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November

27

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Fade the Dead in College Hoops

02.25.2013     07:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s late February, and there’s still two more full weeks of regular season action in college hoops before the madness truly begins. It’s too early to write about conference tournament betting strategies – I’ll save that for next week. But it’s not too late to write about the bevy of ‘dead’ teams that are populating the college hoops landscape right now; teams that are lethargically playing out the string of the regular season. Sometimes, the sharp move is to lay big points fading sorry teams.

Even bad teams have hope in November – the season is fresh and new; teammates aren’t sick and tired of each other or their coaches, and the nagging injuries haven’t started to pile up. And teams that get smacked around in non-conference play for two months get an opportunity to regroup against comparable competition when conference play begins in January.

But when things go south in conference play, it’s not easy for many of these squads to continue competing at the same level they were earlier in the season. By late February, the final few weeks of the regular season are a meat grinder for struggling Read more


Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers Northwestern Wildcats South Florida Bulls Duquesne Dukes Old Dominion Dukes Texas Tech Red Raiders Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to bet college basketball in February

02.18.2013     07:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve done my last two columns breaking down aggregate season long stats, examining the very best and very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Next week, the focus shifts towards conference tournaments and the Big Dance. In between? This little doozy about how to make money betting NCAA hoops in the always tricky month of February!

The key to late regular season college hoops for me has always been about morphing teams – squads whose long term numbers don’t match their short term momentum – either positive or negative. There are quite literally dozens of such teams right now, all of whom are at least moderately mispriced in the betting markets these days, offering savvy bettors solid opportunities on a near daily basis.

Who are some of these teams? Why are they morphing now? Read on to find out!

I’ll start with a handful of teams moving in the right direction – from mediocre to good, or from good to great. Georgetown certainly stands out on this list; a perfect 7-0 straight up and against the spread in their last seven contests. The Hoyas were never a bad team, but a 2-3 SU start in Read more


Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Saint Louis Billikens Air Force Falcons UNLV Running Rebels Wyoming Cowboys Creighton Blue Jays Michigan Wolverines Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Recap: Bizarre Duke Loss, Plus Other Night Delights

02.17.2013     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s not so much that Duke losing on the road to Maryland is bizarre. They almost lost on the road at Boston College last week…and BC is worse than Maryland. It was sure a bizarre boxscore though…

*We’ve seen a few games in recent weeks where a team posted a strong two-point shooting mark on offense, but committed a lot of turnovers. If they didn’t give the ball away…they scored. Or, the defense went for the steal…if it didn’t work…deuce. Saturday night Maryland shot not 50%, or 60%, or 65%....Maryland shot 72% on two-pointers…but turned the ball over TWENTY SIX times! That’s 72% on deuces, with 26 turnovers. EXTREME!

*Duke has had some problems on the boards in recent years when they’re playing top competition. Maryland isn’t really top competition. Just a bubble team. But, Maryland outrebounded Duke by a stunning 38-17.

*At home, Duke often gets the benefit of the doubt on free Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Maryland Terrapins Stat Intelligence




Las Vegas sportsbooks posted big earnings in 2012

02.12.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
Las Vegas sportsbooks hauled in a $170 million profit in 2012 – nearly a 21% increase over 2011. The books reportedly clean up in pro and college hoops as well as September football.



Tags: Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's worst against the spread

02.11.2013     07:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took a look at the best pointspread teams in all of college basketball, with the goal of assessing which teams were most likely to continue their ATS success down the stretch. This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be overvalued as February rolls into March? Let’s find out!

The single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball this year has been IUPUI (Indiana-Purdue, Indianapolis); the type of team that only wiseguys bet on or against on a regular basis. At 5-17 ATS, no team in all of college basketball has suffered more pointspread defeats than the Jaguars this year. The Jaguars play in the Summit League, on the added board in college hoops – exclusive territory for sharps.

IUPUI has virtually no homecourt edge, covering just a single pointspread at home all year. They’ve been besieged with injuries and attrition; Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Gambling: Top ranked Indiana melts down at Illinois

02.08.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Number one Indiana trailed for a fraction of a second in the second half Thursday night in its Big Ten road game against Illinois in Champaign-Urbana. It was the fraction of a second that mattered most…as Illinois hit a shot just before the buzzer to make it FIVE STRAIGHT WEEKS where the top team in the AP poll was knocked off its perch.

Illinois 74, #1 Indiana 72

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 48%, Illinois 50%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 9/17, Illinois 9/24

Free Throws: Indiana 13/14, Illinois 13/15

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 45, Illinois 47

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Illinois 21

Turnovers: Indiana 14, Illinois 9

(Indiana 2-1 in Kenpom/Sagarin respectively, Illinois 56-51)

We talked about Indiana’s penchant for sloppiness in our coverage of the Michigan game last weekend. That was an issue here…as the team was -5 in the turnover category against an opponent that was second best Read more


Tags: College Basketball Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Stat Intelligence




Super Bowl XLVII produces record handle for Nevada sportsbooks

02.05.2013     07:53 AM     Printer Friendly
The Nevada Gaming Control Board announced that a record $98,936,798 was wagered on Super Bowl XLVII. Nevada sportsbooks took home $7.2 million (7.3% hold).



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVII




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's best against the spread

02.04.2013     11:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Super Bowl is in the rear view mirror after Sunday’s wild Baltimore victory, which can only mean one thing – college hoops is on center stage for the next eight weeks.  I’ve been writing game previews for ESPN.com/Insider for the last month, but I’ve yet to write a true ‘college basketball overview’ column for any publication so far this season.  That streak ends here.

I’m going take a look at the very best pointspread ‘regular board’ teams in the country in this week’s column.  The list of ATS juggernauts is likely to surprise many people due to its diversity.  Elite level teams aren’t necessarily pointspread winners, and bottom feeders can cash ticket after ticket if the betting markets set numbers that allow them to hang within the number as big underdogs.  Look no further than the single best ATS team in the nation so far this season. 

I’ll wager that less than a dozen people in the country knew that Fordham is the #1 ATS team in all of DI basketball this year; 14-5 against the number.  The Rams are 6-16 SU, just 2-5 in Atlantic-10 play.  Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Nevada sportsbooks turn small profit from Super Bowl XLVII

02.04.2013     06:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Now that the smoke has cleared, it looks as if Baltimore's outright win and the game going over the total helped Nevada sportsbooks turn a small profit. Had San Francisco punched in six late and won by two or three, the books reportedly would have crushed.


“We’re a small winner,” reported Jimmy Vaccaro, the spokesman for William Hill sports books. “We ended up with some Ravens moneyline late, so that took some of our steam out. But we did OK.”

“If everyone did what we did, then I would expect we’d break the record,” MGM Resorts sports book director Jay Rood said. “We fared pretty well, but it’s difficult to say how everyone else did. There’s a strong possibility that some of the local places could have seen more Ravens money.”

“The props were a very small winner,” Vaccaro said. “The Kaepernick kid didn’t help. The safety and touchdown were two of the bigger ones of the day and we lost both of them, but we beat most of the other Read more



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII




Sportsmemo's last minute guide to betting Super Bowl XLVII

02.03.2013     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick rundown of our Super Bowl XLVII blog coverage including free prop bet recommendations from the Sportsmemo Handicappers. Enjoy.

Let's Talk About the 49ers' Defense

Baltimore's Disruptive Defense

Oddsmakers hope to avoid San Francisco/Over combo

A really long list of places to go see the game in Las Vegas

Super Bowl MVP History

Read more


Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII



34

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November

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