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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles

06.10.2015     11:29 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Boston (Porcello) at Baltimore (Chen) -115 O/U 8
Recommendation: Baltimore

Boston has had plenty of trouble offensively vs. lefties this season batting just .228 as a team with an OBP of .304. Those numbers rank 24th & 27th respectively in MLB. The Red Sox weakness against southpaws could be magnified tonight since the status of Hanley Ramirez, who left last night’s game after fouling off a pitch right into his knee, is up in the air. Ramirez has a team leading .905 OPS against lefties and his absence leaves a huge void. Baltimore’s W.Y.Chen has made a pair of starts vs. Boston this season with mixed results but it should be noted that the April 20 outing was played in rainy conditions and eventually called in the 7th inning. In that contest, the O’s made three errors leading to five unearned Red Sox runs. Chen had difficulty locating his pitches in the conditions and uncharacteristically walked five batters. In his start against the Red Sox five days later he threw a four hitter over eight innings and had a game WHIP of 0.63. Tonight’s starter for Boston, Rick Porcello, has been torched by Baltimore in each of his two Read more

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles Rob Veno

Sports Betting Podcast 6-9-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

06.09.2015     10:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's MLB card and NBA Finals Game 3.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB and NBA Finals

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Miami Marlins at Toronto Blue Jays

06.09.2015     09:15 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Miami (Haren) at Toronto (Buehrle) -145 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over

The Toronto Blue Jays are on a six-game winning streak having scored 7.67 runs per game including last night's 11-run outburst against Miami. Marlins' starter Brad Hand failed to get out of the first inning with six earned runs. They cart another fringe arm to the hill with Dan Haren slated to toss. Haren is 6-2 on the year with a 3.18 ERA, which is as good as it gets when looking at his seasonal numbers. When digging deeper into his performance we begin to realize this matchup is not going to favor the soft tossing right hander. Haren’s FIP is 4.57, his swinging strike rate is a career low 5.7%, and his fly ball rate is just under 50% which is a recipe for disaster when pitching in the Rogers Centre against one of the best lineups in baseball. To make things worse for Haren and the Marlins is the Blue Jays are expecting the return of Edwin Encarnacion. Jays' starter Mark Buehrle also sports a career low swinging strike rate at 5% and a hard hit rate at the highest mark of his 14-year career. The Marlins are batting over 100 points higher as a team against lefties with a Read more

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Toronto Bue Jays Drew Martin

MLB Handicapping: Money burners Kluber, Liriano, and Sanchez all tossing on Tuesday

06.09.2015     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting situation on today's MLB card with the three least profitable starting pitchers in baseball all tossing and all favored. It speaks volumes to the random nature of baseball, especially when you consider the fringe arms of Mike Pelfrey and Nick Martinez are a combined 16-6 +15 units.

Francisco Liriano -180 vs. Milwaukee
Pittsburgh's Record when Liriano throws: 3-8 -6.9 units
Key Stat: Liriano ranks 9th in MLB with a 2.77 xFIP

Anibal Sanchez -125 vs. Chicago
Detroit's Record when Sanchez throws: 3-9 -8.2 units

Corey Kluber -190 vs. Seattle
Cleveland's Record when Kluber throws: 3-9 -8.6 units
Key Stat: Kluber ranks 3rd in MLB with a 2.37 xFIP

Tags: MLB

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins

06.07.2015     06:53 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Milwaukee (Fiers) at Minnesota (Pelfrey) +100 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Minnesota

I've slowly started to accept some of Mike Fiers' success this season but don't feel as if it is sustainable and certainly don't think he warrants being a favorite in an American League park. Fiers has a lot to like: high K rate (10.7 per 9), solid FIP (3.45), and lots of deception which can make first looks difficult. But he'll take a step up in class today with the Twins a fairly capable offense. Keep an eye on the long ball today as well with warm temps and the wind blowing out to left. Fiers, of course, is an extreme fly ball pitcher. Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey meanwhile shows a dismal K rate (4.12), a so-so FIP (4.14), and a long track record of being a below average starter. But Pelfrey has figured some things out and really embraced the ground ball mantra which can be the elixir for pitchers who don't miss bats. He ranks 7th out of qualified starters (55.8% GB rate) and as a result has down an excellent job at keep the ball in the park with three home runs allowed including not one at Target Field. The Twins have without question overachieved to this point and were Read more

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Minnesota Twins OTTO Sports

MLB Handicapper Free Play: St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

06.05.2015     09:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
St. Louis (Martinez) +105 at Los Angeles (Anderson) O/U 7
Recommendation: St. Louis

The Dodgers are an injury riddled mess right now.  Key bats like Yasiel Puig, Carl Crawford and Scott Van Slyke  are on the DL, while hot hitting second baseman Howie Kendrick is a question mark at best tonight, suffering from a knee injury that could put him on the DL as well.  The pitching staff is banged up too with key bullpen arms Paco Rodriguez and Pedro Baez both languishing on the DL.

LA will be playing their ninth game in the last eight days while flying back and forth across the country.  They’ve gone 9-13 in their last 22 games following a 22-10 start to the campaign.  It’s been even worse against opponents with winning records during that span, with LA sporting a 3-10 mark in their last 13 against above .500 foes.

St. Louis has suffered a handful of key injuries as well; most notably staff ace Adam Wainwright and key left handed bat Matt Adams.  But the Cards just keep winning; 8-2 in their last ten after last night’s blowout victory on this field.   Tonight’s starter, Read more

Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Dodgers Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals

06.04.2015     08:47 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Cleveland (Bauer) at Kansas City (Young) -115 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Kansas City

I’ve supported Kansas City’s Chris Young on multiple occasions this season and this looks like another solid opportunity to do so at a reasonable price as he faces the Cleveland Indians at Kauffman Stadium tonight. Young's peripherals include a high FIP and xFIP, an extremely low ground ball rate, and a BABIP that continues to confound advanced metrics gurus. However, when Young has been healthy, the seemingly illogical success has been fairly routine. Just look at the raw numbers Young’s produced this season: 4-1 with a 1.55 ERA in five starts this season. And dating back to last season he’s allowed 3 earned runs or less in 9 of his last 12 starts. Things have been even better for Young at Kauffman Stadium where he is 4-0 with a 0.43 ERA allowing just a single earned run on 10 hits in 21 innings. And finally, he’s also undefeated against Cleveland in his career with a 2-0 mark and 2.08 ERA in three outings. Cleveland’s Trevor Bauer has pitched better of late with four quality starts in a row but the one caveat is none of those four Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Kansas City Royals Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros

06.03.2015     08:10 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Baltimore (Gonzalez) +118 at Houston (McCullers) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Baltimore
The Baltimore Orioles are in need of a win not only to avoid a series sweep and current four-game losing streak but also to gain some road confidence. Baltimore sits at 8-16 on the road which is tied with the Mets for the worst mark in MLB. O’s starter Miguel Gonzalez enter tonight’s game off of his best performance of the year using just 96 pitches to go eight innings in a 2-1 win at Tampa Bay. He has been a hit or miss proposition for bettors this season as five of his starts have seen him post a game ERA of 5.40 or higher while the other five have been 1.59 or lower. He has had good success in Minute Maid Park making one start each of the last two seasons resulting in quality outings and 2.13 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Twenty-one year old righty Lance McCullers makes his fourth start for Houston tonight and while the strikeout numbers have been great (18 K in 15 IP), his high pitch counts per inning (avg 18.8) have resulted in abbreviated outings (2 of 3 starts less than 5 IP). While the Orioles haven’t been very productive offensively lately, they Read more

Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Houston Astros Rob Veno

Sports Betting Podcast 6-2-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

06.02.2015     10:20 AM     Printer Friendly
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down today's MLB card while ER previewed the NBA Finals.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - MLB

Erin Rynning - NBA Finals Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals

06.02.2015     10:19 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Cleveland (Carrasco) -133 at Kansas City (Guthrie) O/U 8
Recommendation: Cleveland

The Cleveland Indians visit Kansas City for a mid-week three-game series having won seven of its last 10. The Royals look to bounce back after dropping five of their last 6 games; on the wrong side of a 35-13 run differential during that span. The pitching matchup has a similar story of hot and cold. The Tribe will send hard throwing Carlos Carrasco to the hill. Carrasco has gone 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA alongside 15 strikeouts and only 3 walks his past two outings. His counterpart Jeremy Guthrie is coming off possibly the worst statistical pitching performance of the entire season giving up four home runs and 11 runs in only one inning pitched against the left-handy heavy Yankees. This is a quintessential ride the hot combined with fade the cold matchup. The Indians will obviously stack their lineup with lefties; a favorable matchup as Guthrie has been lit up by lefties this season: .350 BAA and eight homeruns in only 70 at-bats. The betting markets were on this one from the start but even with the reduced value, I heavily prefer the road side.


Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Kansas City Royals Drew Martin


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