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November

28

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MLB Gambling Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers

08.13.2013     10:44 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Estrada) +180 at Texas (Ogando) O/U 9
Recommendation: Milwaukee


Very quietly, waaaaaay underneath the radar, the Milwaukee Brewers have started to win road games.  They took three out of four at Wrigley Field to close out their last road trip, and have won four of six on their current West Coast trip.  All seven of those victories came as plus price underdogs.

The Brewers lineup is clicking right now.  They put up back-to-back ten run outbursts in Seattle over the weekend, and should get slugger Aramis Ramirez back in the lineup tonight after a month long stint on the DL.  That’s bad news for struggling Rangers starter Alexi Ogando, who was rushed back to the Rangers rotation following a seven week stint on the DL because they had, quite simply, run out of options.

Ogando has been struggling with high pitch counts, failing to record a single out past the fifth inning in any of his four starts since coming off the DL. And Ogando has Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Texas Rangers Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 8-13-2013 with Handicappers Brian Edwards and Erin Rynning

08.13.2013     10:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brian Edwards and Erin Rynning. Brian previewed the Big Ten Legends Division while ER talked MLB.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brian Edwards - Big Ten Legends Preview

Erin Rynning - MLB (Free Play)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Big Ten MLB Brian Edwards Erin Rynning




College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin switches to 3-4 defense

08.13.2013     06:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Under first-year defensive coordinator Dave Aranda (Utah State), the Wisconsin Badgers will switch from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4 this season.


"There are only a handful of teams in the NCAA that run a 3-4, so it will be hard for teams to imitate us in scout team. Offensive lines aren't really accustomed to blocking 3-4s, so I think that will be nice for us."

"We're so much more attack oriented," added DL Ethan Hemer. "We attack and come off the ball and we make offenses dictate to what we do instead of dictating to what offenses do."





Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




College Football Betting: Illinois' defense not the same without DC Koenning

08.12.2013     12:36 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Illinois' defense is hoping for better results in the second year under defensive coordinator Tim Banks. As mentioned in this article, when Tim Beckman took over, he decided not to keep defensive coordinator Vic Koenning. The transition from Koenning to Banks wasn't a smooth one as the Illini went from allowing 286.2 ypg (2nd Big Ten) to 387.6 ypg (10th Big Ten) last season.


“We just couldn’t put the pieces together,” he said. “Transition is hard. I had a special relationship with him and change is really difficult. But you just have to buy into a new system, which we’ve done.

“Improvement is expected in the second year.”





Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten




NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Friday Night's Results and Stats

08.10.2013     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Just like last night, let’s crunch some numbers in market rotation order. If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15.

Miami 27, Jacksonville 3

Total Yardage: Miami 267, Jacksonville 289

Passing Stats: Miami 15-26-1-161, Jacksonville 23-42-2-163

Turnovers: Miami 1, Jacksonville 4

Drive Points: Miami 7, Jacksonville 3

Stat Score: Miami 17, Jacksonville 19

Very important to pay attention to the numbers here. If you were scoreboard watching all night, you probably assumed Miami was playing much sharper because of their one-week head start. They seemed to be in command the whole way, and won a blowout. But, the offense Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Betting Free Pick: Washington Redskins at Tennessee Titans

08.08.2013     11:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Tennessee -3 O/U 35.5
Recommendation: Tennessee


The Redskins are expected to start three rookies in the secondary tonight.  The Titans are expected to give Jake Locker an extended look for a preseason opener; in the range of 20 snaps.  Locker has a lot to prove this August…Advantage: Tennessee.

The betting markets like Washington’s backup QB duo of Rex Grossman and Pat White after Kirk Cousins sits.  No argument there.  But the Titans backup QB rotation looks good as well, with former Bills starter Ryan Fitzpatrick and four year veteran Rusty Smith backing up Locker. 

Redskins head coach Mike Shanahan is taking a very relaxed attitude towards game planning here in August.  They’ll be focusing on “general concepts” tonight.  Washington was -3 in their preseason opener last year and scored a grand total of seven points in their non-cover against the Bills.

We’ve got Read more


Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: American League Road Only Team Stats

08.08.2013     05:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s been awhile since we looked at road-only stats in the majors. Went through the splits pages at baseball-reference and grabbed some offensive and pitching numbers for all 30 teams.

Don’t want to suggest that “road only” numbers are the perfect way to evaluate teams. Every method has some pollution in it. Generally speaking, these do paint a pretty accurate portrait of the true big picture strengths and weaknesses of each team. They take home ballparks out of the mix…and therefore the illusions that are typically created when teams have to play half their games in a home park that either favors hitting or pitching.

Best Road Offenses (ordered by on-base plus slugging total)

Baltimore 767: .320 on-base, .447 slugging

Boston 757: .342 on-base, .415 slugging

Detroit 745: .327 on base, .418 slugging

Cleveland 738: .330 on base, .408 slugging

Tampa Bay 738: .323 on-base, .415 Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Illinois hopes new OC can spark offensive turnaround

08.07.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A common theme here in the blog this summer has been college football teams with crappy offenses that bring in new offensive coordinators. In the case of Illinois, calling last year's offense "crappy" is generous. We're talking about a team that averaged 11.8 ppg in conference play. When something like that occurs the next logical move is to bring in an up-and-coming OC who can quickly turn things around. But the Illini went a different route and hired former Western Michigan head coach Bill Cubit who this fall will turn 60 years old. Cubit's WMU teams were typically slightly above average by MAC standards but never prolific when it came to putting points on the board. According to Cubit, the main goal this season is to play faster (Illinois ranked 87th in plays per game last year, Western Michigan ranked 34th). Dating back to the Ron Zook era, U of I’s problem has not been talent but rather developing it. Nowhere is that more apparent than quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase who saw his QB ratings drop from 133.38 to Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

08.06.2013     11:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta (Teheran ) +105 at Washington (Gonzalez) O/U 7
Recommendation: Atlanta


The Braves are the hottest team in baseball right now, winners of eleven straight.  They’ve taken complete control of the NL East, currently sporting a 13.5 game lead against second place Washington after last night’s victory. 

This Freddie Freeman quote tells us that the Braves are still fully focused on the task at hand: “You want to step on their necks, especially when we've got this big of a lead. I think we set the tone.”

Washington is just 3-8 against the Braves this year; outscored 21-7 while losing all four previous home matchups against Atlanta.  And it’s clear that the sub-.500 Nationals are pressing right now, as evidenced by this Tyler Clippard quote: “We've got to turn this thing around. Two months left, and we're (13 1/2) games back. We've got to get moving.”  It’s surely worth noting that Clippard allowed Read more


Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Preseason Power Ratings

08.06.2013     06:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As most of you in the markets know, CRIS posted Week One lines for college football this past weekend. Those lines have had time to move…as sharp action has hit the offshore board. That’s helped solidify how “the market” sees the 2013 college football season in the days leading up to everyone’s openers.

I’ve used those “improved” lines (oddsmakers openers plus sharp influence) to update our first crack at estimated Power Ratings. First, I’ll run through the top 10 or so, which will give you a chance to compare them to preseason polls. Then, I’ll go through each board conference. Again, these aren’t how I would personally rate the teams. This is my guess at how “the market” as a composite has the teams rated on a standard Power Ratings scale. You regulars know that I typically stick “championship caliber” at 85 and work down from that. This year’s Alabama squad is seen as a bit better than Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence



47

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November

27


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 28, 2014 12:22 AM.