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C-USA Tournament Betting Preview
03.11.2013 03:55 PM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
C-USA Tournament Preview
Top seed Memphis has won six of the last seven conference tournaments but five of those were in the friendly confines of the FedEx Forum. This year's tournament is in Tulsa and the champion will have to win at least three games. Memphis didn't lose a regular season conference game and is obviously headed to the Big Dance regardless of this week's outcome. No. 2 seed Southern Miss is in the at-large discussion but it'll need no less than a title game appearance to be considered. Central Florida would have been the fourth seed but is ineligible for the postseason.
First Round Pick/Darkhorse:
Name a team in college basketball that endured more emotional highs and lows than Marshall. You probably could drum up a similar situation but the Thundering Herd have been there and back and then some this season. What we know about this squad is that on any given day they can beat anyone in the league. Despite its 6-10 league record, Marshall swept Central Florida, just beat No. 2 seed Southern Miss (after losing to the Eagles by 56 in late January), and went on the road to Memphis and lost by 1. They have absolutely
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College Basketball
Andrew Lange
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MAC Tournament Betting Preview
03.11.2013 07:05 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
MAC Tournament Preview
As a result of Toledo's postseason ineligibility, this year's MAC Tournament format is pretty wild. Seeds 6-11 play at campus sites on Monday. The fifth seed, Ball State, received a bye into the second round. No. 4 Kent State and No. 3 Western Michigan received byes in the third round. And then top seeds, No. 1 Akron and No. 2 Ohio won't play until Friday in the semifinals. The big storyline of the tournament is the suspension of Akron point guard Alex Abreu. Heading into March, the Zips were off their second win over Ohio and in the at-large discussion with a stellar record of 23-4 and 13-0 in league play. Akron then lost at Buffalo, Abreu was busted for weed, and they suffered a devastating loss to Kent State at home in the regular season finale. The Zips are talented enough to overcome the loss of their star point guard and win two games but without him, they are far more vulnerable.
First Round Pick:
Egads! Conference tournaments are a tough nut to crack and seemingly produce more random outcomes than any other situation in college basketball (If you have time, Google “Liberty” and
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Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd and East Carolina Pirates
03.09.2013 07:54 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Marshall
at
East Carolina
-6.5
Recommendation: East Carolina
Marshall is not a team that knows how to handle prosperity or be consistent. In the five previous instances in which the Herd was off a conference win, they lost and failed to cover. This past Tuesday was Marshall’s Super Bowl. They had lost to Southern Miss 102-46 earlier in the season and had the rematch circled for over a month. They came up big and beat USM 88-84. Heading into their regular season finale there is little to nothing to play for – and as noted, even when there is something to play for, Marshall doesn't always show up. A slew of things need to happen in order for them to move up the standings and even if that occurs (very unlikely) it still doesn't change the fact that they will need to win a bunch of games to get to the Big Dance. East Carolina already has the No. 4 seed locked up so on the surface it doesn't look like the Pirates have much to play for either. But
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Colonial Conference Tournament Betting Preview
03.08.2013 12:48 PM
Andrew Lange
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Colonial Conference Tournament Preview
What a year for the Colonial! Perennial heavyweight VCU bolted for the A-10. Old Dominion, who won back-to-back tournament titles in 2010 and 2011 and reached the semifinals last year, went 5-25 and fired its coach midseason. Preseason favorite George Mason finished fifth. Towson went from 1-31 to 18-13 but can't play in the postseason due to poor grades. UNC-Wilmington is also ineligible. Georgia State is leaving for the Sun Belt so wasn't invited. As a result of those three teams being out, Hofstra (7-23, 4-13) got in. And Northeastern won the regular season title despite being one of the luckiest teams on the planet for a month-long stretch. With the exception of George Mason (2008) and James Madison (1994), the remainder of the field has exactly zero Colonial Conference tournament titles.
First Round Pick:
Delaware played a tough non-conference schedule, battling with the likes of Villanova, Duke, Temple, Pitt, Virginia, and Kansas State. They acquitted themselves fairly well in those games and opened conference play 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS. Unfortunately, it was the kiss of the death. The Blue
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Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament Betting Preview
03.07.2013 02:05 PM
Andrew Lange
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Metro Atlantic Tournament Preview
After the three straight years of the No. 1 seed knocking off the No. 2 seed in the finals, the last two MAAC title games have featured a No. 2 vs. No. 4 matchup. The conference was highly competitive this season with five teams in the hunt for regular season crown. For example, Niagara, the regular season champ, had games decided by 3, 4, 1, 3 (OT), 2 (2 OT), 3, 4, and 3. The close nature of the league should make for a crazy tournament and perhaps a difficult handicap with nothing but the slimmest of margins separating most of these squads. Note that this will mark the first year the tourney will be held at the MassMutual Center even though no one in the MAAC resides in Massachusetts.
Darkhorse:
Hard to pick a darkhorse when over half the field should all be priced the same the win the tournament. Bettors should be prepared for a lot of games lined -2.5 or less. Rider can hardly be considered a darkhorse as the No. 2 seed but the Broncs weren't even considered a contender with a league record of 6-5 heading into February. They got hot at the right time but drew a tough card with a potential
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Sun Belt Conference Tournament Betting Preview
03.07.2013 12:19 PM
Andrew Lange
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Sun Belt Conference Tournament Preview
The Sun Belt Conference Tournament has a long history of craziness. Upsets happen with regularity, like last season when the top two seeds were bounced in their first game and the finals featured a No. 5 vs. No. 7 matchup. Of the last 12 teams to participate in the championship game, seven were a fourth seed or lower. On paper No. 1 Middle Tennessee State is as close to a lock as you can get to cut down the nets this conference tournament season. The Blue Raiders rolled through league play (14-2) last year and lost to No. 9 Arkansas State in the quarterfinals but this year’s edition is even stronger; a veteran club on a mission.
First Round Pick: North Texas
For much of the season, North Texas was an easy bet against. Longtime head coach Johnny Jones left for LSU, they had a ton of injuries, and Tony Mitchell underperformed. But the Mean Green have talent and a little bit of confidence having won four of six to close out the regular season. The also got point guard Chris Jones back. Jones missed practically all of January and February but returned and played the last two
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Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Betting Preview
03.06.2013 01:22 PM
Andrew Lange
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Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Preview
Midway through January it looked as if the MVC was Creighton and Wichita State and everyone else. But the competitive nature of the conference took over and once in the hunt for a potential 5-7 seed in the NCAA Tournament, the Blue Jays and Shockers slipped a bit the back half of the slate and now find themselves likely in but with no guarantees. Neither team, especially Wichita, can afford to get bounced in their opening game against a lower seeded team. There were a handful of teams that at times showed the quality needed to cut down the nets in St. Louis. Northern Iowa finished 7-1 including wins over Wichita and Creighton. Illinois State reeled off seven of eight after opening the year 0-6. Indiana State had wins against all four of those squads but faded down the stretch. And senior-laden Evansville quietly finished 10-8. Historically, the top seeds have fared well. Last year snapped a five-year streak of the No. 1 seed reaching the finals when No. 2 Creighton beat No. 4 Illinois State in overtime.
First Round Pick:
Southern Illinois started conference play 1-10 but
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Ohio Valley Tournament Betting Preview
03.05.2013 03:28 PM
Andrew Lange
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Ohio Valley Conference Tournament Preview
This will mark the third year of the double-bye system for the OVC Tournament. Eight teams made the field; the bottom four play on Wednesday. The No. 3 and No. 4 seeds get a first round bye. The two division winners, No. 1 Belmont (East) and No. 2 Murray State (West) received double-byes. Over the last 11 tournaments, no team has won in all with more than four regular season conference losses. If history repeats itself, either Belmont (14-2) or Eastern Kentucky (12-4) will cut down the nets. Murray State benefited from the OVC splitting into two divisions thanks to the addition of Belmont. The Racers had the fourth-best record (10-6) but won the weaker West Division, hence their No. 2 seed.
First Round Pick: Southeast Missouri
There were a lot of expectations for Dickey Nutt's bunch heading into the season but the Redhawks got off to a sluggish 3-7 start in league play and were on the verge of potentially being left out of the postseason. But the back half of the schedule was more favorable and this team started to gain confidence winning five out of its last six league games by
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Horizon League Tournament Betting Preview
03.05.2013 07:09 AM
Andrew Lange
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Horizon League Tournament Preview
As structured as this tournament is to reward the regular season champ, it has been far from automatic for the top seed of late with the No. 2 and No. 3 seeds winning three of the last four titles. That said, since changing the format of the tournament back in 2003, seven out of the last 10 years have featured a No. 1 vs. No. 2 final. Not once during that span has a seed lower than No. 3 reached the finals.
First Round Pick:
UW-Milwaukee +14
Not a lot to like about the Panthers this season – they were without question the worst team in the league. But their struggles have been well accounted for in the line for quite some time. And I like that Green Bay won both meetings by big margins (74-54 and 78-61). Both contests were actually fairly close for a while before GB went on ridiculous scoring runs. UWM has nothing to lose and knows it can hang with its in-state rival. Worth a shot on the underdog.
Darkhorse:
Given the history of this tournament and how strong #1 Valpo and #2 Detroit have been this season, it's hard to have any sort of confidence in a true
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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: SMU Mustangs at UAB Blazers
03.02.2013 08:28 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
SMU
at
UAB
-5.5
Recommendation: UAB
UAB got off to a sluggish start to C-USA play in part because six of its first seven games were against the top five teams in the conference. During that span they were overwhelmed at times but towards the end of that stretch we saw some potential as the Blazers beat UTEP and lost to a quality Southern Miss squad by four. Once the schedule got softer, UAB was able to parlay those experiences and pointspread value into a current 5-1 SU/ATS run. Some of that value has worn off but the fact remains, this is a much improved team, playing its best of the season, at home, against a weak opponent.
"If you plan it, I was planning a few more wins earlier in the year," Haase said. "This is the time to be playing the best basketball and that certainly is the case for us. We've been continuing to get better every year."
SMU has been competitive in Larry Brown's first season but they don't have much
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