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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals

05.31.2015     07:04 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Los Angeles (Anderson) at St. Louis (Martinez) -110 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under

St. Louis’ Carlos Martinez has been sharp of late with only two runs allowed over his last three starts. He lost his way at the start of May with back-to-back rough outings (9 IP, 14 ER) but outside of those two starts, Martinez hasn't allowed more than two runs. There's a lot to like about his profile: big arm, swing-and-miss stuff (9.45 K per 9), and solid ground ball rate (53.8%). As fearsome as LA's offense was to open the season, they've come crashing down to earth with 2 or fewer runs in nine of their last 13 games. Speaking of groundball rate, Dodgers' starter Brett Anderson currently leads all of qualified starters with an incredible 68.4%. Reports said that Anderson had some back issues in his last start but showed no ill-effects (7 IP, 2 ERs vs. Atlanta) and has no problems during his mid-week bullpen session. He shouldn't have much trouble against a fairly weak St. Louis lineup that already lost Matt Adams to the 60-day DL and may be without Matt Holliday (sick) after he left yesterday's game. And coming from the left side, Anderson can better Read more

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals OTTO Sports

MLB Betting Podcast 5-29-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

05.29.2015     11:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Teddy, ER, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's entire MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - National League

Erin Rynning - American League and Interleague

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Miami Marlins at New York Mets

05.29.2015     08:36 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Miami (Haren) at New York (Harvey) -160 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Over

Dan Haren is a pitcher that should be on the fast track to regress following a solid start to the season. Haren has an overall 3.09 ERA but his FIP and xFIP both stand at more than full run higher. Note too he also sports a 5.18 ERA in four road starts allowing 14 runs on 26 hits in 24.1 innings as well as 6 of his 8 home runs. The Mets' offense snapped out of their funk in their series against the Phillies scoring 18 runs in three games. I expect them to have continued success against Haren. It’s not easy to expect runs in bunches off of Matt Harvey but he is coming off his worst start of the season; 7 runs in just 4 innings including a pair of home runs against the Pirates. Mets manager Terry Collins has expressed concerns of Harvey experiencing “dead arm” issues. He’s been evaluated as being OK to make his scheduled start but I’m not overly convinced things are peachy. He faced the Marlins last month at Citi Field and it was one of his rougher outings of the season allowing 4 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings in a game that flew over the total. We are Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins New York Mets Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapping: Chicago's Rodon still trying to figure things out

05.29.2015     08:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Really good article on Chicago rookie lefty Carlos Rodon who has tons of upside but in need of refinement. In 22.1 innings, Rodon has fanned 21 batters but walked 19. And the lack of command makes it difficult to lean on his plus slider because he's often behind in the count. Rodon is a +135 road underdog vs. Houston and fellow rookie and first round draft pick Lance McCullers.

No pitcher in the last 15 years has been drafted from college, made their debut within a year of signing and pitched at least 150 innings at 22 years of age or younger. The last player to achieve what Rodon is attempting was Jeff Weaver in 1999 for the Detroit Tigers. Weaver made 29 starts, had a 5.55 ERA and 5.22 FIP on the way to a 1.6 WAR season.

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Houston Astros

MLB Handicapping: Harvey returns to the mound after concerning start

05.29.2015     07:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Full of piss and vinegar, Mets' ace Matt Harvey is reportedly not pleased about the team's move to a six-man rotation. This after manager Terry Collins hinted that Harvey may be suffering from "dead arm" following a 4-inning, 7-earned run showing last time out against Pittsburgh. Harvey reportedly had a positive bullpen session earlier this week. For tonight, he's a -165 favorite vs. Miami and Dan Haren.

“I’m trying not to have any more Tommy Johns. I’m trying not to have any more sore shoulders,” Collins said. “We looked at every scenario. We mapped it out. We burned a lot of trees with a lot of paperwork, and this is what we’ve come up with. And we’ll just see how it goes.”

Tags: MLB New York Mets Miami Marlins

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres

05.28.2015     11:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Burnett) -120 at San Diego (Kennedy) O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Over

My clients and I have cashed a handful of Padres Over bets this year, and tonight’s game at Petco provides another rock solid opportunity to ride this emerging trend.  The results don’t lie.  Petco Field has been the strongest pitcher’s park in baseball since it opened. Baseline totals in San Diego have been hovering in the 6.5 range for years, just like it is in this game.  In 23 previous home games this year, only two have been totaled as high as 7.5.  San Diego has closed out their last two homestands on a 9-4 run to the Over.  Slumping bats Matt Kemp and Will Middlebrooks have both broken out over the last two nights, back-2-back wins in LA against the Angels.

Meanwhile, the Pirates are hitting as well as they have all season, scoring four or more in every game of their current six game winning streak while averaging just shy of six runs per game during that span.  Big bat Andrew McCutchen has broken out of his slump over the past week, with a dozen hits in his last seven games.  Pittsburgh starter AJ Burnett Read more

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres Teddy Covers

MLB Betting Podcast 5-28-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

05.28.2015     10:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange

MLB Betting Podcast 5-27-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

05.27.2015     10:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wedneday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB Night Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

05.27.2015     09:07 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Washington (Scherzer) -110 at Chicago (Lester) O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Washington

This is obviously a great pitching matchup but not such a great matchup for Chicago's offense. While Washington shows barely any difference in their lefty/righty splits, Chicago owns a sizable .046 point gap posting a .235 batting average vs. righties and .271 vs. lefties. While that aspect of tonight’s game shows a statistical edge for the Nationals, it’s nothing compared to the expected advantage starter Max Scherzer will have over the Cubs lineup. Scherzer’s overpowering strikeout style (74 K in 64.2 IP) is a lousy fit for Chicago’s strikeout prone offense which leads MLB with 437 total whiffs. The young trio of Jorge Soler, Kris Bryant, and Addison Russell have combined to strikeout 154 times. Of their everyday starters, only Anthony Rizzo (K every 13.6 AB) and Starling Castro (K every 5.1 AB) do not own an AB/K ratio of 4.2:1 or worse. Hard not to project Scherzer for double-digit strikeouts here and at least seven innings since he only threw 96 pitches in his last outing. Also notable is the fact that Scherzer’s three HRs allowed in Read more

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Chicago Cubs Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

05.26.2015     11:47 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Atlanta (Teheran) +220 at Los Angeles (Kershaw)
Recommendation: Atlanta

The Braves look to even up the series with the Dodgers in Chavez Ravine tonight as they face the NL West leading Los Angeles Dodgers. If this pitching matchup was in either of the past two years it would be one of the most hyped pitching duels of the season. Instead we get a 2-3 Kershaw sporting an ERA north of 4.00 taking on the Braves ace Julio Tehran with a FIP currently at 4.96. The Dodgers are a MLB best 20-6 at home this season and are sending the reigning Cy Young award winner to the hill tonight, thus commanding the -240 price tag. Until last night’s 8th inning which featured three home runs, the Dodgers had been in a bit of an offensive lull the six games prior, posting a record of 2-4 and averaging 1.17 runs per game. In Kershaw’s last three outings the advanced metrics have not been pretty, allowing a line drive rate above 25% in all three games, topping out in his last start yielding a 38% vs. the Giants. Tehran did not have the best start to the season but has since found his rhythm in each of his last two starts posting a 1.59 ERA and a 1.29 ERA. Tehran Read more

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers Drew Martin


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