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College Football Handicapping: Liberty Bowl expects to be up-tempo

12.16.2014     10:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not a surprise but Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin is expecting their Liberty Bowl matchup vs. West Virginia to feature "lots of plays." The total opened 64 and has since been bet up to 67.

“Both teams need to get to bed early because there’s going to be a lot of plays in this game,” Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin said, noting their no-huddle, up-tempo styles.


Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Texas A&M Aggies Big XII SEC

Sportsmemo's College Football ATS Bowl Contest

12.12.2014     08:04 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Be sure to sign up for Sportsmemo's College Football Against the Spread Contest. All you need to play is a posting forum username and password. If you don't have an account, click here to sign up for free. The winner will earn a free March Madness or NBA Playoff service package from the handicapper of his or her choice. For more details, click here.

Tags: College Football

College Football Betting Alert: Markets fade Spurrier, Gamecocks

12.11.2014     08:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's not too often you see anti-SEC money during the bowl season. Maybe and half point here or there if bettors sense conference affiliation inflation but for the most part the SEC is regarded as "bet on" in December and January. That however hasn't been the case for the Independence Bowl with Miami taking all of the early money for its matchup vs. South Carolina. The game opened pick 'em with the Hurricanes now -3 at most offshore sportsbooks (-3.5ev at CRIS). After losing three straight bowl games from 2008-10, the Gamecocks have won three straight. Likely some concerns though as to how much prep and effort will come from the SC side after very high preseason expectations and a dismal 6-6 (3-5 SEC) showing. That at Spurrier playing 36 holes a day.




Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks Miami Hurricanes

College Football Handicapping: Arkansas seeks better run game vs. Texas

12.11.2014     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Arkansas is hoping the time off leading up to its Texas Bowl matchup vs. Texas will result in more success running the football. After racking up over 700 yards against Texas Tech and Texas A&M, the Razorbacks averaged only 131 ypg (3.12 ypc) their last six SEC contests. Texas' rushing defense allowed 3.9 ypc on the season.

"We need to get back to the basics of what we do," Cook said. "That's being physical, pounding the rock. That's soothing we can do and something we like to do and something we will focus on and get after it."

Tags: College Football Arkansas Razorbacks Texas Longhorns

College Football Betting: San Diego State well versed in facing option offenses

12.11.2014     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
San Diego State's prep for its Poinsettia Bowl matchup vs. Navy shouldn't be all too difficult considering the Aztecs have faced at least two option teams each of the last four seasons. SDSU won all eight games straight up and covered six times. Statistically, they've held up pretty strong holding both Air Force and New Mexico in check in both meetings during the regular season.

2014 (Rush defense)
vs. Air Force: 30-14 SU/ATS Win (140 yards, 3.41 ypc)
at New Mexico: 24-14 SU/ATS Win (150 yards, 4.0 ypc)

at Air Force: 27-20 SU/ATS Win (169 yards, 3.45 ypc)
vs. New Mexico: 35-30 SU Win/ATS Loss (253 yards, 6.17 ypc)

vs. Air Force: 28-9 SU/ATS Win (320 yards, 4.71 ypc)
vs. Army: 42-7 SU/ATS Win (282 yards, 4.55 ypc)

at Air Force: 41-27 SU/ATS Win (195 yards, 4.15 ypc)
at Army: 23-20 SU Win/ATS Loss (403 yards, 5.23 ypc)

Tags: College Football San Diego State Aztecs Navy Midshipmen

College Football Gambling: Nebraska preps for Holiday Bowl in wake of Pelini's departure

12.11.2014     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Nebraska is one of many teams heading into its bowl game with an interim head coach at the helm. Bo Pelini was recently fired and replaced by former Oregon State head coach Mike Riley. Assistant Barney Cotton will coach the team's Holiday Bowl matchup vs. USC (Dec. 27). The Cornhuskers are of course saying all the right things despite being fairly bitter over Pelini's dismissal. It is also uncertain whether any of the current staff will be retained.

“I really have a very simple job,” Cotton said. “That’s to help our players finish out the best way and help this coaching staff stay cohesive and united and keep loving each other.”

“They definitely want us to finish right,” Mitchell said. “We’re a competitive bunch and that’s one thing we preach. For us to have one more game, especially against an opponent we’re going to play, who wouldn’t want that? It’s not a huge BCS bowl game, but the opponent is a big name

Read more

Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers USC Trojans

College Football Handicapping: Bowl Game Strength of Schedule, Market Numbers, and Power Ratings

12.11.2014     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly
Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not factor in key injuries or motivation two very important aspects of handicapping bowl games. Below is a chart of each team's Sagarin strength of schedule, CRIS's current lines, and Rob's Power Ratings.

2014 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Bowl Games
Team (SOS)
Team (SOS)
Veno Power Rating
CRIS Current
Nevada (75)
UL-Lafayette (119)
Nevada -1.5
UL-Lafayette pk
UTEP (103)
Utah State (83)
Utaht State -15
Utaht State -10
Utah (26)
Colorado State (94)
Utah -1.5
Utah -4
Western Michigan (130)
Air Force (106)
Air Force -3.5
Western Michigan -1
South Alabama (101)
Bowling Green (120)
Bowling Green -0.5
South Alabama -2.5
BYU (71)
Memphis (123)
Memphis -2
Memphis -1
Northern Illinois (128)
Marshall (126)
Marshall -9.5
Marshall -10.5
Navy (77)
San Diego State (104)
San Diego State -2
Central Michigan (114)
Western Kentucky (95)
Western Kentucky -5.5
Western Kentucky -3
Fresno State (69)
Rice (91)
Rice -2
Rice -1
Illinois (43)
Louisiana Tech (79)
Louisiana Tech -3
Louisiana Tech -6
Rutgers (46)
North Carolina (34)
North Carolina -8
North Carolina -3
NC State (65)
Central Florida (115)
Central Florida -3
Central Florida -1.5
Virginia Tech (49)
Cincinnati (93)
Cincinnati -2
Cincinnati -2.5
Duke (81)
Arizona State (35)
Arizona State -11.5
Arizona State -7
Miami (32)
South Carolina (18)
South Carolina -3
Miami -3.5
Penn State (62)
Boston College (57)
Boston College -3
Boston College -3
Nebraska (61)
USC (29)
USC -6.5
USC -6.5
West Virginia (9)
Texas A&M (5)
Texas A&M -1.5
West Virginia -3
Clemson (53)
Oklahoma (24)
Oklahoma -4
Oklahoma pk
Texas (16)
Arkansas (2)
Arkansas -8
Arkansas -6.5
Notre Dame (39)
LSU (3)
LSU -10
LSU -7
Louisville (55)
Georgia (14)
Georgia -12
Maryland (44)
Stanford (27)
Stanford -14.5
Stanford -14
Ole Miss (6)
TCU (42)
TCU -5.5
TCU -3.5
Boise State (73)
Arizona (28)
Arizona -2.5
Arizona -3
Georgia Tech (38)
Mississippi State (21)
Mississippi State -10
Mississippi State -7
Wisconsin (54)
Auburn (1)
Auburn -6
Auburn -6
Michigan State (60)
Baylor (56)
Baylor -3
Baylor -3
Minnesota (50)
Missouri (13)
Missouri -5
Missouri -5
Florida State (37)
Oregon (33)
Oregon -11
Oregon -9
Ohio State (52)
Alabama (4)
Alabama -6
Alabama -9
Pittsburgh (63)
Houston (129)
Pittsburgh -2
Pittsburgh -3
Iowa (59)
Tennessee (7)
Tennessee -5
Tennessee -4
UCLA (8)
Kansas State (25)
Kansas State -1.5
Kansas State -1.5
Oklahoma State (19)
Washington (51)
Washington -7.5
Washington -5
East Carolina (112)
Florida (11)
Florida -10.5
Florida -7
Toledo (105)
Arkansas State (118)
Arkansas State -0.5
Toledo -3

Tags: College Football Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting Free Play: NC Central Eagles at Maryland Terrapins

12.10.2014     10:21 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
NC Central +11 at Maryland O/U 122
Recommendation: NC Central

Preseason projection of Maryland being a “bet on” team has taken a bit of a back seat right now due to key injuries. I felt that the Terp’s blend of solid trio of veterans combined with incoming class of potential stars (especially PG Melo Trimble) could be molded into a profitable side by Mark Turgeon. Trimble has been as advertised thus far leading Maryland in scoring (16.4 ppg), minutes played (31.0 mpg), free throw percentage (88.6%), and assists (2.9 apg). The support staff is still formidable with Jake Layman (15.2 ppg) and Richaud Pack (team’s 4th leading scorer) but losing centerpiece Dez Wells for the next four weeks and having starting forward Evan Smotrycz still out is concerning. With four freshman now in the seven man rotation, have to expect some uneven performances this early as they get acclimated. Figure tonight to be one of those spots as veteran NC Central group comes into the Comcast Center in game with great measuring stick significance to them. NCC has a trio of pesky backcourt veterans who defensive can give Trimble difficulty over 40 minutes. Read more

Tags: College Football NC Central Eagles Maryland Terrapins

Sports Betting Podcast 12-10-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Paul Stone and Brent Crow

12.10.2014     09:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Paul Stone and Brent Crow. Paul and host Andrew Lange talked New Year's Eve and New Year's Day bowl games while Brent broke down the CBB slate.

Today's segments
Full Show

Paul Stone - College Football Bowl Games

Brent Crow - College Basketball

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football College Basketball Paul Stone Brent Crow

College Football Betting: Nevada faces UL-Lafayette in the New Orleans Bowl

12.09.2014     02:41 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
This time of year it's always nice to get a beat on what type of focus teams have while preparing for their bowl games. Some will take a business-like approach, some will turn it into a vacation, while others simply won't show up (see: USC's infamous Sun Bowl appearance). Nevada is headed to the New Orleans Bowl to take on UL-Lafayette. Early reports indicate that Wolf Pack head coach Bill Polian wants his kids to enjoy the experience even going so far as to allow them a night on the town. That doesn't mean Nevada is going to suffer a three-day hangover and get blasted by 40. But couple the lax atmosphere with the 8 am PT start and it's easy to see why bettors took Nevada down from -3 to a pick 'em/+1.

"They deserve one night to go out and experience the city," said Polian, who added that he met with his leadership council Sunday night. "Now, I'm not condoning knucklehead behavior, but they ought to have one chance to walk around in groups and look around New Orleans and experience it a bit. There will be

Read more

Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns


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