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MLB Handicapping: LA's Dan Haren trying to survive on finesse

04.08.2014     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Detroit -120 (Scherzer) at LA Dodgers (Haren) O/U 6.5

Good article on the decline of Dan Haren's stuff the last few seasons. Haren's velocity now hovers in the high 80's and his margin for error is extremely slim.

“A lot of is – say, I’m working 88, 89 (mph) in a game and doing well. Then I get to a big pitch where it’s a 1-and-2 count and I want to freeze a guy with a fastball and I want to try and put a little more on it. Well, now if I put a little something extra on it it’s going to be 91. So I still have to be conscious of locating the pitch. I can’t just say, ‘OK, I’m going to reach back and blow this one by you.’ Even though sometimes on the mound, I – or any pitcher – gets kind of an ego thing where it’s, ‘I’m going to blow the ball past this guy.’ I have to swallow my pride, Read more

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Detroit Tigers

MLB Handicapping: New York's Tanaka impresses in first start

04.07.2014     12:57 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
If you missed his first start, here's a good breakdown of New York's Mashairo Tanaka courtesy of FanGraphs. Tanaka went seven innings, allowed two earned runs and fanned eight en route to a 7-3 win at Toronto.

Tags: MLB New York Yankees

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox

04.07.2014     10:19 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Texas (Scheppers) at Boston (Lackey) -160 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

Texas was run through the gauntlet known as the Tampa Bay starting staff over the weekend and the offensive numbers were ugly. In total, the Rangers managed eight runs in the three game set while posting a .220 BA, .260 OBP, .270 SLG%, 9 TB per game and a 19-4 K-BB margin. That miserable set of series stats came on the heels of the Philadelphia series where Texas hit .311, had game OBP’s of .450, .469, .353, OPS’s of .950, .875, .706, averaged 15 TB per game and had a near neutral 15-12 K-BB margin. The truth of the Texas offense lies toward the higher side of those series contrasts and expect them to display that tonight versus Red Sox starter John Lackey who they’ve owned over his career. Against Texas, the Boston RH has struggled going 12-15 with a 6.01 ERA which is his worst against any team he’s faced more than once. The potent Texas lineup features newcomers Shin Soo Choo and Prince Fielder who Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Boston Red Sox Rob Veno

Sports Betting Podcast 4-7-2014 with Handicapper Teddy Covers

04.07.2014     10:10 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's NCAA Championship game as well as MLB.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NCAA Championship and MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball MLB Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins

04.06.2014     07:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
San Diego (Kennedy) at Miami (Eovaldi) -120 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under

Nathan Eovaldi has the tools to be a better than average National League starter. His velocity sits in the mid-90's and everything about his progression over the last few years suggests he's sitting on a solid season. In Eovaldi's first start he looked the part as he fanned six and allowed only two runs in a win over Colorado. Ian Kennedy made the wise choice in going to San Diego where he should be able to get by with marginal stuff and guts. But in his first start of the season I noticed that his velocity was way up from last year with his average fastball was around 92. Kennedy knows how to pitch and that extra mph can make a huge difference, especially when throw off of his off-speed stuff. As mentioned in yesterday's Free Play winner (SD/MIA under), the Padres have been offensively inept with only 8 runs in five games. Two low profile yet effective starters and the early start getaway day environment points us Read more

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Miami Marlins Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins

04.05.2014     08:30 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
San Diego (Cashner) at Miami (Fernandez) -145 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: Under

Two premium arms and sub-par offenses has us looking at the under in tonight's San Diego-Miami matchup. Both Andrew Cashner and Jose Fernandez looked sharp is their respective season debuts. Cashner allowed just four hits and a run vs. the Dodgers while Fernandez cruised past Colorado with nine punch outs and one run in six innings. The Padres offense hasn't exactly hit the ground running with 2, 1, 2, and 3 run efforts its first four games – and that includes games against middle-tier starters Dan Haren and Tom Koehler. The Marlins meanwhile have had success at the plate (7 runs per game) but the level of competition steps way up tonight after facing Erin Stults, Franklin Morales, and Jordan Lyles the last three nights. We know Fernandez is special but Cashner isn't far behind and in my opinion is sitting on a big season. Low total at 6.5 but one still worth playing under.

Read more

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Miami Marlins Andrew Lange

Sports Betting Podcast 4-4-2014 with Handicappers Ian Cameron, Teddy Covers, and Erin Rynning

04.04.2014     10:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron, Teddy Covers, and Erin Rynning. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down Saturday's Final Four, Teddy did every game of the NBA slate, and ER talked MLB.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - Final Four

Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NBA MLB Ian Cameron Teddy Covers Erin Rynning

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays

04.04.2014     10:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas (Saunders) at Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) -143 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Tampa

Tampa's Jake Odorizzi has the chance to chance to be a nice under-the-radar pitcher this season. He's a young arm who last season was regarded as the Rays' No. 1 prospect – an impressive feat given the strong nature of this organization top to bottom. There is a trust factor with Tampa pitchers in that they are all well coached and well prepared and I expect this kid to hit the ground running. Meanwhile, Texas' Joe Saunders continues to find starting gigs but there are plenty of signs that indicate he's going to struggle this season. Better suited for a West Coast National League team, Saunders posted an alarming 5.26 ERA for Seattle last season. He not only remains in the AL but must pitch in Texas and for tonight against one of the better platoon squads in the league. During the spring Saunders was dreadful and rumblings of some early season "dead arm" have surfaced. Let's lay the moderate price Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Tampa Bay Rays Andrew Lange

MLB Gambling Alert: Wind blowing out at Wrigley 20+ mph

04.04.2014     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
Philadelphia (Hernandez) at Chicago Cubs (Wood) -150 O/U 12.5

Wind blowing out to center/right center at 20+ mph. Philadelphia's Roberto Hernandez usually boasts one of the league's top groundball rates. Chicago's Travis Wood meanwhile had the league's second highest fly ball rate in 2013.




Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies Chicago Cubs

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles

04.03.2014     09:53 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Boston at Baltimore -115 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

I’m always reluctant to bet Overs in April in colder weather climates like Baltimore but the numbers indicate to me this should be a high scoring affair at Camden Yards. Felix Doubront is not a good matchup for the Orioles who have a lineup that matches up well against lefties. Doubront has pedestrian numbers against Baltimore and was tagged for 4 runs on 7 hits in just 4.2 innings in his lone start against at Camden Yards in 2013. Doubront was rocked in spring training as opponents batted .357 with an ugly 1.94 WHIP. On the flip side, Wei-Yin Chen has shown flashes of potential for Baltimore over the last couple seasons but he has a glaringly rough track record against the Boston Red Sox. Chen has a 5.08 ERA in seven career starts against Boston, including a 7.29 ERA in four starts last season and much like his mound opponent tonight, Chen also labored in spring training posting a 6.39 ERA in four starts. Neither bullpen is Read more

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles Ian Cameron


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