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NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs take commanding 3-0 series lead

05.26.2013     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Last night we talked about how Game Two of Indiana/Miami looked so much like Game One. Tonight, we get to do the same thing in the Western Conference finals…as Game Three in Memphis looked very much like Game Two in San Antonio.

*Home Team jumps out to big lead

*Visitor rallies

*Game goes to overtime at 85-all in G2, and 86-all in G3

*Spurs know what to do in overtime

What jumped out to me watching tonight was how Memphis WASN’T Indiana. You just didn’t see the same fire in their eyes…the same sense of urgency, even though the Grizzlies were already playing with their backs to the wall tonight while Indiana was just trying to break serve. Also, Indiana made its free throws last night, while Memphis gagged way too many with their season on the line this evening.

San Antonio 104, Memphis 93 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 55%, Memphis 40%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies




NBA Betting Recap: Indiana Pacers even up series (plus MLB notes)

05.25.2013     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

If home court advantage is worth anything, then the Indiana Pacers have been the better team in BOTH of the games played so far in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Now…home court may end up not meaning much of anything in this series when it’s all said and done. The overall median for the playoffs is still at just two points. And, Miami is known for being very strong on the road. We may be looking at a series of virtual coin flips, with neither team being shaken by the opposing crowd. The near equivalent of a best-of-seven on neutral courts.

Miami better HOPE that’s the case. Because Indiana has been GREAT at home in the playoffs! I’m not going to fall into last year’s trap of making assumptions early in this matchup. We’ve talked about this a lot already. Miami teases you, then breaks your heart if you’re rooting for them to lose.

Let’s run the numbers from Friday night, then review the categories that have been the Read more


Tags: NBA MLB Indiana Pacers Miami Heat Stat Intelligence




MLB Handicapping: Are the Washington Nationals Really 80% to Miss the Playoffs?

05.24.2013     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s only May 23, but ESPN’s standings page is showing that the preseason favorite to win the National League is now 80% to MISS the playoffs entirely.

NL East Chance to Make Playoffs (typed up moments before posting)
Atlanta 90%
Washington 19.9%
Philadelphia 11.4%
NY Mets 3.4%
Miami 0.1%

Can that be true?

In favor of the skepticism:

*Washington has a run differential of -26, even though they’re won-lost record is 24-23. I think the sabermetric world pays way too much attention to that particular number. But…the Nats really are WAY off the pace for what a championship contender should be doing.

*Washington is 5-1 against the horrible Miami Marlins, a virtual expansion team in their own division. That means they’re 19-22 against the rest of the league. Washington was +16 in run differential in those wins, which means they’re Read more


Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Stat Intelligence




MLB Betting News: Chicago's John Danks makes his return

05.24.2013     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami (Koehler) at Chicago WS (Danks) -175 O/U 7.5

Chicago's John Danks is only 28 years old yet as he prepares to make his first start in over a calendar year the consensus is that Danks will need to reinvent himself in order to survive at the MLB level. The Chicago Tribune essentially said Danks is going for the Mark Buehrle 2.0 look. Velocity isn't as vital coming from the left side but bouncing back from shoulder surgery is no easy task. We strongly recommend bettors take a wait-and-see approach.


"His cut fastball was effective against right-handed hitters, and he also used it against lefties," Phegley said. "He also mixed in his curve and changeup.

"He threw his curve for strikes, although he wasn't completely satisfied with it at times. His changeup always has been a big pitch for him, and he was very Read more



Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Miami Marlins




MLB Betting Notes: Different year, similar results for Minnesota's starting pitching

05.23.2013     02:03 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We talked about Minnesota's crappy pitching on today's Sportsmemo Podcast (listen here). Hardball Talk to a closer look at the numbers compared to last year. The team’s 4.2 strikeouts per 9 innings rate is one that stands out as horrendous/comical. Tomorrow they send Samuel Deduno to the hill who unlike Pelfrey, Worley, and friends, has legitimate MLB stuff. The only problem is Deduno doesn't know where it's going and last season admitted as such. In 84.2 big league innings, he's walked 57 batters.

Also funny is in mid-May of last year we posted a blog on how bad Minny's starting pitching had Read more


Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




College Football Betting: Odds to Win the Conference

05.22.2013     01:39 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Never too early for some college football. The Greek posted a few numbers on Odds to Win the Conference. Here are the top contenders...

ACC
Miami +175
Clemson +175
Florida State +250

Big XII
Texas +200
Oklahoma +250
Oklahoma State +250

Big Ten
Ohio State +125
Nebraska +350
Wisconsin +350
Michigan State +350

PAC-12
Oregon +150
USC +250
Arizona +500
Stanford +500

SEC
Alabama -125
Georgia +300
South Carolina +500



Tags: College Football Big XII ACC SEC Big XII Big Ten




NBA Handicapping: Statline Data for Indiana-Miami series

05.22.2013     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are the numbers for the Eastern Conference finals, using the data that’s helped us throughout the college and NBA postseasons. If you’re new to the blog, there are regular season numbers in:

*Two-Point Defense

*Rebounding Differential

*Turnover Differential

*Made Treys per Game

*Ranking in Pace

This helps paint a picture for how the games are likely to play out given the strengths, weaknesses, and preferences of each team. Conference seedings are in parenthesis…

(3) Indiana: 44% two-point defense, +5.0 rebounding, -1.6 TO’S, 6.9 treys, #25 full season pace

(1) Miami: 47% two-point defense, -1.5 rebounding, +1.7 TO’S, 8.7 treys, #23 full season pace

Indiana was fantastic inside the arc defensively. A lot of very good teams were right at 47%, so that’s kind of off-the charts in a stat category that’s usually lumped together very tight. Indiana has a huge edge in Read more


Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Miami Heat Stat Intelligence




Stanley Cup Playoffs Gambling Free Pick: Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

05.21.2013     10:42 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Los Angeles at San Jose -135 O/U 4.5
Recommendation: San Jose


San Jose has received new life in the Western Conference Semifinals after their enormous Game 3 OT win at home on Saturday night. I expect that momentum to carry over to tonight's Game 4 as the Sharks look to even up this series against the Kings. I'm not quite sold on LA being the better team in this series just yet. LA leads the series 2-1 but have been outshot in two of the first three games by a significant margin and are being outshot 106-78 overall in the series by the San Jose Sharks. San Jose's biggest issues in the first two games were finding ways to score against Jonathan Quick who has been the difference maker to this point but San Jose got two goals past him in Game 3. He was venting a ton of anger and frustration at the referees following a questionable call in OT which led to San Jose's game winning goal and I have a feeling San Jose will have more success against Quick moving forward in this series after we saw him visibly rattled. San Jose's power play came to life going 2-for-5 with the man advantage in Game 3 after not scoring in seven opportunities in the first two Read more


Tags: NHL San Jose Sharks Los Angeles Kings Ian Cameron




MLB Gambling News: A Unique Look at Offenses

05.20.2013     10:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As you probably know, I’ve been playing around with 5-inning options in Major League Baseball this year. Part of the fun of that is doing record-keeping that you know nobody else is doing. Helps you see things from different perspectives.

I’ve been logging all the results by hand because there aren’t any websites I know of that go in-depth with this stuff. That’s GREAT, because it’s easier to gain and maintain an edge over the market when information isn’t widely available. Don’t think I’ll be giving away anything to vital in this post…though creative readers may find a way to use the data.

Here’s the percentage of time that each offense has reached at least two runs in the first five innings this year, through the games of Sunday afternoon…

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit 76%

Baltimore 73%

LA Angels 68%

Boston 68%

Tampa Bay 67%

Cleveland Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four

05.20.2013     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  This year’s results stand out in that regard.  In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs.  San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds. 

In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin.  And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.

When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 25, 2014 01:35 PM.