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Free MLB Betting Pick: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
05.17.2012 12:04 PM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
NY Yankees
(Hughes) -115 at
Toronto
(Hutchison) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: New York
Phil Hughes' shortcoming have been so heavily publicized that despite playing for the Yankees, there would inevitably some betting value on him if and when things turned around. My enthusiasm for him remains tepid but there have been positives. On the season, Hughes has decent numbers (40 hits allowed in 36 innings with 34 strikeouts and only nine walks). The problem has been staying away from the home run ball (9). The velocity has been there and so long as he believes in his stuff (he should after back-to-back quality starts) Hughes has some upside. For the Blue Jays, rookie Drew Hutchison hasn’t shown much (5.53 ERA, 1.52 WHIP). He has struggled with his command, fallen behind in a lot of counts and been forced to throw fastballs 77% of the time. The Yankees are aging, but they still work counts, take walks, and tend to feast of mediocre pitching. Looks like a decent spot for a play on the small
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New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
Andrew Lange
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MLB Gambling News: Breaking down Adam Wainwright's numbers
05.17.2012 09:48 AM
Printer Friendly
A good breakdown of
St. Louis' Adam Wainwright
. On the surface, Wainwright's numbers (6.16 ERA, 4.32 FIP) aren't very good. But there are a few indicators that show he has been unlucky. Wainwright is a +110 underdog at San Francisco this afternoon.
According to the fielding-independent metrics of FIP and xFIP, Wainwright has been unlucky this season to varying degrees. His ERA-FIP difference of 1.84 was the eighth-lowest in baseball entering play on Sunday. This is likely due to the fact that Wainwright is striking batters out a career-high rate of 9.24 per nine innings, has a BABIP of 3.52 that is 62 points above his career average, and has a 66.4 LOB% that is ten points below his career average and 6.7% below the 2012 league average.
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St. Louis Cardinals
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MLB Betting Trends: Getaway day game totals
05.17.2012 09:42 AM
Printer Friendly
Thanks to Marty Otto for passing along this fairly strong MLB betting trend. Getaway day games directly following an extra inning night game go UNDER the total at about a 54% clip (over 280 play sample). This season is 3-6 O/U. This afternoon's Baltimore-Kansas City game qualifies.
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Marty Otto
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-17-2012 with Handicapper Teddy Covers
05.17.2012 09:35 AM
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Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy broke down the MLB card and the NBA Playoffs from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB Every Game on the Board and NBA Playoffs
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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MLB Betting Notes: Minnesota's starting pitching has been historically bad
05.17.2012 07:32 AM
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The Minnesota Twins have started eight different pitchers this season: Carl Pavano, Nick Blackburn, Francisco Liriano, Jason Marquis, Liam Hendriks, Anthony Swarzak, Scott Diamond and PJ Walters. Their combined numbers are:
203.2 innings, 146 earned runs, 6.45 ERA, 250 hits, 38 home runs, 66 walks and 118 strikeouts
. Walters is a +195 underdog at Detroit today.
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MLB Free Betting Play: Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets
05.16.2012 12:12 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Cincinnati
(Leake) at
NY Mets
(Santana) -135 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: New York
Cincinnati’s Mike Leake got off to a rough start last year, with an ERA over 5.00 through April and May. We’re seeing more of the same in 2012 with Leake still winless through his first six outings. Leake’s strikeouts are down – only 16 K’s in 31.2 innings. His walks are up. Opponents are hitting .313 against him, compared to .250 for the full season last year. The Nationals battered Leake for six runs in three innings in his last start, and he’s thrown only one quality start in his last five trips to the hill.
Leake’s numbers stand in sharp contrast with Johan Santana’s current form. Since getting lit up by Atlanta back on April 17th, Santana has thrown four consecutive quality starts, striking out 28 batters while allowing only 20 hits and seven runs in the
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MLB Handicapping: Team-by-Team Interleague Schedules
05.16.2012 11:47 AM
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This year's team-by-team Interleague schedules. Play starts Friday.
2012 MLB Interleague Team-by-Team Schedule
AL East
Interleague Opponents
Baltimore
at Atlanta, at New York, vs. Philadelphia, vs. Pittsburgh, vs. Washington, at Washington
Boston
vs. Atlanta, at Chicago, vs. Miami, at Miami, at Philadelphia, vs. Washington
New York
vs. Atlanta, at Atlanta, vs. Cincinnati, vs. New York, at New York, at Washington
Tampa Bay
vs. Atlanta, at Miami, vs, Miami, vs. New York, at Philadelphia, at Washington
Toronto
at Atlanta, at Miami, at Milwaukee, vs. New York, vs. Philadelphia, vs. Washington
AL Central
Interleague Opponents
Chicago
vs. Chicago, at Chicago, vs. Houston, at Los Angeles, vs. Milwaukee, at St. Louis
Cleveland
vs. Cincinnati, at Cincinnati, at Houston, vs. Miami, vs. Pittsburgh, at St. Louis
Detroit
at Chicago, at Cincinnati, vs. Colorado, vs. Pittsburgh, at Pittsburgh, vs. St. Louis
Kansas City
vs. Arizona, at Houston, vs. Milwaukee, at Pittsburgh, vs. St. Louis, at St. Louis
Minnesota
vs. Chicago, at Cincinnati, vs. Milwaukee, at Milwaukee, vs. Philadelphia, at Pittsburgh
AL West
Interleague Opponents
Los Angeles
vs. Arizona, at Colorado, vs. Los Angeles, at Los Angeles, at San Diego, vs. San Francisco
Oakland
at Arizona, at Colorado, vs. Los Angeles, vs. San Diego, vs. San Francisco, at San Francisco
Seattle
at Arizona, at Colorado, vs. Los Angeles, vs. San Diego, at San Diego, vs. San Francisco
Texas
vs. Arizona, vs. Colorado, vs. Houston, at Houston, at San Diego, at San Francisco
NL East
Interleague Opponents
Atlanta
vs. Baltimore, at Boston, vs. New York, at New York, at Tampa Bay, vs. Toronto
Miami
vs. Boston, at Boston, at Cleveland, vs. Tampa Bay, at Tampa Bay, vs. Toronto
New York
vs. Baltimore, vs. New York, at New York, at Tampa Bay, at Toronto
Philadelphia
at Baltimore, vs. Boston, at Minnesota, vs. Tampa Bay, at Toronto
Washington
vs. Baltimore, at Baltimore, at Boston, vs. New York, vs. Tampa Bay, at Toronto
NL Central
Interleague Opponents
Chicago
vs. Boston, vs. Chicago, at Chicago, vs. Detroit, at Minnesota
Cincinnati
vs. Cleveland, at Cleveland, vs. Detroit, vs. Minnesota, at New York
Houston
at Chicago, vs. Cleveland, vs. Kansas City, vs. Texas, at Texas
Milwaukee
at Chicago, at Kansas City, vs. Minnesota, at Minnesota, vs. Toronto
Pittsburgh
at Baltimore, at Cleveland, vs. Detroit, at Detroit, vs. Kansas City, vs. Minnesota
St. Louis
vs. Chicago, vs. Cleveland, at Detroit, vs. Kansas City, at Kansas City
NL West
Interleague Opponents
Arizona
at Kansas City, at Los Angeles, vs. Oakland, vs. Seattle, at Texas
Colorado
at Detroit, vs. Los Angeles, vs. Oakland, vs. Seattle, at Texas
Los Angeles
vs. Chicago, vs. Los Angeles, at Los Angeles, at Oakland, at Seattle
San Diego
vs. Los Angeles, at Oakland, vs. Seattle, at Seattle, vs. Texas
San Francisco
at Los Angeles, vs. Oakland, at Oakland, at Seattle, vs. Texas
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MLB Betting News and Notes: Boston (Buchholz) at Tampa Bay (Hellickson)
05.16.2012 11:15 AM
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Boston
(Buchholz) at
Tampa Bay
(Hellickson) -140 O/U 8.5
Nice breakdown from
ESPN Stats & Info
on tonight's Boston-Tampa Bay matchup. Clay Buchholz threw his first quality start of the season last time out (6.1 IP, 3 ERs vs. Cleveland) but failed to record a strikeout. He's allowed 36 earned runs and 10 home runs with a dismal 22-20 K-to-BB ratio. Yet despite being arguably the worst starter in baseball (statistically), the Red Sox are 4-3 in his starts. Hellickson remains an interesting study. His generic numbers are strong (2.95 ERA, .227 BAA) but there are some potential red flags (88.5% LOB, .228 BABIP, 5.16 FIP).
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-16-2012 with Handicapper Rob Veno
05.16.2012 09:34 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob broke down the MLB card and the NBA Playoffs from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board and NBA Playoffs
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
MLB
NBA
Rob Veno
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MLB Betting News: Tampa likely to call up Cobb to replace Niemann
05.16.2012 07:30 AM
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With Jeff Niemann on the DL with a broken ankle, the Tampa Bay Rays are expected to make some changes to their starting rotation. The team doesn't have to decide on who will replace Niemann until this weekend though early indications suggest that we'll see
righty Alex Cobb
who pitched well as a rookie last season (3-2, 3.42 ERA). Chris Archer is another potential candidate.
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