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Super Bowl XLIX Gambling: Oddsmakers project game to go off as a pick 'em

01.19.2015     01:48 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
After an initial rush of New England Patriots support, oddsmakers aren't expecting much if any line movement on the side for Super Bowl XLIX. Most sportsbooks have settled in at a pick ‘em with a few offering Seattle -1.

“You’re not going to see this one bounce around like you did last year,” asserted Jimmy Vaccaro of the South Point sports book. “Last year the whole world was in love with Denver early and there was a crush at the (betting) window. But this game is going to stay right around Seattle a 1-point favorite or pick ‘em the whole entire way.”

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl XLIX

NFL Super Bowl XLIX Gambling: Offshore and Las Vegas pointspreads

01.19.2015     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick rundown of the opening and current pointspreads at key offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks for Super Bowl XLIX.

CRIS Opener: Seattle -3 O/U 49
CRIS Current: Seattle -1 O/U 48.5

Pinnacle Opener: Seattle -2-05 O/U 48.5
Pinnacle Current: Seattle pk-16 O/U 48

BetOnline Opener: Seattle -3-05 O/U 49
BetOnline Current: Seattle pk O/U 48un-16

Cantor Opener: Seattle -2.5 O/U 49
Cantor Current: Seattle pk O/U 48.5

LVH Opener: Seattle -2.5 O/U 48.5
LVH Current: Seattle pk O/U 48

Wynn Opener: Seattle -2.5 O/U 49.5
Wynn Current: Seattle -1 O/U 49.5

Stations Opener: Seattle -2 O/U 49.5
Stations Current: New England -1 O/U 49.5

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLIX New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks

NFL Handicapping: Bettors gear up for Conference Championships

01.18.2015     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick last minute look at both NFL Conference Championship matchups for today. In the NFL, we've seen a more Seattle money with the line now up to -8 both offshore and in Las Vegas. The total has also been played down some to 45.5. New England remains -6.5 at most sportsbooks though bettors interested in Indianapolis shouldn't have any trouble finding +7. They are expecting balmy temps (45 degrees), some wind (10 mph), and thunderstorms/rain (85% chance) in Foxboro. A 75% chance of rain is forecasted for Seattle. No real shift in opinion from the betting public with the preference for both games to go over and the Packers (57%) and Patriots (67%).'s ELO Ratings favor both underdogs based on the current market prices with the Seahawks -7 and the Patriots -5.

Sportsmemo has service play selections on both games with Teddy Covers' 20* Packers vs. Seahawks Report and Rob Veno's 15* Colts vs. Patriots Report. Click here to purchase.

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots

NFL Gambling Consensus: Betting public likes the over in both conference championship games

01.16.2015     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for Sunday's NFL Conference Championship matchups courtesy of Bookmaker. After opening -7, Seattle is up to -7.5 even money at most offshore shops. There are still a handful of -7's available but with 20-25 cents worth of juice tacked on. New England was bet down from -7 to -6.5. Las Vegas bettors interested in the Indianapolis side should be able to find +7-120. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

67.6% - New England -6 (-115)
53.0% - Green Bay +7.5 (-120)

72.5% - Indianapolis-New England OVER 53.5
67.7% - Green Bay-Seattle OVER 46

80.2% - Green Bay +275
68.3% - Indianapolis +225

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots

NFL Betting News: After getting burnt, bettors jump on board with the Colts

01.13.2015     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A few days removed from assisting in a huge score for the sportsbooks, the Indianapolis Colts are now at the top of the betting markets' wishlist for Sunday’s AFC Championship vs. New England. The Colts opened +7 vs. Denver and went as high as +10 before closing +9.5. After dominating the Broncos, Indy has now taken some early money with the Patriots down from -7 to -6.5.

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots

NFL Handicapping: Conference Championship pointspreads and power ratings

01.12.2015     10:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick run through of the pointspreads and power ratings for this weekend's NFL Conference Championship matchups. Note that we applied -3 for home field advantage with Sagarin's lines. Places like Seattle are typically given more respect by oddsmakers and the betting markets.

Indianapolis at New England
CRIS Opener: New England -7
CRIS Current: New England -7 (+105)
Veno Power: New England -6
Sagarin: New England -3.5

Green Bay at Seattle
CRIS Opener: Seattle -7
CRIS Current: Seattle -7.5 (+105)
Veno Power: Seattle -5
Sagarin: Seattle -5.5

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship matchups are set

01.12.2015     07:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The NFL has never embraced the Final Four moniker, but that’s exactly what we’ve got left in this NFL season.  Four teams.  Three remaining meaningful games (sorry, I’m not counting the pro bowl as meaningful, even if you choose to wager on it).  One champion, yet to be crowned.

And there’s one strong commonality among the four teams still standing after two weekends of NFL Playoff action.   Each of the four teams still standing is there because of their quarterback.  As the league has adjusted their rules year by year, making it more difficult to defend the passing game, the very best QB’s have taken advantage of those rule changes, making them nearly impossible to defend.

Bettors probably remember the Patriots gameplan when they travelled to Indy in Week 11; one of four games this year where the Pats were installed as underdogs by the betting markets.  Bill Belichick installed a radically different gameplan than most Pats fans (and their betting supporters) were used to.  New England played for extended stretches with six offensive linemen in power rushing formations, finishing the game with Read more

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers Las Vegas

NFL Gambling Update: Betting market show love toward underdogs

01.09.2015     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly

Checking in on the current pointspreads for this weekend's NFL Divisional Playoff games. As of Friday morning, all four underdogs have seen play the betting markets based on CRIS's openers.

Baltimore opened +7 and after early money on New England the Patriots are now -7 even money.

Seattle opened -11.5 but has settled -10.5 offshore and -11 in Las Vegas.

Green Bay opened -6.5 and was -6 for much of the week before dropping to -5.5 yesterday. Still plenty of +6's for those interested in the Cowboys.

Denver opened -7.5 even money but is now -7 (-105) across the board.

NFL Handicapping: Divisional Round pointspreads and power ratings

01.05.2015     07:49 AM     Read more

Tags: NFL

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Top Super Bowl contenders all have flaws

12.29.2014     01:57 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
We’re down to a dirty dozen in the NFL, as 20 of the 32 teams saw their seasons come to a close at the conclusion of another wild and wacky Week 17.  In my Wiseguy Reports over the past two weeks, I’ve been poking holes in the fringe contenders in both conferences.  This week, I’m going to put the four favorites under the microscope.  Guess what – all four are potentially vulnerable to an upset.

Let me start with the defending champs, the Seattle Seahawks.  When Pete Carroll built up his program at USC, the Trojans weren’t a one-and-done type squad for titles -- they were in the mix year after year under his tutelage.  They played fast, they played loose – never tense or uptight -- and they consistently played their very best football down the stretch.

Seattle did just that down the stretch last year.  And they’ve certainly done that this year; going 6-0 SU and ATS since their loss at Kansas City back in Week 11.  But before we anoint the Seahawks as the first repeat Super Bowl champs since the Patriots did it following the 2004 campaign, we’ve got to put this team under the Read more

Tags: NFL Denver Broncos New England Patriots Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC Playoff Contenders

12.22.2014     10:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Week 16 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch from last year in the AFC Championship Game.

Last week in this space, I poked holes in the NFC contenders, explaining why every other live team in the playoff race had at least one fundamental flaw primed to doom their chances in January.  This week, I’m going to point the magnifying glass towards the seven fringe contenders in the AFC.  Can any of them knock off the Patriots in Foxboro or the Broncos in Denver when January rolls around?  Read on to find out. 

The Houston Texans remain one of five teams still fighting for the final two playoff spots in the AFC after knocking off the Ravens on Sunday.  But if the Texans do manage to sneak into the postseason with a Wild Card berth, I’m not expecting them to do any damage. 

Houston’s defense ranks among the league’s elite, as we clearly saw once again this past weekend.  But the Texans average Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers


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