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College Basketball Handicapping: Creighton looks to avoid letdown vs. Akron
12.09.2012 07:09 AM
Printer Friendly
Akron
at
Creighton
-10.5
Looks as if we weren't the only ones to spot a
potential letdown
for Creighton today. After losing to Boise State on their home floor, the Blue Jays bounced back with blowout wins over St. Joe's and rival Nebraska. They have a huge road game against California next week but before that they play host (and are laying double-digits) to a pesky and veteran Akron squad.
“Sounds like a trap game to me,” he said, smiling. “I think we’ve gone through that already.”
“There’s not going to be an opportunity for us to just roll out there and get a win. We have to be totally prepared and executing, and I think guys are realizing that as we face these tough games early in the year.”
“That was a good wake-up call for us. We would have rather have won that game, but it
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Tags:
College Basketball
Creighton Blue Jays
Akron Zips
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Butler Bulldogs at Northwestern Wildcats
12.08.2012 08:39 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Butler
at
Northwestern
-1.5 O/U 128.5
Recommendation: Under
I view Northwestern's 74-point, 68-possession performance at Baylor last time out as an outlier of what we can expect from the Wildcats for much of the season. Prior to that, in games against TCU, Illinois State, Maryland and UIC, Northwestern failed to top a point per possession or shoot over 45% eFG%. I made a play on Northwestern/Maryland UNDER the other day and was done in by a wild flurry of points from the Terps to start the second half. For 35 minutes, that contest played in the low 120's. And that is what I expect to see tonight against Butler. Of those four previously mentioned teams, the Bulldogs play arguably the best team defense of the bunch. Meaning, they aren't going to get carved up by Northwestern's backdoor cuts or consistently allow them open looks from three. This contest may not even top 60 possessions. If that's the case, then both teams are going to need to have above average
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Tags:
College Basketball
Butler Bulldogs
Northwestern Wildcats
Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Handicapping: UCLA unable to commit to man-to-man defense
12.07.2012 08:04 AM
Printer Friendly
UCLA has been forced to play a lot more
zone defense
in order to mask the teams' deficiencies. Head coach Ben Howland has always been a supporter of man-to-man defense but for a second straight year he’s reluctant to commit to it on a full time basis. In UCLA's three losses it allowed 1.09 points per possession or more and well above 50% effective FG%. The Bruins face Texas in Houston on Saturday.
"I think we can (be a good man defense), but I think we've got a lot of work to do," Howland said after the 83-60 victory. "I think we've got to be able to mix it up and keep people off balance by changing defenses with this group. But we've got to continue to evolve defensively in our man. ... We've got to be able to switch up and play man on teams that shoot the ball well."
"We've got a little ways to go," senior forward David Wear said. "We need to stop the lapses on defense. ... Especially in games coming up like Texas or Missouri. And once we start getting into conference play too, we know we're not going to be able
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College Basketball Gambling: Plenty of points expected in Iowa-Iowa State matchup
12.07.2012 07:11 AM
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Iowa State
at
Iowa
-2 O/U 151.5
The annual Cy-Hawk rivalry goes tonight with Iowa State traveling to Iowa City. The Cyclones have won
three straight in the series
. The betting markets are expecting another up-tempo affair with the total now 151.5 after opening 147.5. ISU won last year's meeting in Ames, 86-76 (71 possessions).
"Every day," Lucious said, "Football, basketball — no matter what the sport is — everyone talks about Iowa State wanting to beat Iowa or Iowa wanting to beat Iowa State, so it’s going to be intense."
“We’ve got to cut that down, especially if we want to compete on Friday,” Hoiberg said of his team giving the ball away. “If we want to have a chance, we can’t turn the ball over 20 times. We’ll get blown out if we do that. We have to
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College Basketball Handicapping: Defending the three-point shot
12.06.2012 02:23 PM
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Good read from Ken Pomeroy on how teams'
three-point percentage defense
is essentially a random stat. Pomeroy feels that not allowing opponents to shoot three-pointers is a far better indication of defensive prowess on the perimeter.
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College Basketball Gambling Free Pick: Santa Barbara Gauchos at San Diego State Aztecs
12.06.2012 11:51 AM
ICC
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Submitted by ICC
Cal-Santa Barbara
at
San Diego State
-15
Recommendation: San Diego State
I have enjoyed a few winners betting against UC Santa Barbara this season and I was also able to cash a ticket betting on San Diego State in their win in Anaheim against UCLA on Saturday. I think tonight’s road game at San Diego offers another great opportunity to fade the Gauchos.
Don’t be fooled by UCSB’s last and only road win of the season against Santa Clara, 83-80 in OT. The Broncos were terrible in that game. Santa Clara shot only 36% from the floor and were plagued by turnovers and foul trouble. UCSB had a rare hot shooting night pouring in the basketball at a 45.3% clip from the floor but that’s been the exception, not the rule for the Gauchos this season. In their other games, they failed to score more than 72 points against Division I competition. UCSB has been annihilated in every other road game besides the Santa Clara game
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College Basketball Handicapping: Providence down to six players vs. Rhode Island
12.06.2012 10:25 AM
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Rhode Island
at
Providence
-7
Providence is expected to be without the services of leading scorer Bryce Cotton for tonight's game against rival Rhode Island. Assuming Cotton doesn't play, the Friars will have
one bench player
.
“Obviously, I’m not concerned with the guys that are not playing,” Providence coach Ed Cooley told SNY.tv. “I think those guys have a chance to be good. I’m more focused in on the guys that are playing.”
“The MRI was good, now he’s just really, really sore,” Cooley said. “He’ll be doubtful, he probably won’t play.”
“Think about it, I got one sub right now,” Cooley said.
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Vanderbilt Commodores at Xavier Musketeers
12.06.2012 07:53 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Vanderbilt
at
Xavier
-11 O/U 129
Recommendation: Under
Vanderbilt is in an obvious rebuilding year and as a result we've seen a dramatic change in style. The Commodores have really struggled to score and have no choice but to try and slow down the pace of their games. Their last four contests have featured 62, 60, 62, and 62 possessions. Bottom line is Vanderbilt is not going to win any games by outscoring the competition. Xavier too went through a lot of offseason transformation and as a result isn't comfortable playing at the pace of previous editions. The Musketeers played a few moderate scoring affairs on neutral courts but I looked to home games against Butler and Robert Morris as a better indication of how this team will play tonight. Against the Bulldogs, Xavier grinded out a 62-47 win with only 57 possessions. Against Robert Morris, a similar result with a 61-59 win and only 59 possessions. Last time out against Purdue, it was another ugly affair with
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Boise State Broncos at Utah Utes
12.05.2012 11:27 AM
ICC
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Submitted by ICC
Boise State
-6 at
Utah
Recommendation: Boise State
Boise State has been an ATS machine in recent games. The Broncos are 6-1 SU, 4-2 ATS and all those old problems of not being able to win games and cover pointspreads on the highway may just be a thing of the past. Boise State took Michigan State down to the wire in East Lansing in a 74-70 loss, easily covering as 15-point road underdogs. In an early season shocker, Boise State took down Creighton in Omaha by 13 points as 13-point road dogs. And in their last game, there was no letdown for the Broncos who demolished Seattle on the road 87-64 as 9-point road chalk.
Boise State is led by the backcourt duo of Anthony Drmic and Derrick Marks who have combined for 34.6 ppg this season on a Broncos team that can flat out score at will. Boise State has scored no less than 70 points in all but one of those games including topping the 80-point mark four times including in that whopping upset at Creighton.
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Sports Betting Podcast 12-5-2012 with Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning
12.05.2012 09:58 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning. Brent tackled the college hoops slate for tonight while Erin covered the NBA.
Today's segments
Full Show
Brent Crow - College Basketball EGOTB
Erin Rynning - NBA EGOTB
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Brent Crow
Erin Rynning
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