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Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers offer last minute opinions on betting the Final Four

03.31.2012     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsmemo's Teddy Covers was featured in Chad Millman's ESPN Final Four preview. Below is what Teddy had to say about both matchups.


Covers says: "I actually thought Louisville-Kentucky would be a little shorter at about seven. Betonline opened at 9.5, 5Dimes opened at 8. I honestly think that number is a little bit high. With Kentucky you are talking about four or five guys that could start in the NBA next year. The problem with that side is I don't think they can play any better than they did recently -- they were just lights out. And yet against Indiana and Baylor, there we were at the end and sweating it out. As good as they were and as well as they played, there is not a lot of value on the Kentucky side. Louisville is a great dog, 8-3 catching points this year. Look at the first game these two played: The fact that Louisville held Kentucky under 30 percent shooting in that game tells us that team has the potential to keep the game in check. I haven't bet it yet because I think we might see 9.5 in Vegas before we tip off."

Covers says: "In February, before the brackets, I wrote that I thought these two teams would play for the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Ohio State Buckeyes Kansas Jayhawks Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament: Final Four pointspread and betting statistics

03.27.2012     07:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NCAA Tournament pointspread numbers for the Final Four.

Strength Of Schedule
1: Louisville – 52.3
2: Kansas – 51.6
3: Ohio State – 51.4
4: Kentucky – 48.4

Against The Spread
1: Louisville 4-0 (2-0 Favorite / 1-0 Underdog / 1-0 Pick ‘em)
2: Ohio State 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
3: Kentucky 3-1 (3-1 Favorite)
4: Kansas 2-2 (2-2 Favorite)

Totals – Over/ Under
1: Kentucky 4-0
2: Ohio State 4-0
3: Kansas 1-3
4: Louisville 1-3

First Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky - 43.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H - 74.3
2: Kansas - 35.8 / Opponents - 35.0 / Total 1H - 70.8
3: Ohio State - 36.8 / Opponents - 30.5 / Total 1H – 67.3
4: Louisville – 28.8 / Opponents – 27.3 / Total 1H – 56.1

Second Half Score Averages
1: Kentucky – 44.3 / Opponents – 43.3 / Total 2H – 87.6 (allowed 40+ second half points in all four games)
2: Ohio State – 40.5 / Opponents – 34.8 / Total 2H – 75.3 (4-0 ATS in second Read more


Tags: NCAA Tournament Ohio State Buckeyes Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Louisville Cardinals Rob Veno




NCAA Tournmanet Betting: Final Four Against the Spread Notes

03.27.2012     06:37 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Final Four in New Orleans is set as no. 1 seed Kentucky, no. 2 Ohio State, no. 2 Kansas and no. 4 Louisville light up the Superdome. The Elite Eight had some super finishes and tight contests with three of the four games landing within five points of the poinspread.  The Kansas–North Carolina game had a one-point margin with 3+ minutes to go before the Jayhawks finished the game on a 12-0 run to pull away for the win.

The Sweet Sixteen also had many close contests with all four games last Friday landing within five points of the pointspread. Of the 12 games last week, eight landed within five points of the line. During the course of the college basketball season, 40% of all games landed within five points of the betting line, so you can see how tight the numbers are as the tournament progresses.

With that said, here are some Final Four Against-the-Spread (ATS) notes. Since 1998, the better seeded team is 21-8 SU and 22-7 ATS. Teams seeded no. 4 or worse are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS if they are playing a better seeded team. Top-seeded no. 1 teams taking on a worse seed are 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS the past 14 years including 11-3 ATS if favored by -8 or Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals __




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' NCAA Tournament Final Four Betting Preview

03.26.2012     10:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Over the last two weeks we’ve seen 64 NCAA Tournament teams get eliminated from the field, leaving only the Final Four remaining with a chance to cut down the nets in New Orleans next Monday.

College hoops statistical guru Ken Pomeroy breaks down the four teams chances to win the title as follows: Kentucky 42%, Ohio State 34%, Kansas 17% and Louisville 7%. From my perspective, if John Calipari’s Wildcats play as well next weekend as they did this past weekend, that 42% chance of a title looks pretty darn low.

That being said, it’s going to be very hard for Kentucky to match their near flawless offensive performances in wins over Baylor and Indiana. The Wildcats have scored a ridiculous 220 points in their last 163 possessions; a 1.35 points per possession ratio. Those are not sustainable numbers, even for a team that closed out the weekend ranked #2 in the country (behind only Missouri) with 1.17 points per possession average.

Both Final Four games are rematches of non-conference affairs from earlier in the season. The talking heads on TV are sure to bring up this angle ad nauseum, but the bottom line is that neither affair had a Read more


Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Odds: Kentucky a -128 favorite to win championship

03.26.2012     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
Saturday's Final Four in New Orleans is set and not surprising, Kentucky is the betting favorite to win it all.

Current Lines
Louisville vs. Kentucky -8.5 O/U 138.5
Ohio State -2.5 vs. Kansas O/U 136.5

Pinnacle Championship Futures
Kentucky -128
Ohio State +281
Kansas +499
Louisville +1150




Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds vs. Michigan State Spartans

03.16.2012     07:44 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LIU Brooklyn vs. Michigan State -19.5 O/U 154
Recommendation: LIU-Brooklyn


The Big Ten’s second best delivered a Fairway forecast winner on these pages Thursday when Ohio State pulled through as a big favorite over Loyola-MD. Now the Big Ten’s best is asked to win big for their betting backers as the Midwest Region’s top seed. Michigan State (27-7) has had a magical season as co-Big Ten champs and conference tournament champions. They are a together team with a star senior leader in Draymond Green inside and a quick, dynamic point guard in Keith Appling. As usual, the Spartans are one of the nation’s top rebounding teams and play superior defense under head coach Tom Izzo. Following a buzzer beater by Ohio State to beat Michigan State in their regular season finale 12 days ago, the Spartans swept through the Big Ten tournament to beat the Buckeyes in the championship game five days ago. That redemption game for all the marbles Read more


Tags: College Basketball LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds Michigan State Spartans __




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Loyola (MD) Greyhounds vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

03.15.2012     07:29 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Loyola Maryland vs. Ohio State -17 O/U 130.5
Recommendation: Ohio State


Let’s tip off our Thursday evening with a blowout winner in NCAA Tournament action.  Loyola Maryland (24-8) went on a 3-0 SU/ATS run to capture the MAAC Tournament title and advance to the Big Dance. The Greyhounds are fairly methodical on offense and don’t have the talent or athletic ability to keep up with the Buckeyes. Ohio State (27-7) can excel in open court and half court sets, and statistically they are solid across the board. OSU tied for the top spot in the Big Ten in field goal shooting (47%) while holding opponents to just 41%. Ohio State is one of the top rebounding teams in the country thanks to super soph Jared Sullinger – a player that Loyola can’t handle in the middle. Sullinger and Deshawn Thomas both shoot over 53%, and with Aaron Craft at the point, their balance and strength can beat anyone. When asked to win by margin, Ohio State Read more


Tags: College Basketball Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds Ohio State Buckeyes __




NCAA Tournament Betting: Four position matchups you need to know

03.14.2012     10:21 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NCAA Tournament always brings a lot of unknown teams, players and matchups into its 68 (now 66) team field. It’s a heavy chore to follow and be aware of each team’s style and personnel beyond the surface statistical numbers. Here are five matchups that I feel are very important in Round One:

1.  Belmont vs. Georgetown – Belmont has a strength that is almost non-existent in this tournament field. They often play a pair of excellent point guards at the same time. Senior Drew Hanlen (team leading 2.2 assist-turnover ratio) and junior Kerron Johnson (team leading 5.2 assists per game) are different in their styles but very effective at directing the offense. Each is proficient at running the fast break but in the half court, Hanlen is a perimeter based point who leads the team in three point shooting percentage while Johnson is a lightning quick penetrator who excels in the drive and dish game. Johnson won the Alabama high school Mr. Basketball award three years ago, defeating Kentucky one and done stars C DeMarcus Cousins and G Eric Bledsoe. The Bruins ability to go with a pair of experienced and talented PG’s could be Read more


Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno




Odds to win East Regional: Top seed Syracuse favored to advance

03.12.2012     06:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Odds to win the East Regional Courtesy of The Greek. Top seed Syracuse is the betting favorite (+125) followed by no. 2 seed Ohio State (+150). Perhaps some value at 15-1 with the Cincinnati Bearcats who showed well in the Big East Tournament.

ODDS TO WIN EAST REGIONAL 
Syracuse +125
Ohio State +150  
Vanderbilt +650 
Wisconsin +800 
Florida State +800
Kansas State +1200
Cincinnati +1500
West Virginia +2500
Gonzaga +2000
Texas +3000 
Harvard +5000
Southern Mississippi +6000
Field +1200




Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Ohio State Buckeyes Cincinnati Bearcats




Big Ten Tournament Gambling Preview

03.08.2012     06:08 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Favorite – Ohio State – The Big Ten conference featured a three-way tie for the regular season title with Ohio State, Michigan State and Michigan all at 13-5. However, after the Buckeyes took care of business in East Lansing last week they are priced as small favorites to cut down the nets in Indianapolis on Sunday. A team like Michigan could very well be satisfied with its regular season first place finish, while looking instead to peak for the Big Dance. And under Tom Izzo, Michigan State is notorious for not putting much emphasis on this tournament. As for the Buckeyes, they are led by All-American Jered Sullinger (16.9 ppg), Aaron Craft and William Buford. The Buckeyes fought immaturity at times this season, but still finished with a strong 25-6 record. Ohio State perhaps peaked too early in 2011 (34-3, lost in the Sweet Sixteen) but after some struggles in February, the tournament could serve as a springboard to the Big Dance.

Darkhorse – Northwestern – The Wildcats enter the Big Ten tournament hoping to make their first-ever trip to the NCAA Tournament. With an 18-12 overall record the Wildcats are firmly on Read more


Tags: College Basketball Erin Rynning



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