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February

27

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College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators

09.18.2013     10:23 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Florida
Saturday, 12:30 PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
Florida -15.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida -16.5 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno’s Power Ranking: Florida -16.5
Brian Edwards’ Recommendation: Under

Florida will be seeking its ninth consecutive win over Tennessee when these bitter SEC East rivals square off Saturday at The Swamp in Gainesville.

Most books opened Florida (1-1 straight up, 0-2 against the spread) as a 14.5-point favorite Sunday night. However, by late Wednesday morning, most shops had the Gators favored by -17 with a total of 47.5. Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +600 return (risk $100 to win $600).

Will Muschamp’s team has had two weeks to shake off a gut-wrenching 21-16 loss at Miami as a three-point road favorite. UF nearly doubled up the Hurricanes in total offense but went down nonetheless due to five turnovers, Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Florida Gators SEC Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 9/18/13

09.18.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Feel much better about how these numbers have honed in on the market. Many of last week’s numbers were very close to nailing this week’s openers (or first line moves off an opener). When they didn’t, it was due to a common-sense adjustment from a Saturday result, or an injury to a quarterback. Think we’re mostly there. Not all the way there, particularly in the bottom third where there seems to be more volatility (and less raw confidence from all involved)

If this is your first visit to the site…I’m trying to estimate college football “Power Ratings” as represented by the lines posted in the betting markets. These aren’t my personal opinions of teams. This is my estimate of how “the market” as a composite must be rating the teams based on the lines we’re seeing now and have been seeing recently. I start by creating couplets based on the line for each game, using 3 points of value for home field advantage. Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Preview: SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies

09.18.2013     06:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
SMU at Texas A&M
Saturday, 4 pm PT – ESPNU
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -26.5 O/U 82
CRIS Current: Texas A&M -28.5 O/U 79
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Texas A&M -30.5
Andrew Lange’s Recommendation: Texas A&M 1st half

SMU can have all the bye weeks and time to prepare in the world and it still won't save them from getting beat up by Texas A&M. No question the Aggies are in a bad spot and as we saw last week with Michigan following the Notre Dame game, no one is immune to a letdown. But to me, there is a class and coaching difference that outweighs the situational.

In Week 1, which should have been SMU's Super Bowl as they were fortunate enough to host an in-state foe from a BCS conference, the Mustangs laid a big egg in a 41-23 loss to Texas Tech. Statistically the Mustangs were right there but the end result was nothing more than the Red Raiders Read more


Tags: College Football SMU Mustangs AAC Texas A&M Aggies SEC Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: What to do with bad football teams?

09.17.2013     12:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We're through Week 3 of the college football season and for a few teams it's been a struggle. Some of those struggles oddsmakers and bettors spotted well in advance while others weren't as obvious. Let's take a look at some of these teams and decide whether or not they have "bet on" potential moving forward.

Wake Forest (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) - For years the Demon Deacons fielded a competitive team with pointspread value under long-time head coach Jim Grobe. But the program has unquestionably deteriorated with records of 5-7, 3-9, 6-7, and 5-7 the last four years. Even with solid turnover margins of +8 and +9 – a staple under Grobe –the last two seasons, Wake looks outmanned and slow compared to the rest of the ACC. They're off to a 1-2 start and once again can't run the football (86.3 ypg) or find consistency in the passing game with senior Tanner Price. This is likely a do-or-die season Grobe and I don't see many more chances for straight up wins on the schedule. This week's price of -3 at Army tells us all we need to know about Wake's place in the betting markets.

Florida International (0-3 SU/ATS) - Pretty Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Podcast 9-17-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

09.17.2013     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron. Brian recapped Week 3 College Football (SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC) and Ian did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - CFB Week 3 Recap: SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC

Ian Cameron - CFB Week 3 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Rob Veno Ian Cameron




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Bengals win and cover vs. Steelers

09.17.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Not exactly the most exhilarating Monday Nighter. The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals have played some bruising battles recently…and it was that kind of game again. You’ll see in the linescore that Cincinnati won by playing a cleaner game…and it was that cleaner game allowed them to win time of possession by more than 11 minutes.

Cincinnati 20 (-6), Pittsburgh 10

Pittsburgh: 278 yards, 5.1 per-play, 2 turnovers, 25% third downs

Cincinnati: 407 yards, 5.2 per-play, 0 turnovers, 41% third downs

On a per-play basis, they were virtually equal. Cincinnati moved the chains more effectively, which allowed them to keep the ball longer. Pittsburgh finished 3 of 12 on third down conversions…but it was 1 of 10 before they nailed a couple of irrelevant ones on their final drive that ran the clock out. Pittsburgh was only 10% when the game was being decided.

Other Numbers

Rushing Read more


Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals Stat Intelligence




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox

09.16.2013     11:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Hendriks) +100 at Chicago WS (Johnson) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


It’s been an ugly season for the Chicago White Sox, but it’s gotten even worse here in September. Chicago is 2-15 in their last 17 games and they’ve been outscored 84-36 so far this month, including 42-7 during their current six game skid after getting swept at home by the Indians over the weekend.

And yet somehow, this team is favored tonight.  That gives us a prime opportunity to step in and bet against this sorry squad without laying any juice! The Twins certainly aren’t juggernauts, but at least they’re competitive, a modest 7-9 in their last 16 games, with six of those seven wins coming at an underdog price.  The Twins enjoyed a late game rally to come back and beat Tampa yesterday, a solid boost of positive momentum; something that matters when we’re talking about two sub .500 teams just playing out the string.

Twins starter Liam Read more


Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins Teddy Covers




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.16.2013     06:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I'm well aware that Nebraska doesn't have the defensive players it had a few years back AND that the offense is playing at a faster clip hence more plays/opportunities for the opposition. However over the last two years we've seen the Cornhuskers fail repeatedly when asked to face competent offenses and what’s baffling to me is the lack of any sort of adjustment.

2012 Week 2 - UCLA racked up 653 yards on nearly 6.95 ypp.

2012 Week 6 - Ohio State popped for 63 on the Huskers at over 8 ypp.

2012 Big Ten Championship - Wisconsin hung 70 and nearly 11 ypp!

2012 Bowl Game - Georgia fell just shy of 600 yards at 8.3 ypp.

2013 Week 1 - Wyoming rolled into Lincoln and put up 602 yards (8.1 ypp) and nearly won outright as 31-point dogs.

These days playing defense against top-notch offenses isn't easy. But there are tons of teams with far less talent that are finding ways to get the occasional three-and-out.

One of my biggest bets of Week 3 was on Washington -4 second half vs. Illinois. The Huskies absolutely dominated the first half box score, kicked a FG right before half, and received the ball to start the second. It Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Recap: Alabama wins but A&M slips through the backdoor

09.15.2013     08:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted from Stat Intelligence

It wasn't exactly the Game of the Century that the endless pre-game hype on CBS and ESPN would have had you believe (there are no Super Bowls in September!). But, Alabama/A&M was plenty entertaining. Let's get to the numbers.

Alabama 49, Texas A&M 42 (+8)

Alabama: 568 yards, 8.6 per-play, 1 turnovers, 50% third downs

TX A&M: 628 yards, 8.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 63% third downs

The offenses ruled the defenses to such an extreme degree in this one…that Alabama only faced six third down attempts all afternoon…and Texas A&M only eight. Both teams were moving the ball all day long in big bursts. Not exactly classic SEC football. The Aggie turnovers were high impact. One came in the end zone, spiking what was likely a TD drive (nobody had to settle for a field goal all day). The other was returned for a TD.

In that sense…it felt much more like a big time tennis match. Turnovers were service breaks. The Read more


Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Texas A&M Aggies SEC Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Consensus: Bettors load up on the big chalk for Saturday

09.13.2013     01:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for Saturday's Week 3 College Football card courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Sides
Northern Illinois -28.5 (95.4%) at Idaho
Louisville -13.5 (94.6%) at Kentucky
Maryland -6 (90.3%) at UConn
Michigan -37 (88.1%) vs. Akron
Oregon -27.5 (87.4%) vs. Tennessee
Arkansas -23 (87.6%) vs. Southern Miss

Totals
Kansas-Rice OVER 59 (100%)
Georgia Tech-Duke OVER 58 (95.8%)
Wisconsin-Arizona State OVER 54 (94.6%)
Western Michigan-Northwestern OVER 58.5 (93.8%)
UTEP-New Mexico State OVER 57 (88.2%)
Central Michigan-UNLV UNDER 54 (88.2%)




Tags: College Football



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Feb 27, 2015 07:17 AM.