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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 3

09.23.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week, Teddy took a long, hard look at five NFC teams that have been major disappointments to start the year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Doug Martin had 144 yards on the ground last week and the Bucs still only scored a single offensive touchdown and lost the game. Today, with Martin largely contained (longest carry 11 yards), the offense only managed a single field goal and lost the game. After leading the league in penalties through the first two games, the Bucs were only flagged four times here, but that’s about the only bright spot from this performance.

Injuries are becoming a huge story with this team. They came into this game missing three starters from opening day in their secondary, forced to start a safety who was on their practice squad last week. Their lone playmaker, WR Vincent Jackson left the game with bruised ribs. His counterpart on the other side, Mike Williams had a clear limp all afternoon. Pro bowl Read more


Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers New York Giants San Francisco 49ers New York Giants St. Louis Rams Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor through Week 3

09.23.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Following up on our discussion from earlier this week, here are the play totals (runs, passes, accepted penalties, punts, field goal attempts) from Sunday afternoon NFL games (plus KC/Philly from Thursday). I’ll rank them from fastest paced to slowest paced. First, the boundaries we’ve seen so far in the first two weeks...

Fastest: 187 (Baltimore at Denver, with two fast teams in season opener)

Midpoint: 158

Slowest: 134 (Oakland at Indianapolis)

This Week

192: Buffalo at NY Jets (new high, Bills floundered fast, Jets a million penalties)

178: Cleveland at Minnesota (fourth fastest in NFL this season)

171: Kansas City at Philadelphia

169: Detroit at Washington

159: Tampa Bay at New England

157: Houston at Baltimore

154: Jacksonville at Seattle

152: Green Bay at Cincinnati

149: San Diego at Tennessee

149: Arizona at New Orleans (Saints continue to Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL 20* Sunday -- 5 Plays for ONLY $125

09.22.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly







NFL Gambling Preview: Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings

09.22.2013     07:34 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland at Minnesota
Sunday, 10 am PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
Minnesota -3 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: Minnesota -6.5 O/U 41
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Minnesota -5
Erin Rynning’s Recommendation: Cleveland

The Vikings enter Sunday’s game against the Browns as a steep touchdown favorite.  They also enter with a 0-2 record and their two opponents were hardly world beaters in the Bears and Lions.  As expected, the Vikings quarterback play has been bad under the direction of Christian Ponder.  Ponder has turned the ball over frequently and he lacks the arm strength to exploit teams with the deep ball.  Teams have stacked the line of scrimmage in a big way, daring Ponder to beat them.  This hasn’t worked out well for Adrian Peterson and the run game as well.  After Peterson’s initial 78-yard run to open the season, he’s averaged 2.7 yards per carry on 43 Read more


Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns Minnesota Vikings Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers

09.20.2013     07:13 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn at LSU
Saturday, 4:45 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
LSU -14 O/U 57
CRIS Current: LSU -16.5 O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -19
Brent Crow's Recommendation: LSU

Auburn has used a very favorable schedule to get off to a 3-0 start under first-year head coach Gus Mahlzan. The Tigers’ victories have come against Washington State, Arkansas State and Mississippi State; none of which are anywhere near the class of this week’s opponent. The fast start has calmed down the Auburn fans after last year’s disaster under Gene Chizik. While three wins is definitely better than three losses, I am not sure there is much difference between this year’s team and last year’s group. The defense is still a big question mark as Auburn has allowed at least 400 yards of offense in all three wins to offenses that have been subpar otherwise. They were able to force three turnovers against Read more


Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers SEC Brent Crow




College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal

09.20.2013     07:01 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State at Stanford
Saturday, 4 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Stanford -6.5 O/U 52
CRIS Current: Stanford -5.5 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Stanford -11
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over 1st Half

It was good for the Sun Devils to play Wisconsin last week since the Badgers are a near mirror image of Stanford offensively. ASU’s defense had to deal with the power style rushing attack of Wisconsin and the subsequent play-action passing that goes with it. The problem is, Arizona State didn’t fare all that well at stopping the Badgers who rolled to 441 total yards on 7.0 per play which included 232 rushing yards and 7.2 per carry. That’s a major problem as Todd Graham’s team leaves the cozy confines of Sun Devil Stadium for the first time this season to play at Stanford in their PAC-12 opener.

Another fundamental problem will likely be the Stanford defense which Read more


Tags: College Football Arizona State Sun Devils Stanford Cardinal PAC-12 Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins

09.19.2013     11:37 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit at Washington
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Washington -2.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Washington -1.5 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Washington -4
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

The Washington Redskins have not gone over the total in their first two games by accident. The defense has been the catalyst for it as the Redskins were a sieve against Philadelphia and Green Bay giving up a whopping 71 points and 1,023 total yards. Washington’s porous stop unit has been victimized both on the ground and in the passing game showing hardly any ability to contain either one. I’m not sure they can stop the bleeding here against a capable Detroit Lions offense which shot itself in the foot with turnovers and penalties last week but were able to move the football effectively against Arizona particularly though the air. That should prove to be problematic for a Redskins secondary that was absolutely Read more


Tags: NFL Detroit Lions Washington Redskins Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators

09.18.2013     10:23 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Florida
Saturday, 12:30 PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
Florida -15.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida -16.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno’s Power Ranking: Florida -16.5
Brian Edwards’ Recommendation: Under

Florida will be seeking its ninth consecutive win over Tennessee when these bitter SEC East rivals square off Saturday at The Swamp in Gainesville.

Most books opened Florida (1-1 straight up, 0-2 against the spread) as a 14.5-point favorite Sunday night. However, by late Wednesday morning, most shops had the Gators favored by -17 with a total of 47.5. Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +600 return (risk $100 to win $600).

Will Muschamp’s team has had two weeks to shake off a gut-wrenching 21-16 loss at Miami as a three-point road favorite. UF nearly doubled up the Hurricanes in total offense but went down nonetheless due to five turnovers, Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Florida Gators SEC Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/18/13

09.18.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Feel much better about how these numbers have honed in on the market. Many of last week’s numbers were very close to nailing this week’s openers (or first line moves off an opener). When they didn’t, it was due to a common-sense adjustment from a Saturday result, or an injury to a quarterback. Think we’re mostly there. Not all the way there, particularly in the bottom third where there seems to be more volatility (and less raw confidence from all involved)

If this is your first visit to the site…I’m trying to estimate college football “Power Ratings” as represented by the lines posted in the betting markets. These aren’t my personal opinions of teams. This is my estimate of how “the market” as a composite must be rating the teams based on the lines we’re seeing now and have been seeing recently. I start by creating couplets based on the line for each game, using 3 points of value for home field advantage. Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 2

09.17.2013     02:46 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A “Total” Stalemate
Unders and Overs split right down the middle in Week 1 going 8-8 and it was more of the same in Week 2 with another 8-8 record. That 16 Overs and 16 Unders through the first two weeks of the season – give or take a few due depending on what sportsbook you play at. Those results suggest that oddsmakers are starting to catch up to how much the league has changed and how favorable everything is for offenses. Three games saw more than 60 points scored in Week 2 but on the flip side, there were also three games with fewer than 30 points scored. My best advice with totals is to disregard a lot of the trends floating around in the betting community – especially those that go back three or more years. The game has evolved and each one deserves its very own handicap with pace and situation two of many factors to consider.

Proof that Rookie Starting Quarterbacks Can Be Perfect
Raise your hand if you thought that E.J. Manuel and Geno Smith would be a combined 4-0 ATS through the first two weeks of the season. Manuel and Smith have had their flickers of solid play but neither has been consistent Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 20, 2014 02:57 PM.