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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four

05.20.2013     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  This year’s results stand out in that regard.  In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs.  San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds. 

In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin.  And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.

When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Memphis vs. San Antonio Statline Preview

05.19.2013     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A new series starts Sunday. Let’s review regular season performance in the stat categories we’ve been studying in in the college and pro postseasons. Note that these are regular season only numbers. Prefer using an 82-game sample with similar strengths of schedule. Then we can pencil in what we’ve learned so far in the playoffs if need be.

(5) Memphis: 47% two-point defense, +3.7 rebounding, +1.5 TO’S, 4.7 treys, #29 full season pace

(2) S. Antonio: 47% two-point defense, +1.2 rebounding, +0.2 TO’S, 8.1 treys, #6 full season pace

Pretty clear differences there once you get past two-point defense. And, the whole world was at 47% in that category anyway if you’ll recall from our first round previews!

MEMPHIS is the “defense and rebounding wins championships” team, with a huge edge on the glass, and a proven ability to force a lot of turnovers. During the regular season we encouraged you to think of them as the Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting Recap: Memphis and Miami headed to Conference Finals

05.16.2013     06:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Though there’s still a lot of basketball left to be played…there’s already a rumbling that the Memphis Grizzlies and Miami Heat are on a collision course for the NBA Finals. Both wrapped up their second round series in five games Wednesday Night. 

Memphis 88, Oklahoma City 84

2-Point Percentage: Memphis 40%, Oklahoma City 42%

3-Point Shooting: Memphis 3/14, Oklahoma City 6/25

Free Throws: Memphis 25/29, Oklahoma City 16/21

1’s and 2’s: Memphis 79, Oklahoma City 66

Rebounds: Memphis 45, Oklahoma City 44

Turnovers: Memphis 9, Oklahoma City 14

Memphis blew a big lead…then blew a big lead AGAIN before frantically holding on in the final moments. Kevin Durant of OKC stayed out of gas…only shooting 5 of 21 on the evening. I’m hoping statheads who generally decry “inventing a narrative” are learning to think a bit more about that. If you’re really Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Handicapping: Bettors expecting Miami Heat to close out series with win and cover

05.15.2013     01:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight’s two NBA Playoff Games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Sides
Miami -14 - 62.1%
Oklahoma City -4.5 - 51.5%

Totals
Memphis-Oklahoma City OVER 185 - 74.7%
Chicago-Miami UNDER 181 - 51.9%

Moneyline
Chicago +1300 - 86.9%
Memphis +175 - 67.8%



Tags: NBA Miami Heat Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder




Sports Betting Podcast 5-15-2013 with Handicappers Ian Cameron, Erin Rynning, and Alf Musketa

05.15.2013     10:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian, Erin Rynning, and Alf Musketa. Ian and Erin broke down the entire MLB card while Alf talked tonight's two NBA Playoff matchups as well PGA and UFC.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - National League

Erin Rynning - American League (Free Play)

Alf Musketa - NBA Playoffs, PGA, and UFC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory



Tags: MLB NBA PGA Ian Cameron Erin Rynning Alf Musketa




NBA Betting Recap: Spurs up 3-2 after wearing down Warriors

05.15.2013     08:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s always dangerous to think that you’ve seen a team officially run out of gas. Golden State is a young group that could find another wind at home in front of a loud crowd Thursday night. And, there’s an extra day off waiting afterward because Game Seven wouldn’t be until Sunday.

Unfortunately, if you’re a Warriors fan:

*Golden State couldn’t win in regulation in the first two games at home

*Steph Curry looks utterly wiped out

*Andrew Bogut seems to be wearing down

*You’re not going to win two-in-a-row from the Spurs without Curry and Bogut in leadership positions

The stage is set for a potential Warriors rally because of that extra day off. The team will have a lot of days off if Curry and Bogut can’t rejuvenate by Thursday.

San Antonio 109, Golden State 91

2-Point Percentage: Golden State 49%, San Antonio 54%

3-Point Shooting: Golden State Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting Recap: Indiana Pacers dominate glass, take 3-1 series lead over Knicks

05.15.2013     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I doubt there’s any basketball fan or bettor who expected the Indiana Pacers to have made more treys than the New York Knicks through four games of their second round NBA Playoff series. Even the most optimistic Pacers fans, or confident Pacers bettors would have conceded that category to the Knicks. In the regular season, Indiana averaged 6.9 made treys per game while the Knicks were way up at 10.9.

Yet…
 Made Treys Thru 4 Games

New York: 28

Indiana: 34

Indiana was going to own the inside game. New York needed to make up for that with long range shooting. Instead, Indiana’s been even more dominant than expected inside the arc…while also winning treys.

You regulars know about our “Imposing of Will” stat. No surprise that tonight was another slaughter. You might be surprised to learn Tuesday’s game was actually Indiana’s best performance of the series in two-point shooting allowed plus Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Indiana Pacers Stat Intelligence




NBA Playoff Handicapping: Bettors lined up on both road underdogs

05.14.2013     11:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight’s two NBA Playoff Games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Sides
Golden State +7 - 67.1%
New York +5.5 - 58.0%

Totals
New York-Indiana OVER 180 - 60.4%
Golden State-San Antonio 195 - 50%

Moneyline
Golden State +270 - 78.4%
New York +190 - 70.8%



Tags: NBA New York Knicks Indiana Pacers San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors




Sports Betting Podcast 5-14-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P, Erin Rynning, and Teddy Covers

05.14.2013     10:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P, Teddy Covers, and Erin Rynning. Sam talked NHL Stanley Cup Conference Semifinals while Teddy and Erin went through every game on the MLB card.

Today's segments
Full Show

Sammy P - NHL Playoffs

Teddy Covers - National League

Erin Rynning - American League (Free Play)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NHL MLB NBA Sammy P Teddy Covers Erin Rynning




NBA Betting News: Memphis Grizzlies and Miami Heat go up 3-1

05.14.2013     10:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The night is running late so let’s jump right into the numbers…

Memphis 103, Oklahoma City 97 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: Oklahoma City 42%, Memphis 42%

3-Point Shooting: Oklahoma City 9/20, Memphis 6/17

Free Throws: Oklahoma City 20/22, Memphis 25/29

1’s and 2’s: Oklahoma City 70, Memphis 85

Rebounds: Oklahoma City 44, Memphis 41

Turnovers: Oklahoma City 15, Memphis 7

An inverse of Game One. This time, it was Oklahoma City as the road team blowing a big lead (up 17 at one point), so Memphis as the home team could “steal” a win. The Grizzlies had to go overtime to do it. In fact, Oklahoma City won G1 by a 93-91 score, while this one went OT at 94-94. Those two cancel out. The other two games in the series were 6-point Memphis wins (one at each site).

Average Regulation Result: Memphis by 2.5

Memphis is now +17 in turnover differential, which Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Miami Heat Chicago Bulls State Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 02, 2015 03:10 AM.