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November

26

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NCAA Football Gambling Update: Northwestern's Colter and Mark expected to play vs. Syracuse

09.05.2013     06:35 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Syracuse at Northwestern -15.5 O/U 53

Northwestern quarterback Kain Colter announced on Twitter that he plans on playing this week. Also expected to play, running back Venric Mark. Earlier this week, starting cornerback Daniel Jones was rules out for the season.






College Football Gambling: Northwestern suffers multiple key injuries

09.03.2013     12:22 PM     Read more


Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/5/13

09.05.2013     06:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Having given sharps time to take their shots at this week’s college football openers, I’ve updated last week’s Estimated Market Power Ratings based on the pointspreads we’re seeing midday Wednesday. Note that I use a standard 3 points for home field advantage. The numbers you see below basically represent “at-the-moment” pointspreads with that 3-point adjustment.

There are some big jumps forward and backward from last week. That’s because I surely mis-guessed in many places…and because several teams had extreme results that influenced perceptions of how they’d play out of the gate. Going through game-by-game…there were still a few head scratchers for me. I’m trying to put the couplets in the right spots on a big scale. We’ll have a better shot of representing the market’s view about a month from now.

An example: Wyoming is -28 right now over Idaho…which means they should be 25 points Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Oregon Ducks at Virginia Cavaliers

09.04.2013     12:04 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon at Virginia
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -22.5 O/U 59
CRIS Current: Oregon -21.5 O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -22
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Oregon

Oregon ventured to the Eastern Time Zone back in Week 2 of the 2010 campaign. On that night, the Ducks trounced Tennessee 48-13 as an 11.5-point road favorite. They will be hoping for a similar result Saturday at Virginia in the first meeting between the two schools.

As of Wednesday, most books had Oregon installed as a 22-point favorite with a total of 60.5 or 61. Gamblers can take the Cavaliers to win outright for a +900 return (risk $100 to win $900).

Oregon has covered the spread in eight consecutive games as a road favorite. The Ducks opened 2013 with a 66-3 win over Nicholls State last Saturday as 59-point home chalk. The 69 combined points slipped over the 66.5-point total thanks to a Read more


Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks Virginia Cavaliers Brian Edwards




Sports Betting Podcast 9-4-2013 with Handicapper Rob Veno

09.04.2013     09:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob recapped Week 1 College Football (Big Ten, Big XII, PAC-12).

Today's segments
Rob Veno - CFB Week 1 Recap: Big Ten, Big XII, PAC-12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Gambling: Northwestern suffers multiple key injuries

09.03.2013     12:22 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Syracuse at Northwestern

Northwestern hammered by a rash of injuries following Week 1's win at Cal. The Wildcats lost starting cornerback Daniel Jones to a torn ACL. Running back Venric Mark, who led the team in rushing last season, is dealing with an ankle injury. And starting quarterback Kain Colter is doubtful with a shoulder injury. No line on the game offshore. Las Vegas' Wynn opened Northwestern -9.5 with the current number -10.5 according to Sports Options.



Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC




College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines

09.03.2013     12:15 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame at Michigan
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Michigan -4 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Michigan -3.5 O/U 52
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan -5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: See analysis

Notre Dame and Michigan meet in the Big House on Saturday night with ESPN providing the coverage. This is a rare night game in Ann Arbor and you can be certain a rabid crowd of well over 100,000 fans will be yelling as loud as they can. There has been a little media battle going on about the importance, or significance, of this rivalry; Brian Kelly doesn’t believe it’s that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things that Notre Dame will not be renewing the series for the foreseeable future. Brady Hoke thinks it is a big deal to Michigan and called ND “chickens” for ending the head-to-head plans. It clearly adds just a little more spice to this matchup. Read more


Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Michigan Wolverines Big Ten Otto Sports




College Football Betting Recap: Winston wows in Florida State's blowout win over Pitt

09.03.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A lot of people knew that before tonight’s Florida State/Pittsburgh game that was nationally televised by ESPN. Now, everybody knows.

If you didn’t watch the game, and are reading this late Monday or during the day Tuesday…you’re probably thinking all the hype you’ve been reading and hearing about redshirt freshman quarterback Jameis Winston’s passing performance is a bit overwrought. It may not be. He passed the eye test right away…getting zip on his passes and throwing accurately downfield. This is something that really jumps out at people who watched a zillion college football games the past weekend. Zip and accuracy on passes more than 15 yards downfield comes and goes at this level (if the zip is even there in the first place).

The eye test was followed by the stat test:

25-27-0-356 with 4 TD passes

Goodness. It was both electric and methodical. He just marched the Seminoles down the field by hitting receivers between Read more


Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Pittsburgh Panthers ACC Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Using coach-speak in your handicap

09.02.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Part of the standard handicapping mantra includes ‘checking the local papers’ and ‘watching the coach’s press conference’ in an effort to get quality information that the betting markets aren’t paying attention too.  Computer algorithms designed to beat pointspreads can’t and don’t handicap coach-speak.  Few bettors actually take the time to do their homework.  So ‘cappers who make and take the time to check local sources and press conferences can find legitimate edges that are overlooked by most others – good information.

There’s no dictionary to help you translate coach-speak into betting decisions.  And in all the years I’ve been writing about sports betting, I’ve never once written a how-to article on how to approach coaches quotes.  It’s time.

This past week, while doing my research for the upcoming college football games, I ran into a press conference from Skip Holtz.  Skip was a very successful coach at East Carolina and UConn, then a very unsuccessful coach at South Florida.  In 2013, Holtz is taking over at Louisiana Tech, now that Sonny Read more


Tags: College Football NC State Wolfpack ACC Louisiana Tech Bulldogs C-USA Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Recap: Clemson, LSU Score Showcase Victories

09.01.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back with numbers and notes from the two marquee prime time games in Saturday night college football. Let’s see what happened in Georgia/Clemson and LSU/TCU…

Clemson 38 (+1.5), Georgia 35

Total Yardage: Georgia 544, Clemson 467

Passing Stats: Georgia 20-29-1-323, Clemson 18-30-0-270

Yards-per-Play: Georgia 7.8, Clemson 6.1

Turnovers: Georgia 2, Clemson 1

Drive Points: Georgia 35, Clemson 24

Stat Score: Georgia 34, Clemson 30

Exhilarating first half, followed by more of a sluggish second half (42 combined points in the first half, jut 31 in the second). Georgia screwed up a chippy field goal attempt that ended up being the difference maker. You can see that Georgia had the better stats outside of turnovers. Turnovers are usually worth about four points in value. Apply that to the stat score and we get a dead heat. If Georgia doesn’t muck up that short field goal it’s a Read more


Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC Clemson Tigers ACC Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Syracuse Orange

08.30.2013     07:37 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Penn State vs. Syracuse
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN2 (Meadowlands)
CRIS Opener:
Penn State -7 O/U 52
CRIS Current: Penn State -9 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Penn State -7
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Under

On the surface it was just another ho-hum year for the Penn State football program as it churned out an 8-4 record.  However, most bettors know that it could hardly be considered mundane – in fact it was truly magical.  The Lions were virtually left for dead and written off by the best of pundits and this was before they started last year with a 0-2 record.  After losses to Ohio and Virginia and low on depth Penn State hit an extra gear and won 8 of its next 10 games with most coming in the rugged Big Ten.  The season culminated with a rousing overtime win against the Wisconsin Badgers in Happy Valley.  Now the question will linger how does this program Read more


Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten Syracuse Orange ACC



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