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April

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NFL Handicapping: Carolina run game, Newton's health an issue

09.23.2014     02:09 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Baltimore -3 O/U 40.5

Playing from behind for much of the game, the Carolina Panthers didn't have much of a chance to run the football in Sunday's loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. But offensive coordinator Mike Shula said that will be the team's focus moving forward. It won't be easy however considering quarterback Cam Newton's ribs are likely to keep him from being much of a threat on the ground. Newton has only 26 yards on the ground in two games. Last year his 36.5 ypg helped Carolina rank fourth in the NFL (126.6 ypg). This season, they rank 29th at 72.3 ypg.

 

"First of all, we can't expect to win many games running the ball 10 times, I want to say that," offensive coordinator Mike Shula said. "We are going to have to run the ball and have good balance – better than we had (on

Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Baltimore Ravens




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 3 Betting Recap

09.22.2014     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re three weeks into the new NFL season and I’ve already got some pointspread and totals streakers to write about.  Three teams are 3-0 ATS, four more have yet to cover a pointspread. Four teams are 3-0 to the Over; five more are 3-0 to the Under. Who are these teams and why are they trending early? Most importantly, can we expect them to continue to trend in the same direction moving forward? Read on to find out.

I’ll focus here on the pointspread streakers, saving the totals streakers for a thorough look next week. That being said, I will list the early season totals streakers here, so you don’t have to go through the trouble of looking them up. 3-0 to the Over: Browns, Jaguars, Colts and Eagles. 3-0 to the Under: Bengals, Cardinals, Bills, Vikings and Titans.

The NFL is a parity filled league, and pointspreads can adjust rather dramatically based on a single early season performance. A big Week 1 or Week 2 victory, therefore, makes it more difficult to cover the spread the following week. Only three teams have managed to avoid an ATS defeat through the first three weeks of the season. All three of those squads were less than Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Pittsburgh's defense shows vulnerability vs. no-huddle

09.11.2014     02:30 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at Baltimore -2.5 O/U 44.4

In the second half of last week's non-spread covering win over Cleveland, the Pittsburgh Steelers' defense struggled against the no-huddle. Pittsburgh is expecting tonight's opponent, Baltimore, to utilize it as well.


"What we've shown is if you want to huddle and play against us we'll do fine, but this no-huddle (offense) has given us some problems," Troy Polamalu said, per the team's official website. "We have to do something to rectify that. Coach LeBeau is the genius of all defensive coordinators, and he'll figure it out."

"I certainly do," he said. "Our two worst games, no doubt, have been against a hurry-up deal. So we're going to see it until we handle it."






Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens




NFL Gambling Consensus: Bettors all over Pittsburgh and the OVER for Thursday Night Football

09.11.2014     02:05 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (sides, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens courtesy of Bookmaker. The Ravens opened 3-point favorites at both Bookmaker and Pinnacle but a majority of the money throughout the week has come in on the Steelers which has taken out virtually every +3. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDE
60.3% - Pittsburgh +2.5

TOTAL
60.3% - OVER 44.5

MONEYLINE
66.1% - Pittsburgh +120





Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Under- and over-reacting to early season football results

09.08.2014     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I probably heard the same expression 20 times last week: ‘Don’t overreact to Week 1 results.’   It’s one of those handicapping mantras that we hear every year right around this time – the very beginning of football season. 

In basketball or baseball there’s no week off between the first two games and the early season betting markets don’t react intensely off a single poor performance.  But for football – both NFL and college – the prevailing conventional wisdom is that Week 1 results are a thing to take with a grain of salt.

The concept certainly makes sense.  Coaches – especially college football coaches – will tell you that they expect their biggest improvement between Week 1 and Week 2.  Without the benefit of preseason games or even scrimmages against opposing squads, teams often ‘work out the kinks’ and ‘get up to game speed’ in their initial contest.  The team you expected to see this year (at least for bettors who do some homework and have opinions coming into the campaign) might not be the team you saw in Week 1, but there’s Read more



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers




NFL Betting: Recapping recent Week 1 line moves

09.02.2014     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at the some of the recent line moves in the NFL betting markets...

New Orleans at Atlanta: The Falcons opened -1.5 during the summer but by mid-August the Saints were -1.5/-2 favorites. Last week, New Orleans was popped again and is now -3 (ev/-105) across the board.

Minnesota at St. Louis: The Rams were -6/-6.5 for much of the summer. Now that Sam Bradford is out, the market has settled in at -4/-3.5.

Cincinnati at Baltimore: The Ravens never really threatened to go to -3, but all of the +2.5's were taken out as they are now -1 vs. the Bengals.

Buffalo at Chicago: Bears have bounced back and forth -6.5/-7. There is some opinion on this one with Chicago -7 (-110) at CRIS and -6.5 (-110) at Greek and Cantor.

Tennessee at Kansas City: A slow trickle of Titans' money pushed them from +6 to +3.5. Wouldn't be surprised to see the Chiefs -3 (w/ juice) come game day.

San Francisco at Dallas: Another one with varying opinion. San Fran opened -3.5 and was bet up to -6. But recent Cowboys' support has the 49ers settled in at Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Preseason Betting Consensus: Broncos and Ravens top choices for Saturday

08.23.2014     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's eight NFL Preseason games. Yesterday bettors went all in with the favorites and overs. Favorites finished 3-2 ATS based on the closing lines. Three of the five games went under the total. For Saturday there appears to be some decent opinion on a few underdogs with Dallas and St. Louis both taking over 70% of bets. Bettors remain sold that these penalty-filled games will find a way to go over the total Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
Houston at Denver -7 (76.9%)
Washington at Baltimore -2.5 (73.1%)
Dallas +3.5 (71.7%) at Miami
St. Louis +2 (70.8%) at Cleveland
Tennessee at Atlanta -3.5 (68.4%)
Tampa Bay at Buffalo (64.8%)
New Orleans +2 (54.0%) at Indianapolis
Minnesota +3 (51.3%) at Kansas City

TOTALS
New Orleans-Indianapolis OVER 47.5 (85.7%)
Houston-Denver OVER 46 (82.6%)
Washington-Baltimore OVER 44 (80.0%)
Tennessee-Atlanta OVER 44 (76.5%)
St. Louis-Cleveland UNDER 43 (67.7%)
Dallas-Miami OVER 46.5 (55.9%)
Tampa Bay-Buffalo OVER 41.5 Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Baltimore Ravens




NFL Preseason Gambling: Baltimore short-handed in secondary

08.22.2014     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Baltimore -3 O/U 43

According to reports, Baltimore will be without its top three cornerbacks (Jimmy Smith, Asa Jackson, and Lardarius Webb) for Saturday's preseason games vs. Washington.




Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Washington Redskins




NFL Gambling Update: So far so good for Ravens' run-game

08.20.2014     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

A few weeks back we linked to an article on Baltimore's need of a better rushing attach. Last season the Ravens ranked 30th in the league at 83 ypg. First-year offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak had said that he wants this to be a run-first offense. Through two preseason games, the run-game appears to be on the upswing. The Ravens rolled up 151 yards (4.87 ypc) vs. Dallas and 237 yards (4.9 ypc) vs. San Francisco. All told they've run the ball 79 times. But before bettors get too excited, note that the defenses for the Cowboys and 49ers were extremely banged up (111 combined points allowed in four games).


"I feel good about the run game so far, and we temper it with the fact that it’s two games in the preseason, and what matters is what you do when it counts," Harbaugh said. "[There is] a long way to go to be where we need to be to have the kind of success that we’re hoping

Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Baltimore starters to play a quarter vs. Dallas

08.15.2014     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Dallas pk O/U 41.5

Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh said his starters will play about a quarter during Saturday's preseason tilt at Dallas.


“We’ll have some play counts for a few guys, including [quarterback] Joe [Flacco] and some of the defensive players, but we’ll see how it goes,” Harbaugh said “Basically, [the starters will play] about a quarter.”

"That’s going to be [dictated by] the way the game goes, how many plays we get on offense,” Harbaugh said. “Tyrod needs work—not that Keith doesn’t also, but Tyrod has had lots of practice time here. He hasn’t had as much game time.. Tyrod’s a very good quarterback, but the chance to play it out in games is

Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Dallas Cowboys



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April

28


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 30, 2017 03:38 PM.