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College Football Betting Stock Watch: Look for Nebraska's defense to bounce back
09.14.2012 11:45 AM
ER Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports
Buy the Nebraska Huskers
– The Huskers were embarrassed last week in losing to UCLA 36-30 and much of the blame was placed on the defense. Through two games the vaunted “Black Shurts” rank 115th in the nation in rushing defense and 96th overall. However, there’s respect for NU’s defensive coaching staff lead by head coach Bo Pelini. This week new defensive coordinator John Papuchis stated, “If we have to work 24 hours a day for the next seven days or, really, for the next three months to figure it out; we're going to figure it out.'' The talent is there for the Huskers as they’ll try to insert more speed and athleticism to the stop unit. Sometimes a wake-up call is needed and it was certainly delivered by UCLA last Saturday night. Offensively, the Huskers look solid with junior quarterback Taylor Martinez at the controls. He worked extremely hard in the off-season to improve his mechanics and overall game. He sizzled in their first game completing over 75% of his passes as the offense rolled up 632 yards. While not as sturdy last week, 30 points and 6.6 yards per play
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Tags:
College Football
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Big Ten
Erin Rynning
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CFL Free Betting Pick: Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders
09.14.2012 10:36 AM
ICC
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC
Winnipeg at Calgary -9.5 O/U 52
Recommendation: Under
Both of these teams have shown glimpses of playing solid defense this season but I think we'll see them step up their game tonight and help us cash a ticket on the UNDER.
The Winnipeg offense is ranked dead last in points and yards and they've only averaged 15 points on the road. QB Joey Elliott labored in his one and only road start in Saskatchewan as the Blue Bombers offense was shutout in that game. I'd expect some improvement from them here but at the same time I don't expect this team to be scoring points in bunches against a Calgary defense that has come on strong during their current three-game win streak. They surrendered just 10, 23 and 18 points in those games as we've seen the likes of LB Juwan Simpson and DL Charleston Hughes lead the way with dominant performances.
I don't expect Calgary to have as much success moving the football in this game either. The Stamps are off back-to-back wins against their rival Edmonton and usually we see offenses take a hit from a performance standpoint in what is somewhat of a flat spot. QB Kevin Glenn needs a strong running game with
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CFL
Ian Cameron
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College Football Betting Preview: Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks
09.14.2012 07:46 AM
Alatex Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports
Alabama
at
Arkansas
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Arkansas
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -15.5 O/U 52
CRIS Current:
Alabama -20 O/U 54
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Alabama -13.5
A week ago Alabama would have been a seven-point favorite in this game, but after Arkansas imploded in last week’s 34-31 loss to UL-Monroe, the Crimson Tide are now nearly three touchdown road chalk in an SEC game. Arkansas quarterback Tyler Wilson got hurt last week and is questionable for this week’s game, but this pointspread may be an overadjustment. Wilson has practiced this week, but head coach John L. Smith said that he has not been cleared to play and the decision is not in his hands. Wilson will play if he is cleared by team doctors, and with him practicing this week, I expect to see him on the field.
The bigger concern for Arkansas may be its defense. The Hogs have allowed 50
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Alabama Crimson Tide
Arkansas Razorbacks
SEC
Brent Crow
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College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at SMU Mustangs
09.14.2012 07:36 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Texas A&M
at
SMU
Andrew Lange's Recommendation:
Texas A&M
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FSN
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -10.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current:
Texas A&M -12 O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Texas A&M -8
Last year, SMU came into the season with five senior offensive linemen and the most career starts of any team in the country. In Week 1, they were absolutely destroyed by Texas A&M 46-14. In that game, the Aggies recorded eight sacks and helped cause two interceptions. This year, SMU has one of the least experienced offensive lines in the country and faces an A&M squad that record eight sacks and held Florida to 3.0 ypc last week. SMU’s offense is noted for being able to pick apart week defenses. Unlikely the case on Saturday.
As we saw in last year's meeting and in Week 1 against Baylor, SMU is prone to sloppy play, mistakes, and an inability to make stops. The
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Texas A&M Aggies
SEC
SMU Mustangs
C-USA
Andrew Lange
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College Football ATS Analysis: A quick look at Week 3 line moves
09.13.2012 02:53 PM
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We mentioned in our
College Football Betting Recap
earlier this week that big lines moves haven't fared well this season. Using CRIS's lines, if you bet the opener on games that moved three points or more you went 8-14 ATS (7-15 w/ closing line). We've already seen a handful of significant moves this week – some of which injury related like Alabama/Arkansas and Florida/Tennessee.
CRIS Opener/CRIS Current
Florida State opened -25 vs. Wake Forest...now -28
UConn opened pk at Maryland...now -3 (-105)
Alabama opened -15.5 at Arkansas...now -20
Bowling Green opened +6.5 at Toledo...now +3.5
Tennessee opened pk vs. Florida...now -3
Florida Atlantic opened +44.5 at Georgia...now +41.5
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If coaches could bet, Brady Hoke would probably grab some UMass +45.5
09.13.2012 12:31 PM
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Massachusetts
at
Michigan
-45.5 O/U 54
Michigan head coach Brady Hoke just gave out a
free play
. Bet UMass +45.5.
"That’s ridiculous,” he said this morning, during his weekly appearance on the “Stoney and Bill Show” on WXYT-FM (97.1). “All you’ve got to do is go back two years, and it was 42-37 here in Ann Arbor. That gets your attention. The one thing we try to do every week: It’s about us, how we prepare on a weekly basis, how we practice. When you look at it that way, and that’s the way we look at it every week, we’re getting ready to get into the Big Ten schedule soon. We’ve got a lot of improvement we’ve got to do.”
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UMass Minutemen
MAC
Michigan Wolverines
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NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers
09.13.2012 11:20 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
New Orleans
at
Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Lean towards Over
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -3 (+101) O/U 51
CRIS Current:
New Orleans -3 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
New Orleans -3.5
Not much went right for either of these two teams in their season opener. The Saints defense was picked apart by a rookie QB making his first NFL start; giving up 40 points and 464 yards (a whopping 6.5 yards per snap), unable to stop the run or the pass in Steve Spagnuolo’s first game as the coordinator. Meanwhile, Drew Brees completed less than half of his pass attempts while throwing a pair of interceptions, after throwing only four INTs in his final eight regular season games last year. The Saints gave up on the run rather quickly in a game they trailed from the get-go, with Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram combining for only 32 yards on ten rushing attempts.
Carolina, too, was gashed by
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New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
Teddy Covers
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College Football Gambling: Nebraska expected to make defensive changes
09.13.2012 06:59 AM
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Arkansas State
at
Nebraska
-24.5 O/U 67
Let's first give credit where credit is due. UCLA's offense has been impressive. Putting up 653 yards of total offense on any FBS school shows you have some talent. That being said, Nebraska's defense was awful. Bottom line is the Cornhuskers made the Bruins look like the Ducks. And it looks as if the main culprit was a
lack of speed
. Starting defensive tackle Chase Rome left the team following the loss and defensive coordinator John Papuchis hinted there may be some lineup changes for Saturday's game against Arkansas State.
"Team speed has been a little bit lacking over the first couple games, so we're going to try to get some of our faster guys on the field and see how that works this week," Papuchis said. "Everybody is in the equation. If we
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Nebraska Cornhuskers
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Arkansas State Red Wolves
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College Football Betting: Illinois' defense had no clue what is was doing vs. Arizona State
09.13.2012 06:29 AM
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Ron Zook may no longer physicallly be the head coach of the University of Illinois, but it appears that his spirit is alive and well. "Widespread confusion" is being used to describe the Illini's
defensive performance
in last week's 45-14 loss at Arizona State. Part of the credit should probably go to ASU and first-year head coach Todd Graham who had his offense pushing the tempo for much of the game. Note that under defensive coordinator Vic Koenning, who now holds the same position at North Carolina, Illinois held nine opponents to 21 points or less and didn't allow more than 35 points in a single game last year.
“We didn’t communicate well where everyone got the right calls. Some guys were running different things from guys opposite them and when we’re not all on the same page, it looks bad. There were a lot of communications breakdowns between guys on defense and our coaches.”
“On that first drive, I thought they were going pretty fast,” Spence
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Illinois Fighting Illini
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College Football Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Stanford Cardinal
09.12.2012 11:29 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
USC
at
Stanford
Rob Veno's Recommendation:
USC
Saturday, 5:30 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
USC -9 O/U 60
CRIS Current:
USC -8 O/U 56
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
USC -6.5
Without question this is the top revenge game on the board this week as USC lost a heartbreaker in triple overtime last season. It’s very interesting to note that in last year’s contest, USC held Stanford to 3.9 yards per carry (one of only three teams to do so in 2011) but their secondary was shredded by quarterback Andrew Luck for 330 yards. The Trojans sacked Luck twice in that game after he had been sacked only twice in Stanford's previous seven and they did intercept him for a touchdown. This all becomes relevant because no longer are NFL 1st round OG David DeCastro and 2nd round LT Jonathan Martin run blocking and pass protecting and obviously overall Luck is no longer running the offense. Without that trio, Stanford has faced
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USC Trojans
Stanford Cardinal
PAC-12
Rob Veno
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