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MLB Betting Podcast 6-30-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

06.30.2017     10:08 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals

06.29.2017     11:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Chicago (Lester) at Washington (Ross) +100 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Chicago

We’re seeing a near pick em price range in this matchup where the home team has some significant edges . Let’s start with the fact that the Chicago Cubs just aren’t very good in 2017; a bottom five team in profitability and a .500 team on the field through the first half of the campaign. To make matters worse, the injury bug has been biting, with Kris Bryant sidelined today, joining big bats Ben Zobrist and Jason Heyward on the bench. For a squad that has averaged less than three runs per game over the past week, the loss of Bryant certainly isn’t a good thing!

Jon Lester won 19 games last year with a 2.44 ERA. This year, he’s only notched five wins and his ERA is nearly a run and a half higher. What gives? Simple – the Cubs defense behind him is a shell of what it was last year; and that defense is notably worse without Heyward or Zobrist on the field. Last year, his BABIP was .254. This year, when opponents make contact, they’re hitting .304, and much of that difference can be attributed to a defense that Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Washington Nationals Teddy Covers

MLB Gambling: The theory behind the new home run era

06.29.2017     09:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
If you like conspiracies, home runs, and science, then check out's article on the theories behind the supposed "juiced ball."

 The same random manufacturing changes that might have made it bouncier and slicker could just as easily make it stiff and air resistant — bringing back the year of the pitcher, and rendering all our juiced-ball detective work for naught.

Tags: MLB

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox

06.29.2017     09:14 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Minnesota (Gibson) at Boston (Price) -200 O/U 10
Recommendation: Over

Kyle Gibson is one of many fringe MLB starting pitchers that has routinely been smacked around this season. He currently owns a 6.23 ERA while allowing 86 hits and 33 walks over 65 innings. Gibson has also surrendered four home runs in his last three starts which is concerning with tonight's outing at Fenway Park. And his inability to go deep into games means the Twins bullpen should get some work tonight; a group that has a 4.90 ERA. This all provies a great chance for the Red Sox to bounce back from last night's 4-1 loss. On the other side, David Price has yet to find his footing since returning to the rotation. Price has allowed three or more runs in five of six starts this season and has failed to go beyond 6 innings in all but one of those games. It’s also worth noting that Price got crushed in his most recent start against the Twins last year wherehe allowed five runs on 11 hits in just 5.2 innings of work right here at Fenway. Not a single Boston starter has pitched more than 6 innings in five consecutive days/games which means the Red Sox pen, for as Read more

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Boston Red Sox Ian Cameron

MLB Betting Podcast 6-28-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

06.28.2017     01:36 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Cleveland Indians poised for run, but bettors beware

06.28.2017     11:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Cleveland Indians hold only a half-game lead in the American League Central but there are plenty of indications the Tribe will pull away at some point. For starters, Pythagorean W-L records show the Tribe have underachieved whereas the Twins and Royals have overachieved. Based on runs scored and allowed, Cleveland should be 43-33 while Minnesota and Kansas City check in at 33-42. Chicago, which is seven games out, has actually played .500 baseball from a runs score/allowed standpoint while Detroit, slightly worse at 36-40.

One of the main reason Cleveland is poised for better fortunes on the horizon is that nearly the entire starting staff has outpitched its ERA. Check out the numbers below. Bauer, Tomlin, and Salazar all have their faults but have also pitched way better than their ERA suggests.

Corey Kluber: 3.24 ERA, 2.81 xFIP
Carlos Carrasco: 3.67 ERA, 3.51 xFIP
Trevor Bauer: 5.53 ERA, 3.64 xFIP
Josh Tomlin: 6.09 ERA, 4.20 xFIP
*Danny Salazar: 5.40 ERA, 3.57 xFIP

*Salazar currently on the DL but slated to return shortly.

But we're hardly the only ones to spot that Cleveland should be better than its overall record. Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

06.28.2017     08:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Colorado (Freeland) -120 at San Francisco (Blach) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Expect the ball to be put in play and some this afternoon with Colorado's Kyle Freeland facing San Francisco's Ty Blach. Combined, the two lefties have tossed 167 innings and recorded only 88 strikeouts. And in 48 plate appearances, opposing pitchers have struck out only eight times against the soft-tossing duo. Regression has hit Blach in a big way. Over his first eight starts he flashed a 3.08 ERA including a complete game shutout vs. Philadelphia. Since that outing, he's been tagged for 22 runs in 21.1 innings. Freeland is perhaps a little more protected against a hard regression in that he garners a ton of ground balls (58.5%). But since his hot start (6 starts, 2.65 ERA) he's been far more hittable (9 starts, .295 BAA against, 8 home runs, 4.36 ERA). A few more starts at Coors and a Denver heat wave will be all it takes to see his numbers really start to bottom out. The question, however, is can these two below average offenses take advantage? Temps are expected to be in the low 60's but the wind is blowing out to left center which with two lefties on Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Starting pitcher to fade moving forward

06.27.2017     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
While offense and ERA's remain on the rise, there are a handful of starting pitchers that have skirted around it as we near the All-Star Break. FanGraphs put together a list of arms that are primed for regression in the coming months. At the top of the list are a few obviously candidates. Texas' Andrew Cashner has gone from swing-and-miss to pitch-to-contact arm with a K per 9 rate of only 4.28. His xFIP (5.43) is nearly two runs higher than his ERA (3.50). Chicago's Mike Pelfrey should undoubtedly be a victim of the assumed "juiced ball" movement yet he's carting around a 3.73 ERA. And KC's Jason Vargas continues to give up boatloads of fly balls that rarely leave the yard (6.6% HR/FB rate). He's sitting on a 2.29 ERA. 

Tags: MLB

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.27.2017     07:56 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Cobb) -105 at Pittsburgh (Williams) O/U 9
Recommendation: Tampa Bay

Different year, same result as the American League continues to dominate the National League in Interleague play. Heading into tonight's action, the AL is 83-59 +20 units of profit on the season. We can grab a near pick 'em price on Tampa Bay and starting pitcher Alex Cobb as the Rays open a series at Pittsburgh. Tampa has won five of its seven interleague games this season and has a very strong track record vs. right-handed pitching with a 31-22 mark and 117 wRC+ which ranks third in MLB. They'll face a very hittable arm in Trevor Williams who as a starter owns a 5.01 ERA over nine starts. Cobb is still trying to regain the form he had in 2014 when he flashed a 2.87 ERA over 27 starts. Arm difficulties and age have left him with slightly better than marginal stuff but his body of work is actually rock solid (4.05 ERA, 4.15 FIP). He's primed for success tonight against a mediocre lineup in a National League park. Money in this one should continue to trickle in on road side. At current pick 'em price, that's the preferred play.

Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays Pittsburgh Pirates OTTO Sports

MLB Betting Podcast 6-23-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

06.23.2017     08:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange


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