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MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Los Angeles Angels

04.11.2014     07:29 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Mets (Gee) at LA Angels (Skaggs) -160 O/U 8
Recommendation: Los Angeles


Did you notice the move towards LA's Tyler Skaggs off of the opener? That is the betting markets telling you just how much potential this kid has. A few more starts like what we saw out of Skaggs vs. Houston (8 IP 4 hits, 0 ERs) and enter the customary -175 and above price tag at home. We're not there yet and it was only one start against a poor hitting team, but at home vs. the Mets is another opportunity for him to thrive. Dillon Gee pitched well the back half of 2013 with a 2.77 ERA his last 11 starts. It coincided with an up-tick in velocity. That velocity has eluded him the first two starts of 2014 with his average fastball below 90 mph. Gee isn't a hard thrower to begin with but without being at the top of his game, it will be difficult facing an American League team on the road. I like that the Angels have placed more emphasis on defense and utilizing the shift more. And I also like the advantage LA Read more



Tags: MLB New York Mets Los Angeles Angels Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling: For a third straight year the Minnesota Twins starting pitching is awful

04.10.2014     12:39 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With so many seemingly "fringe" starters not only surviving but thriving in MLB, it is very apparent Minnesota is doing something wrong. It could be just bad luck (or poor decisions) in terms of draft picks and acquisitions but it also could be some sort of organizational philosophy. Heading into today, Minnesota's starters had the worse ERA in the American League at 6.43. And a few hours ago, Mike Pelfrey allowed six earned runs in five innings meaning that 6.43 is headed way north. Newly acquired Ricky Nolasco has allowed 10 runs in 10 innings. Phil Hughes remains a complete mess – a guy who for whatever reason decided to scrap his slider which many metrics pointed to as being his best pitch. Kevin Correria was torched in his first start (5.2 IP, 6 ERs). And Kyle Gibson has upside but still a ways from being a consistent performer. Because starting pitching accounts for a vast majority of game prices, the Twins are going to be big underdogs for much of the campaign. But as a bettor, do you trust any of those guys to go out and give you 6 innings and allowed 3 runs or Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers

04.08.2014     08:23 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia -165 at Florida O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under


As we come upon the last 6 days of the NHL regular season, most of the "must win" teams are priced heavily with juice.  I don't mind laying juice now and then as long as I feel I'm getting value.  As most of my clients and followers know, I play the majority of my NHL totals Under and last night all three games easily cashed with a combined five goals scored in those games!  Hockey is a difficult sport for the books since the totals can really only be one of three choices 5, 5.5, or 6.  The amount of juice they attach to the total is where they try and make up for their deficiencies, but even then we find lots of value in say taking the Under 5.5 -145 instead of Under 5 +110.  Five is such a key number that getting that hook when you have the Under is sometimes worth .50 to .60 cents in my opinion.  Most professional handicappers would scoff at laying that kind of juice on a total, but in the NHL it is how I've grinded out profits for years.

With all that being said, we find lots of value in tonight's Flyers and Panthers Under.  -125 is Read more



Tags: NHL Philadelphia Flyers Florida Panthers Sammy P




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: The Indiana Pacers' historic ATS slide

04.07.2014     08:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Indiana Pacers have been a remarkable pointspread story this year, worthy of a Wiseguy Report to examine in detail what has happened and why.  To be thorough, this story starts last year when the Pacers flexed their collective muscles, developing into a title contender for the first time in a decade.  

Indiana was good, not great, in the 2012-13 regular season.  They won 49 games, tied for the third best record in the (much) weaker of the two conferences.  Here’s an excerpt of what I wrote about the Pacers heading into the playoffs last year:

“A month ago, I would have listed the Pacers as Miami’s toughest Eastern Conference potential test.  Indiana’s defensive numbers rank among the best in the NBA, and low post behemoth Roy Hibbert is a very tough matchup for the Heat in the paint.  Indiana beat Miami twice during the regular season, and the Pacers were the last team to give the Heat real trouble in the playoffs last year, taking a 2-1 series lead in the Eastern Conference semi’s before the Heat closed out the series with three straight wins.

But the Pacers have not Read more



Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins

04.06.2014     07:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Kennedy) at Miami (Eovaldi) -120 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under


Nathan Eovaldi has the tools to be a better than average National League starter. His velocity sits in the mid-90's and everything about his progression over the last few years suggests he's sitting on a solid season. In Eovaldi's first start he looked the part as he fanned six and allowed only two runs in a win over Colorado. Ian Kennedy made the wise choice in going to San Diego where he should be able to get by with marginal stuff and guts. But in his first start of the season I noticed that his velocity was way up from last year with his average fastball was around 92. Kennedy knows how to pitch and that extra mph can make a huge difference, especially when throw off of his off-speed stuff. As mentioned in yesterday's Free Play winner (SD/MIA under), the Padres have been offensively inept with only 8 runs in five games. Two low profile yet effective starters and the early start getaway day environment points us Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Miami Marlins Andrew Lange




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs

04.02.2014     10:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Golden State +10 at San Antonio O/U 202
Recommendation: Golden State


The quotes coming out of the San Antonio locker room are very clear – the Spurs are much more interested in resting and getting healthy for the playoffs than they are with extending their 18 game winning streak.  As big home favorites tonight, that leaves San Antonio overpriced in the betting markets as they take on Golden State.

Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich, in a candid moment with reporters earlier this week said that his team needed to get “slapped” to keep them grounded after all of these wins.  Point guard Tony Parker: “I think he'll be happy if we lose anytime soon. I'm pretty sure because he's going to rest like half of the team."  Hall of Famer Tim Duncan: “We'll worry about a couple of things, staying healthy, finishing the season strong and hopefully going into the playoffs with the confidence we're playing with Read more



Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Final Four Primer

04.02.2014     07:42 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The 2014 NCAA Tournament field consisting of 68 teams has been reduced to four. Florida, the No. 1 overall seed, remains standing along with Wisconsin, Kentucky and Connecticut.

After missing out on the Final Four in three consecutive Elite Eight losses, Billy Donovan's team is back in the national semifinals for the first time since 2007. UF went on a 15-1 run late in the first half to take control en route to a 62-52 win over Dayton as a 10.5-point favorite in Saturday's South Region finals. Scottie Wilbekin was the catalyst yet again. The senior point guard scored 14 of his game-high 23 points in the first half, including a buzzer-beating 3-pointer that sent the Gators to intermission with a 38-24 lead. It was the fourth time Wilbekin had ended the first half with a last-second bucket in the last six games. At the under-eight television timeout, UF led the Flyers by 10 points. From our seats in the second row at FedEx Forum, I looked at my Dad and said, "We've been here before." In the 2011 South Region finals against Butler in New Orleans, Florida had a double-digit lead at the eight-minute mark. Likewise in St. Louis in 2012, the Gators were up 10 on Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers UConn Huskies Florida Gators Brian Edwards




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Late season NBA betting opportunities Part 2

03.31.2014     08:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You’ll be reading more than enough about the Final Four in the week to come.  You’ll be able to find my initial take on the two games in my ESPN.com piece, midweek.  So I’m going to focus on the NBA in this week’s Wiseguy Report, picking up right where I left off last week, when I broke down a handful of Eastern Conference morphers

It’s worth noting that since I wrote that article, blindly supporting the three bet-on teams that I mentioned (Cleveland, Philadelphia and Brooklyn) while fading my one ‘bet-against squad (Indiana) has produced a 10-5 ATS result.  Hopefully this edition, focusing on Western Conference morphers, will produce similar short term dividends.

The San Antonio Spurs success can’t be a surprise to any breathing human.  No team in the league has been more consistent over the past decade and a half, and San Antonio came one brutal overtime loss short of winning the NBA Championship last Read more



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Denver Nuggets New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Colorado Rockies Season Over/Under Wins

03.26.2014     01:38 PM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado Rockies Season O/U Wins
Recommendation: Over 76.5


All of the talk in the National League West has undoubtedly centered on the Los Angeles Dodgers contending for a World Series title and the San Francisco Giants bouncing back after last year’s 76-win campaign.  The Colorado Rockies (74-88) meanwhile are lined as the worst team in the division and while there are plenty of holes, I see upside with this squad as well as value with the price. This is a .500 ball club when Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and the pitching staff are healthy.  Tulowitzki played in only 126 games last season while CarGo was even less at 110. Their starting pitchers are not the envy of most teams, but if guys like Brett Anderson can stay healthy and Juan Nicasio can pitch to his potential they will get more than their share of wins.  Nicasio has been the wildcard in their rotation for some time and with his fastball improved during spring training we could see big results. The addition of Anderson, coupled with Nicasio and Jorge De La Rosa, gives the Rockies three solid arms that while not as high profile as some of the aces in the division, Read more



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Sammy P




NBA Handicapping: Golden State's Jackson clashes with brass

03.25.2014     02:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here's something worth noting. Golden State, specifically head coach Mark Jackson, recently reassigned assistant coach Brian Scalabrine. And by reassigned, we mean he will no longer be on the bench. That alone probably isn’t that big of a deal but it’s not an isolated incident. Jackson and former assistant Mike Malone, who is now the HC for Sacramento, butted heads on more than a few occasions. It was generally understood that Malone did a lot of the X's and O's while Jackson played motivator. Again, we're dealing with a team that is sitting at 44-27 in the Western Conference – winning cures all. But issues like this have the potential to cause damage, particularly in the postseason.


"Over the past two years, Jackson's difficulty with managing his coaching staff and creating a functional work environment has developed into one of the issues that threatens his future on the job, league sources said."







Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors



47

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May

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