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NFL Gambling Preview: Detroit Lions at New England Patriots

11.20.2014     02:14 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New England -6 O/U 48
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: New England -9
Teddy Covers’ Recommendation: Under

On the one hand, the Patriots are as hot as any team in the NFL right now, reeling off six straight wins since that Monday Night Football debacle at Kansas City, while going 5-1 ATS in the process.  That includes impressive blowouts over the likes of Denver, Indy and Cincinnati the three teams that would win the other three AFC Divisions if the season ended today.  The Pats currently are a full game better than any team in the conference, with tiebreaker wins against all of them. As of now, the road to the Super Bowl goes through Foxboro.

But on the other hand, the betting markets are telling us clearly Read more



Tags: NFL Detroit Lions New England Patriots Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings Movers and Shakers

11.17.2014     08:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following the Week 11 results, for the first time since 2012, I have a team other than the Denver Broncos or the Seattle Seahawks ranked #1 in my NFL Power Ratings.  Seattle has been steadily declining in my power ratings for most of the season.  The Seahawks lack of defensive line depth was problematic in early season losses to Dallas and San Diego, both of whom wore them down in the second half and were able to run the football successfully throughout.  The loss of stud lineman Brandon Mebane only made those depth concerns greater prior to their game at Kansas City this past weekend; a game where the Chiefs ran all over the Seahawks defense. 

Seattle also lacks consistent downfield playmakers at the wide receiver position since trading away Percy Harvin.  In their loss to the Chiefs, Seattle lost star center Max Unger to injury as well, truly an impact injury.  If the playoffs started today, the Seahawks would be on the outside looking in.  Clearly, this is not the best team in the NFL as we approach Thanksgiving and the December stretch run.

Denver has been ranked #1 or #2 in my power ratings in every single week since 2012, Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Patriots, Chiefs, and Packers to SuperContest picks for Week 11

11.16.2014     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. New England +3 at Indianapolis
2. Kansas City -1.5 vs. Seattle
3. Green Bay -6 vs. Philadelphia
4. Cleveland -3 vs. Houston
5. Detroit +2.5 at Arizona

Least picked Sunday side: Washington -7.5 vs. Tampa Bay




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at New England Patriots

10.29.2014     02:30 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver at New England
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Denver -3 O/U 54
CRUS Current: Denver -3 O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -0.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Denver

At first glance, this line probably seems high to most people. After all, the Patriots aren’t home underdogs very often; just four times since 2005.  We saw New England annihilate Cincinnati as a national TV home dog less than a month ago.  And the Pats are 41-21 ATS as a dog in the Belichick era, cashing at a 66% clip long term in this very role.

But before we get carried away with the Pats current four game winning streak, lets not forget that New England has largely been feasting on bottom feeders.  Their six victories this season have come against Minnesota, Oakland, Cinci (in a miserable spot for the Bengals), Buffalo, the Jets and Chicago (on a day where Jay Cutler was misfiring).  That’s Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NHL Handicapping: San Jose Sharks headed in wrong direction

10.07.2014     01:25 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the San Jose Sharks
The San Jose Sharks have been a powerhouse in the Western Conference (at least during the regular season) for the better part of the last decade but much like we’ve seen with the New England Patriots, we’re starting to witness chinks in the armor. San Jose has a lot of “bet against” qualities heading into the campaign: aging core, questionable depth, average goaltending, and questionable team chemistry. Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau were stripped of their respective captaincy titles in the offseason and even though they can still play at a fairly strong level, this decision, even though they won’t admit it, has to sting them a bit. Those two veterans along with Joe Pavelski, Logan Couture, and Tomas Hertl provide plenty of punch in their top six forwards but there is a significant dropoff in my mind from their top six to bottom six forwards.

Depth is not only an issue for the Sharks up front but on defense as well. They have only Scott Hannan, Matt Irwin, and Swiss rookie Mirco Mueller on defence, and only slightly more options up front. Tommy Wingels took a big step forward, speedy Matt Read more



Tags: NHL San Jose Sharks Ian Cameron




NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Over 60% of bets placed on the UNDER

09.29.2014     02:15 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's  Monday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs courtesy of Bookmaker. KC has seen a steady amount of market support with the link down from +4 to +3/+2.5. The total has climbed from 45 to 47.

SIDE
56.8% - New England -3

TOTAL
60.4% - Under 47

MONEYLINE
51.6% - Kansas City +125




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Kansas City Chiefs




NFL Handicapping: New England's offense limited to small ball

09.16.2014     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite picking up an easy 30-7 road win over the Vikings, concerns remain about New England's offense moving forward. The Patriots rank 30th in the league at 4.3 yards per play and dead last at 5.1 yards per pass. One of the contributing factors appears to be Tom Brady's declining arm strength. As a result, everything thus far has been pretty much dink-and-dunk. Great article from the Boston Globe that expands on some of this ineptitude.


The Patriots basically conceded that they can’t pass the ball down the field, and took the ball out of Brady’s hands on several third-and-long opportunities. On third and 8 in the first quarter, he handed off to Vereen for 7 yards. On second and 18, they ran a draw to Vereen for 7 yards. The next play, on third and 11, Brady threw a bubble screen to Edelman that didn’t gain any yards. On third and 19 from the 21-yard line in the second half, they again ran an inside draw to Vereen.






Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 2 Betting Recap

09.15.2014     07:18 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
My September NFL betting mantra is relatively simple.  It can be stated in one sentence: “Bet on good teams, and bet against bad teams.”   This strategy tends to be at its best  very early in the season, before the betting markets catch up to how good or how bad teams actually are compared to last year. 

That strategy did not fare well this past weekend for two reasons – many of the good teams played poorly and a good handful of the bad teams stepped up.  Of the seven top teams in my power ratings, only two managed to cover the pointspread on Sunday (Cincinnati and New England).  Seattle, New Orleans and San Francisco all lost SU as favorites.  Denver won, by not my enough of a margin to cover the number.  And Green Bay pushed against the closing number but lost for anyone who bet the Packers throughout the course of the week.

On the other end of the spectrum, many of the bottom teams in my power ratings stepped up and played a good game.  The worst two teams in the league – Jacksonville and Oakland, according to my numbers – are both 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS.  Other weak teams like the Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Patriots and Chargers top picks for Week 2 SuperContest

09.14.2014     08:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 2 of the Hilton/LVH/Westgate SuperContest.

1. New England -3 at Minnesota
2. San Diego +6 vs. Seattle
3. Buffalo +1 vs. Miami
4. San Francisco -6.5 vs. Chicago
5. Detroit +3 at Carolina

Least picked Sunday side: St. Louis +5.5 at Tampa Bay

 




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Preview: Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers

09.10.2014     02:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle at San Diego
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -5 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Seattle -6 O/U 44
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Seattle -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Seattle

The recent history of defending Super Bowl Champions has not been a good one.  No team since the New England Patriots following their 2003 Super Bowl title has even won a single playoff game the following season. The last two defending champs – the Giants and Ravens – failed to make the playoffs the year after their title.

But Seattle is a different animal compared to recent Super Bowl champs.  Three things make the Seahawks different.  First, their coaching staff didn’t get raided this past offseason, as they return both coordinators.  The historical norm is that Super Bowl winning teams tend to lose some of their coaching talent in the offseason, but there’s full continuity for the Read more



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 01, 2015 09:03 AM.