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MLB Gambling Free Pick: Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers

06.11.2013     10:37 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Kluber) at Texas (Holland)
Recommendation: Under 5.5 1st 5


I've been high on Texas' Derek Holland all season and he hasn't disappointed. At a hit and strikeout per inning – and tossing in the American League – he's proven himself to be one of the top left-handed arms in the game. Tonight he faces a Cleveland offense that is as streaky as it comes. They're currently in an eight-game slump in which the offense has produced some truly dismal splits: .211/.267/.576. Cleveland's Corey Kluber has been a pleasant surprise. The big right-handed has good stuff (9.85 Ks per 9) but has been a bit unfortunate (.341 BABIP, 4.56 ERA/2.84 xFIP). Kluber just wrapped up a four-game swatch in which he faced New York, Tampa, Boston, and Detroit and posted a rock solid stellar 29/3 K/BB ratio while allowing only 18 hits. Cleveland's bullpen isn't very trustworthy but I like both starting pitchers which got me to the window with a play under the total, first 5 innings.



Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Cleveland Indians Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Oakland A's at Chicago White Sox

06.07.2013     06:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland (Parker) at Chicago WS (Sale) -120 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


This may be the easiest free play write-up in history in part because we are going back to the well with another Jarrod Parker/Chris Sale under the total bet. On Sunday those faced off in Oakland with a total of 7 – both teams barely got to seven hits as the A's won 2-0. Everyone knows how dominant Sale has been but Parker has quietly returned to last year's stellar form. Over his last four starts, he has allowed only 17 hits and six earned runs in 27.1 innings to go with a 21/6 K-to-BB ratio and 1.98 ERA. Obviously Cellular Field plays a bit smaller than Oakland Coliseum, however I still see two pitchers trending in a positive direction and facing two sub-par offenses. Get this Read more


Tags: MLB Oakland A's Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Free Pick: New York Mets at Washington Nationals

06.05.2013     07:04 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Mets (Gee) at Washington (Haren) -140 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


I was pretty active early in the season in fading New York's Dillon Gee but after a few adjustments, an uptick in velocity, and his best start of the season, perhaps we can jump in a "buy low" on the young right-hander. Last season Gee pitched to a 4.10 ERA and 3.54 xFIP. This year's strikeout and walk numbers are almost identical and his xFIP is a respectable 4.00. He's been a little unlucky with the home run ball (1.42 per 9) and BABIP (.356). Dan Haren was also on my early season fade list and while still NL-average, like Gee, he too has pitched better than his raw numbers (5.09 ERA/4.16 xFIP). Overall I see two mediocre pitchers who are in decent form and have a chance to pitch better than their numbers because of two below average offenses. Since May 1, Washington is hitting .224/.278/.633 and averaging 3.4 runs per game. The Mets own nearly identical splits for the entire season. I’m in with a Read more


Tags: MLB New York Mets Washington Nationals Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers

06.04.2013     12:14 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Moore) at Detroit (Sanchez) -140 O/U 8
Recommendation: Detroit


Over his next few starts, I'm think we'll start to see Tampa’s Matt Moore come back down to earth. Moore is currently 8-0 with a 2.18 ERA but nearly all of peripheral numbers suggest he's been fortunate. His BABIP (.201) is the lowest of any qualified starter, as is his left-on-base percentage (91.1). His xFIP (4.38) ranks 79th overall, right behind Kevin Slowey and Phil Hughes. And to top it all off, his velocity has been down a few ticks from where he was at last season. No question Moore has the makeup of being a long term, above average American League starter, but his low-2 ERA days are numbered. Meanwhile there is nothing fluky about Detroit's Anibal Sanchez. He's posted 89 strikeouts in 71 innings and two starts that produced a whopping 26 swinging strikes. Overall, Sanchez has actually outpitched his 2.79 ERA with a 2.42 xFIP. A few years ago, this line would have been close to a pick 'em but the Read more


Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Tampa Bay Rays Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners

06.03.2013     07:06 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago WS (Danks) at Seattle (Saunders) -115 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Seattle


The fact that I am throwing support Joe Saunders’ way should give you a good idea of how little confidence I have in John Danks right now. Danks of course is coming off shoulder surgery and missed an entire year. In two starts since his return, the lefty has allowed six earned runs and three home runs in 10 innings against Miami and the Cubs. His average fastball in those two outings was around 88 mph and there are rumbling that at the young age of 28, Danks will need to use his “guile” rather than “stuff” to survive at the MLB level moving forward. Saunders has that whole home/road dichotomy thing working and to a certain degree it makes sense he’s had more success at home in a more pitcher friendly environment. He’s still a sub-par American League arm in my book but if I’m going to trust him, it’ll be at Safeco against a weak-hitting lineup like the Read more


Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago White Sox at Oakland A's

06.02.2013     07:45 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago WS (Sale) at Oakland (Parker) -110 O/U 7
Recommendation: Under


Despite having a start skipped and another cut short due to rain, all indications point towards Chicago's Chris Sale being good to go for this afternoon's start in Oakland. And so long as he's close to being 100 – I doubt the White Sox would risk their prized possession – we're talking about one of the top left-handed arms in all of baseball. He faces an Oakland offense that after leading the AL in runs for the month of April (by 20) has come crashing down to earth with .235/.318/.696 splits for the month of May. Oakland's Jarrod Parker has pitched much better of late with four straight quality starts. If you look at his seasonal starts, it was tough sledding against offenses like Cleveland, Baltimore, and Detroit. But against more modest competition, he's been effective. And the reason I bring that up is today's opponent may be the weakest offense Parker has faced all season. Kansas City hasn't hit the Read more


Tags: MLB Oakland A's Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange




MLB Betting Free Play: Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves

05.29.2013     06:54 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Toronto (Rogers) at Atlanta (Medlen) -175 O/U 8
Recommendation: Over


The fact that Esmil Rogers is the 10th Blue Jays pitcher to start this year indicates the team certainly prefers him in the role of reliever. But even out of the bullpen, Rogers has had his struggles with 30 hits allowed and a 14-8 K-to-BB ratio in 25.2 innings of work. He has decent stuff and his career numbers are skewed due to Coors Field but given Toronto's track record with starting pitchers, if he was good enough, he would have already been given an opportunity to start. I expect 5 inning max out of Rogers which puts half the game in the hands of a bullpen that threw eight innings last night. Atlanta's Kris Medlen boasts an ERA of 3.16 but the rest of his numbers suggest he's once again been on the fortunate side. His strikeouts are down, walks are up, fly balls are up, and his FIP/xFIP are well below league average. After a slow start to the month, Toronto has put together a 12-9 run while averaging over six runs Read more


Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Toronto Blue Jays Andrew Lange




Sports Betting Podcast 5-27-2013 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

05.27.2013     09:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. Erin and host Andrew Lange rolled through all of today's mid-afternoon and evening Interleague MLB.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game of the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB Erin Rynning




MLB Betting Free Play: Los Angeles Angels at Kansas City Royals

05.25.2013     07:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Angels (Buckner) at Kansas City (Guthrie) -130 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


The Angels are finally starting to click offensively with 47 runs over their last six games (all victories). Note that five of those six games were against right-handed starters which they'll see today in Jeremy Guthrie. Guthrie's regression is already in full swing after getting pounded by Houston and these same Angels his last two starts. His numbers suggest more struggles are coming: .264 BABIP, 90.9% LOB, 5.88 FIP, 4.75 FIP. Not to mention 4.85 Ks and 3.03 BBs per 9 innings – rates you typically associate with a mid-4 or higher ERA in the American League. LA will send former KC 2nd round pick Billy Buckner to the hill. Buckner hasn't thrown in the bigs since 2010 and his career numbers (138.1 IP, 173 hits, 6.25 ERA) give us a good indication why. He was at one point traded for Dontrelle Willis! Even though KC's offense is nothing to get excited about, when they do score runs, it typically comes Read more


Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels Kansas City Royals Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers

05.22.2013     06:31 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Dodgers (Ryu) -110 at Milwaukee (Peralta) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Hyun-Jin Ryu has been solid thus far; like a lot of Far East products he features an arsenal of different pitches at different speeds. He's had a fairly favorable schedule with four games in LA and two in San Francisco and New York. In games at Atlanta, Baltimore, and Arizona, Ryu was a bit more hittable, allowing nine earned runs in 17 innings. Coming from the left side, I view today as perhaps his toughest assignment with the Brewers loaded with right-handed bats in a hitter friendly park.

Wily Peralta hasn't been the most fortunate starter in baseball but his 29-to-17 K-to-BB ratio in 50 innings certainly hasn't helped his cause. I like Peralta's groundball rate (54.5%) but his inability to consistently miss bats and avoid the long ball (6 HRs allowed) makes him a fringe NL arm in my book. Also note that his start in LA (6 IP, 3 ERs) was with Doug Eddings behind the plate.

And while Read more


Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Lange



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