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December

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors show early opinions on Jets and 49ers

06.08.2015     08:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL futures market is heating up as the calendar turns to June.  Two teams in particular have seen significant action.  Money has poured in against the San Francisco 49ers, the #1 bet against team of the offseason, without a shred of debate.  And money has been flowing in support of the New York Jets. I did debate using the Minnesota Vikings as my top wiseguy bet-on team in early trading, but the markets have moved towards the Jets with a vehemence that Minnesota just can’t match.   In this week's Wiseguy Report, I’ll dive into the 49ers and Jets to see why the sharps have such strong opinions about their upcoming campaigns.

There’s no mystery surrounding all the anti-49ers money that’s been pouring in since the very first win totals were posted at CG Gaming back in February.  The markets hated the loss of hard driving, overachieving head coach Jim Harbaugh and they certainly don’t care for his replacement Jim Tomsula; a largely anonymous Niners assistant with no previous NFL head coaching experience (he did coach the Rhein Fire on NFL Europe for one season back in 2006). 

Most big, early Read more



Tags: NFL New York Jets San Francisco 49ers Minnesota Vikings Teddy Covers Las Vegas




MLB Handicapper Free Play: St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

06.05.2015     09:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Martinez) +105 at Los Angeles (Anderson) O/U 7
Recommendation: St. Louis


The Dodgers are an injury riddled mess right now.  Key bats like Yasiel Puig, Carl Crawford and Scott Van Slyke  are on the DL, while hot hitting second baseman Howie Kendrick is a question mark at best tonight, suffering from a knee injury that could put him on the DL as well.  The pitching staff is banged up too with key bullpen arms Paco Rodriguez and Pedro Baez both languishing on the DL.

LA will be playing their ninth game in the last eight days while flying back and forth across the country.  They’ve gone 9-13 in their last 22 games following a 22-10 start to the campaign.  It’s been even worse against opponents with winning records during that span, with LA sporting a 3-10 mark in their last 13 against above .500 foes.

St. Louis has suffered a handful of key injuries as well; most notably staff ace Adam Wainwright and key left handed bat Matt Adams.  But the Cards just keep winning; 8-2 in their last ten after last night’s blowout victory on this field.   Tonight’s starter, Read more



Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Dodgers Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals

05.31.2015     07:04 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Los Angeles (Anderson) at St. Louis (Martinez) -110 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


St. Louis’ Carlos Martinez has been sharp of late with only two runs allowed over his last three starts. He lost his way at the start of May with back-to-back rough outings (9 IP, 14 ER) but outside of those two starts, Martinez hasn't allowed more than two runs. There's a lot to like about his profile: big arm, swing-and-miss stuff (9.45 K per 9), and solid ground ball rate (53.8%). As fearsome as LA's offense was to open the season, they've come crashing down to earth with 2 or fewer runs in nine of their last 13 games. Speaking of groundball rate, Dodgers' starter Brett Anderson currently leads all of qualified starters with an incredible 68.4%. Reports said that Anderson had some back issues in his last start but showed no ill-effects (7 IP, 2 ERs vs. Atlanta) and has no problems during his mid-week bullpen session. He shouldn't have much trouble against a fairly weak St. Louis lineup that already lost Matt Adams to the 60-day DL and may be without Matt Holliday (sick) after he left yesterday's game. And coming from the left side, Anderson can better Read more



Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals OTTO Sports




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres

05.28.2015     11:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Burnett) -120 at San Diego (Kennedy) O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Over


My clients and I have cashed a handful of Padres Over bets this year, and tonight’s game at Petco provides another rock solid opportunity to ride this emerging trend.  The results don’t lie.  Petco Field has been the strongest pitcher’s park in baseball since it opened. Baseline totals in San Diego have been hovering in the 6.5 range for years, just like it is in this game.  In 23 previous home games this year, only two have been totaled as high as 7.5.  San Diego has closed out their last two homestands on a 9-4 run to the Over.  Slumping bats Matt Kemp and Will Middlebrooks have both broken out over the last two nights, back-2-back wins in LA against the Angels.

Meanwhile, the Pirates are hitting as well as they have all season, scoring four or more in every game of their current six game winning streak while averaging just shy of six runs per game during that span.  Big bat Andrew McCutchen has broken out of his slump over the past week, with a dozen hits in his last seven games.  Pittsburgh starter AJ Burnett Read more



Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Red Sox pitchers improve under Willis' watch

05.25.2015     08:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Don't get carried away but since Boston brought in new pitching coach Carl Willis, the staff as a whole has enjoyed a decent amount of improvement. There's was really no where to go but up but in 15 games under Willis’ watch, the staff ERA is 3.57. Prior to that it was around 5.00. One of the biggest upswings has been Wade Miley who over his last three outings has allowed only three runs. Similar situation with today's starter, Joe Kelly, who coughed up five rf more runs in four straight games but has since buckled down with back-to-back quality starts.


"He's trying to get his arms around the bigger picture with each individual guy," said Red Sox manager John Farrell. "He's about making gradual changes and sudden changes, not to come in like he's the white knight and he's just going to make immediate changes with everyone. I think you risk losing credibility with an individual if you do that. He's establishing relationships."

"It then becomes a question of what's going on here [with

Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox

05.22.2015     11:29 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Hughes) +110 at Chicago (Samardzija) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


My clients and I cashed an underdog winner earlier this week with the Minnesota Twins and I’m more than willing to come right back and endorse them tonight. There is something to be said about momentum in baseball and the Minnesota Twins have it right now after winning 14 of their last 19 games. As for tonight’s two starters, I don’t see a whole lot of difference between Phil Hughes and Jeff Samardzija. Both have had ups and downs and battled inconsistency however Hughes is at least feeling some positive momentum having gone 7 innings while yielding only 2 runs on 5 hits against Tampa Bay his last time out. Hughes allowed just 3 runs in 6 innings in his prior start against the White Sox and his overall numbers when facing the current White Sox roster are solid as he’s allowed a collective .250 batting average. Hughes once again shows a sparkling 35-5 K-to-BB ratio. His biggest knock is the 10 home runs allowed in 51 IP but he should be aided by what expects to be cooler temps and a slight wind in front left field. On the flip side, the Chicago Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Ian Cameron




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Golden State Warriors primed to win NBA title

05.18.2015     10:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re down to the Final Four in the NBA Playoffs, but the path to a championship is crystal clear for only one team – the favorite (and favored for a reason) – Golden State.  Why do the Warriors have such a significant edge over the remaining field?  I’ve identified five reasons, breaking them down in detail in this week’s Wiseguy Report. 

The Warriors opened in the -850 range in their Western Conference Finals series against the Rockets, as big of a favorite as you’ll ever see in any third round playoff series.  The first reason to like Golden State’s chances to win the title is that their path just to reach the Finals is easier than any other team’s path based on the price alone. The Rockets are big underdogs in this series, and the Cavs are only in the -200 to -220 range against Atlanta in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Secondly, the Warriors are as healthy as any team remaining in the field.  The Cavs lost Kevin Love in the first round of the playoffs, then watched Kyrie Irving come up lame in the second round.  Atlanta lost designated LeBron-stopper Thabo Sefolosha to a season Read more



Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Wizards and Grizzlies have been postseason ATS darlings

05.11.2015     08:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The 2014 NBA Playoffs were something of an exception to the rule, because there were no red hot pointspread runs to open the playoffs.  In most years, one or two teams stand out as postseason pointspread overachievers as the playoffs begin.  This year, for example, we’ve got two of them – the Memphis Grizzlies and the Washington Wizards, a combined 12-3 ATS through the first two rounds.  

I first really began paying serious attention to this phenomenon in 2009, when the Denver Nuggets opened up the playoffs on a 12-0 ATS run (11-0-1 ATS for some).  My clients and I were onboard for 11 of those 12 ATS victories; and I vowed to look for and find similar teams in the future – teams that hit their stride in late April after being widely overlooked by both bookmakers and bettors at the start of the postseason for whatever reason.

In 2010, Orlando swept their first two opponents in the playoffs, going 7-0-1 ATS in the process. The Phoenix Suns were also major moneymakers, going 8-2 ATS before running into the Lakers in the Western Conference Finals.  2011 saw the Dallas Mavericks open up the playoffs by cashing at a Read more



Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants

05.07.2015     10:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami (Haren) at San Francisco (Hudson) -125 O/U 7
Recommendation: Over


We’re not going to see a fastball in the 90’s from either starting pitcher.  Thirty-nine-year-old Tim Hudson is coming off an extended outing; pitching into the ninth inning of his win over the Angels last weekend.   His quote, following that start: “It is nice to know that you can go out there and pitch deep into the game. But I wouldn't expect it too much from the old guy, to be honest."

Hudson has allowed five home runs in his last three starts; always a red flag. Prior to his win against the Angels, he was winless in his previous eleven starts at AT&T Park (dating back to last year, including postseason), with a 6.00 home ERA during that span.  The Giants bullpen behind him got lit up last night; not the freshest of units heading into Thursday.

The Marlins are strongly trending to the Over on the highway, 9-2-1 to the Over in their last dozen road games.  They’ve got bullpen issues of their own; hit hard twice in their just concluded series at Washington.  Miami starter Dan Haren is a correction Read more



Tags: MLB Miami Marlins San Francisco Giants Teddy Covers




Big weekend for Las Vegas with Mayweather-Pacquiao and Kentucky Derby

04.28.2015     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers feel that Saturday's Mayweather-Pacquiao fight will provide a boost to their handle on the Kentucky Derby.


''We've got a hook nobody talks about," he told the Newark Star Ledger this weekend in reference to how his book at the South Point seeks to offset the potential of ‘smart money’ failing to roll in on the fight. "The Kentucky Derby. They will be sitting in the sports book at 6:30, half of them freakin' drunk and they are going to be running around in a festive mood, and they are going to bet the Derby just to have something to do until the fight. I would bet we might just set a Derby record."






Tags: Boxing Floyd Mayweather Manny Pacquiao Las Vegas



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December

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 04, 2016 12:22 PM.