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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies

08.20.2014     09:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Kansas City (Duffy) at Colorado (De La Rosa) +100 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Colorado

The Rockies are a true bottom feeder, entering play on Wednesday with the worst record in the NL.  They went a truly woeful 12-44 over a 56 game span from mid-June through mid-August, costing their supporters a small fortune during that extended skid.  They’re playing without injured stars Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki, both out for the season.  And yet the Rockies are a clear bet-on squad today as short home underdogs against the Royals.

Why?  Simple – they’ve got Jorge De La Rosa on the hill tonight, the undisputed King of Pitchers at Coors Field.  De La Rosa is 8-2 with a 3.30 ERA at home this year; in sharp contrast to his 4-6/5.35 on the road. That includes a 5-0 mark in his five home starts during Colorado’s long slump. The only games they’ve been winning consistently for months are the games when De La Rosa takes the hill at Read more

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Colorado Rockies Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at New York Yankees

08.19.2014     09:21 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Houston (Oberholtzer) at NY Yankees (Capuano) -160 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under

The Yankees return home to the Bronx after going 2-3 on their brief road trip.  Things could have been a lot worse as the Yankees stole two games against Tampa on Saturday and Sunday.  The Bronx Bombers have been anything but as they continue to struggle scoring runs.  They've scored just 14 runs in their last 7 games with the under going 6-1 in those contests.  The Houston Astros come into town tonight after a good offensive showing in Boston over the weekend.  Houston managed 24 runs while splitting the four-game set with the Red Sox.  The Yankees should have their hands full again tonight as Brett Oberholtzer takes the mound for the Astros.  Oberholtzer has gone 7 innings in each of his last three starts giving up five earned runs over that span.  He has been the Astros most consistent starter since the All-Star break.  New York counters with veteran Chris Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros New York Yankees Sammy P

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Seattle Mariners at Philadelphia Phillies

08.18.2014     09:07 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Seattle (Elias) at Philadelphia (Williams) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Seattle -1.5 R/L

The Mariners are becoming a force during this month of August going 11-4 in its 15 games thus far. In addition, with the way Seattle is currently playing it’s becoming clear to those watching that they’re rapidly turning into a team nobody will want to play should the M’s get into the playoffs. Mariners’ pitching has been an anchor here in August allowing just 30 runs for an average of 2.0 per game along with an ERA of 1.89. However, it’s the bats that are transforming Seattle into a potential playoff threat. 76 runs have been posted by Seattle this month giving them a +46 run differential in the 15 game span which includes a .263 BA, .351 OBP, and .753 OPS. The most impressive betting number of all is Seattle (consistently a reluctant run-line choice by bettors) has won all 11 games this month by 2+ runs. Tonight’s starter Roenis Elias has been effective lately Read more

Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Philadelphia Phillies Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox

08.17.2014     07:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Toronto (Hutchison) -130 at Chicago WS (Carroll) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Toronto and Chicago pounded out 23 hits but plated only 9 runs as we took a push with yesterday's free play. For this afternoon we'll go back to the well with another recommendation on the Blue Jays-White Sox over the total. I try to involve myself in as many of Scott Carroll's starts as I can - particularly at home where he sports an ERA close to 6.00. Carroll is a below fringe arm that doesn't miss bats and forced to toss in a hitter friendly ballpark. In 41 IP of work at home, opposing teams are hitting .337/.417/.506 vs. the soft-tossing righty. To really put things in perspective, in 19 appearances this season ranging from 2 IP to 7.1 IP, Carroll has never produced more strikeouts than innings pitched and only once matched it (2 IP, 2 Ks). Meanwhile for Toronto, Drew Hutchison takes the hill after getting torched by lefty-heavy Seattle last time out. He's better suited for this White Sox lineup but as a Read more

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox

08.16.2014     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Toronto (Buehrle) -140 at Chicago WS (Danks) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Two old buddies square off against one another as Mark Buehrle returns to Chicago to face John Danks. Not going to see many pitches his the 90 mph mark in this one. What we can expect is a lot of hard hit balls in play, particularly of the fly ball variety. Both pitchers have strong fly ball tendencies and with favorable weather conditions (wind out to left) look for a few of those batted balls to leave the yard. Neither pitcher is in good form with Danks allowing 28 earned runs in his last five starts. Buehrle meanwhile has seen his ERA finally spike after defying logic the first half of the season. In five post-All-Star outings the veteran lefty sports a 7.04 ERA. Some will point to the high BABIP (.432) during that span but when you don't miss many bats and are constantly pitching to contact, swatches like that are fairly common. Expect as many as 15 right-handed batters in this one as they knock around both Read more

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

08.15.2014     07:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Seattle (Paxton) at Detroit (Porcello) -125 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under

When healthy, Seattle's James Paxton has all of the tools to succeed at the MLB level. Coming from the left side, Paxton has showcased the ability to miss bats (22 Ks) and command his pitches (5 BBs) throughout his four starts. Yes, the sample is small (24 IP) but lefties who throw in the mid-90's and get ground balls don't grow on trees.  Detroit's Rick Porcello was forced into an extra inning affair last Sunday (2 IP) so should be rested and ready to face the Mariners. He's been very consistent this season and despite not posting big strikeout numbers, his very respectable xFIP (3.70) speaks to his ability to go out and produce quality starts on a consistent basis. I also like the fact that he's really improved his splits vs. lefties -- which the Mariners have a lot of. Lefties are hitting only .244 BA/.299 OBP/.363 SLG vs. the veteran right-hander. With both teams fighting for postseason berths, I project a Read more

Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox

08.14.2014     10:09 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Houston (Feldman) at Boston (Webster) -145 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

I’ve bet Scott Feldman over the total several times this season and tonight looks like another solid opportunity. Feldman has pitched well of late which he should be credited for but this is not an appealing matchup for him at Fenway Park against the Red Sox. Feldman was hammered for 7 runs on 11 hits in 5.1 innings of work when he faced them back in July and has allowed 15 runs on 19 hits in 7.2 innings of work over his last two starts against Boston. Allen Webster counters for the Red Sox and he simply isn’t a pitcher that I trust to mow down opposing lineups. Webster has made three starts since joining the rotation and though he was better in his last start against the LA Angels (6.2 IP, 2 ER) in his lone start at Fenway he was roughed up by the NY Yankees for 4 runs in just 2.2 innings of work. He has been plagued by control issues with a problematic ratio of 13 walks to 8 strikeouts. Houston’s Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Boston Red Sox Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Oakland A's at Kansas City Royals

08.13.2014     11:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Oakland (Kazmir) -110 at Kansas City (Vargas) O/U 7
Recommendation: Oakland

When healthy, Jason Vargas has proven himself to be an above average starter at the major league level.  But Vargas is NOT healthy right now, still recovering from an emergency appendectomy that cost him a full month’s worth of playing time.  Kansas City Manager Ned Yost: “He's just still not quite sharp after his surgery.”

Vargas has been lit up in both post-appendectomy starts: 15 hits and nine runs allowed in 9.1 innings of work.   The A’s bashed him for seven runs less than two weeks ago, and Oakland is coming off a 20 hit, 11 run outburst last night; the third time in five games they’ve scored six runs or more.   Vargas’s six losses to Oakland since the start of 2011 is his most defeats against any team during that span. A’s sluggers Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie (questionable tonight) and Brandon Moss all have good track records Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Kansas City Royals Teddy Covers

MLB Gambling: Dude claimed to be in on a fix, was never in on a fix

08.13.2014     09:08 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Well, this is interesting/exhausting. A childhood friend of Pittsburgh Pirates starter Jeff Locke claimed the he and Locke were in on fixing games. The whole thing turned out to be bogus and the lesson to be learned is if someone says to bet a game because their buddy plays and will assist in the fix, they are almost assuredly lying.

“My best friend is pitching today for the ­pirates,” Hunter texted. “His name is jeff locke. he will not have a good day.” In a later text he wrote, “Tell your biggest people that pirates game today is fixed. My friend will be throwing this game.”

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers

08.12.2014     11:05 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Helickson) -120 at Texas (Tepesch) O/U 9
Recommendation: Tampa Bay

Monday night the Rays hammered Texas 7-0 and they look to have their way again tonight with the hapless Rangers.  Texas is a league worst 46-72 and is a team playing with zero urgency.  Players have all but mailed it in with the exception of Adrian Beltre who continues to have a career year.  Tampa starter Jeremy Hellickson should have little problem navigating the woeful Rangers lineup tonight.  Hellickson put together a stellar performance against the best offensive team in MLB his last time on the hill.  He gave up just 2 hits and 1 earned run over seven innings of work against the Oakland A's powerful lineup. "That looked like the Rookie of the Year Hellickson," manager Joe Maddon said. "My thought is now that he's done it once he can really take off." Hellickson gets a step down in class tonight and will have no problem translating that confidence from last Read more

Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers Sammy P


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