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MLB Handicapping: Is pitch framing the next big thing?

04.10.2014     08:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Every year there seems to be a new sexy statistics that takes the MLB betting markets by storm. With starting pitching being so important these days, FIP and xFIP have a significant influence on how the markets bet a game. Moving forward, pitch framing could be the new craze. It has a lot more variables – an umpire can easily offset a catcher's ability to frame pitches. But overall, the difference between a strike and a ball can have a huge impact on the outcome of a game. According to FanGraphs, the Yankees are currently the best team in the league at "framing" or having pitches that were technically balls called strikes whereas the Cubs are the worst. The sample size is very small but Francisco Cervelli and Brian McCann are generally regarding as good "receivers." As FanGraphs points out, this is not an exact science but with enough data, we should start to see teams that benefit more than others from fringe calls.

Tags: MLB

Sports Betting Podcast 4-9-2014 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Ian Cameron

04.09.2014     10:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Ian Cameron. Teddy broke down every game on the NBA slate while Ian tackled MLB. 

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board

Ian Cameron - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Teddy Covers Ian Cameron

MLB Gambling: List of pitchers who have had Tommy John

04.09.2014     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
This may be the first and only bettor-friendly thing Bleacher Report has ever published. A full list of every current MLB pitcher who has had Tommy Johnny surgery and the year they went under the knife as of 2013. Obviously those who just had it or will shortly aren't of concern until next season.

Tags: MLB

MLB Handicapping: Rookie ump Barber behind the dish in San Francisco

04.09.2014     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
Being a rookie umpire is tough. Being a rookie umpire in the era of Pitch F/X and GIFs has gotta just plain suck. Sean Barber's first try at calling balls and strikes this season didn't go well. He's slated to be behind the plate for tonight's Arizona-San Francisco game.


Tags: MLB

Sports Betting Podcast 4-8-2014 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

04.08.2014     10:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked MLB while ER broke down the entire NBA slate.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Erin Rynning

MLB Gambling Alert: Money flowing in on Baltimore Orioles

04.08.2014     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
Baltimore (Chen) at NY Yankees (Nova) -120 O/U 8.5

Huge market move on this afternoon's Baltimore-New York game. The Yankees opened around -145 but have since been bet down to as low at -115. In seven career starts WY Chen has an ERA of 5.58 vs. New York. In three starts at Yankee Stadium his ERA is 4.86. Opposing starter Ivan Nova is 5-2 with a 4.46 ERA all-time vs. the Orioles.


Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees

MLB Handicapping: LA's Dan Haren trying to survive on finesse

04.08.2014     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Detroit -120 (Scherzer) at LA Dodgers (Haren) O/U 6.5

Good article on the decline of Dan Haren's stuff the last few seasons. Haren's velocity now hovers in the high 80's and his margin for error is extremely slim.

“A lot of is – say, I’m working 88, 89 (mph) in a game and doing well. Then I get to a big pitch where it’s a 1-and-2 count and I want to freeze a guy with a fastball and I want to try and put a little more on it. Well, now if I put a little something extra on it it’s going to be 91. So I still have to be conscious of locating the pitch. I can’t just say, ‘OK, I’m going to reach back and blow this one by you.’ Even though sometimes on the mound, I – or any pitcher – gets kind of an ego thing where it’s, ‘I’m going to blow the ball past this guy.’ I have to swallow my pride, Read more

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Detroit Tigers

MLB Handicapping: New York's Tanaka impresses in first start

04.07.2014     12:57 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
If you missed his first start, here's a good breakdown of New York's Mashairo Tanaka courtesy of FanGraphs. Tanaka went seven innings, allowed two earned runs and fanned eight en route to a 7-3 win at Toronto.

Tags: MLB New York Yankees

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox

04.07.2014     10:19 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Texas (Scheppers) at Boston (Lackey) -160 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Texas was run through the gauntlet known as the Tampa Bay starting staff over the weekend and the offensive numbers were ugly. In total, the Rangers managed eight runs in the three game set while posting a .220 BA, .260 OBP, .270 SLG%, 9 TB per game and a 19-4 K-BB margin. That miserable set of series stats came on the heels of the Philadelphia series where Texas hit .311, had game OBP’s of .450, .469, .353, OPS’s of .950, .875, .706, averaged 15 TB per game and had a near neutral 15-12 K-BB margin. The truth of the Texas offense lies toward the higher side of those series contrasts and expect them to display that tonight versus Red Sox starter John Lackey who they’ve owned over his career. Against Texas, the Boston RH has struggled going 12-15 with a 6.01 ERA which is his worst against any team he’s faced more than once. The potent Texas lineup features newcomers Shin Soo Choo and Prince Fielder who Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Boston Red Sox Rob Veno

Sports Betting Podcast 4-7-2014 with Handicapper Teddy Covers

04.07.2014     10:10 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's NCAA Championship game as well as MLB.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NCAA Championship and MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball MLB Teddy Covers


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