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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Texas Longhorns at West Virginia Mountaineers

02.24.2015     08:54 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas +4.5 at West Virginia O/U 136.5
Recommendation: Texas

Going to step in play Texas at +4.5 (a few +5's available) as it heads to West Virginia this evening. Some bettors will undoubtedly point toward the revenge angle (UT won 77-50 in Austin) and the Longhorns' spotty play of late (back-to-back losses). But at the current price there is some value on the underdog as WVU enters off back-to-back upsets and doesn't match up particularly well against UT's front court. While Texas has plenty of weakness -- most notably a lack of consistency -- they do defend well in the paint. In their last two losses, Oklahoma and Iowa State shot a combined 28-of-77, 36.3% from two. What did them in what allowing 20 three-pointers. But unlike the Sooners and Cyclones, the Mountaineers don't have much of any outside shooting prowess. On the season, they've connected on only 30.9% of their three-point attempts. Another angle to consider is WVU's element of surprise, or lack thereof in this spot. In five "second meets" in Big XII pay, the Mountaineers have covered only once; against bottom feeder Texas Tech. Teams clearly know what to expect and while Texas Read more

Tags: College Basketball Texas Longhorns West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting: Nebraska wants to get season over with ASAP

02.23.2015     11:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Things continue to head south for Nebraska as always candid head coach Tim Miles banned his team from the locker room following Sunday's 74-46 loss to Iowa. Miles had already hinted the Cornhuskers wouldn't accept a bid to a secondary postseason tournament should they even qualify. They've now lost seven of eight. NU's only win and cover during that span was when it somehow managed to pop for 76 points in blowout win over Northwestern. In their other seven games, they averaged less than 50 ppg. They close out the regular season with road games at Ohio State and Illinois and a home finale vs. Maryland.

“You never want to throw your players under the bus, but that was just beyond disappointing,” Miles said. “That’s not what we represent. I told our guys, ‘when I was at Southwest Minnesota State, to pay for shoes we used to have to go to the Renaissance Festival in Shakopee, Minnesota for a weekend and pick up trash. We were the trash guys.

“And if

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Betting against the Washington Wizards

02.23.2015     11:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week in this space, I highlighted a pair of NBA teams that had all the makings of being strong bet-on squads over the final two months of the regular season.  Those two teams – the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder – combined to go 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their first five games coming out of the All Star break.  I don’t think either one of those squads has even approached their peak yet, still offering tremendous bet-on potential moving forward.  In particular, OKC even without Durant in the lineup is capable of very big things, both SU and ATS.

This week I’m going to look at a single team on the other end of the spectrum – a dead nuts bet-against squad over the final two months of the campaign.  With sincere apologies to the Denver Nuggets, my #1 fade team in the NBA right now is the Washington Wizards.  While Denver is a lottery team that is being priced like a lottery team, Washington is still being priced as a strong playoff contender in the Read more

Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Teddy Covers Las Vegas

College Basketball Betting Free Play: West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma State Cowboys

02.21.2015     08:35 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
West Virginia at Oklahoma State -4 O/U 134.5
Recommendation: Under

Oklahoma State has been really consistent when it comes to pace this season regardless of opponent. In their last two games, against TCU and Iowa State,  there were 124 and 126 possessions respectively. That's very important when we consider how different both those squads are on the offensive end. When the Cowboys faced Big XII squads that play up-tempo (Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma) five of those six games went under the total. Those totals ranged from the mid-130’s to mid-140’s. No matter what the opposition, it’s hard to reach that mark when you prefer a slow pace, fail to average over a point per possession, and grade out as above average defensively. Statistically, West Virginia is the fastest team in the Big XII because they press and their games often feature an endless amount of free throws. But this is a different team on the road as three of their last four road games failed to top 130 (127, 124, 123, and 138 against Iowa State). Very important game for both sides, particularly Oklahoma State who desperately needs a victory after back-to-back losses. Read more

Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Andrew Lange

NBA Handicapping: Dragic to Miami highlights trade deadline

02.20.2015     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Rather that sift through a Twitter timeline, fifty different articles, or Simmons' Members Only Grantland conversation that was neither informative or funny, Deadspin made it easy and broke down all of yesterday's NBA trades. Yeah, it's snarky, but in three minutes, you'll be up to speed. The biggest trade was Phoenix's Goran Dragic getting shipped to Miami. That instantly made the Heat a contender in the Eastern Conference. But not 24 hours after it went down, the team announced Chris Both may have a blood clot in his lung and could miss the rest of the season. We'll be talking more about the trading deadline as well as all of Friday night's game on the Sportsmemo Podcast this afternoon.

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Phoenix Suns

College Basketball Betting Free Play: St. Joseph's Hawks at Dayton Flyers

02.19.2015     09:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
St. Joseph's at Dayton -10 O/U 123.5
Recommendation: Dayton

Flyers head coach Archie Miller raised some eyebrows when he kicked his top two returning big men off the team before Christmas, dismissing Jalen Robinson and Devin Scott.  That came on the heels of a bum knee from a potential impact big man Detwon Rogers in preseason, that has kept him sidelined all year.  And  another potential upside big man Steve McElvene was ruled ineligible to play this season.

Miller clearly knew what he was doing.  Dayton has played with a collective fire in their bellies that’s been second to none in the A-10 since those dismissals.  They are 12-3 SU since the roster upheaval ad 8-4 ATS in their last dozen ballgames.  Two of the three losses have come by two points or less.  Nine of their twelve wins have come by double digit margins. 

Miller had a gameplan when he kicked the malcontents off the squad, running three and four guard lineups out on the floor, relying on quickness and talent, not size. The results have been remarkable: strong shooting percentages, excellent production from beyond the Read more

Tags: College Basketball St. Joseph's Hawks Dayton Flyers A-10 Teddy Covers

Fantasy sports websites are shady just like most online sportsbooks

02.17.2015     07:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
You know how sportsbooks offers these seemingly great bonus offers that never end up being great because of the endless array of hoops you have to jump through before you receive said bonus. That's pretty much the business model for fantasy sports websites like FanDuel and DraftKings. And while people will bitch, complain, and maybe try to sue, thanks to the "fine print" , they'll likely never be touched.

"Our intention isn't to bring down the daily fantasy sports industry," Attorney Kerns told the Broward Palm Beach New Times. "Given how big it is, that wouldn't be possible. I think they provide a great service, I just think it should be done in process that doesn't make someone think they're getting double their deposit."

College Basketball Gambling: Seton Hall tries to weather storm

02.16.2015     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Things have gotten -- and still may be -- messy for Seton Hall after a player quit and rumors surfaced about a troubled locker room. The Pirates were 15-6, 5-4 but have dropped four straight and play the second of three straight road games at Villanova this evening. Head coach Kevin Willard commended his team for their effort in a spread covering 69-62 loss at Providence on Saturday.

"It's tough coming on the road after having to deal with a lot of B.S. over the last week," Seton Hall coach Kevin Willard said after the loss. "We came on the road to a packed house and I thought we did a good job of battling. (I'm) really proud of this team."

Tags: College Basketball Seton Hall Pirates Villanova Wildcats Big East

College Basketball Betting Free Play: West Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State Cyclones

02.14.2015     08:55 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
West Virginia at Iowa State -7 O/U 158.5
Recommendation: Under

They'll no doubt be a lot of pace and points in this afternoon's West Virginia-Iowa State game but oddsmakers aren't messing around by opening this game 160. It's since been bet down slightly to 158.5 but I see a few factors that make playing the under worth a bet. For starters, Iowa State talked all week about shoring up its leaky defense. That doesn't mean they're going to start holding teams in the 60's as their games are way too fast for that. But at home off of allowing 94 points to Oklahoma, I expect a much better effort. Next, West Virginia doesn't have a very efficient offense. In fact, the Mountaineers are averaging less than a point per possession in Big XII play. And it's important to note that not one WVU Big XII game has topped 158 in regulation. In the first meeting between these two squads there was a fair amount of pace (144 possession) and points 146 but it went under the closing total of 150. Neither team has changed much of all since that game back in mid-January and yet today's total is eight points higher. In order for this game to go over the total you'll need close Read more

Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Iowa State Cyclones Big XII Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Michigan Wolverines at Illinois Fighting Illini

02.12.2015     08:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Michigan at Illinois -6.5 O/U 121
Recommendation: Illinois

Michigan is an injury riddled mess right now; a team that I’m looking to bet against in hostile environments both tonight and moving forward.  The Wolverines are coming off another tight, deflating loss at Indiana over the weekend, their fourth defeat in the last five games.  Two of those losses (Michigan State and Wisconsin) were overtime affairs.  And it’s not going to get any easier for John Beilein’s squad tonight as they travel to Assembly Hall in Champaign to take on the Illini.

Michigan’s injury woes are getting worse, not better.  Four of their five starters played at least 34 minutes at Indiana, and at least part of the reason why the Wolverines have been struggling so much in close games is because they are short-handed, running out of gas in the latter stages of tight contests.  Let’s not forget that this team lost FIVE underclassmen to the NBA over the last three drafts.  Last month, star guard and leading scorer Caris LeVert was lost to a season ending foot injury.  Since then, they’ve lost third Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Teddy Covers


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