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College Football Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes

10.03.2012     02:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska at Ohio State
Rob Veno’s Recommendation:
Ohio State
Saturday, 5 pm PT – ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -4 O/U 53.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -3 (-115) O/U 58
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Ohio State -4.5

Each of these teams narrowly escaped with a victory last week despite holding enormous rush yardage advantages over their opponents. Despite winning records through five games, neither has been overly impressive against the pointspread as Nebraska (3-2 ATS) has defeated the number by double-digits just once (home vs. FCS Idaho State) while Ohio State (2-3 ATS) has done exactly the same (home vs. Miami-Ohio). The opener of Ohio State -4 has been pushed down to -3 which somewhat disagrees with my power rating number of -4.5 but isn’t that significant. In fact, there’s not much significant Read more


Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Big Ten conference schedules

05.30.2012     10:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is not even June so we'll refrain from any serious schedule analysis for the upcoming college football season. We will however be taking a look at various conference schedules over the next few weeks starting today with the Big Ten. Nebraska has a tough draw in terms of its opponents from the Leaders Division. The Cornhuskers face Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State and miss out on Illinois, Indiana and Purdue. Penn State meanwhile skips both Michigan schools and has winnable road games at Illinois and Purdue. The Nittany Lions also have homes games vs. Wisconsin, Ohio State and Northwestern. Ohio State was given no favors with matchups against Michigan, Michigan State and Nebraska out of the Legends Division. The Buckeyes also travel to Wisconsin and Penn State.

2012 Big Ten Conference Schedules
Legends
Big Ten Opponents
Iowa
vs. MIN, at MSU, vs. PSU, at NW, at IU, vs. PUR, at MICH, vs. NEB
Michigan
at PUR, vs. ILL, at NEB, at MIN, vs. NW, vs. IOWA, at OSU
Michigan State
vs. OSU, at IU, vs. IOWA, at MICH, at WIS, vs. NEB, vs. NW, at MIN
Minnesota
at IOWA, vs. NW, at WIS, vs. PUR, vs. MICH, at ILL, at NEB, vs. MSU
Nebraska
vs. WIS, at OSU, at NW, vs. MICH, at MSU, vs. PSU, vs. MIN, at IOWA
Northwestern
vs. IU, at PSU, at MIN, vs. NEB, vs. IOWA, at MICH, at MSU, vs. ILL
Leaders
Big Ten Opponents
Illinois
vs. PSU, at WIS, at MICH, vs. IU, at OSU, vs. MIN, vs. PUR, at NW
Indiana
at NW, vs. MSU, vs. OSU, at ILL, vs. IOWA, vs. UW, at PSU, at PUR
Ohio State
at MSU, vs. NEB, at IU, vs. PUR, at PSU, vs. ILL, at WIS, vs. MICH
Penn State
at ILL, vs. NW, at IOWA, vs. OSU, at PUR, at NEB, vs. IU, vs. WIS
Purdue
vs. MICH, vs. WIS, at OSU, at MIN, vs. PSU, at IOWA, at ILL, vs. IU
Wisconsin
at NEB, vs. ILL, at PUR, vs. MIN, vs. MSU, at IU, vs. OSU, at PSU




Tags: College Football Big Ten




Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers offer last minute opinions on betting the Final Four

03.31.2012     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers was featured in Chad Millman's ESPN Final Four preview. Below is what Teddy had to say about both matchups.


Covers says: "I actually thought Louisville-Kentucky would be a little shorter at about seven. Betonline opened at 9.5, 5Dimes opened at 8. I honestly think that number is a little bit high. With Kentucky you are talking about four or five guys that could start in the NBA next year. The problem with that side is I don't think they can play any better than they did recently -- they were just lights out. And yet against Indiana and Baylor, there we were at the end and sweating it out. As good as they were and as well as they played, there is not a lot of value on the Kentucky side. Louisville is a great dog, 8-3 catching points this year. Look at the first game these two played: The fact that Louisville held Kentucky under 30 percent shooting in that game tells us that team has the potential to keep the game in check. I haven't bet it yet because I think we might see 9.5 in Vegas before we tip off."

Covers says: "In February, before the brackets, I wrote that I thought these two teams would play for the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Ohio State Buckeyes Kansas Jayhawks Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament: Final Four pointspread and betting statistics

03.27.2012     07:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament pointspread numbers for the Final Four.

Strength Of Schedule
1: Louisville – 52.3
2: Kansas – 51.6
3: Ohio State – 51.4
4: Kentucky – 48.4

Against The Spread
1: Louisville 4-0 (2-0 Favorite / 1-0 Underdog / 1-0 Pick ‘em)
2: Ohio State 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
3: Kentucky 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
4: Kansas 2-2 (2-2 Favorite)

Totals – Over/ Under
1: Kentucky 4-0
2: Ohio State 4-0
3: Kansas 1-3
4: Louisville 1-3

First Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky - 43.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H - 74.3
2: Kansas - 35.8 / Opponents - 35.0 / Total 1H - 70.8
3: Ohio State - 36.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H – 67.3
4: Louisville – 28.8 / Opponents – 27.3 / Total 1H – 56.1

Second Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky – 44.3 / Opponents – 43.3 / Total 2H – 87.6 (allowed 40+ second half points in all four games)
2: Ohio State – 40.5 / Opponents – 34.8 / Total 2H – 75.3 (4-0 ATS in second Read more


Tags: NCAA Tournament Ohio State Buckeyes Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Louisville Cardinals Rob Veno




NCAA Tournmanet Betting: Final Four Against the Spread Notes

03.27.2012     06:37 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Final Four in New Orleans is set as no. 1 seed Kentucky, no. 2 Ohio State, no. 2 Kansas and no. 4 Louisville light up the Superdome. The Elite Eight had some super finishes and tight contests with three of the four games landing within five points of the poinspread.  The Kansas–North Carolina game had a one-point margin with 3+ minutes to go before the Jayhawks finished the game on a 12-0 run to pull away for the win.

The Sweet Sixteen also had many close contests with all four games last Friday landing within five points of the pointspread. Of the 12 games last week, eight landed within five points of the line. During the course of the college basketball season, 40% of all games landed within five points of the betting line, so you can see how tight the numbers are as the tournament progresses.

With that said, here are some Final Four Against-the-Spread (ATS) notes. Since 1998, the better seeded team is 21-8 SU and 22-7 ATS. Teams seeded no. 4 or worse are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS if they are playing a better seeded team. Top-seeded no. 1 teams taking on a worse seed are 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS the past 14 years including 11-3 ATS if favored by -8 or Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals __




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' NCAA Tournament Final Four Betting Preview

03.26.2012     10:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Over the last two weeks we’ve seen 64 NCAA Tournament teams get eliminated from the field, leaving only the Final Four remaining with a chance to cut down the nets in New Orleans next Monday.

College hoops statistical guru Ken Pomeroy breaks down the four teams chances to win the title as follows: Kentucky 42%, Ohio State 34%, Kansas 17% and Louisville 7%. From my perspective, if John Calipari’s Wildcats play as well next weekend as they did this past weekend, that 42% chance of a title looks pretty darn low.

That being said, it’s going to be very hard for Kentucky to match their near flawless offensive performances in wins over Baylor and Indiana. The Wildcats have scored a ridiculous 220 points in their last 163 possessions; a 1.35 points per possession ratio. Those are not sustainable numbers, even for a team that closed out the weekend ranked #2 in the country (behind only Missouri) with 1.17 points per possession average.

Both Final Four games are rematches of non-conference affairs from earlier in the season. The talking heads on TV are sure to bring up this angle ad nauseum, but the bottom line is that neither affair had a Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Odds: Kentucky a -128 favorite to win championship

03.26.2012     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
Saturday's Final Four in New Orleans is set and not surprising, Kentucky is the betting favorite to win it all.

Current Lines
Louisville vs. Kentucky -8.5 O/U 138.5
Ohio State -2.5 vs. Kansas O/U 136.5

Pinnacle Championship Futures
Kentucky -128
Ohio State +281
Kansas +499
Louisville +1150




Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds vs. Michigan State Spartans

03.16.2012     07:44 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LIU Brooklyn vs. Michigan State -19.5 O/U 154
Recommendation: LIU-Brooklyn


The Big Ten’s second best delivered a Fairway forecast winner on these pages Thursday when Ohio State pulled through as a big favorite over Loyola-MD. Now the Big Ten’s best is asked to win big for their betting backers as the Midwest Region’s top seed. Michigan State (27-7) has had a magical season as co-Big Ten champs and conference tournament champions. They are a together team with a star senior leader in Draymond Green inside and a quick, dynamic point guard in Keith Appling. As usual, the Spartans are one of the nation’s top rebounding teams and play superior defense under head coach Tom Izzo. Following a buzzer beater by Ohio State to beat Michigan State in their regular season finale 12 days ago, the Spartans swept through the Big Ten tournament to beat the Buckeyes in the championship game five days ago. That redemption game for all the marbles Read more


Tags: College Basketball LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds Michigan State Spartans __




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Loyola (MD) Greyhounds vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

03.15.2012     07:29 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Loyola Maryland vs. Ohio State -17 O/U 130.5
Recommendation: Ohio State


Let’s tip off our Thursday evening with a blowout winner in NCAA Tournament action.  Loyola Maryland (24-8) went on a 3-0 SU/ATS run to capture the MAAC Tournament title and advance to the Big Dance. The Greyhounds are fairly methodical on offense and don’t have the talent or athletic ability to keep up with the Buckeyes. Ohio State (27-7) can excel in open court and half court sets, and statistically they are solid across the board. OSU tied for the top spot in the Big Ten in field goal shooting (47%) while holding opponents to just 41%. Ohio State is one of the top rebounding teams in the country thanks to super soph Jared Sullinger – a player that Loyola can’t handle in the middle. Sullinger and Deshawn Thomas both shoot over 53%, and with Aaron Craft at the point, their balance and strength can beat anyone. When asked to win by margin, Ohio State Read more


Tags: College Basketball Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds Ohio State Buckeyes __




NCAA Tournament Betting: Four position matchups you need to know

03.14.2012     10:21 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NCAA Tournament always brings a lot of unknown teams, players and matchups into its 68 (now 66) team field. It’s a heavy chore to follow and be aware of each team’s style and personnel beyond the surface statistical numbers. Here are five matchups that I feel are very important in Round One:

1.  Belmont vs. Georgetown – Belmont has a strength that is almost non-existent in this tournament field. They often play a pair of excellent point guards at the same time. Senior Drew Hanlen (team leading 2.2 assist-turnover ratio) and junior Kerron Johnson (team leading 5.2 assists per game) are different in their styles but very effective at directing the offense. Each is proficient at running the fast break but in the half court, Hanlen is a perimeter based point who leads the team in three point shooting percentage while Johnson is a lightning quick penetrator who excels in the drive and dish game. Johnson won the Alabama high school Mr. Basketball award three years ago, defeating Kentucky one and done stars C DeMarcus Cousins and G Eric Bledsoe. The Bruins ability to go with a pair of experienced and talented PG’s could be Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno



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