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November

21

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College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Duquesne Dukes at UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

12.22.2012     07:09 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Duquesne at -ULLafayette -3
Recommendation: Louisiana-Lafayette


I think this is a difficult spot for Duquesne as they make an isolated road trip to UL-Lafayette before the holiday break. The Dukes are a talented but young squad that relies heavily of three-point shooting. With the exception of a 34.6% effort from three at Appalachian State (2-8), the Dukes have shot 27%, 25%, 24%, 18% and 17% from deep away from home. And of those five games, four featured 41% FG shooting or less. Also a concern should be their performance from that charity stripe with a season average of 62%. Lafayette is also very young but has had a few performances that suggest they are capable. Earlier in the year they lost by six at Boise State and lost by three at Michigan State. Last time out, they had a five-point lead in the second half against a quality Robert Morris squad but ended up falling short 66-61. Note that Robert Morris beat Duquesne by 22 two weeks ago. The Cajun Dome is Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duquesne Dukes UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Andrew Lange




Sports Betting Podcast 12-21-2012 with Handicappers Erin Rynning, Alf Musketa and Teddy Covers

12.21.2012     10:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 16 NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast. Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective. Teddy Covers also stepped in and talked NBA.

Today's segments
Full Show

Erin Rynning - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Alf Musketa - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast Read more


Tags: NFL NBA Erin Rynning Alf Musketa Teddy Covers




New Orleans Bowl Betting Preview: East Carolina Pirates vs. UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

12.20.2012     07:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

New Orleans Bowl
Saturday, December 22, 9 am PT - ESPN
East Carolina vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
CRIS Opener:
UL-Lafayette -4.5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: UL-Lafayette -5 O/U 65.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: UL-Lafayette -4.5

UL-Lafayette makes its second straight trip to the New Orleans bowl after defeating San Diego State 32-30 as 6-point underdogs last season. It was a pro Ragin' Cajuns crowd but the Superdome was only about half full and East Carolina should travel much better than the Aztecs. ECU returns to the postseason after finishing 5-7 last year. They were blown out by Maryland, 51-20, in the 2010 Military Bowl.

The turning point for UL-Lafayette was its road win over UL-Monroe. They benefited from the Warhawks losing quarterback Kolton Browning to injury late in the first half, but it was still a significant victory. The following week they nearly Read more


Tags: College Football East Carolina Pirates C-USA UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Sun Belt Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oakland Grizzlies at West Virginia Mountaineers

12.19.2012     11:34 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland at West Virginia -11.5 O/U 146.5
Recommendation: West Virginia


Reading the quotes from Bobby Huggins, practice probably wasn't easy for the Mountaineers this week. Various players are in the dog house while others were called out for not putting in extra work. This team has plenty of issues but the biggest one is not being able to put the ball in the bucket. Their effective FG% ranks 318th nationally while they are hitting less than 27% of their threes. Now this isn't the type of team that is going to shoot 50% from the floor on a consistent basis but there will be nights when the shots do fall. Entire the Oakland Grizzlies who don’t play a lick of defense. They sport the second worst 2-point FG% defense in the country at 61.1%. That means WVU should have plenty of easy looks and not be forced to rely on outside shots. The Grizzlies have also had a difficult time stepping up in class on the road. With the exception of the 10-point overtime Read more


Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Oakland Grizzlies Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Stanford Cardinal at NC State Wolfpack

12.18.2012     11:29 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford at NC State -7.5 O/U 142
Recommendation: NC State


I think Stanford is in for a difficult time tonight at NC State. The Cardinal will be playing their first road game of the season clear across the country against a quality foe eager for a marquee win. I typically don't make much of revenge angles but it is important to note that last year NC State traveled to Palo Alto had a comfortable lead and then allowed Stanford to close the game on a 17-1 run – much of that run occurred without CJ Leslie who was sitting due to cramps.  Offensively, Stanford has really struggled to shoot the basketball despite not having played a true road game. In losses to Belmont, Minnesota and Missouri, the Cardinal shot only 42% from the floor and an even more alarming 14-of-64, 21.8% from three. Stanford also wasn't a great road team last year. Their six PAC-12 losses were by margins of 11, 13, 13, 10, 11 and 1 (at Utah). But while a lot lines up for NC State, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinal NC State Wolfpack Andrew Lange




College Basketbal Betting Free Play: UL-Monroe Warhawks at Florida State Seminoles

12.17.2012     12:53 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UL-Monroe at Florida State -25
Recommendation: Florida State


UL-Monroe is arguably the worst team in college basketball. Already this season we've seen them lose to Oklahoma by 34, Arkansas-Little Rock by 25 and last time out, at home, by 29 to Southern. Last year's ULM team won three games and they were forced to reload with JC players. They've purposely scheduled fewer games so the kids can hit the books harder in order to boost the team's APR. The bottom line is if and when ULM covers, it will come as a result of other teams clearing their bench and calling off the dogs not because they came through the backdoor with a flurry of points late. Florida State is going through a transition and head coach Leonard Hamilton's main concern is getting his kids to buy into his style of play. There have been pitfalls including home losses to South Alabama and Mercer but when focused, the Seminoles have shown they still have the ability to outclass teams at home (see: 95-68 vs. Buffalo; 91-59 vs. Maine). With finals out of the way and nothing significant looming on deck until the weekend, I expect the Seminoles to be focused for this contest.



Tags: College Basketball UL-Monroe Warhawks Florida State Seminoles Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: How important is the first meeting to a rematch?

12.17.2012     07:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting theory in play tonight with Louisiana Tech and Arkansas-Little Rock hooking up for a second time this season. In the first meeting, Tech rolled to a 70-52 home win. For tonight's rematch, they are currently priced as 2-point road chalk. I unearthed my College Basketball Prospectus from a few years back and remember an article written by Ken Pomeroy on second meets. The records are a little dated but over a five-year span, Pomeroy found that teams that won the first meeting at home by 20-29 points were a relatively modest 283-202 (.583) in the road rematch. Teams that won by 10-19 points (like Louisiana Tech) were 781-759 (.507). Now if it is the road team doing to initial butt-kicking, they win the rematch around 80 percent of the time at home.

The point here is that while Louisiana Tech may be the better overall team, the end result from the first meeting shouldn’t have much of an impact if any into your handicap. Perhaps more important: Will Little Rock turn the ball over 19 times like it did in Ruston? How concerned should I be over Tech's recent road losses to Northwestern State and McNeese? Is Little Rock's 7-0 record at home for real? Bottom line Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




Potato Bowl Betting Preview: Toledo Rockets vs. Utah State Aggies

12.14.2012     02:29 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Boise, Idaho
Saturday, December 15, 1:30 pm PT - ESPN
Toledo vs. Utah State
CRIS Opener:
Utah State -10 O/U 57.5
CRIS Closer: Utah State -10 O/U 58.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Utah State -14.5

For as dynamic as the offense was at times, Utah State's season was defined by its defense. The schedule wasn't tough (92nd SOS) but only twice (vs. San Jose and Louisiana Tech) did the Aggies allow more than five yards per play. Note that they played a majority of those two contests with a significant lead. Toledo meanwhile wasn't nearly as proficient. The Rockets’ SOS was worse at 106th and yet they allowed 5.33 yards per play or more in every game but one – the season finale against a completely gassed Akron squad. Clearly, one team has the ability to force punts while the other does not.

From an ACCU-Stat perspective, Utah State again Read more


Tags: College Football Toledo Rockets MAC Utah State Aggies WAC Andrew Lange




Sports Betting Podcast 12-14-2012 with Handicappers Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa

12.14.2012     10:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 15 NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast. Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective. Brent Crow also stepped in and talked Friday and Saturday college hoops.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - Friday and Saturday College Basketball

Erin Rynning - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Alf Musketa - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" Read more


Tags: College Basketball NFL Brent Crow Erin Rynning Alf Musketa




New Mexico Bowl Betting Preview: Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Arizona Wildcats

12.13.2012     01:33 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

New Mexico Bowl - Albuquerque, NM
Saturday, December 15, 10 am PT - ESPN
Nevada vs. Arizona
CRIS Opener:
Arizona -9 O/U 76
CRIS Current: Arizona -9 O/U 77
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Arizona -11.5

Run through all 70 bowl teams and you’d have a hard time coming up with many worse than Arizona when it comes to stopping the competition. However, it appears the Wildcats lucked out by drawing Nevada in this year’s New Mexico Bowl. Of teams playing in the postseason, only Baylor was worse than the Wolf Pack at stopping teams on third down. Keep in mind the Bears played the 4th toughest schedule in the country, while Nevada played the 113th. And in looking at Nevada’s schedule, only Fresno State compares to Arizona from a yards-per-game perspective and the Bulldogs hung 52 on the Wolf Pack. 

The turning point in Nevada's season was the overtime loss to San Read more


Tags: College Football Nevada Wolf Pack Arizona Wildcats Andrew Lange



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