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College Football Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Wisconsin Badgers
09.28.2011 01:19 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Nebraska
at
Wisconsin
(5 pm – ABC)
CRIS Opening Line:
Wisconsin -8 O/U 57.5
CRIS Current Line:
Wisconsin -9.5 O/U 57
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Wisconsin -11
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
Wisconsin -11.5
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
This is a prime example of how much the perception of college football teams can change through the course of a season – and in this case a little over three months. Back in mid-June, the Golden Nugget released its Game of the Year lines and priced Wisconsin as a 2.5-point favorite. A week later, Russell Wilson decided to take his act to Madison and UW’s stock was immediately on the rise. Once the season started, Wilson unquestionably looked the part, Wisconsin was in constant name-the-score mode, and oddsmakers could have hung a -14 on this game and I wouldn’t have been
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Nebraska Cornhuskers
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NCAAF Handicapper Preview: South Florida Bulls at Pittsburgh Panthers
09.28.2011 07:03 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
South Florida
at
Pittsburgh
(Thursday, 5 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line:
Pittsburgh pk O/U 51
CRIS Current Line:
South Florida -2.5 O/U 52
Rob Veno Power Rating:
South Florida -1
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
South Florida -4.5
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
Prime opportunity for Pitt to get its season back on track with a Thursday night primetime affair against South Florida. The Panthers have not looked the part thus far; struggling with Todd Graham’s offense and not consistently playing the type of stout defense we saw under Dave Wannstedt. Graham seems pretty baffled that his team is so inept with the ball but unlike West Virginia, who was coming from a spread background, the change in philosophies for Pitt was more than just a few tweaks. After a solid sophomore campaign, quarterback Tino Sunseri has
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South Florida Bulls
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College Football Handicapping: Following the betting markets on game day
09.26.2011 07:47 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
While chatting with a few fellow Sportsmemo Handicappers during Saturday's live blog, we kept noticing the line on the Fresno-Idaho contest getting bombarded with bets towards the Vandals. It was the second big push as Fresno opened the week as 6-point favorites but by mid-week was down to -3. The game originally wasn't on my radar – Fresno not the type of team I like laying more than a field goal with on the road and Idaho hadn't look very good in its first three games. But as the game neared its start, all of a sudden, some shops had Idaho favored! I was aware that Fresno had some injury concerns but didn't see anything that in my opinion warranted a full touchdown move. Long story short, I ended up grabbing Fresno and it paid off as the Bulldogs took a 24-17 halftime lead and rolled to a 48-24 victory (outgained the Vandals 513-283). Fading a market move like that doesn't always work in our favor but I was confident in this particular case that the original number couldn't have been that "bad" and I was getting optimum value. And that is what it is all about – tracking the markets, spotting value and using your best judgment. Hopefully we’ll
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College Football ATS Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Boise State Broncos
09.22.2011 12:52 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Tulsa
at
Boise State
(5 pm PT, CBSC)
CRIS Opening Line:
Boise State -32.5 O/U 60
CRIS Current Line:
Boise State -28 O/U 61.5
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Boise State -22.5
Teddy Covers Power Rating:
Boise State -27.5
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
I don't normally get involved with games lined at four touchdowns but I'm very intrigued by the line move in this weekend's Boise State-Tulsa game. Despite no official word, the market move towards the Golden Hurricane hints that quarterback GJ Kinne will indeed play – although I’ve read the team has been practicing as if he won’t. If I’m Tulsa, why even risk it with a full season of C-USA still left to be played? But the closer I looked at this game, the clearer it became that Kinne or no Kinne, Tulsa is going to be severely outclassed…again. Just look as
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Boise State Broncos
Mountain West
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
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Andrew Lange
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College Football ATS Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Wyoming Cowboys
09.20.2011 02:57 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Nebraska
at
Wyoming
(4:30 pm PT, Versus)
CRIS Opening Line:
Nebraska -23.5 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current Line:
Nebraska -23.5 O/U 59
Rob Veno Power Rating:
Nebraska -24
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
The past two weeks, my analysis on Nebraska has centered on focus or lack thereof. The team looked awfully stagnant in their Week 2 win over Fresno State and I chalked it up to testing out new schemes and trying to find an identity. But after last week’s lackluster non-spread covering win over Fresno State, my concerns are more than just the team’s mindset. Despite some so-so play from quarterback Taylor Martinez, the offense has at times looked sharp. Some of that was because they were able to just
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NCAAF Pointspread Preview: Central Florida Knights at BYU Cougars
09.20.2011 10:23 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Central Florida
at
BYU
(Friday, 5 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line:
BYU -3.5 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current Line:
BYU -2.5 O/U 43
Andrew Lange’s Betting Take:
BYU’s stock to a huge hit following last week’s blowout loss to rival Utah. The Cougars were outscored 40-0 in the second half and as a result, we are seeing what appears to be a heavily discounted price on Saturday’s matchup. Central Florida is a good team with athletes and speed, but traveling cross country to a tough environment where an outright win will likely be needed to cover the spread won’t be easy. Had BYU won or at least been competitive against Utah, I think we’d be seeing a -6 or even a full -7 on this game. But the reality
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College Football ATS Preview: NC State Wolfpack at Cincinnati Bearcats
09.20.2011 07:19 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
NC State
at
Cincinnati
(5 pm PT – ESPN)
CRIS Opening Line:
Cincinnati -6.5 O/U 56
CRIS Current Line:
Cincinnati -8 O/U 60
Andrew Lange's Betting Take
: In NC State's lone step-up game, they went on the road as small favorites and lost 34-27 to Wake Forest. The offensive was effective as Russell Wilson's replacement, Mike Glennon, threw for 315 yards and three touchdowns. The defensive however was not as Wake moved the ball rather easily after netting a lone field goal in last year's meeting. Unfortunately, that type of performance may not have been an aberration. The Wolfpack have been crushed by injuries to the stop unit and until (if) they get healthy, this is going to be a real weakness. Head coach Tom
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Saturday College Football LIVE In-Game Betting Blog 9/17/2011
09.16.2011 02:36 PM
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The Sportsmemo Live Blog is ready for another big week as action gets underway tomorrow morning at 10 am PT. Follow us throughout the day with analysis and input from the Sportsmemo Handicappers as well as free halftime recommendations. Below are the results from the last two weeks (10-4 ATS!). Over the past two years, our free plays have crushed with a record of 53-33, 62%.
Week 2 Results (5-1 ATS)
Rob Veno - Arkansas State Over 27.5 (1st Half) - WIN
Tim Trushel - Colorado +2.5 - WIN
Erin Rynning - NC State -3 - WIN
Tim Trushel - West Virginia -21 - WIN
Rob Veno - North Carolina -5 - LOSS
Teddy Covers - Michigan State Under 21.5 - WIN
Week 1 Results (5-3 ATS)
Rob Veno - Ole Miss Over 21 - WIN
Erin Rynning - UCLA -2 - WIN
Brent Crow - Illinois Over 24.5 - LOSS
Brent Crow - Michigan Over 28 - No play
Tim Trushel - Alabama -16.5 - WIN
Tim Trushel - Alabama Under 23 - LOSS
Andrew
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NFL Handicapper Podcast: Every Game on the Board 9/16/2011
09.16.2011 02:23 PM
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On Friday's Sportsmemo Radio Show,
Fairway Jay
broke down the first half of Week 2's NFL card (
Podcast link
) with host Andrew Lange.
Erin Rynning
took care of the back half of the slate (
Podcast link
) and closed it out with Sunday Night's primetime matchup between Philadelphia and Atlanta.
For even more pro football betting analysis, check out our
Radio Show Archive Page
which is loaded with past segments from all of the Sportsmemo Handicappers.
Tags:
NFL
__
Erin Rynning
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Handicapper Podcast: Full College Football Card 9/16/2011
09.16.2011 01:30 PM
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On today's Sportsmemo Radio Show,
Rob Veno
and
Teddy Covers
were in charge of handicapping every game on Week 3's college football card with host Andrew Lange. You can listen to the two-part Podcast
here
and
here
.
For more college football betting analysis, check out our
Radio Show Archive Page
which is loaded with past segments from all of the Sportsmemo Handicappers.
Tags:
College Football
Rob Veno
Teddy Covers
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