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December

19

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College Basketball Handicapping: Results from Saturday's marquee matchups

01.20.2013     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

With football out of the way, college basketball made sure it had a blockbuster schedule to capture the hearts and eyeballs of America’s sports fans. Yesterday’s string of marquee matchups definitely had a March Madness feel to it…which means it was a good early primer for those hoping to handicap the tournament in a couple of months.

I grabbed the key stats from the biggest games, with an eye toward starting to build profiles of teams and their tournament potential. Gut check games like we had today can be great indicators for March because strengths are neutralized, and weaknesses exposed. How you bully teams disappears when you can’t bully! Developments today will likely foreshadow issues that will come up in other big games…in the conference tournaments…and then once the Dance starts.

I’ll go in order of the poll rankings. But, because poll rankings can be off, I’ll also include the numbers coming into today from the most Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stal Intelligence




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Washington Huskies vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

11.18.2012     08:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington vs. Ohio State -8.5 O/U 143
Recommendation: Ohio State


I think Washington is walking into a buzz saw against Ohio State this afternoon. The Huskies lost two NBA draft picks, don't have a lot of depth, and are still trying to figure out their identity. Lorenzo Romar had said that this year's team would be much more focused on defense. That may be the case down the road but after nearly blowing 16-point halftime lead to Seton Hall as well as dropping a home game to Albany prior to the trip east, it is clear that the Huskies aren't ready for primetime. Note that Seton Hall and Albany combined to shoot a staggering 19-of-42 from three-point land. Ohio State didn't play particularly well in its 69-58 win over Rhode Island but the reason for the trip was to face the Huskies and the Buckeyes are the far superior team defensively. OSU grabbed money the second the lines popped up this morning. I agree with the move. Lay the points.




Tags: College Basketball Ohio State Buckeyes Washington Huskies Andrew Lange




For bettors, 2012-12 College Basketball season tips off in less than an hour

11.09.2012     01:39 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Technically, the 2012-13 college basketball season has already officially started (IUPUI cruised past Utah Valley!) but the big boys – the games we can bet on – are set to tip-off in about an hour. And rather than make it easy on bettors, we're stuck with trying to handicap a game being played at military base in Germany and another on an aircraft carrier.

Michigan State-UConn gets underway at 2:30 pm PT at Ramstein Air Force Base in Reinland, Germany. The Spartans saw the early money as they lined climbed to -8.5 but some buy-back has it settled in at -7.5/-7. According to Bookmaker, 60% of bets have been placed on Sparty while 65% are on the UNDER.

At 4 pm PT, Ohio State hooks up with Marquette on the deck of the USS Yorktown in Charleston, South Carolina. Temperatures expect to be in the low 60's with little to no wind. The Buckeyes opened -5, were bet up to -7, and are currently -6/-6.5. The total was smoked down from 139.5 to 131.5.




Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans UConn Huskies Ohio State Buckeyes Marquette Golden Eagles




College Football Gambling: Penn State has been a great first quarter bet

10.24.2012     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State at Penn State pk O/U 50.5

Good article on Penn State's fast starts. The Nittany Lions have outscored their opponents 66-0 in the first quarter thanks in part to their up-tempo offense. On the flip side, Ohio State has been very sluggish out of the gates. Last week the Buckeyes trailed Purdue 13-7 and also fell behind to Nebraska (14-7) and UAB (6-0) before rallying back. OSU has been outscored 56-51 in the first quarter. Perhaps a trend to consider if you play at a sportsbook that offers first quarter lines.


“We’re just getting more and more comfortable with it each week. I couldn’t even tell you the amount of plays we have in there,” McGloin said. “Everybody knows the plays, everybody knows the formations and that’s just what we do throughout the week. It’s not just Read more



Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Football Betting: Ohio State desperate for defensive turnaround

10.15.2012     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Purdue at Ohio State -17

Nothing wrong with Ohio State's offense as it hung 115 points on Nebraska and Indiana the last two weeks. Defensively is where the Buckeyes have concerns. Lack of depth and injuries were on full display last Saturday as OSU allowed 35 second half points to the Hoosiers. Of the nation’s 10 remaining undefeated teams, Ohio State has the worst total defense (71st, 400 ypg). Perhaps an opportunity to bounce back with Purdue coming to town. In two Big Ten games, the Boilermakers have netted just 27 points on 3.88 yards per play.

Ohio State's Big Ten Rankings - Defense
Scoring Defense - 8th, 24.6 ppg
Total Defense - 10th, 400.0 ypg
Yards per Play - 9th, 5.49
Passing Defense - 12th, 277.7 ypg
Passing Yards per Attempt - t-8th, 6.5


“I’m not sure what my Read more



Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten




College Football Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes

10.03.2012     02:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska at Ohio State
Rob Veno’s Recommendation:
Ohio State
Saturday, 5 pm PT – ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -4 O/U 53.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -3 (-115) O/U 58
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Ohio State -4.5

Each of these teams narrowly escaped with a victory last week despite holding enormous rush yardage advantages over their opponents. Despite winning records through five games, neither has been overly impressive against the pointspread as Nebraska (3-2 ATS) has defeated the number by double-digits just once (home vs. FCS Idaho State) while Ohio State (2-3 ATS) has done exactly the same (home vs. Miami-Ohio). The opener of Ohio State -4 has been pushed down to -3 which somewhat disagrees with my power rating number of -4.5 but isn’t that significant. In fact, there’s not much significant Read more


Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Big Ten conference schedules

05.30.2012     10:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is not even June so we'll refrain from any serious schedule analysis for the upcoming college football season. We will however be taking a look at various conference schedules over the next few weeks starting today with the Big Ten. Nebraska has a tough draw in terms of its opponents from the Leaders Division. The Cornhuskers face Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State and miss out on Illinois, Indiana and Purdue. Penn State meanwhile skips both Michigan schools and has winnable road games at Illinois and Purdue. The Nittany Lions also have homes games vs. Wisconsin, Ohio State and Northwestern. Ohio State was given no favors with matchups against Michigan, Michigan State and Nebraska out of the Legends Division. The Buckeyes also travel to Wisconsin and Penn State.

2012 Big Ten Conference Schedules
Legends
Big Ten Opponents
Iowa
vs. MIN, at MSU, vs. PSU, at NW, at IU, vs. PUR, at MICH, vs. NEB
Michigan
at PUR, vs. ILL, at NEB, at MIN, vs. NW, vs. IOWA, at OSU
Michigan State
vs. OSU, at IU, vs. IOWA, at MICH, at WIS, vs. NEB, vs. NW, at MIN
Minnesota
at IOWA, vs. NW, at WIS, vs. PUR, vs. MICH, at ILL, at NEB, vs. MSU
Nebraska
vs. WIS, at OSU, at NW, vs. MICH, at MSU, vs. PSU, vs. MIN, at IOWA
Northwestern
vs. IU, at PSU, at MIN, vs. NEB, vs. IOWA, at MICH, at MSU, vs. ILL
Leaders
Big Ten Opponents
Illinois
vs. PSU, at WIS, at MICH, vs. IU, at OSU, vs. MIN, vs. PUR, at NW
Indiana
at NW, vs. MSU, vs. OSU, at ILL, vs. IOWA, vs. UW, at PSU, at PUR
Ohio State
at MSU, vs. NEB, at IU, vs. PUR, at PSU, vs. ILL, at WIS, vs. MICH
Penn State
at ILL, vs. NW, at IOWA, vs. OSU, at PUR, at NEB, vs. IU, vs. WIS
Purdue
vs. MICH, vs. WIS, at OSU, at MIN, vs. PSU, at IOWA, at ILL, vs. IU
Wisconsin
at NEB, vs. ILL, at PUR, vs. MIN, vs. MSU, at IU, vs. OSU, at PSU




Tags: College Football Big Ten




Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers offer last minute opinions on betting the Final Four

03.31.2012     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers was featured in Chad Millman's ESPN Final Four preview. Below is what Teddy had to say about both matchups.


Covers says: "I actually thought Louisville-Kentucky would be a little shorter at about seven. Betonline opened at 9.5, 5Dimes opened at 8. I honestly think that number is a little bit high. With Kentucky you are talking about four or five guys that could start in the NBA next year. The problem with that side is I don't think they can play any better than they did recently -- they were just lights out. And yet against Indiana and Baylor, there we were at the end and sweating it out. As good as they were and as well as they played, there is not a lot of value on the Kentucky side. Louisville is a great dog, 8-3 catching points this year. Look at the first game these two played: The fact that Louisville held Kentucky under 30 percent shooting in that game tells us that team has the potential to keep the game in check. I haven't bet it yet because I think we might see 9.5 in Vegas before we tip off."

Covers says: "In February, before the brackets, I wrote that I thought these two teams would play for the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Ohio State Buckeyes Kansas Jayhawks Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament: Final Four pointspread and betting statistics

03.27.2012     07:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament pointspread numbers for the Final Four.

Strength Of Schedule
1: Louisville – 52.3
2: Kansas – 51.6
3: Ohio State – 51.4
4: Kentucky – 48.4

Against The Spread
1: Louisville 4-0 (2-0 Favorite / 1-0 Underdog / 1-0 Pick ‘em)
2: Ohio State 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
3: Kentucky 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
4: Kansas 2-2 (2-2 Favorite)

Totals – Over/ Under
1: Kentucky 4-0
2: Ohio State 4-0
3: Kansas 1-3
4: Louisville 1-3

First Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky - 43.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H - 74.3
2: Kansas - 35.8 / Opponents - 35.0 / Total 1H - 70.8
3: Ohio State - 36.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H – 67.3
4: Louisville – 28.8 / Opponents – 27.3 / Total 1H – 56.1

Second Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky – 44.3 / Opponents – 43.3 / Total 2H – 87.6 (allowed 40+ second half points in all four games)
2: Ohio State – 40.5 / Opponents – 34.8 / Total 2H – 75.3 (4-0 ATS in second Read more


Tags: NCAA Tournament Ohio State Buckeyes Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Louisville Cardinals Rob Veno




NCAA Tournmanet Betting: Final Four Against the Spread Notes

03.27.2012     06:37 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Final Four in New Orleans is set as no. 1 seed Kentucky, no. 2 Ohio State, no. 2 Kansas and no. 4 Louisville light up the Superdome. The Elite Eight had some super finishes and tight contests with three of the four games landing within five points of the poinspread.  The Kansas–North Carolina game had a one-point margin with 3+ minutes to go before the Jayhawks finished the game on a 12-0 run to pull away for the win.

The Sweet Sixteen also had many close contests with all four games last Friday landing within five points of the pointspread. Of the 12 games last week, eight landed within five points of the line. During the course of the college basketball season, 40% of all games landed within five points of the betting line, so you can see how tight the numbers are as the tournament progresses.

With that said, here are some Final Four Against-the-Spread (ATS) notes. Since 1998, the better seeded team is 21-8 SU and 22-7 ATS. Teams seeded no. 4 or worse are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS if they are playing a better seeded team. Top-seeded no. 1 teams taking on a worse seed are 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS the past 14 years including 11-3 ATS if favored by -8 or Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals __



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