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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Bowling Green Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies

03.10.2014     08:11 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois -3 O/U 114.5
Recommendation: Northern Illinois

Amazing transformation by the Northern Illinois Huskies as they’ve become massive money makers going 10-0-2 ATS since late January. NIU has only been cast in the role of a favorite just twice during that span but those games resulted in easy 25 and 14 point wins and covers as -3.5 versus Central Michigan (88-63 Feb 12) and -7 against Ball State (70-56 2 days ago). It’s somewhat difficult to understand the reasoning behind the Huskies sudden ability to cash tickets since statistically there is little to no difference between last season and this season where offensive and defensive numbers are concerned. What really shows up under a close examination is the tremendous fall off at the top of the MAC which in my opinion has allowed NIU to become more competitive and cover games they couldn’t last year.

Power ratings show a steep drop by last year’s league kingpins Akron, Ohio, and Kent State which has turned this conference into a pile of mediocrity. Northern Illinois showed back on January 12 at Bowling Green that in this contest of style Read more

Tags: College Basketball Bowling Green Falcons Northern Illinois Huskies

So-Con Tournament Championship Betting Preview: Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Wofford Terriers

03.10.2014     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Southern Conference Tournament Championship
Western Carolina vs. Wofford
6 pm PT, Asheville, NC
CRIS Opener:
Wofford -3 O/U 131
CRIS Current: Wofford -3 O/U 131
Rob Veno Power Rating: Wofford -4

Quick Take: Wofford was at one point 7-10 overall and 2-3 in So-Con play but finished 11-5 and earned the no. 3 seed. The Terriers ranked second in both offensive (1.10 points per possession) and defensive (1.00 ppp allowed) efficiency. Western Carolina was the fifth seed and beat both Elon and Davidson by 2. Wofford won the only regular season meeting, 71-60 at home. Turnovers could be the key to the game. Wofford has the lowest offensive TO rate in the league whereas WCU has the best defensive TO rate. During the regular season matchup, Wofford won the turnover battle 11-14. As a conference, the quality of play of the So-Con has diminished each of the past four seasons. According to Ken Pomery’s rankings, the league ranked 19th out of 33 in 2011, 24th in 2012, 28th in 2013, and 30th this season.

Quotes: Western Carolina on upending Read more

Tags: College Basketball Western Carolina Catamounts Wofford Terriers

Colonial Tournament Championship Betting Preview: William & Mary Tribe vs. Delaware Blue Hens

03.10.2014     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Colonial Tournament Championship
William & Mary vs. Delaware
4 pm PT, Baltimore, MD
CRIS Opener:
Delaware -4.5 O/U 152
CRIS Current: Delaware -4.5 O/U 153
Rob Veno Power Rating: Delaware -3

Quick Take: Both squads met twice during the regular season with Delaware winning both games, 89-72 and 76-71. Statistically, William & Mary ranks no. 1 in the CAA in offensive efficiency (1.14 points per possession) but dead last in defensive efficiency (1.12 ppp allowed). Delaware ranks third in both categories. The Blue Hens are also the fastest team in the league at nearly 70 possessions per game.

Quotes: Tribe head coach Tony Shaver on Delaware...

"Delaware is one of the best offensive teams I've seen in this league since I've been here," said Shaver, in his 11th season at William & Mary. "They have so many explosive players. I would normally sit here and tell

Read more

Tags: College Basketball William & Mary Tribe Delaware Blue Hens

MAAC Tournament Championship Betting Preview: Iona Gaels vs. Manhattan Jaspers

03.10.2014     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
MAAC Tournament Championship
Manhattan vs. Iona
4 pm PT, Springfield, Mass.
CRIS Opener:
Manhattan pk O/U 157
CRIS Current: Manhattan -1.5 O/U 157
Rob Veno Power Rating: Iona -1.5

Quick Take: A rematch of last year's title game that saw Iona prevail, 60-57. Offense vs. defense is the main theme; the Gaels rank tops in the conference in virtually every offensive category including efficiency (1.19 points per possession). Meanwhile the same can be said for the Jaspers defensively. They allowed only 0.95 ppp while the Gaels surrendered 1.06. Iona won the first meeting at home 85-73 after trailing by six in the second half. Manhattan returned the favor with an 80-77 OT win on its home floor.

Quote: Manhattan head coach Steve Masiello on the level of play in the MAAC...

"Iona's a very dangerous team, and it says how good this league is," Masiello said.

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Iona Gaels Manhattan Jaspers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Betting Conference Tournaments

03.10.2014     07:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The Big Dance gets all the headlines; all the media attention.  And it makes sense why that happens.  College basketball is way too big for the average fan.  More than 350 teams in more than 30 conferences are simply too much for non-hardcore hoops aficionados to handle.
And then there’s the bracket factor.  The entire country fills out brackets.  They’re easy to fill out, the seedings make sense to Joe Public, and after the first round, most of the obscure teams are gone.  Those obscure teams that survive are now public darlings, Cinderella stories that casual fans can understand and follow.

Forget fans – I’m no casual fan, and if you’re reading this, you probably aren’t either.  We’re sports bettors.  And for serious college basketball bettors, there’s absolutely no comparison between this week and next week.  This week, we’ve got dozens of Little Dances, the conference tournaments that are a sports bettors dream.  Next week, for the Big Dance, it’s still a betting bonanza, but not quite as good.  Here are my Top 6 reasons why.

More Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Penn State Nittany Lions at Minnesota Golden Gophers

03.09.2014     08:28 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Penn State +7 at Minnesota O/U 136.5
Recommendation: Penn State

Is Minnesota downright desperate for a victory today against Penn State? You damn right it is. Does desperation translate into success? Negative. Minnesota is going in the wrong direction. Richard Pitino's team has lost seven of its last 10 games, making a victory at The Barn tonight vs. PSU an absolute must. Not only that, but then the Gophers are going to most likely need a pair of wins at next week's Big Ten Tournament in order to feel good about their chances of earning an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament.

Penn State is playing solid basketball right now, covering the number in each of its last three games. The Nittany Lions have won outright in three of their last five road assignments, including a 59-32 win at Northwestern on Thursday night. PSU probably has the most underrated backcourt in the country. Coming off a torn ACL last season, senior point guard Tim Frazier has enjoyed another stellar campaign to cap off what has been an outstanding collegiate career. Frazier has scored in double figures in nine consecutive games. The fifth-year senior is averaging 15.6 Read more

Tags: College Basketball Penn State Nittany Lions Minnesota Golden Gophers Brian Edwards

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue Boilermakers

03.09.2014     07:52 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Northwestern at Purdue -9 O/U 123
Recommendation: Purdue

Purdue has played a brutal slate down the stretch facing what could very well be five NCAA Tournament bound squads – three of those five contests on the road. The Boilers haven't quit either, losing to Michigan in overtime, Iowa by single digits in Iowa City, and by six up in Madison on Wednesday. No question Matt Painter and the team are frustrated but today marks a great opportunity to feel good for a change. Not much of any motivation for the Northwestern side as it limps into this contest short on bodies and scoring ability. We saw the fatigue of the season and the loss of JerShon Cobb really play out in Thursday's embarrassing 59-32 loss to Penn State. Today is a situation that if the Wildcats get down there is simply no reason to put up much of a fight with the Big Ten Tournament just around the corner. Also note that in the first meeting between these teams, Purdue had the game won not once, but twice, but managed to lose in double OT. It's been that kind of season for the Boilermakers but I feel that they are sitting on a solid showing today. As with all Northwestern games, the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Arizona Wildcats at Oregon Ducks

03.08.2014     07:21 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Arizona at Oregon +3 O/U 139.5
Recommendation: Oregon

This season ending matchup looks like an interesting one, and has completely different levels of importance to its competitors. For Arizona the result here means very little. At 28-2 the Wildcats are a likely #1 seed in the NCAA tournament and long ago wrapped up the regular season PAC-12 title. There is very little for them to gain or lose today. For Oregon, however, this could be a huge win for the revitalized Ducks. After opening the conference slate with a win over Utah back in January, Oregon dropped 8 of its next 10 games and looked like they were going to miss the Big Dance. However, they have turned it around and won their past six games, putting them at 9-8 in conference play and 21-8 overall. They could very easily be 13-4 in conference play as four losses were by exactly two points, including a 67-65 loss at Arizona on February 6th. A win here would solidify their position in the NCAA tourney and move them in contention for a 6th seed or better depending on how they fare in the PAC-12 Tournament. Three points here could be huge given Oregon's history of close losses, but I wouldn't be Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks Brent Crow

College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 3-7-2014

03.07.2014     02:45 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Syracuse has lost four of its last five games and don’t forget, it nearly lost the two games preceding this five-game slump. The Orange needed miracle plays in the waning seconds to win at Pitt (on Tyler Ennis's buzzer beater) and at home vs. NC State. Jim Boeheim's team travels to Tallahassee on Sunday to face a Florida State team that's on  the bubble and in dire need of a victory. Will starting power forward Jerami Grant be able to go against the Seminoles? As of late Friday afternoon, Grant remained 'questionable' due to a back injury. He was unable to play in this week's home loss to Georgia Tech. Grant averages 11.8 points and 6.7 rebounds per game.

Kansas will play without freshman center Joel Embiid for a second straight game Saturday at West Virginia. Embiid is resting back and knee injuries in hopes of getting back to 100 percent before next week's Big 12 Tournament. Embiid averages 11.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.6 blocked shots per game. The Jayhawks covered the spread without their shot blocker in Wednesday's blowout win over Texas Tech.

Texas center Jonathan Holmes (13.2 PPG) rested a sore knee during Wednesday's 66-54 non-covering win Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards

College Basketball Betting: Bubble teams wrap up regular season play

03.07.2014     08:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick look at some of the NCAA Tournament "bubble teams" and where they are playing this weekend.

Oregon (21-8, 9-8) vs. Arizona
BYU (21-10, 13-5) WCC Tournament TBA
Xavier (20-11, 10-8) Big East Tournament TBA
Saint Joe's (21-8, 11-4) vs. LaSalle
Arkansas (21-9, 10-7) at Alabama
Tennessee (19-11, 10-7) vs. Missouri
Dayton (21-9, 9-6) vs. Richmond
Nebraska (18-11, 10-7) vs. Wisconsin
California (18-12, 9-8) vs. Colorado
Providence (20-10, 10-7) at Creighton
Minnesota (18-12, 7-10) vs. Penn State
Florida State (18-11, 9-8) vs. Syracuse
Missouri (21-9, 9-8) at Tennessee
St. John's (19-11, 9-8) at Marquette
Georgetown (17-12, 8-9) at Villanova
Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3) C-USA Tournament TBA
Utah (20-9, 9-8) at Stanford

Tags: College Basketball


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