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MLB Betting Recap: Texas' Darvish limps through first start
04.10.2012 07:38 AM
Printer Friendly
FanGraphs
gave a recap of Yu Darvish's MLB debut. Darvish had a rocky first inning (43 pitches, 4 ERs) but settled down enough to earn the win (as a huge -250 favorite). Overall, only 59 of his 111 pitches were strikes.
It wasn’t a stellar debut, and Yu Darvish walked too many batters. He still garnered ten swinging strikes on 111 pitches, for a 9% swinging strike rate that would have been a top-40 number among qualified starters last year. He settled down after a poor first inning and battled through a tough day. His team won. Most importantly, he certainly learned more about the American strike zone, and what sort of strategies he will have to employ when faced with lefty-heavy lineups in the future. It wasn’t a stellar debut, but it was a step forward.
Tags:
MLB
Texas Rangers
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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
04.09.2012 10:07 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Seattle
(Noesi) +215 at
Texas
(Darvish) O/U 9
Recommendation: Seattle
The latest hyped Japanese player makes his MLB debut tonight in Texas, as Rangers right-hander Yu Darvish takes the mound for Texas (2-1). Having yet to throw a pitch in the Majors, the 25-year-old Japanese legend is being paid over $5 million this season after posting an ERA under 1.50 in 232 innings last year in Japan. But pitching in Japan is a far cry from the task of tossing against MLB hitters. Seattle (3-1) is an afterthought in the AL West this season, but the Mariners will be motivated against the hyped Darvish and Rangers. And with another fairly unknown commodity taking the hill for Seattle in right-hander Hector Noesi, we see plenty of value taking this huge underdog tonight. Noesi is on the other end of the pay scale, making less than $500K this season after coming over in a trade that sent pitcher Michael Pineda to the Bronx. Noesi had decent success pitching for the Yankees last season with 56 innings
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MLB
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
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MLB Betting Trends: Texas Rangers vs. Left-Handed Starters at Home
04.06.2012 10:40 AM
Printer Friendly
UPDATE
An update from a trend we followed last year – Texas vs. left-handed starters at home. By late July, the Rangers/Over parlay was nearly an automatic following that format. But it cooled off late in the year. Still, Texas averaged nearly 6.5 runs per game. The one thing we will point out is a lot of the production came against bottom-tier southpaw starters. Tonight they face a pretty decent arm in Chicago's John Danks. The Rangers beat Danks last season, 4-0.
Texas Rangers vs. Left-Handed Starters at Home - Regular Season 2011
Opposing Pitcher
Texas Runs
Final Score
Texas Result
O/U Result
C. Furbush
12
12-5
Win
10 Over
A. Vasquez
5
5-3
Win
10 Under
D. Huff
9
9-1
Win
10 Push
J. Outman
8
8-1
Win
9 Push
A. Miller
0
0-6
Loss
10 Under
E. Bedard
4
4-0
Win
8.5 Under
J. Vargas
3
3-4
Loss
9.5 Under
C. Furbush
9
9-2
Win
9.5 Over
B. Duensing
2
2-7
Loss
9.5 Under
B. Cecil
0
0-3
Loss
9.5 Under
J. Reyes
12
12-2
Win
10.5 Over
G. Gonzalez
8
8-5
Win
8.5 Over
B. Hand
5
5-9
Loss
10.5 Over
J. Niese
5
5-14
Loss
9 Over
J. Happ
8
8-3
Win
10 Over
P. Coke
7
7-3
Win
9 Over
D. Duffy
7
7-6
Win
9 Over
J. Danks
4
4-0
Win
8.5 Under
B. Anderson
7
7-2
Win
8 Over
C. Sabathia
5
5-12
Loss
9 Over
J. Reyes
7
7-6
Win
9.5 Over
B. Chen
8
8-7
Win
9.5 Over
J. Francis
11
11-6
Win
9 Over
E. Bedard
6
6-4
Win
9 Over
J. Lester
9
9-5
Win
8.5 Over
Results
6.44
18-7
16-7-2 O/U
MLB Handicapping Update: Texas vs. Left-handed starting pitchers at home
07.27.2011 10:50 AM
View Original Blog
Minnesota (Duensing) at Texas (Lewis) -195 O/U
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MLB Betting Notes: Getting to know Texas' Yu Darvish
04.05.2012 09:39 AM
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Good article from a former MLB scout on
Texas' Yu Darvish
. It was pointed out that Darvish looked especially strong this spring against right-handed batters. He is expected to make his MLB debut on Monday against Seattle.
One trend I noticed was the differential between Darvish's ability handling right-handed versus left-handed hitters. He looks to be devastating against righties. He uses pitches that jam hitters, or he throws breaking balls that leave hitters totally off balance and flailing at the ball.
In contrast, lefties have a better and longer look at the ball, and to my observation, they see pitches that allow them to extend their arms and drive the ball. Darvish's pitches to lefties seem to move into the hitting zone. The righty-lefty differential is one that opposing teams may expose and exploit.
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MLB Gambling News and Notes: Opening Day success
04.04.2012 11:58 AM
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Submitted by
The full schedule of opening day games begins tomorrow and no surprise that last year’s top teams are showing a favorite betting bias. Last year’s division winners were the New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers, Texas Rangers, Philadelphia Phillies, Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks. All division winners finished with at least 94 wins in the regular season, which is a .580 winning percentage or better.
The Yankees and Phillies were the two teams that finished with at least a .600 winning percentage. However, in
Spring Training 2012
, only the Yankees and Tigers had a winning record. Does spring training success carry over to positive regular season results?
Here’s some historical data for teams that won at least 60% of their spring training games the past six years. Of those 39 teams that accomplished that level of spring training success, only 15 of those teams went on to make the playoffs. However, those 39 teams still averaged nearly 90 wins, so a winning season is still a positive projection. This year’s top spring training
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American League West Betting Preview
04.02.2012 07:51 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
After coming within a single strike of winning the World Series in both the ninth and tenth innings of Game 6 against St Louis last year, it’s going to be hard for the Texas Rangers to maintain their intensity in 2012. When you lose the World Series two years in a row there’s not a lot that regular season accomplishments mean. Their lineup is still absolutely loaded with a nice combination of batting average, speed and power. Signing Yu Darvish was a key move after losing ace CJ Wilson to division rival LA. But the bullpen that failed them in October last year has the potential to fail them again this year – new closer, 37 year old Joe Nathan doesn’t seem like a good fit to withstand the Texas summer heat.
There’s no team in the AL that can match the Los Angeles Angels in the starting pitching department. Jeff Weaver, Dan Haren, Erwin Santana and CJ Wilson have the potential to approach 900 innings between them at an All-Star level. Angels Stadium is a pitcher friendly ballpark and LA has an excellent defensive unit behind their stellar starting staff. They’ve got two big bats joining an
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Los Angeles Angels
Oakland A's
Seattle Mariners
Teddy Covers
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MLB Handicapping: Tigers' 2012 World Series odds drop following Fielder acquisition
01.26.2012 11:17 AM
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Following the signing of Prince Fielder,
Detroit's odds
to win the 2012 World Series dropped from 14-1 to 9-1 according to Bovada Sportsbook (BoDog for US bettors).
Odds to win the 2012 World Series
Philadelphia Phillies 11-2
Los Angeles Angels 13-2
New York Yankees 13-2
Detroit Tigers 9-1
Texas Rangers 9-1
Boston Red Sox 10-1
Miami Marlins 15-1
San Francisco Giants 16-1
Arizona Diamondbacks 20-1
Atlanta Braves 20-1
St. Louis Cardinals 20-1
Tampa Bay Rays 20-1
Cincinnati Reds 25-1
Washington Nationals 25-1
Milwaukee Brewers 28-1
Colorado Rockies 30-1
Los Angeles Dodgers 30-1
Toronto Blue Jays 30-1
Chicago Cubs 35-1
Chicago White Sox 50-1
Cleveland Indians 50-1
Minnesota Twins 50-1
Pittsburgh Pirates 65-1
Kansas City Royals 75-1
New York Mets 75-1
Oakland Athletics 75-1
Seattle Mariners 75-1
San Diego Padres 90-1
Baltimore Orioles 100-1
Houston Astros 100-1
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Bettor sitting on a monster payout if Cardinals win World Series
10.21.2011 06:48 AM
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Spotted this article at
Deadpsin
. How excited was this dude during the commercial break after the eighth inning of last night's St. Louis-Texas game? How not excited was this dude when Cardinals reliever Jason Motte couldn't record an out in the ninth? Regardless, any one of us would love to be holding that ticket right now.
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2011 World Series Betting Preview St. Louis Cardinals vs. Texas Rangers
10.19.2011 07:15 AM
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The World Series begins tonight in St. Louis and the Texas Rangers are a -155 favorite to take home the crown. The Cardinals have home field advantage and both teams enter playing solid baseball throughout the playoffs. However, note that the Cardinals (5.43 ERA) and Rangers (5.62) starting rotations have not pitched particularly well. They do however feature reliable bullpens that can deliver plenty of innings. The Cardinals bullpen has posted a very solid 2.55 ERA and a stellar .177 opponents BAA this postseason while the Rangers relief corps has been equal to the task with a 2.34 ERA and .193 BAA.
Both teams feature solid and deep lineups 1 through 7 in the batting order, and the ‘overs’ may be of more interest when the series returns to Texas with less quality starters pitching at a hitter friendly park. Rangers Ballpark in Arlington surrendering the most runs scored, home runs and third most hits in all of baseball.
From a betting perspective, here is some information on the last 12 World Series. Totals are 23-37 O/U the past 60 World Series games, so pitching has been the predominant force. Games 4 and 5 have been the best games for hitting and
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at Oakland A's
08.12.2011 11:36 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Texas (Wilson) at Oakland (McCarthy) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Texas R/L -1.5 +130
Recent comments by Rangers lefty CJ Wilson have the A’s fans all riled up so expect more enthusiasm than normally inside McAfee Coliseum tonight. That being said, the game will still boil down to the fundamentals on the field will all point toward
Texas
. Wilson has been simply outstanding on the road this season throwing 10 quality starts in his 12 outings away from Arlington. For the year, he owns an overall 2.66 road ERA and 1.15 WHIP. In his 10 quality starts, that lowers to a 1.94 ERA and 1.04 WHIP with opposing bats accumulating just 79 total bases in his 74.1 innings. One of those starts was here back in late April and Wilson yielded three runs (one earned) in seven innings. With their strong back end of the bullpen trio all rested and ready for this game, Texas figures to keeps Oakland’s scoreboard production to three or
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Oakland A's
Brandon McCarthy
Rob Veno
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