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October

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NFL Handicapping: Betting markets showing support for Oakland Raiders

09.09.2013     12:06 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Jacksonville at Oakland -5.5 O/U 39.5

The betting markets spent much of the summer and preseason coming up with reasons to bet against the Oakland Raiders. Back on May 28, CRIS opened their Week 1 game at Indianapolis with the Colts 6.5-point favorites. Three months later, the Colts closed as 11-point chalk. But Oakland looked a lot better than expected as Terrell Pryor made plays in the passing game and with his feet and the defense held Indy to a rather modest 274 yards. The Colts won the game 21-17, but Oakland had the ball inside the red zone with less than a minute to play.

That was obviously just one game but the betting markets have seemingly gone from complete distaste of the Raiders to feverous support. CRIS opened Oakland -3.5 for Sunday's game against Jacksonville and it shot up as high as -6 before settling in at its current number of -5.5. No question the Jaguars, who lost to Kansas City 28-2, play a role in the market's pro-Oakland stance. But had the Raiders not Read more


Tags: NFL Jacksonville Jaguars Oakland Raiders Indianapolis Colts




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 1

09.09.2013     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC Tidbits from Week 1.

Chicago Bears – Sure, the Bears didn't make the playoffs last year, but they won ten games and were one of the league's better teams. This defense can still make plenty of big plays, as evidenced by Charles Tillman's huge game and their complete domination against the run here. Jay Cutler did a great job finding open receivers on third and long. He connected on a pair of third and longs into very tight windows on Chicago's first touchdown drive. The revamped offensive line didn't do much for run blocking, but they gave Cutler all the time he needed all afternoon.

Cutler can still scramble out of pressure and his mobility created several opportunities that wouldn't have been there otherwise. But Cutler's propensity for making mistakes at crucial times was on display here, a horrible pass on first down as the Bears were driving in the fourth quarter. However, he made the most of his next Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings San Francisco 49ers Arizona Cardinals New Orleans Saints




CRIS now posting College Football lines Sunday morning

09.09.2013     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When bettors woke up Sunday morning they were probably surprised to see that CRIS had already posted its opening numbers for Week 3 college football. There appears to be a lot of changes going on at CRIS – earlier openers, higher limits, and more opinionated lines. With Pinnacle no longer having as large an impact on the market (the college basketball markets were extremely weak once Pinny shutdown a majority of its credit accounts) CRIS has pretty much taken over as the “leading market indicator.” We’ll be discussing CRIS’s opening numbers and initial lines moves for Week 3 college football on today’s Sportsmemo Podcast with Rob Veno.



Tags: College Football




NFL Week 1 Betting and Statistical Recap

09.09.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

This report will run the linescores for every NFL game in the format we outlined Saturday night in the colleges. I’ll also include the other stuff we look at that are more specific to the blog. If I get a chance Monday or Tuesday…I’ll try to flesh out some of these. But…I think the numbers in this format do a pretty good job of telling the story.

Games are presented in market rotation order…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness)

New Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 2

09.09.2013     06:38 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another week void of any significant upsets. Washington State beat USC as over a two-touchdown underdog while Navy dispatched of Indiana as a double-digit underdog. Needless to say, most rec bettors who like to four- and five-team moneyline parlay big favorites have yet to hit many road blocks.

With most offshore books now offering lines on FBS vs. FCS games bettors will have another crack at betting against Ron Turner and his Florida International squad. Yes, the Panthers played two teams in Maryland and UCF that they probably would have lost to any other season, but it was the way that FIU lost (43-10, 38-0) that has them vying with Idaho and New Mexico State for the label of Worst Team in the Country. Don't sleep on this week's opponent Bethune-Cookman who last season rushed for 233 yards on Miami and hung tough for the first half. The year before that B-C outgained the Canes 422-335.

After a dismal showing in its opener at Virginia, BYU wasn't on the radar of many bettors. Meanwhile, a lot of folks were drinking the Texas kool-aid after they dismantled woeful New Mexico State. And for a sophisticated as the betting markets are portrayed at times, there is no Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




NFL Gambling Preview: Cincinnati Bengals at Chicago Bears

09.07.2013     06:05 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati at Chicago
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Chicago -3 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current: Chicago -3 (-105) O/U 41.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Chicago -2.5
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

The Bengals have become the popular sleeper pick to win the rough and tumble AFC North and even more so following the Ravens debacle on Thursday night.  To win the AFC North it all starts on the defensive side of the football and the Bengals can answer that question with a roster deep on talent.  Head coach Marvin Lewis made his name on the defensive side of the football while defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer has done a standout job.  Of course, it’s about the players as Geno Atkins is finally receiving accolades along the defensive line.  And there’s plenty more with cornerback Leon Hall, linebacker Vontaze Burfict, and now the addition of James Harrison.  The Bengals defense has the Read more


Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Chicago Bears Erin Rynning




NFL Gambling Preview: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

09.07.2013     05:41 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota at Detroit
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Detroit -3 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Detroit -4 O/U 46.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Detroit -1.5
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Minnesota

Detroit comes into season with an eight-game regular season losing streak. They were swept by the Vikings last year, losing by seven at home and by ten in Minneapolis as part of a 4-12 season. The Vikings finished with a 10-6 record in 2012 and dropped a first round playoff game to the Packers with Christian Ponder on the sidelines with an injury.

Detroit made some major changes in the offseason to try to find the right personnel to match Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson. Reggie Bush was brought in to be the new lead running back and there are three new starters on the offensive line. A better running game would certainly help Stafford, who has been asked to do too much with his arm in recent years. The first unit did not Read more


Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Detroit Lions Brent Crow




NFL Gambling Preview: Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers

09.05.2013     01:50 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay at San Francisco
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
San Francisco -5.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: San Francisco -4.5 O/U 48
Rob Veno's Power Rating: San Francisco -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: San Francisco

A bit of redemption is at stake here in week one as the Packers look to atone for the 45-31 NFC Divisional Round playoff loss right here eight months ago. In that game the Green Bay defense was shredded for 579 total yards, 323 of which came from the 49ers rushing attack. Certainly Green Bay is healthier this time around and they’ve had the entire off-season to dissect film of that contest which should result in some improvement. Another factor that should help Green Bay even further is the loss of San Francisco’s top wideout Michael Crabtree. Crabtree tore the Pack up in the January playoff rout catching nine passes for 119 yards and a pair of touchdowns. While Green Bay may be able to Read more


Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers San Francisco 49ers Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/5/13

09.05.2013     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Having given sharps time to take their shots at this week’s college football openers, I’ve updated last week’s Estimated Market Power Ratings based on the pointspreads we’re seeing midday Wednesday. Note that I use a standard 3 points for home field advantage. The numbers you see below basically represent “at-the-moment” pointspreads with that 3-point adjustment.

There are some big jumps forward and backward from last week. That’s because I surely mis-guessed in many places…and because several teams had extreme results that influenced perceptions of how they’d play out of the gate. Going through game-by-game…there were still a few head scratchers for me. I’m trying to put the couplets in the right spots on a big scale. We’ll have a better shot of representing the market’s view about a month from now.

An example: Wyoming is -28 right now over Idaho…which means they should be 25 points Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Totals Betting: Applying what we saw in Week 1

09.04.2013     02:07 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The four to six day handicapping bridge from college football's Week 1 to Week 2’s bets and recommendations has often been labeled the trickiest one of all. Throughout late spring and then the summer, extensive hours were put in by many on each side of the counter to formulate opinions on how the 126 FBS teams will fare this season and plays were made for last week’s games accordingly. Now, with a full week of data it’s time to assess the accuracy of initial projections and react to this week’s matchups. For myself, raw power ratings are adjusted Sunday morning and projected lines calculated anywhere from 3-8 hours before the openers become available. I’ve learned and constantly stated for the 21 years I’ve been in this business that each situation is individual and there is no blanket statement or theory that applies to how heavily you should react. Less can be best and more may be necessary while no reaction at all may be correct too. For this season’s opening article, let’s take a look at how to approach Week 2 from a totals perspective.

Last week we saw a couple of important elements that led to instances of huge second Read more


Tags: College Football USC Trojans Washington State Cougars PAC-12 Rob Veno



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 25, 2014 08:36 PM.