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MLB Gambling Alert: Bettors react to Strasburg's potential arm problems
06.01.2012 10:52 AM
Printer Friendly
Atlanta
(Minor) at
Washington
(Strasburg) -145 O/U 7.5
The betting markets have come in strong against the Washington Nationals and Stephen Strasburg tonight. Strasburg
left his last start
with what was called "arm fatigue." He allowed a season high four earned runs and four walks. Unfortunately, supporting Atlanta's Mike Minor is pretty risky considering he's allowed 28 earned runs over his last five outings. Not surprising to see the total bet up from 7 to 7.5.
Line history courtesy of 5Dimes.
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Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
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MLB Gambling Free Pick: Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox
06.01.2012 10:03 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Seattle (Hernandez) at Chicago (Peavy) -125 O/U 7
Recommendation: Over
The White Sox have been Over machines at the Cell in recent weeks; 8-1 to the Over in their last nine tries at home. Robin Ventura’s lineup has been crushing opposing pitching, pounding out 64 runs in those last nine at home. Don’t expect King Felix to change the ChiSox offensive fortunes this evening. Hernandez has been getting roughed up consistently in recent weeks, 1-3 with a 5.94 ERA in his last four trips to the hill. He’s been bombed three times in his last five road starts and is winless with an ERA well over 4.00 in his last four starts on the south side of Chicago.
Seattle’s lineup came alive during their just concluded series at Texas, as the light hitting Mariners exploded for 31 runs in the final two games of the series, going Over the total by themselves in both contests. They also scored 28 runs in the final five games of their previous road trip, finding offensive production much easier away from pitcher friendly Safeco Field. Chicago starter Jake Peavy has been hammered for 13 earned runs in his
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Chicago White Sox
Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 6-1-2012 with Handicapper Erin Rynning
06.01.2012 09:59 AM
Printer Friendly
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER broke down the MLB card and the NBA Playoffs from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB and NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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MLB Gambling Notes: Detroit's infield defense has been brutal
06.01.2012 08:26 AM
Printer Friendly
Article on how Detroit's
sub-par infield defense
of Miguel Cabrera, Prince Fielder, Johnny Peralta, Ryan Rayburn and Ramon Santiago has cost the team plenty of runs. The Tigers rank near the bottom in nearly every defensive category.
As Rosenthal points out, the Tigers had converted 71 percent of their ground balls into outs (heading into last weekend), the worst rate in the majors, according to Bloomberg Sports. Toronto is first at 83.1 percent.
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Detroit Tigers
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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
06.01.2012 08:15 AM
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Pittsburgh
(Correia) +135 at
Milwaukee
(Wolf) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Pittsburgh
The Brewers (23-28) return home following a seven-game road trip and which concluded with a four-game sweep of the LA Dodgers. Milwaukee is just 11-13 at Miller Park this season and Randy Wolf (2-4, 5.73 ERA) is hardly a pitcher you can play with confidence, especially laying a pretty big price. Well aware the Brewers won eight of nine home games over the Pirates last season, but Milwaukee was a playoff team with a strong offense and better pitching (0.80 better ERA). Wolf is very hittable with 70 hits allowed in 55 innings with 22 walks (1.67 WHIP) and 30 strikeouts. His .313 BAA speaks loudly to his struggles this season. He’s been out-pitching his skills in recent years but it’s catching up to him as he turns 36 this season. Milwaukee’s lack of offense (.241) can no longer bail him out.
The Pirates offense is a big concern as they are hitting a NL-worst
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Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
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MLB Betting Alert: Detroit sends rookie lefty Casey Crosby to the hill
06.01.2012 08:05 AM
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NY Yankees
(Sabathia) -160 at
Detroit
(Crosby) O/U 8.5
Detroit lefty Casey Crosby will make his
MLB debut
tonight against the New York Yankees. He's a big kid at 6-5 and has shown a strong ability to miss bats with 10.13 strikeouts per 9 innings at Triple-A Toledo. Command has been an issue at times though over his last two starts, he fanned 16 while walking only one. He was beat out by Drew Smyly for a spot in the rotation to start the season.
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MLB Betting Notes: Boston's Buchholz says he is making progress
06.01.2012 07:04 AM
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Boston
(Buchholz) at
Toronto
(Alvarez) -125 O/U 9.5
No pitcher in baseball has had more "
encouraging starts
" than Boston's Clay Buchholz. After allowing two earned runs in seven innings last time out against Tampa Bay, Buchholz noted that he's felt much better of late. But while Buchholz’s last four starts were an upgrade over (4.56 ERA) April's disaster (8.69 ERA) there is still nothing to indicate that he is ready to dominate.
“I’ve been able to start trusting it again and start throwing it like I have in the past instead of trying to baby it and guide it and throw it for a strike,” the right-hander explained. “It’s been just trying to throw a fastball with a different grip right now, and that’s when it’s at its best.
“It’s the pitch it always has been
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Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
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MLB Handicapping: Hitting and pitching numbers identical to last season
05.31.2012 02:48 PM
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Taking a quick look at the league-wide hitting and pitching stats for 2011 and 2012. The numbers are almost identical. Totals meanwhile are nearly 50-50 with a small six-game edge toward the Over.
2011 National League Batting
4.13 runs per game
.253 batting average
.319 on-base %
.391 slugging %
.719 OPS
2012 National League Batting
4.15 runs per game
.252 batting average
.318 on-base %
.395 slugging %
.713 OPS
2011 American League Batting
4.46 runs per game
.258 batting average
.323 on-base %
.408 slugging %
.730 OPS
2012 American League Batting
4.42 runs per game
.252 batting average
.320 on-base
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MLB Betting Notes: Expect totals at Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park to climb
05.31.2012 12:01 PM
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Remember a few weeks back when totals at
Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park
were in that 7-5-8.5 range? Well with the weather warming, a starting rotation that has been historically prone to giving up the long ball, AND the fact that hitting one out in right center requires the strength of an average teenager, those 9's you saw during the recent series against Colorado are about to become the norm.
"The ball doesn't fly here any better than any other place and it's not that it's super windy,'' said Reds starter Bronson Arroyo. "It's that the gaps are small.
"You can have short lines like Yankee Stadium, but as long as the gaps get big, you're OK. Gaps are your safe zone. They keep guys from hitting the ball out all over the place. It's frustrating when a ball that would be caught in 25 other parks goes out here by a couple of rows.
"If the gaps were 20 feet bigger here you'd cut down 20 to 30 home runs to right-center every year and that would make it a little fairer for everyone. But at
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MLB Handicapping: American League rookie pitchers
05.31.2012 09:36 AM
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Good breakdown of a few
American League rookie pitchers
. Note that of the group, Alex Cobb, Drew Hutchison, Scott Diamond, and Jarrod Parker, all but Parker is profitable this season.
Jarrod Parker (A's are 3-4 in his starts) -0.30 units
Scott Diamond (Twins are 4-1 in his starts) +4.10 units
Alex Cobb (Rays are 2-1 in his starts) +1.0 units
Drew Hutchison (Jays are 5-3 in his starts +2.20 units
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