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Sports Betting Podcast 9-4-2012 with Handicappers Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa
09.04.2012 10:31 AM
Printer Friendly
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Erin Ryning and Alf Musketa. Erin covered tonight's MLB card while Alf broke down College Football Week 2 line moves.
Today's segments
Full Show
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board
Alf Musekta - College Football Week 2 Line Moves
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
MLB
College Football
Erin Rynning
Alf Musekta
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College Football Gambling: Nevada win and USC ATS loss help sportsbooks
09.04.2012 08:16 AM
Printer Friendly
According to William Hill's Jimmy Vaccaro, the books made out OK during last weekend’s college football action thanks to a
few key results
.
“The Nevada upset win at Cal really turned the tide for us,” said William Hill sports book director Jimmy Vaccaro. “But the biggest key to our day was USC not covering the spread against Hawaii. The USC game was so pivotal for us.”
“It was a very good day for us, with great action throughout all of our books,” said Vaccaro. “The biggest key for us was the night games. I haven’t seen a run of underdogs come on like they did Saturday night in a while.”
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College Football
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College Football Gambling: Odds indicate little to no gap between Iowa-Iowa State
09.04.2012 08:07 AM
Printer Friendly
Iowa State
at
Iowa
-3.5 O/U 46
Interesting handicap for this weekend's Cy-Hawk Series between Iowa State and Iowa. Last Saturday, the Cyclones looked strong in their spread covering win over Tulsa while Iowa
barely slipped past Northern Illinois
in Chicago. The Hawkeyes have been double-digit home favorites four straight times in the series. The Cyclones however have been the best bet, covering seven of the last 10 including last year's 44-41 overtime win in Ames.
"We had a tough time," Ferentz said. "We had a tough time protecting at times, and we certainly had a tough time getting open. It just didn't seem like we were in great sync throughout the game."
Iowa-Iowa State Betting Results 2002-11
DATE
AWAY/HOME
LINE
O/U
2011
IOWA 41, ISU 44 OT
Iowa State +6.5
Over 44
2010
ISU 7, IOWA 35
Iowa -12
Under 45.5
2009
IOWA 35, ISU 3
Iowa -6.5
Under 47.5
2008
ISU 5, IOWA 17
Iowa State +13
Under 47.5
2007
IOWA 13, ISU 15
Iowa State +17.5
Under 43
2006
ISU 17, IOWA 27
Iowa State +14
Under 48
2005
IOWA 3, ISU 23
Iowa State +9.5
Under 46
2004
ISU 10 , IOWA 17
Iowa State +20.5
N/L
2003
IOWA 40, ISU 21
Iowa -5.5
Over 51.5
2002
ISU 36, IOWA 31
Iowa State +3
Over 54
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Iowa Hawkeyes
Big Ten
Iowa State Cyclones
Big XII
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NCAAF Gambling: Bettors react following Houston's loss to Texas State
09.04.2012 07:37 AM
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Louisiana Tech
-3.5 at
Houston
O/U 60.5
You would have thought Alabama lost at home to Florida Atlanta the way Houston reacted to getting blitzed by FBS newbie Texas State last Saturday. Offensive coordinator Mike Nesbitt abruptly resigned and the
Cougars promoted Travis Bush
. Bush served as OC at Texas-San Antonio last season. The Cougars are 3.5-point home favorites against Louisiana Tech for Saturday
a line that would have likely been flip-flopped had UH won by margin against TSU. Note that CRIS opened the game Houston -2.5.
“He and I are on the same page,” Levine said. “Our philosophy is exactly the same.”
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College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes Week 1
09.04.2012 07:23 AM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
South Carolina escaped with a 17-13 win at Vanderbilt last Thursday night, but took some hits in doing so. Starting quarterback Connor Shaw can barely lift his right arm and will miss 3-4 days of practice and possibly the East Carolina game this week. Starting guard Brandon Shell hurt his ankle and is in a walking boot, so he is also questionable as well. South Carolina had trouble protecting Shaw all night and the Commodores wound up outgaining the Gamecocks. The South Carolina coaches were not upset at how the Gamecocks played; they recognized that Vandy is a pretty good team and were happy to get out of Nashville with a win. Vandy is a road favorite at Northwestern this week.
Tennessee unveiled its new up-tempo offense against NC State and the results were impressive. The Vols ran 79 plays from scrimmage, the most since notching 82 in a quadruple overtime game against Kentucky in 2007. Tennessee gained 524 yards of offense in the35-21 win and quarterback Tyler Bray looked like a sure-fire NFL prospect. JC wide receiver transfer Cordarrelle Patterson showed some awesome speed and it certainly looks like Da’Rick Rogers, who was booted off the team last week, will
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College Football
SEC
Brent Crow
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College Football ATS Analysis: Do teams bounce back after losing to an FCS school?
09.04.2012 07:12 AM
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For the curious, here are the betting results of FBS teams off a loss to an FCS team dating back to 2008. There are some examples of bounce back performances (see: Virginia Tech and Kansas in 2010) but more often than not, when a team loses outright to an FCS squad, it's an indication said team just isn't very good.
College Football Results after loss to FCS 2008-present
Year
Team
Opponent
Next Opponent
SU Result
ATS Result
2012
Idaho
Eastern Washington
at Bowling Green -16.5
???
???
2012
Memphis
UT-Martin
at Arkansas State -22.5
???
???
2012
Pittsburgh
Youngstown State
at Cincinnati -3.5
???
???
2012
Middle Tennessee
McNeese State
vs. Florida Atlanta +8
???
???
2011
Western Kentucky
Indiana State
vs. Arkansas State -12
Loss
Win
2011
New Mexico
Sam Houston State
vs. New Mexico State -1
Loss
Loss
2011
UNLV
Southern Utah
at Nevada -20.5
Loss
Loss
2011
Minnesota
North Dakota State
at Michigan -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Oregon State
Sacramento State
at Wisconsin -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Duke
Richmond
vs. Stanford -21
Loss
Loss
2010
Virginia Tech
James Madison
vs. East Carolina +20.5
Win
Win
2010
Minnesota
South Dakota
vs. USC -11.5
Loss
Win
2010
Kansas
North Dakota State
vs. Georgia Tech -13.5
Win
Win
2010
Ole Miss
Jacksonville State
at Tulane +20.5
Win
Loss
2010
San Jose State
UC Davis
at Nevada -37.5
Loss
Win
2010
Akron
Garner-Webb
at Kentucky -24.5
Loss
Loss
2010
Ball State
Liberty
at Purdue -16.5
Loss
Win
2009
Duke
Richmond
at Army +1
Win
Win
2009
Virginia
William & Mary
vs. TCU -11
Loss
Loss
2009
Temple
Villanova
at Penn State -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Western Kentucky
Central Arkansas
at Navy -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Ball State
New Hampshire
at Army -9.5
Loss
Win
2008
San Diego State
Cal Poly
at Notre Dame -21.5
Loss
Win
2008
Army
New Hampshire
vs. Akron -10
Loss
Loss
Results
4-16
11-9
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College Football Handicapping: Alf Musketa's Line Moves Report 9/4/2012
09.04.2012 06:13 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
In this edition of my Football Line Moves Report we'll look at the college ranks and report on some of the early action and predict which way it will move. Next week we'll add in some of the NFL line moves as well.
Penn State at Virginia
Virginia opened -7, now -10
Despite Penn State's emotional effort and a 14-3 halftime lead vs. Ohio U, the Nittany Lions fell apart like dominos and let the community, their fans and punters that bet on them down. Penn State has made it's hill to climb even steeper, because a win surely would have taken the pressure off this team. Instead, that pressure remains and a big reason why the line has moved quickly from -7 to -10, and bettors will continue to fade Penn State until they prove otherwise. The opener of -7 was too easy not to take for market players. Virginia handled FCS Richmond fairly easily and they boast a couple of Outland Trophy nominees in right tackle Morgan Moses and left guard Oday Aboushi.
Idaho at Bowling Green
Bowling Green opened -12, now -16.5
Huge move here. The Falcons were -12 for about 10 minutes and then -13.5 for
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Alf Musketa
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Sports Betting Podcast 9-3-2012 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno
09.03.2012 10:31 AM
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Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno. Teddy covered NFL Week 1 line moves while Rob recapped College Football Week 1.
Today's segments
Full Show
Teddy Covers - NFL Line Moves
Rob Veno - College Football Week 1 Recap
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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College Football
Teddy Covers
Rob Veno
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College Football Gambling: Initial reactions to Week 2 line moves
09.03.2012 07:08 AM
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A quick glance at College Football Week 2 line moves.
Penn State at Virginia
CRIS Opener: Virginia -7
CRIS Current: Virginia -10
Quick Take: Not a shock to see this move after Penn State’s lackluster showing vs. Ohio. Could be tricky however supporting a UVA squad that has just two wins of 11 or more vs. FBS competition (Eastern Michigan, Maryland) under Mike London (2010-present).
Idaho at Bowling Green
CRIS Opener: Bowling Green -12
CRIS Current: Bowling Green -14.5
Quick Take: Sometimes what looks like an overreaction is in reality a market correction. Perhaps that’s the case as Idaho – who is looking to drop down to FCS – lost at home to Eastern Washington, 20-3. BG meanwhile showed well in a 27-14 loss at Florida.
Toledo at Wyoming
CRIS Opener: Wyoming -1
CRIS Current: Wyoming -3 (-115)
Quick Take: Absolutely brutal spot for Toledo after losing in overtime at Arizona. Some may consider that result to be fraudulent as the Wildcats outgained the Rockets 624-358.
North Carolina at Wake
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Sportsmemo's College Football Week 1 Betting Recap
09.03.2012 06:39 AM
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By the betting numbers...College Football Week 1 (see results below). Note that we will be using CRIS's opening and closing lines throughout the season.
Road teams were the strongest side bet at 20-14 ATS.
There were six neutral site games. Favorites went 4-2 ATS.
Underdogs held a slight edge at 22-18 ATS.
Double-digits spreads were split even 12-12 ATS.
Totals went 20-20 Over/Under.
Beating the Market: If you bet the opening number on a team that moved three points or more based on the closing line (i.e. bet Michigan State -4.5) you went: 6-7 ATS
Chasing the Market: If you bet the closing number on a team that moved three points or more (i.e. Michigan State -8) you went: 5-8 ATS (USC was the lone difference, opening -37 and winning by 39, but closing -44).
Based on the opening and closing lines, the market was "correct" 14 times but "incorrect" 20 times. "Correct" meaning if a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite won by 7, the market was “correct.” If a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite lost outright, the market was obviously
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