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MLB Handicapping: Oakland's Graveman trending in wrong direction

05.08.2017     08:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Keep an eye on Oakland's Kendall Graveman tonight as he takes on the Los Angeles Angels for a third time. The oft-injured Graveman started the season strong (13 IP, 3 ERs, 12 Ks, 19 swinging strikes, 18/15 GB/FB ratio). But his last three starts have been alarming (14.1 IP, 9 ERs, 7 Ks, 10 swinging strikes, 15/34 GB/FB ratio). Graveman has generally been a sinker/ground ball guy for much of his career so to see a dramatic spike in fly balls as well as a decline in missed bats suggests his struggles could continue. The market has poured in the the Angels as Graveman and the A's opened -130 but are now home underdogs at a number of offshore sportsbooks.  

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Los Angeles Angels

MLB and NBA Playoff Sports Betting Podcast 5-5-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

05.05.2017     01:39 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card as well as tonight's two NBA Playoff matchups.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB and NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners

05.05.2017     11:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Texas (Darvish) at Seattle (Gallardo) +110 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Seattle

There’s not much to like about the Texas Rangers these days. The Rangers aren’t hitting, ranked as the #21 team in the majors with a .706 OPS. Their lineup has produced two runs or less in four of their last six overall, and nine of their last sixteen. The Rangers bullpen is spotty on a good day, ranked #27 in ERA and #25 in FIP. Five different relievers from that pen threw 107 pitches against the Astros yesterday, and this will be the Rangers eighth consecutive gameday without a day off for that bullpen to regroup.

Rangers starter Yu Darvish has not mowed down this Seattle lineup. Current Mariners have a .299 average against him and a .739 OPS. And Darvish is coming off back-2-back huge pitch count games, throwing 113 against the Royals, then 125 against the Angels in his last two trips to the hill; his two highest pitch counts since 2014. I’m not expecting a gem tonight against a Mariners team that has found their offensive stroke, pounding out 23 runs in their just concluded three game set against the Angels right here at Safeco Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox

05.04.2017     10:40 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Baltimore (Wilson) at Boston (Kendrick) -120 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Over

Tonight’s starters Tyler Wilson for Baltimore and Kyle Kendrick for Boston are making their first starts of the season and if you’ve seen their numbers to this point, it's hard to be impressed with either arm. Wilson has made five appearance out of the bullpen and shows a 5.40 ERA. Prior to that, he made a pair of starts down in Triple-A that resulted in a 5.14 ERA to go along with an alarming 5.1 walks per 9 innings. It wasn’t any better for Kendrick during his stint at Triple-A with a 6.00 ERA in four starts at Pawtucket. In those four outings, he surrendered seven home runs over the span of only 27 innings. With neither pitcher projected to go beyond five innings both bullpens are likely to get involved early. Last night Kevin Gausman was ejected in the 2nd inning and Drew Pomeranz only worked 5.1 innings as both relief units were worked hard. Boston closer Craig Kimbrel was also asked to throw making back-to-back appearances. The first three games of the series all went under the total but with two ultra-fringe starters on the bump, expect Read more

Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox

05.03.2017     10:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Baltimore (Gausman) at Boston (Pomeranz) -145 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Baltimore's Kevin Gausman hasn't had the easiest of slates so far with two games against the Yankees, a start in Cincinnati, and three against the Blue Jays at Red Sox. But there's no denying the amount of red flags. Gausman's strikeout rate has down nearly 3 per nine and his walk rate is an alarming 5.1. And over his last three starts he's coughed up six home runs. Gausman's velocity has been good throughout but he's introduced a slider that hasn't worked (.421 BA against) and his go-to pitch, the splitter, has been just as ineffective (.684 SLG against). In the end, a start in Fenway isn't ideal for a bounceback effort. Meanwhile, Drew Pomeranz appears healthy and thus capable with a 27-7 K-to-BB ratio over 21.2 innings. But I have my concerns with this being his third turn against the Orioles. He's fared well in the previous two starts (11.1 IP, 3 ERs, 10 Ks) but also allowed 22 fly balls and 12 line drives. First two games of the series went under but expect a different result tonight. Play it over.

Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Atlanta's SunTrust Park giving up the long ball

05.03.2017     09:19 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The sample size is small but Atlanta's new SunTrust Park appears to be playing smaller than Turner Field. With 23 home runs hit in only nine games the park's AB/HR ratio (25.9) is significantly lower than previous years. Games are averaging 9.8 runs though only five of the nine contests went over the total.

Mark Bowman
AB/HR ratios at Turner Field and @SunTrustPark
2010 40.3
2011 38.2
2012 39.5
2013 36.5
2014 42.1
2015 47.9
2016 44.4
2017 (9 G at STP) 25.9

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals

05.02.2017     12:26 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Arizona (Walker) at Washington (Roark) -135 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Washington

Two of the top four most profitable teams in MLB square off tonight in our nation’s capital when the Washington Nationals host the Arizona Diamondbacks. The DBacks have enjoyed a very home friendly schedule thus far with 17 games at Chase Field and only 10 on the highway. Important to note that the 10 road games were in California meaning tonight marks the first real travel spot of the season. And they’ll do so against one of the hottest team in MLB. The Nationals currently boast the best offensive numbers in MLB, leading the league with .295/.369/.510 splits. That could spell trouble for Arizona’s Taijuan Walker who thus far has had a fairly soft slate of foes with San Diego, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Tanner Roark fits a solid profile of being tough on right handers and also flashing some incredible home splits: 2.83 ERA over 286 career innings. Roark doesn’t command as much respect in the betting markets as Scherzer and Strasburg despite the Nationals posting a 24-14 record with him on the hill dating back to last year. Read more

Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks Washington Nationals Drew Martin

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

05.01.2017     10:56 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) at Miami (Chen) -135 O/U 8
Recommendation: Under

With the Rays likely missing their top offensive player Steven Souza Jr. for at least another game or two, my initial reaction is to look against them. Yesterday’s starting lineup minus Souza closed the game with seven starters hitting .244 or less. After Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez left after just one inning (torn finger nail), a combination of six relievers held Tampa Bay to just four hits and one run over the next eight innings. Currently active Rays players have a mediocre career .256 batting average and .313 OBP against Chen which pushes the arrow toward the lefty having a good start tonight.

Even more impressive are Tampa starter Jake Odorizzi’s lifetime numbers against Miami’s bats. The first four hitters in the Marlins lineup: Dee Gordon, Martin Prado, Christian Yelich and Giancarlo Stanton own a cumulative .056 (1 for 18) BA against Odorizzi and .143 OBP. Odorizzi is making his first start since being activated from the 10-day DL (hamstring) which is always a concern.

The normally pitcher oriented Marlins Park has Read more

Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays Miami Marlins Rob Veno

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

05.01.2017     09:48 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Cole) -111 at Cincinnati (Garrett) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh's offense has started to pick it up some with respectable .265/.360/.446/.805 splits over its last nine games (5-4, 4.6 runs per game). Cincinnati meanwhile is headed in the opposite direction. They've lost 11 of 15 and seen the team's batting average drop 23 points and OPS 54 points during that span.

Gerrit Cole will take the hill for the Pirates tonight. After a rough outing at Boston to open the year, Cole owns a 2.52 ERA and a stellar 25-5 K-to-BB ratio over his last four starts. He was at his best last time out, throwing only 78 pitches over 7 scoreless innings against the ultra-potent Chicago Cubs.

Amir Garrett has been one of the few bright spots for Cincinnati's decimated rotation. Garrett was practically unhittable in his first three starts (1.83 ERA) but ran into some difficulty last time out as Milwaukee torched him for nine runs in 3.1 innings. Garrett doesn't have overpowering stuff and could find it more difficult when facing teams for a second time like he will here tonight (6 IP, 2 ER vs. Pittsburgh on April Read more

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds OTTO Sports

MLB and NBA Playoff Sports Betting Podcast 4-28-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

04.28.2017     12:43 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card as well as tonight's three NBA Playoff matchups.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB and NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Erin Rynning Andrew Lange


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