Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers. The opinion on a number of these teams has changed dramatically. Florida State hasn't exactly been challenged, outscoring its first three opponents 176-3. The Seminoles lost at Clemson last year 35-30 as 2.5-point underdogs yet are as high as -14 for Saturday's matchup. USC's stock took a hit after losing at Stanford 21-14. The Trojans are 0-3 ATS and ranked 62nd nationally in total defense. Bettors don't want any part of Auburn after an 0-3 ATS start. They needed overtime to beat UL-Monroe at home last weekend. And Notre Dame is back in the good graces of the betting markets after racking up a 20-3 win at Michigan State. The Irish have been bet up to as high a -7 (ev) vs. Michigan.

2012 Week 4 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS

Away Home Golden Nugget CRIS Opener/Current Kansas State Oklahoma Oklahoma -16 Oklahoma -14.5/-14 Michigan Notre Dame Notre Dame -1 Notre Dame -5/-6.5 LSU Auburn LSU -10.5 LSU -17.5/-18.5 Clemson Florida State Florida State -8 Florida State -12/-14 Missouri South Carolina South Carolina -5 South Carolina -9.5/-9.5 California USC USC -24 USC -17/-16

By the betting numbers...College Football Week 3 (see results below). Note that we use CRIS's opening and closing lines. We do not include games involving FCS teams.

Based on closing lines…

Home teams were the strongest side bet at 27-19 ATS (Road teams are 63-61 ATS YTD).

Underdogs and favorites split at 23-23 (Underdogs are 67-61 ATS YTD). One game pushed (UConn -3 at Maryland).

Double-digits spreads went the way of the favorites at 16-12 ATS (DD underdogs are 39-36 ATS YTD).

Totals went 27-19-1 Over/Under (68-63-2 YTD).

Beating the Market: If you bet the opening number on a team that moved three points or more based on the closing line (i.e. UConn pk) you went: 7-2 ATS (15-16 ATS YTD)

Chasing the Market: If you bet the closing number on a team that moved three points or more (i.e. UConn -3) you went: 6-2-1 ATS (13-17-1 ATS YTD).

Based on the opening and closing lines, the market was "correct" 23 times but "incorrect" 16 times. "Correct" meaning if a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite won by 7, the market was “correct.” If a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite lost outright, the market was obviously "incorrect." Note that in eight games, the game opened and closed at the same number.
 
Parlay combo breakdown (45 games) (124 games YTD)
Favorite-Over: 14 (38 YTD)
Favorite-Under: 9 (22 YTD)
Underdog-Over: 12 (27 YTD)
Underdog-Under: 10 (39 YTD)

Note that we did not include pick ‘em lines and pushes in our parlay combos.

2012 College Football Week 3 Betting Recap

Away Team Home Team Open Close Final ATS O/U Close Rutgers South Florida USF -9.5 USF -8 RUT 23, USF 13 Underdog Under 44.5 Washington State UNLV WSU -10.5 WSU -9.5 WSU 35, UNLV 27 Underdog Over 55.5 Navy Penn State PSU -6.5 PSU -6.5 PSU 34, NAVY 7 Favorite Under 48 Massachusetts Michigan MICH -45.5 MICH -45.5 MICH 63, UMASS 13 Favorite Over 54.5 Boston College Northwestern NW -4 NW -4 NW 22, BC 13 Favorite Under 55 Eastern Michigan Purdue PUR -22 PUR -23.5 PUR 54, EMU 16 Favorite Over 49.5 Northern Illinois Army NIU -1.5 NIU -3 NIU 41, ARMY 40 Underdog Over 49 Wake Forest Florida State FSU -25 FSU -27.5 FSU 52, WAKE 0 Favorite Over 51 Connecticut Maryland MARY pk UConn -3 UCONN 24, MARY 21 Push Over 39 Texas A&M SMU TA&M -10.5 TA&M -10 TA&M 48, SMU 3 Favorite Under 60.5 Virginia Tech Pittsburgh VT -10.5 VT -10 PITT 35, VT 17 Underdog Over 45 USC Stanford USC -9 USC -9.5 STAN 21, USC 14 Underdog Under 56 East Carolina Southern Miss USM -8 USM -7 ECU 24, USM 14 Underdog Under 56.5 California Ohio State OSU -16 OSU -17 OSU 35, CAL 28 Underdog Over 55 Texas Mississippi TEX -12 TEX -10.5 TEX 66, MISS 31 Favorite Over 51 Arizona State Missouri MIZ -8.5 MIZ -3.5 MIZZ 24, ASU 20 Favorite Over 60.5 BYU Utah BYU -3.5 BYU -3.5 UTAH 24, BYU 21 Underdog Push 45 North Carolina Louisville UL -3.5 UL -3 LOU 39, UNC 34 Favorite Over 56 Virginia Georgia Tech GT -11 GT -10 GT 56, UVA 20 Favorite Over 52 Alabama Arkansas ALA -15.5 ALA -21 ALA 52, ARK 0 Favorite Over 49 Miami (OH) Boise State BSU -19 BSU -21 BSU 39, MOH 12 Favorite Under 54 TCU Kansas TCU -22 TCU -18.5 TCU 20, KU 6 Underdog Under 58.5 Rice Louisiana Tech LT -21 LT -21 LT 56, RICE 37 Underdog Over 67.5 Western Michigan Minnesota MINN -4 MINN -3 MIN 28, WMU 23 Favorite Under 55.5 Bowling Green Toledo TOL -6.5 TOL -3 TOL 27, BG 15 Favorite Under 61 UAB South Carolina SC -33.5 SC -33.5 USC 49, UAB 6 Favorite Over 54 Ohio Marshall OU -6.5 OU -5.5 OU 27, MAR 24 Underdog Under 66.5 New Mexico Texas Tech TTU -32 TTU -32 TTU 49, UNM 14 Favorite Under 65.5 Florida Tennessee TN pk TN -3.5 FLA 37, UT 20 Underdog Under 47.5 Colorado State San Jose State SJSU -12.5 SJSU -11.5 SJSU 40, CSU 20 Favorite Over 48 Utah State Wisconsin UW-13.5 UW -14 UW 16, USU 14 Underdog Under 51.5 Idaho LSU LSU -42 LSU -42 LSU 63, IDA 14 Favorite Over 52 Notre Dame Michigan State MSU -4 MSU -4.5 ND 20, MSU 3 Underdog Under 44 Ball State Indiana IU -3.5 IU -2.5 BSU 41, IU 39 Underdog Over 64 Colorado Fresno State FSU -14 FSU -14.5 FSU 69, CU 14 Favorite Over 56.5 New Mexico State UTEP UTEP -12.5 UTEP -14 UTEP 41, NMSU 28 Underdog Over 58.5 Houston UCLA UCLA -18 UCLA -17 UCLA 37, HOU 6 Favorite Under 75 Florida Atlantic Georgia UGA -44.5 UGA -41.5 UGA 56, FAU 20 Underdog Over 52.5 Arkansas State Nebraska NEB -24 NEB -23.5 NEB 42, ASU 13 Favorite Under 67 South Alabama NC State NCST -33 NCST -29.5 NCST 31, USA 7 Underdog Under 50 Florida International Central Florida UCF -15 UCF -14.5 UCF 33, FIU 20 Underdog Over 49.5 Louisiana-Lafayette Oklahoma State OSU -21 OSU -23 OSU 65, ULL 24 Favorite Over 73 North Texas Kansas State KSU -28.5 KSU -27.5 KSU 35, NT 21 Underdog Over 55 Middle Tennessee Memphis MSTU -2.5 MTSU -5.5 MTSU 48, MEM 30 Favorite Over 54.5 Western Kentucky Kentucky KEN -5.5 KEN -6.5 WKU 32, UK 31 OT Underdog Over 50 Mississippi State Troy MSU -16 MSU -14.5 MSU 30, TROY 24 Underdog Under 58.5 Louisiana-Monroe Auburn AUB -15.5 AUB -14.5 AUB 31, ULM 28 OT Underdog Over 53

We'll be updating the list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2012 College Football Week 3 2nd Half Kickoff List

Game # Away Team Home Team Receive 2nd half kick 107 Navy Penn State Navy 109 Massachusetts Michigan Massachusetts 111 Boston College Northwestern Boston College 113 Eastern Michigan Purdue Purdue 115 Northern Illinois Army Northern Illinois 117 Wake Forest Florida State Florida State 119 Connecticut Maryland Maryland 121 Texas A&M SMU SMU 123 Virginia Tech Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 125 USC Stanford USC 127 East Carolina Southern Miss Southern Miss 129 California Ohio State California 131 Texas Mississippi Texas 133 Arizona State Missouri Arizona State 135 BYU Utah BYU 137 North Carolina Louisville Louisville 139 Virginia Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 141 Alabama Arkansas Alabama 143 Miami (OH) Boise State Boise State 145 TCU Kansas Kansas 147 Rice Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 149 Western Michigan Minnesota Western Michigan 151 Bowling Green Toledo Toledo 153 UAB South Carolina South Carolina 155 Ohio Marshall Ohio 157 New Mexico Texas Tech Texas Tech 159 Florida Tennessee Florida 161 Colorado State San Jose State Colorado State 163 Utah State Wisconsin Utah State 165 Idaho LSU LSU 167 Notre Dame Michigan State Michigan State 169 Ball State Indiana Ball State 171 Colorado Fresno State Colorado 173 New Mexico State UTEP UTEP 175 Houston UCLA UCLA 177 Florida Atlantic Georgia Georgia 179 Arkansas State Nebraska Nebraska 181 South Alabama NC State South Alabama 183 Florida International Central Florida Florida International 185 Louisiana-Lafayette Oklahoma State Louisiana-Lafayette 187 North Texas Kansas State North Texas 189 Middle Tennessee Memphis Memphis 191 Western Kentucky Kentucky Western Kentucky 193 Mississippi State Troy Troy 195 Louisiana-Monroe Auburn Auburn

Arizona State at Missouri -3.5 O/U 58.5

We've seen the Arizona State-Missouri line trickle down from -7 earlier today to -3.5/-3. The reason stems from rumors that Missouri quarterback James Franklin will miss the game due to a shoulder injury. Sports Options currently lists him as "questionable." Stay tuned.

Here's a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob Veno's College Football Power Ratings for Week 3.

College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 3

Game # Away Team Home Team CRIS Current RV Power 105 Washington State UNLV Washington State -8 Washington State -12.5 107 Navy Penn State Penn State -7 Penn State -7 109 Massachusetts Michigan Michigan -45.5 Michigan -41 111 Boston College Northwestern Northwestern -3.5 Northwestern -5 113 Eastern Michigan Purdue Purdue -24 Purdue -24 115 Northern Illinois Army Northern Illinois -3 Northern Illinois -7 117 Wake Forest Florida State Florida State -27.5 Florida State -19 119 Connecticut Maryland UConn -3 UConn -6.5 121 Texas A&M SMU Texas A&M -12 Texas A&M -8 123 Virginia Tech Pittsburgh Virginia Tech -10 Virginia Tech -8.5 125 USC Stanford USC -8.5 USC -6 127 East Carolina Southern Miss Southern Miss -7.5 Southern Miss -7 129 California Ohio State Ohio State -16.5 Ohio State -13 131 Texas Mississippi Texas -10 Texas -12 133 Arizona State Missouri Missouri -6 Missouri -6.5 135 BYU Utah BYU -3 Utah -1 137 North Carolina Louisville Louisville -3 North Carolina -0.5 139 Virginia Georgia Tech Georgia Tech -10 Georgia Tech -9 141 Alabama Arkansas Alabama -20 Alabama -13.5 143 Miami (OH) Boise State Boise State -21 Boise State -23.5 145 TCU Kansas TCU -20.5 TCU -10 147 Rice Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech -21 Louisiana Tech -18 149 Western Michigan Minnesota Minnesota -2.5 Minnesota -0.5 151 Bowling Green Toledo Toledo -3.5 Toledo -8.5 153 UAB South Carolina South Carolina -33.5 South Carolina -34.5 155 Ohio Marshall Ohio -6 Ohio -7 157 New Mexico Texas Tech Texas Tech -33 Texas Tech -30.5 159 Florida Tennessee Tennessee -3 Florida -3 161 Colorado State San Jose State San Jose State -10.5 San Jose State -11.5 163 Utah State Wisconsin Wisconsin -13.5 Wisconsin -17 165 Idaho LSU LSU -42.5 LSU -48.5 167 Notre Dame Michigan State Michigan State -5.5 Michigan State -5 169 Ball State Indiana Indiana -3 Indiana -6 171 Colorado Fresno State Fresno State -15.5 Fresno State -15 173 New Mexico State UTEP UTEP -12 UTEP -10.5 175 Houston UCLA UCLA -17 UCLA -11.5 177 Florida Atlantic Georgia Georgia -41.5 Georgia -43.5 179 Arkansas State Nebraska Nebraska -24 Nebraska -23.5 181 South Alabama NC State NC State -31.5 NC State -36.5 183 Florida International Central Florida Central Florida -16.5 Central Florida -16 185 Louisiana-Lafayette Oklahoma State Oklahoma State -22.5 Oklahoma State -24.5 187 North Texas Kansas State Kansas State -28 Kansas State -26.5 189 Middle Tennessee Memphis Middle Tennessee -3.5 Memphis -1 191 Western Kentucky Kentucky Kentucky -7 Kentucky -6.5 193 Mississippi State Troy Mississippi State -16 Mississippi State -18 195 Louisiana-Monroe Auburn Auburn -16.5 Auburn -18