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January

24

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NFL Gambling: Patriots and Chargers top picks for Week 2 SuperContest

09.14.2014     08:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 2 of the Hilton/LVH/Westgate SuperContest.

1. New England -3 at Minnesota
2. San Diego +6 vs. Seattle
3. Buffalo +1 vs. Miami
4. San Francisco -6.5 vs. Chicago
5. Detroit +3 at Carolina

Least picked Sunday side: St. Louis +5.5 at Tampa Bay

 




Tags: NFL




College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP Miners

09.13.2014     06:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Mexico State at UTEP
Saturday, 5 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
UTEP -10.5 O/U 62.5
CRIS Current: UTEP -10 O/U 56
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: UTEP -10
Drew Martin’s Recommendation: UTEP

In the 92nd edition of the Battle of I-10, UTEP will play host to New Mexico State on Saturday night in the Sun Bowl. The undefeated New Mexico State Aggies will make the journey from Las Cruces to El Paso in an attempt to win for the first time in this rivalry since 2008. As we dig into this out-of-conference matchup, we uncover some reasons to be skeptical of the undefeated underdog.

New Mexico State opened its season playing host to Cal Poly. The Aggies got the win, but it took until the middle of the fourth quarter to put Poly away with the final score being 28-10. The Aggies then went on the road in Week 2 in a conference matchup against Georgia State and came out of the Georgia Dome with a Read more



Tags: College Football New Mexico State Aggies UTEP Miners C-USA Drew Martin




NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Tennessee Titans

09.11.2014     01:58 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Tennessee
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Tennessee -3 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Tennessee -3 O/U 49.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Tennessee -1.5
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Tennessee

Much has been made of the Dallas Cowboys’ struggling defense and with good reason. They were terrible last year and lost several key players including MLB Sean Lee and DE Demarcus Ware in the offseason as well as CB Orlando Scandrick for the first four games due to a suspension. Last week they took another hit with weakside linebacker Justin Durant going down against San Francisco. He will be replaced by rookie Anthony Hitchens in the lineup this week against the Titans. Durant’s play-calling duties will now be handled by strongside linebacker Bruce Carter.

While the defensive issues are very much a factor for the Cowboys, the offense has come concerns as well. The expectation was that Dallas would be very Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Tennessee Titans Brent Crow




NFL Gambling Preview: Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers

09.10.2014     02:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle at San Diego
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -5 O/U 44.5
CRIS Current: Seattle -6 O/U 44
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Seattle -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Seattle

The recent history of defending Super Bowl Champions has not been a good one.  No team since the New England Patriots following their 2003 Super Bowl title has even won a single playoff game the following season. The last two defending champs – the Giants and Ravens – failed to make the playoffs the year after their title.

But Seattle is a different animal compared to recent Super Bowl champs.  Three things make the Seahawks different.  First, their coaching staff didn’t get raided this past offseason, as they return both coordinators.  The historical norm is that Super Bowl winning teams tend to lose some of their coaching talent in the offseason, but there’s full continuity for the Read more



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Injury-riddled Minnesota prompts TCU steam

09.09.2014     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Big steam play in the college football betting markets with TCU played up from -8 to as high as -14.5 vs. Minnesota. Much of the move was based on Golden Gopher injuries. Starting quarterback Mitch Leidner is questionable to play due to a strained MCL. Redshirt freshman Chris Streveler (1 career pass attempt) is Leidner's backup. They have also lost five players to ACL injuries, including two starters. As a result, the team is expected to play a handful of freshmen vs. TCU. The Horned Frogs are coming in off of a bye week.


“Any time you have a knee [injury], you’re concerned,” coach Jerry Kill said Sunday, while awaiting an update from the medical staff. “We haven’t had a lot of good luck [with recent knee injuries].”






Tags: College Football TCU Horned Frogs Big XII Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten




Sports Betting Update: Monmouth Park hopes to take NFL bets this Sunday

09.09.2014     09:37 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

New Jersey is expected to start offering sports betting as soon as this weekend. If not then within the next 30 days. Monmouth Park has reportedly been in talks with sportsbook heavyweight William Hill.


“I got calls from people who wanted to come to the track last night to bet,” he said.

He added that if the book is open Sunday – the main day for heavily bet NFL football games – it would probably be a “very basic operation.”







New Jersey mans up and announces sports betting now legal

09.08.2014     12:20 PM     Read more



Tags: NFL




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Under- and over-reacting to early season football results

09.08.2014     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I probably heard the same expression 20 times last week: ‘Don’t overreact to Week 1 results.’   It’s one of those handicapping mantras that we hear every year right around this time – the very beginning of football season. 

In basketball or baseball there’s no week off between the first two games and the early season betting markets don’t react intensely off a single poor performance.  But for football – both NFL and college – the prevailing conventional wisdom is that Week 1 results are a thing to take with a grain of salt.

The concept certainly makes sense.  Coaches – especially college football coaches – will tell you that they expect their biggest improvement between Week 1 and Week 2.  Without the benefit of preseason games or even scrimmages against opposing squads, teams often ‘work out the kinks’ and ‘get up to game speed’ in their initial contest.  The team you expected to see this year (at least for bettors who do some homework and have opinions coming into the campaign) might not be the team you saw in Week 1, but there’s Read more



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling Consensus: Bettors flock toward Auburn and South Alabama for Saturday

09.06.2014     06:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top five consensus bets (sides and totals) for Saturday's college football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
92.5% - AUBURN -33 vs. San Jose State
92.1% - SOUTH ALABAMA -3 at Kent State
90.7% - KENTUCKY -13 vs. Ohio
88.3% - UTAH -13.5 vs. Fresno State
88.2% - MARYLAND -13 at South Florida

TOTALS
96.2% - OVER 66 San Jose State at Auburn
95.2% - OVER 66 Texas Tech at UTEP
94.3% - UNDER 52.5 Idaho at UL-Monroe
93.4% - OVER 56.5 Michigan at Notre Dame
92.9% - OVER 66 New Mexico State at Georgia State




Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC South Alabama Jaguars Sun Belt




NFL Handicapping: League gets the Elo Ratings treatment

09.05.2014     11:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stat nerds will love this. FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver has created Elo Ratings for the NFL. Here's a link to Silver discussing the science behind it and another link to the ratings. His "spread" on last night's Packers-Seattle game was -10. One of the biggest discrepancies for Sunday's games is Detroit -1.5 vs. New York. The market currently has the Lions priced as a 6-point home favorite.


Do you also account for margin of victory?

Affirmative. I took some inspiration from the soccer ratings, which account for goal differential in addition to the game result. But this is one of the more complicated parts.

For the NFL, I start by adding one point to team’s margin of victory and then take its natural logarithm. Then I multiply that result by the K value. That means I’m more moved by big wins than narrow ones, although there are diminishing returns. I’m not so impressed by the fifth touchdown when a team is ahead 28-0.

Read more



Tags: NFL




College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas State Red Wolves at Tennessee Volunteers

09.05.2014     07:29 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arkansas State at Tennessee
Saturday, 9 am PT - SEC
CRIS Opener:
Tennessee -17.5 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Tennessee -17 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Tennessee -17.5
Paul Stone's Recommendation: Tennessee

A Sun Belt versus SEC pairing at Neyland Stadium,one of college football's top venues, pits teams off lopsided season-opening wins. Butch Jones' Tennessee Volunteers mowed over Utah State, 38-7, Sunday, while first-year head coach Blake Anderson and the Arkansas State Red Wolves disposed of FCS opponent Montana State by a 37-10 margin one day earlier.

Attempting to reconstruct a program short on SEC caliber talent following Derek Dooley's brief tenure, Jones, in his second season, has displayed the ability to recruit at a high level and just might bring the Volunteers back near the glory days of the past if given enough time. In its opener against Utah State, Tennessee played a Read more



Tags: College Football Arkansas State Red Wolves Sun Belt Tennessee Volunteers SEC Paul Stone



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