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Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Report Will Be Released Today!

07.30.2013     06:39 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

Click here to purchase

copy_tc_nfl_o_u_2.jpg

Below is the written analysis Teddy provided to his clients with last year's O/U Win Report. He went 4-0-1 with his recommendations.


2012 NFL Season Win Total Report: Part 1

All lines in this report are current as of 10 AM Pacific on Tuesday, July 31st.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order.  I used seven offshore sports books (Pinnacle, Bookmaker, Greek, Bovada, Grande, ABC Islands and WSEX ) as fodder for my ‘best available current line’, but there’s no reason to think that you won’t be able to find a better number elsewhere – line shoppers are routinely rewarded in the Over-Under win total marketplace. 

Each and every one of these numbers is also available at the sportsbooks here in Las Vegas, but I used the offshore numbers in this report knowing that many clients don’t have access to the Vegas numbers.  It is VERY important to get the win totals posted on this report – a half game can make an enormous difference, Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Handicapping the best and worst NFL secondaries

07.29.2013     11:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The pecking order for NFL quarterbacks is well established.  Most of the best quarterbacks play for the best teams.  Peyton Manning in Denver, Eli Manning in New York, Tom Brady in New England, Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, Drew Brees in New Orleans and Joe Flacco in Baltimore all wear Super Bowl rings.  All seven guys play for teams that are perennial playoff teams, and all seven of those squads are lined at 8.5 wins or higher again this year.

The next grouping of quarterbacks isn’t as easy to establish.  I’d probably put the likes of Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Tony Romo, Philip Rivers and Colin Kaepernick in this grouping; and I wouldn’t argue with anyone who wanted to include Matthew Stafford, Jay Cutler, Cam Newton or Andrew Luck.  Just about every one of those quarterbacks also plays for a playoff contending team.

The very bottom of the pecking order is also very easy to establish.  On my list, I’d include Christian Ponder in Minnesota, Brandon Weeden in Cleveland, Mark Sanchez in New York, Jake Locker in Tennessee, Blaine Gabbert or Chad Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Big XII Stat Day

07.29.2013     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Continuing our series of “stat day” summaries to mirror “media day” college football coverage. If this is the first one of these you’ve read. We’re looking at:

2012 Yards-Per-Play (Offense and Defense)

2012 Turnovers (Offense and Defense)

2012 Third Down Conversions (Offense and Defense)

2013 Returning Starters

The stats are for CONFERENCE action ONLY, so we don’t get pollution from widely varied non-conference schedules. I gathered them at cfbstats.com. The returning starter data was pulled from the Athlon publication, and may be a little outdated given recent arrests, injuries, suspensions, etc…

I’ve tried to link stats together in a way that helps paint a picture for each team. We start by looking at offenses…with an eye on per-play production within a successful risk/reward approach. Who can move the ball while protecting it? Who couldn’t move the ball? Who couldn’t protect Read more


Tags: College Football Big XII Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: SEC Stat Day

07.28.2013     08:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The SEC has already had its set of “Media Days” last week. Didn’t hear much talk about key stats from last year. The media begged coaches to trash talk each other or Urban Meyer. They hoped Johnny Manziel would say or do something inappropriate…then hoped somebody else would comment on what a brat Manziel is. They talked about Texas A&M’s great offense without acknowledging that Alabama’s offense was actually better on a per play basis while committing fewer turnovers in league action.

Let’s rectify that, and paint a picture of what the SEC looked like top-to-bottom last year. The stats you see below are from conference games only…which means eight games for everyone but nine for Alabama and Georgia (who met in the SEC Championship). The numbers are gathered from cfbstats.com, which is a great site if you’re trying to dig up data in a boatload of categories.

We start with offenses, focusing on yards-per-play and giveaways…which is Read more


Tags: College Football SEC Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Big 10 Stat Day

07.26.2013     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

All the major college football conferences are having “media” days (or two, or three). Since little of the media coverage coming out of those days involves stats…I’ll try to put together some “stat days” between now and the start of the season. The Big 10 is under the spotlight at the moment all over the internet. So, let’s start there.

First…a review of Big 10 offenses last year, focusing on the basic fundamentals of moving the ball and protecting it. Remember that there are now 12 teams in the Big 10. They’re ranked immediately below by yards-per-play on offense in conference play ONLY to help weed out the goofy stuff that happens against widely variant non-league schedules. That means 8 games for everybody but Wisconsin and Nebraska. They played each other in the Big 10 Championship game, so their numbers are pulled from a 9-game sampling. These are the numbers as reported by the college football stats site cfstats.com

Big 10 Read more


Tags: College Football Big Ten Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: Texas Tech brings in yet another first-year defensive coordinator

07.25.2013     12:36 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Amazingly, Texas Tech is on its fifth defensive coordinator in five years. Andin  each of those seasons there was a change in overall philosophy with the 4-3, 3-4, and 4-2-5 all being implemented at one time or another. This year, under first-year DC Matt Wallerstedt, TTU will go back to the well with the 3-4.


“It’s gotten easier every year,” Hyder said. “It’s really about having blind faith. You’ve got to realize these coaches that are coming in want the best for you. They’re going to put a defense in place and you just roll with it.






Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII




MLB Handicapping: Wednesday Betting Recap

07.25.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ll start with the Interleague game, then take everything else in rotation order…

*Oh no they DIDN’T! Once again, it looked like the Dodgers were finally going to lose a game. They were down 3-2 in the ninth…and hadn’t scored a run in about 90 minutes. A rally to tie it in the ninth forced extra innings…then the Dodgers scored FIVE in the tenth inning to win 8-3. That pushes them to 6-0 since the ASB, and runs their longterm streak to 23-5 the last 28 games. Note that Puig scored the tying run in the ninth with two outs. He was on first after a walk (hey, he can walk!). He ran aggressively on a single to center…the CF made an error…and Puig came all the way around to score. Then he homered in the tenth to help build on what had become a 5-3 lead. The “first half” score was 2-2, with Nolasco throwing four scoreless before tiring a bit. His pitching line is now 0-3-1-2 as a Dodger, with an average and median of Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting: ACC Coastal News and Notes

07.24.2013     12:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rob Veno was a guest on today's Sportsmemo Podcast talking about the ACC Coastal Division. You can listen to the segment here. Rob was kind enough to pass along his notes from the show. Enjoy.

Schedule (4 Non-Conference, 8 Conference) – (6 Division, 2 Non Division)

Virginia Tech – QB (Logan Thomas)
Coastal - Tough: @ Georgia Tech, @ Miami (FL), @ Virginia
Atlantic - Easy: vs. Maryland, @ Boston College
Non-Conference – Semi Tough: N vs. Alabama (Atlanta), @ East Carolina, VS. Marshall
NOTES
1 – New OC/QB coach Scott Loeffler (Auburn OC LY and Temple OC in 2011) – Hope is to develop more of a running game.
2 – Defense returns 9 starters (actually 10 w/ ILB Edwards) including the entire front 4 and the entire secondary (all 8 are upperclassmen).
3 – Pass rushing LB Tariq Edwards back after missing L6 games due to injury. 

Miami (FL) – QB (Stephen Morris)
Coastal - Easy: @ North Read more


Tags: College Football ACC Rob Veno




Canadian Football League Week 4 Betting Recap

07.24.2013     11:26 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my recap of Week 4 in the Canadian Football League as I provide a quick hitter, team-by-team analysis...

Montreal Alouettes (1-3 SU/ATS)
Montreal’s offense finally showed up but the problem was it was only for a quarter! Having put up just 18 points on offense in their two prior games, the Alouettes scored 24 points in the first quarter to take a 24-0 lead against Calgary. They then proceeded to score three points the rest of the game, coughing up the lead and losing 38-27 as 7-point road underdogs – a performance that certainly made Montreal bettors nauseous. The defense, which had been solid in their first three games, was shredded both against the run and pass and special teams played a major role in the loss. Montreal’s Noel Devine looked to have a sure kickoff return touchdown only to have Calgary’s Fred Bennett track him down and punch the football out of his arms. Calgary recovered it in the end zone for a game changing touchback. A touchdown there would have given Montreal the lead back but instead Calgary used it to further their momentum and put the game away. The Alouettes are quickly becoming a comedy of Read more


Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




MLB Gambling Free Pick: San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers

07.23.2013     10:54 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Ross) +110 at Milwaukee (Hand) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: San Diego


The Brewers came out of the All-Star break and swept a series against the Marlins.  Don’t be fooled!  Milwaukee notched those three wins only because Miami’s anemic offense didn’t plate a single run for the entire series. 

The Padres aren’t offensive juggernauts, but unlike Miami, their roster isn’t loaded with a bunch of guys who should still be playing at Triple-A.  They’ve scored five runs or more three times in four games on their post-All-Star break road trip, while averaging just shy of five runs per game in their last seven road tilts.  Big middle of the order bats Chase Headley and Carlos Quentin are both heating up right now.

The Brewers won’t have Ryan Braun for the rest of the season, and they’re expected to be without cleanup hitter Carlos Gomez tonight either.  With Aramis Ramirez and Cory Hart Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers San Diego Padres Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 31, 2014 03:46 PM.