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College Football Betting Recap: Winston wows in Florida State's blowout win over Pitt

09.03.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A lot of people knew that before tonight’s Florida State/Pittsburgh game that was nationally televised by ESPN. Now, everybody knows.

If you didn’t watch the game, and are reading this late Monday or during the day Tuesday…you’re probably thinking all the hype you’ve been reading and hearing about redshirt freshman quarterback Jameis Winston’s passing performance is a bit overwrought. It may not be. He passed the eye test right away…getting zip on his passes and throwing accurately downfield. This is something that really jumps out at people who watched a zillion college football games the past weekend. Zip and accuracy on passes more than 15 yards downfield comes and goes at this level (if the zip is even there in the first place).

The eye test was followed by the stat test:

25-27-0-356 with 4 TD passes

Goodness. It was both electric and methodical. He just marched the Seminoles down the field by hitting receivers between Read more


Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Pittsburgh Panthers ACC Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Using coach-speak in your handicap

09.02.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Part of the standard handicapping mantra includes ‘checking the local papers’ and ‘watching the coach’s press conference’ in an effort to get quality information that the betting markets aren’t paying attention too.  Computer algorithms designed to beat pointspreads can’t and don’t handicap coach-speak.  Few bettors actually take the time to do their homework.  So ‘cappers who make and take the time to check local sources and press conferences can find legitimate edges that are overlooked by most others – good information.

There’s no dictionary to help you translate coach-speak into betting decisions.  And in all the years I’ve been writing about sports betting, I’ve never once written a how-to article on how to approach coaches quotes.  It’s time.

This past week, while doing my research for the upcoming college football games, I ran into a press conference from Skip Holtz.  Skip was a very successful coach at East Carolina and UConn, then a very unsuccessful coach at South Florida.  In 2013, Holtz is taking over at Louisiana Tech, now that Sonny Read more


Tags: College Football NC State Wolfpack ACC Louisiana Tech Bulldogs C-USA Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Recap: Clemson, LSU Score Showcase Victories

09.01.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back with numbers and notes from the two marquee prime time games in Saturday night college football. Let’s see what happened in Georgia/Clemson and LSU/TCU…

Clemson 38 (+1.5), Georgia 35

Total Yardage: Georgia 544, Clemson 467

Passing Stats: Georgia 20-29-1-323, Clemson 18-30-0-270

Yards-per-Play: Georgia 7.8, Clemson 6.1

Turnovers: Georgia 2, Clemson 1

Drive Points: Georgia 35, Clemson 24

Stat Score: Georgia 34, Clemson 30

Exhilarating first half, followed by more of a sluggish second half (42 combined points in the first half, jut 31 in the second). Georgia screwed up a chippy field goal attempt that ended up being the difference maker. You can see that Georgia had the better stats outside of turnovers. Turnovers are usually worth about four points in value. Apply that to the stat score and we get a dead heat. If Georgia doesn’t muck up that short field goal it’s a Read more


Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC Clemson Tigers ACC Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Syracuse Orange

08.30.2013     07:37 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Penn State vs. Syracuse
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN2 (Meadowlands)
CRIS Opener:
Penn State -7 O/U 52
CRIS Current: Penn State -9 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Penn State -7
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

On the surface it was just another ho-hum year for the Penn State football program as it churned out an 8-4 record.  However, most bettors know that it could hardly be considered mundane – in fact it was truly magical.  The Lions were virtually left for dead and written off by the best of pundits and this was before they started last year with a 0-2 record.  After losses to Ohio and Virginia and low on depth Penn State hit an extra gear and won 8 of its next 10 games with most coming in the rugged Big Ten.  The season culminated with a rousing overtime win against the Wisconsin Badgers in Happy Valley.  Now the question will linger how does this program Read more


Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC




College Football Betting Recap: Numbers and Notes From Thursday (8/29)

08.30.2013     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Wasn’t it great to have college football back on your TV?! Let’s run through the key numbers from all but the latest Thursday night finishers. Games are presented in market rotation order. Drive Points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. The stat score formula is 2 times rushing yards, plus passing yards, times 0.67, divided by 15.

South Carolina 27 (-11), North Carolina 10

Total Yardage: N. Carolina 293, S. Carolina 406

Passing Stats: N. Carolina 26-43-0-194, S. Carolina 12-21-0-178

Yards-per-Play: N. Carolina 3.7, S. Carolina 6.9

Turnovers: N. Carolina 1, S. Carolina 0

Drive Points: N. Carolina 10, S. Carolina 21

Stat Score: N. Carolina 18, S. Carolina 28

Can’t say there was much surprising about the numbers or the result. The concept of “drive points” is a little misleading for SC tonight, because they had a 65-yard TD pass and a 75-yard TD run. Those were big plays Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

08.29.2013     08:09 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Mississippi State vs. Oklahoma State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC (Houston)
CRIS Opener: Oklahoma State -11 O/U 59
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -12.5O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma State -8
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

Game Overview
While “Jerry World” has made all the headlines this spring and summer for hosting the high profile LSU-TCU game this weekend, Reliant Stadium in Houston gets a chance to put its best foot forward as they host the inaugural Texas Kickoff Classic. They’ll have the opportunity to put their “other sporting events” surface into action for this matchup as the NFL Texans personal grass field is removed and the new all-purpose artificial turf is installed. Mississippi State may have preferred watered down and muddy grass here but they’ll have to contend with OSU’s Read more


Tags: College Football Mississippi State SEC Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Rob Veno




College Football Gambling: Michigan uses Alabama as a blueprint

08.29.2013     06:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Great article on the evolution of Michigan's offense under head coach Brady Hoke and offensive coordinator Al Borges. Clearly, the Wolverines are trying to mimic what's going on down in Tuscaloosa.


“When I saw them in the spring it was like a war at the line of scrimmage,” BTN analyst Gerry DiNardo said. “It was what you imagine it looks like at Alabama and all the downhill teams. It changes your entire program. Just like the spread makes your defense soft, the West Coast offense makes your defense tough.”

“We have a snap count, we come downhill, we’re not in shotgun as much,” Borges said. “I believe there’s a physicality that comes with pro-style offense that doesn’t come with other offenses. ... A lot of it is how you coach it. You can be a pro-style team that throws every snap and you’re not going to have a lot of physicality with that. We don’t have that philosophy.”






Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Big Ten




College Football Betting Preview: Northwestern Wildcats at California Golden Bears

08.28.2013     11:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at California
Saturday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Northwestern -3 O/U 58.5
CRIS Current: Northwestern -5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Northwestern -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Northwestern

When Washington State went from good to mediocre to awful in the PAC-12, it happened rather predictably.  Mike Price had success in Pullman, albeit not every year, and he left the cupboard full for his successor, Bill Doba, when Price took the Alabama job.  Doba won ten games in his first year, and the Cougars enjoyed their third consecutive top 10 ranking at the close of the season following an upset win over Texas in the Holiday Bowl.

But Doba was not the right hire; unable to recruit (or coach) the way Price did.  Washington State quickly went from a top 10 program three years running to a squad that was struggling to reach .500 every year: 5-6, 4-7, Read more


Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten California Golden Bears PAC-12 Teddy Covers




Canadian Football League Week 9 Betting Recap

08.27.2013     11:59 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my recap of Week 9 in the Canadian Football League as I provide a quick hitter, team-by-team analysis of the eight teams that were in action…

Montreal Alouettes (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS)
The Alouettes pulled off the upset of the season in the CFL last week as they found a way to come from behind to defeat the BC Lions in a wild 39-38 win. Even more impressive what that they were minus their starting quarterback Anthony Calvillo and several of their key starters on both sides of the football. All the credit has to go to head coach and GM Jim Popp who made a quarterback change in the first quarter with Montreal trailing 15-0. The struggling Josh Neiswander was replaced by Tanner Marsh and the game started to turn in Montreal’s favor. The Alouettes, for the second straight game, played with a ton of energy and the players that stepped in for the injured starters played hard. Marsh made some mistakes but in the end he made enough plays in the passing game against a tough BC defense including the decisive play in the game’s dying seconds to put the Alouettes in position to win. Marsh threw a near Hail Mary down the field which was Read more


Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

08.27.2013     10:57 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Latos) -120 at St. Louis (Kelly) O/U 8
Recommendation: Over


My clients and I cashed a winner with the Reds – Cardinals Over last night; an 8-6 Slugfest.  And there’s no reason to expect a dramatically different result today.  Here’s an excerpt from yesterday’s write-up with the numbers adjusted to reflect current realities:

“We’ve got excellent weather conditions for a Slugfest – hazy, hot and humid with the wind blowing out.  We’ve got a series history that has seen the winning team score eight runs or more in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams, every one of them cashing an Over ticket.  We’ve got a pair of bullpens that have both struggled against the opposing lineup this year.  And we’ve got two capable offenses.  The Cards have scored six or more runs in six of their last nine.  Cinci has cashed only two Unders in their last nine games while Read more


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 31, 2014 12:35 PM.