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October

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NFL Handicapping: A look back at 2012's sloppiest teams

08.20.2013     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, I’ve compiled sloppiness scores for all 32 NFL teams from the 2012 season. I’ve also done the math for all 32 defenses in terms of “forcing sloppiness" from opponents. I’ll post those in a separate report tomorrow to keep this from turning into a long novel that’s hard to digest in one reading.

If you’re new to the site, sloppiness is a quickfire stat that paints a picture of how effectively teams execute. The formula is 5 times the number of giveaways…plus the number of incomplete passes. The lower the number the better because you want to avoid sloppiness. The league average last year was right around 21 for a per-game score. Having a game in the 30’s or higher is embarrassing. Having an AVERAGE near 30 is a very strong indictment of your quarterback and coach.

Let’s start with the sloppiest teams from 2012 and work our way toward the sharpest…

Sloppiest Teams

Detroit Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Preseason News and Notes

08.19.2013     08:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. During August, Teddy records every game, then watches every first half on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps simply don’t have. This week: AFC tidbits from the first two weeks of the preseason.

Cincinnati Bengals – Boy this team looks impressive; a potential Super Bowl sleeper in a conference that has no clear no. 3 behind Denver and New England to start the season. This was a top 10 defense last year, and looks even better this year, positively loaded with the addition of Super Bowl winner James Harrison from Pittsburgh. Harrison was run blitzing and making plays in the backfield, now the inside linebacker in a 4-3, a new position. Lots of blitzing, worth noting in preseason! The position battles here aren’t huge ones – a battle for the starting center job (Kyle Cook is the favorite to win it) and battles for the second and third receiver after AJ Green. No three-and-outs while Andy Dalton was on the field; he did a great job audibling out of bad situational play calls

Buffalo Bills Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Betting: Purdue names Henry starting quarterback

08.19.2013     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Purdue first-year head coach Darrell Hazell tabbed senior Rob Henry the team's starting quarterback. Henry started seven games in 2010, missed 2011 with a knee injury, and played sparingly last season. It will be interesting to see how Hazell utilizes Henry who earlier in his career showed a decent ability to run the football (547 yards, 5.26 ypc in 2010). During Hazell's last season at Kent State the Golden Flashes ran the ball nearly 62% of the time.



Tags: College Football Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten




College Football Betting: Another long season awaits Tim Beckman and Illinois

08.16.2013     09:19 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On a recent Sportsmemo Podcast (you can listen here) I had a great conversation with Brian Edwards about the Big Ten and in particular Illinois. Brian was pretty vocal about his distaste for Illini head coach Tim Beckman who is heading into his second season in Champaign. I'm not as anti-Beckman as Brian but I do agree that he appears to be over his head and will have a difficult time fielding a competitive football team this year. So much so that I recommend a play on the UNDER with their season over/under wins. Unfortunately, 5Dimes appears to be the only sportsbook I know of offering a line, so if you can't get a bet down consider this a "fade report" of the Illini.

If you do play at 5Dimes, there are multiple numbers available. The baseline number is 3.5 with -120 juice on both sides. Playing 3.5 under is a good play, however, you can also get 4un-175 which is even stronger. In order to lose, Illinois will obviously have to get to five wins which I simply don’t see. But paying the extra juice gives you a little wiggle room as four wins Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Andrew Lange




NFL Preseason Betting Free Pick: Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles

08.15.2013     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Philadelphia -3 O/U 44
Recommendation: Over


I could do this write-up in a single sentence.  The Eagles ran 86 offensive plays last week in their preseason opener.  86 plays!  Their game against the Patriots saw the total get steamed up, and it still went over by two scores.  The markets have pushed this total higher, but not high enough.  Chip Kelly’s ‘one play every twelve seconds’ offense merits totals in the high 40’s, even in preseason.

Carolina is going to play at the Eagles pace tonight.  The Panthers have practiced playing an uptempo style on both sides of the football all week.  Philadelphia’s defense couldn’t stop anybody last week – horrible tackling, a limited pass rush, poor play from their rebuilt secondary, along with concerns about both depth and conditioning.  A fast paced offense combined with a suspect defense is a strong recipe for Overs!

Both teams have Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 8-14-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno

08.14.2013     10:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Rob Veno. Brian previewed the Big Ten Leaders Division while Rob previewed the Sun Belt.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - Big Ten Leaders Preview

Rob Veno - Sun Belt Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football SEC Sun Belt Brian Edwards Rob Veno




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers

08.13.2013     10:44 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Estrada) +180 at Texas (Ogando) O/U 9
Recommendation: Milwaukee


Very quietly, waaaaaay underneath the radar, the Milwaukee Brewers have started to win road games.  They took three out of four at Wrigley Field to close out their last road trip, and have won four of six on their current West Coast trip.  All seven of those victories came as plus price underdogs.

The Brewers lineup is clicking right now.  They put up back-to-back ten run outbursts in Seattle over the weekend, and should get slugger Aramis Ramirez back in the lineup tonight after a month long stint on the DL.  That’s bad news for struggling Rangers starter Alexi Ogando, who was rushed back to the Rangers rotation following a seven week stint on the DL because they had, quite simply, run out of options.

Ogando has been struggling with high pitch counts, failing to record a single out past the fifth inning in any of his four starts since coming off the DL. And Ogando has Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Texas Rangers Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 8-13-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Erin Rynning

08.13.2013     10:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Erin Rynning. Brian previewed the Big Ten Legends Division while ER talked MLB.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - Big Ten Legends Preview

Erin Rynning - MLB (Free Play)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Big Ten MLB Brian Edwards Erin Rynning




College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin switches to 3-4 defense

08.13.2013     06:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Under first-year defensive coordinator Dave Aranda (Utah State), the Wisconsin Badgers will switch from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4 this season.


"There are only a handful of teams in the NCAA that run a 3-4, so it will be hard for teams to imitate us in scout team. Offensive lines aren't really accustomed to blocking 3-4s, so I think that will be nice for us."

"We're so much more attack oriented," added DL Ethan Hemer. "We attack and come off the ball and we make offenses dictate to what we do instead of dictating to what offenses do."





Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




College Football Betting: Illinois' defense not the same without DC Koenning

08.12.2013     12:36 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Illinois' defense is hoping for better results in the second year under defensive coordinator Tim Banks. As mentioned in this article, when Tim Beckman took over, he decided not to keep defensive coordinator Vic Koenning. The transition from Koenning to Banks wasn't a smooth one as the Illini went from allowing 286.2 ypg (2nd Big Ten) to 387.6 ypg (10th Big Ten) last season.


“We just couldn’t put the pieces together,” he said. “Transition is hard. I had a special relationship with him and change is really difficult. But you just have to buy into a new system, which we’ve done.

“Improvement is expected in the second year.”





Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 23, 2014 02:22 AM.