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December

17

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MLB Betting Podcast 6-28-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

06.28.2017     01:36 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: MLB Erin Rynning Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapping: Cleveland Indians poised for run, but bettors beware

06.28.2017     11:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Cleveland Indians hold only a half-game lead in the American League Central but there are plenty of indications the Tribe will pull away at some point. For starters, Pythagorean W-L records show the Tribe have underachieved whereas the Twins and Royals have overachieved. Based on runs scored and allowed, Cleveland should be 43-33 while Minnesota and Kansas City check in at 33-42. Chicago, which is seven games out, has actually played .500 baseball from a runs score/allowed standpoint while Detroit, slightly worse at 36-40.

One of the main reason Cleveland is poised for better fortunes on the horizon is that nearly the entire starting staff has outpitched its ERA. Check out the numbers below. Bauer, Tomlin, and Salazar all have their faults but have also pitched way better than their ERA suggests.

Corey Kluber: 3.24 ERA, 2.81 xFIP
Carlos Carrasco: 3.67 ERA, 3.51 xFIP
Trevor Bauer: 5.53 ERA, 3.64 xFIP
Josh Tomlin: 6.09 ERA, 4.20 xFIP
*Danny Salazar: 5.40 ERA, 3.57 xFIP

*Salazar currently on the DL but slated to return shortly.

But we're hardly the only ones to spot that Cleveland should be better than its overall record. Read more



Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

06.28.2017     08:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Freeland) -120 at San Francisco (Blach) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Expect the ball to be put in play and some this afternoon with Colorado's Kyle Freeland facing San Francisco's Ty Blach. Combined, the two lefties have tossed 167 innings and recorded only 88 strikeouts. And in 48 plate appearances, opposing pitchers have struck out only eight times against the soft-tossing duo. Regression has hit Blach in a big way. Over his first eight starts he flashed a 3.08 ERA including a complete game shutout vs. Philadelphia. Since that outing, he's been tagged for 22 runs in 21.1 innings. Freeland is perhaps a little more protected against a hard regression in that he garners a ton of ground balls (58.5%). But since his hot start (6 starts, 2.65 ERA) he's been far more hittable (9 starts, .295 BAA against, 8 home runs, 4.36 ERA). A few more starts at Coors and a Denver heat wave will be all it takes to see his numbers really start to bottom out. The question, however, is can these two below average offenses take advantage? Temps are expected to be in the low 60's but the wind is blowing out to left center which with two lefties on Read more



Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapping: Starting pitcher to fade moving forward

06.27.2017     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While offense and ERA's remain on the rise, there are a handful of starting pitchers that have skirted around it as we near the All-Star Break. FanGraphs put together a list of arms that are primed for regression in the coming months. At the top of the list are a few obviously candidates. Texas' Andrew Cashner has gone from swing-and-miss to pitch-to-contact arm with a K per 9 rate of only 4.28. His xFIP (5.43) is nearly two runs higher than his ERA (3.50). Chicago's Mike Pelfrey should undoubtedly be a victim of the assumed "juiced ball" movement yet he's carting around a 3.73 ERA. And KC's Jason Vargas continues to give up boatloads of fly balls that rarely leave the yard (6.6% HR/FB rate). He's sitting on a 2.29 ERA. 




Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at Pittsburgh Pirates

06.27.2017     07:56 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Cobb) -105 at Pittsburgh (Williams) O/U 9
Recommendation: Tampa Bay

Different year, same result as the American League continues to dominate the National League in Interleague play. Heading into tonight's action, the AL is 83-59 +20 units of profit on the season. We can grab a near pick 'em price on Tampa Bay and starting pitcher Alex Cobb as the Rays open a series at Pittsburgh. Tampa has won five of its seven interleague games this season and has a very strong track record vs. right-handed pitching with a 31-22 mark and 117 wRC+ which ranks third in MLB. They'll face a very hittable arm in Trevor Williams who as a starter owns a 5.01 ERA over nine starts. Cobb is still trying to regain the form he had in 2014 when he flashed a 2.87 ERA over 27 starts. Arm difficulties and age have left him with slightly better than marginal stuff but his body of work is actually rock solid (4.05 ERA, 4.15 FIP). He's primed for success tonight against a mediocre lineup in a National League park. Money in this one should continue to trickle in on road side. At current pick 'em price, that's the preferred play.




Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays Pittsburgh Pirates OTTO Sports




MLB Betting Podcast 6-23-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

06.23.2017     08:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins

06.22.2017     08:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago (Arrieta) -130 at Miami (Locke) O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Miami’s Jeff Locke remains a fringe National League arm; capable of popping for the occasional strong start but very hittable otherwise. He allowed 1 run and fanned seven in his first outing of the year against Arizona but has since failed to record a quality start (3 starts, 14 IP, 5.79 ERA). One of those opponents was the Cubs who patiently picked him apart in a 10-2 victory (4.2 IP, 4 BB, 3 ER). Locke's "metrics" (3.54 FIP) indicate he's pitched better than his 4.58 ERA, but considering the offensive boom MLB is currently enjoying, that ERA is likely who he'll really be over a larger sample size.

Chicago’s Jake Arrieta has been consistently mediocre this season. On May 3, Arrieta's ERA sat at 4.63. A month and a half later, it's 4.64. Virtually every metric has regressed including groundball rate than is nearly 10% lower than last season. Yes, the strikeouts are there (9.9 K's per 9) but without a top-tier defense and more balls hit in the air (that thus leave the yard), the reality is Arrieta is an average NL starter. His last start vs. Read more



Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Miami Marlins Andrew Lange




MLB Betting Podcast 6-21-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

06.21.2017     09:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies

06.20.2017     06:26 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Leake) -160 at Philadelphia (Hellickson) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: St. Louis/Over

Currently ranked among the top 10 qualified starter with a negative ERA-FIP differential (4.91 ERA-5.91 FIP), Philadelphia's Jeremy Hellickson is no doubt fortunate his ERA isn't higher. Like his counterpart tonight, Mike Leake, Hellickson pitched out of his mind the first part of the season (5 starts, 1.80 ERA) but has come crashing down with a near 7.00 ERA over his last nine starts. During that span of 47 innings, the veteran righty has a 23-20 K-to-BB ratio while allowing 13 home runs. He's currently as bad a starter as there is in the National League. Speaking of regression, after posting a sub-2.00 ERA through his first nine starts, Leake has seen his ERA rise well over a run thanks to a 6.20 ERA (24.2 IP, 17 ERs). His overall performance this season, however, is far more "real" than that of Hellickson. Leake currently owns career bests in both groundball rate (54.9%) and swinging strike rate (8.2%). Not to mention that stretch of regression came against four of the NL's better offenses (Cubs, Reds, Dodgers, Brewers). Here he faces a Read more



Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Philadelphia Phillies OTTO Sports




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies

06.15.2017     01:19 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco (Moore) at Colorado (Hoffman) O/U 11
Recommendation: Colorado -1.5

Jeff Hoffman has been one of the many positive stories from an unexpectedly solid Colorado Rockies pitching staff that has led the team to a 42-26 record. Hoffman sports a 2.33 ERA over four starts; all them Colorado wins by two runs or more. Along with the stellar ERA is a 0.74 WHIP, 34 strikeouts, and only three walks. The San Francisco Giants have endured a dismal season that is now 17 games below .500 after yesterday's 7-2 loss to Kansas City. The always problematic lefty Matt Moore takes the mound tonight in what can only be considered a precarious situation. Moore has surrendered nine runs in his last 10 innings of work and he’s been at his worst on the highway with a 7.94 ERA. Not surprisingly, the Giants are just 1-6 in Moore’s seven road starts. Moore’s track record at Coors Field is equally unimpressive has he allowed 12 runs in his previous two starts. The Colorado bullpen has been terrific all season and has the arms to preserve a lead in the latter innings. The moneyline price is a tad rich but it’s worth noting Read more



Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Colorado Rockies Ian Cameron



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"MLB'"

December

17


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 17, 2017 09:27 AM.