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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Houston Astros at Oakland A's

07.20.2016     08:27 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Houston (Fister) -125 at Oakland (Mengden) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Houston

The Houston Astros will try to avoid the three-game sweep this afternoon in Oakland with sinkerballer Doug Fister on the hill. There is a lot not to like about Fister's body of work this season with only 69 strikeouts in 111.1 innings to go with a fortunate .257 BABIP and 78.5% left-on-base rate. His ERA (3.64) to FIP (4.72) differential is one of the highest in the league among qualified starters. But what Fister does is keep the ball on the ground and churn out quality starts. In 18 starts, Fister has allowed three runs or fewer 15 times. The markets may not like him but as opposed to laying -180 like bettors were forced to last night with Dallas Keuchel, we're instead getting a far cheaper price of -125. Oakland's Daniel Mengden has the potential to be a back-of-the-rotation arm but he isn't there yet. He's managed to fan a batter per inning but has already shown signs of wearing down having allowed 16 earned runs over his last three starts. Also note that four of Mengden's seven starts came against National League teams. When asked to step up in class against Toronto and Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Oakland A's OTTO Sports

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Houston Astros at Oakland A's

07.18.2016     10:57 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Houston (Fiers) -130 at Oakland (Graveman) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under

Houston has been rolling for nearly two months now going 33-14 since May 24. Throughout the run, their pitching has been a major contributor the success. During this 47 game stretch, the Astros have allowed three runs or less 26 times (55.3%). Tonight’s starter Mike Fiers has not been consistently good this season but in eight of his last 12 starts he has limited the opposition to two runs or less. Included in there is his 7 IP, 0 BB, 2 ER performance right here versus the A’s on April 29. Just as impressive has been Oakland RH Kendall Graveman’s recent 10-game string where he has yielded two runs or less eight times. In that mix is his dominant effort just nine days ago in which he went eight innings and allowed only five baserunners and two runs against this Houston lineup. Shifting to bullpen notes, the Astros relief corps can’t be ignored here as they’ve been just as instrumental in the 33-14 run as any segment of the team. Since May 24, the group is 14-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The Astros have all four of their key arms available tonight Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Oakland A's Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays

07.07.2016     07:55 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Detroit (Verlander) +105 at Toronto (Hutchison) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Detroit

Toronto's Drew Hutchison is the quintessential fringe MLB starter. In 361 career Minor League innings, the 25-year-old right hander owns a 2.81 ERA -- which is right in line with this year's performance at Triple-A Buffalo (2.78 ERA). In 400 career Major League innings, Hutchison's ERA is 4.92 -- his "best" season coming in 2014 when he posted a semi-respectable 3.85 FIP and a strikeout per inning over 184.2 frames. The Jays have given him plenty of chances to succeed but pitching in the American League has consistently been an uphill battle. He makes a spot start tonight against the Tigers with Marco Estrada placed on the DL. And while coming from the right side is the prefered profile against Detroit's lineup, Hutchison's go-to pitch, the slider, has lost it's luster -- .185 BAA in 2014 but close to .300 since. Justin Verlander's resurgence appears real with a strikeout rate over 9 per 9 innings and quality starts in 12 of 17 outings. He remains hittable at times and is prone to giving up the long ball (16 allowed in 111 IP) but it far more trustable when Read more

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Toronto Blue Jays Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 7-6-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

07.06.2016     01:25 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian broke down Week 3 of the CFL while ER and host Andrew Lange talked MLB.

Today's segments
Ian Cameron - CFL Week 3

Erin Rynning - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: CFL MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

07.06.2016     10:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Locke) +150 at St. Louis (Garcia) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh

We’ve got lefty vs. lefty in St Louis tonight.  The Pirates are an above average hitting team against opposing southpaws, and they’ve got a .600 winning percentage against opposing lefty starters.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals rank #25 in MLB in OPS vs lefties, and they have a sub .500 record against them.  Advantage: Pittsburgh.

Pirates starter Jeff Locke is NOT respected in the betting markets and his aggregate stats aren’t all that pretty.  Locke has a 5.13 ERA and a 5.01 xFIP which appears to show that his dismal ERA is no fluke.  But both of those are very misleading numbers, especially compared to his current form.

In early June, Locke was asked to take one for the team in Colorado on a day where the Pirates had no fresh arms in their bullpen.  The box score was ugly: 11 earned runs allowed in 4.1 innings of work.  His next start was ugly as well, allowing another seven earned runs in four innings against the Mets.  A third of the runs he’s allowed ALL YEAR came in those two Read more

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates St. Louis Cardinals Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Miami Marlins at New York Mets

07.05.2016     10:32 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Miami (Chen) at New York (Matz) -145 O/U 8
Recommendation: Over

Miami's Wei-Yin Chen has been a mess for the past month, allowing 21 runs on 36 hits in his last 26 innings of work over a span of five starts. Chen was given an extra couple days of rest prior to his last start against Atlanta thinking that might be an aid to his recent struggles but it didn’t change much as he allowed four runs on eight hits in just 5.1 innings against a very weak hitting lineup. New York's offense has sprung to life in recent games scoring 40 runs during its current five-game win streak and should be able to have success against Chen. It's also worth noting that the Marlins bullpen behind Chen is very much taxed having played in seven straight days prior to tonight and not a single one of their starters lasted beyond 6 innings. Steven Matz also has concerns of his own. Matz is pitching through a bone spur in his elbow that has the potential to threaten his season if it flares up again. Matz has given up 16 runs on 29 hits in his last 21.2 innings and suddenly the long ball has been a problem with four home runs allowed over his last three starts. Miami handed Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins New York Mets Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: San Francisco Giants at Oakland A's

06.30.2016     09:28 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
San Francisco (Bumgarner) -145 at Oakland (Overton) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: San Francisco

The Oakland Athletics host the San Francisco Giants for the finale of their four-game set. The A’s won the first two games of this interleague series in San Francisco and then won again last night in Oakland 7-1. The Giants are sending their ace Madison Bumgarner to the hill to avoid the dreaded four-game sweep. He will face Dillon Overton for the A’s who is 1-0 on the year. Bumgarner is 8-4 with a sub 2.00 ERA but has lost back-to-back starts at Pittsburgh and against Philadelphia despite allowing a total of four runs in over 14 innings. The 26-year-old southpaw has has yielded more than two earned runs only three times in 16 outings this year and once in his last 13 starts. The line has shifted all the way from -185 to -145 which provides us with a discounted price on one of the best pitchers in the game and one of the best teams in the National League. Overton posted an 8-4 record with one complete game and a 3.01 ERA in 14 games with Triple-A Nashville. He was a former second round pick but Tommy John surgery caused his velocity to drop from the Read more

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Oakland A's Drew Martin

Sports Betting Podcast 6-29-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

06.29.2016     11:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian broke down Week 2 of the CFL while ER and host Andrew Lange talked MLB.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - CFL Week 2

Erin Rynning - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: CFL MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox

06.29.2016     09:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Minnesota (Nolasco) +100 at Chicago (Shields) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Minnesota

To say that the Chicago White Sox have fallen on hard times is something of an understatement.  A team that dominated the division in April is now sitting one game under .500 in fourth place in the AL Central. Starter Chris Sale has continued to dominate, a legit staff ace.  But in Chicago’s last 35 games without Chris Sale as their starting pitcher, they’ve gone 9-26, costing their backers a small fortune.

James Shields next good start with the White Sox will be his first good start with the White Sox, a former ace who has completely fallen apart here in 2016.  Shields was ineffective in San Diego, as the Padres went 2-9 in his 11 starts.  And since arriving on the South Side, Shields has actually gotten worse.

 In his first start on this field with the ChiSox, Shields needed 84 pitches to record six outs, while allowing ten of the 16 batters he faced to reach base.  In his second start, he gave up seven runs and 13 baserunners in five innings.  His last two starts haven’t been all that much better, a Read more

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at New York Yankees

06.28.2016     09:05 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Texas (Hamels) -110 at New York (Sabathia) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Texas

A lack of betting market respect has been commonplace with the Texas Rangers with +30 units in the bank despite being 33 games over .500. Cole Hamels has been exceptional over his last three starts allowing just two runs in 20.2 innings of work with Texas winning all three of those games. On the season, lefties have hit only .208 off of Hamels with a miniscule OPS of .630. New York has had a tough time offensively particularly against lefties with the 27th ranked slugging percentage (.386). On the flip side, C.C. Sabathia’s magical ride of a season came to a bit of a halt in this last outing as Colorado got him for 6 runs on 7 hits in 4.1 innings and he left that game with an ankle injury. The Yankees said he is good to go for this start but I’m left to wonder if maybe that rough outing is the beginning of a tailspin for an aging arm that is north of 3,000 innings and currently sporting the best numbers we’ve seen since 2011.  Also note that Texas has mashed lefties this season with the fourth-best OPS in the league. At a near pick ‘em price, Texas Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers New York Yankees Ian Cameron


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