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NFL Gambling Preview: New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys

10.09.2015     09:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
New England at Dallas
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -7 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -8 O/U 49.5
Recommendation: New England

Dallas lost to New Orleans last Sunday Night due to two primary factors.  First, their passing game with Brandon Weeden behind center instead of Tony Romo and Dez Bryant sidelined has been borderline inept.  That’s not going to change with an extra week of practice, nor will their QB play improve dramatically if Weeden gets benched for the just acquired Matt Cassel, who has crashed and burned at every previous NFL stop since his one successful season in New England back in 2008.

Second, the Cowboys very thin defense has become an injury riddled mess; a factor that won’t change significantly even with Greg Hardy and Rolando McClain expected to make their season debuts this week following NFL mandated four game suspensions for both guys.  A Cowboys secondary that couldn’t stop Matt Ryan two weeks ago or Drew Brees last week is ill prepared to stop Tom Brady and the Patriots devastating short passing attack this Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Dallas Cowboys Teddy Covers

NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles

10.09.2015     07:01 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
New Orleans at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -4.5 O/U 48.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -5 O/U 49.5
Recommendation: Over

Banged up and struggling, the Eagles are looking for multiple answers after 1-3 SU/ATS start to the season. Fortunately they reside in the troubled NFC East where the average mark of 2-2 is good enough to create a three-way tie for first place. Because their opponents have plenty of issues themselves, the divisional race figures to stay tight and allow Philadelphia the opportunity to calmly attempt to get things corrected rather than be in early season desperation mode.

Philly’ offensive line is becoming a bigger problem each week as the combination of injuries, inexperience, and poor veteran play has made this a very exploitable weakness. The ill-advised off-season release of OG Evan Mathis has added to the woes. In the secondary, prized off-season acquisition CB Byron Maxwell’s quad contusion had him sitting out Tuesday’s practice because his ability to run full speed and decelerate are hindered right now. If he goes on Read more

Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints Philadelphia Eagles Rob Veno

NFL Gambling Alert: Andrew Luck not starting vs. Texans

10.08.2015     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Big waves were made in the NFL betting markets this morning following the announcement that Andrew Luck would not start tonight's game at Houston. The Colts will instead go with Matt Hasselbeck who was reportedly ill during the week. The Texans opened as a pick 'em but when news broke that Luck may not play, the line jumped to -2.5. Once it became official, more Houston money poured in with the line now -4 across the board. The total was also whacked down from 45 to 41.

Tags: NFL Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts

NFL Gambling Alert: Luck listed as probable vs. Houston

10.07.2015     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
After missing last week's game vs. Jacksonville, all signs point toward Andrew Luck (shoulder) starting Thursday's divisional game against Houston. With Luck probable, a number of offshore sportsbooks posted the Colts -1 earlier this morning.

"I think I've gotten better every day," Luck said. "I don't think I'm necessarily where I'd want to be today in a perfect, perfect world."

“Basically you work on getting your range of motion back, you work on getting your rotator cuff strengthened 100 percent and then you start working on throwing mechanics to see if a person can throw at velocity like they normally would,” Lintner said.

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Houston Texans

DFS sites place ban on employee participation

10.06.2015     08:33 AM     Printer Friendly

Scramble mode for DFS site FanDuel and DraftKings after word got out various employees were using their ability to access accounts to better position themselves for various contests. As actual sports bettors, it's both comical and concerning to sit back and watch these sites pedal themselves as not only legit but "skill based." It's all bullshit, but on the same token, you want them to succeed to a certain degree with the hope it will eventually lead to nationwide legalized sports betting. Not looking good, is it?

“We’ve heard from users that they would appreciate more clarity about the rules for this issue. In the interim, while the industry works to develop and release a more detailed policy, DraftKings and FanDuel have decided to prohibit employees from participating in online fantasy sports contests for money.”

Read more

Tags: NFL College Football

Sports Betting Podcast 10-5-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Teddy Covers

10.05.2015     10:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Teddy Covers. Ian previewed a few "bet on" and "bet against" teams in the NHL's Eastern Conference. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report for Week 5 of the NFL.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - NHL Eastern Conference

Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report - Week 5

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NHL NFL Ian Cameron Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The NFL's square/sharp divide

10.05.2015     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
On Twitter every Sunday, there’s always significant discussion of what the NFL sharp/square divide games are for that day.  There’s an old quote from legendary Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro that goes like this: “Squares bet teams, sharps bet numbers.”  And there’s plenty of truth to that quote.  For example, at the weekly Tuesday Group football discussion for pro bettors here in Vegas, nobody says “I like team X this weekend.”  They say, “I like Team X at +3 or higher.”  Recreational players, on the other hand, have a general tendency to focus on teams, not pointspreads. 

That gives pros a leg up when it comes to catching half point wins instead of half point losses in games that finish with a final margin right around the pointspread or total.  Last Thursday’s Ravens-Steelers game is a classic example of that.  Line shoppers, by definition, at least somewhat sharp, won laying -2.5 with Baltimore and pushed taking +3 with Pittsburgh, able to avoid a losing ticket regardless of which side they bet.  The vast majority of non-line shoppers took a push with either Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

Player data leaked at DraftKings

10.05.2015     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
DraftKings reportedly had issues regarding leaked player data calling into question the regulation of the DFS industry.

With too many employees presumably having access to this inside information, it raises the specter of insiders using this non-public information to gain an edge when they play similar contests for big money on other sites.

At a minimum, DFS employees and insiders should be restricted from playing on any site (not just their own), and access to this type of information should be limited only to the most essential of personnel. If it’s too easily accessible to most employees, the risk and suspicion of insider profiteering will not go away anytime soon.


Tags: NFL College Football

NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus plays now 15-5 ATS YTD

10.05.2015     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 4's SuperContest consensus plays earned a profit for a fourth consecutive week. On the season, top 5 plays are now 15-5 ATS.

1. ARIZONA -7 vs. St. Louis - LOSS
2. CAROLINA -3 at Tampa Bay - WIN
3. NY GIANTS +5 vs. Buffalo - WIN
4. JACKSONVILLE +9 vs. Indianapolis - WIN
5. CINCINNATI -4 vs. Kansas City - WIN

Weekly Results
Week 1: 5-0
Week 2: 3-2
Week 3: 3-2
Week 4: 4-1
Total: 15-5

NFL Gambling: SuperContest Week 4 consensus picks

10.04.2015     07:19 AM     View Original Blog

Below are the top consensus plays for Week 4 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. ARIZONA -7 Read more

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling: SuperContest Week 4 consensus picks

10.04.2015     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 4 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. ARIZONA -7 vs. St. Louis
2. CAROLINA -3 at Tampa Bay
3. NY GIANTS +5 vs. Buffalo
4. JACKSONVILLE +9 vs. Indianapolis
5. CINCINNATI -4 vs. Kansas City

Least picked Sunday side: Indianapolis -9 vs. Jacksonville

Tags: NFL


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