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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 6

10.14.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 6.

Denver Broncos - This offense does NOT take downfield shots; arguably the best 'dink and dunk' attack I've ever seen. The passing game is just lots and lots of well executed short passes thrown by a remarkably accurate quarterback. Even on a day where the Broncos were clearly a little bit flat in a legitimate sandwich spot against the worst team in the league, the Broncos still had five offensive touchdowns compared to only three punts and zero field goal attempts.

But this secondary is officially a problem area, even with Champ Bailey active today. We all saw what Tony Romo did to them last week. Here, Chad Henne was converting on 3rd and 25’s and Justin Blackmon was catching 14 balls for 190 yards. Rahim Moore was dropping sure interceptions, they were getting gashed on the ground, and the pass rush wasn't there. To make matters worse, Denver has a cluster injury Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Jacksonville Jaguars New York Jets New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Houston Texans Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: St. Louis Rams at Houston Texans

10.13.2013     07:36 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis at Houston
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Houston -7 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Houston -7 (-120) O/U 42.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Houston -7
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Houston

The Texans, Gary Kubiak, and Matt Schaub will enter today’s contest under immense pressure after three straight losses. This matchup against the Rams will be a golden opportunity to bounce back.  It’s still a quality Texans team that will no doubt play with a chip on their shoulder.  In reality there’s no shame in losing to San Francisco and Baltimore on the road, and Seattle on their home turf for that matter.  The Texans have actually outgained all five of their opponents on the campaign.  In fact, they out-yarded their opponents by an average of 130 ypg.  This is still a dynamic offense that can beat teams on the ground and air.  Watch for their ground attack to hit on all Read more


Tags: NFL St. Louis Rams Houston Texans Erin Rynning




NFL Gambling Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

10.11.2013     07:54 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -1.5 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -2 O/U 45
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Tampa Bay -1.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Philadelphia -0.5 1st half

Tough to gauge how Tampa Bay is going to come out of the bye week after having so much conflict between head coach Greg Schiano and former quarterback Josh Freeman. They should come out with extreme intensity and their sights set on getting into the win column but if things go wrong at the outset of this contest they could get discouraged. The wretched play of the entire NFC East Division is the only reason Philadelphia remains in a somewhat confident place heading into this Sunday. Local media and fan base alike were all ready to jump ship on Chip Kelly’s initial season had the Eagles lost to the winless Giants last week, but the victory along with the solid play of backup Nick Foles have Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Tampa Bay Buccaneers Rob Veno




College Football Betting Preview: Baylor Bears at Kansas State Wildcats

10.11.2013     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baylor at Kansas State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Baylor -10.5 O/U 72
CRIS Current: Baylor -17.5 O/U 73.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baylor -10
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Kansas State

Considering all the time that went into discussing this game in both the forum and podcast, I felt obligated to do this write-up. College football has changed so much over the last few years that profiles like this – WHO is laying WHAT at WHERE?? – no longer gain much attention. It’s the age of sophisticated offenses, sharp power ratings, and betting markets that would rather lay -30 with a dominant team than try to "hope for the best" with and outclassed foe despite the value. You can't accurately power rate what Baylor has done to this point simply because it is such rarified air. We've seen it with Oregon but the Ducks are a proven commodity whereas Baylor is not. The Read more


Tags: College Football Bayor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Big XII Andrew Lange




NFL Betting News: Philadelphia's Vick wants to play vs. Tampa Bay

10.10.2013     01:21 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia -1.5 at Tampa Bay O/U 45.5

Michael Vick (hamstring) says he's preparing to play Sunday's game at Tampa Bay. Don't expect official word on either Vick of Nick Foles until Sunday morning.


"Today was another stepping stone," said Vick, who was limited on the team's official injury report. "I think we’ll go and work it out before the game and see how it feels. Until then, I’m going to continue to get treatment and I’ve got some things that I’m going to try to do today to try to get it better."

"It’s important to be 100 percent, but with this type of injury if you do anything out of the ordinary than you can prolong the recovery process, so I’m just trying to be smart about it and our training staff is as well," Vick said.

Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Tampa Bay Buccaneers




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 6

10.10.2013     11:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

An updated look at our estimated Power Ratings for the NFL based on how the market is pricing teams this week as of late Wednesday afternoon. Looks like things are starting to settle into more logical places. We’ve been scratching our heads about a few things the last couple of Wednesdays. The questions we were asking turned out largely to be very good questions. The market seems to be learning from its week-to-week incoherence. Just took longer than usual this time around.

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

91: Denver

85: Seattle, Green Bay

84: New Orleans (at home), San Francisco

83: New Orleans (on the road)

82: New England, Indianapolis

81: Cincinnati, Dallas, Detroit

80: Chicago, Houston, Kansas City

79: Baltimore, Miami, Atlanta

78: San Diego, Philadelphia, Washington, Carolina

77:

76: Minnesota, St. Louis, NY Giants, Arizona, Pittsburgh

75: Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Washington's seondary on high alert vs. Dallas

10.10.2013     08:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Dallas -5.5 O/U 52

The Washington Redskins haven't had much success stopping the pass this season (298.3 ypg allowed) while Sunday's opponent, the Dallas Cowboys, are off a 500-yard performance.


“We’re gonna have our plan. We’re gonna go out there and try to execute. We’re gonna try and make them one-dimensional. But if the one dimension can throw for 500 [yards] and five touchdowns, it’s not really ideal. So it’s tough. It’s tough. We’ve got to force turnovers throughout the game. We’ve got to make big plays when they arise. We’re gonna count on our offense to be the offense that we know they can be. And they’re gonna score some points and that’s gonna help us get in a situation where they can be one-dimensional and we can Read more



Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Dallas Cowboys




NFL Gambling Preview: Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens

10.09.2013     12:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay at Baltimore
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Green Bay -3.5 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -3 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore pk
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

We got two underrated defenses facing off against two offenses that are struggling in the red zone AND committed to running the football . Put those three factors together with the consistently high totals in the modern NFL era and the case for the Under is perfectly clear.

Let me start with the defenses. Green Bay got Morgan Burnett back in the lineup at safety last week after missing the first three games of the season and he definitely had an impact, saving a potential big play TD with a beautiful pass breakup. The Packers front seven really controlled the field against Detroit, and there’s no reason to think they won’t be able to do it again here even without Clay Matthews relentless pass rushing Read more


Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: LVH posts Regular Season Over/Under Numbers

10.09.2013     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Earlier this month, the LVH sportsbook posted NBA Regular Season Over/Under numbers. The Miami Heat are lined at 60, followed by the Los Angeles Clippers (57), Chicago Bulls (56.5), and San Antonio Spurs (55.5). At the bottom of the list are the Philadelphia 76ers (16.5), Phoenix Suns (21.5) and Orlando Magic (24.5). For a listing of all 30 teams, click here



Tags: NBA




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 5

10.09.2013     07:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down the Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
The list of winless and undefeated ATS teams continues to shrink after Week 5 of the season. Denver and Seattle were the two remaining undefeated teams but both came up short from an ATS perspective. However, there are still four teams looking for their first pointspread win of the season as we head into Week 6. Those teams are Houston, Jacksonville, and the New York Giants at 0-5 ATS along with Pittsburgh at 0-4 ATS.

The Giants, Jaguars, and Steelers have all failed to win a game straight up while the Texans are 2-3. New York will attempt to snap their SU and ATS winless streak in Chicago playing on a short week against a Bears team that has dropped their last two games. It doesn’t help the Giants have three major flaws right now. They can’t take care of the football, they can’t block up front, and their secondary has been ripped apart by each opponent they’ve faced.
Jacksonville finds itself involved this week in the largest pointspread in NFL history as they opened as 28-point underdogs against the Denver Broncos. The next largest spread was when the Pittsburgh Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron



35

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 31, 2014 10:46 AM.