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March

29

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Football Bowl Game Bad Beats

01.05.2015     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Without a college football playoff this year, we probably would have seen the two losers of the semi-final games (Florida State and Alabama) face off for the national title, instead of the Oregon-Ohio State matchup that we are actually going to see next Monday.  But while the talking heads on TV fixate on the upcoming marquee matchup, there is room for the savvy ‘capper to look back on what just happened over the past three weeks of bowl action in an effort to draw lessons that will help in the future.

Throughout the last few weeks, there were some bad beats that rivaled the toughest beats that we’ve seen in college football all year.  Three stand out in particular; Houston’s late rally to beat Pitt, Michigan State’s late rally to beat Baylor and Central Michigan’s late rally to cover against Western Kentucky. 

Of the three, the Michigan State comeback in the Cotton Bowl was the most likely to occur, despite the Spartans clear deficiencies in the ballgame.  Mark Dantonio’s squad allowed 603 passing yards, but they got the stops they needed during crunch time.  Baylor missed a 46 yard field goal at the Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Oregon Ducks open -7 vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

01.02.2015     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Oregon Ducks opened as a 7-point favorite over Ohio State for next week's college football championship in Dallas. That's where they currently stand both offshore and in Las Vegas with the exception of Pinnacle which has the Ducks -6.5 (-115). The total has seen upward pressure from 72 to as high as 74.5. This after both semifinal contests went flying over the total. Sportsmemo handicapper Rob Veno's Power Ratings show Oregon to be -7.5. Sagarin meanwhile has the game as a virtual pick 'em with Ohio State 0.43 ahead of Oregon.




Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Basketball Gambling: Bettors jump on Kentucky's potentially perfect season

12.30.2014     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We knew this one was coming. Various Las Vegas sportsbooks have been offering a prop bet on whether or not Kentucky will run the table. William Hill chucked up a 50-1 during the summer -- which was in our opinion sorta insulting given the “true” odds of the feat. Fast forward five months and that's looking like the one awesome wager! The current adjusted price is +450. We ask the question, doesn't Calipari WANT to lose a game? Isn't that the type of thing that can be used to benefit the bigger picture? In theory, yes, but there’s also that whole ego thing to contend with.


"It's pretty good six figures, too," William Hill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said of the liability on the popular prop bet. "They keep betting it."






Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Top Super Bowl contenders all have flaws

12.29.2014     01:57 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re down to a dirty dozen in the NFL, as 20 of the 32 teams saw their seasons come to a close at the conclusion of another wild and wacky Week 17.  In my Wiseguy Reports over the past two weeks, I’ve been poking holes in the fringe contenders in both conferences.  This week, I’m going to put the four favorites under the microscope.  Guess what – all four are potentially vulnerable to an upset.

Let me start with the defending champs, the Seattle Seahawks.  When Pete Carroll built up his program at USC, the Trojans weren’t a one-and-done type squad for titles -- they were in the mix year after year under his tutelage.  They played fast, they played loose – never tense or uptight -- and they consistently played their very best football down the stretch.

Seattle did just that down the stretch last year.  And they’ve certainly done that this year; going 6-0 SU and ATS since their loss at Kansas City back in Week 11.  But before we anoint the Seahawks as the first repeat Super Bowl champs since the Patriots did it following the 2004 campaign, we’ve got to put this team under the Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos New England Patriots Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC Playoff Contenders

12.22.2014     10:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 16 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch from last year in the AFC Championship Game.

Last week in this space, I poked holes in the NFC contenders, explaining why every other live team in the playoff race had at least one fundamental flaw primed to doom their chances in January.  This week, I’m going to point the magnifying glass towards the seven fringe contenders in the AFC.  Can any of them knock off the Patriots in Foxboro or the Broncos in Denver when January rolls around?  Read on to find out. 

The Houston Texans remain one of five teams still fighting for the final two playoff spots in the AFC after knocking off the Ravens on Sunday.  But if the Texans do manage to sneak into the postseason with a Wild Card berth, I’m not expecting them to do any damage. 

Houston’s defense ranks among the league’s elite, as we clearly saw once again this past weekend.  But the Texans average Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting News and Notes 12-19-2014

12.19.2014     12:34 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State vs. North Carolina (Chicago)
Tar Heels have plenty of issues but the huge advantage in this one is that they've played five quality top 25 caliber teams. Ohio State meanwhile caught Marquette early and battled back but was for the most part manhandled by Louisville. They've been stationed in Columbus playing nothing but glorified practices. Good for confidence, bad for asking them to flip the switch away from home against comparable competition.

Northern Iowa vs. Iowa (Des Moines)
Prior to allowing 90 to rival Iowa State, I've been impressed with Iowa's defense. The offense though has struggled vs. quality foes and Northern Iowa guards about as good as anyone in the country outside of top-tier bullies like Kentucky and Louisville. Would expect Iowa's best effort with over a week to prep after aforementioned blowout loss to Cyclones. Expect to see Hawkeyes in the -2/-2.5 range.

Oklahoma vs. Washington (Las Vegas)
Huskies are undefeated and while the schedule comes up light, this looks to be one of Romar's most complete teams. He's had more talent but they've bought in to guarding which Read more



Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Playoff Contenders

12.15.2014     08:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 15 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.

In my Wiseguy Report over the next two weeks, I’m going to poke holes in every other team that is still alive in the playoff chase.  Can any of the fringe contenders knock off the favorites when January rolls around?  Read on to find out.  This week I’ll focus on the second tier contenders in the NFC, and next week, I’ll shift my focus to the AFC.

The Dallas Cowboys have looked good on national TV repeatedly this year.  They are a perfect 7-0 SU on the road, including impressive wins at Seattle and Philly.  But the Cowboys have at least one fundamental flaw – their defense isn’t much better than it was last year when the Cowboys ranked at or near the bottom of nearly every statistical category. 

In 2013, the Cowboys stop unit was ridiculed nationally, allowing 6.1 yards per play (ranked #30 out of 32 Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bowl season has history of controversy

12.08.2014     08:08 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There was always going to be controversy.  The system is designed to produce controversy or in 21st century parlance, to generate buzz.  And from the beginning, the college football playoffs were fraught with difficult decisions about which schools deserved to play for the title, and which ones would be on the outside of the process, looking in.

1998 was the beginning of the BCS Bowl era.  The 1998 Fiesta Bowl was the first official national title game; coming on the heels of the split national title between Michigan and Nebraska the previous season.  And while there wasn’t much controversy involving the two teams that played for the title (Tennessee and Florida State), the system itself was under fire from the get-go.  One loss Kansas State finished third in the final BCS standings, but the Wildcats were passed over by all the BCS Bowls, relegated to an Alamo Bowl matchup against Purdue.  To the surprise of no one, the system for choosing the BCS Bowl teams was tweaked the following year.

In 1999, Kansas State finished sixth in the BCS standings, yet they were passed over again.  Michigan got a BCS bowl bid over Michigan Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Sportsbooks post lines on semifinal playoff matchups

12.08.2014     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The college football four-team playoff is set with top seed Alabama facing fourth seed Ohio State in New Orleans and second seed Oregon taking on third seed Florida State in Pasadena. Once the matchups were announced, various offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks were quick to post lines. Cantor was one of the first with Alabama -9.5 O/U 56.5 and Oregon -9 O/U 70. CRIS's openers were very similar with Alabama -9.5 O/U 58 and Oregon -8 O/U 71. The only significant move thus far has been on the Crimson Tide with the line now -10 across the board offshore. It will mark the first time since September 2011 that Florida State will play as an underdog.




Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Oregon Ducks Ohio State Buckeyes Florida State Seminoles




College Football Conference Championship Betting: Bettors show early support for favorites

12.02.2014     02:51 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seen a fair amount of betting market activity for this weekend's college football conference championships. We'll start first with Friday's PAC-12 title game (at Santa Clara) where Oregon opened -13.5 and got popped up to -14.5. Saw a similar move in the SEC Championship with Alabama opening -14 at CRIS, -13 at Pinnacle, but bet up to -14.5 across the board. Per usual, there was anti-Florida State money off the opener of -4. But the Seminoles at -3 was just too attractive to some bettors with the current number back to the original opener of -4. And another favorite being supported with Boise State hit up from -19.5 to -21 in the Mountain West title game vs. Fresno. Still a few -20.5's available both offshore and in Las Vegas. Also looks like Northern Illinois could be headed to -7 vs. Bowling Green after an opener of -6.




Tags: College Football SEC ACC PAC-12 MAC



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 29, 2017 10:09 AM.