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NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 6

10.10.2013     11:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

An updated look at our estimated Power Ratings for the NFL based on how the market is pricing teams this week as of late Wednesday afternoon. Looks like things are starting to settle into more logical places. We’ve been scratching our heads about a few things the last couple of Wednesdays. The questions we were asking turned out largely to be very good questions. The market seems to be learning from its week-to-week incoherence. Just took longer than usual this time around.

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

91: Denver

85: Seattle, Green Bay

84: New Orleans (at home), San Francisco

83: New Orleans (on the road)

82: New England, Indianapolis

81: Cincinnati, Dallas, Detroit

80: Chicago, Houston, Kansas City

79: Baltimore, Miami, Atlanta

78: San Diego, Philadelphia, Washington, Carolina

77:

76: Minnesota, St. Louis, NY Giants, Arizona, Pittsburgh

75: Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Washington's seondary on high alert vs. Dallas

10.10.2013     08:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Dallas -5.5 O/U 52

The Washington Redskins haven't had much success stopping the pass this season (298.3 ypg allowed) while Sunday's opponent, the Dallas Cowboys, are off a 500-yard performance.


“We’re gonna have our plan. We’re gonna go out there and try to execute. We’re gonna try and make them one-dimensional. But if the one dimension can throw for 500 [yards] and five touchdowns, it’s not really ideal. So it’s tough. It’s tough. We’ve got to force turnovers throughout the game. We’ve got to make big plays when they arise. We’re gonna count on our offense to be the offense that we know they can be. And they’re gonna score some points and that’s gonna help us get in a situation where they can be one-dimensional and we can Read more



Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Dallas Cowboys




NFL Gambling Preview: Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens

10.09.2013     12:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay at Baltimore
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Green Bay -3.5 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -3 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Baltimore pk
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

We got two underrated defenses facing off against two offenses that are struggling in the red zone AND committed to running the football . Put those three factors together with the consistently high totals in the modern NFL era and the case for the Under is perfectly clear.

Let me start with the defenses. Green Bay got Morgan Burnett back in the lineup at safety last week after missing the first three games of the season and he definitely had an impact, saving a potential big play TD with a beautiful pass breakup. The Packers front seven really controlled the field against Detroit, and there’s no reason to think they won’t be able to do it again here even without Clay Matthews relentless pass rushing Read more


Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: LVH posts Regular Season Over/Under Numbers

10.09.2013     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Earlier this month, the LVH sportsbook posted NBA Regular Season Over/Under numbers. The Miami Heat are lined at 60, followed by the Los Angeles Clippers (57), Chicago Bulls (56.5), and San Antonio Spurs (55.5). At the bottom of the list are the Philadelphia 76ers (16.5), Phoenix Suns (21.5) and Orlando Magic (24.5). For a listing of all 30 teams, click here



Tags: NBA




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 5

10.09.2013     07:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Breaking Down the Undefeated and Winless ATS Teams
The list of winless and undefeated ATS teams continues to shrink after Week 5 of the season. Denver and Seattle were the two remaining undefeated teams but both came up short from an ATS perspective. However, there are still four teams looking for their first pointspread win of the season as we head into Week 6. Those teams are Houston, Jacksonville, and the New York Giants at 0-5 ATS along with Pittsburgh at 0-4 ATS.

The Giants, Jaguars, and Steelers have all failed to win a game straight up while the Texans are 2-3. New York will attempt to snap their SU and ATS winless streak in Chicago playing on a short week against a Bears team that has dropped their last two games. It doesn’t help the Giants have three major flaws right now. They can’t take care of the football, they can’t block up front, and their secondary has been ripped apart by each opponent they’ve faced.
Jacksonville finds itself involved this week in the largest pointspread in NFL history as they opened as 28-point underdogs against the Denver Broncos. The next largest spread was when the Pittsburgh Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




NFL Week 5 Betting Recap

10.07.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC News and Notes from Week 5

10.07.2013     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: NFC thoughts and opinions from Week 5.

Chicago Bears - Chicago entered the game with only six sacks on the season, a notable weakness on a defense that's heavily reliant on creating turnovers. They got a little bit of pressure on Drew Brees here, but not enough. The Bears played a lot of Cover-2 today and it gave the Saints fits for a while, forcing Brees into dink-and-dunk’ mode. But Sean Payton made play calling adjustments, and Chicago’s defense didn’t adjust back, leaving Jimmy Graham in store for a huge afternoon.

Marc Trestman was a pointspread monster during his tenure with the Montreal Alouettes in one role in particular: coming off a loss. In his first NFL try in that same role, that success did not translate.

For the second straight week, this rebuilt offensive line got eaten up for extended stretches. Jay Cutler was under constant pressure and Matt Forte had no room to run. Even Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saiints Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys

10.06.2013     07:16 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver at Dallas
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Denver -5.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Denver -7 O/U 55.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -4
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Over

It’s getting difficult to find the words to describe what Peyton Manning has done in the first four weeks of the NFL season. The numbers certainly say enough as the Broncos have surged to a 4-0 record while averaging almost 45 points per game. Manning is throwing for an insane 9.4 yards per pass attempt with a 16/0 TD/INT ratio. It’s not easy to put up those digits on a video game.  The bad news for the Cowboys is that it will likely continue.  Manning has talked recently how the offense has yet to put together four truly great quarters of football.  Manning’s quick release is important to neutralize a firm Cowboys pass rush.  However, the Dallas secondary will be undermanned when it comes to Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Dallas Cowboys Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10.04.2013     12:59 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State vs. Notre Dame
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - NBC (Arlington, Texas)
CRIS Opener:
Arizona State -6.5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Arizona State -6.5 O/U 62.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -2
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Arizona State

Notre Dame and Arizona State will collide Saturday night at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington. Most betting shops have tabbed the Sun Devils as 6-point favorites with a total of 62 for over/under wagers.

Gamblers can back the Fighting Irish on the money line for a +200 return (risk $100 to win $200). For first-half wagers, ASU is favored by three with a total of 31.

Arizona State (3-1 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) bounced back from a 42-28 loss at Stanford to blast USC by a 62-41 count as a 3.5-point home chalk. The 103 combined points soared over the 48.5-point total. Taylor Kelly threw for 351 yards and three TDs against the Read more


Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 Brian Edwards




College Football Betting Preview: Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys

10.04.2013     07:41 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas State at Oklahoma State
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN Game Plan
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma State -14 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -14 O/U 59
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma State -11.5
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Kansas State

Oklahoma State comes in off of a disappointing loss last week at West Virginia. The Cowboys dropped a 30-21 decision to a team that had struggled mightily and suddenly OSU does not appear to be the Big XII favorites any more. When you examine their results prior to the West Virginia loss, there was really nothing that showed why Oklahoma State was ranked 11th in the country. They were very sloppy in a 21-3 win over Mississippi State in Week 1 then beat up on cupcakes UTSA and Lamar in their next two games.

This year’s Oklahoma State team is definitely not as potent offensively as it has been in years past, which is understandable Read more


Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII Brent Crow



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