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NHL Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals

01.12.2015     07:43 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Colorado +150 at Washington O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Colorado

The Colorado Avalanche head to Washington playing their best hockey of the season.  It was further validated Saturday afternoon when the Avs got down two quick goals against the Dallas Stars, but rallied back for a 4-3 win.  That makes it three straight for Colorado and five out of their last six.  Goaltender Semyon Varlamov has been of of the main keys to this resurgence.  Varlamov is 6-2 with a 1.97 GAA and two shutouts since returning from a groin injury on Dec. 23.  Colorado is hitting their stride right now," Washington coach Barry Trotz said. "They've got Varlamov playing at the top of his game and they're sort of getting their game in order, being more of the team that you saw last year and playing very well."  Trotz couldn't be more right as the Avs look like the team from last year that was so successful.  They will have their hands full tonight in Washington facing a Capitals team that is equally as hot.  Colorado has owned this series in previous meetings, and tonight will be no different.  Colorado has the 6th best PK Read more

Tags: NHL Colorado Avalanche Washington Capitals Sammy P

College Football Gambling: Title game total remains as high as 75.5

01.08.2015     02:26 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick look at the last seven college football title games and they results from a totals perspective. No real trends worth betting in to but we did want to point out that in the three instances there was a "high total" (67, 69, and 73.5) all three contests went under. The most notable was 2011's Auburn-Oregon game that closed 73.5. The Ducks were the top scoring team in the country (47 ppg) and the Tigers not too far behind (41.2 ppg) very similar to this year's matchup (Oregon 47.2 ppg; Ohio State 45.0 ppg). The game featured 158 plays and nearly 1,000 yards but started slow, bogged down again in the second half, and also featured four turnovers. Is that meaningful to this year's contest? Probably not. But at 75.5 we may see the total bet under some as we near game day with some bettors taking a "they'll need a clean game to beat me" mentality.

2014 - Florida State 34, Auburn 31
Total: 67
Result: Under

2013 - Alabama 42, Notre Dame 14
Total: 39.5
Result: Over

2012 - Alabama 21, LSU 0
Total: 41
Result: Read more

Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten

College Football Gambling Update: Ohio State taking mid-week title game money

01.07.2015     01:30 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Still a few days out from college football's title game between Ohio State and Oregon. In reaction to both semifinal matchups going over the total, we've seen more upward pressure with the current number at 75/75.5 after opening 72.5 at Pinnacle and 74 at CRIS. And after sitting on the Ducks -7 for a few days we've seen a slow but steady flow of Buckeyes money with the line down to -6 offshore and -6.5 in Las Vegas. Sportsmemo handicapper Rob Veno has his power rating set at -7.5.

Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Oregon Ducks PAC-12

College Basketball Handicapping: What to do with UCLA moving forward

01.05.2015     02:09 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
So if you haven't already noticed, UCLA is really bad. Or at least that's how they've been playing the last three weeks. They can't win, can't cover, and have been an under bettor's dream because they can't score despite playing at a fast clip. Look, as of now, unless I come across a great piece of information, playing a conference game over the total just isn't in the cards. However, knowing the natural ebb and flow of a season, I can tell you that the Bruins are at some point going to cash in on some overs.

For starters, four of their last five games were on the road and all but one opponent (Alabama) was what I would consider to be defensively elite. Some of the blame can no question be placed on the offense which has little to no room for growth if Bryce Alford remains the team's top scoring option. Adding to it is that they don't have a true point guard nor any pop off the bench. Pretty bleak, right? But when you step back and look at the bigger picture I see potential -- and by potential I mean "overs."

Of UCLA's seven losses, all but one was on the road and the lone home game, sure enough, went flying over the total with 160 points. And the one Read more

Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange

College Football Gambling: Oregon Ducks open -7 vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

01.02.2015     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Oregon Ducks opened as a 7-point favorite over Ohio State for next week's college football championship in Dallas. That's where they currently stand both offshore and in Las Vegas with the exception of Pinnacle which has the Ducks -6.5 (-115). The total has seen upward pressure from 72 to as high as 74.5. This after both semifinal contests went flying over the total. Sportsmemo handicapper Rob Veno's Power Ratings show Oregon to be -7.5. Sagarin meanwhile has the game as a virtual pick 'em with Ohio State 0.43 ahead of Oregon.

Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks

01.02.2015     11:17 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Detroit -2.5 at New York O/U 198
Recommendation: Detroit

It’s no coincidence that the Detroit Pistons have reeled off a three-game winning streak following the departure of Josh Smith. The fact the Pistons decided to simply get rid of him for nothing in return tells you all you need to know about the negative impact he had on the team. Smith took bad shots, didn’t play consistent defense, and has been generally disruptive to any of the team’s internal chemistry. Detroit is 3-0 SU and ATS since that move notching double-digit wins (two of those as underdogs) against Indiana, Cleveland and Orlando. Detroit has seen a major surge in its offense during that stretch with much better ball movement and more balanced scoring. In two of those three wins, the Pistons had six players in their rotation notch double-digits. This quote from Stan Van Gundy stands out as a team with much more locker room harmony: “We've played three really good games. Our spirit in there is outstanding.” The same can’t be said about the spirit of the New York Knicks right now. It has been a dismal campaign for first-year head coach Derek Fisher Read more

Tags: NBA Detroit Pistons New York Knicks Ian Cameron

Cactus Bowl Betting Preview: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Washington Huskies

01.01.2015     12:21 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cactus Bowl - Tempe, Ariz.
Oklahoma State vs. Washington
Friday, January 2, 7:15 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Washington -5 O/U 56
CRIS Current: Washington -6.5 O/U 57
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Washington -4.5

Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy cost me a bet in late November when he surprisingly pulled the redshirt off QB Mason Rudolph with only two games remaining in the season.  Rudolph was their heralded recruit, a top 20 QB coming out of high school and a HUGE upgrade over backup Daxx Garman who has been starting since Week 2 following the season ending injury to junior JT Walsh.

The Cowboys season long stats are going to show that they can’t throw the football very well and have a very limited offense.  But if you watched Rudolph’s first two collegiate starts, you know that those season long stats are a non-factor moving forward.  in the rain, in a very hostile Read more

Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Washington Huskies PAC-12 Teddy Covers

Outback Bowl Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Auburn Tigers

12.31.2014     06:55 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Outback Bowl - Tampa, Fla.
Wisconsin vs. Auburn
Thursday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Auburn -4.5 O/U 61.5
CRIS Current: Auburn -6.5 O/U 63.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Auburn -3
Paul Stone's Recommendation: Over

One could certainly question the psyche of both combatants in Thursday's Outback Bowl in Tampa. On one sideline, you have defending national champion Auburn (8-4) which buckled under the weight of the nation's most difficult schedule, losing three of its final four regular season games, including a 55-44 defeat at hated rival Alabama.

On the other, there is a Wisconsin (9-3) squad which was sliced and diced by Ohio State, 59-0, in the Big 10 Championship Game. To add insult to injury, Badger head coach Gary Andersen surprisingly bolted Madison four days later, taking the Oregon State job.

Wisconsin has since hired Pittsburgh head coach Paul Chryst, who formerly Read more

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Bagders Big Ten Auburn Tigers SEC Paul Stone

College Basketball Handicapping: Big Ten Strength of Schedule

12.31.2014     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cool article on the Big Ten's schedule format this season due to the inclusion of Rutgers and Maryland. Most coaches are taking an "it is what it is" approach to it. There is however unbalance when you look at it from a strength of schedule standpoint. Northwestern for example plays one of the toughest slates with two games against Wisconsin, Michigan State, Michigan, Iowa, and Illinois. Ohio State meanwhile has seemingly the easiest schedule with two games against Michigan, Iowa, Indiana, Purdue, and Penn State. The Buckeyes also get Wisconsin at home and Northwestern and Rutgers on the road.

"One or two games on who you play or don't play can make a two or three-game difference in the standings,'' Michigan State coach Tom Izzo says. "I don't think we want to educate our fans on that.

"We still want to try to win championships, but that's what's a little harder for the coaches, I think, is the concept that there's a reality to it that if you

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Big Ten Northwestern Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes

College Basketball Gambling: Bettors jump on Kentucky's potentially perfect season

12.30.2014     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We knew this one was coming. Various Las Vegas sportsbooks have been offering a prop bet on whether or not Kentucky will run the table. William Hill chucked up a 50-1 during the summer -- which was in our opinion sorta insulting given the “true” odds of the feat. Fast forward five months and that's looking like the one awesome wager! The current adjusted price is +450. We ask the question, doesn't Calipari WANT to lose a game? Isn't that the type of thing that can be used to benefit the bigger picture? In theory, yes, but there’s also that whole ego thing to contend with.

"It's pretty good six figures, too," William Hill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said of the liability on the popular prop bet. "They keep betting it."

Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats


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