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Mountain West Tournament Betting Preview

03.12.2013     01:44 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Mountain West Tournament Preview
The Mountain West Conference Tournament features nine teams, with five of them in position to earn an NCAA berth. As a result, this year’s tournament should be a wide open affair. The contenders include top seed New Mexico, No. 2 Colorado State, No. 3 (and host) UNLV, No. 4 San Diego State and No. 5 Boise State. The Aztecs have had the most success in the tournament in recent years with four straight championship game appearances and two titles including last year.
First Round Pick: Air Force
Air Force had a surprising 8-8 finish in the conference, just two games behind UNLV’s 10-6 mark. They also played UNLV very tough, beating the Rebels by 15 on their home court and falling in overtime here back in January. UNLV was 7-1 SU on its home court in conference play, but covered just twice and won by more than 10 just twice, against bottom feeders Nevada and Wyoming. They lost their last home game to Fresno State and also struggled to beat Boise State in their next to last game, winning by just four. Air Force did have some poor efforts away from home this year, but Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to bet college basketball in February

02.18.2013     07:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
I’ve done my last two columns breaking down aggregate season long stats, examining the very best and very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Next week, the focus shifts towards conference tournaments and the Big Dance. In between? This little doozy about how to make money betting NCAA hoops in the always tricky month of February!

The key to late regular season college hoops for me has always been about morphing teams – squads whose long term numbers don’t match their short term momentum – either positive or negative. There are quite literally dozens of such teams right now, all of whom are at least moderately mispriced in the betting markets these days, offering savvy bettors solid opportunities on a near daily basis.

Who are some of these teams? Why are they morphing now? Read on to find out!

I’ll start with a handful of teams moving in the right direction – from mediocre to good, or from good to great. Georgetown certainly stands out on this list; a perfect 7-0 straight up and against the spread in their last seven contests. The Hoyas were never a bad team, but a 2-3 SU start in Read more

Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Saint Louis Billikens Air Force Falcons UNLV Running Rebels Wyoming Cowboys Creighton Blue Jays Michigan Wolverines Teddy Covers

College Basketball Gambling: Recapping Notre Dame's miracle win vs. Louisville and others

02.10.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was possibly the worst quintuple overtime thriller I’ve ever watched! Well, a truly ugly first 35 minutes…followed by a sluggish but entertainingly dramatic 30 additional minutes. Many of you watched too, so you know what I’m talking about. The last 35 minutes of on-the-clock action was very compelling basketball even if the game was far from a piece of artwork. If you missed it:

*We had your typical 50-something to 40-something type grinder brewing most of the night. Louisville led 49-45 with 2:30 left in regulation.

*Louisville pulled out to what seemed like a safe lead with 90 seconds left…setting up the standard sequence of them shooting free throws while Notre Dame tried to make desperation treys. Louisville led 53-45 with 1:27 to go.

*Notre Dame made ONE…then TWO…then THREE very long range very forced desperation treys to force a late tie. Those bombs fell with 44-36-28 seconds left respectively.

*Louisville didn’t have Read more

Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence

College Basketball Betting: Fresno State leaning heavily on freshmen in tough Mountain West

01.16.2013     12:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
There have been times this season Fresno State's men's basketball team has had three and even four freshmen on the floor at the same time. That’s a tough way to go in the Mountain West, which is rated the second (Sagarin) or third ( toughest conference in the country.

Coach Rodney Terry knows this, often using the refrain, "It's not going to happen overnight." The youth and inexperience may have cost FSU a win in the final minutes at No. 16 San Diego State last week.

Four freshmen have logged a total of 1,010 minutes already and it could be more, considering guard Marvelle Harris (373 minutes) has played 20 minutes or less four times, center Robert Upshaw (234 minutes) missed the first three games coming back from a knee injury, point guard Aaron Anderson (224 minutes) didn't make his first start until the 12th game of the season, and forward/center Tanner Giddings (179 minutes) did not play in one game and logged less than 10 minutes in five others.

Fresno State is getting more than twice as many minutes from freshman than any other Mountain West school except for UNLV. While 82.4% of the Rebels freshman minutes have been Read more

Tags: College Basketball Fresno State Bulldogs Rob Veno Mountain West

Mountain West Betting News and Notes 1-15-2013

01.15.2013     06:59 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Wyoming Suspends Second-Leading Scorer Luke Martinez

Luke Martinez has been suspended indefinitely from the Wyoming basketball team as the result of a bar fight last month that left him with a broken finger.

According to the Star-Tribune, there were charges filed against Martinez this weekend as a result of the incident.

Martinez is the second-leading scorer for the Cowboys, a team that remained undefeated until last week and that has set themselves up nicely for a run at an NCAA tournament berth. There is no doubt that this injury — and the suspension — puts a dent into those plans.

Head coach Larry Shyatt has said that Martinez will not return to the team until the legal system has taken its course. For now, the Cowboys are going with a starting lineup consisting of three point guards and a pair Read more

Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys Air Force Falcons Colorado State Rams Nevada Wolf Pack Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Iowa State Cyclones at UNLV Rebels

11.24.2012     10:31 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Iowa State +9.5 at UNLV O/U 146.5
Recommendation: Iowa State

Unless UNLV's home court is worth upwards of eight points – which it isn't – tonight's game against Iowa State is vastly inflated. And that inflation is with a small adjustment after the Rebels were laying as much as -12 in last night's outright loss to Oregon. Based on what I've seen, there is little to no difference between UNLV, Oregon, Cincinnati and Iowa State. In the loss to Oregon, UNLV was exposed repeatedly on the defensive end, particularly off the dribble late in the game when they desperately needed stops. Three-point shooting was a concern heading into the season as the Rebels lost their top three shooters. Last night against the Ducks, they were 8-of-30 for 27%. Iowa State meanwhile went toe-to-toe with a strong Cincinnati squad before giving way late (it was a 4-point game with less than a minute to go). The box score was dead even with the only difference being Cincinnati's Read more

Tags: College Basketball Iowa State Cyclones UNLV Rebels Andrew Lange

College Football Gambling Update: Non-bye week teams prepare for final stretch

11.05.2012     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly

Updating our “non-bye week teams” for the 2012 season. We tracked the results of this profile (final three games both SU and ATS) dating back to 2008 and came up with 37-62 SU and 44-52 ATS betting against.  

California - Lost at home last week to Washington as 4-point chalk. With Oregon coming to town and a trip to Corvallis, the season – and Jeff Tedford’s tenure? – appear all but over.

UNLV - Three winnable games left against Hawaii, Colorado State and Wyoming. The Rebels have covered five straight.

New Mexico - The depth-shy Lobos are already running on fumes. After blowing a big lead against Fresno State two weeks ago, UNM was a no-show in Saturday's 35-7 loss at UNLV. Three games remaining starting this week at home against Wyoming.

Western Michigan - Last week's win at Central Michigan snapped an 0-3 SU/ATS slide. Two games remaining against bottom feeders Buffalo and Eastern Michigan. Read more

Tags: College Football

College Football Handicapping: UNLV's Sherry expected to start behind banged up o-line

10.26.2012     12:10 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
UNLV at San Diego State -18 O/U 57

UNLV's Nick Sherry (back) is expected to start Saturday's game at San Diego State. It doesn't sound like he is 100% and he'll be working behind an injury-riddled offensive line.

“Every week it seems like somebody’s dealing with something,” said senior tackle Yusef Rodgers, who this week is listed as doubtful with a leg injury.

“It is kind of discouraging because we had high hopes,” Rodgers said of the offensive line. “We feel like with what we’ve got, we’re still doing all right.”

Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Mountain West

College Football Betting Update: Nevada's Fajardo downgraded to doubtful

10.12.2012     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly

Nevada at UNLV

According to Sports Options, Nevada quarterback Cody Fajardo has been downgraded to "doubtful" for Saturday's rivalry game against UNLV. Devin Combs would start in his place. Not one offshore sportsbook has posted a line on the game. In Vegas, it appears that the Wynn was willing to toss out a number, opening with Nevada -9.5 on Sunday night. Today we've seen the line drop from -8.5 to -7 as a result of Fajrado's status.

College Football Gambling: Nevada QB Fajardo remains questionable

10.10.2012     08:13 AM     Read more

Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack UNLV Rebels Mountain West

College Football Gambling: Nevada QB Fajardo remains questionable

10.10.2012     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Nevada at UNLV

Nevada's do-everything quarterback Cody Fajardo is questionable for Saturday's game against rival UNLV. If unable to play, the Wolf Pack will start Devin Combs who filled in during last week's overtime win over Wyoming. Combs finished 11-of-19 for 217 yards and two touchdowns. Nevada has won seven straight in the series by margins of 37, 18, 35, 20, 7, 28 and 8. They covered six of those seven games. Oddsmakers have yet to put a line on Saturday's game.

“It’s the right side of his lower back into his lower hip," Ault said. "He’s getting treatment today and tomorrow, but it’s a severe muscle spasms. Those aren’t anything to sneeze at. It will be a day-to-day thing, but today and tomorrow we’ll have him stay off of it.”


Read more

Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack UNLV Rebels


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