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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Chicago Bulls outplay Miami Heat

05.07.2013     01:39 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
To call the Heat prohibitive favorites in their series against the Bulls is something of an understatement!  Miami was a 12.5- or 13-point favorite by tip-off against Chicago for Game 1, the single highest pointspread of the second round by a fairly wide margin.  For the series, the Heat opened as 1:50 favorites offshore and 1:30 favorites here in Vegas (laying $30 or $50 to win a single dollar).  Even after their Game 1 loss, the Heat are still 1:9 chalk to win the series; a true rarity when it comes to series prices for teams trailing 1-0 having already lost their home court advantage.

Games aren’t played on paper, and despite Miami’s enormous perceived advantage, they were clearly not the better team in the series opener on Monday Night.  Some of that was simply rust off following a week long layoff.  San Antonio – the other team that swept their first round series, then sat around waiting for the second round – was comparably flat.  But unlike Miami, San Antonio saved their best ball for crunch time of the fourth quarter, whereas the Heat looked gassed and shocked when Chicago scored the final ten points of the Read more


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Miami Heat Teddy Covers




NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Chicago Bulls stun Miami Heat in Game 1

05.07.2013     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Today was the day for my annual eye check. Which, apparently, I only do once every five years because I had fallen out of their records at the doctor’s office. Given the goop they drop in, and the stuff they do to confirm that you’re getting older, things were still a little bit blurred and streaky tonight. And, THEN the Chicago/Miami game Monday night turned into something where you couldn’t believe your eyes…

Chicago 93, Miami 86

2-Point Percentage: Chicago 45%, Miami 44%

3-Point Shooting: Chicago 7/18, Miami 7/24

Free Throws: Chicago 24/29, Miami 17/25

1’s and 2’s: Chicago 72, Miami 65

Rebounds: Chicago 46, Miami 32

Turnovers: Chicago 15, Miami 8

Great to see Chicago’s passion and intensity continue. It’s very easy to lose a step after climbing a mountain. Chicago climbed a bigger mountain! At least for one night.

You know…we’ve seen Miami Read more


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Miami Heat Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Durant leads OKC past Memphis in Game 1

05.06.2013     11:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Coming into the playoffs, the odds that backup OKC point guard Derek Fisher would be a defensive difference maker were somewhere between slim and none.   Then Russell Westbrook suffered a season ending injury.  Reggie Jackson, the second year point guard out of Boston College who averaged just 14 minutes of playing time during the regular season, has been promoted to the starting spot.  Fisher, who didn’t even sign with the Thunder until after the All-Star break, got a steady dose of garbage time minutes down the stretch.  He closed out his 24 game regular season stint with OKC averaging just 4.1 points on 33% shooting and 0.7 assists per game.

Fisher’s playoff history is truly a special one, highlighted by his infamous Game 5 buzzer beating three-pointer at San Antonio in Game 5 of the 2004 Western Conference Finals.  That shot is just one of quite literally dozens of huge makes from Fisher from a career that dates all the way back to 1996.  And Fisher hit a pair of impact three pointers in Game 1 against Memphis as well.  But the biggest clutch contribution from a guy with five championship rings on his fingers came Read more


Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Indiana takes 1-0 lead over New York

05.06.2013     11:42 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While Game 1 went flying Over the total by 15 points, the truth of the matter is that New York is struggling mightily on the offensive end of the court these days.  They didn’t score more than 90 points in any of their games against the Celtics; the longest streak to start the playoffs since the shot clock came into play in the 1954-55 season.  As a result, since taking a 3-0 series lead against Boston, New York has lost three of their last four in straight up fashion despite being favored in all four games.

Health matters as much or more than any other factor at this time of the year, and the aging Knicks are struggling in that department as well.  Carmelo Anthony’s left shoulder is getting worse, not better after popping out of the socket during the Boston series.  Defensive mainstay Tyson Chandler isn’t anywhere near 100%.  Amare Stoudamire isn’t back in the lineup yet, although he could be before this series is through.  Steve Novak’s balky back is keeping him out of action as well.

New York earned the #2 seed in the East behind Miami because they were a solid defensive team, hit a boatload of three Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Pacers and Thunder take 1-0 series leads

05.06.2013     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I didn’t get a chance to re-post the regular season statlines before Round Two got started Sunday in the NBA Playoffs. Let’s do a combination report that features those, plus the afternoon boxscores from the first two games of the league quarterfinals.

Let’s start in the East. The format we used during March Madness that helped paint such a good picture for us involved the following stats:

Two-Point Defense

Rebound Differential

Turnover Differential

Made Treys per Game

Pace Ranking

If you believe “defense and rebounding wins championships,” we have those numbers. If you believe that “you have to avoid turnovers” is important when championships are on the line, we have that. If you believe that three-point production is revolutionizing the game, that’s covered. If you believe that playing at your preferred pace while forcing your opponent out of their comfort zone is a hidden key to postseason Read more


Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers New York Knicks Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder

05.05.2013     07:14 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Western Conference Semifinals
No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder


Series Schedule
Game 1 - Sunday, May 5, at Oklahoma City 10 am PT
Game 2 - Tuesday, May 7, at Oklahoma City 6:30 pm PT
Game 3 - Saturday, May 11, at Memphis 2 pm PT
Game 4 - TBD
Game 5 * TBD
Game 6 * TBD
Game 7 * TBD

Series Price (CRIS)
Memphis -130/Oklahoma City +110

Playoffs Records
Oklahoma City - 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1-5 O/U
Memphis - 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, 5-1 O/U

Season Series (Memphis 2-1 SU, Oklahoma City 2-1 ATS, 2-1 O/U)
3/20 - Memphis 90 vs. Oklahoma City (+1.5) 89 OT - UNDER 188.5
1/31 - Oklahoma City (-9.5) 106 vs. Memphis 89 - OVER 190
11/14 - Memphis (+5.5) 107 at Oklahoma City 97 - OVER 195

Sportsmemo Handicapping Erin Rynning's take:
The Western Conference changed dramatically coinciding with the injury to the Oklahoma City’s Russell Westbrook.  Look no further than the series price in this #1 seed vs. #5 matchup as the Thunder, with their home court Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Erin Rynning




NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Celtics get hot from three, force Game 6 vs. Knicks

05.02.2013     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I didn’t get a chance to watch Game Six of Boston/New York Wednesday night. I was following along the commentary on twitter. Sounded like the ultimate gut check performance from the valiant if aging Celtics, and a very lame no-show from the arrogant Knicks who shouldn’t have been talking trash.

Somehow…NOBODY SEEMED TO NOTICE THIS...

Three Pointers: Boston 11/22, New York 5/22

I can only talk about the people I follow…so maybe there were places that made this a big story. But…how can Boston fans watch that game and see guts and glory rather than a team shooting way over its head on treys? The Celtics won scoreboard by two treys…with a boxscore edge of six treys…in a stat they would normally be expected to lose handily.

So…give them credit for showing up, playing hard, and continuing to battle. Just keep this sequence in mind.

Boston Treys in This Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Boston Celtics Stat Intelligence




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros

05.02.2013     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit (Porcello) -170 at Houston (Lyles) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


Considering the lineup they are carting out there on a daily basis, it is amazing that the Houston Astros rank 7th in the American League in slugging pct. (.413) and 8th in OPS (.730). A lot of that is bolstered by the infamous 16-run explosion vs. Seattle back in early April but overall, the Astros are finding ways to put a decent amount of runs on the board. Detroit's Rick Porcello had a bounce back performance last time out against Atlanta (6.1 IP, 3 ERs) but I watched that start and he was a pitch or two away from imploding yet again. Porcello doesn't have a pitch he can put batters away with and as a result he pitches to a lot of contact (19.1 IP, 28 hits, 8 Ks).

The fact that Jordan Lyles started the season in the minors is a huge red flag. Especially when his competition was Philip Humber (7.58 ERA), Brad Peacock (9.41) and Erik Bedard (8.20). And while manager Bo Porter is Read more


Tags: MLB Houston Astros Detroit Tigers Andrew Lange




NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Harden huge as Rockets extend series

05.02.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

James Harden finally got hot, making his first seven treys on the way to a 31 point outing on only 16 field goal attempts. That helped Houston build a comfortable lead. In desperation, Oklahoma City started fouling Omer Asik to see if “Hack-a-Shaq” and “Hack-a-Dwight” would work on a big guy who actually has decent form, a soft release, and a complete lack of arrogance. Asik would end the night 13 of 18 from the free throw line. Houston would end the night celebrating a 107-100 victory

Houston 107, Oklahoma City 100

2-Point Percentage: Houston 54%, Oklahoma City 53%

3-Point Shooting: Houston 14/35, Oklahoma City 8/33

Free Throws: Houston 25/37, Oklahoma City 20/28

1’s and 2’s: Houston 65, Oklahoma City 76

Rebounds: Houston 42, Oklahoma City 43

Turnovers: Houston 12, Oklahoma City 8

I can’t say that fouling Asik was a horrible gamble at first. The element of surprise Read more


Tags: NBA Houston Rockets Oklahoma City Thunder Stat Intelligence




NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Denver wins but Golden State moves to 5-0 ATS

05.01.2013     09:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The most entertaining series of the first round what was mostly its first dud. Golden State did rally to give Nuggets fans some nausea…and rallied enough to give Nuggets bettors a punch in the gut as Denver (-8) gagged a big lead in a 107-100 finish.

Dog players who lost New Jersey in a million overtimes this past weekend felt that was owed them. Golden State has topped expectations in all five games in this series. We’ve had some fairly consistent tendencies through the five games. Let’s take a look at that.

Series: Golden State leads 3-2 even though an extra game was in Denver

Two-Point Shooting: Golden State leads 4-1

Three-Point Makes: Golden State leads 5-0 (combined 52-35)

Free Throw Makes: Denver leads 5-0 (combined 117-79, yes +38!)

Rebounds: Golden State leads 3-2 (combined +16)

Turnovers: Denver leads 4-1 (combined +9)

1’s and 2’s: Denver leads 5-0 (combined +31)

Three Read more


Tags: NBA Denver Nuggets Golden State Warriors Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 22, 2014 04:46 AM.