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NBA Handicapping: League-wide pace slows slightly, scoring remains up

12.04.2013     12:57 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re now a couple weeks removed from when I first took a look at the pace of NBA play and it’s a good time to revisit and see how things are shaping up. Back in mid-November we had six teams playing at over 100 possessions per game:

LA Lakers (102.77)
Minnesota (102.52)
Golden State (102.37
Philadelphia (101.46)
Dallas (101.17)
Houston (100.45)

As it stands now only two teams can still boast that type of tempo as Philadelphia (102.07) and Minnesota (101.03) continue to run with reckless abandon. The other four teams have slowed down a bit and we can filter out their possession numbers since that last blog was posted.

Houston (97.70)
LA Lakers (97.36)
Dallas (96.49)
Golden State (96.35)

The scoring, however, hasn’t seen a decrease league wide since we first looked at these numbers. Back in mid-November the average game had seen 198.5 points; an uptick from 2012’s season average of 195.9 points. Since the time of that blog game scoring has actually seen a small uptick to 198.9 points on average. To date overs are hitting 51.7% across the board compared to 2012 at 50.5%.




Tags: NBA Otto Sports




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers

12.04.2013     12:03 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma City +2.5 at Portland O/U 205
Recommendation: Oklahoma City


Here’s the quote from Pacers head coach Frank Vogel, following Portland’s four-point win over Indiana on Monday: “They made big shots all game long. Hopefully that's what it's going to take to beat this team – making impossible shot after impossible shot."

Portland isn’t the best team in the Western Conference, and their 15-3 start to the season might well be their high point of the campaign.  I’m not saying the Blazers are bad, but I am saying that this team isn’t going to hit contested jumpers to the tune of 105 points per game average for the entirety of the season.  The Blazers have only one way to go from here, from a SU and ATS perspective, and that’s down!

Oklahoma City has come on like a freight train since their sluggish start to the season, reeling off eight straight wins (6-2 ATS) coming into tonight.  That stretch Read more



Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Portland Trail Blazers Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling: Let's all gather 'round and rewatch Toronto's collapse vs. Golden State

12.04.2013     11:44 AM     Printer Friendly
If you had a bet on Toronto last night this will probably sting a little. The Raptors jumped out to a 36-19 lead over the Warriors and led by that same margin at halftime with GS a 9-point favorite in the second half (adjusted +8). In the third quarter, Toronto led by as much as 27 and heading into the fourth remained up 88-70. Then the freakin’ wheels came off. The progression of Pinnacle's live wagering tells all you need to know about the total meltdown that took place. Golden State was at its peak +16, followed by +13.5, +12, +8, +3.5, -2.5, and finally -9. All told, the Warriors outscored the Raptors 42-15 in the fourth to not only win the game but also cover the closing game number of -8!




Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors Toronto Raptors




Sports Betting Podcast 12-4-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Teddy Covers

12.04.2013     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno, Ian Cameron, and Teddy Covers. Rob and Ian talked college hoops while Teddy tackled the NBA.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball

Ian Cameron - College Basketball

Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Basketball NBA Rob Veno Ian Cameron Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling News: Brooklyn's mess of a season continues

12.04.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another no-show for the Brooklyn Nets last night as they were smoked on their home court by Denver, 111-87. Now reports are out the head coach Jason Kidd and assistant Lawrence Frank apparently weren't on the same page and Frank will now have a reduced role with the team. Looking ahead, Brooklyn's schedule is favorable (tough to say for a 5-13 team) with games against New York, Milwaukee, Boston, Detroit, Washington, and Philadelphia (twice).


"This is the decision that I had to make, and we made it and we move on," Kidd told reporters before the Nets were routed 111-87 at home by the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday night. "This is my decision in the sense of what I had to do. It's about basketball. That's it."

"[We're] soul-searching here," Kevin Garnett said after the loss. "We were trying to figure out how to patch this thing up, how to get this thing together; there's a lot of moving parts to this. ... I don't think anyone around here is having fun, and losing is definitely not

Read more



Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets




NBA Handicapping: 76ers continue to play fast despite glaring deficiencies

12.03.2013     12:36 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you're looking for a blueprint of how to trend over the total in the NBA, read this. The Philadelphia 76ers are 13-5 O/U, play at the fastest pace in the league (102.8), and rank 26th in defensive efficiency (104.4).


"When you choose to play at a pace that we're trying to play at, the problems can really start there," Brown said following practice yesterday at Philadelphia College of Osteopathic Medicine. "We turn it over a lot, and they run at us. We take quick, bad shots and they run at us. A lot of our transition defensive problems are coming from turnovers and quick, bad shots, because we're so adamant on playing at a speed. Somewhere out there, down the road now, there needs to be a better understanding for how you responsibly play that style of play. Then, when you just get into basic halfcourt defense, it's a whole other story about accountability, define a team, all those things. And me doing a better job coaching some rotations. But our defense is most definitely a problem, and I think some of that spins

Read more



Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers




Sports Betting Podcast 12-3-2013 with Handicappers Brent Crow, Sammy P and Erin Rynning

12.03.2013     10:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Brent Crow, Sammy P, and Erin Rynning. Brent talked college hoops, Sam broke down tonight's NHL card, and ER tackled the NBA.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - College Basketball

Sammy P - NHL Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Basketball NHL NBA Brent Crow Sammy P Erin Rynning




NBA Handicapping: Western Conference vs. Eastern Conference

11.29.2013     07:55 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Western Conference is certainly the deeper side this year by a wide margin and it's showing up in the betting numbers. Home favorites have been predictably hit or miss due to what I think is a bit of a  heavy tax. However, when you get a Western team as a dog against the Eastern foe and you've got a money maker.

Western home dogs vs. Eastern: 5-1 SU/ATS
Western road dogs vs. Eastern: 6-11 SU but 10-7 ATS (assuming you got +5.5 on Lakers at Washington the other day)

There's also a great subset with Western teams laying points against the Eastern conference foe away from home. The average line in those games is about -4.5 while they are averaging a nearly 7 point per game winning margin.

Western road favorites vs. Eastern: 11-4 SU/ATS

Couple of teams qualify for these subsets on Black Friday:

San Antonio -8.5 at Orlando
LA Lakers +5.5 at Detroit

One more will likely qualify once it opens:

New Orleans at Philly

One would have qualified but the line has moved:

Dallas was +1 at Atlanta and is now favored at -1




Tags: NBA Otto Sports




NBA Handicapping: 76ers are the league's best OVER bet

11.27.2013     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the strongest "over" team in the NBA thus far at 11-4 O/U thanks to a quick pace, better than expected offensive efficiency, worse than expected defensive efficiency, and little to no bench. It’s not a profile first-year head coach Brett Brown is fond of with the team already making various roster moves as Brown seeks to build towards the future. Philly travels to Orlando tonight with a total of 208.5.


"That won't change," Hinkie said. "It doesn't mean there will be lots of changes. It just means our job is to keep looking. Keep looking all the time. Keep looking internally and keep looking externally.

"Keep comparing all the time, who can help move us forward."







Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat

11.25.2013     12:30 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Phoenix +12 at Miami O/U 201
Recommendation: Phoenix


Phoenix has been the single best pointspread team in the NBA this year; suffering only two ATS losses in their first 13 games. The Suns were widely expected to tank this season; priced as a true bottom feeder. But that simply hasn’t been the case – they’re tied for the #8 seed in the West with Memphis right now.

Suns forward Channing Frye summed it up: “We're just having fun out there….When you start losing everything you start to get real tight, so we can't be like that. We just have to get out there and have fun."

The Suns opened this road trip with a pair of SU wins on the highway.  They’ve also won SU at New Orleans, and lost at Portland by a single point; a team I have no hesitation supporting in this ‘road dog’ role.  Phoenix is happy, confident and still undervalued going into Miami tonight.

When the Heat bring their a-game, they can beat a team like Phoenix by margin.  But Miami isn’t playing to win games against second tier foes in November – they’re playing for a fourth Read more



Tags: NBA Phoenix Suns Miami Heat Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 01, 2015 04:11 PM.