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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.18.2013     12:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
It’s late November.  Thanksgiving is next week.  And that means it’s time for me to take a break from my typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season.

It’s time to focus on the big boys – teams with playoff aspirations.  Who can get hot down the stretch and make us some money winning games and covering pointspreads?  Which squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders; which are pretenders.  Let’s take look through the NFC this week, gauging which squads have ATS value moving forward, and which squads have already reached their zenith, poised to tumble back to earth down the stretch.

I did not include notes on Carolina (they don’t play till Monday Night) and Dallas (on bye this week) due to space limitations.  That leaves Philadelphia, the New York Giants, Detroit, Chicago, Green Bay, New Orleans, Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona to consider; all of whom remain live for the postseason as Week 12 approaches.

Serious Super Bowl Contenders

Seattle Seahawks - I Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Ohio State upset it didn't cover the spread vs. Illinois

11.18.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Putting to rest the theory that college kids don't know the pointspread of their games...

"We're disappointed by [winning at Illinois] 60-35. We didn't cover whatever spread that we needed to, didn't score enough points to boost up our rating. That's a reason why we're disappointed with the way that we played. It's reality."

Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten

College Football Betting Preview: Utah Utes at Oregon Ducks

11.15.2013     03:08 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Utah at Oregon
Saturday, 1 pm PT - FS1
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -25 O/U 64
CRIS Current: Oregon -28 O/U 63.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -26
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oregon

A lot of bettors would look at Oregon as unplayable this weekend after having its hopes of a BCS Championship crushed in somewhat embarrassing fashion. But there are other factors to consider in this matchup that in my opinion offset the potential letdown for the Ducks.

For starters, unlike a majority of the PAC-12, Utah has little to no experience playing against Oregon's offense. The last meeting between the two schools was 2009 – Chip Kelly's third game on the job. Second, this is not an ideal spot for the Utes either. After losing back-to-back road games, Utah had a 19-7 lead against Arizona State but gave up a touchdown with a little over two minutes remaining to lose 20-19. Win that game and Utah goes to Read more

Tags: College Football Utah Utes Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Andrew Lange

College Football Betting Preview: Wyoming Cowboys at Boise State Broncos

11.15.2013     09:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Wyoming at Boise State
Saturday, 7:15 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Boise State -20 O/U 69.5
CRIS Current: Boise State -23 O/U 68.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Boise State -21.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Boise State

Wyoming stunk up the joint at home against Fresno last Saturday Night; costing my clients and I money in the process.  I expect we’ll get it back here!  After getting out to an early 10-0 lead, the Cowboys wasted several scoring chances, then proceeded to get torched for 48 unanswered points in an ugly blowout loss.

That defeat marked the third blowout loss that the Cowboys have suffered in their last five games.  They’ve got another road game at Utah State to close out the season, which basically means that the Cowboys aren’t going to get to 6-6 and go bowling this year – last week’s loss was essentially their last chance.  Read more

Tags: College Football Wyoming Cowboys Boise State Broncos Mountain West Teddy Covers

College Basketball Handicapping: UNLV tries to bounce back after ugly loss

11.15.2013     08:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's been a rough start to the season for UNLV. They were up only one at half against Big Sky bottom feeder Portland State before pulling away. The Rebels had 18 turnovers and shot 13-of-28 from the free throw line. And on Tuesday, UC Santa Barbara, who won only 11 games last year, waltzed into the Thomas & Mack Center and won by 20. The Las Vegas Review-Journal summed it up best with a post-game article titled, 'UCSB shows Rebels, Rice how to play, coach.' The Las Vegas Sun pointed out UNLV's struggles against the zone – something they’ll likely see more of moving forward.

“Obviously, it’s a very, very difficult loss,” Rice said. “Santa Barbara played well. We played very, very poorly. We got beat in every aspect of the game. It’s very disheartening; very disappointing.”

Heading into tonight's game against Nebraska-Omaha, head coach Dave Rice announced that Read more

Tags: College Basketball Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks UNLV Rebels

College Football Handicapping: Week 12 Injury Report

11.14.2013     01:40 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
UCLA running back Jordon James will start Friday vs. Washington. James has missed four of the last five games with an ankle injury. He tried to come back two weeks ago vs. Colorado but was held to eight yards on six carries. Jim Mora Jr. chose to rest James in last week’s 31-26 win at Arizona. With OT Simon Goines ruled ‘out’ Thursday, the Bruins will be without three starting offensive linemen but it’s been that way for the last three games.

Florida lost a 10th player to a season-ending injury when starting LB Antonio Morris tore his meniscus in a 34-17 home loss to Vanderbilt. Morrison is the seventh starter to go down for the year and with OT D.J. Humphries also ‘out,’ UF will be without at least eight starters Saturday at South Carolina. QB Tyler Murphy is expected to be a game-time decision due to a sore shoulder. If Murphy can’t go, Skyler Mornhinweg (yes, Marty’s son) will get the starting nod. Mornhinweg, a redshirt freshman, has never taken a collegiate snap. The Gators are double-digit underdogs (+13.5 as of Wednesday) for just the second time under Will Muschamp.

Mississippi State could be without two Read more

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan State Spartans at Nebraska Cornhuskers

11.14.2013     01:35 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Michigan State at Nebraska
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -3.5 O/U 41
CRIS Current: Michigan State -6 O/U 41.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -6
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Michigan State

Major opportunity for Michigan State to put a near stranglehold on the Big Ten’s Legends Division title. The Spartans have obviously ridden their tenacious defense to this point and that group figures to be the focal point for success once again. Nebraska has a huge chance to capitalize on this game as well since a win would put them atop the Legends at 5-1 and in control of their own destiny. They’ve averaged nearly 40 points per game (39.8) in their six home contests thus far but the offense has sputtered lately scoring 23 points or less in their last three games if you subtract the Hail Mary game winner versus Northwestern. The Cornhuskers have not been a Read more

Tags: College Football Michigan State Spartans Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten Rob Veno

College Football Betting Preview: Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns

11.13.2013     12:39 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Oklahoma State at Texas
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma State -1 O/U 62.5
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -3 O/U 63
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Texas

The betting markets seem convinced that Oklahoma State is capable of beating a quality team on the road in the same fashion that the Cowboys have been beating weaklings. After all, Mike Gundy’s squad has won five straight (4-1 ATS) since their embarrassing loss as 19.5-point favorites at West Virginia back in late September.

But both key wins during that span were right team at the right time kind of victories. They beat Kansas State by only four (not covering -12.5) when Bill Snyder was still working to rebuild his squad from their massive graduation losses; a K-State team that has improved by leaps and bounds over the last month since that defeat. The other “signature” win came against Texas Tech when the Red Raiders were Read more

Tags: College Football Oklahoma State Cowboys Texas Longhorns Big XII Teddy Covers

NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 10

11.13.2013     08:27 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
The red hot Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers are the hottest team in the NFL both SU and ATS following their 10-9 victory as 6-point underdogs at San Francisco. Carolina is on a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS roll with wins over Minnesota, St. Louis, Tampa Bay, Atlanta and the 49ers. As a result oddsmakers and the betting markets have been forced to adjust as we see the Panthers favored by -2.5 (with juice) for Monday night’s game against New England. Note that Carolina was a small home underdog to the New York Giants back in Week 3 prior to the start of their winning streak. And when Cantor Gaming released its summer lines, the Patriots (who come in off of a bye) were field goal chalk.

The Denver Broncos Over train finally stops chugging
One of the strongest betting trends of the season finally saw its unblemished streak come to an end as Denver’s 28-20 win over San Diego last week fell 10 points short of the closing line.  The thing that stuck out to me in that contest was the fair amount of improvement from Denver’s defense. The Broncos held the Chargers to just 329 total yards which is well under their Read more

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers New England Patriots Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Ian Cameron

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 10

11.11.2013     11:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 10.

Cincinnati Bengals - Five key starters are missing from this defense. Geno Atkins, Robert Geathers, Taylor Mays and Leon Hall are all on injured reserve. Rey Maualuga was out today, as was fellow LB Michael Boley. That's one heck of a lot of talent to be missing! So for this stop unit to shut down the Ravens for the better part of the last three quarters speaks volumes about their depth and defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer’s schemes.

All the questions about Andy Dalton's ability to guide this team to postseason success continue to linger. Dalton won the AFC Offensive Player of the Month award in October, but here in November he could win the 'biggest downgrade of any QB this month' award. Dalton was awful last Thursday against the Dolphins and he was even worse today.

Dalton held the ball too long, taking sacks instead of making quick decisions. His accuracy Read more

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers


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