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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NBA Moneyburners!

01.13.2014     12:18 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took an in-depth look at five of the biggest moneymakers in the NBA through the first half of the season.  This week I’m going to focus on the teams at the other end of the spectrum – bottom feeders and disappointments.  I’ll break down the three biggest money-losers of the season thusfar.  And I’ll take a look at a ‘morpher’; a team playing significantly worse than current market projections.

I’ll start with the three teams that can be collectively called ‘the hopeless trio’.  It’s hard to make money betting on the very worst teams in any sport, and the NBA is certainly no exception.  And there’s no question who the very worst team in the NBA is this year, because they have both the worst SU record in the league (7-29) and the worst pointspread mark (12-24 ATS).  That team?  The Milwaukee Bucks!

Bucks head coach Larry Drew has never coached a bottom feeder before.  He walked into a good situation in Atlanta with the Hawks, who made the playoffs all three years that he was coaching the team.  Here in Milwaukee, the playoffs Read more



Tags: NBA Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Philadelphia 76ers Miami Heat Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Monmouth Hawks at Canisius Golden Griffins

01.12.2014     08:39 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monmouth +10.5 at Canisius
Recommendation: Monmouth


Familiarity between these new MAAC opponents will be minimal since they have not faced each other yet this season. Youthful Monmouth squad has gone to a unique lineup which features three guards and a pair of 6’10” true freshman centers. Using a pair of big men in an up-tempo system (73.0 possessions per game overall, 74.8 in league play) wouldn’t seem to be a good fit but with this alignment, Monmouth won at high octane Niagara Friday night 85-74. Head coach King Rice is confident that playing the duo of Chris Brady and Zac Tillman together will continue to make the Hawks better. Monmouth shot 63% from the field in the win but that’s far above their poor season average of 39.5%. Defensively, they’ve been sound over the past eight games allowing only Quinnipiac to shoot above 44% from the field.

Canisius played their third consecutive tight contest Friday night defeating Rider in double OT 94-91 on a buzzer beating three by star Billy Baron. The Golden Griffins haven’t had much trouble offensively in conference play averaging 79.6 ppg on 46.9% shooting Read more



Tags: College Basketball Monmouth Hawks Canisius Golden Griffins Rob Veno




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Xavier Musketeers at Creighton Bluejays

01.12.2014     08:26 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Xavier +8.5 at Creighton O/U 142
Recommendation: Xavier


Xavier has been an underdog three times this season, compiling a 3-0 spread record with a pair of outright wins vs. Cincinnati (64-47) and at Alabama (77-74). The only outright defeat came in a 77-74 loss to Iowa in overtime as a six-point underdog.

Chris Mack's team has a 13-3 straight-up record and a 10-4 against-the-spread mark. Xavier will take an eight-game winning streak into Omaha on Sunday to face Creighton. Most books have the Bluejays favored by -8.5.

Xavier has the better RPI (#27) compared to Creighton (#35). The Musketeers have covered the spread in six consecutive games, including triumphs over Marquette, Butler and St. John's to start 3-0 in their debut season in the Big East.

Xavier has played a tough schedule with a pair of wins over RPI Top-50 opponents, including a win over Tennessee. The Musketeers have won seven of 10 games versus foes in the RPI's Top 100. They have only lost one game by more than six, a 64-49 defeat against Tennessee when the Vols were in revenge mode.

Creighton won't be at full strength. Sixth-year senior guard Grant Read more



Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Creighton Bluejays Brian Edwards




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings

01.10.2014     11:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Orlando +7.5 at Sacramento O/U 205.5
Recommendation: Orlando


I can certainly understand why the betting markets have installed the Magic as 7.5-point underdogs in their matchup at Sacramento tonight.  The Magic have the second worst record in the NBA; only Milwaukee’s is worse.  Orlando is 3-14 SU on the highway, and they’ve been blown out in each of the first two games of this grueling West Coast swing. 

To make matters worse for Jacques Vaughn’s squad, they’re playing without their lone low post presence, center Nikola Vucevic; the only true center on the roster.  That leaves the likes of Big Baby Davis, Andrew Nicholson and Jason Maxiell to bang with DeMarcus Cousins in the paint; an undersized and under-talented trio. 

But for all of those negatives, I have one thing to say: 0-10 ATS.  Sacramento has been favored ten previous times this year.  Their next pointspread cover in this role will be their first.  And just about every team the Kings have been favored against during this remarkable run has a similar story to that of Orlando; teams with flaws, Read more



Tags: NBA Orlando Magic Sacramento Kings Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Divisional Round

01.09.2014     01:01 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Before getting to the drive point averages and estimated market Power Ratings, I wanted to point something that I haven’t seen mentioned anywhere yet in playoff coverage. Maybe it’s been mentioned…it’s not like I see everything out there. But, I don’t get the sense that much is being made of this reality yet in the NFC brackets.

*The four remaining NFC teams saw a lot of each other this year

*They played nothing but grinders against each other

It wasn't much of a secret during the year that Seattle, San Francisco, Carolina, and New Orleans were the top four teams in the NFC. There was debate about how the last three rated amongst each other. Some computer places fell too much in love with Philadelphia’s penchant for running up the stats against a soft schedule. And, Arizona may have crashed the party in some circles. But, the “big four” were pretty clear, and kept running into each other because the NFC South played the Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Marquette Golden Eagles at Xavier Musketeers

01.09.2014     10:45 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Marquette at Xavier -4 O/U 132
Recommendation: Xavier


The Xavier Musketeers have flown under the radar this season despite a 12-3 SU, 9-4 ATS start. And we know they have owned a very strong home court advantage at the Cintas Center at 11-0 SU, 7-2 ATS. Xavier notched a pair of home wins to open Big East play against St. John’s and Butler winning each of those games by 10 and 11 points respectively. The Musketeers have gotten terrific point guard play from Semaj Christon who is averaging 14.7 points per game and 20 assists without committing a single turnover in the team’s last three home games. They’ve also done a good job of preparing for conference play by facing a litany of quality foes in non-conference play: Tennessee (twice), Iowa, USC, Cincinnati and Alabama.

Marquette was put through the ringer themselves in a difficult non-conference schedule with games against Wisconsin, San Diego State, New Mexico and Arizona State. But the Golden Eagles didn’t exactly pass those tests with flying colors. They were 0-4 SU in those games all away from home and when you combine that with their ugly 67-49 road loss at Read more



Tags: College Basketball Marquette Golden Eagles Xavier Musketeers Ian Cameron




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys

01.08.2014     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas +12.5 at Oklahoma State
Recommendation: Texas


This isn’t a bet against Oklahoma State as much as it is a bet on Texas.  The Longhorns have made believers out of me, despite their youth, with no seniors and only one junior on Rick Barnes’ squad this year.  But we’ve seen Texas hang tough away from home, gutting out tough road wins at Temple and North Carolina; blowing out DePaul and hanging tough with BYU for the full 40 minutes at the Sprint Center in Kansas City. 

Texas is not a team to lay points with, as we saw in their home loss to Oklahoma on Saturday – they seem to play up or down to their level of competition.  But they covered wire-to-wire in both previous tries as an underdog away from home; a track record that comes into play again tonight.

Texas has extraordinary talent even though they’re young, with five guys averaging in double figures.  They’ve got a defensive mindset, holding foes to 39% shooting for the season.  And the Longhorns are massive in the low post with Cameron Ridley, Jonathan Holmes, Prince Ibeh and Connor Lammert all taking up Read more



Tags: College Basketball Texas Longhorns Oklahoma State Cowboys Teddy Covers




BCS Championship Betting Recap: Florida State wins but Auburn gets the cash

01.07.2014     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Great game! You probably watched. No need to rehash the play-by-play. Let’s see what the numbers say about the evening…

Florida State 34, Auburn (+11) 31

Florida State: 385 yards, 5.8 per-play, 1 turnovers, 17% third downs

Auburn : 462 yards, 5.8 per-play, 1 turnovers, 56% third downs

Other Numbers

Florida State: 148 rush, 20-35-0-237 passing, 17 drive points, 24 stat score, 20 sloppiness

Auburn: 232 rush, 14-27-1-230 passing, 17 drive points, 31 stat score, 18 sloppiness

Auburn got the best of it when it was offense vs. defense, which was a big surprise. In fact, they scored exactly what they were supposed to based on stat score (2 times rushing, plus passing, times 0.67, divided by 15). Florida State’s kickoff return TD saved the day for the Seminoles. Throw that in, and stat score becomes a 31-all tie in a game that ended 34-31.

Auburn jumped to a 21-3 lead against a seemingly Read more



Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC Florida State Seminoles ACC Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: South Carolina irked about underdog status vs. Wisconsin

01.01.2014     05:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin -2 vs. South Carolina O/U 51

Looks like South Carolina got word it's an underdog to a Big Ten squad.


"I was a little surprised," Badgers linebacker Chris Borland said this week. "We're confident that we're going to win. It's just this huge SEC bias out there that they're a great conference, which they are. But, yeah, I was surprised."

"I don't want to sound like a cocky type of guy, but I just kind of take it as a slap in the face," Sutton said this week. "We as a team collectively, we work hard and we bust our butts at practice every day and listen to what the coaches tell us to do. For us to be the highly ranked team coming into this game and be labeled as the underdog, we kind of take it as a slap in the face as a team

Read more



Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks SEC Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




Outback Bowl Betting Preview: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. LSU Tigers

01.01.2014     05:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa vs LSU
Outback Bowl - Tampa, Fla.
Wednesday, 10 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
LSU -7 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current: LSU -7.5 O/U 49
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -10
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: LSU

Kirk Ferentz has always had a tough time recruiting top notch talent to play in Iowa City for the Hawkeyes, and it hasn’t gotten easier as the Hawkeyes have fallen into mediocrity (or worse) in recent seasons.  Iowa hasn’t won more than eight games in a season since 2009.

This year they lost all three of their step-up-in-class games this year by double digit margins; blasted by Ohio State, Michigan State and Wisconsin.  Their problem is plain and simple – talent, or the lack thereof; good enough to beat up on the dregs of the Big 10, but not good enough to compete with the elites.

And make no mistake about it – LSU is elite, even with frosh QB Anthony Jennings Read more



Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten LSU Tigers SEC Teddy Covers



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