SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
Sports Memo Ad 0
ER FOOTBALL DOMINATION
73-53 58% 2013-14
+29.55 units on 1-2 unit scale
69% Best Bet Winners
57% NFL winners since 2003
Full Season CFB/NFL $1599
Sports Memo Ad 0
MAKING FOOTBALL $ w/ VENO
CFB 20* Bluechips since 2007
82-50 62% +54.0 units of profit
15-5 75% +19.0 CFB 20*s in 2014
248-204 55% +31.43 NFL since '10
CFB/NFL Full Season $1299
Sports Memo Ad 1
OTTO DIALED IN FOR FOOTBALL
67-50 57% +16.1 NFL/CFB 2013-14
60% Best Bet Winners LY
No. 1 ranking NFL Postseason '14
No. 2 ranking NFL Postseason '13
Full Season CFB/NFL $1299
Sports Memo Ad 2
CRUSH NFL WITH CROW
NFL Preseason Expert
Back-to-Back No. 1 Rankings
15-4 79% +14.8 NFLX 2012-13
42-20 68% +27.275 NFL 2012
NFL Preseason only $199
Sports Memo Ad 3
TEDDY COVERS' FOOTBALL
55-40 58% +18.45 CFB 2013
68-29 70% NFL O/U Wins 2001-13
10-1 91% w/ 20* Big Tickets
CFB Full Season $999
NFL Season O/U Wins $199

HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSTOOLSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERSTWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS
July

24

Search Blog by TopicSearch by Date



NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Saints and Patriots win and cover

08.17.2013     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Taking the games in market rotation order…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15)

Buffalo 20 (-4), Minnesota 16

Total Yardage: Minnesota 256, Buffalo 380

Passing Stats: Minnesota 19-37-0-151, Buffalo 25-36-1-207

Turnovers: Minnesota 1, Buffalo 1

Drive Points: Minnesota 16, Buffalo 7

Stat Score: Minnesota 16, Buffalo 25

A few quick notes from an odd game:

*Kevin Kolb of Buffalo played the whole first half for Buffalo. He put up some yardage…but the offense only scored two field goals with him at the helm. They had a defensive touchdown to give them a 13-3 lead at the half. Kolb was Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Recap: Browns and Eagles win and cover, Falcons and Chargers cash as dogs

08.16.2013     05:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run some numbers from Thursday's four-game slate. We’ll take the matchups in rotation order…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15)

Cleveland 24 (-1.5), Detroit 6

Total Yardage: Detroit 226, Cleveland 321

Passing Stats: Detroit 26-38-0-175, Cleveland 21-29-0-242

Turnovers: Detroit 0, Cleveland 0

Drive Points: Detroit 3, Cleveland 14

Stat Score: Detroit 12, Cleveland 18

Cleveland has a quarterback war, and a new coach who wants immediate results…which is often a great recipe for preseason success. Well, maybe not for the first half of the dress rehearsal game (next week at Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Gambling: Brady injures knee but could play Friday vs. Tampa Bay

08.15.2013     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tampa Bay at New England -3 O/U 40

New England's Tom Brady went down with an apparent knee injury during yesterday's practice but the team downplayed the incident and claims that Brady could play during Friday's game against Tampa Bay. The Patriots opened 3.5-point favorites but after Brady left practice most sportsbooks took the game off the board. The Pats are currently -3 (even)/-2.5 (-120).


"He basically got kicked," a source said. "It isn't like his knee collapsed or somebody rolled up on him. Is there a chance he could be sore and they decide to hold him out of practice? Yeah. Could they decide he shouldn't play in the game? Probably. But they could also decide it's just soreness and he needs to work it out. It's really nothing."






Tags: NFL New England Patriots Tampa Bay Buccaneers




NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Friday Night's Results and Stats

08.10.2013     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Just like last night, let’s crunch some numbers in market rotation order. If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15.

Miami 27, Jacksonville 3

Total Yardage: Miami 267, Jacksonville 289

Passing Stats: Miami 15-26-1-161, Jacksonville 23-42-2-163

Turnovers: Miami 1, Jacksonville 4

Drive Points: Miami 7, Jacksonville 3

Stat Score: Miami 17, Jacksonville 19

Very important to pay attention to the numbers here. If you were scoreboard watching all night, you probably assumed Miami was playing much sharper because of their one-week head start. They seemed to be in command the whole way, and won a blowout. But, the offense Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Gambling: Vick to start Eagles' preseason opener vs. Patriots

08.07.2013     11:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Philadelphia -4 O/U 40.5

Chip Kelly insists the quarterback competition between Michael Vick and Nick Foles is alive and well. That said, one of the two will start Friday's preseason opener against New England. As of Wednesday afternoon, it looks like Vick will get the nod. Not surprising that Friday's game features the highest total (by 4 points) on the board.



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles New England Patriots




NFL Handicapping: Team-by-Team Turnover Margin 2010-12

07.23.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below is a chart of NFL turnover margins over the past three seasons. During that span, New England was a combined +70… +29 ahead of no. 2 Green Bay (+41). New England, Green Bay, Atlanta, Chicago, and Baltimore posted plus margins each of the past three seasons. Miami, Indianapolis, Denver, Arizona, Minnesota, and Oakland posted negative margins each of the past three seasons. Last season's biggest "gainers" include Washington (-14 to +17), Chicago (+2 to +20), Tampa Bay (-16 to +3), Arizona (-13 to -1), and Denver (-12 to -1). Last season's biggest "losers" include San Francisco (+28 to +9), Green Bay (+24 to +7), Detroit (+11 to -16), and Kansas City (-2 to -24). 

NFL Turnover Margin 2010-12
Team
2012
2011
2010
Total
Arizona Cardinals
-1
-13
-5
-19
Atlanta Falcons
13
8
14
35
Baltimore Ravens
9
2
7
18
Buffalo Bills
-13
1
-17
-29
Carolina Panthers
1
1
-8
-6
Chicago Bears
20
2
4
26
Cincinnati Bengals
4
0
-8
-4
Cleveland Browns
3
1
-1
3
Dallas Cowboys
-13
4
0
-9
Denver Broncos
-1
-12
-9
-22
Detroit Lions
-16
11
4
-1
Green Bay Packers
7
24
10
41
Houston Texans
12
7
0
19
Indianapolis Colts
-12
-12
-4
-28
Jacksonville Jaguars
-3
5
-15
-13
Kansas City Chiefs
-24
-2
9
-17
Miami Dolphins
-10
-6
-12
-28
Minnesota Vikings
-1
-3
-11
-15
New England Patriots
25
17
28
70
New Orleans Saints
2
-3
-6
-7
New York Giants
14
7
-3
18
New York Jets
-14
-3
9
-8
Oakland Raiders
-7
-4
-2
-13
Philadelphia Eagles
-24
-14
9
-29
Pittsburgh Steelers
-10
-13
17
-6
San Diego Chargers
2
-7
-6
-11
San Francisco 49ers
9
28
-1
36
Seattle Seahawks
13
8
-9
12
St. Louis Rams
-1
-5
5
-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3
-16
9
-4
Tennessee Titans
-4
1
-4
-7
Washington Redskins
17
-14
-4
-1




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




MLB Handicapping: Los Angeles Dodgers Dominating Division Lately

07.09.2013     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Lost amidst all the Puig-headed arguing about how great six-week stats have to be to earn an All-Star invitation…is the message that the Los Angeles Dodgers have been sending lately to the rest of the NL West.

After Monday Night’s 6-1 victory in Arizona, the Dodgers are 7-4, with a 59-38 run differential in their last 11 ROAD games in the division. Not 7-4 with a split schedule. Seven of 11 with a big run differential only counting games away from home against the teams they need to beat to reach the playoffs. Strong stuff.

The offense has been lethal lately with both Puig and Ramirez putting up monster numbers (they were 5 of 10 combined tonight with 2 runs scored and 2 RBI). Kershaw is the ace of the league. Greinke was back in form tonight. If recently acquired Nolasco from Florida can settle down the back end of the rotation…we could have a rags to riches story that moves very quickly. The Dodgers play two more games in Arizona before hosting Colorado Read more


Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Notes on Power Ratings for the 2013 Season

07.05.2013     06:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As we get closer to the NFL season, you’re going to see a lot of prediction articles in the mainstream and stathead media. The fact that Las Vegas now actively markets and publicizes their Regular Season Win Total propositions has certainly helped. Sportwriters and fans loved making predictions anyway. Now there’s an outline of expectations that people can refer too.

The stathead articles in this area all basically say the same thing over and over again. This has been true for years. I used to ghostwrite them myself…until it got boring just repeating the same things over and over again. The general themes are:
 
*Assume that turnover extremes will regress toward the mean

*Assume that records in close games will regress toward the mean

*Be skeptical of teams with bad point differentials who had decent records

*Be sure you know who played easy schedules and who played hard schedules

*Remember who had key injuries, and pencil in good Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




In Stat Evaluations, Be a Judge, Not a Lawyer

06.30.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’ve touched on this periodically over the years, often in throwaway comments when I’m whining about something I just saw or read. I was thinking it was time to go into the topic again because we have so many new readers thanks to twitter (@jefffogle) and word-of-mouth. Then, a PERFECT example jumped out at me in something I was reading at Grantland.

There’s an article up this weekend about the Philadelphia 76ers. Author Ben Detrick said this about the role new general manager Sam Hinkie might have played in the development of point guard Jrue Holiday:

“When Hinkie took the reins, some thought he could help transform Holiday into the Sixers’ version of James Harden. Both are big guards with lightning-quick first steps, equally capable Read more


Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling News: Aaron Hernandez arrested, released by Patriots

06.26.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
The Aaron Hernandez saga probably isn't on many bettors' radar – what would an NFL offseason be like without a bunch of dudes in legal limbo? However, news just broke that Hernandez not only was arrested but released from the New England Patriots. Now THAT is something bettors will notice. Of course it just adds to the Pats' already dire receiver situation.

copy_hernandez.JPG



Tags: NFL New England Patriots



5

Page 5 of 25
"New England Patriots'"

July

23


 
Email
PowerNFLCFBMLBNBA
Current Blog Topics
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
$29
Brent Crow's amazing 2014 MLB season continues on Thursday with this 20* NL Game of the Month. Fresh off last night's easy blowout winner with the Pirates, Brent is on fire with his 20*s, cashing 24 of his last 34 for +26.9 units of profit. Win big again tonight for just $29; guaranteed to cash or his next report is on the house.

$59
Ian Cameron hammered the books in the CFL last week with a wicked 5-1 83% CFL Week 4 card and he's back this week with another strong CFL card for Week 5 consisting of five plays! You'll get his 20* CFL Saturday Main Event and four 10* CFL reports for the discounted rate of $59. The package must produce a profit or Ian's next CFL card is free.

$20
Ian Cameron hammered the books in the CFL last week with a wicked 5-1 83% CFL Week 4 card and he is ready to kick off Week 5 action on style on Thursday night with a great opportunity in a national TV showdown between the Calgary Stampeders and Edmonton Eskimos with 1st place in the West at stake. He unleashes his 10* CFL Thursday Watch & Win On ESPN2 as Ian looks to build on his 63-48 57% CFL Lifetime record. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $20 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL Football report is free.

$29
Ian Cameron hammered the books in the CFL last week with a wicked 5-1 83% CFL Week 4 card including a 20* Main Event winner and he's back this week with another strong CFL card for Week 5 highlighted by this HUGE, top rated 20* CFL Saturday Main Event as Ian looks to build on his 63-48 57% CFL Lifetime record. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL Football report is free.

$20
Sammy P is in excellent form in MLB going 9-2 with his last 11 plays as part of a 38-20 66% +18.045 MLB Hot Streak over the last two months! Sammy P has isolated a single play for tonight which shows great value with his 10* MLB Play of the Day. Pick it up for $20; a guaranteed winner or his next selection is on the house.

$20
Ian Cameron hammered the books in the CFL last week with a wicked 5-1 83% CFL Week 4 card and he is ready to deliver side and total winners for Friday night's clash between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and BC Lions as Ian looks to build on his 63-48 57% CFL Lifetime record. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $20 and it is guaranteed to go 2-0 or his next CFL Football report is free.

$199
With an unprecedented track record dating back well over a decade, Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Wins Report remains a must-have for every kind of football bettor. Over a 13-year span, Teddy's clients have been rewarded with an outstanding 68-29 70% winning mark including an incredible 10-1, 91% with TC's top rated 20* Big Tickets. Last year's 20*, the Kansas City Chiefs Over 7.5, cashed before Halloween! As always, Teddy's recommendations will include detailed written analysis. The first release is just around the corner in late July followed by any additional selections after Week 3 of the preseason. Purchase now and lock in all the plays for the incredibly low price of $199.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 24, 2014 08:20 AM.