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MLB Betting News: Toronto calls up potentially ill-prepared Ricky Romero

05.03.2013     06:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Seattle (Hernandez) at Toronto (Romero) O/U 7.5

Tonight marks the return of Ricky Romero – though considering the circumstances it may be a little premature. Last year Romero hit rock bottom with a 5.77 ERA and league-high 105 walks. This after posting a 2.92 ERA in 2011. During spring training it was clear Romero needed to reinvent himself and the Jays already had a solidified five-man rotation so they sent him down to High-A to get things figured out mechanically. In a perfect world, Romero could have worked his way up to Triple-A and perhaps thrown out of the bullpen like teammate Brett Cecil. Instead, it’s about to be baptism by fire because Josh Johnson is having arm difficulties. Keep in mind Romero has made only one start this year...vs. kids fresh out of high school and college. Obviously we don't have much confidence that Romero is going to be able to flip the switch and roll through a MLB Read more

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Gambling Notes: Verlander continues to roll despite drop in velocity

05.02.2013     12:32 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Most of you are already aware of Justin Verlander's drop in velocity. His four-seam fastball is down about a 1.5 mph from last season. But according to Verlander, there's a method to his madness. For starters he's well aware of the amount of innings and wear and tear he's endured throughout his career. As a result, there was no rush to start the season in top form. Second, and this has been going on the last few years, Verlander has become a master at pacing himself. Often times he'll sit in the low 90's early in a game and then gradually build up to the mid-90s. Despite him not having Verlander-type stuff in every start this season, it's hard to argue with the results: 39.1 IP, 41 Ks, 1 HR, 1.83 ERA.

"I learned a valuable lesson in 2008, and that’s not going about trying to create velocity the wrong way," Verlander said. "Just worry about establishing your pitches, making your pitches, getting outs. You start trying to throw hard, and that creates a lot of bad habits that are hard to fix."

"I threw a lot of Read more

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers

MLB Handicapping: Houston's Harrell finds success with sinker

05.02.2013     12:15 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good Q&A on Houston pitcher Lucas Harrell courtesy of FanGraphs. Harrell has been one of the few bright spots for the Astros having won three consecutive starts. He lives and dies on a plus sinkerball and boasts nearly a 60/40 GB-to-FB ratio. He’s scheduled to start Saturday vs. Detroit.

“If you’re throwing your sinker at 88-90, or you’re throwing 90-93, that’s a big difference. The harder it is, the harder it is to hit. It rides a little bit more on the hands, which gives you a little more advantage. Even so, the more I’m out there, the sharper I am and the more action I have on the ball.”

Tags: MLB Houston Astros

MLB Gambling Free Play: St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

05.02.2013     10:38 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
St. Louis (Westbrook) -105 at Milwaukee (Peralta) O/U 9
Recommendation: St. Louis

The Brewers had a major bullpen problem last year that essentially doomed their chances for a repeat NL Central title.  Over the course of the 2012 season, Milwaukee’s bullpen ranked dead last in the majors in ERA, while losing a whopping 33 games (worst in the majors) and blowing 29 save chances (also worst in the majors). 

While the Brewers bullpen hasn’t been quite as bad this year, we’ve still seen six losses and five blown saves from this pen in their first 26 games, including yet another John Axford meltdown that cost them a series sweep against the Pirates yesterday.  That’s very bad news against a team like St. Louis – taking good at-bats for nine innings just about every game.

I give the Cardinals a decent starting pitching edge as well as their bullpen edge.  As a group, the Cardinals starters have a 1.32 ERA in their last Read more

Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers Teddy Covers

Sports Betting Podcast 5-2-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P and Teddy Covers

05.02.2013     09:34 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P and Teddy Covers. Sammy P broke down the entire NHL Playoffs card while Teddy talked MLB.

Today's segments
Full Show

Sammy P - NHL Playoffs

Teddy Covers - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NHL MLB Sammy P Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros

05.02.2013     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Detroit (Porcello) -170 at Houston (Lyles) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Considering the lineup they are carting out there on a daily basis, it is amazing that the Houston Astros rank 7th in the American League in slugging pct. (.413) and 8th in OPS (.730). A lot of that is bolstered by the infamous 16-run explosion vs. Seattle back in early April but overall, the Astros are finding ways to put a decent amount of runs on the board. Detroit's Rick Porcello had a bounce back performance last time out against Atlanta (6.1 IP, 3 ERs) but I watched that start and he was a pitch or two away from imploding yet again. Porcello doesn't have a pitch he can put batters away with and as a result he pitches to a lot of contact (19.1 IP, 28 hits, 8 Ks).

The fact that Jordan Lyles started the season in the minors is a huge red flag. Especially when his competition was Philip Humber (7.58 ERA), Brad Peacock (9.41) and Erik Bedard (8.20). And while manager Bo Porter is Read more

Tags: MLB Houston Astros Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange

MLB Gambling Trends: Oakland A's the best OVER bet in baseball

05.01.2013     01:34 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Last season, Oakland was one of the strongest UNDER teams in baseball at 70-86-6 O/U. The offense was at its best American League average while the pitching staff produce a rock solid 3.48 ERA. Toss in getting to play 98 games in the pitcher friendly venues of Oakland Coliseum, Angel Stadium, and Safeco Field and it's easy to see why 55% of their games went UNDER.

This season, things are playing out much different. For starters, Oakland is averaging a ridiculous 5.64 runs per game. They've scored 158 runs; the top mark in the American League. Baltimore, who ranks second and has played one less game, has 138. The A's also haven't been nearly as dominant on the mound with a 4.31 ERA (12th AL). The end result is the strongest OVER team in baseball at 23-5 O/U.

Consider this stat on Oakland home games...
2012: 84 home games, 7 of which had a total of 8/8.5
2013: 17 home games, 7 of which had a total of 8/8.5

Obviously oddsmakers and the betting markets have started to adjust. What we do know is Oakland is going to eventually cool off offensively. They’ve had more than their fair share of favorable matchups with series Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's

MLB Betting Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks

05.01.2013     11:03 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
San Francisco (Lincecum) at Arizona (McCarthy) -110 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

My clients and I cashed a ticket betting against Tim Lincecum in his last start in San Diego which resulted in a narrow 2-1 Giants loss. Lincecum had a solid outing that night but I’m not sold on that translating into success for him tonight in Arizona especially with the roof expected to be open at Chase Field. Lincecum owns decent numbers lifetime against the Diamondbacks but not so much here in Arizona where he’s struggled with a 1-2 record and a 6.00 ERA in his last five starts. He threw 105 pitches in his last start against the Padres. The one previous time he threw 100+ pitches this season, he allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in 5 innings of work in what was a laboring start against the anemic and light hitting Chicago Cubs.

On the other hand, I expect the Giants to plate their share of runs tonight as well against Arizona’s struggling starter Brandon McCarthy. McCarthy has been Read more

Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Arizona Diamondbacks Ian Cameron

Sports Betting Podcast 5-1-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, and Alf Musketa

05.01.2013     10:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, and Alf Musketa. Rob and Erin broke down the entire MLB card while Alf talked tonight's three NBA Playoff matchups as well as PGA and UFC.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - National League

Erin Rynning - American League

Alf Musketa - NBA, PGA and UFC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA PGA UFC Rob Veno Erin Rynning Alf Musketa

MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

05.01.2013     10:12 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Washington (Zimmermann) at Atlanta (Maholm) -125 O/U 7
Recommendation: Under

Expecting a bounce back performance from Braves’ lefty Paul Maholm after being roughed up by Detroit in his last outing. That 3.2 inning stint in which Maholm allowed 10 hits and eight runs was a stark contrast to the three earned runs he gave up in his 26.1 innings to start the season. Washington’s impotent offense could help Maholm get back to his effective ways tonight. Over their last 10 games, the Nationals have scored two runs or less eight times as they have greatly missed the bat of cleanup hitter Ryan Zimmerman. Also in Maholm’s favor tonight should be the Nationals inability to hit left handed pitching thus far. Examining their .228 team batting average against southpaws brings out the fact that RF Bryce Harper is the major culprit. Harper’s R/L splits show a canyon sized .239 point gap between his .406 batting average vs. righties and his .167 number against lefties. With No. Read more

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals Rob Veno


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