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April

16

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MLB Gambling: The Chicago Cubs are down -250 units over the last 15 years

03.31.2014     10:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
One of Sportsmemo’s favorite blogs gets a reboot: A look at the Chicago Cubs’ unmatched ineptitude from a betting perspective. Enjoy!

In 1999, Chicago finished the season ranked #30 out of 30 MLB teams in profitability, -27.5 units with their 67-95 record.

In 2000, the Cubs finished the season ranked #30 out of 30 MLB teams in profitability, -28 units with their 65-97 record.

In 2001, the Cubs won 88 games and finished the season ranked #8 in profitability, but only banked +3 units for the campaign.

In 2002, the Cubs went 67-95 and finished the season ranked #30 out of 30 MLB teams in profitability, a woeful -47.5 units!

In 2003, despite their 88-74 record, Chicago finished ranked #20, -9.5 units

In 2004, the 89-73 Cubs finished -20 units, ranked #27 in MLB -- that's hard to do with a team 16 games over .500!

In 2005, the Cubs went 79-83, good for a #22 ranking, -15 units.

In 2006, the Cubs went 66-96 and once again ranked #30 out of 30 teams; -24.5 units.

In 2007, the Cubs went 85-79 but still were -10 units, ranked #18 in terms of profitablity.

In 2008, Chicago went 97-64 and Read more


Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs




MLB Betting News: Pitchers adding and tweeking new pitches

03.31.2014     10:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Great article on pitchers who are working on specific pitches in their repertoire as well as adding new pitches. For example, Oakland's Sonny Gray, who last year threw hard, hardest, and hardest, is working on adding a change-up as a way to keep left-handed hitters in check.



Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Play: St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

03.31.2014     06:18 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Wainwright) at Cincinnati (Cueto) +115 O/U 7
Recommendation: Cincinnati


I have no hesitation fading Adam Wainwright at the Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati.  This park and this opponent has been a house of horrors for Wainwright in recent years, despite his Cy Young caliber overall campaigns.
 
In two starts against the Reds after the All Star break last year, Wainwright got clobbered both times: eight innings pitched, 17 hits and 15 earned runs allowed.  He notched only one win in four tries against Cincinnati for the season.  In 2012, wainwright had an ERA above 5.00 versus the Reds, again, notching only a single win against a divisional rival.
 
It’s surely worth noting that Wainwright got lit up at Arizona on opening day last year, allowing eleven hits and four runs in six innings of work.  Wainwright went 0-3 in April 2012, finishing the month with a 7.32 ERA as the Cards lost all four of his Read more


Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Milwaukee Brewers Season Over/Under Wins

03.31.2014     06:10 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee Brewers Season O/U Wins: 79.5
Recommendation: Over


I see positive value in this season win total with a Milwaukee team that had plenty of key things go wrong for them  2013. The major setback for the Brewers last season was obviously the loss of their centerpiece Ryan Braun for 101 games due to suspension. Add in the 70 games missed by cleanup hitter Aramis Ramirez and you have a gaping hole in the batting order that was supposed to be the Brewers strength. Veteran starting second baseman Rickie Weeks completely fell off the face of the earth recording career worsts in every offensive category. An injury to starting pitcher Marco Estrada cost Milwaukee about 12 starts and weakened an already average rotation. Milwaukee’s bullpen blew seven saves and lost eight games in their first 37 contests before they steadied the ship.

Despite all of the things that went wrong for them, Milwaukee still won 74 games and managed to find some bright spots for the future. Shortstop Jean Segura took hold in the top third of the Milwaukee order immediately and heads into 2014 as one of the top offensive shortstops in the National League. Read more


Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Atlanta Braves Season Over/Under Wins

03.31.2014     06:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta Braves Season O/U Wins: 87.5
Recommendation: Under


The Braves enter the season with a slew of key injuries to their pitching staff and a couple figures to affect them all season long. Right handed starters Brandon Beachy and Kris Medlen who were both expected to be in the top three of the Atlanta rotation underwent Tommy John surgery this month and are lost for the year. Add to that, the loss for at least a month of LH starter Mike Minor who has been placed on the 15-day DL (shoulder soreness) and the early season absence of free agent acquisition Gavin Floyd (recovering from Tommy John surgery) and you have a decimated starting staff until at least mid-May. Atlanta will be dependent upon 23-year old Julio Teheran (last year’s no. 5 at the start of the season) and veteran Ervin Santana at the top of the rotation and then they’ll need another 23-year old, Alex Wood, along with journeyman Aaron Harang and inexperienced righty David Hale to anchor the 3-4-5 slots.

The injury bug doesn’t stop with the starters as lefty reliever Johnny Venters and RH middle reliever Cory Gearrin each have arm injuries that will keep Read more


Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves Rob Veno




Sports Betting Podcast 3-31-3014 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

03.31.2014     05:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange broke down today's enitre MLB slate.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: MLB Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapping: San Diego feels good about starting rotation

03.27.2014     02:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Like the Minnesota Twins, the San Diego Padres have an optimistic outlook on their pitching staff heading into the season. Andrew Cashner has no. 1 starter potential while Ian Kennedy and Tyson Ross are solid middle-of-the-rotation arms. The Padres took a flyer on Josh Johnson who is already on the DL and morphing into the next Mark Prior. Any production from him is just a bonus at this point. Eric Stults and Robbie Erlin round out the rotation. Erlin, a former third round pick, posted a 1.97 ERA over his last five starts of 2013. Keep in mind, 312 innings went to Edinson Volquez, Jason Marquis (who in his defense wasn't awful), and Clayton Richard last season. Addition by subtraction.


"The optimism really started last year in the second half when our starting pitching started to show up," Black said. "You saw Andrew Cashner, Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres




MLB Handicapping: Oakland A's pitching staff thin heading into season

03.27.2014     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Oakland A's will start the season with a fair amount of question marks on their pitching staff. Jarrod Parker is out for the year following Tommy John surgery. AJ Griffin is still three weeks away from throwing a baseball. Sonny Gray is an ace in waiting but some guys don't respond well following their first season of professional ball; especially with Gray being a "max effort" arm. Reliever Jesse Chavez will serve as a stop-gap starter and finesse arms Dan Straily and Tommy Milone are back. Scott Kazmir also comes over from Cleveland. It's not all doom-and-gloom with the A's notorious for getting by with what they have. But it’s a starting staff worth keeping an eye on in April.


"We have guys we know will step up and fill in," starter Dan Straily said. "That's what we do here. This team is all about picking up for everybody else."





Tags: MLB Oakland A's




MLB Handicapping: Minnesota Twins hope new arms result in more wins

03.27.2014     11:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last season, the Minnesota Twins had arguably the worst starting staff in the league and it resulted in nearly 100 losses. They made a handful of moves during the offseason in the hopes of improving – which shouldn't be difficult. Newly acquired Phil Hughes and Ricky Nolasco have a fair amount of upside, particularly throwing in Target Field. Kevin Correia and Mike Pelfrey are serviceable when healthy. And Kyle Gibson, who just earned the fifth spot, is well-regarded and should benefit from the lumps (6.53 ERA) he took during last year's 10 starts. It pretty simple: Over the last three years Minnesota's team ERA was 4.55, 4.77, and 4.58 and they never won more than 66 games. In 2010, they churned out a 3.95 ERA and won the American League Central with 94 wins.


"I'm not saying we hit rock bottom last year because you can always lose more, but it felt Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




MLB Handicapping: Projections and Season O/U Wins

03.27.2014     07:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article from the new FiveThirtyEight.com blog on baseball predictions/projections.


Speaking of those Vegas over/unders, they’re the most crowdsourced projections we have. Every spring, various sportsbooks release baseline win totals for each team in the upcoming season, inviting bettors to place wagers on whether they believe a team will win more or less games than the oddsmakers think. These over/unders are not technically predictions — their aim is different from PECOTA’s or even Sports Illustrated’s — but they’re hugely predictive because of the stakes involved.

To get a sense of how Vegas sets these over/unders, I spoke with Ed Salmons, head oddsmaker for the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino, which cleared nearly 1 million sports bets in 2013. Like Cannella, Salmons doesn’t use a strictly algorithmic approach, although he is well-versed in sabermetrics. “I look at computerized [projections] before putting numbers out,” he said. “You’d be foolish not Read more



Tags: MLB



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April

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 16, 2014 06:05 PM.