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Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: USC Trojans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

12.19.2013     12:39 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
USC vs. Fresno State
Las Vegas Bowl
December 21, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
USC -4.5 O/U 62
CRIS Current: USC -6 O/U 63
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: USC -3.5 1st half

When the bowl pairings were announced a couple of Sundays ago, this matchup was one where the motivational angle of each team was questioned. Fresno State went from BCS buster three weeks ago to this late December, mid-afternoon appearance while the Trojans received this bid on the heels of the resignation of beloved interim head coach Ed Orgeron. To have the early handicapping concern that this game may be anti-climactic for both of these teams was legitimate but all signs currently point to Fresno State and USC having regrouped and now focused on this game.

For the Bulldogs, record setting senior quarterback Derek Carr quoted the team mantra heading into this contest Read more

Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12 Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West Rob Veno

NFL Handicapping: Brady wants offense to play at faster tempo

12.19.2013     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New England at Baltimore -2.5 O/U 44.5

A couple of quotes from New England quarterback Tom Brady about potentially picking up the pace against the Baltimore Ravens.

“Maybe we should do it more often,” Brady said on Wednesday, after the team’s first practice of the week in advance of their final regular-season road game, Sunday at Baltimore. “I just think we’re trying to figure out what we think is best to do to help us win. It just hasn’t really required that. But we go fast plenty of times, in those two-minute situations where we’ve done a good job.”

“To run three plays and punt really quickly doesn’t do you any more good than running three plays and huddling and all that, and [then] punting. Ultimately we have to score enough points and that

Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens

College Football Betting: UL-Lafayette's Broadway practiced but still doubtful

12.19.2013     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Tulane -2.5 O/U 49

There appears to be a small chance that UL-Lafayette quarterback Terrance Broadway could play in Saturday's New Orleans Bowl against Tulane. Broadway has a broken bone in his throwing arm but was able to practice yesterday. If he is unable to go, backups Brooks Haack and Jalen Nixon will reportedly split time.

“I thought he improved, but he still has a long ways to go based on what the young man has done,” Hudspeth said. “And he wants to be out there really bad.

“Realistically, though, we’ve got to see by Saturday, which is still a little time, if he progresses, and to make sure that thing is healed up.”

“We sort of know what we’re gonna do,” Hudspeth said somewhat cryptically. “Things maybe

Read more

Tags: College Football UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Sun Belt Tulane C-USA

College Football Gambling: Virginia Tech tries to close out disappointing season strong

12.17.2013     02:07 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Virginia Tech vs. UCLA -7 O/U 47

Virginia Tech's talks about preperation and mindset for its Sun Bowl matchup against UCLA.

“The fact of the matter is, we let three football games slip away,” first-year offensive coordinator Scot Loeffler said Saturday during the team’s bowl media day. “I think this bowl preparation, we should have a chip on our shoulder.”

“I think I can count on one hand how many plays I’d like to have back all year,” defensive coordinator Bud Foster said. “The kids did everything we asked of them all year defensively. … We had an ACC championship defense, if not a national championship-type defense.”

Tags: College Football Virginia Tech Hokies ACC UCLA Bruins PAC-12

College Football Handicapping: North Carolina in the right frame of mind for Belk Bowl

12.17.2013     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cincinnati vs. North Carolina -3 O/U 56.5

North Carolina's season was far from smooth as the Tar Heels started 1-5 and barely slipped into the postseason at 6-6. But this is a program that has been through a lot – NCAA issues, postseason ban, coaching changes, etc. – and is viewing the nearby Belk Bowl as an opportunity to send their seniors off on a good note.

“Think about this senior class and what they’ve been through,” UNC coach Larry Fedora said at the close of practice Monday.

“They come in here and we start out with the investigation. They see it through. They have to be the one to bear the weight of the sanctions,” Fedora said. “And then they had three head coaches, they’ve had two staffs. I know (defensive end) Kareem Martin has had six position coaches.

Read more

Tags: College Football Cincinnati Bearcats AAC North Carolina ACC

You can bet on Lee Corso's bowl picks for ESPN College Game Day

12.16.2013     01:34 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Speaking of bowl game prop bets, 5Dimes is offering some on Lee Corso's ESPN Game Day selections. And yes, there is a website that has somehow (we assume accurately) kept track of the Sunshine Scooter's record dating back to 1993 – as of a few weeks ago he was 66.59%...straight up, of course.

Corso's Picks
Michigan State +220
Stanford -300

Oklahoma +1000
Alabama -2000

Clemson +110
Ohio State -150

Auburn +500
Florida State -900

Tags: College Football

NFL Gambling Preview: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

12.13.2013     01:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Houston at Indianapolis
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Indianapolis -6.5 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Indianapolis -5 O/U 45.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Indianapolis -8
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Indianapolis

The wiseguys here in Vegas absolutely despise the Colts; rare vitriol from professional bettors.  Why the abject hatred for Indy?  Simple – Indy’s stats are lousy, just like they were last year; yet the Colts are on a 16-8 ATS run in their last 24 ballgames.  In other words, the sharp $$ has been fading Indy for two years and consistently losing those bets; a mounting source of frustration.

Those same wiseguys have cashed betting against the Colts three times in their last five games; blowout losses against the Rams, Cardinals and Bengals.  And we’re seeing heavy money pour in on Houston, against Indy again this week; giving us a very favorable line to support Read more

Tags: NFL Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Teddy Covers

NFL Gambling: Oakland's defense is running on fumes

12.13.2013     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Kansas City -4.5 at Oakland O/U 41.5

The Oakland Raiders admit that their defense has been worn down the back half of the season. Prior to its Week 7 bye, Oakland went under the total in five of six games and allowed a respectable 22 ppg. Since the bye, they've been churning out overs at a high clip (5-1-1 O/U) in part because the defense allowed 29.2 ppg.

"We've changed things up a little bit,'' Allen said following practice Thursday. "Hopefully that gives them a little bit of a boost.''

"I think it's the natural attrition of the season,'' Allen said. "Our guys have been in a lot of close games, a lot of battles. It's not just a physical thing, it's a mental thing. When you grind that hard to dig yourself out of a hole it takes its toll. We've done some things to freshen them up and hopefully they'll be ready to fly

Read more

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Kansas City Chiefs

College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 12-13-2013

12.13.2013     07:50 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
The status of North Carolina’s P.J. Hairston and Leslie McDonald remains uncertain. Both remain suspended indefinitely and the only certainty is that neither will play Saturday vs. Kentucky.

Oregon’s Ben Carter and Dominic Artis are expected to make their season debuts Tuesday vs. UC Irvine. Both have been suspended so far while the Ducks have run out to an 8-0 straight-up record and a 7-0 against-the-spread mark. The ‘over’ is also 6-0 for Oregon. Both will miss their ninth and final game Saturday vs. Illinois.

Florida stormed out to a double-digit lead by forcing 16 first-half turnovers in Tuesday’s home win over Kansas. The Gators hooked up their backers in the 67-61 win as three-point favorites in a game that wasn’t near as close as the final score indicated. A late barrage of 3-pointers by KU’s Andrew Wiggins and abysmal free-throw shooting by UF made the final seem close. UF was playing for the first time all season with its full compliment of players. Scottie Wilbekin and Kasey Hill both returned from sprained ankles a little sooner than anticipated. Wilbekin was the best player on the court against the Jayhawks, Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards

NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 15

12.12.2013     11:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

What you see below are per-game averages on offense and defense for points scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. That's a stat I've been keeping myself by hand from itemized scoring drives in boxscores ever since the USA Today started publishing them many years ago. In the first parenthesis are strength of schedule rankings from Jeff Sagarin at USA Today and Football Outsiders (in that order, and, largely converging now). In the second parenthesis is turnover differential. Games are presented in market rotation order. I tried to line up the numbers as best as possible by abbreviating some of the team cities…


San Diego: 14.6 on offense, 16.1 on defense (19-31) (-3 turnovers)

Denver : 23.3 on offense, 15.0 on defense (20-29) (-2 turnovers)

Football Outsiders has mentioned somewhere that San Diego supposedly has one of the five worst defenses in the history of their stat methodology. I mean…it’s pretty Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence


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