SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
All Available Packages
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS
September

27

Search Blog by TopicSearch by Date



Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to bet NFL Season O/U Wins Part II

08.10.2015     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, I looked back at last year’s final NFL standings and discussed the impact of strength of schedule models on those results.  I differentiated between mainstream widely available numbers for the 2014 strength of schedule (simply adding up wins and losses for every opponent) and my own formula, relying on power rating numbers from the week that the game was played. 

The goal was simple -- getting more accurate numbers to properly assess last year’s results in strength of schedule context as a starting point for 2015.

We’re done with last year now. This week, I’ll focus on the 2015 NFL strength of schedule as they relate to season win totals.  Once again, my goal is to differentiate between the mainstream numbers and the meaningful ones.

Google ‘2015 NFL Strength of Schedule’ and you’ll find countless charts exactly like this one.
1. Pittsburgh Steelers (.579)
2. Cincinnati Bengals (.563)
3. Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Handicapping: Las Vegas oddsmakers react to Deflategate

08.05.2015     01:42 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers talk about Tom Brady's suspension and how it has impacted their lines as well as placing limits on New England's season over/under wins.


"Home team, capable backup [quarterback]," Rood said in explaining New England's favored status in the opener. "We've put some strong limits on it. If Brady plays, that number could jump to six."

"From what I'm hearing, Jimmy G is going to be more than a capable replacement and [Patriots Coach Bill] Belichick usually always gets his guys ready to go," Rood said about the 10 1/2 number.

"What I don't want to do is have a knee-jerk reaction."






Tags: NFL New England Patriots Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to bet NFL Season O/U Wins Part I

08.03.2015     10:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When looking at the entirety of the NFL futures market, Super Bowl odds and odds to win divisions or conferences only give bettors one choice – betting ON a particular team.  Then that team has to beat out all of their competition to win the division/conference/Super Bowl for you to cash, offering the potential for big payday longshot returns, but cashing a low percentage of the wagers that are made.

NFL Season O/U Win totals, on the other hand, offer bettors the opportunity to bet AGAINST teams in relatively low juice situations.  And with win totals, even when betting Overs, the team you are betting on doesn’t have to win anything big. 

For example, the Buffalo Bills didn’t win their division last year; unable to get past mighty New England.  They didn’t win the AFC or the Super Bowl.  But they cashed every Over ticket that was bet on their season win total before December rolled around.  Buffalo’s 9-7 campaign offered a no sweat positive return-on-investment for a squad lined at 6.5 or 7 wins prior to the season.

In my opinion, NFL win totals remain among the most profitable set of wagers Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling Update: Brady suspended first four games of regular season

07.28.2015     02:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Looks like the New England Patriots really won't have Tom Brady the first four games of the regular season (vs. Pittsburgh, at Buffalo, vs. Jacksonville, and at Dallas). The NFL announced today that the suspension was upheld. As a result, there isn't much in the way of betting options for New England's Week 1 game vs. the Steelers. CRIS never posted a line. Pinnacle, Heritage, and 5Dimes took it down in early July (New England -3). As of today, CG Technology looks to be the only sportsbooks offering a real pointspread with the Patriots dropped from -3-120 to -1.5 following the news.


"The Commissioner's decision is deeply disappointing, but not surprising because the appeal process was thoroughly lacking in procedural fairness," Brady's agent, Don Yee, said Tuesday. "Most importantly, neither Tom nor the Patriots did anything wrong. And the NFL has no evidence that anything inappropriate occurred. The appeal process was a sham, resulting in the Commissioner rubber-stamping his own decision."






Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Handicapping: No word on Brady's suspension; Patriots jump to -3 vs. Steelers

07.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The 4th of July holiday weekend came and went and still no word on Tom Brady's suspension. Most suspected the NFL would "dump" it last Friday when no one was looking. Instead, bettors remain left in the dark as to how many games Brady will be suspended. As of now, it's still four games which means he's out for Week 1's Thursday night affair against Pittsburgh. After sitting at -2.5 for a month and a half, the Patriots have seen enough action to push the line to -3 at nearly every offshore and Las Vegas sportsbook.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Gambling Update: Brady-less Patriots settle in at -2.5 for Week 1 vs. Steelers

05.18.2015     02:46 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Now that everyone has had a chance to return their heart rate to normal following the announcement that Tom Brady will be suspended for the first four games of the regular season (could be less following his obligatory appeal), a handful of offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks have posted bettable lines for Week 1's game vs. Pittsburgh. Here's what we got...

Pinnacle: New England -2.5 O/U N/A
5Dimes: New England -2.5 O/U 49
BetOnline: New England -2.5 O/U 48.5
CG (Cantor): New England -2.5 O/U 49.5
Westgate (LVH): New England -2.5 O/U 49
Golden Nugget/Stations: New England -2 O/U 49





NFL Handicapping: Betting markets react to Brady suspension

05.12.2015     07:19 AM     Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Handicapping: Betting markets react to Brady suspension

05.12.2015     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
No shock to see some betting market chaos following the announcement of Tom Brady's four-game suspension. Not only did it impact the Week 1 and Game of the Year lines but futures odds as well. A few Las Vegas oddsmakers chime in with what they feel Brady is worth to the pointspread. Cantor (CG Gaming) is one of the few sportsbooks currently offering a line of New England's Week 1 game vs. Pittsburgh. They reopened the game Patriots -1 and it was bet up to -1.5. The game originally opened -6.5.


The adjustments “are not enough,” The Wynn’s John Avello told The Linemakers on Sporting News. “I could see it as a pick or even the Steelers as the favorites.”






Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Update: Steelers-Patriots a pick 'em if Brady suspended

05.11.2015     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE


According to various media reports it's likely that Tom Brady will be suspended for his "role" in Deflategate. Every sportsbook offering a Week 1 line took New England's game against Pittsburgh off the board. The Patriots were around -6.5 but if Brady is suspended, Westgate SuperBook oddsmaker Jay Kornegay said the game would likely reopen around a pick 'em.




NFL Gambling News: Bettors, sportsbooks react to Wells Report findings

05.07.2015     08:22 AM     View Original Blog


With the Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Gambling News: Bettors, sportsbooks react to Wells Report findings

05.07.2015     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
With the Deflategate files now public there are rumblings that Tom Brady should/will be suspended in some capacity. It didn't take long for bettors to jump in on the New England's Week 1 opponent, Pittsburgh. It also didn't take long for sportsbooks to take the game off the board. Check out 5Dimes' line history...

copy_pats_steelers_2015.JPG




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Handicapping: 2015-16 Regular Season Over/Under Win totals

02.19.2015     08:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
2015-16 NFL Regular Season Over/Under Win totals courtesy of CG Technology.


New England: 11
Seattle: 11

Green Bay: 10.5

Denver: 10

Dallas: 9.5
Indianapolis: 9.5

Baltimore: 9
New Orleans: 9
Philadelphia: 9

Atlanta: 8.5
Buffalo: 8.5
Carolina: 8.5
Cincinnati: 8.5
Detroit: 8.5
Houston: 8.5
Kansas City: 8.5
Pittsburgh: 8.5
San Diego: 8.5
San Francisco: 8.5

Arizona: 8
Miami: 8
N.Y. Giants: 8

St. Louis: 7.5

Chicago: 7

Minnesota: 6.5
N.Y. Jets: 6.5

Cleveland: 6
Washington: 6

Jacksonville: 5.5

Tampa Bay: 5
Tennessee: 5

Oakland: 4.5






Tags: NFL



4

Page 4 of 32
"New England Patriots'"

September

27


 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
$39
Drew Martin is in with his College Football Total of the Month. He is in fine form hitting 58% through the first few weeks of the young NFL and college football season. This selection is on a total in one of the non BCS conferences, one where the betting markets are slow to react. By now, you know September/ start of October is a great time to jump on board in early season college football. This play is guaranteed to cash or Drew's next selection is on the house.

$29
Drew Martin has a 10* Friday Night Ticket Casher between the Stanford Cardinal and the Washington Huskies. Drew is off to a great start to the 2016 football season, profitable early on in college and pro football hitting 58% YTD. This is a great way to end your Friday Night, with a PAC 12 North division showdown. Jump on board for only $29; this play is guaranteed to cash or you will receive Drew's 20* Total of the Month release on Saturday at absolutely no extra charge.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 27, 2016 08:31 AM.