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NBA Handicapping: A look at the Dallas Mavericks from a W-L and ATS perspective

02.28.2013     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

There was an article at Grantland yesterday that talked about how Dallas has picked up its tempo this year in a way that’s created offensive efficiency…particularly since Dirk Nowitzki returned to the starting lineup on January 5. One of the main points the author was trying to make was that Dallas has been playing winning basketball since Dirk was ready to go as a starter…

“Since he returned to the starting lineup on January 5, the team is a much more respectable 12-11 with an even healthier scoring margin of +3.8. Since that date, this year’s group has posted an offensive rating of 107.2, which would tie them for fourth in the league had it been their mark for the entire season and falls just short of the team’s championship-level figure.”

As you Read more


Tags: NBA Dallas Mavericks Stat Intelligence




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Indiana, Florida, and Memphis all falter on the road

02.27.2013     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

March has its Madness. Late February college basketball doesn’t have anything to get excited about beyond the fact that it’s a “Prelude to March Madness.” As a result, this stretch of calendar historically has seen many subpar efforts from college powers. The kids can’t concentrate on their homework because Christmas is coming.

Tonight, the top two computer teams in the Jeff Sagarin and Ken Pomeroy rankings both lost outright as road favorites. One guy has Indiana #1 and Florida #2, the other has it the other way. Our estimate of market Power Ratings also had those teams as the top two last time we looked. Tonight’s boxscores from Minnesota and Tennessee show the visiting powers were linked up in “lack of focus” categories as well…

Two-Point Defense

Indiana allowed 53% inside the arc, Florida allowed 49%

 Rebounding

Indiana was -13 in rebound differential, Florida was -11

Forced Read more


Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hoosiers Florida Gators Memphis Tiigers Stat Intelligence




College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide

02.26.2013     12:13 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Auburn +11.5 at Alabama O/U 119
Recommendation: Auburn


Alabama hasn’t been just bad a home chalk in SEC play…they’ve been abysmal! The results don’t lie as the Crimson Tide enter tonight’s rivalry showdown against Auburn on a dreadful 0-6 ATS run in their six SEC home games as favorites. They had single-digit home wins against Tennessee, Arkansas, LSU and Texas A&M – none of which were enough for a pointspread cover as home favorites. Alabama was only able to beat SEC bottom feeders Mississippi State by 8 as 15-point home favorites and South Carolina by 10 as 12-point home favorites. The spot is not good either for the home team tonight. Alabama is coming off a wild triple OT thriller at LSU coming up just short 97-94 after blowing a 10-point lead with 2 minutes left. That isn’t the kind of loss that is easy to rebound from especially when you are talking about a team needing to win by a significant margin.

The Read more


Tags: College Basketball Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Ian Cameron




NBA Betting Recap: Tired Lakers Outscored 33-3 on Fast Breaks

02.26.2013     09:34 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

This is why back-to-backs in Denver are worth more than one point in the line! The Los Angeles Lakers were truly behind the eight-ball Monday night, trying to hang with rested Denver at altitude one day after winning a nailbiter in Dallas.

Let’s run the numbers then talk some more about the Lakers…

Denver 119, LA Lakers 108

2-Point Percentage: Lakers 61%, Denver 63%

3-Point Shooting: Lakers 8/19, Denver 5/18

Free Throws: Lakers 14/31, Denver 16/27

1’s and 2’s: Lakers 84, Denver 104

Rebounds: Lakers 36, Denver 44

Turnovers: Lakers 15, Denver 8

The Lakers did shoot well inside the arc because Denver was inviting a fast pace. They didn’t mind trading baskets if it meant the Lakers were going to run out of gas. You see “out of gas” flashing all over that boxscore:

*Just 14 of 31 on free throws for the Lakers…which was 9 of 11 from Kobe Bryant Read more


Tags: NBA Los Angeles Lakers Denver Nuggets Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Fade the Dead in College Hoops

02.25.2013     07:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s late February, and there’s still two more full weeks of regular season action in college hoops before the madness truly begins. It’s too early to write about conference tournament betting strategies – I’ll save that for next week. But it’s not too late to write about the bevy of ‘dead’ teams that are populating the college hoops landscape right now; teams that are lethargically playing out the string of the regular season. Sometimes, the sharp move is to lay big points fading sorry teams.

Even bad teams have hope in November – the season is fresh and new; teammates aren’t sick and tired of each other or their coaches, and the nagging injuries haven’t started to pile up. And teams that get smacked around in non-conference play for two months get an opportunity to regroup against comparable competition when conference play begins in January.

But when things go south in conference play, it’s not easy for many of these squads to continue competing at the same level they were earlier in the season. By late February, the final few weeks of the regular season are a meat grinder for struggling Read more


Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers Northwestern Wildcats South Florida Bulls Duquesne Dukes Old Dominion Dukes Texas Tech Red Raiders Teddy Covers




NBA Arts and Crafts Handicapping Tip

02.24.2013     06:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intellegince

Take a piece of graph paper, and turn it sideways so you’re looking at it like it’s the same shape as the screen on your laptop (short and wide like a cutting board as opposed to tall and skinny like notebook paper).

Down the left side, right the names of the 30 NBA teams. I do it by divisions because it’s easier for me to think of the teams in clusters like that. You may prefer alphabetically because it’s easier to look for a certain team. Whatever. There should be at least 30 lines if you have a typical piece of graph paper. If you don’t…find one that has at least 30 lines so that each team will have a row going across.

Now, across the top of the paper, write the days of the month. You’re building a calendar. There’s room in each little box to write a number. You should know what month it is…so you don’t have to write F22, F23, F24 if it’s February. Just the numbers should do unless you’re a Read more


Tags: NBA Stat Intelligence




NBA Gambling: New York Knicks Regressing and Passive

02.23.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Earlier this season, we invented the KRIB Index because the New York Knicks were playing like they had re-invented basketball (Knicks Re-Invent Basketball). They had a higher number of made treys than giveaways more than 30 games into the regular season…something nobody else in the league could do even one game deep into the season. Maybe you had to be a stathead to love it. But, Knicks fans certainly loved the pop and sizzle the team was showing on offense.

Recently, that pop and sizzle are gone. The Knicks are regressing in those key offensive stats, and have grown passive on defense after an enthusiastic start.

Recent games where the Knicks have played like KRAP:

New York (-1.5) lost tonight to Toronto 100-98

New York (+4) lost to Indiana 125-91

New York (-8) lost to Toronto 92-88

New York Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: Finding ways to score the key for Cincinnati

02.21.2013     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati -1 at Connecticut O/U 126.5

You know how some beat writers or SIDs will point out that Team A is 34-1 when scoring 100 points or more – or some silly stat that is ridiculously obvious. Here's one that isn't. Most of you are aware that Cincinnati isn't a great offensive team. The Bearcats rank 10th in the Big East in offensive efficiency (0.98 ppp) and 14th in effective field goal percentage (44.1%).So it stands to reason that when Cinci does have success it often manages to match or exceed those numbers. But Cinci has proven it doesn't need to shoot lights out or be ultra-efficient to win. Amazingly this team is a perfect 19-0 when it scores 61 points (!!!) or more. The scary thing is the Bearcats have seven losses. Tonight's opponent UConn has held four of its 12 Big East opponents to below 60 points in Read more


Tags: College Basketball Cincinnati Bearcats UConn Huskies




College Basketball Handicapping: Minnesota and Ohio State limp into Wednesday's matchup

02.20.2013     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota at Ohio State -5.5 O/U 126

It's a lot easier handicap a game when one team comes in off a horrific performance rather than two. Such is the case with tonight’s Minnesota-Ohio State matchup. The Buckeyes were destroyed by Wisconsin, 71-49, in Madison. The Golden Gophers were just as bad as a 16-point lead somehow turned into a 21-point loss at Iowa. Needless to say, the key word from both camps following their defeats was "embarrassed."


"I think I can speak for the team, we are embarrassed," Smith said. "We not only embarrassed ourselves, we embarrassed our coaching staff, our university, our school president and our fans. We embarrassed everybody. We didn't Read more



Tags: College Basketball Ohio State Buckeyes Minnesota Golden Gophers




College Basketball Betting Recap: Indiana survives, Florida falters late

02.20.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I know the AP poll shows Florida down at #5. But, most of the reasonable metrics out there had some variation of Indiana and Florida at #1 and #2 in the nation entering tonight's play. Both were on the road this evening facing what might have been their toughest conference tests of the season. Indiana passed. Florida looked like they were going to pass with flying colors, but fell apart in such dramatic fashion that you have to wonder if they're really ready to run the table in the Dance when they'll have to play 40-minute games against opponents who know what they're doing.

Let's run the numbers...

Indiana 72, Michigan State 68

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 44%, Michigan State 49%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 8/18, Michigan State 4/15

Free Throws: Indiana 10/15, Michigan State 16/23

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 48, Michigan State 56

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Michigan State 31

Turnovers: Indiana 10, Michigan State Read more


Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hooisers Florida Gators Stat Intelligence



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