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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Joe Flacco pass attempts

01.29.2013     02:10 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Joe Flacco Pass Attempts
Recommendation: Over 33.5 (-150 @ 5Dimes)


My thinking behind this prop is fairly straightforward. I don’t see the Ravens being able to get their running game going against the staunch 49ers defensive front. Baltimore running backs Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce were held in check by the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship with just 100 rushing yards. New England had the 9th ranked run defense in the NFL this season. San Francisco has the 4th ranked run defense allowing a paltry 94.2 yards per game. I don’t anticipate seeing a lot of success running the football for Baltimore once again this week and that will force Joe Flacco into passing situations early and often if the Ravens are going to be able to move the football and put points on the board.

Flacco’s pass attempts skyrocketed upward in Baltimore’s last two playoff games. He threw the football 34 times against Denver despite the Ravens run game working well that day and he threw the football 36 times against New England. Part of it was because the run game didn’t work against the Patriots but also because Flacco is playing Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Ian Cameron




Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Anquan Boldin total receptions

01.29.2013     11:52 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Anquan Boldin Total Receptions
Recommendation: Over 4.5 (-120 @ LVH)


In a game of this magnitude, it makes perfect sense to side with players who exude physical and mental toughness. Two years ago I played a Hines Ward receiving yards prop over the total because there was value in the number due to the perception that he was an aging and fading star. Ward’s overall toughness and big game prowess came through (7 catches, 78 yards) and the ticket was easily cashed. This year presents a similar situation except Anquan Boldin is not viewed as aging. Still, there looks to be plenty of value in his total receptions prop. After a slow start in the first couple games of the season, Boldin has been targeted by Joe Flacco seven times or more in 12 of the team’s last 16 games including 10+ five times. More importantly, here in the playoffs Boldin has become even more of a target with Flacco tossing his way an average of nine times per game resulting in 5.3 receptions per contest. Expect the numbers to grow even higher on Sunday as San Francisco will be extremely aware of Torrey Smith’s ability to hurt them deep. Boldin is likely to get Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Rob Veno




Judge wants jurors to speed up sports betting case to avoid missing Super Bowl XLVII

01.29.2013     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This is funny. There's a mob case in Philadelphia that has been dragging on since October. It involves illegal sports betting and loansharking. The jury has been deliberating for four weeks and the judge, hoping to speed up the process, mentioned to the jurors that they may have to work the biggest sports betting day of the year, Super Bowl Sunday, if they don't reach a verdict. Can’t confirm, but we suspect the judge has some Baltimore +4 in his pocket.



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVII




NBA Gambling: Estimated Power Ratings Based on Market Prices

01.28.2013     01:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Will try to update these at least once a week for the time being. May do that more often if trade news or other stories develop. As I worked through the numbers, a few teams seemed to be getting a little more respect at home than on the road…meaning slightly more than home court advantage by itself already suggests. So, I’ll have a few teams with different numbers for road and home.

86: Oklahoma City, Miami

85: San Antonio, LA Clippers

82: New York, Memphis, Denver (home)

81: LA Lakers (home), Denver (road), San Antonio when Duncan’s out

80: Houston, Brooklyn, Indiana, Golden State (home), Utah (home), LA Lakers (road)

79: Portland, Chicago, Atlanta, Golden State (road), Utah (road)

78: Milwaukee, Dallas, Boston without Rondo (a guess for now)

77: New Orleans, Washington

76: Philadelphia, Detroit, Toronto

75: Orlando

74: Phoenix, Minnesota

73: Sacramento

72: Read more


Tags: NBA Stat Intelligence




NHL Handicapper Free Pick: Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings

01.28.2013     11:27 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vancouver +120 at Los Angeles O/U 5
Recommendation: Vancouver


The Vancouver Canucks are worth a shot as road underdogs tonight as they travel to Los Angeles to battle the defending Stanley Cup champion Kings in a playoff revenge spot.

Vancouver didn’t play a great game in their 4-1 loss at San Jose last night but it is worth noting they went 0-fer on the power play and also hit multiple goal posts in the loss making the score a little bit more lopsided than it could have been. The Canucks aren’t in the greatest travel situation here playing their second of back-to-back games but we finally saw some improvement (3-1) on Sunday with teams playing in that situation. However, the major revenge angle and chip on the collective shoulders of the Canucks should negate some of the concerns of the travel spot.

Los Angeles has been suffering from the usual Stanley Cup hangover with a 1-2-1 start to the season. The Kings have had problems scoring goals, averaging just 2 per game and putting less than 30 shots on goal per game. LA finally nabbed its first win of the season on the weekend in Phoenix by a score of 4-2 but the Read more


Tags: NHL Vancouver Canucks Los Angeles Kings Ian Cameron




NBA Handicapping: Back-to-back wins and pointspread covers for Los Angeles Lakers

01.28.2013     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Through Game One of ABC’s Sunday doubleheader today, you got the sense that the Boston Celtics season…and maybe an era…was coming to an end.  In Game Two, the first meaningful evidence that the season had finally begun for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Numbers and notes from those games, plus other important developments on a busy NBA Sunday…

Boston 100, Miami 98 (in double overtime)

2-Point Percentage: Miami 45%, Boston 46%

3-Point Shooting: Miami 5/23, Boston 5/20

Free Throws: Miami 15/20, Boston 23/27

Rebounds: Miami 53, Boston 46

Turnovers: Miami 20, Boston 14

Dramatic game to watch, though the cloud hanging over the event made it one that few could really enjoy. Boston won the day. But they also found out they’ll be without star point guard Rajon Rondo for the rest of the season because of a torn ACL. They had been in recent trouble anyway with their current roster, slumping down to Read more


Tags: NBA Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Stat Intelligence




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' Super Bowl XLVII Gambling Update

01.28.2013     06:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Editor’s Note: Join Teddy at the LVH Showroom at 5 pm PT on Saturday, February 2nd for the ‘red carpet’ premiere of the new sportsbetting documentary movie ‘Life on the Line’.  It’s free to attend, and the event will last about an hour. 

It’s no secret where the early money has come on the Super Bowl.  At the opening number, San Francisco was as high as a 5.5-point favorite offshore, with mostly -5’s here in Las Vegas.  But we’ve seen steady Baltimore money pour in since that time, driving the line down to the -3.5 or -4 range at every sportsbook in town; numbers that are currently attracting two way action.  I expect the 49ers to be in that same pointspread range (-3.5 or -4) between now and kickoff.

The early sharp money has also come in support of the Under.  One prominent offshore book opened the total at 52.5, and here in Vegas we saw several books open with a total of 50.  Through the first week of Super Bowl betting, the Under has been a popular wiseguy choice.  The prevailing current offshore number is 47.5; here in Vegas we’re looking at mostly Read more


Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl XLVII Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting: Injury concerns for Utah Utes

01.27.2013     08:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford -3 at Utah

Plenty of injury concerns for the Utah Utes as they play host to Stanford tonight. Senior guard Jarred DuBois (12.0) didn't start in Thursday's loss to Cal and played only nine minutes in the second half. He's expected to start and play more minutes tonight. Freshman forward Jordan Loveridge (12.7 ppg) has been battling the flu and may not be able to play due to concussion-like symptoms suffered against Cal. Stanford opened -2 and was bet up to -3. The Cardinal are 1-4 SU on the highway with their lone win by two points. Also note that Utah's crowd support may be lacking due to Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinal Utah Utes




Overlooked Super Bowl XLVII Handicapping Factor: Baltimore's Disruptive Defense

01.25.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’re still early in the hype sequence for this year’s Super Bowl. But, already, it’s pretty clear that the main stories are going to be:

The Harbaugh brother angle

Colin Kaepernick and related Kaepernickia

Joe Flacco breaking through to “elite” status

Ray Lewis’s retirement

Something I think has been overlooked so far (and I'm including myself in this) is the role Baltimore’s defense has played in disrupting opposing quarterbacks so far in the playoffs. You regulars know that I developed a ridiculously simple stat for eyeballing how clean or sloppy an offense is playing…or, from the other perspective, how clean or sloppy an opposing defense allows an offense to play.

Sloppiness: 5 times turnovers…plus the number of incomplete passes

I’m pleased that so many have agreed with me that this is a great stat for painting the picture of a game, even if it is embarrassingly Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl XLVII Stat Intelligence




NBA Handicapping: Wizards and Rockets your latest ATS streakers

01.24.2013     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I mentioned last night that several storylines we’ve been following would be in play on the Wednesday night NBA schedule. For the most part, all of those storylines continue unabated. Let’s start with the third game on the Nevada rotation schedule, because it’s barely worth mentioning that Charlotte is still horrible (they lost and failed to cover vs. Atlanta), and Miami is still coasting until the games matter (they had to go overtime to beat Toronto).

*Detroit continued its solid play, losing by only three points as a 6-point underdog in Chicago even though they were playing on night two of a back-to-back. The final score was 85-82. Home court advantage is worth three points typically in the NBA. So, that grades out as the Pistons being even with Chicago. And, THAT’S consistent with what we’ve been talking about lately with the Pistons’ improvement. They’re still playing like a team in the low 80’s (or high 70’s tonight in a Read more


Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Houston Rockets



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 17, 2014 10:32 PM.