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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers

05.15.2015     11:11 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Cleveland (Chen) at Texas (Rodriguez) -125 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Most knew that Bruce Chen’s numbers in Triple-A prior to his recall were smoke and mirrors and sure enough, in his first start he was rocked for 6 runs on 10 hits including a home run in 4 innings. Chen has a nightmarish track record pitching against Texas with a brutal 8.45 ERA including a 6.40 ERA pitching here in Arlington. The Texas lineup has been better in recent games scoring 4+ runs in three of their four games against Kansas City and I expect them to get to Chen early and often here. On the flip side, I am fully aware of the long-term porous numbers that Cleveland has when hitting against lefties but this is a mediocre lefty at best in Wandy Rodriguez. He is nothing more than a retread arm that only ended up in Texas in their rotation because the Rangers didn’t have any better options. He is off back-to-back strong starts on the road against the light hitting Rays and Astros holding them to a run each but he’ll be facing a tougher task here. His ERA is 2.70 but his FIP is 3.91 and xFIP is 4.35; both of which more than a full run higher along with a low Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Texas Rangers Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapping: Can the Twins sustain their success?

05.15.2015     09:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article from FanGraphs on Minnesota's surprising start to the season. The Twins are 19-16 and on the surface, it's not that flukey of a record with their Pythagorean W-L record sitting at 18-17. One of the keys to their success -- an arguably unsustainable one -- is the ability to perform in high leverage situations. Basically, their "timing" -- or "clutch", whatever you want to call it -- has been really, really good.

If the Twins carried their current BaseRuns performance through the whole year, they’d finish with 72 expected wins, and a run differential of -87. The Twins’ full-season projection? It’s 73 expected wins, and a run differential of -75.



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

05.13.2015     09:54 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Toronto (Sanchez) at Baltimore (Gonzalez) -125 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

Seven shutout innings thrown by Toronto’s talented young righty Aaron Sanchez in his last start is encouraging on one hand. But despite allowing just two hits he once again had control problems with five walks. On the season, Sanchez has more walks than strikeouts (25/24) which unless corrected is going to lead to more problems. I can see problems for him tonight with pretty disciplined Orioles offense (5 starters with > .340 OBP) and hitter friendly Camden Yards venue. In his season debut, Sanchez was roughed up by this Baltimore squad allowing nine baserunners in just 3.1 innings leading to a game WHIP of 2.70 and ERA of 8.11. His exceptional 57-17 groundout to fly out ratio is helpful in tonight’s situation where temperatures and wind should benefit fly balls. For the Orioles, Miguel Gonzalez has been sensational against the powerful Blue Jays offense going 4-0 and posting a 1.24 ERA in his last five starts against them. He has not faced them this season and has really been hit or miss thus far with three solid starts and three below average ones. Unlike Read more

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles Rob Veno

MLB Betting Podcast 5-13-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Ian Cameron

05.13.2015     09:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Ian Cameron. Teddy,Ian, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - National League

Ian Cameron - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Ian Cameron Andrew Lange

MLB Betting Podcast 5-12-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

05.12.2015     11:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob, Teddy, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - MLB EGOTB Part I

Erin Rynning - MLB EGOTB Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks

05.12.2015     09:13 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Washington (Strasburg) at Arizona (De La Rosa) +125 O/U 8
Recommendation: Arizona

A lot of mixed reports of the status of Stephen Strasburg's arm. The most common is that it isn’t his arm but rather an ankle injury that caused him to strain his back. As a result, Strasburg has tweaked his mechanics some to compensate for the issue. I’ve seen this before where a pitcher with a history of arm trouble comes up with excuses regarding recent struggles.  And while some of his YTD stats suggest he's been a bit on the unlucky side (.394 BABIP, 65.3% LOB) it's worth pointing out that his K rate is down to a career-low 8.91. His return to the mound isn't the best of situations with the roof open tonight in Chase Field. Arizona's Rubby De La Rosa turned in his best performance of the season last time out as he shut down right-hand heavy San Diego (7 IP, 0 ER, 7 Ks). He's still trying to figure out how to pitch at the MLB level but has a bit of upside in this matchup coming from the right side. Nats have been on a tear but I see too many red flag on Strasburg not to look at the home underdog at a nice plus price. 

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Arizona Diamondbacks Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: The Chicago White Sox are pretty bad

05.12.2015     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Yesterday, we railed on the Milwaukee Brewers as being a poorly put together team incapable of consistently playing above average baseball. Let's turn our attention to another stinker, the Chicago White Sox. The Sox are Sox are 12-17 and while they haven't hit and Jeff Samardzija and Chris Sale are struggling as FanGraphs points out there are so many more issues in play.

It’s not time yet for the Sox to pull the plug, but it’s an increasingly likely outcome. At this moment, the White Sox sit dead last in the majors in team WAR, which means they rank even behind the Phillies.

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicag White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers

05.11.2015     09:58 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Chicago (Samardzija) +102 at Milwaukee (Peralta) O/U 9
Recommendation: Chicago

The Chicago White Sox travel to Milwaukee to open up a three-game series Monday night against the Brewers.  The White Sox look to build on two straight wins in Cincinnati over the weekend.  Gordon Beckham had a walk-off single in the ninth inning yesterday to keep the ball rolling for Chicago.  The Sox are looking to put their slow start to the season behind them and build on their mini winning streak.  Bechkam said, "We obviously have to start sooner than later, but we're playing good ball, we just have to keep focusing on that and not really how we've played in the past. You can't focus on anything but the present."  The White Sox have Jeff Samardzija taking the hill after serving his brief suspension.  After getting roughed up against Baltimore, Samardzija bounced back with a solid outing against Detroit as he went seven innings, allowed two runs, and fanned seven. He’s got the ability to miss bats which is key against Milwaukee’s free swinging lineup. The Brewers have shown some pop of late but they remain an all or Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Milwaukee Brewers Sammy P

Sports Betting Podcast 5-11-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

05.11.2015     09:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's two NBA Playoff games as well as MLB.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NBA Playoffs and MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Brewers take a few walks, win a few games

05.11.2015     08:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Over the last two weeks, the Milwaukee Brewers have corrected themselves somewhat by playing like an average team as oppose to the worst team in baseball. Some will cite a "resurgence" following the departure of manager Ron Roenicke but the real reason is the Brewers actually put a few guys on base. Dating back to last year, this has been one of the worst lineups in baseball in terms of walks and on-base percentage. When Milwaukee won, they did so by hitting home runs. Case in point, during the team's 5-18 start, they garnered less than two walks per game and struck out over eight times per game. During the team's current 6-3 "streak" their walk rate has nearly doubled (3.8 per game). Again, this is likely fool's gold as the team still struck out a bunch and was carried in large part because of a rash of home runs (13). In the end, Milwaukee's cold start and hot run prove that they are no different than last year's squad that started 51-32 and finished 31-48: a crappy team that throughout the year will try to fool bettors into thinking they aren't that crappy.

April 6-May 8
Record: 5-18
Home Runs: 15
Walks: 44
OBP: Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers


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