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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners

06.27.2014     07:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cleveland (Bauer) -107 at Seattle (Young) O/U 8
Recommendation: Under

Chris Young toes the rubber for the Mariners tonight. He's a sabermetric nightmare at this point – .209 BABIP, 82.2% LOB, and 5.65 xFIP. His current path is undoubtedly unsustainable but Young has been defying a lot of these numbers for years and his style is a perfect fit for Safeco Field. And he's actually slightly tougher on the left-handed bats (.687 OPS vs. R, .657 OPS vs. L) which is key vs. Cleveland. I'm much more accepting of Young at home whereas on the road, he should be on every bettors' radar as a fade candidate. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has premium stuff but he's still learning on the fly with only 80 MLB innings. The talent is there to go out and throw quality starts on a consistent basis but the next step to above average isn't that far away. He's been hampered a bit by fly balls and home runs which shouldn't be as much of an issue tonight in Seattle. Also note he's throwing on extra rest – Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Seattle Mariners Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapping: Projected run differentials

06.26.2014     11:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article from FanGraphs on expected run differentials. Through the first half of the season, Milwaukee, Kansas City, and New York Yankees have "overachieved" while Colorado, Chicago Cubs, and Tampa Bay have "underachieved.” And then there is Texas which according to the BaseRuns metric has been the worst team in baseball.

The A’s are just trouncing their opponents, and no team in baseball has played better. But the A’s are also a good reminder of why BaseRuns is more useful to look at than pythagorean record, because their run differential suggests that they’ve actually underperformed this year. By pythag, they’ve played like one of the best teams in baseball, and have gotten “unlucky” to only be 48-30.

Tags: MLB

Sports Betting Podcast 6-26-2014 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Ian Cameron

06.26.2014     10:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Ian Cameron. Teddy broke down tonight's MLB card while Ian covered Canadian Football League Week 1 action.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - MLB Night Games

Ian Cameron - CFL Week 1

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB CFL Teddy Covers Ian Cameron

Sports Betting Podcast 6-25-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

06.25.2014     10:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked Golden Nugget College Football Games of the Year. Erin broke down tonight's MLB contests.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - College Football Golden Nugget GOYs

Erin Rynning - MLB Night Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football MLB Rob Veno Erin Rynning

MLB Handicapping: Arizona close to officially quitting on the season

06.25.2014     08:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Let the season's first fire sale commence! The Arizona Diamondbacks are 33-47, 13.5 games out of first in the National League West, and an NL-worst -14.5 units year-to-date. Needless to say, they'll be trying to move as many bodies as possible – though as one scout pointed out, it won't be easy.  This also gives us an excuse to link to and make fun of the Diamondbacks for giving up on Trevor Bauer who has better stuff than their entire starting rotation combined.

"Based on the last couple of years of being a .500 club and this year with the injuries we have and our record," Towers said, "we have to look at being more open-minded of moving some contracts and some veteran players for younger players."

"Not a lot of pieces to move," said a scout whose coverage includes the Diamondbacks. "Lefties out of the Read more

Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB Handicapping: Tampa's Price irked by trade talks

06.25.2014     07:39 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
After taking three of four from Houston, the Tampa Bay Rays are back to stinking up the joint with back-to-back home losses to the Pittsburgh Pirates. They'll try to avoid the sweep this afternoon with ace David Price on the hill. Price says he hasn't been in the best of moods because of all of the trade talk. Despite that, he's pitched well of late with 49 Ks, 77 swinging strikes, and a 2.58 ERA over his last five starts. 

"I mean, obviously I think about it," Price said. "That's why I've been in a bad mood the last week and a half. I think about it. You guys know that. And it's nothing I really want to talk about. I don't have an answer for you guys. I don't know where I'm going. I don't know when I'm going. So there's nothing I can really comment on."

Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Oakland A's at New York Mets

06.24.2014     09:00 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Oakland (Kazmir) -135 at NY Mets (Colon) O/U 7
Recommendation: Under

It’s a very interesting storyline tonight as Oakland’s Scott Kazmir takes the mound against New York’s Bartolo Colon.  The A's released Colon when they signed Kazmir in the offseason and both clubs have benefited greatly from each signing. Colon is back in top form after a slow start to the season, posting a 5-0 record with a 1.66 ERA in his last six starts.  His track record at Citi Field is nothing short of phenomenal with a 2.34 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in five starts. Kazmir has been lights out all season posting a 9-2 record and 2.08 ERA.  Oakland skipper Bob Melvin had this to say about Kazmir, "It's a broken record talking about him because we are seeing basically the same game out of him...he's been absolutely terrific."  Kazmir obviously faces a very anemic Mets offense that has been dreadful at home with .217 BA/.298 OBP/.327 SLG/.625 OPS splits. Oakland’s Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's New York Mets Sammy P

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at Tampa Bay Rays

06.23.2014     10:29 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Volquez) at Tampa Bay (Cobb) O/U 7
Recommendation: Tampa Bay R/L +150

The Rays come off what may have been a season defining series this weekend in which they renewed team confidence by winning three of four versus Houston. The 19-5 cumulative margin of victory flashes a couple of signals suggesting Tampa Bay may be starting to heat up. Offensively they produced 5 or more runs in three games against the Astros and especially important was the bullpen provided late inning stability. The starting pitching has been very solid as of late and tonight’s starter Alex Cobb enters off consecutive strong starts in which he’s allowed 1 ER and struck out 17 over 13.1 innings. Cobb figures to hold an advantage in this one having never faced the Pirates before and Pittsburgh’s strikeout prone lineup which has recorded double digit whiffs in 9 of 20 games this month. Meanwhile, Bucs starter Edinson Volquez has been inconsistent this season and the team has only won 4 Read more

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Tampa Bay Rays Rob Veno

Sports Betting Podcast 6-23-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

06.23.2014     10:10 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down every game on tonight's MLB card.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno

MLB Gambling Alert: Padres call up Cuban rookie Despaigne

06.23.2014     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With Andrew Cashner's arm acting up, the San Diego Padres have called up Cuban defector Odrisamer Despaigne for tonight's start at San Francisco. Despaigne, a 27-year-old right hander, has a 6.03 ERA in seven minor league starts. It looks as if he does have swing-and-miss stuff with 41 Ks in 31.1 IP. The Padres are +145 underdogs with a total of 7.

Tags: MLB San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants


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