson 467

Passing Stats: Georgia 20-29-1-323, Clemson 18-30-0-270

Yards-per-Play: Georgia 7.8, Clemson 6.1

Turnovers: Georgia 2, Clemson 1

Drive Points: Georgia 35, Clemson 24

Stat Score: Georgia 34, Clemson 30

Exhilarating first half, followed by more of a sluggish second half (42 combined points in the first half, jut 31 in the second). Georgia screwed up a chippy field goal attempt that ended up being the difference maker. You can see that Georgia had the better stats outside of turnovers. Turnovers are usually worth about four points in value. Apply that to the stat score and we get a dead heat. If Georgia doesn’t muck up that short field goal it’s a Read more


Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC Clemson Tigers ACC Stat Intelligence




Sports Betting Podcast 8-29-2012 with Handicappers Brent Crow and Brian Edwards

08.29.2013     10:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow and Brian Edwards. Brent went through tonight's Week 4 NFL Preseason games while Brian covered tonight's College Football card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - NFL Week 4 Preseason EGOTB

Brian Edwards - College Football Thursday EGOTB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL College Football Brent Crow Brian Edwards




NFL Handicapping: Raiders may start Pryor over Flynn

08.29.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite signing Matt Flynn during the offseason, the Oakland Raiders are hinting that they may go with Terrelle Pryor as their Week 1 starter. The same Terrelle Pryor who admitted earlier this summer that he basically didn't know how to throw a football. That said, Pryor has shown the ability to make plays, something the Raiders sure could use. He's expected to start tonight's game against Seattle.


“We signed Matt [Flynn] with the thought being that he’s going to come in and be the starter, and we would have that package for Terrelle,” Olson said. “But Terrelle has done some things in these preseason games that we’ve been excited about; stuff that a lot of people are excited about. With his success on the field, we’ll continue to add to that package. It was the thought process going in to it. There wasn’t a big package for him a year ago, so we had to absorb that first part. As we continue to grow Read more



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders




NFL Preseason Betting: Browns may play starters some vs. Bears

08.28.2013     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland -2.5 at Chicago O/U 39.5

Following last week's dismal showing vs. Indianapolis, Cleveland head coach Rob Chudzinksi said the starters could see time in the team's preseason finale. It may have been just a knee-jerk reaction however as Chudzinksi has yet to commit to anything. The Bears meanwhile are not expecting to play any starters hence the market move from Chicago -2.5 to Cleveland -2.5.


"We’re going to approach this next game that those guys are going to play,'' he said. "And then I’ll make that determination later in the week as it goes on.”

“We’re going to practice all three days,” Trestman said. “We’ll have a shorter practice on Wednesday, but we’re Read more



Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns Chicago Bears




NFL Preseason Gambling: Giants to play starters vs. Patriots

08.28.2013     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Giants at New England -1 O/U 39

Tom Coughlin said his starters will see 12-15 snaps during Thursday's Week 1 preseason game at New England.


“I’d like to see some continuity and some execution, some performance,” Coughlin said. “I’d like to see us get the ball in the end zone [and] see us do well on third down. I’d like to see our passing game with our protection look like some type of an efficient operation. … I’d like to see progress. That’s really what I would like to see.”

“We’ve got to play better,” Manning said. “We’ve got to do better in the red zone and converting third downs. There is room for improvement.”



 



Tags: NFL New York Giants New England Patriots




College Football Betting: Offensive line concerns for Ball State

08.27.2013     08:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Offensive line concerns for Ball State with the team's lone returning starter, Jordan Hansel, questionable for Thursday's season opener against Illinois State (No. 10 preseason FCS). The Cardinals graduated four senior starters (14 sacks allowed) and if Hansel doesn't play, the unit will be down to just seven career starts. Note that Ball State has a rather tame schedule to open the season with Illinois State, Army, North Texas, and Eastern Michigan.



Tags: College Football Ball State Cardinals MAC




NFL Gambling Trends: Jeff Fisher in Week 4 of the Preseason

08.26.2013     12:13 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at St. Louis -7.5 O/U 38

It is widely known throughout the NFL betting community that Jeff Fisher likes to get his starters playing time in Week 4 of the preseason. Here is a quote from Fisher heading into last year's Week 3 matchup vs. Dallas...


"If you do nothing or very little, then you've done nothing or very little in a two-week span. To me, there's too much time off, so we're just going to continue to build. I think you lose momentum and you lose ground if you don't play a significant amount of plays in the fourth preseason game.

"What you're doing is you're playing, it's Thursday, and you're trying to get quality reps and you want to go through the halftime thing. The halftime experience is unusual. You need to go through it before the regular season starts. We don't opt to do it in Week 3, we'll do it in Week 4. Come in, cool down, get yourself warmed back up again and go back out and play. That's as it relates to just the Read more



Tags: NFL St. Louis Rams



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 24, 2014 01:24 AM.