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College Football Betting Preview: Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers

09.20.2013     07:13 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn at LSU
Saturday, 4:45 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
LSU -14 O/U 57
CRIS Current: LSU -16.5 O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -19
Brent Crow's Recommendation: LSU

Auburn has used a very favorable schedule to get off to a 3-0 start under first-year head coach Gus Mahlzan. The Tigers’ victories have come against Washington State, Arkansas State and Mississippi State; none of which are anywhere near the class of this week’s opponent. The fast start has calmed down the Auburn fans after last year’s disaster under Gene Chizik. While three wins is definitely better than three losses, I am not sure there is much difference between this year’s team and last year’s group. The defense is still a big question mark as Auburn has allowed at least 400 yards of offense in all three wins to offenses that have been subpar otherwise. They were able to force three turnovers against Read more


Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers SEC Brent Crow




Thursday Night Football Betting Recap: Six Turnovers doom Philadelphia Eagles

09.20.2013     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Three weeks into the Chip Kelly era with the Philadelphia Eagles…and we’ve seen one half of mostly scintillating stuff (coming against an opponent that may not have a pass defense), but then five halves that have reminded everyone why it’s so hard to win with fast break football at the professional level.

First Half of Game One: Philadelphia 26, Washington 7

Next 5 Halves Pro-Rated: Philadelphia 11, Opponents 16

That’s an extended run now that represents the equivalent of losing games 32-22 against 2.5 opponents that may not reach the postseason (though KC has a decent Wildcard shot after its 3-0 start).

The Eagles are 1-2, and apparently would be the fourth best team in the AFC West because they just lost home games to San Diego and Kansas City…and are way behind Denver in everyone’s Power Ratings. They do have moments where the Oregon-style attack is a thing of beauty. But, tonight saw:

*Michael Vick throw two Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Kansas City Chiefs Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Will Wake Forest's under the total trend continue?

09.19.2013     07:10 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For many teams across the nation, 25% of their season is already complete. Three weeks ago as fall practice sessions ended and teams began preparing for their season opening games, those of us who follow college football routinely had opinions set on all 126 FBS teams. Since teams only play 12 regular season games, the quarter pole has always been a time to proactively adjust to teams if need be or stay firm with initial judgments that were made. In this week’s article I’ll take a look at one team specifically from a totals perspective which has thus far performed differently than what the original outlook may have been.

It’s not that Wake Forest's schemes have turned into something we don’t associate with them. After all, this team has had the exact same on-field style for each of head coach Jim Grobe’s 12 seasons here. The difference right now is the extent to which their game scores have diminished. Through their first three games, Wake Forest totals have opened and closed as some of the lowest we’ve seen each week. To see closing totals of 51, 47.5 and 50 in this day and age can definitely be categorized as lower than average. Read more


Tags: College Football Wake Forest Demon Deacons ACC Rob Veno




College Football Betting Podcast 9-18-2013 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

09.18.2013     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER recapped Week 2 College Football (Big Ten, PAC-12).

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - CFB Week 3 Recap: Big Ten, PAC-12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators

09.18.2013     10:23 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Florida
Saturday, 12:30 PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
Florida -15.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida -16.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno’s Power Ranking: Florida -16.5
Brian Edwards’ Recommendation: Under

Florida will be seeking its ninth consecutive win over Tennessee when these bitter SEC East rivals square off Saturday at The Swamp in Gainesville.

Most books opened Florida (1-1 straight up, 0-2 against the spread) as a 14.5-point favorite Sunday night. However, by late Wednesday morning, most shops had the Gators favored by -17 with a total of 47.5. Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +600 return (risk $100 to win $600).

Will Muschamp’s team has had two weeks to shake off a gut-wrenching 21-16 loss at Miami as a three-point road favorite. UF nearly doubled up the Hurricanes in total offense but went down nonetheless due to five turnovers, Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Florida Gators SEC Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/18/13

09.18.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Feel much better about how these numbers have honed in on the market. Many of last week’s numbers were very close to nailing this week’s openers (or first line moves off an opener). When they didn’t, it was due to a common-sense adjustment from a Saturday result, or an injury to a quarterback. Think we’re mostly there. Not all the way there, particularly in the bottom third where there seems to be more volatility (and less raw confidence from all involved)

If this is your first visit to the site…I’m trying to estimate college football “Power Ratings” as represented by the lines posted in the betting markets. These aren’t my personal opinions of teams. This is my estimate of how “the market” as a composite must be rating the teams based on the lines we’re seeing now and have been seeing recently. I start by creating couplets based on the line for each game, using 3 points of value for home field advantage. Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies

09.18.2013     06:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
SMU at Texas A&M
Saturday, 4 pm PT – ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -26.5 O/U 82
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -28.5 O/U 79
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Texas A&M -30.5
Andrew Lange’s Recommendation: Texas A&M 1st half

SMU can have all the bye weeks and time to prepare in the world and it still won't save them from getting beat up by Texas A&M. No question the Aggies are in a bad spot and as we saw last week with Michigan following the Notre Dame game, no one is immune to a letdown. But to me, there is a class and coaching difference that outweighs the situational.

In Week 1, which should have been SMU's Super Bowl as they were fortunate enough to host an in-state foe from a BCS conference, the Mustangs laid a big egg in a 41-23 loss to Texas Tech. Statistically the Mustangs were right there but the end result was nothing more than the Red Raiders Read more


Tags: College Football SMU Mustangs AAC Texas A&M Aggies SEC Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: What to do with bad football teams?

09.17.2013     12:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We're through Week 3 of the college football season and for a few teams it's been a struggle. Some of those struggles oddsmakers and bettors spotted well in advance while others weren't as obvious. Let's take a look at some of these teams and decide whether or not they have "bet on" potential moving forward.

Wake Forest (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) - For years the Demon Deacons fielded a competitive team with pointspread value under long-time head coach Jim Grobe. But the program has unquestionably deteriorated with records of 5-7, 3-9, 6-7, and 5-7 the last four years. Even with solid turnover margins of +8 and +9 – a staple under Grobe –the last two seasons, Wake looks outmanned and slow compared to the rest of the ACC. They're off to a 1-2 start and once again can't run the football (86.3 ypg) or find consistency in the passing game with senior Tanner Price. This is likely a do-or-die season Grobe and I don't see many more chances for straight up wins on the schedule. This week's price of -3 at Army tells us all we need to know about Wake's place in the betting markets.

Florida International (0-3 SU/ATS) - Pretty Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Podcast 9-17-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

09.17.2013     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron. Brian recapped Week 3 College Football (SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC) and Ian did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - CFB Week 3 Recap: SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC

Ian Cameron - CFB Week 3 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Rob Veno Ian Cameron




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Bengals win and cover vs. Steelers

09.17.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Not exactly the most exhilarating Monday Nighter. The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals have played some bruising battles recently…and it was that kind of game again. You’ll see in the linescore that Cincinnati won by playing a cleaner game…and it was that cleaner game allowed them to win time of possession by more than 11 minutes.

Cincinnati 20 (-6), Pittsburgh 10

Pittsburgh: 278 yards, 5.1 per-play, 2 turnovers, 25% third downs

Cincinnati: 407 yards, 5.2 per-play, 0 turnovers, 41% third downs

On a per-play basis, they were virtually equal. Cincinnati moved the chains more effectively, which allowed them to keep the ball longer. Pittsburgh finished 3 of 12 on third down conversions…but it was 1 of 10 before they nailed a couple of irrelevant ones on their final drive that ran the clock out. Pittsburgh was only 10% when the game was being decided.

Other Numbers

Rushing Read more


Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals Stat Intelligence



39

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 30, 2014 03:52 PM.