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College Football Handicapping: Early line moves for Week 5

09.25.2013     07:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Let’s take a look at some of the early line moves for this week’s college football action.

UConn at Buffalo
CRIS Opener: UConn -2.5
CRIS Current: Buffalo -1
Comment: Buffalo comes in off of a bye week. UConn hung tough against Michigan but a lot of it had to do with the Wolverines committing four turnovers.

UAB at Vanderbilt
CRIS Opener: Vanderbilt -23
CRIS Current: Vanderbilt -19.5
Comment: Oddsmakers and bettors don't seem to be on the same page when it comes to the Commodores. Last week against UMass, Vandy opened -36, closed -29 and the Minutemen covered rather easily.

Iowa at Minnesota
CRIS Opener: Minnesota -3.5
CRIS Current: Iowa -1
Comment: Gophers off to a strong 4-0 start but have yet to be tested. If Minny goes off as the favorite it will mark the first time doing so vs. a Big Ten opponent since 2009.

Arizona at Washington
CRIS Opener: Washington -7
CRIS Current: Washington -10
Comment: Arizona comes in off a bye week but has played arguably the softest schedule in the country: Northern Arizona, Read more

Tags: College Football Andrew Lange

College Football Betting: Virginia Tech not happy with having to play Georgia Tech on short rest

09.25.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech -7 O/U 42

Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster venting some frustration of having to play Georgia Tech on short rest. Since Paul Johnson took over in 2008 there has been only one situation where a team had less than seven days to prepare for Tech: In 2009 GT lost to Clemson 30-27 but covered as a 5-point underdog.

“I think it’s totally absurd, ludicrous…whoever scheduled this game, whether it’s TV, it’s totally – it’s not right,” Foster said. “If they’re looking for safety of the kids, this is not right, especially in a game with this kind of opponent or you’re playing off of a short week. It’s just not right.

“I’m not saying we should always have seven or eight days to prepare for Georgia Tech. I don’t care who it Read more

Tags: College Football Virginia Tech Hokies Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC

NCAA Football Handicapping: Southern Miss wants to avoid track meet vs. Boise State

09.25.2013     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Southern Miss at Boise State -28 O/U 56.5

Still in the infant stages of adjusting to Todd Monken's offense, it sounds as if Southern Miss isn't going to tempt fate and push the pace during Saturday's game at Boise State. The Golden Eagles are averaging less than 70 plays per game and ranked 114th in total offense at 312.7 ypg. The Broncos meanwhile have had the pedal to the floor with 85 plays per game including 100 in last week's 41-40 loss at Fresno.

“That’s what you’re going to get when you have a team like Fresno (State), who went no-huddle, and Boise, which was also having success (last week),” Monken said Monday. “But that’s not normal, I don’t care even if you go no-huddle. So I don’t anticipate we’ll get to that, but it can Read more

Tags: College Football Southern Miss Golden Eagles C-USA Boise State Broncos Mountain West

College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/24/2013

09.24.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I think most of you reading this know the drill by now. What you see below is my estimate of how “the market” has college football teams rated at this point in the season. And, by “the market,” I mean the combination of oddsmakers and sharps (leaving out the often-misguided public as best as possible). These are based on the current pointspreads at writing time, allotting 3 points for home field advantage.

This isn’t how I personally rate the teams. It’s my estimate of “market Power Ratings” if they existed in a tangible form.

An early number came up in Las Vegas last week for a hypothetical matchup between Alabama and Oregon. That line was Alabama -3, which represents how oddsmakers would rate the game. What would sharps do once big limits were available on a game like that? My scale estimates that sharps would take Oregon. They seem to be betting Oregon hand over fist this year…and Alabama is struggling to play Read more

Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence

College Football Gambling: Washington thriving with new up-tempo offense

09.24.2013     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Arizona at Washington -8 O/U 63.5

Good article on Washington's switch to an up-tempo offense. Through three games, the Huskies are averaging nearly 84 plays per game. Last season they averaged 69.5. It was last season's 52-17 loss at Arizona and some past conversation with Texas A&M's Kevin Sumlin that convinced Steve Sarkisian that the timing was right to start playing faster.

“I felt like Arizona’s tempo got us,’’ Sarkisian said Monday. “This is part of the reason we’re doing what we’re doing offensively is to prepare for this game, so that when teams go to this up-tempo style against us, we don’t become uncomfortable on Read more

Tags: College Football Washington Huskies Arizona Wildcats PAC-12

College Football Betting: USC as been a dead nuts UNDER team

09.24.2013     11:47 AM     Printer Friendly
USC has gone under the total in all four of its games this season. Here are some of the Trojans' numbers stacked up against the rest of the up-tempo PAC-12.

Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12

College Football Betting Podcast 9-24-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno

09.24.2013     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno. Brian recapped Week 4 College Football (SEC, ACC, AAC) and RobIan did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC, MWC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - CFB Week 4 Recap: SEC, ACC, AAC

Rob Veno - CFB Week 4 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC, MWC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards Rob Veno

NFL Betting Recap: Denver Broncos drill Oakland Raiders

09.24.2013     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Numbers and notes from Denver’s easy win over Oakland…

Denver 37 (-16), Oakland 21

Oakland: 342 yards, 6.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 42% third downs

Denver : 536 yards, 7.3 per-play, 3 turnovers, 56% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: Oakland 49, Denver 164

Passing Stats: Oakland 21-31-0-293, Denver 32-37-0-372

Drive Points: Oakland 14, Denver 21

Stat Score: Oakland 17, Denver 31

Sloppiness: Oakland 15, Denver 10

Pace Factor: 147 (offensive plays…plus penalties…plus punts…plus FG attempts)

You can tell that Peyton Manning was doing whatever he wanted to. What a passing line! His teammates kept fumbling the ball away. That plus some relaxation from the defense is how a 30-7 third quarter clubbing turned into a finish that put the game near the Vegas spread. Oakland’s offensive numbers were helped by that extended garbage time. Read more

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Denver Broncos Stat Intelligence

College Football Betting: Colorado prepares for Oregon State after three weeks off

09.24.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Colorado at Oregon State -10.5 O/U 60.5

Unique situation for Colorado after having its game against Fresno State canceled followed with a bye week before traveling to Oregon State.

"Hopefully, we'll have fresh legs," coach Mike MacIntyre said after Monday's practice. "We're still getting in that game mode, that game thing where you click in and don't get as tired sometimes. We've been trying to practice hard. We've been trying to run to the football. We've been trying to go high tempo, to keep that energy going.

"But there's nothing like simulating a game."

Tags: College Football Oregon State Beavers Colorado Buffaloes PAC-12

College Football Handicapping: Week 5 Bye Teams

09.24.2013     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
Below is a list of Week 5's college football bye week teams.

2013 College Football Week 5 Bye Teams
CRIS Opener
CRIS Current
Ole Miss
at Alabama
Alabama -13.5
Alabama -16
South Carolina
at UCF
South Carolina -8.5
South Carolina -7.5 (-105)
vs. Florida
Florida -12.5
Florida -13
vs. Miami (OH)
Illinois -24
Illinois -24 (-115)
Oklahoma State
at West Virginia
Oklahoma State -17
Oklahoma State -18.5
at Notre Dame
Oklahoma -2.5
Oklahoma -3 (-120)
vs. SMU
TCU -19.5
TCU -20
Iowa State
at Tulsa (Thu.)
Tulsa -4
Tulsa -2.5 (-114)
Boston College
vs. Florida State
Florida State -23
Florida State -21
vs. California
Oregon -31
Oregon -36.5
at Oregon
Oregon -31
Oregon -36.5
at Washington
Washington -7
Washington -8
at Oregon State
Oregon State -10.5
Oregon State -10.5
vs. South Carolina
South Carolina -8.5
South Carolina -7.5 (-105)
vs. Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) -20
Miami (FL) -19
at Idaho
Temple -10.5
Temple -8
New Mexico
vs. UNLV
New Mexico pk
UNLV -2.5
East Carolina
at North Carolina
North Carolina -10
North Carolina -12
Southern Miss
at Boise State
Boise State -28.5
Boise State -27.5
vs. Iowa State (Thu.)
Tulsa -4
Tulsa -2.5 (-114)
at Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky pk
Navy -3 (-105)
vs. UConn
UConn -2.5
UConn -2
South Alabama
at Tennessee
Tennessee -21
Tennessee -19.5

Tags: College Football


Page 39 of 284
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