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MLB Handicapping: Red hot Mat Latos returns to San Diego
07.05.2012 05:37 AM
Printer Friendly
Cincinnati
(Latos) -135 at
San Diego
(Volquez) O/U 6.5
Is Mat Latos finally getting it? It appears so after
back-to-back 1-run complete games
in which Latos allowed just six hits and struck out 20. Tonight he returns to his old stomping ground as a medium-sized road favorite.
"I think the main thing is is we're exactly on the same page as far as what we want to do," Hanigan said. "We're really getting into a good tempo. I think we trust each other. I think we know what our plan is. There's no guessing, there's no indecision.
"And he's attacking. He's getting into good counts. When he's not in good counts, he doesn't let it get away from him -- not a lot 2-0s, 3-1s. He's always in the count. He's got a 94 mph fastball. It makes his offs-peed stuff that much tougher."
"His slider
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Tags:
MLB
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
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4th of July Betting Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
07.04.2012 07:06 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Baltimore
(Tillman) -105 at
Seattle
(Noesi) O/U 8
Recommendation: Baltimore
I've been playing against Seattle Hector Noesi in some capacity for much of the season. Nearly every number I use to determine the true quality of a starting pitcher tells me that Noesi is one of the worst in baseball. His lone saving grace – at least on the surface – is a respectable 3.86 ERA at home. But take a look at his FIP and xFIP and you'll notice his performances at home aren't too far removed from what he's done on the road (7.42 ERA). Baltimore calls up Charles Tillman for a spot start. His career numbers are not very good (5.58 ERA in 180.2 IP) but he's simply not built to handle the rigors of the American League East every fifth day. He is however capable of showing up at Safeco and keeping the Mariners in check. I'm supporting the road side in this one.
Tags:
MLB
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
Andrew Lange
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Sports Betting Podcast 7-3-2012 with Handicapper Erin Rynning
07.03.2012 10:14 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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MLB
Erin Rynning
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MLB Betting Alert: Markets looking to fade Cueto and Haren
07.03.2012 08:58 AM
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Two pretty big market moves on today's MLB slate. Cincinnati and Johnny Cueto opened -155 at CRIS and -135 at Pinnacle against Los Angeles and Chris Capuano. The Reds are now around a -117 road favorite. LA's Dan Haren has really struggled of late (20 earned runs last four starts) and yet opened as a -133 road favorite at Pinnacle. He's been bet down to as low as -111 against Cleveland and Zach McAllister.
Line history courtesy of 5Dimes.
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MLB
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians
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MLB Betting Notes: Cashner and Bauer square off at Chase Field
07.03.2012 08:34 AM
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San Diego
(Cashner) at
Arizona
(Bauer) -145 O/U 9
Preview from
FanGraphs
on tonight's San Diego-Arizona matchup featuring the touted arms of Andrew Cashner and Trevor Bauer. In his first start since being recalled, Casher allowed two hits, two runs and fanned nine in 6.1 innings at Houston. Bauer had a little tougher time, lasting only four innings and allowing two runs at Atlanta.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
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MLB Handicapping: Understanding the cutter
07.03.2012 07:34 AM
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The cutter has become the new "it" pitch in baseball over the last few years. But while it has the ability to revitalize a career, it also seems to cause an eventual drop in velocity. Here's an
interview
with pitching coaches Roger McDowell and Randy St. Claire about the popular offering.
St. Claire: “For me, a cutter is a fastball that’s moving. It runs in on that left-handed hitter’s hands. There is velocity to it, and there is no spin to the ball that you can pick up. A slider has spin and usually a tight dot to it. It’s usually when you throw a poor slider that it gets hit. On a cutter, the hitter does not pick up the spin on the ball. At the last, just before contact, the ball is sliding. For a left-hander it’s sliding to the right, and for a right-hander it’s sliding to the left. It’s very short break, too. A cutter is a contact pitch that makes them mis-hit the ball.”
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MLB Betting Notes: Verlander starting to find groove with change-up
07.02.2012 01:34 PM
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We're nitpicking a little but over the last month, Detroit's Justin Verlander – by his standards – has been uncharacteristically hittable. Now being able to maintain a 2.15 ERA in the American League is extremely tough and every pitcher goes through a stale period or two during the course of a full season. That appears to be the case with Verlander who over his last seven starts has a 3.54 ERA. His last outing against Tampa was the worst of the bunch in which he allowed four earned runs in six innings. He did however take away something positive from the outing; the
rediscovery of his change-up
.
"My changeup has been absent for a couple months now," he said. "It was nice to get a good feel for that again with good depth. I've been able to throw it for strikes, but it hasn't had much action on it. Tonight was better, so that's a positive that I'm looking forward to working with down the road."
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Detroit Tigers
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MLB Free Prop Bet: Home Runs vs. Away Runs
07.02.2012 01:10 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Home Runs -180 vs. Away Runs
Recommendation: Home Runs
I don't normally play the Home Runs vs. Away Runs prop play in part because every time I do, I'll be well on my way to victory and there will inevitably be a rain out. That being said, I did take a shot tonight supporting the home side laying the moderate price (-177 @ Pinnacle). I see a lot of games with home teams having a distinct starting pitching advantage. In the National League, Pittsburgh (McDonald), Atlanta (Hanson), Milwaukee (Greinke), and St. Louis (Lohse) are all -160 favorites or more. I especially like that grouping because I see two pitchers on the road who are on my "play against" list in Chicago's Jeff Samardzija and Miami's Carlos Zambrano. In the AL, Ricky Romero has struggled but the Jays face a weak arm in KC’s Everett Teaford. Doug Fister is a big favorite over gas can Liam Hendriks for Minnesota. Add two untrustable veterans in Freddy Garcia and Dice-K and the home sides have plenty of opportunity to put up runs in bunches. I don't see one "mismatch" away favorite on the card. Jered Weaver is as close as you are going to get but
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Andrew Lange
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Huge Savings for Top Handicappers Erin Rynning and Andrew Lange
07.02.2012 10:46 AM
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Erin Rynning
Andrew Lange
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Sports Betting Podcast 7-2-2012 with Handicapper Rob Veno
07.02.2012 09:48 AM
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Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
MLB
Rob Veno
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