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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.25.2013     07:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I took a break from the typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season, focusing on NFC Playoff Contenders. I’ll finish that thought process this week, turning my focus towards the AFC.

I had a spirited debate with a fairly well known professional bettor on Sunday Night after the games were finished. We were both having the same problem; trying to figure out somebody – anybody – in the AFC worthy of support down the stretch as a Super Bowl contender. Frankly, there aren’t a whole lot of choices, and our debate primarily consisted of finding fatal flaws in whatever team the other guy brought up.

My power rating numbers have seven of the top ten teams in the NFL residing in the NFC (Seattle, New Orleans, San Francisco, Carolina, Arizona, Dallas and Detroit). An eighth team could join that group after Aaron Rodgers gets healthy for Green Bay.  And all three of those supposedly elite level AFC teams have problems, which is why I included a fourth contender in my discussion below.

Six AFC teams sit at 5-6 right now, tied for the final Wild Card Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Seton Hall Pirates

11.22.2013     08:41 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma vs. Seton Hall
Recommendation: Seton Hall


Let's take a look at the Seton Hall Pirates as they take the short trip over to Brooklyn to face a very young Oklahoma squad. Last year was a tough one for Kevin Willard and the Hall as a rash of injuries left the team with little chance in Big East play (3-15). This year they're off to a 3-1 start with a loss in double overtime at Mercer. The Bears are certainly no slouch after winning 24 games a year ago including victories over Florida State, Alabama, and Tennessee on the road. They returned four starters from that group so I actually give credit to Seton Hall for their performance. Also have to like that Seton Hall is averaging over 38 free throws per game – a lot of these early season games have been decided by who wins the trips the charity stripe battle. As mentioned, OU is a very young team and showed well to open the season with a win over Alabama. But I'm not very high on the Crimson Tide and the Sooners were catching +4 in that contest and now laying over a bucket. I also read a somewhat interesting article about Oklahoma's feelings on the tournament and the focus seemed to be on the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Oklahoma Sooners Seton Hall Pirates Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Week 13 Injury Report

11.21.2013     04:26 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah quarterback Travis Wilson is out for the rest of the season and his career could be in jeopardy after he sustained a concussion two weeks ago in a 20-19 home loss to Arizona St. Wilson finished 2013 with a 16-16 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Utes’ sophomore Adam Schulz started in last week’s 44-21 loss at Oregon, completing 13-of-30 passes for 181 yards with one TD and one interception. In four games this year, Schulz has connected on just 35-of-75 throws (46.7%) for 428 yards with a 2-2 TD-INT ratio.

Florida QB Tyler Murphy is ‘questionable’ vs. Georgia Southern due to a shoulder injury. Making his first career start and taking his first snap at the collegiate level last week, Sklyer Mornhinweg completed 10-of-13 passes for 107 yards in a 19-14 loss at South Carolina. UF didn’t put too much on his plate with most of his throws consisting of screen passes and short patterns. However, the redshirt freshman should be credited for being accurate and only making one mistake, an interception on the final drive with just over one minute remaining. The Gators are favored by 28 against the Eagles.

Missouri QB James Franklin is Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




NFL Gambling: Pass interference continues to have big impact on outcomes

11.21.2013     11:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article from the Wall Street Journal on the NFL and pass interference. Defensive PI calls are obviously on the rise due to more passing but the rate of offensive PI calls remains similar to that of past seasons.
 

"It's a big grey area," said McCaffrey. He said the reason a penalty is not called more often is that the move is nearly impossible to decipher. He said it's hard for referees to distinguish receiver-created "picks" from contact initiated by defenders, who are allowed to get physical at the line of scrimmage. He said two things are key for the offense to avoid a penalty: Don't throw a forearm or otherwise make upper-body contact, and after setting a pick, at least pretend to run a route.







Tags: NFL




College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers

11.20.2013     01:05 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas A&M at LSU
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
LSU -4 O/U 70
CRIS Current: LSU -4.5 O/U 70.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: LSU -3
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Over

Although it has no bearing on the SEC West race, Saturday’s showdown between Texas A&M and LSU in Baton Rouge has implications galore for these two proud programs.

For starters, this is a recruiting game. Kevin Sumlin is starting to make inroads in Louisiana and Les Miles has always loved to work the I-10 corridor into East Texas. Also, the Aggies would love to avenge a 24-19 home loss to the Tigers last season.

On that afternoon in College Station, Texas A&M (8-2 straight up, 5-5 against the spread) raced out to a 12-0 lead but it could’ve been more. The Aggies had to settle for two field goals, missed an extra point and had a touchdown called back on one of the drives that ended in Read more



Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies LSU Tigers SEC Brian Edwards




NBA Handicapping: How bad has it gotten for the Brooklyn Nets?

11.19.2013     10:41 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
How bad has it gotten in Brooklyn? Injuries and age seem to be the big story lines and after getting run off their home court last night by the Trail Blazers the Nets apparently held a players only meeting and ditched their press responsibilities. The disappointing loss was their fifth in six games and dropped them to 3-7 overall on the season.

It seemed like this was always going to be an uphill battle for this team. Yes they made headlines with the moves to bring in former all-star veterans but you can’t win on name alone in this league. I think the lofty expectations were a bit misguided coming into the campaign. Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett both look as old on the court as they do on paper. Deron Williams hasn’t been healthy in a couple of years and even when he does suit up he looks like a shell of his former self. Joe Johnson is averaging the fewest points per game of his entire career. And to cap everything off, Jason Terry has provided virtually nothing off the bench. A lack of chemistry is certainly a big issue right now and you wonder if Read more



Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Otto Sports




College Football Handicapping: Nebraska says no letdown vs. Penn State

11.19.2013     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska at Penn State -1.5

Any hope Nebraska had of reaching the Big Ten Championship was eliminated following last week's home loss to Michigan State. The team is saying all the right things in terms of playing for pride, no letdown, etc. heading into Saturday's game at Penn State. Under Bo Pelini, the Cornhuskers are 14-5 SU and 10-8-1 ATS off of a loss.


“We’re competitors. We want to win ballgames. That’s the main thing,” Rose said. “And then for the young guys, just continue to build chemistry on the team, continue to fight. The season is not over. Just because we’re not going to get to the Big Ten championship this year doesn’t mean our season is over.”

“The last thing we need is to go

Read more



Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.18.2013     12:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s late November.  Thanksgiving is next week.  And that means it’s time for me to take a break from my typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season.

It’s time to focus on the big boys – teams with playoff aspirations.  Who can get hot down the stretch and make us some money winning games and covering pointspreads?  Which squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders; which are pretenders.  Let’s take look through the NFC this week, gauging which squads have ATS value moving forward, and which squads have already reached their zenith, poised to tumble back to earth down the stretch.

I did not include notes on Carolina (they don’t play till Monday Night) and Dallas (on bye this week) due to space limitations.  That leaves Philadelphia, the New York Giants, Detroit, Chicago, Green Bay, New Orleans, Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona to consider; all of whom remain live for the postseason as Week 12 approaches.

Serious Super Bowl Contenders

Seattle Seahawks - I Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Gambling: Ohio State upset it didn't cover the spread vs. Illinois

11.18.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Putting to rest the theory that college kids don't know the pointspread of their games...


"We're disappointed by [winning at Illinois] 60-35. We didn't cover whatever spread that we needed to, didn't score enough points to boost up our rating. That's a reason why we're disappointed with the way that we played. It's reality."







Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Football Betting Preview: Utah Utes at Oregon Ducks

11.15.2013     03:08 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah at Oregon
Saturday, 1 pm PT - FS1
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -25 O/U 64
CRIS Current: Oregon -28 O/U 63.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -26
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oregon

A lot of bettors would look at Oregon as unplayable this weekend after having its hopes of a BCS Championship crushed in somewhat embarrassing fashion. But there are other factors to consider in this matchup that in my opinion offset the potential letdown for the Ducks.

For starters, unlike a majority of the PAC-12, Utah has little to no experience playing against Oregon's offense. The last meeting between the two schools was 2009 – Chip Kelly's third game on the job. Second, this is not an ideal spot for the Utes either. After losing back-to-back road games, Utah had a 19-7 lead against Arizona State but gave up a touchdown with a little over two minutes remaining to lose 20-19. Win that game and Utah goes to Read more



Tags: College Football Utah Utes Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2015 03:28 AM.