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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks

05.12.2015     09:13 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Washington (Strasburg) at Arizona (De La Rosa) +125 O/U 8
Recommendation: Arizona

A lot of mixed reports of the status of Stephen Strasburg's arm. The most common is that it isn’t his arm but rather an ankle injury that caused him to strain his back. As a result, Strasburg has tweaked his mechanics some to compensate for the issue. I’ve seen this before where a pitcher with a history of arm trouble comes up with excuses regarding recent struggles.  And while some of his YTD stats suggest he's been a bit on the unlucky side (.394 BABIP, 65.3% LOB) it's worth pointing out that his K rate is down to a career-low 8.91. His return to the mound isn't the best of situations with the roof open tonight in Chase Field. Arizona's Rubby De La Rosa turned in his best performance of the season last time out as he shut down right-hand heavy San Diego (7 IP, 0 ER, 7 Ks). He's still trying to figure out how to pitch at the MLB level but has a bit of upside in this matchup coming from the right side. Nats have been on a tear but I see too many red flag on Strasburg not to look at the home underdog at a nice plus price. 

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Arizona Diamondbacks Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: The Chicago White Sox are pretty bad

05.12.2015     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Yesterday, we railed on the Milwaukee Brewers as being a poorly put together team incapable of consistently playing above average baseball. Let's turn our attention to another stinker, the Chicago White Sox. The Sox are Sox are 12-17 and while they haven't hit and Jeff Samardzija and Chris Sale are struggling as FanGraphs points out there are so many more issues in play.

It’s not time yet for the Sox to pull the plug, but it’s an increasingly likely outcome. At this moment, the White Sox sit dead last in the majors in team WAR, which means they rank even behind the Phillies.

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicag White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers

05.11.2015     09:58 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Chicago (Samardzija) +102 at Milwaukee (Peralta) O/U 9
Recommendation: Chicago

The Chicago White Sox travel to Milwaukee to open up a three-game series Monday night against the Brewers.  The White Sox look to build on two straight wins in Cincinnati over the weekend.  Gordon Beckham had a walk-off single in the ninth inning yesterday to keep the ball rolling for Chicago.  The Sox are looking to put their slow start to the season behind them and build on their mini winning streak.  Bechkam said, "We obviously have to start sooner than later, but we're playing good ball, we just have to keep focusing on that and not really how we've played in the past. You can't focus on anything but the present."  The White Sox have Jeff Samardzija taking the hill after serving his brief suspension.  After getting roughed up against Baltimore, Samardzija bounced back with a solid outing against Detroit as he went seven innings, allowed two runs, and fanned seven. He’s got the ability to miss bats which is key against Milwaukee’s free swinging lineup. The Brewers have shown some pop of late but they remain an all or Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Milwaukee Brewers Sammy P

Sports Betting Podcast 5-11-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

05.11.2015     09:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's two NBA Playoff games as well as MLB.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NBA Playoffs and MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Brewers take a few walks, win a few games

05.11.2015     08:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Over the last two weeks, the Milwaukee Brewers have corrected themselves somewhat by playing like an average team as oppose to the worst team in baseball. Some will cite a "resurgence" following the departure of manager Ron Roenicke but the real reason is the Brewers actually put a few guys on base. Dating back to last year, this has been one of the worst lineups in baseball in terms of walks and on-base percentage. When Milwaukee won, they did so by hitting home runs. Case in point, during the team's 5-18 start, they garnered less than two walks per game and struck out over eight times per game. During the team's current 6-3 "streak" their walk rate has nearly doubled (3.8 per game). Again, this is likely fool's gold as the team still struck out a bunch and was carried in large part because of a rash of home runs (13). In the end, Milwaukee's cold start and hot run prove that they are no different than last year's squad that started 51-32 and finished 31-48: a crappy team that throughout the year will try to fool bettors into thinking they aren't that crappy.

April 6-May 8
Record: 5-18
Home Runs: 15
Walks: 44
OBP: Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Handicapping: Kansas City Royals head to Texas on short rest

05.11.2015     05:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tough spot for the Kansas City Royals tonight in Texas. The Royals just wrapped up a six straight games, the last of which as rain-delayed, extra inning affair in Detroit that didn't end until well past midnight. All of the big guns in the bullpen were used, including closer Greg Holland who after back-to-back games is almost assuredly unavailable tonight. It's also reasonable to think a position player or two will get the night off. The betting markets are seeing the same thing as KC is down to around -110 after opening -125.

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Texas Rangers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Oakland A's at Seattle Mariners

05.09.2015     06:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Oakland (Hahn) at Seattle (Happ) -125 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Seattle

Oakland's Jesse Hahn has really struggled since coming over from the National League. He's young, and has upside, but a vast majority of his 27 innings this year have been a struggle. His K-rate is 3.29 per 9 lower than last year as he claims to be "trying" to pitch to contact and increase his efficiency. I'm not buying it as Hahn hasn't gone 6 innings since his first start of the season. And with Seattle getting a second look and having the ability to put plenty of lefties in the lineup, this isn't a good matchup for Hahn. Speaking of bad matchups, JA Happ had been solid prior to facing Houston on the road last time out. The Astros have good pop from the right side and hit two home runs and plated six runs against Happ. Looks for Happ to rebound as he returns home to face an Oakland team that has struggled against left-handed pitching. The A's are 1-4 vs. lefty starters with some truly dismal splits (.214/.556). With Hahn's inability to go deep into games and Oakland's sub-par bullpen (ERA north of 5.00) we'll play the home side at the short price.  

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Seattle Mariners Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 5-8-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

05.08.2015     11:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. Erin and host Andrew Lange broke down MLB and NBA.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - NBA Playoffs and MLB Free Play

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

05.08.2015     08:04 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
San Diego (Shields) -115 Arizona (Hellickson) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: San Diego

My clients and I cashed an Over the total winner in Jeremy Hellickson’s most recent start as he remains a pitcher I simply don't trust to provide many quality innings. When a team like the Tampa Bay Rays, which knows quality pitching when they see it, no longer sees value in keeping you around that speaks volumes about your viability as a starting pitcher. Hellickson has allowed 3+ runs in four of his five starts this season and has a bloated 7.00 ERA in his 2 starts at Chase Field yielding 7 runs on 16 hits in 9 innings of work. He was hit hard by the Padres last month at Petco Park giving up 5 runs on 7 hits in 6.2 innings in a 5-1 loss. James Shields will counter for San Diego and he should have the advantage of not having faced Arizona yet this season. Even though he allowed 8 runs in 11.1 innings over his last two starts against Houston and Colorado, his strikeout-to-walk ratio in those games was very strong with just a single walk and 19 strikeouts. The San Diego bullpen is hands down better than Arizona’s so if this game is close or the Padres have the Read more

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants

05.07.2015     10:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Miami (Haren) at San Francisco (Hudson) -125 O/U 7
Recommendation: Over

We’re not going to see a fastball in the 90’s from either starting pitcher.  Thirty-nine-year-old Tim Hudson is coming off an extended outing; pitching into the ninth inning of his win over the Angels last weekend.   His quote, following that start: “It is nice to know that you can go out there and pitch deep into the game. But I wouldn't expect it too much from the old guy, to be honest."

Hudson has allowed five home runs in his last three starts; always a red flag. Prior to his win against the Angels, he was winless in his previous eleven starts at AT&T Park (dating back to last year, including postseason), with a 6.00 home ERA during that span.  The Giants bullpen behind him got lit up last night; not the freshest of units heading into Thursday.

The Marlins are strongly trending to the Over on the highway, 9-2-1 to the Over in their last dozen road games.  They’ve got bullpen issues of their own; hit hard twice in their just concluded series at Washington.  Miami starter Dan Haren is a correction Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins San Francisco Giants Teddy Covers


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