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September

27

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College Football Gambling: Ohio State upset it didn't cover the spread vs. Illinois

11.18.2013     12:17 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Putting to rest the theory that college kids don't know the pointspread of their games...


"We're disappointed by [winning at Illinois] 60-35. We didn't cover whatever spread that we needed to, didn't score enough points to boost up our rating. That's a reason why we're disappointed with the way that we played. It's reality."







Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes

10.22.2013     11:44 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Penn State at Ohio State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -14.5 O/U 55.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -14.5 o/U 56.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Ohio State -12
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Over

It’s a primetime ABC television tilt between Penn State and Ohio State as they renew their classic rivalry. The unbeaten Buckeyes survived a strong test from Iowa last week and look to keep their slim BCS title hopes alive. In order to do so they need to not only win but likely win by big margins moving forward as well as get a little help in the form of losses from two teams currently in front of them in the BCS rankings. For Penn State this likely represents their “BCS Title” game as they remain banned from the postseason.

Give much credit to Bill O’Brien and the job he’s done as well as to the kids who have played their tails off for him since he took Read more



Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Otto Sports




NCAA Football Gambling: Ohio State content to milk clock late in games

10.02.2013     12:13 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State -7 at Northwestern O/U 60

Back when Jim Tressel was coaching Ohio State, second half bets on the under – especially when the Buckeyes had a big lead – were very profitable. We've seen some of that this year under Urban Meyer as OSU has little trouble putting up points in the first half but happy to take its foot off the pedal late in games. Against Wisconsin, Ohio State essentially shut down the offense and tried to milk the clock in the second half. It almost backfired as the Badgers had the ball down seven with over a minute to play. All told, in four games against FBS competition, OSU has scored 120 points in the first half and only 48 in the second half. That may change when/if games become more competitive but Meyer made it clear that it isn't about style points but rather wins.


vs. Wisconsin
1st half: Read more



Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 5

09.30.2013     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I'll admit I was a little turned off by Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster's verbal distaste for having to play Georgia Tech on short rest. I knew Tech's defense was good but the Yellow Jackets are notorious for taking advantage of ill-prepared teams. Foster however may have been sandbagging because the Hokies went down to Atlanta and completely shut down GT's running game (129 yards). And what makes Foster's defense impressive is how they've progressively gotten better against Tech's offense: 2010 - 426 total yards, 2011 - 340 total yards, 2012 - 288 total yards, and last week - 273 yards. Saturday's win marked the Hokies' fourth straight victory over the Yellow Jackets. And I'll throw a little praise Logan Thomas' way. The senior QB came up with arguably his best performance in two seasons: 19-of-25, 221 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 58 yards rushing, 1 TD.

If you follow me and the Sportsmemo blog's game previews you know that I've been having a field day betting against SMU. The Mustangs put up a little better effort against TCU (10-7 lead at halftime) but once again broke down when times got tough. The Horned Frogs put up 31 in the fourth quarter including a kick Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio State Buckeyes

09.25.2013     01:25 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin at Ohio State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -7.5 O/U 53.5
CRIS Current: Ohio State -6.5 (-120) O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Ohio State -6.5
Marty Otto's Recommendation: Over

It will be 8 pm local time in Columbus when the Buckeyes and Badgers play in front of 100,000 screaming fans at “The Shoe” in what shapes up as one of the biggest games of the weekend. ABC will have the coverage as these two Big Ten heavyweights look to take an early stronghold on the Leaders Division.

Wisconsin’s Gary Andersen is in his first year at the helm having come in from Utah State. His Aggies teams were stellar against the number when installed as road dogs going 14-2 ATS in that role during his tenure. He seems like a great fit here for the Badgers and his blue collar approach and willingness to lean on a three-headed monster of a running game should Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten Otto Sports




NCAA Football Handicapping: Injuries the storyline for Ohio State-California

09.12.2013     02:06 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State -15.5 at California O/U 64

It’s been well documented in the Sportsmemo Posting Forum and today's Sportsmemo Podcast (listen here) that Cal is one banged up football team, particularly on the defensive side of the football. As many as five projected starters from the stop unit missed last week's game against Portland State – Cal hung on for a 37-30 win but the Pilots racked up 553 yards on a staggering 8.1 yards per play. Some of those players are now questionable while others remain out for Saturday's contest against Ohio State.


-"You look out there, and you haven't played with any of those guys. It's a little

Read more



Tags: College Football California Golden Bears PAC-12 Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Football Betting: Week 3 Injury Report

09.11.2013     11:59 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisiana Tech sophomore running back Kenneth Dixon enjoyed a banner freshman campaign, rushing for 1,194 yards and 27 touchdowns while averaging 6.0 yards per carry. Dixon sustained a knee injury in last week’s 27-14 win over Lamar and he’s questionable Thursday night vs. Tulane. Even if Dixon can’t go, I don’t know that bettors should downgrade Tech’s offense. Before Dixon became the starter last season, fellow freshman Tevin King started three games and rushed for 369 yards and five TDs. King, who averaged 8.0 ypc before suffering a season-ending injury, replaced Dixon when he went down last week. He responded by exploding for 182 yard rushing on 20 carries. As of early Wednesday, most books had the Bulldogs favored by -7.5 over the Green Wave.

TCU senior quarterback Casey Pachall is out until at least late October with a forearm injury. Therefore, sophomore signal caller Trevone Boykin will get the starting nod Thursday night at Texas Tech. Boykin started nine games as a redshirt freshman in 2012. He threw for 2,054 yards with a 15/10 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Boykin also rushed for 417 yards and three TDs. In relief of Pachall in Read more



Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 1

09.03.2013     07:01 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Penn State holding a narrow 13-10 lead late in the third quarter of Saturday's game against Syracuse, the Orange came up with a forced fumble on big PSU pass play. Syracuse's Allen Robinson looked like he had a clear lane to the end zone, a score that would have given his team a 17-13 lead. Instead, PSU offensive tackle Garry Gilliam (a converted tight end) made a great open field, touchdown saving tackle. Syracuse took over at the PSU 27-yard line and ended up missing a field goal. Early in the fourth quarter, Penn State kicked a field goal, tacked on a touchdown, and held on for the 23-17 win. The Nittany Lions failed to cover (-8) but had Gilliam not made that play, the straight up outcome of the game may have been different. 

Favored by -34, Ohio State's Urban Meyer was all business (and perhaps all dick) when he went for and converted two, two-point conversions on the Buckeyes' first two touchdowns of the game. Perhaps some karma involved as Buffalo snagged an easy ATS victory in the 40-20 loss. Boosters Beware! Meyer is now 2-6 ATS when laying double-digits since arriving in Columbus.

Last season, Iowa at times toyed with the idea of Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 8/26/13

08.26.2013     02:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ve seen some early week line movements for the debut of college football in 2013 this Thursday. I’ve tweaked our estimated Power Ratings from a few weeks ago as a result.

The numbers you see below assume 3 points for home field advantage. I create a couplet for each game based on the market spread adjusted for home field (or, left alone in the case of neutral site games), then try to place that couplet on “the big board” scale. So…if a team is a 12-point favorite on a neutral field, I make sure those teams are 12 points apart…then try to figure out where they would logically sit in the big picture based on last year’s final numbers…offseason changes…early numbers in the “game of the year” stuff in Vegas for upcoming matchups…etc. If a team is a 12-point favorite at home, then I make sure those teams are 9 points apart.
 
(If you're wondering why I use a universal 3 points for home field Read more



Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Big 10 Stat Day

07.26.2013     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

All the major college football conferences are having “media” days (or two, or three). Since little of the media coverage coming out of those days involves stats…I’ll try to put together some “stat days” between now and the start of the season. The Big 10 is under the spotlight at the moment all over the internet. So, let’s start there.

First…a review of Big 10 offenses last year, focusing on the basic fundamentals of moving the ball and protecting it. Remember that there are now 12 teams in the Big 10. They’re ranked immediately below by yards-per-play on offense in conference play ONLY to help weed out the goofy stuff that happens against widely variant non-league schedules. That means 8 games for everybody but Wisconsin and Nebraska. They played each other in the Big 10 Championship game, so their numbers are pulled from a 9-game sampling. These are the numbers as reported by the college football stats site cfstats.com

Big 10 Read more



Tags: College Football Big Ten Stat Intelligence



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"Ohio State Buckeyes'"

September

27


 
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