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January

30

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College Football Gambling: Golden Nugget GOY lines feature over 200 games

06.03.2013     01:44 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Here's a link to all of the college football games the Golden Nugget will offer for its Game of the Years lines – slated to be released this Friday at 1 pm PT (dime limits).





College Football Gambling: Golden Nugget GOY lines available next week

05.28.2013     12:28 PM     View Original Blog


Just a head's up. Las Vegas' Golden Nugget sportsbook will release its College Football Game of the Year lines on Friday, June 7, at Noon PT. In the meantime, here's a link to Read more



Tags: College Football




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Season Over/Under Wins

06.03.2013     11:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In last week’s column, I wrote about my personal process for assessing NFL Season Win Totals, calling those totals “the single most profitable set of wagers that I’ve found in my 15 years as a professional bettor living in Las Vegas.”  I also wrote in detail about the first step of that process – identifying accurate strength of schedule numbers from last year, to better gauge whether teams overachieved or underachieved in 2012; giving me a superior starting point to begin my analysis for this year.

I closed out the article with these two paragraphs: “The New York Giants faced single toughest schedule from last year based on my numbers on the weeks the games were played.  The Saints weren’t far behind.  Arizona, San Francisco, Tennessee, Baltimore and St Louis all faced abnormally tough slates.

“On the easy side, the Colts, Texans and Bengals all stood out; by far the three easiest schedules in the league.  Miami, Atlanta and San Diego also had much easier than average slates.  In my next column, I’ll write about the next step in the process -- identifying accurate Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NBA Betting Recap: Indiana Pacers take down Miami Heat, force Game 7

06.02.2013     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I said I wouldn’t get too wound up in a Miami Heat playoff series until they faced an elimination game. They’d shown a tendency to pace themselves all year. We learned last year that they're not necessarily vulnerable when they’re looking vulnerable.

NOW, they’re vulnerable!

They still have some margin for error because of home court advantage. And, it’s tough to expect that Dwyane Wade…and Chris Bosh…and Ray Allen will all be as worthless Monday night as they were this evening. LeBron James is very likely to get some help. If he doesn’t, then it will be the Pacers who advance to face the San Antonio Spurs. It’s a team game. LeBron and a bunch of half-hearted, shot missing, non-rebounders isn’t much of a team.

Reasons for hope for Indiana:

*The grueling pace of this series…every other day of intense physicality…may be having a much bigger impact on Bosh, Wade, and Allen than Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting Recap: This Time, Miami Rebounds (literally)

05.31.2013     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The Miami Heat said they’d make it a point of emphasis to prevent the Indiana Heat from owning the battle of the boards in Game Five of the Eastern Conference Finals. They certainly did that, particularly when it came to Indiana’s penchant for offensive rebounds.

Offensive Boards

Game Four: Indiana 15, Miami 12 (Total—Indiana 49, Miami 30)

Game Five: Indiana 6, Miami 6 (Total---Indiana 33, Miami 32)

Denied second chance points (and the potential for foul calls on second chance attempts), Indiana’s scoring dropped 20 from the 99 they posted back in Game Four. Miami doesn’t have to win this stat to win the series. They just have to neutralize Indiana’s advantage. The Pacers have little chance to fully compete if they‘re NOT winning rebounding.

That can also be expressed in our “Imposing of Will” stat that showed such dominance for the Pacers in the last game. Let’s update the Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Stat Intelligence




Mayweather priced as an early -250 betting favorite over Alvarez

05.30.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Floyd Mayweather steps up to the plate by agreeing to fight junior middleweight champ Canelo Alvarez on September 14 at Las Vegas' MGM Grand. LVH oddsmaker Jeff Sherman said the early line will be Mayweather -250, Alvarez +210.


"It's a done deal and Floyd is very excited to give the fans what they want," Leonard Ellerbe, chief executive of Mayweather Promotions and one of Mayweather's closest advisers, told ESPN.com. "This is the fight they wanted and this is what they are getting. It's the biggest fight in all of boxing. It's the biggest fight Floyd can possibly make."










MIT Card Counters speak at gambling conference

05.29.2013     02:05 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some member of the notorious MIT Card Counters returned to Las Vegas to speak at the 15th International Gambling and Risk Taking Conference at Caesars Palace.


"I think the MIT team was mostly feared because of its name," Chang said. "You know? 'Oh, those MIT geniuses are gonna come in and levitate the chips out of the rack … 'Oh my god."

"What that says about our freedoms and the direction we may be going," Bloch said. "Our ability to think is what really makes us human and it separates us from other animals, and when you kick someone out of a business or a country or whatever just because that person is exercising their ability to think, to me that's an affront to civil rights."






Tags: Las Vegas




NBA Gambling Recap: Indiana Pacers rebound, tie series 2-2

05.29.2013     08:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Literally! Indiana won the rebounding battle 48-30, and used extended late possessions thanks to offensive rebounds to score the game winning points in the final moments.

We haven’t had a chance to talk about the “Imposing of Will” stat during this series…because Indiana’s inside defense really hadn’t been very impressive. Tonight, they held Miami to 41% on two-point baskets, while also allowing the Heat to only grab 38% of the game’s rebounds. THAT’S what we had gotten used to seeing in the Knicks series:

Imposing of Will (lower is better)

Indiana 79, Miami 119

An absolute slaughter in the stat. But, telling in its own way that Indiana was still playing a nailbiter with a couple minutes to go even with that edge in the “defense and rebounding” numbers.

Let’s check the numbers for the series. Again, this is two-point shooting percentage allowed, plus rebound percentage Read more


Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Miami Heat Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: Golden Nugget GOY lines available next week

05.28.2013     12:28 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Just a head's up. Las Vegas' Golden Nugget sportsbook will release its College Football Game of the Year lines on Friday, June 7, at Noon PT. In the meantime, here's a link to last year's lines.



Tags: College Football Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Getting a leg up on betting the 2013-14 NFL season

05.28.2013     10:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’m writing this column over Memorial Day Weekend, nearly two and a half months before the NFL preseason kicks off with the Hall of Fame Game on August 4th and a full three and a half months before the start of the regular season.  And yet NFL betting numbers for the upcoming campaign are becoming more and more widely available; once again proving quite clearly that the NFL is King when it comes to sports betting.

The single most profitable set of wagers that I’ve found in my 15 years as a professional bettor living in Las Vegas are NFL Season Win totals.  Super Bowl odds, and odds to win divisions or conferences only give bettors one choice – betting ON a particular team.  Then that team has to beat out all of their competition to win the division/conference/Super Bowl for you to cash, offering big payday longshot returns, but cashing a very low percentage of the wagers that are made.

NFL Season Win totals, on the other hand, offer bettors the opportunity to bet AGAINST teams from a macro perspective.  And with win totals, you don’t have to worry about the competition, even when betting Overs.  For example, the Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs take commanding 3-0 series lead

05.26.2013     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Last night we talked about how Game Two of Indiana/Miami looked so much like Game One. Tonight, we get to do the same thing in the Western Conference finals…as Game Three in Memphis looked very much like Game Two in San Antonio.

*Home Team jumps out to big lead

*Visitor rallies

*Game goes to overtime at 85-all in G2, and 86-all in G3

*Spurs know what to do in overtime

What jumped out to me watching tonight was how Memphis WASN’T Indiana. You just didn’t see the same fire in their eyes…the same sense of urgency, even though the Grizzlies were already playing with their backs to the wall tonight while Indiana was just trying to break serve. Also, Indiana made its free throws last night, while Memphis gagged way too many with their season on the line this evening.

San Antonio 104, Memphis 93 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 55%, Memphis 40%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies



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