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NFL Gambling Consensus: Bettors all over Pittsburgh and the OVER for Thursday Night Football

09.11.2014     02:05 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (sides, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens courtesy of Bookmaker. The Ravens opened 3-point favorites at both Bookmaker and Pinnacle but a majority of the money throughout the week has come in on the Steelers which has taken out virtually every +3. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDE
60.3% - Pittsburgh +2.5

TOTAL
60.3% - OVER 44.5

MONEYLINE
66.1% - Pittsburgh +120





Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Under- and over-reacting to early season football results

09.08.2014     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I probably heard the same expression 20 times last week: ‘Don’t overreact to Week 1 results.’   It’s one of those handicapping mantras that we hear every year right around this time – the very beginning of football season. 

In basketball or baseball there’s no week off between the first two games and the early season betting markets don’t react intensely off a single poor performance.  But for football – both NFL and college – the prevailing conventional wisdom is that Week 1 results are a thing to take with a grain of salt.

The concept certainly makes sense.  Coaches – especially college football coaches – will tell you that they expect their biggest improvement between Week 1 and Week 2.  Without the benefit of preseason games or even scrimmages against opposing squads, teams often ‘work out the kinks’ and ‘get up to game speed’ in their initial contest.  The team you expected to see this year (at least for bettors who do some homework and have opinions coming into the campaign) might not be the team you saw in Week 1, but there’s Read more



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers




NFL Betting: Recapping recent Week 1 line moves

09.02.2014     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at the some of the recent line moves in the NFL betting markets...

New Orleans at Atlanta: The Falcons opened -1.5 during the summer but by mid-August the Saints were -1.5/-2 favorites. Last week, New Orleans was popped again and is now -3 (ev/-105) across the board.

Minnesota at St. Louis: The Rams were -6/-6.5 for much of the summer. Now that Sam Bradford is out, the market has settled in at -4/-3.5.

Cincinnati at Baltimore: The Ravens never really threatened to go to -3, but all of the +2.5's were taken out as they are now -1 vs. the Bengals.

Buffalo at Chicago: Bears have bounced back and forth -6.5/-7. There is some opinion on this one with Chicago -7 (-110) at CRIS and -6.5 (-110) at Greek and Cantor.

Tennessee at Kansas City: A slow trickle of Titans' money pushed them from +6 to +3.5. Wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs -3 (w/ juice) come game day.

San Francisco at Dallas: Another one with varying opinion. San Fran opened -3.5 and was bet up to -6. But recent Cowboys' support has the 49ers settled in at Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Preseason Betting Consensus: Broncos and Ravens top choices for Saturday

08.23.2014     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's eight NFL Preseason games. Yesterday bettors went all in with the favorites and overs. Favorites finished 3-2 ATS based on the closing lines. Three of the five games went under the total. For Saturday there appears to be some decent opinion on a few underdogs with Dallas and St. Louis both taking over 70% of bets. Bettors remain sold that these penalty-filled games will find a way to go over the total Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
Houston at Denver -7 (76.9%)
Washington at Baltimore -2.5 (73.1%)
Dallas +3.5 (71.7%) at Miami
St. Louis +2 (70.8%) at Cleveland
Tennessee at Atlanta -3.5 (68.4%)
Tampa Bay at Buffalo (64.8%)
New Orleans +2 (54.0%) at Indianapolis
Minnesota +3 (51.3%) at Kansas City

TOTALS
New Orleans-Indianapolis OVER 47.5 (85.7%)
Houston-Denver OVER 46 (82.6%)
Washington-Baltimore OVER 44 (80.0%)
Tennessee-Atlanta OVER 44 (76.5%)
St. Louis-Cleveland UNDER 43 (67.7%)
Dallas-Miami OVER 46.5 (55.9%)
Tampa Bay-Buffalo OVER 41.5 Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Baltimore Ravens




NFL Preseason Gambling: Baltimore short-handed in secondary

08.22.2014     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Baltimore -3 O/U 43

According to reports, Baltimore will be without its top three cornerbacks (Jimmy Smith, Asa Jackson, and Lardarius Webb) for Saturday's preseason games vs. Washington.




Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Washington Redskins




NFL Gambling Update: So far so good for Ravens' run-game

08.20.2014     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

A few weeks back we linked to an article on Baltimore's need of a better rushing attach. Last season the Ravens ranked 30th in the league at 83 ypg. First-year offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak had said that he wants this to be a run-first offense. Through two preseason games, the run-game appears to be on the upswing. The Ravens rolled up 151 yards (4.87 ypc) vs. Dallas and 237 yards (4.9 ypc) vs. San Francisco. All told they've run the ball 79 times. But before bettors get too excited, note that the defenses for the Cowboys and 49ers were extremely banged up (111 combined points allowed in four games).


"I feel good about the run game so far, and we temper it with the fact that it’s two games in the preseason, and what matters is what you do when it counts," Harbaugh said. "[There is] a long way to go to be where we need to be to have the kind of success that we’re hoping

Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Baltimore starters to play a quarter vs. Dallas

08.15.2014     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Dallas pk O/U 41.5

Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh said his starters will play about a quarter during Saturday's preseason tilt at Dallas.


“We’ll have some play counts for a few guys, including [quarterback] Joe [Flacco] and some of the defensive players, but we’ll see how it goes,” Harbaugh said “Basically, [the starters will play] about a quarter.”

"That’s going to be [dictated by] the way the game goes, how many plays we get on offense,” Harbaugh said. “Tyrod needs work—not that Keith doesn’t also, but Tyrod has had lots of practice time here. He hasn’t had as much game time.. Tyrod’s a very good quarterback, but the chance to play it out in games is

Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Dallas Cowboys




NFL Gambling News: Ravens, Kubiak hope for better run game

08.06.2014     06:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on Baltimore Ravens first-year offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak. A lot of talk about running the football, something the Ravens struggled to do last season. They ranked 30th in the league at 83.0 ypg.


“We’re done if we don’t have a running game,” said Harry Swayne, the Ravens’ director of player development and a starting tackle on Denver’s Super Bowl teams. “If we don’t, it’s going to be a tough year. We have to be patient, because there is a learning curve. It’s not just that it’s a new offense. A large part of the change is a new philosophy.”

“He has Texas all over him and he’ll talk to anybody,” Swayne said. “He’s a players’ coach, a back-of-the-bus kind of guy with a good sense of humor. But he works hard and he has his work to do here. But he made it work in Houston, and he’ll make it work here. Again, patience is a key.”






Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens




NFL Gambling: The impact quarterbacks have on Season Over/Under Win totals Part I

07.28.2014     06:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve been writing about NFL Season Win Totals for the last few weeks, using what I call “advanced metric schedule analysis.”  This week, the time has come to write about another stage of the 2014 pre-preseason team analysis that affects every win total on the board – quarterbacks.

Why quarterbacks?  Because more than ever, in the modern ‘pass happy’ era of NFL Football, the quarterback is the most important position on any team.  Of course a great quarterback can’t be great without a decent receiving corps or a decent offensive line, so those must be included in the equation when discussing quarterbacks. 

Here’s what I wrote last year in this space:

“The pecking order for NFL quarterbacks is well established.  Most of the best quarterbacks play for the best teams.  Peyton Manning in Denver, Eli Manning in New York, Tom Brady in New England, Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, Drew Brees in New Orleans and Joe Flacco in Baltimore all wear Super Bowl rings.  All seven guys play for teams that are perennial playoff teams, and all seven of Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Ravens determined to improve offense

06.30.2014     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Baltimore Ravens are hoping for an offensive turnaround this season after finishing 29th in total yardage in 2013. This offseason, they inked deals with wide receiver Steve Smith and tight end Owen Daniels. Former Houston head coach Gary Kubiak takes over at offensive coordinator.

Total Offense
2013 - 307.4 ypg (29th)
2012 - 352.5 ypg (16th)
2011 - 338.7 ypg (15th)


"It was tough for the offense, much more than we anticipated," Newsome told the Ravens' team site. "The lack of weapons really hurt at times."

"We'll be better on offense. I really like (offensive coordinator) Gary's (Kubiak) schemes," he added. "It's very precise. It's physical. I think we'll run the ball better, we'll keep the ball more and we'll have big plays. You can tell the players, especially guys like Joe (Flacco), like it -- and they can see that we have a good chance to be a lot better."







Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens



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