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October

31

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Las Vegas oddsmakers gear up for Final Four

04.04.2013     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers comments on some of their liabilities with futures bets on the Final Four and NCAA Championship. At one point Wichita State was 300-1 to win the title.


“The liability we have on Wichita State in the futures, we’ve already covered that with what we’ve made on them in their other games,” Malinowski said. “If I had to paint the picture overall of what Wichita did for us in the tournament, it would be positive.”

“You have a handful of people who will throw $5 or $10 here and there on teams like Wichita State,” Malinowski said. “A few of those add up real quickly.”





Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Duke dispatches Sparty, Florida sends Cinderella packing

03.30.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The first half of Duke/Michigan State went pretty much the way you would expect. Duke had to hit treys to compete. Seth Curry was 6 of 7 all by himself in the first 20 minutes. Michigan State dominated the inside. Duke led thanks to their big edge in treys.

In the second half, Duke played very good inside defense while Michigan State kept forcing up bad shots. That led to a 13 minute dry spell that saw the Spartans only make one field goal from about 17 minutes left to about 4 minutes left. Academic after that. I usually blast Duke’s inside defense. They really did a good job here of blocking shots and denying good looks when it mattered down the stretch.

Duke 71, Michigan State 61

2-Point Percentage: Michigan State 45%, Duke 42%

3-Point Shooting: Michigan State 3/12, Duke 7/18

Free Throws: Michigan State 18/24, Duke 24/26

1’s and 2’s: Michigan State 52, Duke 50

Rebounds: Michigan State 33, Duke Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Florida Gators Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Louisville gets lackadaisical, Kansas chokes

03.30.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submittedby Stat Intelligence

In the first final of the night…the consensus “best team in the tournament” Louisville Cardinals started like a house afire. They had covered the 11-point spread by the second TV time out…on the way to leads of 24-8 and 26-10. But, to Oregon’s credit, the underdog fought back to as close as six in the second half.

And, as many of you are aware if you watched the game...officiating sure didn’t go Oregon’s way. Many borderline (or bad) calls went against them in a way that thwarted a bigger comeback. Louisville could very easily have let this game get away from them. The Cards were outscored 59-51 over about the last three-fourths of the clock time.

Everyone changed channels to watch Kansas finish things off against Michigan with a double digit lead. THEY BLEW THE WHOLE THING! Kansas was up 70-59 with 4:40 left. They went into a self-imposed deep freeze on offense even though they were shooting 60% from inside the arc against a very Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Kansas Jayhawks Michihgan Wolverines Oregon Ducks Stat Intelligence




Politicians, big casinos want to eliminate sports betting kiosks

03.28.2013     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Apparently there is a big push to eliminate sports betting kiosks in Nevada. Brick and mortar casinos feel that the kiosks are taking away from their overall handle. William Hill CEO Joe Asher countered that kiosks bring in a ridiculously small amount of profit compared to everyday sportsbooks.

 

“There is no evidence the kiosks are hurting the big casinos,” he said. “The NRA is pushing this bill and it is not a good idea.”

Asher argues that only $600,000 of the $170 million won in sports pools came in these small businesses. That’s one-third of 1 percent, he says.










Nevada residents may be able to bet on elections

03.26.2013     11:13 AM     Printer Friendly
Nevada may allow legalized wagering on presidential elections.


“Simply to make money for the state,” said Segerblom, chairman of the state Senate’s Judiciary Committee, when asked why he was pushing the law. “I’ve been following elections and betting in London, and (gaming companies there) are making a fortune. Why not do it here?”

“Let’s be frank here. You’re not going to throw a federal election in the United States,” Segerblom said, noting sports gambling hasn’t led to widespread corruption: “What’s unique about football? Has football been corrupted? I don’t think so.”











NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: No. 10 Cincinnati Bearcats vs. No. 7 Creighton Blue Jays

03.21.2013     07:32 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region
Friday, 11:45 am PT, Philadelphia, PA
No. 10 Cincinnati vs. No. 7 Creighton
CRIS Opener: Creighton -3 O/U 126
CRIS Current: Creighton -3.5 O/U 128
Recommendation: Cincinnati


Cincinnati's blueprint is pretty straight forward – when the Bearcats shoot the ball well, they are tough to beat. When they don't, the outcome often isn't favorable. And there are plenty of numbers to support that statement. When the Bearcats scored 60 points or more in regulation they were 20-1 SU. When they didn't, 2-10. But it needs to be noted who they were facing. The Bearcats faced seven teams (9 games) that rank in the top 25 in defensive efficiency. In those games, Cinci scored 43, 51, 55, 68, 52, 55, 70, 54, and 58. We know that there is some offensive potential with this squad. Go back to an early season tournament in Las Vegas and we saw the Bearcats net 78 vs. Iowa State and 77 vs. Oregon – two teams somewhat Read more


Tags: College Basketball Cincinnati Bearcats Creighton Blue Jays Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Stat Profiles for St. Mary's/MTSU and Boise State/La Salle

03.19.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’m going to skip the two play-in games on the #16 seed rung because those teams are so obscure…and basically irrelevant for the week. Here are some notes on the other two play in games. St. Mary’s vs. Middle Tennessee will be played Tuesday night in Dayton, Boise State/LaSalle on Wednesday night.

Hybrid Estimates

St. Mary’s: +12.8 average margin in Big West, which has a Sagarin conference rating of 75.31

Middle Tennessee: +16.5 average margin in the Sun Belt, which has a Sagarin conference rating of 69.51

Middle Tennessee is +3.7 on the raw total, but St. Mary’s played in a conference that was +5.8 points better. So, that’s St. Mary’s by 2.1 points. The Vegas line as I write this is St. Mary’s. Pretty close there.

Boise State: +1.1 average margin in the Mountain West, which has a Sagarin rating of 80.71

LaSalle: +5.5 average margin in the Atlantic 10, which has a Sagarin rating of Read more


Tags: College Basketball Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders St. Mary's Gaels Boise State Broncos La Salle Explorers Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings

03.18.2013     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had some time to throw down numbers after the first set of Vegas lines went up. These are based on early numbers, and could change over the next few days. If you’re new to the website, these are my estimates of how “the market” has its Power Ratings heading into the Big Dance. They’re based on the estimates we’ve been updating continually through the season, and the current numbers in Tuesday/Thursday/Friday action.

Note that the market loves Florida, Arizona, and Pittsburgh more than the polls or selection committee did…which has been true or several weeks. And, for you regulars, the ACC may be getting more respect in the market that I had been guessing in recent days based on the early prices for NC and NC State, and possibly the Mountain West too the way things are shading with some of those teams.

First, by seed.

1…Louisville 87, Indiana 87, Gonzaga 85, Kansas 84

2…Duke 86, Ohio State 84, Miami 83, Georgetown Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: UNLV short favorites in rematch vs. California

03.18.2013     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
California vs. UNLV -3

The Mountain West Conference is well represented in this year's NCAA Tournament with five teams making the field. Of those five teams, four are currently favored in their first round matchups including UNLV (-3) vs. California (at San Jose). The Rebels won in Berkeley earlier this season, 76-75, and 1.5-point underdogs.


“Any time when you have a game like that where it was very close, I think the advantage goes to the loser of the first matchup,” said LVH Superbook Executive Director Jay Kornegay. “I think Cal will be a little more motivated to beat UNLV than the other way around. UNLV is going to have to overcome that.”






Tags: College Basketball UNLV Running Rebels California Golden Bears




NCAA Basketball Betting Recap: Syracuse disintegrates, Kansas and New Mexico cut down nets

03.17.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

If you ever wondered by handicappers should pay attention to fatigue, the last 15 minutes of tonight’s Syracuse/Louisville game should have made it crystal clear. Syracuse hit a wall…a bit more than midway through their fourth game in four days. A 16-point lead evaporated in a finger snap. Another finger snap, and Louisville was up by that much!

Syracuse 45-29 in the first 25 minutes

Louisville 49-16 in the last 15 minutes

The treys stopped falling for Syracuse (the laws of math only let you tempt fate for so long), the legs stopped moving in their zone defense…which allowed Louisville to either pass for easy buckets or rebound misses for easy buckets. One team hit a wall just as the other finally found the right gear. Amazing to behold.

Louisville 78, Syracuse 61

2-Point Percentage: Syracuse 41%, Louisville 45%

3-Point Shooting: Syracuse 9/22, Louisville 6/19

Free Throws: Syracuse 12/26, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence



31

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