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NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Wichita State headed to Final Four

03.31.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intellience

There was a lot of chatter this year that parity in college basketball had set up a great possibility that another mid major was going to make it to the Final Four. Then it happened, the 11th most likely mid major team did it!

Mid-Major Seeds

1…Gonzaga

3…New Mexico

4…Saint Louis

5…VCU, UNLV (how did UNLV get a #5 seed again??!!)

6…Memphis, Butler

7…Creighton, San Diego State

8…Colorado State

9…Wichita State, Temple

And, you can’t say it came cheap. Wichita State beat Pittsburgh as a dog…beat Gonzaga as a dog…and beat Ohio State as a dog…teams the computers had loved all season.

Current Computer Composite of “Shocked” Favorites

Gonzaga 5 in Kenpom, 7 in Sagarin, 5 in BPI

Ohio State 6 in Kenpom, 5 in Sagarin, 7 in BPI

Pittsburgh 11 in Kenpom, 14 in Sagarin, 15 in BPI

Going from Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wichita State Shockers Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Duke dispatches Sparty, Florida sends Cinderella packing

03.30.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The first half of Duke/Michigan State went pretty much the way you would expect. Duke had to hit treys to compete. Seth Curry was 6 of 7 all by himself in the first 20 minutes. Michigan State dominated the inside. Duke led thanks to their big edge in treys.

In the second half, Duke played very good inside defense while Michigan State kept forcing up bad shots. That led to a 13 minute dry spell that saw the Spartans only make one field goal from about 17 minutes left to about 4 minutes left. Academic after that. I usually blast Duke’s inside defense. They really did a good job here of blocking shots and denying good looks when it mattered down the stretch.

Duke 71, Michigan State 61

2-Point Percentage: Michigan State 45%, Duke 42%

3-Point Shooting: Michigan State 3/12, Duke 7/18

Free Throws: Michigan State 18/24, Duke 24/26

1’s and 2’s: Michigan State 52, Duke 50

Rebounds: Michigan State 33, Duke Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Florida Gators Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Louisville gets lackadaisical, Kansas chokes

03.30.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submittedby Stat Intelligence

In the first final of the night…the consensus “best team in the tournament” Louisville Cardinals started like a house afire. They had covered the 11-point spread by the second TV time out…on the way to leads of 24-8 and 26-10. But, to Oregon’s credit, the underdog fought back to as close as six in the second half.

And, as many of you are aware if you watched the game...officiating sure didn’t go Oregon’s way. Many borderline (or bad) calls went against them in a way that thwarted a bigger comeback. Louisville could very easily have let this game get away from them. The Cards were outscored 59-51 over about the last three-fourths of the clock time.

Everyone changed channels to watch Kansas finish things off against Michigan with a double digit lead. THEY BLEW THE WHOLE THING! Kansas was up 70-59 with 4:40 left. They went into a self-imposed deep freeze on offense even though they were shooting 60% from inside the arc against a very Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Kansas Jayhawks Michihgan Wolverines Oregon Ducks Stat Intelligence




Politicians, big casinos want to eliminate sports betting kiosks

03.28.2013     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Apparently there is a big push to eliminate sports betting kiosks in Nevada. Brick and mortar casinos feel that the kiosks are taking away from their overall handle. William Hill CEO Joe Asher countered that kiosks bring in a ridiculously small amount of profit compared to everyday sportsbooks.

 

“There is no evidence the kiosks are hurting the big casinos,” he said. “The NRA is pushing this bill and it is not a good idea.”

Asher argues that only $600,000 of the $170 million won in sports pools came in these small businesses. That’s one-third of 1 percent, he says.










NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Stat Profiles for the Sweet Sixteen

03.27.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are the numbers we’ve been following through the Dance in tip-off order by locale. Note that I’ve updated the pace rankings from Kenpom’s website…those are the numbers as of Tuesday evening. All the other numbers you see are CONFERENCE ONLY per game averages because I wanted to take out the crazy extremes of non-conference schedules, particularly since those games were played so long ago anyway. The “conference advantage” numbers from Jeff Sagarin’s computer ratings were also tabulated Tuesday night.

Some reference points.

The typical college defense allowed about 47.5% on two-pointers this year. Numbers less than that represent better than average inside defense. The typical offense made 6.0 treys per game. Interestingly, NONE of the 16 teams left averaged between 6.0 and 6.9 in their league games. We have quite a few trey-heavy teams at 7.0 makes or more. I’m surprised by how many teams were in the low 5’s or less. Always Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




Nevada residents may be able to bet on elections

03.26.2013     11:13 AM     Printer Friendly
Nevada may allow legalized wagering on presidential elections.


“Simply to make money for the state,” said Segerblom, chairman of the state Senate’s Judiciary Committee, when asked why he was pushing the law. “I’ve been following elections and betting in London, and (gaming companies there) are making a fortune. Why not do it here?”

“Let’s be frank here. You’re not going to throw a federal election in the United States,” Segerblom said, noting sports gambling hasn’t led to widespread corruption: “What’s unique about football? Has football been corrupted? I don’t think so.”











College Basketball Betting: Weather forces Evansville to bus to Canisius

03.26.2013     10:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Evansville at Canisius -1.5 O/U 147.5

Here is the crazy story of Evansville's 10-hour bus trip to Buffalo for tonight's CIT Tournament matchup against Canisius.


“Due to weather conditions we aren’t flying and we have to drive ALL the way to New York for our game Tuesday!!” tweeted Aces senior Troy Taylor at about 3 p.m. Sunday, or 24 hours after UE finished off a second-round CIT win over Eastern Kentucky.

“We’ve never had to bus 10-plus hours on such short notice, so it’s kind of exciting just to get that feel for having your team, the coaches and the program,” Ryan said. “You just pick up and go. You don’t know where you’re going next. You just win, and there’s some excitement about who you’re playing next and just stuff like today.






Tags: College Basketball Evansville Aces Canisius Golden Griffins




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers breaks down the Sweet Sixteen

03.25.2013     11:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The first weekend of the Madness is in the history books and only 16 teams remain standing in the NCAA Tournament.   The two best conferences in the regular season – the Big Ten and the Big East – proved to be the two best conferences in the Big Dance, sending seven teams to the Sweet Sixteen.  The ACC and the PAC-12 were the only two other conferences to send multiple teams onto the second weekend of the Big Dance. 

This week, I’ll be taking a look at the sixteen remaining teams in the field; assessing their chances for tournament success as the field gets reduced to the Final Four this coming weekend.  Teams are listed in rotation order.

Syracuse is drawing comparisons to the UConn team that won it all two years ago.  The Orange, like the Huskies, slumped down the stretch of the regular season.  Like the Huskies, they came on strong in the Big East tournament, rebuilding their confidence in the process.  Also like UConn, Syracuse has all kinds of NBA ready talent. Michael Carter-Williams, James Southerland and Brandon Triche are all expected to be drafted this spring.  Don’t Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Points of Reference for Sunday

03.24.2013     07:03 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Estimated Power Ratings going by seed line for remaining 24 teams.

1…Louisville 89, Indiana 87, Kansas 84

2…Duke 86, Ohio State 84, Miami 84

3…Florida 87, Michigan State 84, Marquette 80

4…Michigan 84, Syracuse 83

6…Arizona 82

7…Creighton 81, San Diego State 80, Illinois 78

8…North Carolina 79

9…Wichita State 78, Temple 76

10…Iowa State 77

11…Minnesota 79

12… Mississippi 79, Oregon 78

13…LaSalle 76

15…Florida Gulf Coast 72

A maximum of 11 teams seeded for the Sweet 16 can make it now. At least two teams seeded #12 or worse will be there. Are any more upsets on the way?

Statlines for Saturday and Sunday. The stats are from “conference only” regular season games. The pace numbers are from Kenpom from the beginning of the week. The Conference advantages are from Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Updated Market Power Ratings

03.21.2013     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’ve made a few tweaks to the estimated Market Power Ratings we put together the other day based on sharp line movements since the openers. When we say “market,” we’re most interested in the combination of oddsmakers (openers) plus sharps (improving the openers), and not so much the public…whose money will hit the board Thursday and Friday now that tourists have arrived with their money, alumni baseball caps, and temporarily ecstatic optimism.

To give us all a sense of what the weekend lines might look like, I’ve also written up those projected numbers based on these current ratings. It gets goofy to write up every single possibility…and I don’t think anyone really cares right now what the line would probably be if Southern plays Wichita State. So, I’m penciling in wins for all seeds 1-4 just to make things easy. Obviously history says some of those teams will bite the dust. It won’t be hard to look up a good estimate if Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 01, 2014 06:41 AM.