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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Mini-Camp Betting News

06.22.2015     01:34 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
All 32 NFL teams have concluded their OTA’s (organized team activities) and mini-camps over the past few weeks.  There’s nothing else on the horizon for the NFL before the start of training camps in mid-July.  Therefore, it’s time for bettors and fans alike to fixate on the news trickling out of those mini-camps over the last few weeks.  Here are half a dozen such reports, with teams listed in alphabetical order and information coming from local sources.

Arizona Cardinals - Arizona was an elite team with Carson Palmer behind center last year.  When Palmer got hurt, they were still a pretty good team until Drew Stanton got hurt as well.  Once Arizona was down to a third stringer at quarterback, the back end of the season was ugly as they closed out with a 2-5 stretch, culminating in a blowout to Carolina in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs.

Both Palmer and Stanton fully participated in mini-camp, with Palmer entering the new season as the clear starter, even at 35 years old and coming off his second ACL surgery.  Palmer wowed observers at mini-camp, looking extremely sharp in 11-on-11 Read more

Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Atlanta Falcons Buffalo Bills Houston Texans San Diego Chargers Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers

Add Clinton Portis to the list of horrible gamblers

06.18.2015     09:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
In sticking with theme of gamblers ringing up crazy casino debts, here we have former NFL running back Clinton Portis who reportedly owes the MGM Grand $287K. He also owes $500K in back taxes which begs the questions, WTF?

Tags: NFL

NFL players told not to attend poker tournament

06.15.2015     09:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
NFL players can't get away with much these days whether it's defensive holding or coming within spitting distance of a casino. A couple of Miami Dolphins players were told not to attend a non-charity poker event at Seminole Casino because it was considered "promotional." 

“The players told me they were advised they couldn’t play,” he told TMZ Sports. “The NFL is just doing this as a precaution. It’s an absolute joke. The NFL is built on gambling. This is the players’ time off, and they hang out with fans at a legal gambling event at a legit casino.”

Tags: NFL Poker

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The Curious Case of the Philadelphia Eagles

06.15.2015     09:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s not hard to predict which NFL teams are going to be the betting favorites coming into the campaign.  Look no further than the NFL Season Win Totals markets.  Just about all of the top teams – teams lined at nine wins or higher – have one commonality.  In a quarterback’s league, they all have top tier quarterbacks.

Baltimore has Joe Flacco.  Dallas has Tony Romo.  Denver has Peyton Manning.  Green Bay has Aaron Rodgers.  Indianapolis has Andrew Luck.  New England has Tom Brady.  New Orleans has Drew Brees.  Seattle has Russell Wilson.  That’s eight of the ten teams that are lined at 9 wins or higher this year; all squad with elite level quarterbacks.  Miami, with the promising Ryan Tannehill firmly entrenched as the starting QB, is lined at nine wins in many locations as well (8.5 with juice to the over in others).

And then there’s Philadelphia, lined at 9.5 wins in most locations.  The Eagles have Sam Bradford and Mark Sanchez battling for the starting job.  With Bradford – their big offseason pickup and the former #1 overall draft choice from 2010 Read more

Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers

NFL gets pissy over Fantasy Football convention in Las Vegas

06.10.2015     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It doesn't get anymore NFL than this. A bunch of players were slated to host a Fantasy Sports event at a Las Vegas casino but the league stepped in and kiboshed the whole deal. The reason? Because it was slated to take place at a casino which is a no-no according to the league. The real reason, as pointed out by one of the slated attendees, Tony Romo, was of course money. The NFL makes a shit-ton of cash off of fantasy football but reportedly didn't stand to make a dime, hence the cancellation.

"There's just far too many cases and it does make it sound sometimes that it's an issue about money, which is disappointing because we were just trying to get the fans to hang out with players."

Tags: NFL Las Vegas

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors show early opinions on Jets and 49ers

06.08.2015     08:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The NFL futures market is heating up as the calendar turns to June.  Two teams in particular have seen significant action.  Money has poured in against the San Francisco 49ers, the #1 bet against team of the offseason, without a shred of debate.  And money has been flowing in support of the New York Jets. I did debate using the Minnesota Vikings as my top wiseguy bet-on team in early trading, but the markets have moved towards the Jets with a vehemence that Minnesota just can’t match.   In this week's Wiseguy Report, I’ll dive into the 49ers and Jets to see why the sharps have such strong opinions about their upcoming campaigns.

There’s no mystery surrounding all the anti-49ers money that’s been pouring in since the very first win totals were posted at CG Gaming back in February.  The markets hated the loss of hard driving, overachieving head coach Jim Harbaugh and they certainly don’t care for his replacement Jim Tomsula; a largely anonymous Niners assistant with no previous NFL head coaching experience (he did coach the Rhein Fire on NFL Europe for one season back in 2006). 

Most big, early Read more

Tags: NFL New York Jets San Francisco 49ers Minnesota Vikings Teddy Covers Las Vegas

You're dreaming if you think sports betting in New Jersey will be approved by football season

05.28.2015     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
They should just cover New Jersey's quest for legalized sports betting like an injury report -- probable, questionable, doubtful, and no freaking chance. Those who stand to gain off of it have always has a overly optimistic outlook. Those with a more grounded opinion are listing betting on the NFL in September as "doubtful." 

“There’s a 95-percent chance that by football season this year we’ll be taking bets at Monmouth park,” said Dennis Drazin, an attorney for the Oceanport track. “I believe what will happen is the Third Circuit will either decide we can go forward or they will give us a roadmap,” he said.

Tags: NFL

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors discuss potential impact of new PAT rule

05.26.2015     07:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The NFL has evolved into the most popular sport for both fans and bettors over the last half century in part because of it’s unpredictability.  The old saying attributed to NFL Commissioner Bert Bell (1945-1959), ‘On any given Sunday, any team in the NFL can beat any other team' has proven true over the years, even in the modern era. 

In September alone last year, the Dolphins upset the Patriots, the Titans won at Kansas City, the Chargers beat the Seahawks, the Bears beat the 49ers, the Bucs beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh and the Chiefs whipped the Patriots.  Each and every one of those games was a significant upset both SU and ATS.

Fans and bettors alike are quite comfortable watching a two-foot putt in golf, or free throw attempts in the NBA; not exactly the most exciting plays that either sport has to offer. The NFL has boring plays as well, most notably the extra point try.  NFL teams made their extra points more than 99% of the time last year, not exactly the essence of drama.

The league, in their infinite wisdom, just decided that the NFL extra point try was too boring.  Instead of doing it the way it’s Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas

NFL Handicapping: Week 1 lines are up but no one's betting...yet

05.21.2015     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Two weeks ago, CRIS posted lines on every Week 1 NFL game -- not the first sportsbook it do so but arguably the most important. Betting on the NFL is really popular -- way more so that the current lineup of MLB, NBA and NHL Playoffs and Arena Football. And despite providing bettors with a 3+ month head start, there has been literally no movement in the betting markets. Sure, the limits are reduced and a lot of teams still have various questions regarding personnel. But unlike college football, everyone has a pretty good understanding of who's going to take the field in Week 1. Yet, of the 16 lines games, not one has moved off of a key number both side and total -- we're not counting the Tom Brady fiasco. There are currently nine games sitting on 2.5, 3, and 6 -- numbers that typically lend themselves to opinion. And while CRIS obviously knows what they are doing when it comes to hanging an NFL line, one would think bettors would want to jump in and take advantage. Not the case. Based on last year's line history most Week 1 games started to move in July and even more so after preseason play got underway. Until then, if you see something you like, take a shot, but if you think Read more

Tags: NFL

NFL Handicapping: League moves PAT attempts back to the 15-yard line

05.20.2015     06:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The NFL announced that PAT attempts will be moved back to the 15-yard line this season. In 2014, kickers hit 96.7% from that range -- without the ability to place the ball in a preferred spot like they can with a PAT. It will however make for some great Twitter the first time a kicker doinks one off the upright to miss out on a pointspread cover.

Tags: NFL


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