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NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 2

09.12.2013     06:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back Wednesday with an updated estimate of how the market currently has all 32 NFL teams pegged on a Power Rating scale. If you’re new to the site…I use the current pointspreads to create “couplets” for the two teams in each game (allotting 3 points for home field), then I place those couplets on the scale based on where they most likely belong according to recent form, and past scales.

These aren’t my “personal” assessments of the teams. It’s my personal assessment of how the market is probably rating the teams. If you disagree, feel free to post a comment, or tweet me @jefffogle. Maybe you think the market is more enthusiastic about a team than I’ve accounted for, or more pessimistic.

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

86: San Francisco, Seattle, Denver

83: Green Bay, New England (dealing with injuries)

82: Houston, New Orleans (at home)

81: Atlanta, New Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins at Nebraska Cornhuskers

09.11.2013     02:46 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Nebraska
Saturday, 9 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Nebraska -4 O/U 68
CRIS Current: Nebraska -4.5 O/U 70
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Nebraska -1.5
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

With the nature of college football these days and the endless number of potent offenses in existence, sometimes you can’t shy away from betting a game over the total even when dealing with a total of 70 like we have with the UCLA Bruins and Nebraska Cornhuskers. This game has shootout written all over it when we account for the offensive weapons and defensive deficiencies of both squads.

UCLA has the exact type of offense, led by dual-threat quarterback Brett Hundley, that can cause Nebraska’s suspect defense fits. Hundley had an impressive performance in the Bruins opener against Nevada throwing for a pair of touchdowns and rushing for a pair in their 58-20 blowout win over Nevada. UCLA racked up Read more


Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Podcast 9-11-2013 with Handicapper Rob Veno

09.11.2013     10:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob recapped Week 2 College Football (Big Ten, Big XII, PAC-12).

Today's segments
Rob Veno - CFB Week 2 Recap: Big Ten, Big XII, PAC-12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings Week 3

09.11.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think we’re getting closer to capturing the market. Not quite there yet. There were fewer head scratchers this week when comparing the transitions from last week.

It may be a mess for awhile in the 45-65 range because of volatility. A 55 may play like a 48 against quality but a 57 against other mid-50 teams. College sports are always messy because of the sheer volume of teams, and the fact that kids are inconsistent from week to week.

If you’re new to the site, these aren’t my “personal” ratings for all the teams. I’m not following college football nearly closely enough to have any real sense of probably the bottom 80 yet. This is my guess at how the market has the teams rated. I create “couplets” each week that match the Vegas spread (allotting 3 points for home field advantage), then I try to figure out where that couplet goes within the big scale. Over a few weeks, it’s not hard to hone in on a fairly good Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 1

09.10.2013     03:11 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cause for concern for the defending champs
Most people knew there would be an adjustment period for the Baltimore Ravens after many changes during the offseason but the holes were very much evident following their humbling 49-27 season opening loss in Denver. The Ravens offense had a solid first half but simply died from the moment that both starting right tackle Michael Oher and receiver Jacoby Jones left the game with injuries. Oher’s injury isn’t serious but Jones will be sidelined for approximately 4-6 weeks with a sprained MCL. From that point of the game, the Ravens offense stalled repeatedly. Denver keyed in on the ground game and shut down running backs Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce. Meanwhile, players like Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson proved they were not ready to step up and fill the production void left by the injuries to Jones and Dennis Pitta as well as the departed Anquan Boldin. That allowed Denver to focus their attention defensively on Torrey Smith and nobody else was able to step up for the Ravens in the receiving corps. Clark and Dickson both dropped multiple passes thrown to them by Joe Flacco. Baltimore’s secondary also Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




College Football Gambling Update: Texas' new DC thrown into the fire

09.10.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Mississippi at Texas

Update on Texas' change at defensive coordinator. Greg Robinson will have all of three practices to implement any changes if any. Also note that UT quarterback David Ask remains questionable with a head injury. He posted big numbers (19-of-23, 326 yards, 4 TDs) in last year's 66-31 win in Oxford.


“He’ll have three practices between now and Saturday to try to get us in a better spot,” Brown said. “It’s a tough deal for him.”

“Obviously right now, we’re not sure Read more



Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Ole Miss Rebels SEC




NFL Betting Recap: Philadelphia Eagles soar early and hang on for outright win

09.10.2013     06:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

You saw the best and the worst of what the Oregon approach has to offer for the Philadelphia Eagles in their Monday night season opener against the Washington Redskins.

*Early explosiveness

*A dumb turnover that gave away points

*A 26-7 halftime lead that could have been 29-0 or 33-0

*A loss of fire with a big lead

*A second-half run by Michael Vick where he seemed to strain a groin muscle before walking gingerly the rest of the night

 That 26-7 halftime lead only turned into a 33-27 victory. And the raw stats don’t really suggest something that’s about to take the league by storm. Let’s look at the linescore…
 
 Philadelphia 33 (+3.5), Washington 27

Philadelphia: 443 yards, 5.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 47% third downs

Washington: 382 yards, 5.5 per-play, 3 turnovers, 20% third downs

A lot of yards…but that’s because the team ran a lot of Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 1

09.09.2013     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 1.

Chicago Bears – Sure, the Bears didn't make the playoffs last year, but they won ten games and were one of the league's better teams. This defense can still make plenty of big plays, as evidenced by Charles Tillman's huge game and their complete domination against the run here. Jay Cutler did a great job finding open receivers on third and long. He connected on a pair of third and longs into very tight windows on Chicago's first touchdown drive. The revamped offensive line didn't do much for run blocking, but they gave Cutler all the time he needed all afternoon.

Cutler can still scramble out of pressure and his mobility created several opportunities that wouldn't have been there otherwise. But Cutler's propensity for making mistakes at crucial times was on display here, a horrible pass on first down as the Bears were driving in the fourth quarter. However, he made the most of his next Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings San Francisco 49ers Arizona Cardinals New Orleans Saints




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 2

09.09.2013     06:38 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another week void of any significant upsets. Washington State beat USC as over a two-touchdown underdog while Navy dispatched of Indiana as a double-digit underdog. Needless to say, most rec bettors who like to four- and five-team moneyline parlay big favorites have yet to hit many road blocks.

With most offshore books now offering lines on FBS vs. FCS games bettors will have another crack at betting against Ron Turner and his Florida International squad. Yes, the Panthers played two teams in Maryland and UCF that they probably would have lost to any other season, but it was the way that FIU lost (43-10, 38-0) that has them vying with Idaho and New Mexico State for the label of Worst Team in the Country. Don't sleep on this week's opponent Bethune-Cookman who last season rushed for 233 yards on Miami and hung tough for the first half. The year before that B-C outgained the Canes 422-335.

After a dismal showing in its opener at Virginia, BYU wasn't on the radar of many bettors. Meanwhile, a lot of folks were drinking the Texas kool-aid after they dismantled woeful New Mexico State. And for a sophisticated as the betting markets are portrayed at times, there is no Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Recap: Georgia, BYU, Michigan, and Miami pick up marquee wins

09.09.2013     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’m going to tweak the format just a bit to make the presentation more digestible. I’m trying to include a bunch of meaningful categories in each game. But, when re-reading everything I’m tending to skip over the numbers just to get to the copy. If you’re doing that too…then the stats are kind of disappearing from the presentation! Don’t want subtraction of the visualization by addition of numbers.

So, let’s try this…I’m going to put a few traditional key numbers in a baseball style linescore…then I’ll do a separate hunk just below with additional bits and the categories that are exclusive to this site.

There were four marquee TV games Saturday (I include Texas/BYU since I’m writing from Austin!). Let’s take them in the order they finished…

Miami 21, Florida 13

Florida: 413 yards, 5.4 per-play, 5 turnovers, 40% third downs

Miami: 212 yards, 4.0 Read more


Tags: College Football Miami Hurricanes Florida Gators BYU Cougars Texas Longhorns Georgia Bulldogs South Carolina Gamecocks Michigan Wolverines Notre Dame Fighting Irish Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 01, 2014 06:44 AM.