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December

16

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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers

07.05.2017     12:33 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston (Fister) at Texas (Cashner)
Recommendation: Over 6 1st 5-innings

There a reason this 5-inning total is sitting at 6: Two above average offenses that rank in the top four in runs scores in the American League going up against two very suspect starting pitchers in a ballpark that has a tendency to play "small" during the summer months.

Boston's Doug Fister has been serviceable since being called (11 IP, 6 ERs) up but the 33-year-old veteran wasn't pitching in The Show for a reason. After parlaying his success in Detroit for a big pay day in Washington, Fister's stuff started to diminish. North of 30-years-old, Fister was then shipped to the Astros and thus the American League where he was pounded around throughout the 2016 season (4.64 ERA, 32 starts). The Red Sox are hoping he can chew up a few starts but it's not likely he'll produce much long term.

On the other side is Andrew Cashner, who after a strong April and May, saw his numbers skyrocket. While only recording 22 IP in June, Cashner gave up 33 hits. Cashner's new pitch-to-contact style got him through the first two months of the season but his stats Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers Drew Martin




MLB Handicapping: Atlanta Braves' schedule about to get difficult

07.05.2017     10:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to ESPN's MLB Relative Index, the Atlanta Braves -- and the rest of the NL East -- have played six of the eight easiest schedules. Atlanta is particularly noteworthy because on the surface, 40-42 is a pretty respectable record for a team projected to win around 73-74 games. But it's important to note that despite that "easy" slate, they've been outscored by 48 runs. Couple that will a far more daunting schedule over the next month and it's easy to conclude the Braves are going to start trending in the wrong direction. Tonight, they close a quick two-game series vs. Houston (lost Game 1, 16-4). Check out the slate heading into August.

at Washington (4 games)
vs. Arizona (3 games)
vs. Chicago Cubs (3 games)
at LA Dodgers (4 games)
at Arizona (3 games)
at Philadelphia (4 games)
vs. LA Dodgers (3 games)

But blindly betting against the Braves (+5 units YTD) during that span could be tricky. They've on average been priced as +117 underdogs and that's with the aforementioned "soft" schedule. Bettors looking to fade the Braves will be faced with plenty of -180 or more price tags moving forward.




Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves




MLB Gambling News: League tries to pawn off offensive spike on randomness

07.05.2017     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Look, we live in an era of bullshit. Bullshit on TV, bullshit online, bullshit pretty much everywhere. So it should come as no surprise than MLB has provided us with a bunch of bullshit "answers" to why this dude has 24 home runs prior to the All-Star Break.


"The baseball in use today tests well within the established guidelines on every key performance metric. Furthermore, there is no evidence that the composition of the ball has changed in any way that would lead to a meaningful impact on on-field play." 






Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners

07.03.2017     08:45 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Kennedy) +130 at Seattle (Moore) O/U 9
Recommendation: Kansas City

Kansas City’s push to 41-40 and second place in the AL Central Division has been an absolute jackpot for anyone who saw it coming. Over their last 21 games, the Royals have gone 15-6 and produced a hefty profit of +9.37 units. During this current stretch, Ian Kennedy has taken the hill four times with the team going 4-0 resulting in +4.64 units. The numbers have been good for Kennedy in this streak (2.70 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 19-4 K/BB ratio and only 29 total bases allowed). Home Runs have been problematic for the fly ball prone veteran and but he’s limited the damage of late allowing four solo shots over his last 23.1 IP. Seattle has a potent and dangerous lineup but it figures to be somewhat diminished tonight with clean-up hitter Nelson Cruz nursing a knee injury.

Taking the mound for the M’s will be 23-year-old rookie Andrew Moore whose first career start came 11 days ago on June 22. In that contest he threw seven quality innings against Detroit giving up just three runs and six hits. The 100-pitch effort saw Moore register six Read more



Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Seattle Mariners Rob Veno




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Yankees at Houston Astros

06.30.2017     10:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York (Pineda) at Houston (McCullers) -165 O/U 8
Recommendation: Houston

The Astros are 12-2 in Lance McCullers 14 previous starts this season, making him #2 in MLB in profitability among big league starters this year, behind only Clayton Kershaw. And there’s absolutely no reason to think that McCullers won’t be a bet-on hurler against the Yankees again tonight.

McCullers dominated this lineup in the Bronx last month, throwing six strong innings of four hit shutout ball. This isn’t new or different – McCullers advanced metric numbers are right there with Chris Sale and Alex Wood, two of the best pitchers in baseball this year. With a strikeout rate of more than 11 K’s per nine innings and a ground ball rate of higher than 60%, McCullers is in truly elite territory. Pitching behind one of the most potent lineups in baseball (21 runs in their just concluded three game set against the A’s), with a rock solid bullpen to close out the game behind him, McCullers is in prime positon to continue his winning ways.

Michael Pineda has one fatal flaw that has doomed him to mediocrity Read more



Tags: MLB New York Yankees Houston Astros Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

06.30.2017     10:33 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston (Fister) at Toronto (Estrada) -135 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Under

The last two seasons have been nothing but "extremes" for Toronto's Marco Estrada. In 2016, he pitched to a 3.48 ERA but given his high fly ball rate, was somewhat fortunate to allow only 23 home runs. This year, Estrada's K rate is up, walk rate down, but ERA hovering around 5.00 thanks to a .333 BABIP. If you look at Estrada's career numbers, because he surrenders so many fly ball outs, his BABIP is always amongst the lowest in MLB. So while Estrada's ERA is a run and a half higher than last season, he’s arguably pitched better. Note than one of his best starts of the season came against Boston: 6 IP, 0 ER, 7 Ks. Doug Fister was signed out of necessity due to various injuries to Boston's starting staff. After a career year in 2014 (2.41 ERA), Fister, like a lot of arms north of 30, began to decline. And it made it especially tough for him when he moved from Washington to Houston where last season he finished with a 4.64 ERA and even higher 4.75 FIP. Fister however made a positive impression in his first start -- a favorable one -- where he went 6 Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays OTTO Sports




MLB Betting Podcast 6-30-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

06.30.2017     10:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals

06.29.2017     11:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago (Lester) at Washington (Ross) +100 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Chicago

We’re seeing a near pick em price range in this matchup where the home team has some significant edges . Let’s start with the fact that the Chicago Cubs just aren’t very good in 2017; a bottom five team in profitability and a .500 team on the field through the first half of the campaign. To make matters worse, the injury bug has been biting, with Kris Bryant sidelined today, joining big bats Ben Zobrist and Jason Heyward on the bench. For a squad that has averaged less than three runs per game over the past week, the loss of Bryant certainly isn’t a good thing!

Jon Lester won 19 games last year with a 2.44 ERA. This year, he’s only notched five wins and his ERA is nearly a run and a half higher. What gives? Simple – the Cubs defense behind him is a shell of what it was last year; and that defense is notably worse without Heyward or Zobrist on the field. Last year, his BABIP was .254. This year, when opponents make contact, they’re hitting .304, and much of that difference can be attributed to a defense that Read more



Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Washington Nationals Teddy Covers




MLB Gambling: The theory behind the new home run era

06.29.2017     09:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you like conspiracies, home runs, and science, then check out fivethiryeight.com's article on the theories behind the supposed "juiced ball."


 The same random manufacturing changes that might have made it bouncier and slicker could just as easily make it stiff and air resistant — bringing back the year of the pitcher, and rendering all our juiced-ball detective work for naught.






Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox

06.29.2017     09:14 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Gibson) at Boston (Price) -200 O/U 10
Recommendation: Over

Kyle Gibson is one of many fringe MLB starting pitchers that has routinely been smacked around this season. He currently owns a 6.23 ERA while allowing 86 hits and 33 walks over 65 innings. Gibson has also surrendered four home runs in his last three starts which is concerning with tonight's outing at Fenway Park. And his inability to go deep into games means the Twins bullpen should get some work tonight; a group that has a 4.90 ERA. This all provies a great chance for the Red Sox to bounce back from last night's 4-1 loss. On the other side, David Price has yet to find his footing since returning to the rotation. Price has allowed three or more runs in five of six starts this season and has failed to go beyond 6 innings in all but one of those games. It’s also worth noting that Price got crushed in his most recent start against the Twins last year wherehe allowed five runs on 11 hits in just 5.2 innings of work right here at Fenway. Not a single Boston starter has pitched more than 6 innings in five consecutive days/games which means the Red Sox pen, for as Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Boston Red Sox Ian Cameron



4

Page 4 of 39
"MLB'"

December

15


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 16, 2017 05:08 AM.